Document 1000176271
Document 1000176271
Document 1000176271
The Sofifi GEPP 10 MW is located on Halmahera Island, next island from Ternate Island
that could be reached by boat from Ahmad Yani Port, Ternate Island. From Sultan Babullah
Airport to the Ahmad Yani Port could be reached within approximately nineteen minutes by
driving, for about 6.4 km, followed by crossing with speedboat approximately thirty minutes
to the Sofifi Speedboat Port.
From Sofifi Speedboat Port to the Project Site (beside PLTD Somahode)
could be reached within approximately sixteen minutes by driving, for about
8.7 km distance via Trans Halmahera Highway. The access to the Project
Site could also be reached via Sultan Nuku Road, for about 6.8 km
distance approximately fourteen minutes driving.
From Sofifi Port to Sofifi GEPP 10 MW
location could be reached within
approximately seventeen minutes by
driving, for about 8.8 km distance via
Trans Halmahera Highway.From Trans
Halmahera, access road to the Project
Site will continue with an asphalt and a
dirt road.
The available commercial seaport is Sofifi Port (Pelindo - Sofifi Branch), located The condition of the road (Trans
approximately 8.8 km from Project Site. Sofifi port is classified as Pelabuhan Class II Halmahera) is considered as Class III
and is equipped with port facilities such as dock and laydown area. Unloading facilities Road, which is a national road with two
is not available at the Sofifi Port. lane public traffic, 6 meters width, with
good asphalt pavement condition. From
main road to the Project Site, the
access road is a dirt one with 3 meters
width.
Sub-System Install Capacity Rated Capacity Peak Load
2) Rent MW 18 18 - - - - - - -
DEPP Tobelo Rent DEPP MW 7 7 - - - - -
Tobelo Rent DEPP MW 5 5
Jailolo (PT PYM) MW 2 2
Sofifi ( Sakabaja Panelindo) MW 2 2
Sofifi (KSO PYM-GTP-KBT) MW 2 2
2) Rent MW 18 18 - - - - - - -
DEPP Tobelo Rent DEPP MW 7 7 - - - - -
Tobelo Rent DEPP MW 5 5
Jailolo (PT PYM) MW 2 2
Sofifi ( Sakabaja Panelindo) MW 2 2
Sofifi (KSO PYM-GTP-KBT) MW 2 2
• Tobelo GEPP Package is designed to carry the follower load, with a CF cap of 60%;
• Sofifi GEPP 10 MW is designed to carry the follower load, with a CF cap of 60%;
• Halmahera scattered Biomass PP 10 MW is designed to carry the follower load, with a CF cap of 60%;
• New GEPP 108 MW is designed to carry the follower load, with a CF cap of 60%;
• Jakabaring GTPP and Batanghari GTPP are designed to carry the follower load, with a CF cap of 75%;
• The optimization done with apply the criteria of target energy production minus by the existing total energy is minimized (near to zero).
SUPPLY/DEMAND Unit 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032
DEMAND
Energy Production GWh 155,1 166,7 178,9 191,3 1.585,7 1.598,7 1.612,4 1.627,1 1.642,4 1.659,2
Load Factor % 61,4 61,5 61,7 61,8 81,8 81,5 81,1 80,8 80,4 80,0
Beban Puncak Netto MW 28,8 30,9 33,1 35,3 221,2 224,0 226,9 230,0 233,2 236,6
[TD1]
The voltage at substation 150 kV in system are within tolerable range for 4 case conditions. However, at the 20
kV substation there are several conditions that exceed the predetermined voltage limit of 1.05 pu / +5% from
bus nominal voltage. It also can be concluded that the voltage compensator equipment is not needed to be
installed in system. All bus voltage drop rating in 150 kV Sofifi system still fulfill the tolerable limit in every
scenario.
Load Flow Study (Lines)
Load Flow (Line) Result for Engine Class 4 MW
Based on the simulation study result as above, known that the short circuit currents of all buses in the system are still lower than the maximum rated short
time withstand current of kA as specified in Standarisasi Spesifikasi Teknis Material Transmisi Utama (MTU) SK DIR No.216.K/DIR/2013.
Transient Stability Study
Transient stability study will be conducted with 3 (three) cases for 3 (three) engine Unit sizing
(4, 5 & 6 MW engine-class) scenarios, as follows:
1. The biggest Unit in the system is fault. The biggest Unit in the system defined as one of Sofifi GEPP 10
MW Units;
2. The biggest load in the system is loss. The biggest load defined is load on Sofifi Substation;
3. 1 (one) circuit of 150 kV Transmission Line is fault. The Transmission Line fault assumed between Sofifi
Substation to Jailolo Substation.
Case 1
Case 2
Case 2
Case 2
4
Caterpillar
Doosan Engine4
**7MW class engine (7L51/ 60DF) which no longer in product ion due t o manufact uring efficiency improvement plan/ port ofolio opt imizat ion Paket 4 (Maumere, Bima, Sumbawa)
***8MW Class engine (9L51/ 60DF) which no longer in product ion due t o manufact uring efficiency improvement plan/ port ofolio opt imizat ion Paket 2 (Nunukan, Waingapu, Alor, Namlea, Dobo, Saumlaki, Serui)
****No informat ion yet about act ual operat ing hour (AOH)
Estimated Estimated
Engine Est. Plant Net
Plant Gross Plant Net
Manufacturer Model class Configuration Power Output
Power Output Power Output
(MW) Margin (%)
(MW) (MW)
Air Temperature
- The average dry bulb temperature is 27.29°C. Relative Humidity
- The average wet bulb temperature is 25.00°C. - The average relative humidity is 83.31%.
- The maximum dry bulb temperature is about 28.23°C. - The maximum relative humidity of about 87.85.0%.
- The minimum dry bulb temperature is about 26.15°C. - The minimum relative humidity of about 72.58%.
- The maximum wet bulb temperature is about 26.26°C.
- The minimum wet bulb temperature is about 23.12°C. Rainfall
- The maximum daily rainfall of about 114.4 mm.
Atmospheric Pressure - The average annual rainfall is 2004.76 mm.
- The average air pressure is 1011.05 mm Bar. - The maximum annual rainfall of about 3080.30 mm.
- The maximum air pressure of about 1012.3 mm Bar. - The maximum monthly rainfall of about 516.50 mm.
- The minimum air pressure of about 1008 mm Bar. - Rainy season month is December until June.
Note: 1. This cost estimate is prepared on the basis May, 2024.
2. This cost estimate is shown in the equivalent rupiah, using exchange rate 1 USD = IDR 16,276.00, based on mid BI exchange rate on May 2nd, 2024.
3. Local Portion for the EPC cost above is estimated around 35% - 38% in Rupiah.
4. The Gross Output is 4.16 - 6.18 MW (based on the technical study in previous chapter).
5. Cost estimate for Soil Development Works and Foundation in Civil Works are calculated considering the Site Investigation result.
6. Cost estimate for Structural works in Civil Works are based on similar project reference.
7. Cost estimate for Gas Engine and BOP are based on similar project reference. The estimated cost for these items is included in Mechanical Works.
8. Cost estimate for Generator, Plant Electrical, 20kV Switchgear and I&C cost estimate are based on similar project reference. The estimated cost for these
items are included in Electrical Works.
9. Cost estimate for other cost estimate is include cost of Training, Consumable, Spare Parts, Plant Inspection, and Test Prior to Final Acceptance Building
Information Modelling (BIM) and Supervision during Warranty Period calculated based on similar project reference.
10. The cost estimate already includes ROK.
Alt. 1 Alt. 2 Alt. 3
No. Description UNIT
(3 x 4.16 MW) (2 x 5.84 MW) (2 x 6.18 MW)
1. EPC Cost Amount Eq.Rp 444,230,654,955 438,907,474,006 447,630,450,493
2. Non EPC Cost
a. Owner Cost Amount Eq.Rp 44,423,065,495 43,890,747,401 44,763,045,049
b. Value Added Tax (VAT) Amount Eq.Rp 19,322,277,849 18,268,485,966 18,391,933,706
c. Contingency Amount Eq.Rp 44,423,065,495 43,890,747,401 44,763,045,049
Total Amount Eq.Rp 552,399,063,794 544,957,454,772 555,548,474,297
2. This cost estimation is shown in the equivalent rupiah, using exchange rate 1 USD = IDR 16,276.00, based on mid BI exchange rate
on May 2nd, 2024.
3. The O&M Cost Estimate is prepare based on project reference/ contract reference with base price for 1 st – 5th year of O&M Period.
4. The O&M Cost Estimate for 6th – 20th year will be calculated based on the first five year estimate with considering 1,34% foreign
escalation and 4,12% local escalation per year.
5. Cost estimation above based on CF = 50% (KKP Pembangunan PLTMG Sofifi 10 MW No. 13.01/2023.06/11)
Project Data for Sofifi GEPP 10 MW
Alt. 1 Alt. 2 Alt. 3
NO DESCRIPTION UNIT
(3 x 4.16 MW) (2 x 5.84 MW) (2 x 6.18 MW) 1. Technical data assumptions (Gross Power, Net
1. Gross Power Capacity per Unit MW 4.16 5.84 6.18 Power, Number of Unit, EENS, Heat Rate and SFC)
2. Number of Unit Unit 3.00 2.00 2.00 are based on technical approach and/or calculation.
3. Total Gross Power Capacity MW 12.48 11.68 12.36
4. Total Auxiliary Power % 3.56% 3.37% 3.35% 2. Operational lifetime is using an approach of Diesel
Power Plant (similar project) operational lifetime
5. Net Power Capacity MW 12.04 11.29 11.95
based on Perdir. PT. PLN No. 0299.P/DIR/2016.
6. EENS (Expected Energy Not Served) MWh 253.04 237.28 376.73
7. Losses Transmission-Distribussion % 9.37% 9.37% 9.37% 3. Project Implementation Period is based on information
in project schedule.
GAS MODE
4. Income Tax Rate is based on UU No. 7 Tahun 2021.
8. Gross Heat Rate - Gas Fuel (LHV) kCal/kWh 1,929.24 2,007.88 1,865.37
9. Gross Heat Rate - Gas Fuel (HHV) kCal/kWh 2,141.45 2,228.75 2,070.56 5. Electricity Tariff for Sale refer to TDL TR 2024.
10. Gross Heat Rate - Pilot Fuel (LHV) kCal/kWh 28.94 30.12 27.98
6. BPP Sistem Morotai is based on letter of PLN UIW
11. Gross Heat Rate - Pilot Fuel (HHV) kCal/kWh 32.12 33.43 31.06
MMU No. 0109/KEU.02.02/F17000000/2024 dated
DIESEL MODE January 12th 2024 about “BPP Per Pembangkit
12. Gross Heat Rate - Biodiesel Fuel (LHV) kCal/kWh 2,179.13 2,128.11 1,956.43 (Sistem/Sub Sistem) Triwulan IV Tahun 2023”.
13. Gross Heat Rate - Biodiesel Fuel (HHV) kCal/kWh 2,292.23 2,238.55 2,057.96
4. Electricity Tarif for Sales Escalation is based on TDL-TR Escalation 2014 - 2023. Note: 1. The estimate cost is on for 1st years of O&M Period;
5. Electricity Tariff for Sale refer to TDL TR 2024. 2. This cost estimation is shown in equivalent rupiah, using exchange rate 1 USD = IDR 16,276.00,
based on mid BI exchange rate on May 2nd, 2024.
6. WACC is based on letter No. 41718/KEUSAT.00.02/F01070500/2023.
Levelized Electricity Generating Cost Sofifi GEPP 10 MW
Alt. 1 Alt. 2 Alt. 3
DESCRIPTION UNIT
(3 x 4.16 MW) (2 x 5.84 MW) (2 x 6.18 MW)
Component - A Rp/kWh 1,251.42 1,316.61 1,271.11
Component - B Rp/kWh 402.57 401.74 384.49
Component - C Rp/kWh 2,704.16 2,809.00 2,609.20
Component - D Rp/kWh 84.59 90.22 85.44
Total (Component-ABCD) Rp/kWh 4,442.75 4,617.57 4,350.24
Based on result on table above, it appears that Sofifi GEPP 10 MW has IRR <
WACC, NPV < 0, BCR < 1. Therefore, this project is not financially feasible
based on Applicable Electricity Tariff using TDL TR
Project Data for Sofifi GEPP 10 MW
Note: 1. The assumption for LEGC DEPP is based on KKP Pembangunan PLTMG Sofifi 10 MW No. 13.01/2023.06/11;
2. The Assumption for Biodiesel Fuel price is 13,791.00 IDR/liter (Inc. Tax).
3. The Assumption for rent DEPP Price is 294.65 IDR/kWh (Rent PLTD price is based on “based on “KKP Pembangunan
PLTMG Sofifi 10 MW No. 13.01/2023.06/11”).
4. SFC 0.285Liter/kWh (SFC is based on “KKP Pembangunan PLTMG Sofifi 10 MW No. 13.01/2023.06/11”).
5. Gas Price 18.47 USD/MMBTU (Gas Price is based on “PLN EPI No. 2184/EPI.01.02/PLNEPI0300/2024 dated February
28th 2024 about “Penyampaian Perkiraan Harga Gas di Plant Gate untuk Usulan Anggaran Investasi Pembangkit Gas
Tahun 2024””).
Value Alternative Value Alternative Value Alternative
Basic Assumption Unit
1 2 3
INVESTASI
CAPEX USD 27,293,601.00 26,966,544.00 27,502,485.00
Project Life Time Tahun 20.00 20.00 20.00
Economic Feasibility COD Years
End of Contract
2,026.00
53,692.00
2,026.00
53,692.00
2,026.00
53,692.00
Investment Drawdowns % per tahun
As the identification of project benefits use consumer willingness to pay, FINANCIAL
Exchange Rate Rp/USD 16,276.00 16,276.00 16,276.00
the identification of project costs uses the feasibility study document of Social Discount Rate % 0.09 0.09 0.09
the Sofifi GEPP 10 MW Project. FUEL COST
Total Fuel Cost USD/tahun
Biofuel Cost USD/MMBTU 25.46 25.46 25.46
SFC Biofuel liter/kWh 0.25 0.25 0.25
Biofuel Usage Consumption % 0.02 0.02 0.02
Biofuel Volume liter/tahun
Biofuel Volume MMBTU/tahun
Estimation Result of Economic Feasibility Gas Fuel Cost USD/MMBTU 18.47 18.47 18.47
SFC Gas MMBTU/kWh 0.00 0.00 0.00
Gas Usage Consumption % 0.98 0.98 0.98
Gas Volume MMBTU/tahun
Fuel Cost Escalation - Gas % - - -
Fuel Cost Escalation - Biofuel % 0.06 0.06 0.06
OPERATION
Capacity
Sofifi GEPP Capacity MW 12.04 11.29 11.95
Sofifi GEPP Capacity Factor % 0.50 0.50 0.50
Based on Table above, we can conclude that the development of Sofifi Salable Generation kWh
REVENUE
GEPP 10 MW is economically feasible and will generate positive net USD/kWh
GEPP Tariff (TDL) 0.09 0.09 0.09
benefits to society Rp/kWh 1,444.70 1,444.70 1,444.70
Tariff Escalation Every Year % 0.89 0.89 0.89
EXPENSE
Cost Escalation - O&M Foreign % per tahun 0.01 0.01 0.01
Cost Escalation - O&M Local % per tahun 0.04 0.04 0.04
O&M - Total USD/tahun
Cost Adjustment Factors 1.00 1.00 1.00
EMISSION
Power Plant Emission ton CO2/kWh 0.00 0.00 0.00
- 1 metric ton CO2 pound CO2/ton CO2 2,204.60 2,204.60 2,204.60
- 1 pound CO2 ton CO2/pound CO2 0.00 0.00 0.00
- Emission Reduction pound CO2/kWh 1.47 1.47 1.47
- CO2 emission - Diesel pound CO2/kWh 2.44 2.44 2.44
- CO2 emission - Natural Gas pound CO2/kWh 0.97 0.97 0.97
Emission Saved tonnes of CO2 in one year
Marginal Abatement Cost USD/tonne of CO2 42.75 42.75 42.75
CONCLUSION:
1. Sofifi GEPP 10 MW will be located beside the PLTD Somahode in Somahode Village, North Oba District, City of Tidore Island,
North Maluku Province, with geographical WGS 84 coordinate 0°42'3.45" N; 127°33'1.59" E, and with UTM coordinates,
zone 52 N, 338695.00 m E; 77502 m N;
2. Refer to power balance analysis, could be identified that Sofifi GEPP 10 MW can improve the Halmahera’s system availability
and reliability.
3. Refer to load flow study and simulation, the voltage level for all bus in Halmahera system for all case is operating in normal
range.
4. Refer to short circuit study and simulation, short circuit currents in Halmahera system are still lower than the maximum rated
short time withstand current of 25 kA in every scenario and case being run and execute.
5. Refer to transient stability study, it is found that the rotor angle, voltage and frequency level for each case have fluctuation and
back to steady state condition.
6. Compared to the allocation of gas fuel per day from RUPTL and CF of 50% based on KKP, when the power plant starts to
operate in 2026, the allocated gas in RUPTL will be less than the required at specified CF with all probable configuration.
7. Considering that the Gas Infrastructure is developed by others, there is possibilities regarding the commercial operation will be
not simultaneous with Sofifi GEPP 10 MW (earlier or later);
8. Based on electrical study and configuration evaluation, engine with sizing range class 4-6 MW, were still fulfill in the system
tolerable limit.
9. Based on the optimum schedule that could be achieved, Sofifi GEPP 10 MW EPC scheduled in 18 months from signing and
effective date of contract, and expected to be commercial operated on 2026;
10. The Project Capital Cost (includes EPC Cost and Non-EPC Cost) for Sofifi GEPP 10 MW estimated in amount based on
various engine configuration as stipulated below:
Alt. 1 Alt. 2 Alt. 3
No. Description UNIT
(3 x 4.16 MW) (2 x 5.84 MW) (2 x 6.18 MW)
1. EPC Cost Amount Eq.Rp 444,230,654,955 438,907,474,006 447,630,450,493
2. Non EPC Cost
a. Owner Cost Amount Eq.Rp 44,423,065,495 43,890,747,401 44,763,045,049
b. Value Added Tax (VAT) Amount Eq.Rp 19,322,277,849 18,268,485,966 18,391,933,706
c. Contingency Amount Eq.Rp 44,423,065,495 43,890,747,401 44,763,045,049
Total Amount Eq.Rp 552,399,063,794 544,957,454,772 555,548,474,297
11. The Levelized Electricity Generating Cost (LEGC) for Sofifi GEPP 10 MW will be calculated for each configuration. The detail
is as follows:
Alt. 1 Alt. 2 Alt. 3
DESCRIPTION UNIT
(3 x 4.16 MW) (2 x 5.84 MW) (2 x 6.18 MW)
Component - A Rp/kWh 1,251.42 1,316.61 1,271.11
Component - B Rp/kWh 402.57 401.74 384.49
Component - C Rp/kWh 2,704.16 2,809.00 2,609.20
Component - D Rp/kWh 84.59 90.22 85.44
Total (Component-ABCD) Rp/kWh 4,442.75 4,617.57 4,350.24
12. The financial analysis based on applicable electricity tariff using TDL TR, the IRR, NPV and BCR shows that this project is not
financially feasible;
DESCRIPTION UNIT VALUE
IRR Project % No Return
WACC % 9.70%
NPV Billion Rp. (1,327.72)
BCR x 0.32
Payback Period No Payback
13. The comparisons between the Sofifi GEPP 10 MW project for all configuration with the Rent Diesel Power Plant can be seen
in the following table:
Alt. 1 Alt. 2 Alt. 3
DESCRIPTION UNIT
(3 x 4.16 MW) (2 x 5.84 MW) (2 x 6.18 MW)
LEGC GEPP Rp/kWh 4,442.75 4,617.57 4,350.24
LEGC PLTD Rp/kWh 6,937.03 6,937.03 6,937.03
Potensial Saving Rp/kWh 2,494.28 2,319.46 2,586.79
IRR Avoided Cost % 23.63% 22.18% 24.05%
14. Because this project is not feasible based on financial studies, an Economic Analysis is carried out by looking at the economic
Impact and economic Feasibility. Based on economic impact for every Rp 1.00 of new investment in Maluku Utara electricity
sector, an additional output of Rp 3.27 will be generated at provincial level and an additional output of Rp 4.02 at national
level;
15. Based on economic feasibility, the results of the study show that the development of Sofifi GEPP 10 MW is :
16. From the result of technical and economic analysis being conduct, it shows that Sofifi GEPP 10 MW is not financially feasible
based on TDL tariff but feasible to replace rented DPP and economically feasible and will generate positive net benefits to
society.
17. Sensitivity analysis using BPP System as revenue indicate that the project is feasible with financial parameter NPV>0 and
IRR>WACC
RECOMENDATION:
1. Based on all studies conducted, Sofifi GEPP 10 MW is recommended to be constructed with consideration of technical and
economical aspect;
2. Commercial Operation Date (COD) for Sofifi GEPP 10 MW are expected to be reached at the end of 2026. Therefore, all
related document and studies for Sofifi GEPP 10 MW, recommended to be updated for its COD predicted time frame to the
next PLN’s RUPTL;
Sensitivity Analysis
PLTMG SOFIFI 10 MW
BASE SCENARIO
Revenue BPP PLTD LCOE Total *) LCOE A LCOE B LCOE C LCOE D NPV IRR BCR
No Case Study
Rp/kWh (@ COD) Rp/kWh (@ COD) Rp/kWh Rp/kWh Rp/kWh Rp/kWh Rp/kWh Bill. Rp % Ratio
1.a **) Gas Fuel (TDL incld. Dist. Losses) 1,470.53 4,350.24 1,271.11 384.49 2,609.20 85.44 (1,327.72) No Return 0.324
1.b **) Biodiesel Fuel (TDL incld. Dist. Losses) 1,470.53 6,931.70 1,271.11 384.49 5,190.66 85.44 (2,493.15) No Return 0.203
2.a ***) Gas Fuel (BPP System) 3,755.00 4,350.24 1,271.11 384.49 2,609.20 85.44 (282.75) 1.79% 0.857
2.b ***) Biodiesel Fuel (BPP System) 3,755.00 6,931.70 1,271.11 384.49 5,190.66 85.44 (1,434.16) No Return 0.542
3.a ***) Gas Fuel (BPP System+7%) 4,017.85 4,350.24 1,271.11 384.49 2,609.20 85.44 (190.19) 4.70% 0.905
3.b ***) Biodiesel Fuel (BPP System+7%) 4,017.85 6,931.70 1,271.11 384.49 5,190.66 85.44 (1,315.49) No Return 0.580
4.a ***) Gas Fuel (VS BPP PLTD) 6,937.03 4,350.24 1,271.11 384.49 2,609.20 85.44 1,167.84 24.05% 1.595
4.b ***) Biodiesel Fuel (VS BPP PLTD) 6,937.03 6,931.70 1,271.11 384.49 5,190.66 85.44 2.41 9.75% 1.001
5.a **) Gas Fuel (IRR=WACC incld. Dist. Losses) 4,756.00 4,350.24 1,271.11 384.49 2,609.20 85.44 0.00 9.70% 1.000
5.b **) Biodiesel Fuel (IRR=WACC incld. Dist. Losses) 7,523.87 6,931.70 1,271.11 384.49 5,190.66 85.44 0.00 9.70% 1.000
Note:
*) LCOE calculated based on Transmission Loco kWh
**) financial parameter calculation based on Customer kWh
***) financial parameters calculation based on Transmission Loco kWh
PLTMG SOFIFI 10 MW
SENSITIVITY EPC (-15%)
Revenue BPP PLTD LCOE Total *) LCOE A LCOE B LCOE C LCOE D NPV IRR BCR
No Case Study
Rp/kWh (@ COD) Rp/kWh (@ COD) Rp/kWh Rp/kWh Rp/kWh Rp/kWh Rp/kWh Bill. Rp % Ratio
1.a **) Gas Fuel (TDL incld. Dist. Losses) 1,470.53 4,159.57 1,080.44 384.49 2,609.20 85.44 (1,241.65) No Return 0.339
1.b **) Biodiesel Fuel (TDL incld. Dist. Losses) 1,470.53 6,741.03 1,080.44 384.49 5,190.66 85.44 (2,407.07) No Return 0.209
2.a ***) Gas Fuel (BPP System) 3,755.00 4,159.57 1,080.44 384.49 2,609.20 85.44 (204.63) 3.17% 0.892
2.b ***) Biodiesel Fuel (BPP System) 3,755.00 6,741.03 1,080.44 384.49 5,190.66 85.44 (1,348.08) No Return 0.557
3.a ***) Gas Fuel (BPP System+7%) 4,017.85 4,159.57 1,080.44 384.49 2,609.20 85.44 (112.07) 6.34% 0.942
3.b ***) Biodiesel Fuel (BPP System+7%) 4,017.85 6,741.03 1,080.44 384.49 5,190.66 85.44 (1,229.41) No Return 0.596
4.a ***) Gas Fuel (VS BPP PLTD) 6,937.03 4,159.57 1,080.44 384.49 2,609.20 85.44 1,253.91 26.93% 1.668
4.b ***) Biodiesel Fuel (VS BPP PLTD) 6,937.03 6,741.03 1,080.44 384.49 5,190.66 85.44 88.49 11.62% 1.029
5.a **) Gas Fuel (IRR=WACC incld. Dist. Losses) 4,524.54 4,159.57 1,080.44 384.49 2,609.20 85.44 0.00 9.70% 1.000
5.b **) Biodiesel Fuel (IRR=WACC incld. Dist. Losses) 7,301.39 6,741.03 1,080.44 384.49 5,190.66 85.44 0.00 9.70% 1.000
Note:
*) LCOE calculated based on Transmission Loco kWh
**) financial parameter calculation based on Customer kWh
***) financial parameters calculation based on Transmission Loco kWh
Sensitivity Analysis
PLTMG SOFIFI 10 MW
SENSITIVITY EPC (15%)
Revenue BPP PLTD LCOE Total *) LCOE A LCOE B LCOE C LCOE D NPV IRR BCR
No Case Study
Rp/kWh (@ COD) Rp/kWh (@ COD) Rp/kWh Rp/kWh Rp/kWh Rp/kWh Rp/kWh Bill. Rp % Ratio
1.a **) Gas Fuel (TDL incld. Dist. Losses) 1,470.53 4,540.91 1,461.77 384.49 2,609.20 85.44 (1,413.80) No Return 0.310
1.b **) Biodiesel Fuel (TDL incld. Dist. Losses) 1,470.53 7,122.36 1,461.77 384.49 5,190.66 85.44 (2,579.23) No Return 0.198
2.a ***) Gas Fuel (BPP System) 3,755.00 4,540.91 1,461.77 384.49 2,609.20 85.44 (354.81) 0.89% 0.827
2.b ***) Biodiesel Fuel (BPP System) 3,755.00 7,122.36 1,461.77 384.49 5,190.66 85.44 (1,520.23) No Return 0.527
3.a ***) Gas Fuel (BPP System+7%) 4,017.85 4,540.91 1,461.77 384.49 2,609.20 85.44 (268.30) 3.40% 0.871
3.b ***) Biodiesel Fuel (BPP System+7%) 4,017.85 7,122.36 1,461.77 384.49 5,190.66 85.44 (1,401.57) No Return 0.564
4.a ***) Gas Fuel (VS BPP PLTD) 6,937.03 4,540.91 1,461.77 384.49 2,609.20 85.44 759.66 18.90% 1.320
4.b ***) Biodiesel Fuel (VS BPP PLTD) 6,937.03 7,122.36 1,461.77 384.49 5,190.66 85.44 (149.37) 6.94% 0.954
5.a **) Gas Fuel (IRR=WACC incld. Dist. Losses) 4,987.46 4,540.91 1,461.77 384.49 2,609.20 85.44 0.00 9.70% 1.000
5.b **) Biodiesel Fuel (IRR=WACC incld. Dist. Losses) 7,746.35 7,122.36 1,461.77 384.49 5,190.66 85.44 0.00 9.70% 1.000
Note:
*) LCOE calculated based on Transmission Loco kWh
**) financial parameter calculation based on Customer kWh
***) financial parameters calculation based on Transmission Loco kWh
PLTMG SOFIFI 10 MW
SENSITIVITY FUEL ($8.52/MMBTU)
Revenue BPP PLTD LCOE Total *) LCOE A LCOE B LCOE C LCOE D NPV IRR BCR
No Case Study
Rp/kWh (@ COD) Rp/kWh (@ COD) Rp/kWh Rp/kWh Rp/kWh Rp/kWh Rp/kWh Bill. Rp % Ratio
1.a **) Gas Fuel (TDL incld. Dist. Losses) 1,470.53 2,940.81 1,271.11 384.49 1,199.77 85.44 (691.42) No Return 0.479
1.b **) Biodiesel Fuel (TDL incld. Dist. Losses) 1,470.53 3,752.33 1,271.11 384.49 2,011.29 85.44 (1,057.79) No Return 0.376
2.a ***) Gas Fuel (BPP System) 3,755.00 2,940.81 1,271.11 384.49 1,199.77 85.44 213.57 14.50% 1.144
2.b ***) Biodiesel Fuel (BPP System) 3,755.00 3,752.33 1,271.11 384.49 2,011.29 85.44 (79.78) 6.74% 0.955
3.a ***) Gas Fuel (BPP System+7%) 4,017.85 2,940.81 1,271.11 384.49 1,199.77 85.44 306.13 16.43% 1.203
3.b ***) Biodiesel Fuel (BPP System+7%) 4,017.85 3,752.33 1,271.11 384.49 2,011.29 85.44 16.08 10.22% 1.009
4.a ***) Gas Fuel (VS BPP PLTD) 6,937.03 2,940.81 1,271.11 384.49 1,199.77 85.44 1,804.14 32.74% 2.359
4.b ***) Biodiesel Fuel (VS BPP PLTD) 6,937.03 3,752.33 1,271.11 384.49 2,011.29 85.44 1,437.77 30.06% 1.849
5.a **) Gas Fuel (IRR=WACC incld. Dist. Losses) 3,285.33 2,940.81 1,271.11 384.49 1,199.77 85.44 0.00 9.70% 1.000
5.b **) Biodiesel Fuel (IRR=WACC incld. Dist. Losses) 4,136.41 3,752.33 1,271.11 384.49 2,011.29 85.44 0.00 9.70% 1.000
Note:
*) LCOE calculated based on Transmission Loco kWh
**) financial parameter calculation based on Customer kWh
***) financial parameters calculation based on Transmission Loco kWh
Sensitivity Analysis
PLTMG SOFIFI 10 MW
SENSITIVITY FUEL (-30%)
Revenue BPP PLTD LCOE Total *) LCOE A LCOE B LCOE C LCOE D NPV IRR BCR
No Case Study
Rp/kWh (@ COD) Rp/kWh (@ COD) Rp/kWh Rp/kWh Rp/kWh Rp/kWh Rp/kWh Bill. Rp % Ratio
1.a **) Gas Fuel (TDL incld. Dist. Losses) 1,470.53 3,567.48 1,271.11 384.49 1,826.44 85.44 (974.34) No Return 0.395
1.b **) Biodiesel Fuel (TDL incld. Dist. Losses) 1,470.53 5,374.50 1,271.11 384.49 3,633.46 85.44 (1,790.14) No Return 0.262
2.a ***) Gas Fuel (BPP System) 3,755.00 3,567.48 1,271.11 384.49 1,826.44 85.44 (7.11) 9.53% 0.996
2.b ***) Biodiesel Fuel (BPP System) 3,755.00 5,374.50 1,271.11 384.49 3,633.46 85.44 (737.29) No Return 0.697
3.a ***) Gas Fuel (BPP System+7%) 4,017.85 3,567.48 1,271.11 384.49 1,826.44 85.44 85.45 11.69% 1.049
3.b ***) Biodiesel Fuel (BPP System+7%) 4,017.85 5,374.50 1,271.11 384.49 3,633.46 85.44 (627.56) No Return 0.743
4.a ***) Gas Fuel (VS BPP PLTD) 6,937.03 3,567.48 1,271.11 384.49 1,826.44 85.44 1,521.22 28.82% 1.945
4.b ***) Biodiesel Fuel (VS BPP PLTD) 6,937.03 5,374.50 1,271.11 384.49 3,633.46 85.44 705.42 20.81% 1.291
5.a **) Gas Fuel (IRR=WACC incld. Dist. Losses) 3,939.22 3,567.48 1,271.11 384.49 1,826.44 85.44 0.00 9.70% 1.000
5.b **) Biodiesel Fuel (IRR=WACC incld. Dist. Losses) 5,859.98 5,374.50 1,271.11 384.49 3,633.46 85.44 0.00 9.70% 1.000
Note:
*) LCOE calculated based on Transmission Loco kWh
**) financial parameter calculation based on Customer kWh
***) financial parameters calculation based on Transmission Loco kWh
PLTMG SOFIFI 10 MW
SENSITIVITY FUEL (20%)
Revenue BPP PLTD LCOE Total *) LCOE A LCOE B LCOE C LCOE D NPV IRR BCR
No Case Study
Rp/kWh (@ COD) Rp/kWh (@ COD) Rp/kWh Rp/kWh Rp/kWh Rp/kWh Rp/kWh Bill. Rp % Ratio
1.a **) Gas Fuel (TDL incld. Dist. Losses) 1,470.53 4,853.42 1,271.11 384.49 3,112.38 85.44 (1,554.89) No Return 0.290
1.b **) Biodiesel Fuel (TDL incld. Dist. Losses) 1,470.53 6,101.19 1,271.11 384.49 4,360.15 85.44 (2,118.21) No Return 0.231
2.a ***) Gas Fuel (BPP System) 3,755.00 4,853.42 1,271.11 384.49 3,112.38 85.44 (495.90) No Return 0.774
2.b ***) Biodiesel Fuel (BPP System) 3,755.00 6,101.19 1,271.11 384.49 4,360.15 85.44 (1,059.22) No Return 0.615
3.a ***) Gas Fuel (BPP System+7%) 4,017.85 4,853.42 1,271.11 384.49 3,112.38 85.44 (377.23) No Return 0.828
3.b ***) Biodiesel Fuel (BPP System+7%) 4,017.85 6,101.19 1,271.11 384.49 4,360.15 85.44 (941.89) No Return 0.658
4.a ***) Gas Fuel (VS BPP PLTD) 6,937.03 4,853.42 1,271.11 384.49 3,112.38 85.44 940.67 21.08% 1.429
4.b ***) Biodiesel Fuel (VS BPP PLTD) 6,937.03 6,101.19 1,271.11 384.49 4,360.15 85.44 377.35 16.10% 1.137
5.a **) Gas Fuel (IRR=WACC incld. Dist. Losses) 5,281.05 4,853.42 1,271.11 384.49 3,112.38 85.44 0.00 9.70% 1.000
5.b **) Biodiesel Fuel (IRR=WACC incld. Dist. Losses) 6,635.79 6,101.19 1,271.11 384.49 4,360.15 85.44 0.00 9.70% 1.000
Note:
*) LCOE calculated based on Transmission Loco kWh
**) financial parameter calculation based on Customer kWh
***) financial parameters calculation based on Transmission Loco kWh
Sensitivity Analysis
PLTMG SOFIFI 10 MW
SENSITIVITY CF (60%)
*)
Revenue BPP PLTD LCOE Total LCOE A LCOE B LCOE C LCOE D NPV IRR BCR
No Case Study
Rp/kWh (@ COD) Rp/kWh (@ COD) Rp/kWh Rp/kWh Rp/kWh Rp/kWh Rp/kWh Bill. Rp % Ratio
1.a **) Gas Fuel (TDL incld. Dist. Losses) 1,470.53 4,074.31 1,059.26 320.41 2,609.20 85.44 (1,443.78) No Return 0.346
1.b **) Biodiesel Fuel (TDL incld. Dist. Losses) 1,470.53 6,655.77 1,059.26 320.41 5,190.66 85.44 (2,842.29) No Return 0.212
2.a ***) Gas Fuel (BPP System) 3,755.00 4,074.31 1,059.26 320.41 2,609.20 85.44 (208.07) 4.17% 0.907
2.b ***) Biodiesel Fuel (BPP System) 3,755.00 6,655.77 1,059.26 320.41 5,190.66 85.44 (1,571.50) No Return 0.564
3.a ***) Gas Fuel (BPP System+7%) 4,017.85 4,074.31 1,059.26 320.41 2,609.20 85.44 (96.99) 7.27% 0.957
3.b ***) Biodiesel Fuel (BPP System+7%) 4,017.85 6,655.77 1,059.26 320.41 5,190.66 85.44 (1,429.10) No Return 0.604
4.a ***) Gas Fuel (VS BPP PLTD) 6,937.03 4,074.31 1,059.26 320.41 2,609.20 85.44 1,550.89 27.76% 1.703
4.b ***) Biodiesel Fuel (VS BPP PLTD) 6,937.03 6,655.77 1,059.26 320.41 5,190.66 85.44 152.38 12.48% 1.042
5.a **) Gas Fuel (IRR=WACC incld. Dist. Losses) 4,431.96 4,074.31 1,059.26 320.41 2,609.20 85.44 0.00 9.70% 1.000
5.b **) Biodiesel Fuel (IRR=WACC incld. Dist. Losses) 7,210.21 6,655.77 1,059.26 320.41 5,190.66 85.44 0.00 9.70% 1.000
Note:
*) LCOE calculated based on Transmission Loco kWh
**) financial parameter calculation based on Customer kWh
***) financial parameters calculation based on Transmission Loco kWh
PLTMG SOFIFI 10 MW
SENSITIVITY CF (80%)
*)
Revenue BPP PLTD LCOE Total LCOE A LCOE B LCOE C LCOE D NPV IRR BCR
No Case Study
Rp/kWh (@ COD) Rp/kWh (@ COD) Rp/kWh Rp/kWh Rp/kWh Rp/kWh Rp/kWh Bill. Rp % Ratio
1.a **) Gas Fuel (TDL incld. Dist. Losses) 1,470.53 3,729.39 794.44 240.31 2,609.20 85.44 (1,675.89) No Return 0.378
1.b **) Biodiesel Fuel (TDL incld. Dist. Losses) 1,470.53 6,310.85 794.44 240.31 5,190.66 85.44 (3,540.58) No Return 0.223
2.a ***) Gas Fuel (BPP System) 3,755.00 3,729.39 794.44 240.31 2,609.20 85.44 (58.71) 8.25% 0.979
2.b ***) Biodiesel Fuel (BPP System) 3,755.00 6,310.85 794.44 240.31 5,190.66 85.44 (1,846.19) No Return 0.595
3.a ***) Gas Fuel (BPP System+7%) 4,017.85 3,729.39 794.44 240.31 2,609.20 85.44 89.39 11.78% 1.032
3.b ***) Biodiesel Fuel (BPP System+7%) 4,017.85 6,310.85 794.44 240.31 5,190.66 85.44 (1,656.32) No Return 0.637
4.a ***) Gas Fuel (VS BPP PLTD) 6,937.03 3,729.39 794.44 240.31 2,609.20 85.44 2,317.00 34.59% 1.860
4.b ***) Biodiesel Fuel (VS BPP PLTD) 6,937.03 6,310.85 794.44 240.31 5,190.66 85.44 452.32 17.32% 1.099
5.a **) Gas Fuel (IRR=WACC incld. Dist. Losses) 4,026.90 3,729.39 794.44 240.31 2,609.20 85.44 0.00 9.70% 1.000
5.b **) Biodiesel Fuel (IRR=WACC incld. Dist. Losses) 6,820.05 6,310.85 794.44 240.31 5,190.66 85.44 0.01 9.74% 1.000
Note:
*) LCOE calculated based on Transmission Loco kWh
**) financial parameter calculation based on Customer kWh
***) financial parameters calculation based on Transmission Loco kWh
Sensitivity Analysis
PLTMG SOFIFI 10 MW
SENSITIVITY EXCHANGE RATE (1 US$ = Rp 16500.)
Revenue BPP PLTD LCOE Total *) LCOE A LCOE B LCOE C LCOE D NPV IRR BCR
No Case Study
Rp/kWh (@ COD) Rp/kWh (@ COD) Rp/kWh Rp/kWh Rp/kWh Rp/kWh Rp/kWh Bill. Rp % Ratio
1.a **) Gas Fuel (TDL incld. Dist. Losses) 1,470.53 4,398.22 1,282.07 385.60 2,645.11 85.44 (1,349.38) No Return 0.320
1.b **) Biodiesel Fuel (TDL incld. Dist. Losses) 1,470.53 7,015.20 1,282.07 385.60 5,262.09 85.44 (2,530.85) No Return 0.201
2.a ***) Gas Fuel (BPP System) 3,755.00 4,398.22 1,282.07 385.60 2,645.11 85.44 (300.27) 1.27% 0.850
2.b ***) Biodiesel Fuel (BPP System) 3,755.00 7,015.20 1,282.07 385.60 5,262.09 85.44 (1,471.85) No Return 0.535
3.a ***) Gas Fuel (BPP System+7%) 4,017.85 4,398.22 1,282.07 385.60 2,645.11 85.44 (207.71) 4.24% 0.897
3.b ***) Biodiesel Fuel (BPP System+7%) 4,017.85 7,015.20 1,282.07 385.60 5,262.09 85.44 (1,353.19) No Return 0.573
4.a ***) Gas Fuel (VS BPP PLTD) 6,937.03 4,398.22 1,282.07 385.60 2,645.11 85.44 1,146.18 23.68% 1.577
4.b ***) Biodiesel Fuel (VS BPP PLTD) 6,937.03 7,015.20 1,282.07 385.60 5,262.09 85.44 (35.29) 9.01% 0.989
5.a **) Gas Fuel (IRR=WACC incld. Dist. Losses) 4,807.93 4,398.22 1,282.07 385.60 2,645.11 85.44 0.00 9.70% 1.000
5.b **) Biodiesel Fuel (IRR=WACC incld. Dist. Losses) 7,614.23 7,015.20 1,282.07 385.60 5,262.09 85.44 0.00 9.70% 1.000
Note:
*) LCOE calculated based on Transmission Loco kWh
**) financial parameter calculation based on Customer kWh
***) financial parameters calculation based on Transmission Loco kWh