DDev Plastiks Industries LTD Report - Ventura Research
DDev Plastiks Industries LTD Report - Ventura Research
DDev Plastiks Industries LTD Report - Ventura Research
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
Summary 03
Band Charts 05
Peer Comp 06
SWOT Analysis 09
DPIL’s story 10
Key Triggers 15
Quarterly Financials 21
Disclaimer 23
Piramal Pharma Responsive Inds VIP Industries Gravita India HFCL Ltd
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DDev Plastiks Industries Ltd
BUY @ CMP INR 378 Target: INR 600 in 24 months Upside Potential: 59%
Ddev Plastiks Industries Ltd (DPIL) (demerged from Kkalpana Industries since Specialty
Industry
Chemicals
April 1st 2021) is a proxy play on the fast growing electrification theme. Over 70%
of its revenues come from the manufacture of high margin polyethylene-based
(PE) products such as Sioplas/XLPE (used in high voltage cables and wires), and Scrip Details
HFFR compounds (improves fire performance of cables). Apart from this, it has Face Value (INR) 1.0
been involved over the last couple of decades in the manufacture of compounds Market Cap (INR Cr) 3,909
for PVC, filler material, master batches, footwear, and engineering plastics. Price (INR) 378
No of Sh O/S (Cr) 10.4
Over the period FY22-23, revenues were flat with low margins as the company
3M Avg Vol (000) 325.9
was majorly manufacturing Antifab, filler compounds, master batches and PVC
compounds, which typically yield low realizations given the extremely 52W H/L (INR) 415/160
fragmented nature of the market. Since Q4FY23, the profitability of the company Dividend Yield (%) 0.26
has seen a tremendous surge with margins expanding to 10% owing to the
strategic shift in the product mix in favor of the high margin Sioplas, XLPE and Shareholding (%) Mar 2024
Promoter 74.97
newly introduced HFFR compounds. With demand for high voltage products set
to increase, import substitute XLPE and HFFR demand is only set to grow
Institution 0.26
exponentially. By virtue of the fact that it is the largest XLPE manufacturer in the
country and one of the two HFFR compound manufacturers, DPIL is expected to Public 24.77
be one of the biggest beneficiaries. TOTAL 100.0
We expect revenues to grow at a CAGR of 15% to INR 3,705 crore by FY27 driven
Price Chart
by increasing contribution from XLPE/Sioplas and HFFR compounds (with
production of XLPE/Sioplas and HFFR, jointly increasing at CAGR of 15%) while 450 90000
DPIL Sensex
traditional product volumes are expected to remain stagnant. EBITDA and PAT 400 80000
are expected to grow at a CAGR of 16% and 18% to INR 400 crores and 297 crores 350 70000
300 60000
respectively. EBITDA and PAT margins are expected to sustain at 10.8% and 8.0%
250 50000
respectively owing to increasing contribution of high margin products. Despite 200 40000
capex of INR 300 crores over the forecast period, free cash flow generation is 150 30000
Jan-24
Sep-22
Nov-22
May-23
Sep-23
Nov-23
May-24
Jul-22
Jul-23
Mar-23
Mar-24
Recognizing the improving quality of earnings and consequent return ratios,
there has been a significant re-rating of the stock. We believe that the stock can
re-rate further as the improved earnings is expected to sustain. We initiate with
a BUY for a price target of INR 600 (22X FY27) over 24 months, representing an
upside of 59%.
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We have prepared likely Bull and Bear case scenarios for FY27 price, based on
revenue growth, net margins and P/E multiples.
• Bull Case: We have assumed revenue of INR 4,075 cr (19% 3-year CAGR) and
a net margin of 8.3% at a P/E of 24X, which will result in a Bull Case price target
of INR 642 per share (an upside of 70% from CMP).
• Bear Case: We have assumed revenue of INR 3,334 cr (11% 3-year CAGR) and
a net margin of 7.6% at a P/E of 18X, which will result in a Bear Case price target
of INR 435 per share (an upside of 15% from CMP).
Current Price
INR 398 per share
per share
Revenue of INR 3,334 cr, net margin of Bear Case Price
7.6% and 18 X P/E INR 435 per share
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Strong growth outlook, improving profitability and healthy balance sheet to sustain valuation
460
410
360
310
260
210
160
110
60
10
20.0
15.0
10.0
5.0
0.0
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Valuation and comparable metrics of domestic and global companies
P/E Ratio EV/Sales EV/EBIDTA RoE (%) RoIC (%) Sales EBITDA Margin (%) Net Margin (%)
Company Name Mkt Cap Price PEG (x)
2025 2026 2027 2025 2026 2027 2025 2026 2027 2025 2026 2027 2025 2026 2027 2025 2026 2027 2025 2026 2027 2025 2026 2027
Ddev Plastiks 4,121.0 400.0 0.8 18.3 16.3 14.4 1.5 1.3 1.1 13.5 10.9 9.5 26.3 23.4 21.8 35.5 31.6 30.3 2,747.0 3,104.1 3,507.7 11.2 12.0 12.0 8.3 8.3 8.5
RR Kabel 19,766.4 1,752.1 1.1 47.0 35.3 30.0 2.5 2.1 1.8 31.5 23.8 20.1 19.1 20.8 20.6 22.9 27.3 28.3 7,950.6 9,384.6 10,716.6 8.0 8.8 9.1 5.3 6.0 6.1
KEI Industries 41,118.1 4,556.5 7.2 72.5 72.5 72.5 5.0 5.0 5.0 41.6 37.8 34.4 17.1 16.3 15.6 34.7 38.2 42.0 8,104.1 8,104.1 8,104.1 10.9 10.9 10.9 7.0 7.0 7.0
Finolex Cables 23,987.0 1,568.4 2.8 33.5 30.4 27.7 3.9 3.6 3.3 33.6 30.5 27.8 13.8 14.5 15.2 22.3 24.5 27.0 5,515.8 6,067.4 6,674.2 11.7 11.7 11.7 13.0 13.0 13.0
Polycab India 1,06,582.3 7,091.6 4.5 54.3 49.4 44.9 5.3 4.8 4.4 38.1 34.7 31.5 22.8 23.9 25.0 40.3 44.4 48.8 19,749.8 21,724.8 23,897.2 13.9 13.9 13.9 9.9 9.9 9.9
Supreme Industries 9,068.7 71.4 2.3 70.2 56.8 48.8 7.3 6.2 5.3 47.8 39.3 33.1 21.1 22.4 22.2 31.6 32.9 35.4 1,224.5 1,434.8 1,672.0 15.3 15.8 16.0 10.6 11.1 11.1
Time Technoplast 7,654.3 337.3 1.9 22.4 20.4 18.5 1.5 1.4 1.2 10.9 9.9 9.0 12.7 13.3 14.0 18.1 19.9 21.9 5,491.8 6,040.9 6,645.0 13.8 13.8 13.8 6.2 6.2 6.2
Bhansali Engineering 3,397.9 136.5 1.4 17.2 15.7 14.2 2.4 2.2 2.0 14.1 12.8 11.7 20.4 21.3 22.3 28.6 31.5 34.7 1,343.9 1,478.3 1,626.1 17.1 17.1 17.1 14.7 14.7 14.7
Apar Industries 33,520.9 8,345.1 3.1 36.9 33.6 30.5 1.9 1.7 1.6 19.9 18.1 16.5 22.3 23.4 24.5 41.8 46.0 50.6 17,649.7 19,414.6 21,356.1 9.5 9.5 9.5 5.1 5.1 5.1
Voltamp Transformers 11,442.2 11,309.8 2.8 33.8 30.8 28.0 6.4 5.8 5.3 32.1 29.2 26.5 23.8 24.9 26.1 26.5 29.1 32.0 1,777.8 1,955.6 2,151.2 19.9 19.9 19.9 19.0 19.0 19.0
ABB India 1,77,990.3 8,399.4 7.7 92.7 84.2 76.6 12.6 11.4 10.4 76.0 69.1 62.8 24.6 25.8 27.0 83.0 91.3 100.4 13,780.1 15,158.1 16,673.9 16.5 16.5 16.5 13.9 13.9 13.9
Siemens India 2,64,821.7 7,436.3 7.9 95.6 86.9 79.0 10.4 9.5 8.6 75.0 68.2 62.0 17.6 18.4 19.3 53.5 58.9 64.8 24,538.7 26,992.5 29,691.8 13.9 13.9 13.9 11.3 11.3 11.3
Transformers & Rectifiers 11,510.6 767.0 19.4 235.2 213.8 194.4 8.4 7.7 7.0 79.6 72.3 65.7 8.0 8.4 8.8 14.9 16.4 18.0 1,394.0 1,533.4 1,686.7 10.6 10.6 10.6 3.5 3.5 3.5
Global Peers
LyondellBasell 31,002.5 95.2 2.4 11.4 9.9 9.9 0.9 1.1 1.1 7.5 6.7 6.7 19.8 21.6 21.5 17.0 19.3 18.9 41,508.9 35,041.6 34,893.2 12.6 16.3 16.7 6.5 8.9 9.0
Sabic 58,836.1 19.6 0.6 38.1 17.7 14.6 1.5 1.4 1.4 9.2 6.8 6.5 3.5 7.3 8.7 5.7 10.5 11.7 37,709.5 40,302.0 42,296.0 16.0 20.6 21.3 4.1 8.2 9.5
Polyone Corp 3,996.4 43.8 1.0 19.1 16.4 14.6 1.7 1.6 1.4 10.4 9.5 8.1 9.0 10.3 10.0 8.9 10.2 11.6 3,214.9 3,384.3 3,572.0 16.4 17.0 17.7 6.5 7.2 7.6
Prysmian SpA 17,075.6 61.6 1.0 19.4 16.1 15.1 1.1 0.9 0.9 9.9 8.3 7.8 18.6 19.5 18.0 24.7 28.0 25.2 16,739.5 18,504.1 19,635.8 10.8 11.4 11.7 5.3 5.7 5.7
ABB 1,03,589.4 55.7 2.2 25.4 23.2 21.4 3.1 2.9 2.7 16.4 14.7 13.7 27.3 25.9 24.4 34.2 37.2 37.3 33,427.1 35,344.7 37,329.0 19.1 19.8 19.8 12.2 12.7 13.0
Siemens AG 1,43,871.6 179.8 1.5 16.2 14.8 13.7 2.1 1.9 1.7 11.6 10.2 9.1 15.9 16.1 16.1 13.3 15.2 17.1 85,157.0 89,467.0 94,631.1 17.8 18.8 19.2 10.4 10.9 11.1
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Strong revenue growth and margin expansion deserve re-rating in valuation
110
100
ABB India
90
80
FY27 RoIC (%)
70
Siemens
60
Apar
50 Polycab
Ddev Plastiks
40 Supreme Inds KEI Inds
30 Voltamp
Bhansali Engg
Finolex Cables
RR Kabel
20
Time Techno
10
0
0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0
PEG ratio
20
RR Kabel
15
FY24-27 revenue CAGR (%)
0 KEI Inds
7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21
(5)
FY27 EBITDA margin (%)
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Adjusted EPS 5.3 10.0 17.5 21.9 24.6 28.6 32.2 36.3 41.0
P/E (X) 75.9 40.0 22.9 18.2 16.3 14.0 12.4 11.0 9.8
Adjusted BVPS 37.7 47.5 63.4 83.5 106.0 132.2 161.6 194.8 232.3
P/BV (X) 10.6 8.4 6.3 4.8 3.8 3.0 2.5 2.1 1.7
Enterprise Value 4,283.0 4,208.8 4,149.3 4,159.4 4,091.3 4,023.1 3,919.5 3,795.2 3,647.2
EV/EBITDA (X) 40.6 26.3 16.1 13.6 11.9 10.1 8.7 7.5 6.4
Net Worth 391.9 494.3 659.9 868.5 1,102.5 1,374.4 1,680.9 2,026.3 2,415.9
Return on Equity (%) 14.0 21.1 27.5 26.3 23.2 21.6 19.9 18.6 17.6
Capital Employed 520.9 550.0 725.9 966.6 1,213.1 1,503.2 1,826.0 2,190.0 2,600.5
Return on Capital Employed (%) 13.1 19.9 25.2 23.6 21.2 19.9 18.5 17.4 16.5
Invested Capital 514.9 543.1 649.1 867.9 1,033.7 1,237.6 1,440.4 1,661.5 1,903.1
Return on Invested Capital (%) 18.3 27.2 37.6 35.2 33.3 32.3 31.3 30.6 30.2
Cash Flow from Operations 26.5 145.1 116.2 167.1 201.3 216.4 263.6 297.2 335.2
Cash Flow from Investing (18.0) (35.2) (17.9) (150.4) (101.9) (112.1) (119.0) (126.7) (135.1)
Cash Flow from Financing (10.0) (109.0) (28.5) 5.2 (18.7) (18.1) (24.5) (27.6) (31.2)
Net Cash Flow (1.5) 0.9 69.8 21.9 80.7 86.2 120.0 142.9 168.9
Free Cash Flow 37.3 141.3 111.2 19.3 106.5 112.4 153.8 180.9 211.8
FCF to Revenue (%) 1.7 5.6 4.6 0.7 3.3 3.0 3.7 3.8 4.0
FCF to EBITDA (%) 35.4 88.3 43.1 6.3 30.9 28.1 34.1 35.5 36.9
FCF to Net Profit (%) 68.2 135.7 61.2 8.5 41.6 37.8 45.9 47.9 49.7
FCF to Net Worth (%) 9.5 28.6 16.9 2.2 9.7 8.2 9.1 8.9 8.8
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DPIL SWOT Analysis in a nutshell
DPIL Ltd
Investment
Growth Drivers Key Challenges New Trends
Themes
lakh tonnes per annum (ltpa), with Ddev Plastiks holding 150000
approximately one-third of the market share. There is a 100000
direct correlation between the growth of the cable
industry and the demand for polymer compounds. 50000
• The Indian wires and cables market is expected to grow 0
at a rate of 12.5%, increasing in value from INR 74,800 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25E FY26E FY27E
crore in FY23 to INR 1,20,000 crore by FY27.
DPIL’s Capacity Utilization and Average Realization per kg
Capacity utilisation (MTPA) FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 Average Realization per kg
Antifab installed capacity 50,000 50,000 36,000 36,000 20,500
% utilisation 48% 55% 96% 76% 111% 35-40
Production 24,000 27,500 34,560 27,360 22,755
PVC Compounds 40,000 44,000 44,000 44,000 44,000
% utilisation 84% 54% 42% 48% 57% 70-90
Production 33,600 23,760 18,480 21,120 25,080
Sioplas/XLPE/Semicons 1,28,500 1,28,500 1,42,500 1,42,500 1,53,500
Low Volt : 110-120
% utilisation 61% 53% 59% 65% 75%
High Volt : 240-250
Production 78,385 68,105 84,075 92,625 1,15,125
Engineering Products 14,500 14,500 14,500 14,500 14,500
% utilisation 20% 36% 23% 13% 12% 160-179
Production 2,900 5,220 3,335 1,885 1,740
HFFR - - - 2,000 5,000
% utilisation - - - 35% 27% 150
Production - - - 700 1,350
TOTAL 2,33,000 2,37,000 2,37,000 2,39,000 2,37,500
% utilisation 60% 52% 59% 60% 70% 147
Production 1,39,800 1,23,240 1,39,830 1,43,400 1,66,250
Source: ACE Equity, Company Reports & Ventura Research
0 0
FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25E FY26E FY27E
Earnings growth and easing working capital to aid Earnings growth and lower NWC to
cash flows drive cash flows
CFO FCFF
Despite capex, DPIL is expected to report positive CFO to EBITDA (%) FCFF to Net Profit (%)
cash flows due to Strong earnings growth from the 250 150
product segment (XLPE and HFFR).
200
FCFF yield (FY27) at CMP is reasonable at 3% 150
100
100
50
50
0 0
FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25E FY26E FY27E
0 0
FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25E FY26E FY27E
Capex plan in place to enhance capacities Planned Capex Targets (INR cr)
140
DPIL is targeting to incur a capex of INR 300 cr over
2024-27 (INR 30 in 2024, INR 125 cr in 2025, INR 70 cr 120
in 2026 and INR 75 cr in 2027) towards
• Expansion of HFFR compounding capacity by 100
5,000 MTPA. 80
• Debottlenecking.
• New Greenfield Site at East & West. 60
• Expansion of HFFR compounding capacity by
15,000 MTPA. Building space for further 40
DPIL is one of the leading manufacturers of polymer compounds in India with a capacity of 2,37,500 MTPA (as
on March 31, 2024) with state of the art machinery, infrastructure, equipment, and R&D facilities.
The company has extensive range of products. While PVC compounds are primarily commoditized products
with a significant unorganized market presence, competitive intensity decreases higher up the value chain. The
company holds approximately 50% market share in Sioplas and about 33% in XLPE compounds. Key domestic
competitors include Shakun Polymers, Hanwha, Borealis Plastics, KLJ Group, BLS Polymers, and Plastiblends in
masterbatches, as well as Bhansali Engineering Polymers Ltd in engineering compounds. Strong R&D
Capabilities, inhouse technology and strong technical manpower acts as a moat for the company.
PVC Compounds
Key Developments
DPIL has launched their 1st locally produced WTR XLPE (Water Tree Retardant XLPE) for the insulation of cables
up to 72 KV. This insulation material is highly effective in reducing the growth of electrical treeing caused by
water, making it a superior choice for insulation purposes. Reduced treeing results in better service life of the
cable resulting in better returns for electrical distribution companies. This product was primarily imported,
however, DPIL has introduced an exceptional version that has successfully passed a long-term test at a third-
party laboratory
XL HFFR (Cross Linkable HFFR) Compound for Solar / Photovoltaic Cable Application
DPIL has commercially launched cross linkable HFFR for major applications in Solar / Photovoltaic Cable
DPIL Triggers
Robust growth in the wires and cables industry bodes well for DPIL
The wires and cables industry registered ~11% CAGR over FY14-18, followed by flat growth over FY18-21. The
industry is expected to achieve ~13% CAGR by value over FY23-27. Government capex, robust real estate
market, shift to EVs and drive for renewable energy is expected to drive wire and cables industry growth. DPIL
holds a leading position in the PE compounds market, serving the low- and medium-voltage power cable
sector. This is bolstered by a diverse product range utilized in producing building wires, control and
instrumentation cables, and for the insulation and jacketing of wires within the wire and cable industry.
Installed
Name of the Plant Products manufactured Capacity
(MTPA)
Anti fibrillation Compound 12000
Dhulagarh – West
Sioplas & Semicon 15000
Bengal
PVC Compound 6000
Silvasa - Dadra PVC Compounds Cables 38000
Plant 1 HFFR 5000
Silvasa - Dadra
Plant 2 Semicon Compounds 2500
Daman, Daman & EP Compounds 14500
Diu Anti fibrillation Compound 8500
Semicon 8400
Surangi, Dadra
Sioplas 92600
and Daman, UT
Peroxide 35000
Total 237500
Domestic
Exports
Regulatory Environment or Risk 8 Medium PVC materials are not directly regulated
DPIL is incurring a capex of INR 300 cr, which will be largely funded
Debt Profile 8 Low
through internal accruals.
Management Team
Key Person Designation Details
Mr. Narrindra Suranna Chairman & MD Mr. Narindra Surana, born in 1961, is an Indian businessman,
philanthropist, and humanitarian. He graduated from Calcutta
University in 1984 with an L.L.B. degree and has been associated
with the company since its inception. With extensive
experience in the plastic industry, Mr. Surana's vision and
business acumen have driven the group to immense success.
His venture into the compounding sector has positioned the
company as one of India’s leading polymer compound
manufacturers, earning global recognition.
Director Mr. Ddev Surana is a dynamic business leader and the key
Mr. Ddev Surana
driving force behind Ddev Plastiks Industries Limited. He
graduated from Calcutta University and holds an MSc in
Management for Business Excellence from the University of
Warwick, UK, as well as an MBA (CAM) from the University of
Boston, USA. His key skills include project management, human
resources, administration, and information technology.
Mr. Rajesh Kothari Whole Time Director Born in 1964, Mr. Kothari graduated from Rajasthan University,
Ajmer, in 1985. With over 25 years of experience in marketing,
after-sales service, and market research, he began his career at
Kanoria Chemicals & Industries Limited in 1985. He has been
associated with the group since 1997 and currently serves on its
board as a Whole Time Director. As one of the key members, he
has significantly contributed to the group's substantial growth.
Mr. Arihant Bothra CFO Born in 1989, Mr. Arihant Bothra graduated from Calcutta
University in 2010. He is an associate member of the Institute of
Chartered Accountants of India and is currently pursuing his
CFO program at IIM Calcutta. With over a decade of experience,
Mr. Bothra's core competencies lie in finance, projects,
insurance, and systems, encompassing finance, accounting,
insurance, information systems, and project financing.
Business risk
Board of Directors
Details of Board of Directors
Particular FY23 FY22
Mr. Narrindra Suranna CH & MD CH & MD
Mr. Rajesh Kothari WTD WTD
Mr. Ddev Surana WTD WTD
Mrs. Mamta Binani NEID NEID
Mr. Samir Kumar Dutta NEID NEID
Ms. Ramya Hariharan NEID NEID
Mr. Arihant Bothra CFO CFO
Mrs. Tanvi Goenka CS CS
Source: Annual Reports
Cash Flow from Operations 26.5 145.1 116.2 167.1 201.3 216.4
Cash Flow from Investing (18.0) (35.2) (17.9) (150.4) (101.9) (112.1)
Cash Flow from Financing (10.0) (109.0) (28.5) 5.2 (18.7) (18.1)
Net Cash Flow (1.5) 0.9 69.8 21.9 80.7 86.2
Free Cash Flow 37.3 141.3 111.2 19.3 106.5 112.4
FCF to Revenue (%) 1.7 5.6 4.6 0.7 3.3 3.0
FCF to EBITDA (%) 35.4 88.3 43.1 6.3 30.9 28.1
FCF to Net Profit (%) 68.2 135.7 61.2 8.5 41.6 37.8
FCF to Net Worth (%) 9.5 28.6 16.9 2.2 9.7 8.2
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the assumptions underlying such projections and forecasts. The price and value of the investments referred to in this document/material and the income from them
may go down as well as up, and investors may realize losses on any investments. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Future returns are not
guaranteed and a loss of original capital may occur. Actual results may differ materially from those set forth in projections. Forward-looking statements are not
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