Workday Q2FY25 Earnings Analysis
Workday Q2FY25 Earnings Analysis
Workday Q2FY25 Earnings Analysis
accelerated non-GAAP margin expansions due to efficiencies seen in several areas, including new offices
in Costa Rica and India.
Results Reported
Q2FY25 Result Highlights
Results Reported
Partnerships: Ride or Dies
Results Reported
Product: AI in Abundance
Results Reported
Sales Update: Wins and Expansions
New Bookings: Lam Research, City of Cleveland, Colorado State University, & John Hopkins
Go-Lives: AutoNation, Barclays, CDW, CrossCountry Mortgage, Forvis Mazars & Texas Roadhouse
HCM Expansions: J.B Hunt, Nissan, Target, and Trinity Health
HCM Expansions and Renewals: Clemson University, County of San Joaquin, and Presbyterian Healthcare
Services
HCM Global Wins: GE Vernova, First Bus, and Sunrise Senior Living
Non-HCM Global Wins & Expansions
EMEA : EMEIS, Saint-Gobain, and Groupe Atlantic Synergy
New Zealand : Ministry in New Zealand & Kelsian Group Limited
Japan : Terumo Corporation, Shizen Energy, and Tokyo Electron
VNDLY: Cushman & Wakefield, Lowe's, and Ryder Truck
Verticals - Full Suite & Wins
Education : Florida A&M, University of Mississippi, and Clemson University
Healthcare: Grady Health System, Reid Health, & Children's National Medical Center
Public Sector: Delaware County, County of San Joaquin, and Santa Cruz County
Results Reported
Sales Update: Deal Scrutiny, Particularly in EMEA
FINS : leaning heavily on the financials opportunity because Workday sees 75% of workloads on-premises
moving to the cloud . Workday shared that they are starting to see scale with the extensive build-out of its
FINS salesforce in 2023.
Global: EMEA continues to experience heightened deal scrutiny , but the Workday Sales Team delivered
larger sized deals in Q2 . Leadership continues to believe that over 50% of its addressable market opportunity
is outside the U.S.
Mid-Market : while historically seeing success in large enterprise, Workday continues to push down into the
medium enterprise or emerging enterprise quite aggressively.
Partners : continue to drive a significant portion of the pipeline, responsible for a 2x growth in new ACV
quarter-over-quarter.
Retention : gross and net revenue retention rates remained at over 95% and over 100%, respectively, in Q2.
Users : more than 70M users under contract and 2,000 FINS customers.
WFM : the VNDLY product received a call-out for expansion momentum.
CI Analysis. While Workday continues to deliver on it's growth initiatives (for FINS, global, and partnerships) and
penetrate with HCM full-platform down-market, continued macro pressure and likely some saturation in HCM large
enterprise is causing a deceleration in growth. This is consistent with last quarter's cut to FY25 revenue.
Workday is generating growth by any means necessary, particularly since large enterprise HCM demand has slowed in
the past 18 months. Workday will continue to push more services to its channel partners. Also, demand in North
America appears to have been more resilient than in Europe, with a heightened focus on mid-market and new SMB
customers, along with some FINS traction.
Results Reported
Company Updates: Managing Dilution, Returning Excess Capital
Headcount for Q2FY25 was 19,900 , up from 19,400 for the quarter ending April 30th, 2024.
Workday reports having offices in over 30 countries .
Workday Rising 2024 is being held at the Mandalay Bay Convention Center in Las Vegas, NV from September
16th-19th; the Financial Analyst Day will be held on Tuesday, September 17th during the conference.
Workday joined the Fortune 500 list for the first time, ranking it among the largest U.S. companies by revenue.
The company also accelerated the pace of its share buyback in Q2, repurchasing $309M shares (average price
of $223.10 per share). With Workday's existing $500M buyback authorization nearing completion, its Board
has authorized a new $1B share repurchase program .
Guidance
Q3 and Full Year FY25 Investor Guidance: Sales Efficiencies
Workday now looks for its non-GAAP margin to increase to 30% by 2027, up from the prior outlook of 25%. This
revised margin expectation is based on several efficiencies, including:
Offshoring : Workforce strategy of leveraging its current global workforce, along with two new offices brought
online in the last six to 12 months in India and Costa Rica.
Quota'd Sellers : Hiring will focus on quota carrying capacity and continued investments in software
development on the product and technology side of the business.
AI : AI is being used in its call centers, finance organization, and support organization, while AI copilots are
being used in software development to drive efficiencies.
A New Normal
Workday has found a way to avoid the post-earnings call stock slump. This quarter, Workday announced adjustments
to its medium-term guidance, which included a dialed-back pace of subscription revenue growth balanced with
accelerated margin expansion. By doing this, the company resets the growth rate floor and redirects attention to
increasing margin improvements. If Workday can drive significant margin improvement, in the long-term, it could
have one of the highest operating margins for cloud companies.
The new guidance of 15% subscription revenue growth, year-over-year, is in line with consensus expectations. So,
lowering guidance here helps de-risk Workday, as the company reported a steady decline in subscription revenue
growth--once around 20%, and dropping to 17%-18% in the last six quarters. These margin improvements will be
seen by outsourcing pipeline growth, increasing channel partners deployments, and pushing additional investments
in AI technology to drive efficiency across all business segments. But all of these strategies also being adopted by
other large enterprise competitors. What makes this different for Workday? While this may be the “new normal” for
Workday, it's not a market norm that we can identify at this point.
Partnership Quid Pro Quo
Workday called out continued momentum with its partner network, with management highlighting that the company
added hundreds of partners in the first half of fiscal 2025. Partners serving in a reseller capacity will help drive
incremental growth with little effort and low financial investment by Workday. If Workday maintains these
partnerships as mutually beneficial, it sets them up for easy revenue streams.
However, some of these relationships seem to be one-way streets in the direction of Workday. Take the Insperity
partnership, for example. I see it is a much better deal for Workday than Insperity when reading through the details.
Insperity is investing ~$150M in the partnership over the next five years, including being responsible for setting up
the client in-tenant deployment team, Insperity's corporate in-tenant version of Workday, and for training the
necessary Insperity implementation/service teams who will provide support for the new PEO solution.
Another example, involves the new Global Payroll Connect Hub, where Workday gets the branding and recognition
with the partnered payroll provider lending the bulk of the product. It feels that Workday wants to ride the coat-tails
of international payroll vendors already established in the region. If anything, Workday should want to benefit from
the branding of that vendor as they are the no-name in spaces like EMEA.
A View to the Market
It will be interesting to see if the move to reduce revenue growth guidance and slightly increase margins will direct
the rest of the competitive market to follow suit in other similar ways. Workday's stock has already benefited, seeing
new share price targets of $270 from $260. This is big as the company's share price dropped over 21% since February
of 2024, which was happening due to the steadily declining revenue growth. Is it safe to say that 20% growth in this
industry is unrealistic?
After Dayforce's last earnings call, there were questions about how Dayforce could move the needle of its stock price.
Workday's stock price is already near the top of the heap, so ADP is the only competitor it has to catch. Eschenbach is
looking to attach his wagon to anyone who will partner with Workday, but it seems like a risky move. With all of the
moving parts, there are bound to be missteps that damage Workday's reputation as a partner.
As Workday moves forward, with the strategy to utilize partners for both channel growth and AI innovation, there is a
lot of pressure on Eschenbach to make this successful. He will need to balance the incentives of partnering with
Workday and the motivations of each partner. We all know that building out an ecosystem is essential in the HCM