Lab 4 Questions

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Kevin Henrich

1. State the average and range of temperature and precipitation for tomorrows’ date. You will
need to calculate the range from the available data. This is a climate forecast for tomorrow,
based on what’s happened on tomorrow’s date over the past 30 years. It is possible that these
values will be exceeded, but it’s also quite likely that temperature and precipitation tomorrow
will fall in the range that you’ve just determined.
For November 2, the average maximum temperature is around 11.15 degrees C, with a range
that stretches from -6.7 degrees C to 22 degrees C based on historical data. The average
minimum temperature sits at about 2.79 degrees C. When it comes to precipitation, the average
is 2.31 mm, but it could range anywhere from 0 mm (no precipitation) to a max of 52.4 mm.
These stats give us a pretty solid idea of what to expect tomorrow, reflecting the weather
patterns we've seen over the years.
2. Write a short paragraph on the current weather and changes over the past 24 hours. IF you
were close to the location in Canada you have chosen (unlikely) write about your personal
observations.
Over the past 24 hours, the weather has definitely been cooling off. It started out at 7 °C around
10 PM, and by 9 PM the next day, it dropped to about 6.1 degrees C. There was a 30% chance of
showers at first, but that faded into overcast and cloudy skies overnight. By morning, it turned
mainly cloudy, and then we got some mixed sun and clouds throughout the day, with temps
peaking at 9 degrees C in the afternoon before dropping again in the evening. The wind has
been coming from the northwest at about 20 km/h, and humidity's been sitting around 75%,
giving everything a pretty chilly vibe. Overall, the pressure has been rising, which might mean
clearer skies are on the way.
3. When does the animation start and end (in UTC)?
Starts at 18:24:00 and ends at 19:18:00.
4. When does the animation start and end in local time?
Same times as shown in data.
5. In 2-3 sentences, describe where precipitation is occurring, where it came in from, and where it
appears to be headed. Does it look like any precipitation is headed towards the place you’re
interested in?
The precipitation is occurring in Meaford stretching all the way to Queensville. It started in the
ocean and is heading towards Markham. Toronto might get hit with some of it, but it appears to
be mostly passing by.
6. What is your local time of the latest image (converted from UTC)?
6:40 PM
7. What does GOES stand for?
Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite
8. Explain the G in GOES.
The "G" in GOES stands for "Geostationary," which is all about how the satellites orbit the Earth.
They sit at about 35,786 kilometers above the equator, which lets them keep pace with the
Earth’s rotation. This means they basically stay fixed over the same spot on the surface, giving us
constant coverage of specific areas. It’s super useful for tracking weather patterns and
environmental changes in real time.
9. Locate the following features on the MSLP chart if present, and describe their location
relative to your forecast area:
a. High- and low-pressure systems.
Toronto is surrounded by high pressure systems
b. Areas of warm and cold air.
Surrounded by cold air
c. Different air masses.
High air mass
d. Any fronts.
No

10. Click on 500 hPA: Geopotential height, 1000-500hPa thickness to view the most recent 500 hPa
map. Where are troughs and ridges located relative to your forecast site?
Troughs East of forecast site.
11. Click on 250 hPA: Geopotential height, wind velocity to view the most recent 250 hPa map.
Where is the jet stream located relative to your forecast site?
Jet stream South of forecast sight

SUMMARY OF YOUR FINDINGS: fill out EX6 below, before answering question 12.

12. Write a script for your weather forecast that could be read on the radio. Be sure to
include your predicted temperature, cloud cover, precipitation, and wind speed and direction.

Now for the weather in Toronto. We’ve got systems rolling in from the northwest, bringing cooler air
with it. Right now, temperatures upstream are sitting around 5 °C, with dew points close to 2 °C, which
means it’s pretty chilly and a bit humid. Looking at satellite images, it seems like we’ll be dealing with
mostly overcast skies overnight, and while tomorrow should have some sun peeking through the clouds,
don’t expect it to get too warm. That cloud cover will probably keep temps from rising too much.
Tomorrow’s weather is going to be a bit different from today, thanks to a trough to the east and the jet
stream hanging out to the south, which could stir things up a bit.

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