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Final Exam Review

Giới hạn đề môn thống kê cô Thêu - EBBA

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32 views4 pages

Final Exam Review

Giới hạn đề môn thống kê cô Thêu - EBBA

Uploaded by

thichmatcha2785
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Giới hạn đề liên quan đến những phần sau:

- Normal distribution
- Estimation
- Hypothesis testing
- ANOVA
- Test of Independence
- Regression
DẠNG 1: Normal distribution
Example: A contractor has concluded from his experience that the cost of building a luxury home is a normally
distributed random variable with a mean of $500,000 and a standard deviation of $50,000.
a. What is the probability that the cost of building a home will be between $460,000 and $540,000?
b. The probability is 0.2 that the cost of building will be less than what amount?
c. Find the shortest range such that the probability is 0.95 that the cost of a luxury home will fall in this range.

DẠNG 2: Estimation
Example: The Daytona Beach Tourism Commission is interested in the average amount of money a typical
college student spends per day during spring break. They survey 26 students and find that the mean spending is
$61.57 with a standard deviation of $15.52.
a) Develop a 90% confidence interval for the population mean daily spending.
b) Interpret the confidence level in the previous question.
c) How you can manage the margin of error by adjusting the sample size and confidence level?
DẠNG 3: Hypothesis testing
Example 1: The manufacturer of a new product claims that his product will increase output per machine by at least
29 units per hour. A line manager adopts the product on 17 of his machines, and finds that the average increase
was only 26.5 with a standard deviation of 6.3. Is there evidence to doubt the manufacturer’s claim? Conclude with
5% significance level.

Example 2: As part of its quality control program, the Ford Motor Company, began inspecting all supplier
shipments of steel bars and recording the defect rate according to quality criteria such as strength, dimensional
characteristics, etc. When Ford began this program, the defect rate in 105 shipments averaged 9%. A recent report
indicated an average defect rate of 2.2% in 142 shipments. The quality control department wants to determine, at
the 0.05 level of significance, if this represents a significant improvement in the quality of the steel.

Đọc đề bài: liên quan đến percentage -> lquan đến p


So sánh cái bắt đầu với cái gần đây, vì muốn improve thì defect rate phải giảm so với lúc bắt đầu
Bắt đầu: n1 = 105, p1 ngang = 0.09, n2 = 142, p2 ngang = 0,022, alpha = 0,05
Giả thiết : Ho: p1 =< p2
H1: p1 > p2 ( với p1 là lúc bắt đầu, p2 là recent )
DẠNG 4:ANOVA
Example: 5 different brokerage houses were asked for stocks earnings forecasts for the next year for 6
different corporations. The brokerage houses asked the analysts on staff who had experience with the
corporations in question. 5 analysts were surveyed at each brokerage house. Some descriptive statistics
are listed below:
Source of Variation Sum of
Squares
Between brokerage houses 340.3
Between stocks’ earnings forecasts 132.5
Interaction 22.3
Total 584.3
a. What type of ANOVA applied in this case?
b. Construct full ANOVA table.
c. Conduct the test for effect of each factor and interaction?
d. What assumptions needed to do the tests?

DẠNG 5: Test of Independence (Chi-square test)

Example 1: A recent survey of 192 college students asked whether they participated in extracurricular
activities. The following data was collected:

Freshman Sophomore Junior Senior


Participate 27 15 24 43 109
Doesn't Participate 16 25 19 23 83
43 40 43 66 192
Is there any evidence that student participation is related to year in college

Tính theo công thức có Fij và Eij, Fij là reality (bảng thực tế) còn Eij là expected
E11 = 43x109/192
E12 = 109x40/192
E13 = 109x43 /192
E14 = 109x66/192
E21 = 83x43 / 192
E22 = 83 x 40/192
E23 = 83x43 / 192
E24= 83x66 / 192
 Tính x2 theo công thức
Rồi lại tra bảng
Example 2: In a recent survey, 250 respondents were asked how many hours of television they watched
each week. In addition, data were collected on the highest level of education attained by the
individual. The data are summarized in the table below.

Education Level

Time Watching TV High School College Graduate


Degree
< 10 hours 23 43 6
>10 but < 20 hours 29 58 4
> 20 hours 43 37 7

Can you reject the null hypothesis that there is no relationship between the level of education and
television habits?

DẠNG 6: REGRESSION
Example 1: An actuary wanted to develop a model to predict how long individuals will live. After
consulting a number of physicians, she collected the age at death (y), the average number of hours of
exercise per week ( x 1 ), the cholesterol level ( x 2 ), and the number of points that the individual’s blood
x
pressure exceeded the recommended value ( 3 ). A random sample of 40 individuals was selected. The
computer output of the multiple regression model is shown below.

THE REGRESSION EQUATION IS

; R2=66.72%

Independent Coef Standard T


variable error
Constant 55.8 11.8
x1 1.79 0.44
x2 -0.021 0.011
x3 -0.016 0.014
a. Explain the meaning of coefficients of x1, x2, x3 and R2
b. Is there enough evidence to infer that the model is significant in predicting length of life?
c. Is there enough evidence to infer that the average number of hours of exercise per week and the
age at death are linearly related?
d. Predict the age at death for a person with x1=12, x2=5.6, x3=20.

Example 2: A loan officer is interested in examining the determinants of the total dollar value of
residential loans made during a month. She used to model the relationship,
where Y is the total dollar value of residential loans in a month (in millions of dollars), is the number
of loans, is the interest rate, is the dollar value of expenditures of the bank on advertising. (in
thousands of dollars). Suppose that she obtained with respective standard
errors for slopes are 0.06, 0.47 and 0.017. R2=0.872. Sample size n=100.
a. Explain the meaning of coefficients and R2?
b. Test for significance of each independent variable and significance of model as the whole.

Note: All hard-copy documents can be used. Use α=5% for all the tests.

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