FM Ans
FM Ans
FM Ans
Investment Appraisal
Non-Current Assets x
…………………………………………………………………………………………………..
Current Assets x
………………………………………………………………………………………………….
Net Assets x
Long-Term Financing
The management of all the processes associated with the efficient acquisition and deployment of
both short and long term financial resources.
There are three key decisions:
1. Investment – What to Invest in!
2. Finance – What funds to raise.
3. Dividends – The allocation of cash funds to shareholders.
Investment:
Finance:
The type of funding required and available to the business will depends on both the specific use
of the funds and the size and type of the organizations. Considerations will include:
1. The overall of funds required by the business.
2. Internal or external sources.
3. The balance of debt to equity (gearing).
4. The mix of long-term to short-term funds.
Dividends:
Factors that will influence the level of dividend will included:
1. Profitability
2. Growth
3. Taxation
4. Legal restriction
5. Liquidity
Dividend Policy:
Most organizations attempt to follow a consistent dividend policy. Examples included:
Stable dividend
Constant payout proportion
Residual approach
Secondary Aims:
Maximize profit
Usually taken to be in the short-term (for a year), as opposed to wealth of shareholders,
which is long-term.
STAKEHOLDERS
A more balanced view of return may be to consider the company as having a number of different
‘stakeholders’ in addition to the shareholders. These may include:
1. Management
2. Employees
3. Community
4. Customers
5. Environment
6. Debt holders
7. Government
The analogy most often used is to consider the amount of ‘return’ generated by a company as a
pie and that the stakeholders must share this pie in some form of equitable manner.
FINANCIAL INTERMADIARIES
(Role of the Banking Sector)
Financial intermediaries bring together investors or lenders with borrowers or users of funds.
They mirror the ‘real world’ by providing a relatively risk free lending environment and easily
accessible funds for borrowing.
1. Risk diversification – This means reducing the risk by spreading investment funds over a
wide variety of investment.
2. Aggregation – For example, banks take small amounts of deposits, aggregate them and
lend out large sums of money.
3. Maturity Transformation – For example, banks guarantee depositors their short-term
deposits while lending over long-term periods.
4. Hedging – Banks help sell financial tools to reduce risk, such as foreign exchange and
interest rate risk.
5. Making a market – Financial institutions help create new markets for new financial
instruments.
6. Advice – Financial institutions help provide advice to the private and business sector.
FINANCIAL MARKETS
Working capital can be defined as the excess of current assets over current liabilities. It can be
looked at as being the financial resources needed to undertake the daily activities of the firm.
Working Capital management involves ensuring that the firm has sufficient funds available at all
times to ensure that the firm runs efficiently.
Working Capital
Balancing act
1. The nature of the business, e.g. manufacturing companies need more inventory than
service companies.
2. Uncertainty in supplier deliveries. Uncertainty would mean that extra inventory need to
be carried in order to cover fluctuations.
3. The overall level of activity of the business. As output increases, trade receivable,
inventory, etc. all tend to increase.
4. The company’s credit policy. The tighter the company’s policy the lower the level of
trade receivable.
5. The length of the operating cycle. The longer it takes to convert material into finished
goods into cash the greater the investment in working capital.
Short-term sources of finance are generally cheaper than long-term ones. Trade payables do not
usually carry an interest cost. Short-term finance also tends to be more flexible. There is a danger
that the short-term funds may not be renewed or may be renewed on less favourable terms.
Traditional Approach
Traditionally current asset were seen as fluctuating, originally with a seasonal agricultural
pattern. Current assets would then be financed out of short-term credit, which could be paid off
when not required, whilst fixed assets would be financed by long term funds.
Current assets
Short-term finance
…………………………......
Non-Current Assets Long-term finance
Time
Fluctuating
Current assets
Short-term finance
Permanent
Current assets Long-term finance
Non-Current Assets
Time
Aggressive Approach
This is where short-term finance is used for all fluctuating current assets and most permanent
current assets too. This is likely to decrease interest costs and increase profitability but at the
expenses of an increase in the amount of higher-risk finance used by the company.
1. Operating cycle
2. Liquidity Ratios
OPERATING CYCLE
This is also known as the cash or trading cycle. The operating cycle is the length of time between
the company’s outlay on raw materials, wages and other expenditures and the inflow of cash
from the sale of goods. In a manufacturing business this is the average time that raw material
remain in inventory less the period of credit taken from suppliers plus the time taken for
producing the goods plus the time goods remain in finished inventory plus the time taken for
customers to pay for the goods.
Operating Cycle = Inventory days + Trade Receivable days – Trade Payables days
Calculation of Days
Inventory Days = Raw Material Days + Work-in-Progress days + Finished Goods Days
𝐑𝐚𝐰 𝐌𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐢𝐚𝐥 𝐈𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐲
Raw Material Days = 𝒙 𝟑𝟔𝟓 𝐝𝐚𝐲𝐬
𝐏𝐮𝐫𝐜𝐡𝐚𝐬𝐞𝐬∗
𝐖𝐨𝐫𝐤−𝐢𝐧−𝐩𝐫𝐨𝐠𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐬
Work-in-Progress Days = 𝒙 𝟑𝟔𝟓 days
𝐩𝐫𝐨𝐝𝐮𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐜𝐨𝐬𝐭∗
Note: If opening & Closing balance are given - Use average figures to calculate the days
(Opening + Closing)/2
Turnover 350,000
Gross profit 100,000
Current Assets
Current Liabilities
Note: 80% of costs of sales were purchases and WIP were only 70% completed.
• Rate of return on investments also fall with the shortage of working capital.
• Excess working capital may result into overall inefficiency in organization.
• Excess working capital means idle funds which earn no profits.
• Inadequate working capital cannot pay its short term liabilities in time.
Implications
The operating cycle is a critical measure of the overall cash requirements for working capital.
This can be summed up from two perspectives:
1. Where level of activity (sales) is constant and the number of days of the operating cycle
increase the amount of funds required for working capital will increase approximate
proportion to the number of days.
2. Where the cycle remains constant but activity (sales) increase the funds required for
working capital will increase in approximate proportion to sales.
By monitoring the operating cycle the manager gains a macro view of the relative efficiency of
the working capital utilization. Further it may be a key target to reduce to improve the efficiency
of the business.
As the name suggests, short-term solvency ratios as a group are intended to provide information
about a firm’s liquidity, and these ratios are sometimes called liquidity measure. The primary
concern is the firm’s ability to pay its bills over the short run without undue stress. Consequently,
these ratios focus on current assets and current liabilities.
For obvious reasons, liquidity ratios are particularly interesting to short-term creditors. Because
financial managers are constantly working with banks and other short-term lenders, an
understanding of these ratios is essential.
One advantage of looking at current assets and liabilities is that their book values and market
values are likely to be similar. Often (through not always), these assets and liabilities just don’t
live long enough for the two to get out of step. On the other hand, like any type of near-cash,
current assets and liabilities can and do change fairly rapidly, so today’s amounts may not be a
reliable guide to the future.
This is a simple measure of how much of the total current assets are financed by current
liabilities. If, for example the measure is 2:1 this means that only a limited amount of the assets
are funded by the current liabilities.
Current Ratio
𝐂𝐮𝐫𝐫𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐀𝐬𝐬𝐞𝐭𝐬
=
𝐂𝐮𝐫𝐫𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐋𝐢𝐚𝐛𝐢𝐥𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐞𝐬
Inventory is often the least liquid current asset. It’s also the one for which the book values are
least reliable as measures of market value, because the quality of the inventory isn’t considered.
Some of the inventory may later turn out to be damaged, obsolete, or lost.
More to the point, relatively large inventories are often a sign of short-term trouble. The firm
may have overestimated sales and overbought or overproduced as a result. In this case, the firm
may have a substantial portion of its liquidity tied up in slow-moving inventory.
To further evaluate liquidity, the quick or acid test ratio is computed just like the current ratio,
except inventory is omitted.
A measure of how well current liabilities are covered by liquid assets. A measure of 1:1 means
that we are able to meet our existing liabilities if they all fall due at once.
These liquidity ratios are a guide to the risk of cash flow problems and insolvency. If a company
suddenly finds that it is unable to renew its short term liabilities (for instance if the bank
suspends its overdraft facilities) there will be a danger of insolvency unless the company is able
to turn enough of its current assets into cash quickly. A current ratio of 2:1 and a quick ratio of
1:1 are thought to indicate that a company is reasonable well protected against the danger of
insolvency- but ratios of less than these are not necessarily a bad thing.
*Note: The explanation in the above is for sake of understanding of the students, usually it is
depends on the company’s type of business they are doing.
We briefly mention three other measures of liquidity. A very short-Term payables might be
interested in the cash ratio:
Cash Ratio
𝐂𝐚𝐬𝐡
=
𝐂𝐮𝐫𝐫𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐋𝐢𝐚𝐛𝐢𝐥𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐞𝐬
Net working capital is frequently viewed as the amount of short-term liquidity a firm has.
*Note: A relatively low value might indicate relatively low levels of liquidity.
𝐂𝐮𝐫𝐫𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐀𝐬𝐬𝐞𝐭𝐬
=
𝐀𝐯𝐞𝐫𝐚𝐠𝐞 𝐝𝐚𝐢𝐥𝐲 𝐨𝐩𝐞𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐜𝐨𝐬𝐭𝐬
Average daily operation costs = Total cost for the year excluding depreciation and interest
Long-term solvency ratios are intended to address the firm’s long-run ability to meet its
obligation, or, more generally, it’s financial leverage. These are sometimes called financial
leverage ratios or just leverage ratios. We consider three commonly used measures and some
variations.
The total debt ratio takes into account all debts of all maturities to all payables. It can be defined
in several ways, the easiest of which is:
Gearing Ratios
The gearing ratio is the proportion of a company's debt to its equity. A high gearing ratio
represents a high proportion of debt to equity, and a low gearing ratio represents a low
proportion of debt to equity. The ratio indicates the financial risk to which a business is
subjected.
𝐓𝐨𝐭𝐚𝐥 𝐃𝐞𝐛𝐭
=
𝐓𝐨𝐭𝐚𝐥 𝐄𝐪𝐮𝐢𝐭𝐲
The equity multiplier is a financial leverage ratio that measures the amount of a firm's assets that
are financed by its shareholders by comparing total assets with total shareholder's equity. In other
words, the equity multiplier shows the percentage of assets that are financed or owed by the
shareholders. Conversely, this ratio also shows the level of debt financing is used to acquire
assets and maintain operations.
𝐓𝐨𝐭𝐚𝐥 𝐀𝐬𝐬𝐞𝐭𝐬
=
𝐓𝐨𝐭𝐚𝐥 𝐄𝐪𝐮𝐢𝐭𝐲
A variation of the traditional debt-to-equity ratio, this value computes the proportion of a
company's long-term debt compared to its available capital. By using this ratio, investors can
identify the amount of leverage utilized by a specific company and compare it to others to help
analyze the company's risk exposure. Generally, companies that finance a greater portion of their
capital via debt are considered riskier than those with lower leverage ratios.
𝐓𝐨𝐭𝐚𝐥 𝐃𝐞𝐛𝐭
𝐓𝐨𝐭𝐚𝐥 𝐃𝐞𝐛𝐭 + 𝐓𝐨𝐭𝐚𝐥 𝐄𝐪𝐮𝐢𝐭𝐲
A metric used to measure a company's ability to meet its debt obligations. It is calculated by
taking a company's profit before interest and taxes (PBIT) and dividing it by the total interest
payable on bonds and other contractual debt. It is usually quoted as a ratio and indicates how
many times a company can cover its interest charges on a pretax basis. Failing to meet these
obligation could force a company into bankruptcy.
𝐏𝐁𝐈𝐓
=
𝐈𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐭
The cash coverage ratio is useful for determining the amount of cash available to pay for a
borrower's interest expense, and is expressed as a ratio of the cash available to the amount of
interest to be paid. To show a sufficient ability to pay.
𝐏𝐁𝐈𝐓 + 𝐃𝐞𝐩𝐫𝐞𝐜𝐢𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 ∗
=
𝐈𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐭
*Note: If there is no depreciation in the financial statement other Non-Cash Expenses can be
used for the computation of the cash coverage ratio.
We next turn our attention to the efficiency with which a firm uses its assets. The measures in
this section are sometimes called utilization ratios. What they are intended to describe is how
efficiently or intensively a firm uses its assets to generate sales.
A ratio showing how many times a company's inventory is sold and replaced over a period. The
days in the period can then be divided by the inventory turnover formula to calculate the days it
takes to sell the inventory on hand or "inventory turnover days."
The total asset turnover ratio is an efficiency ratio that measures a company's ability to generate
sales from its assets by comparing net sales with average total assets. In other words, this ratio
shows how efficiently a company can use its assets to generate sales.
The total asset turnover ratio calculates net sales as a percentage of assets to show how many
sales are generated from each dollar of company assets. For instance, a ratio of .5 means that
each dollar of assets generates 50 cents of sales.
𝐍𝐞𝐭 𝐒𝐚𝐥𝐞𝐬
=
𝐓𝐨𝐭𝐚𝐥 𝐀𝐬𝐬𝐞𝐭𝐬
A financial ratio of net sales to fixed assets. The fixed-asset turnover ratio measures a company's
ability to generate net sales from fixed-asset investments - specifically property, plant and
equipment (PP&E) - net of depreciation. A higher fixed-asset turnover ratio shows that the
company has been more effective in using the investment in fixed assets to generate revenues.
This ratio is often used as a measure in manufacturing industries, where major purchases are
made for PP&E to help increase output. When companies make these large purchases, prudent
investors watch this ratio in following years to see how effective the investment in the fixed
assets was.
𝐍𝐞𝐭 𝐒𝐚𝐥𝐞𝐬
=
𝐅𝐢𝐱𝐞𝐝 𝐀𝐬𝐬𝐞𝐭𝐬
A measurement comparing the depletion of working capital to the generation of sales over given
a period. This provides some useful information as to how effectively a company is using its
working capital to generate sales.
A company uses working capital (current assets - current liabilities) to fund operations and
purchase inventory. These operations and inventory are then converted into sales revenue for the
company. The working capital turnover ratio is used to analyze the relationship between the
money used to fund operations and the sales generated from these operations. In a general sense,
the higher the working capital turnover, the better because it means that the company is
generating a lot of sales compared to the money it uses to fund the sales.
𝐍𝐞𝐭 𝐒𝐚𝐥𝐞𝐬
=
𝐍𝐞𝐭 𝐰𝐨𝐫𝐤𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐂𝐚𝐩𝐢𝐭𝐚𝐥
Profitability Measures
They are intended to measure how efficiently the firm uses its assets and how efficiently the firm
manages its operations. The focus in this group is on the bottom line, net income.
A ratio of profitability calculated as net income divided by revenues, or net profits divided by
sales. It measures how much out of every dollar of sales a company actually keeps in earnings.
Profit margin is very useful when comparing companies in similar industries. A higher profit
margin indicates a more profitable company that has better control over its costs compared to its
competitors. Profit margin is displayed as a percentage; a 20% profit margin, for example, means
the company has a net income of $0.20 for each dollar of sales.
An indicator of how profitable a company is relative to its total assets. ROA gives an idea as to
how efficient management is at using its assets to generate earnings. Calculated by dividing a
company's annual earnings by its total assets, ROA is displayed as a percentage. Sometimes this
is referred to as "return on investment".
Note: Some investors add interest expense back into net income when performing this
calculation because they'd like to use operating returns before cost of borrowing.
Return on Equity
The amount of net income returned as a percentage of shareholders equity. Return on equity
measures a corporation's profitability by revealing how much profit a company generates with
the money shareholders have invested.
Post tax
A financial ratio that measures a company's profitability and the efficiency with which its capital
is employed. Higher ROCE indicates more efficient use of capital. ROCE should be higher than
the company’s capital cost; otherwise it indicates that the company is not employing its capital
effectively and is not generating shareholder value.
Capital Employed = All the Long Term Debt + All the Equity
Overtrading is trading by an organization beyond the resources provided by its existing capital.
Overtrading tends to lead to liquidity problems as too much credit is extended to its customer, so
that ultimately there is not sufficient cash available to pay the debts as they raise.
Overtrading is caused by rapid growth.
Indicators:
Remedies:
Trade Receivable
Balancing act
Credit Control
To minimize the risk of bad debts occurring, a company should investigate the creditworthiness
of all new customers (credit risk), and should review that of existing customers from time to
time, especially if they request that their credit limit should be raised. Information about a
customer’s credit rating can be obtained from a variety of sources. These include:
1. Bank References – These tends to be fairly standardized in the UK, and so are not perhaps
as helpful as they could be.
2. Trade References – Suppliers already giving credit to the customer can give useful
information about how good the customer is in paying bills on time.
3. Published information – The customer’s own annual accounts and reports will give some
idea of the general financial position of the company and its liquidity.
Agreeing Terms
Once it has been decided to offer credit to a customer, the company needs to set limits for both
the amount of credit offered and the time taken to repay.
Collecting Payment
Discounts
Cash discounts are given to encourage early payment by customers. The cost of the discount is
balanced against the savings the company receives from a lower balances and a shorter average
collecting period. Discounts may also reduce the number of bad debts.
Advantages Disadvantages
1. Early payment reducing the trade 1. Difficulty in setting the appropriate terms.
receivable balance and hence the interest
charge. 2. Uncertainty as to when cash receipts will
be received complicating cash budgeting.
2. Potential to reduce the bad debts arising.
3. Unlikely to reduce bad debts in practice.
3. Offering a choice to customers of payment
terms. 4. In practice customer pay over normal terms
but still take the cash discount.
This is the outsourcing of the credit control department to a third party. The debts of the
company are effectively sold to a factor (normally owned by a bank). The factor takes on the
responsibility to collect the debt for a free. The factor offers three services:
1. Debt collection and Administration – the factor takes over the whole of the company’s
sales ledger, issuing invoices and collecting debts.
2. Financing Provision – in addition to the above, the factor will advance up to 80% of the
value of a debt to the company; the remainder (minus interest) being paid when the debts are
collected. The factor becomes a source of finance.
3. Credit insurance – The factor may take the responsibility for bad debt, for this to be the case
the case the factor would dictate to whom the company was able to offer credit to. This is
called ‘without recourse’ factoring.
Advantages Disadvantages
1. Saving in administration costs. 1. Likely to be more costly than an efficiently
run internal credit control department.
2. Reduction in the need for management
control. 2. Factoring has a bad reputation associated
with failing companies; using a factor may
3. Particularly useful for small and fast suggest your company has money worries.
growing businesses where the credit
control department may not be able to keep 3. Customers may not wish to deal with a
pace with volume growth. factor.
A service also provided by a factoring company. Selected invoices are used as security against
which the company may borrow funds. This is a temporary source of finance repayable when the
debt is cleared. The key advantage of invoice discounting is that it is a confidential service, the
customer need not know about it.
One use for invoice discounting is as a key financing tool for new businesses such as
management buyouts (MBOs). The creditworthiness of their customers is probably higher than
their own and utilized to borrow funds.
In some ways it is similar to the financing part of the factoring service without control of credit
passing to the factor.
When looking at differing strategies to control cost associated with debtors the key is to identify
the interest cost. The outstanding debtor balance will need to be funded.
Key workings
Exercise 2
Rani sayang Limited has sales of £20m for the previous year, debtors at the yearend were £4m,
and the cost of financing trade receivable is covered by an overdraft at the interest rate of 12%
pa.
Required:
Exercise 3:
Rani sayang as above but cash discount of 2% is offered for payment of debts within 10 days.
Required:
Should the company introduce the discount given that 40% of the customers take up the
discount?
Exercise 4:
Rani sayang again but a factor has an offered a debt collection service which should shorten the
trade receivable collection period on average to 50 days. It charges 1.5% of turnover but should
reduce administration costs to the company by £150,000.
Required:
Love Francisca Limited produces a range of specialized components, supplying a wide range of
customers, all on credit terms. Twenty percent of turnover is sold to one firm. Having used
generous credit policies to encourage past growth, Love Francisca now has to finance a
substantial overdraft and is concerned about its liquidity. Love Francisca borrows from its bank
at 13% per annum interest. No further sales growth in volume or value terms is planned for the
next year.
In order to speed up collection from customers, Love Francisca is considering two alternative
policies.
Option one
Factoring on a non-recourse basis, the factor administering and collecting payment from Love’s
Francisca customers. This is expected to generate administrative savings of £200,000 per annum
and to lower the average trade receivable collection by 15days. The factor will make a service of
1% of Love’s Francisca turnover and also provide credit insurance facilities for an annual
premium of £80,000.
Option two
Offering discounts to customers who settle their accounts early. The amount of the discount will
depend on speed of payment as follows:
Payment within 10 days of dispatch of invoices 3%
Payment within 20 days of dispatch of invoices 1.5%
It is estimated that customers representing 20% and 30% of Love’s Francisca sales respectively
will take up these offers, the remainder continuing to take their present credit period.
Extracts from Love’s Francisca most accounts are given below:
(£000) (£000)
Sales (all on credit) 20,000
Cost of Sales (17,000)
Operating Profit 3,000
Current Assets
Inventory 2,500
Trade Receivable 4,500
Cash NIL
Required:
Calculate the relative costs and benefit in terms of annual profit before tax of each of the two
proposed methods of reducing trade receivables, and recommend the most financially
advantageous policy. Comment on your results.
Current Assets
Inventory 1,400 2,200
Trade Receivable 1,600 2,600
Cash 1,500 100
4,500 4,900
Current Liabilities
Overdraft - 200
Trade Payables 1,500 2,000
Other Payables 500 200
(2,000) (2,400)
10% Loan Stock (2,000) (2,000)
Net Assets 9,500 12,500
Capital and Reserves
Ordinary shares (50p) 3,000 3,000
Income statement account 6,500 9,500
9,500 12,500
Required:
a) Identify the reasons for the sharp decline in Cha kui’s liquidity and assess the extent to which
the company can be said to be exhibiting the problem of ‘overtrading’.
Illustrate your answer by references to key performance and liquidity ratios computed from
Cha kui’s accounts.
b) Determine the relative costs and benefits of the two methods of reducing trade receivables,
and recommended an appropriate policy.
Trade Payable
Balancing act
Trade credit is the simplest and most important source of short-term finance for many
companies. By delaying payment to trade payables companies face possible problems:
Trade payable is normally seen as a ‘free’ source of finance. Whilst this is normally true, it may
be that the supplier offers a discount for early payment. In this case delaying payment is no
longer free, since the cost will be the lost discount.
Exercise 7
One supplier has offered a discount to Appiah Ltd of 2% on an invoice for £ 7,500 if payment is
made within one month, rather than the three months normally taken to pay. If Macho’s
overdraft rate is 10% per annum, is it financially worthwhile for them to accept the discount and
pay early?
MANAGING INVENTORY
Stock is a major investment for many companies. In particular, manufacturing companies can
easily be carrying stock equivalent to between 50% and 100% of the turnover of the business.
Inventory
Balancing act
Material costs are a major part of a company’s costs and need to be carefully controlled. There
are 4 types of costs associated with stock:
1. Ordering Costs
2. Holding Costs
3. Out of Inventory costs
4. Purchase Costs
Ordering costs
The clerical, administrative and accounting costs of placing an order. They are usually assumed
to be independent of the size of the order.
Holding costs
In an efficient organization it is assumed that inventory out costs are not suffered. If we initially
assume that the purchase cost is a constant then we need only consider holding and ordering
costs.
….As the average inventory holding ….As the number of orders placed falls
increase
When the reader quantity is chosen so that the total cost of holding and ordering is minimized, it
is known as the economic order quantity or EOQ.
As the size of the order increase, the average inventory held increase and holding costs will also
tend to increase. Similarly as the order size increases the number of orders needed decreases and
so the ordering costs fall. The EOQ determines the optimum combination.
A Supi company requires 1,000 units of material x per month. The cost per order is £30
regardless of the size of the order. The holding costs are £2.88 per unit per annum. It is only
possible to buy the inventory in quantities of 400,500,600 or 700 units at one time.
Required:
2CoD
EOQ = √
Ch
Where:
Exercise 9
Use the formula to calculate the EOQ in exercise 8 above
When it is possible to buy in bulk and thus obtain bulk purchase discounts, it is necessary to
consider the impact of those discounts upon the total cost associated with inventory and to
determine whether indeed the EOQ is still the cheapest option. It is only necessary to consider
the costs at the EOQ and at the quantities where the bulk purchase discounts are obtained.
Exercise 10
The material can normally be purchased for £10/unit, but if 1,000 units are bought at one time
they can be bought for £9,800. If 5,000 units are bought at one time, they can be bought for
£47.500
Required:
Implications of JIT
Long term contracts with supplier to make it worth their while building the factory,
developing the systems to service their customer. Harsh penalty clauses for failure as the cost
to the customer of non-performance will be very high.
Very close working relationship. Supplier’s workers will often spend time in the customer’s
factory and vice versa. In this way the response to problems/developments can be immediate.
Factory design. To operate JIT then delivery trucks need ideally to gain access to each point
on the production line. Hence it is often hard to introduce JIT to an existing factory where
access to the production line is only possible for smaller fork-lift truck type vehicles.
Transactions motive – This is to manage the daily activities of the firm, such as the payment
of wages, expenses, etc.
Precautionary motive – This is to keep money aside in case of any emergencies.
Speculative motive – This is to keep money to take advantage of any opportunities to make
a quick gain.
Merton Miller and Daniel Orr developed a model for setting the target cash balance, which
incorporates uncertainty in the cash inflows and outflows.
The diagram shows how the model works over time. The model sets higher and lower
controls limits, H and L, respectively, and a target cash balance, Z. When the cash balance
reaches H, then H – Z pounds are transferred from cash to marketable securities that are the
firm buys H-Z pounds of securities. Similarly when the cash balance hits L, then Z – L
pounds are transferred from marketable securities to cash.
The lower limit, L is set by management depending upon how much risk of a cash shortfall the
firm is willing to accept, and this, in turn, depends both on access to borrowings and on the
consequences of a cash shortfall.
William Baumol first noted that cash balances are in many respects similar to inventories, and
that the EOQ inventory model can be used to establish the target cash balance. Baumol’s model
assumes that the firm uses cash at a steady predictable rate and that the firm’s cash inflows also
occur at a steady predictable rate.
Where:
D = The total amount of net new cash needed for transaction over the entire period, or the excess
cash available to invest in short term securities
Ch = Opportunity cost of holding cash (equals the rate of return generated by marketable
securities or the cost of borrowing in order to hold cash)
Assumptions:
2. Cash needed for business purposes is obtained through the periodic sales of marketable
securities.
Note: The EOQ model is ahead to determine the optimum safe of the marketable securities.
Exercise 11
A Suppiah muahx company generates £10,000 per month excess cash, which it intends to invest
in short term securities. The interest rate it can expect to earn on its investment is 5% per annum.
The transaction costs associated with each separate investment of funds is constant at £50.
Required:
SHARES
Shareholders have full rights to participate in the business through voting in general
meetings.
Shareholders are entitled to repayment of capital in the event of liquidation, but only after all
other claims have been met.
Ordinary shareholders bear the greatest risk; if there is no profit then dividend does not have
to be paid. Conversely, if the profits are high then high dividends can be paid.
Shares are not tax efficient as dividends are post-tax as an appropriation of profit.
Pays a fixed dividend, ranking before (in preference to) ordinary shareholders.
Hybrid form of finance ranking between Debt and Equity for payment.
Ranks after debt holders but before ordinary shareholders for repayment in the event of
liquidation.
May be cumulative (rights to dividend carried forward if insufficient profit in any year), or
non-cumulative.
Dividends are paid out of post-tax profit, which means they are more expensive than debt for
the company.
DEBT
Debt is something that has to be repaid. It is the loan of funds to a business without conferring
ownership rights. The usual methods of repayment are a combination of a regular interest
payment, with capital repayments either spread over a period or given as a lump sum at the end
of the borrowing.
Features
Charges
The lender of funds will normally require some form of security against which the funds are
advanced. This means that in the event of default the lender will be able to take assets in
exchange of the amounts owing. There are two types of ‘charge’ or security that may be
offered/required.
1. Fixed charge – The debt is secured against a specific asset, normally land or buildings. This
form of security is preferred because in the event of liquidation it puts the lender at the ‘front
of the queue’ of creditors.
2. Floating charge – The debt ‘hovers’ over the general assets of the business and becomes
fixed on particular assets where the company defaults on its obligations. A floating charge
allows the managers of the company greater flexibility in their day-to-day operations since
assets may be traded without reference to the lenders.
Covenants
A further means of limiting the risk to the lender is to restrict the actions of the directors through
the means of covenants. These are specific requirements or limitations laid down as a condition
of taking on debt financing. They may include:
Bank Finance
For companies that are unlisted and for many listed companies the first port of call for borrowing
money would be the banks. These could be the high street banks or more likely for larger
companies the large number of merchant banks concentrating on ‘securitized lending’. The key
advantage of borrowing from banks is the confidential nature of the arrangement.
A term loan is a business loan with an original maturity of more than one year and a specified
schedule of principal and interest payments. It may or may not be secured. Terms and conditions
are negotiable dependent on term amount and the credit rating of the company wishing to make
the borrowing.
As an alternative to borrowing funds from a bank the company, if listed on the stock exchange,
may issue debt to investors over the long-term. Typical features include:
1. The debt is denominated in units of £100, this is the value eventually redeemed on maturity.
It is often the value on issue (the cost to the investor) but the debt may be issued at a discount
(for less) or even at a premium.
2. Interest is paid (normally at a fixed rather than floating rate) on the nominal value of the loan.
For example, a 9% bond will pay annual interest of £9. This interest is sometimes known as
the ‘coupon’.
3. As with all debt, it is a less risky for investors than ordinary shares.
4. Market rates of bonds will fluctuate, depending on the prevailing interest rates.
𝐈𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐭 𝐏𝐚𝐢𝐝 𝐩𝐞𝐫 𝐚𝐧𝐧𝐮𝐦
Interest yield =
𝐂𝐮𝐫𝐫𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐦𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐯𝐚𝐥𝐮𝐞 𝐨𝐟 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐝𝐞𝐛𝐭
Exercise 1
What is the simple interest yield on the investment in Cute Francisca plc of a 15% bond if the
current market value of the bond is?
1. £150
2. £120
3. £90
Debentures
Debt secured with a charge against assets (either fixed or floating)
Unsecured Loans
No security meaning the debt is more risky requiring a higher return. They normally require
covenants, to give some measure of safety to the debt holder.
Mezzanine Finance
High risk finance issued when other sources are unavailable. A typical use is to fund a
management buyout.
Also can be issued if there is a covenant restricting further loan issue. Ranks between ‘senior’
loans and equity for repayment.
Very high interest rates because of the high risk.
Eurobonds
The issue of debt in a currency other than that of the country of issue. This form of finance is
only available to the largest international corporations.
The benefit to the investor is the potential to share in profits if the company does very well.
The benefit to the company is that original bond can be issued at a lower rate of interest.
Another benefit to the company is that they are self-liquidating – that means the company
does not have to find the funds to redeem the debt.
Gilts
Gilts (or gilt edged securities) are bonds issued by the government. They are not a form of
finance for companies. Since they are considered to be (virtually) risk free, the interest rate will
be relatively low. Corporate bonds, which will be more risky will be issued at a higher rate of
interest.
1. Selling good quality fixed assets such as high street buildings and leasing them back over
many (25+) years.
2. Funds are released without any loss of use of assets.
3. Any potential capital gain on assets is forgone.
4. A popular means of funding for retail organizations with substantial high street property e.g.
Tesco, Marks and Spencer.
Grants
Retained Earnings
The single most important source of finance, most business use retained earnings as the basis of
their financing needs.
Leasing
If the finance is required for the acquisition of a fixed asset, the company may find it preferable
to lease the asset either through a finance lease (for the life of the asset), or an operating lease
(for short term/single use of the asset). The main benefits are:
1. The company does not have to raise the finance for acquisition of the asset
2. The lease rentals are tax deductible (see investment appraisal for more details)
Aspects of Equity
Equity finance for small and medium sized enterprises (SMEs) and unquoted companies include:
1. Owner finance
4. Venture capital
It is high risk investment
It involves a close working relationship between the venture capital company and
the company receiving the funds;
It is neither a short-term nor a very long-term investment. The venture capital
company will be hoping to realize the equity shares it has acquired at a profit in 3-5
years either through floatation, or by takeover.
The venture capitalist will have an exit strategy in place before investing in shares.
5. Business angel – (Rich individuals who start up the business) provide their own money
for fresh start up companies.
Stock Markets
Larger, established companies have the option of going for a stock market listing.
Purpose: to provide a wider market for funds, making raising finance easier.
Main consideration: Loss of control
- Purpose: to provide a market for the shares of companies that are too young or too small to
quality for, or benefit from, a full listing.
- Less demanding rules and regulation than those of the full market.
- The AIM has been very successful in encouraging companies to list, either as a stepping
stone to a full listing or to remain as an AIM member.
Consideration:
1. Fixed Price Offer for sale – Sale to the general public using a prospectus.
2. Offer for sale by tender – The public will be invited to tender for the shares and the company
will fix the successful price, called the strike price. All who tendered at, or above the strike
price will be successful, paying the strike price.
3. Placing – The sale of a large block of shares to a new investor.
4. Stock exchange introduction – A large unlisted company will seek to change its status to
listed company, without any issue of new shares.
Rights issues
A right issue is the right of existing shareholders to subscribe to new shares issues in proportion
to their existing holdings, thus enabling them to retain their existing share of voting rights. These
pre-emption rights can be waived with the agreement of shareholders at a properly convened
meeting.
Apart from the control factor, rights issues have certain other attractions:
The new share price after the issue is known as the theoretical ex-rights price and is calculated
by finding the weighted average of the old price and the rights price, weighted by the number of
shares.
Chandran Baby plc, which has an issued capital of 2,000,000 shares, having a current market
value of £2.70 each, makes a right issue of one new share for every two existing shares at a price
of £2.10.
Required:
Calculate the theoretical ex-rights price.
Shareholders options
1. Take up his rights by buying the specified proportion at the price offered.
2. Renounce his rights and sell them in the market.
3. Renounce part of his rights and take up the remainder
4. Do nothing
The importance of issuing at a discount is that the ex-rights price will be less than the cum-rights
price (before the issue). This is simply because the ex-rights price is a weighted average of both
cum-rights and (the lower) issue price. This gives the ‘rights’ some value because shares are
purchased by the existing shareholders at a value lower than their eventual ex-rights value. The
difference is known as the value of a right.
Exercise 2
For Bubble plc in exercise 1, what is the value of a right?
Exercise 3
Jackie Chandran the shareholders had 1,000 shares in sappiah plc before the rights offer.
Calculate the effect on the net wealth of Jackie Chandran of each of the following options:
Capitalization Issue
A capitalization issue (or scrip issue or bonus issue), is a method of altering the share capital
without raising cash. It is done by changing the company’s reserves into shares capital and
allotting shares to existing shareholders pro rata.
The rate of a capitalization issue is normally expressed in terms of the number of new shares
issued for each existing share held, e.g. one for two (one new share for each two shares currently
held).
Main effect: reduces the share price, making them more marketable.
Scrip Dividends
This is where shareholders receive additional shares in place of a cash dividends. It is more like a
rights issue because shareholders are making a cash sacrifice if they accept the scrip shares.
Share split
Like a capitalization issue, a share split does not raise extra cash. A share split simply involves
the division of existing shares into smaller denominations, making the share capital more
marketable; e.g. a company whose shares have a nominal value of £1 shares into 10 shares of
10p each. The market value of each share then becomes £1.
The reverse procedure might be appropriate where the market value of a company’s share is very
low. This procedure is known as a consolidation of shares.
Warrants
A warrant confers the right but not the obligation for the holder to buy shares at a specified point
in the future for a specified (exercise) price. The warrant offers a potential capital gain where the
share price may rise above the exercise price.
The dividend valuation model states that the current share price is determined by the future
dividends, discounted at the shareholders required rate of return.
The ex div market price means that new buyers will not receive a recently announced dividend.
The Price (Cum div) means with a dividend about to be paid.
Price (ex div) = price (cum div) minus dividend
If the dividend is the same every year (constant), then
𝐝
𝐏𝐨 =
𝐊𝐞
Where d = the constant dividend
Exercise 4
Shareholders in Sayang baby ltd expect a return on their investment of 8%. A dividend of 16p
per share has just been paid and there is expected to be no growth in dividends.
Required:
What is the share price in Sayang baby ltd?
𝐝
𝐊𝐞 =
𝐏𝐨
Exercise 5
The ordinary shares of Johnson cute are quoted at £4 per share cum div. A dividend of 30p is
about to be paid. These are expected to be no growth in dividends.
Required:
What is the cost of equity?
𝐝𝟏 𝐝𝟏
𝐏𝐨 = 𝐊𝐞 = + 𝐠
𝐊𝐞 − 𝐠 𝐏𝐨
Where: g = a constant rate of growth in dividends
d1 = dividend to be paid in one year’s time
Exercise 6
Muahx cutey ltd has just paid a dividend of 44p per share. Dividends are expected to grow at
10% per annum. Shareholders require a 15% return.
Required:
Calculate the current share price in Muahx cutey ltd.
Estimating Growth
Exercise 7
Raj not macho ltd paid a dividend of 5p per share 8 years ago, and the current dividend is 9p.
The shareholders required rate of return 12%
Required:
a) Calculate the average annual growth rate for dividends
b) Calculate the share price
Exercise 8
The ordinary shares of Raj crazy ltd are quoted at £7.00 cum div. A dividend of 50p is just about
to be paid. The company has an annual accounting rate of return of 12% and each year pays out
30% of its profits after tax as dividends.
Required:
Estimate the cost of equity
Exercise 9
The Shi Yin Cicak Company earned profits after tax of £15m and has a preference dividend of
£3m. There are 24 million ordinary shares in circulation.
Required:
What is the EPS?
Note: If warrants or convertible debt are in issue the exercise or conversion could lead to a
dilution of the EPS.
Exercise 10
Two companies have the following details:
Murphy Henchoz
Share Price 300 pence 90 pence
EPS 10 pence 10 pence
Dividend per share 2 pence 6 pence
Number of shares 1 million 2 million
Required:
Which company retains higher confidence in the market?
Exercise 11
Required:
What is the dividend cover for each company in exercise 10 above?
The dividend payout ratio is the amount of dividends paid to stockholders relative to the amount
of total net income of a company. The amount that is not paid out in dividends to stockholders is
held by the company for growth. The amount that is kept by the company is called retained
earnings.
Exercise 12
Required:
What is the dividend payout ratio for each company in exercise 10?
The relationship of the dividend paid to the current market value. This is of importance when
deciding what type of investor we are trying to attract. If the yield is high this will appeal to the
investor who requires an income from the share. A lower yield suggests that more is being
reinvested back into the company, which should attract those investors who want capital gain.
Exercise 12
Required:
Calculate the dividend yield for both companies in exercise 10, which company’s shares would
be favored by pensioners?
This is a theory reflect all past information. In the weak form, when new information becomes
available, it will take time before such information is reflected in the share price. All stock
markets will reflect this characteristic. Such a market isn’t considered to be efficient.
Share prices reflect all publicly available information, which includes past period information. In
such a market, share price will change very quickly to any new information that becomes
available. Research shows that share prices in the US change within 6 minutes of the release of
quarterly earnings reports.
Share prices are said to reflect ALL information, both private and publicly held information. This
assumes perfect information, where everyone knows everything! In such a market, insider
trading cannot exist, clearly, such a market is only a theoretical possibility, and it cannot really
exist.
In this topic, we learn how a company sets its dividend policy, and the importance of having a
dividend policy. A dividend policy is a statement by the firm on how it intends to pay dividends
to its shareholders. This allows shareholders and potential investors to decide on whether
investing in the firm is a worthwhile proposition.
The central theme of this topic is whether the dividend policy of a firm affects shareholders
wealth. There are two conflicting arguments with respect to this. One is the MM dividend
irrelevance theory, and the other is real world factors. We examine both these views as follows
The dividend irrelevancy argument starts from the premise that the future earnings and the level
of risk associated with that company will determine the value of the shares of a company
(shareholder wealth).The way in which the earnings of the company are applied between
dividend payments and retention is unimportant.
MM point out that shareholder can develop their own dividend/retention policies and need not be
dependent on the dividend /retention policy of the company.
If a shareholder wishes to receive their gains in the form of cash rather than through an increase
in share price, then they can create “home-made” dividends by selling a proportion of the shares,
which are held in the company.
If the shareholder received a cash dividend and would prefer the amount to be retained within the
company, they can re-invest the dividend received by acquiring more shares in the company.
Thus it would be illogical for shareholders to value shares in one company more highly than
another on the basis of the dividend policy, which it decides to adopt.
However like the MM theory on gearing their model is based on a number of unrealistic
assumptions.
In the real world these assumptions do not hold true and therefore the conclusions of the
Dividend Irrelevance Hypothesis are incorrect.
BROKERAGE FEES
If shareholders have a preference for some current income and are paid a low dividends or none
at all .They may have to sell some of their shares, which will reduce their wealth ,as they will
incur brokerage fees. If shareholder have a preference for capital gains and they were paid a
large dividend they would also incur brokerage fees when re-invest the dividends received
If a company has a positive NPV project to finance, it is usually cheaper to fund projects via
retained earnings as most forms of external finance involve incurring considerable issue costs.
When shares are issued in addition to the administration fees, they would be professional
adviser’s fees, underwriting costs and prospectus publishing costs. This can be 3% or more of the
fees raised.
An individual shareholder will usually have a firm preference of he/she wants his/her return to
be split between dividends and capital gains as both are subjects to different tax rules e.g. annual
exemption for capital gains .The preference will depend on the individual 's tax position.
Shareholders are attached to firms that follow dividend policies consistent with their tax planning
objectives (i.e. large dividend small capital growth ,small dividends large capital growth
).The clientele effect encourage s stability in dividend policy.
In the real world shareholder do not have perfect information about the investments. This
uncertainty may lead shareholder to prefer a certain dividend now to uncertain future dividends.
Research suggests that the dividend policy of the company gives a signal to shareholders about
the company performance. An unexpected change in dividends is regarded as a signal of how the
directors view the future prospects of the company i.e. for whatever reason means financial
problems.
Corporate growth – the amount of funds required for positive NPV projects
Future prospects – dividends are not increased unless it is believed that the increase can be
funded from a sustainable increases in cash flow
The rate of inflation – Shareholder will not want their dividend income to fall in real terms
Liquidity- resources may be tied up in assets other than cash
Restrictive covenants – there may be restrictions on the levels of dividends in the articles of
association or in covenants on debts
Policy of competitors – it may be difficult to reduce a dividend when competitors follow a
policy of higher distribution
Types of Policy
In this a company pays out a certain proportion of its earnings each year. The advantage of this
policy is that a certain proportion of earnings are retained each year .The disadvantages are that
resulting dividends can be fairly volatile.
2) Residual approach
Is aimed at avoiding costs on new shares .The Company calculates how much cash is required to
fund imminent projects and then the balance is paid out as dividends .This results in a very
volatile stream.
Directors seek to pay a dividend, which increases at a constant rate each year; in order to
encourage share price stability .This policy has been very popular in the past. The difficult is in
seeking to maintain the dividend during recessionary periods
Shareholders preferences:
Clientele theory – Where a constant dividend policy is maintained this attracts a group of
shareholder, to whom the policy is suited in terms of tax, need for current income. A change in
the policy will result in shareholders selling their shares and driving the price down
SCRIP DIVIDENDS
SHARE REPURCHASES
3. Dividend Growth - Measures the change in dividend from one period to the next
Investment Appraisal
Techniques
INVESTMENT APPRAISAL
The use of decision making techniques to consider the costs and the benefits of an investments
over time. We are normally considering an investment in a fixed assets or a projects that involves
fixed assets. This decision may be considered the most important made by an organization
because of the long – term impact it will have on profitability. There are four appraisal methods:
1. Payback Period
2. Accounting rate of return (ARR)
3. Discounted cash flow – Net present value (NPV)
4. Discounted cash flow – Internal rate of return (IRR)
Exercise 1
Rani Katak Ltd has the opportunity to undertake investment with the following initial costs and
returns:
A B
(£ 000) (£ 000)
Initial investment (90) (20)
Cash flows Yr 1 40 10
Yr 2 30 8
Yr 3 20 6
Yr 4 20 4
Yr 5 20 4
Residual value Yr 5 4 2
Required:
b) Choose which project should be undertaken if they are mutually exclusive (only one can be
undertaken).
Exercise 1
A B
Initial Investment 90 20
($000)
Yr 1 40 10
Yr 2 30 8
Yr 3 20 6
Yr 4 20 4
Yr 5 20 4
Advantages Disadvantages
1.Simple to understand and calculate 1.It does not consider the time value of money
2.A simple measure of risk ,the longer the 2.There are no measure of return
payback the higher the risk
3.Ignores cash flows after the payback period
3.May be important to companies with limited
cash resources for budgeting purposes
This measures has a close relationship to the performances measure Return on investment (ROI)
or ROCE. It is a measure of the impact of an investment on accounting profit .It may be
calculated many ways and is based upon profit (which already allows scope for manipulation)
.The common formula for examination is:
𝐄𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐦𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐝 𝐀𝐯𝐞𝐫𝐚𝐠𝐞 𝐀𝐧𝐧𝐮𝐚𝐥 𝐏𝐫𝐨𝐟𝐢𝐭
ARR = 𝐱 𝟏𝟎𝟎
𝐀𝐯𝐞𝐫𝐚𝐠𝐞 𝐈𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭
Exercise 1 Continued
A B
Initial investment
Divides 2
ARR
Decision criteria
The ARR for an investment is to be compared to a target (often related to a company ROCE).If
the return is greater we will accept the investment
Advantages Disadvantages
1.Widely used 1.It does not consider the time value of money
COMPOUND INTEREST
With simple interest, the capital earns the same interest each period, whereas with the same
compound interest, the interest earned one period will earn interest in the next period.
Calculate the total interest earned on $1000 invested for 3 years at 10% per annum under the
both simple and compound interest
Formula
Exercise 5
Discounting
𝐅
Rearranging the formula: F = P (1+r) n to P = = F = (1 + 𝐫)−𝐧
(𝟏+𝐫)𝐧
(1 + 𝐫)−𝐧 is called the discount factor and can be looked up in discount factor tables, by looking
for the appropriate percentage and number of periods.
Exercise 6
What should be invested Now to receive $ 10000 in 4 years’ time if r = 8 % per annum?
Exercise 7
What is the Present Value of $115000 receivable in 9 years’ time if r = 6% per annum?
COMPOUNDING
Year 0 Year 1
DISCOUNTING
The discounted cash flow techniques are methods of investment appraisal, which take into
consideration the time value of money.
All future cash are discounted to the present value and then added to determine whether the
investment is profitable – that is the sum of discounted inflows is more than the discounted
outflows – or the Net Present Value is greater than zero.
If a project has a positive NPV then it should be accepted because the project is generating a
higher return that can be earned elsewhere. If a project has a negative NPV then the project
should be rejected. The capital should be invested elsewhere. The discount rate represents the
benefit that can be earned elsewhere, e. g. deposit in a bank. This rate is usually called the cost of
capital. It will always be given in the examination.
Decision Criteria
If the NPV is positive, the investment should be undertaken – company (and hence
shareholder) wealth should increase by the amount of the NPV.
If the NPV is negative, the investment should not be undertaken.
If the projects are mutually exclusive, select the one with the Highest NPV
a) Calculate the NPV for each investment in Exercise 1 and indicate for each investment,
whether or not it should be undertaken.
b) If the company can only undertake one investment, which should it choose?
Rani Katak Ltd has the opportunity to invest in investments with the following initial costs and
returns:
A B
($000) ($000)
Cash flows Yr 1 40 10
Yr 2 30 8
Yr 3 20 6
Yr 4 20 4
Yr 5 20 4
Residual value Yr 5 4 2
If an investment has a positive NPV, it means it is earning more than the cost of capital. If the
NPV is negative, it is earning less than the cost of capital. This means that if the NPV is zero it
will be earning exactly the cost of capital.
Conversely, the percentage return on the investment must be rate of discount or cost of capital at
which the NPV equals to zero. This rate of return is called the internal rate of return (IRR) and is
our fourth method of investment appraisal.
The IRR may be calculated by a linear interpolation- either through graph or formula .That
means you must find two NPVs at different rates of interest and interpolate between them
Where:
a = Cost of capital, (Positive NPV)
b = Cost of capital, (Negative NPV)
NPVA = Positive NPV
NPVB = Negative NPV
Decision criteria
If the IRR is greater than the cost of capital, accept the project
Exercise 9
a) For the project A, calculate the NPV at 20% discount rate then use this to estimate the IRR. If
the company’s cost of capital is now 15%, should investment A be undertaken?
b) The NPV of project B at 20% is £1696.Estimate the IRR and decide whether B should be
undertaken (cost of capital is 15%).
c) If A and B are mutually exclusive, which project should be undertaken?
Annuities
An annuities is a series of equal annual cash flows. The use of annuity tables allow a quicker
analysis of NPV in this circumstances
Exercise 10
A project costing £2,200 has returns expected to be £1,000 each years for 3 years and a discount
rate of 10%
Required:
Calculate the present value of an annuity of £1,000 per annum for five years starting:
Perpetuities
A form of annuity that arises forever (in perpetuity).In this situation the calculation of the present
value of the future cash flows is very straightforward
𝐀𝐧𝐧𝐮𝐚𝐥 𝐂𝐚𝐬𝐡 𝐟𝐥𝐨𝐰
Present value of the perpetuity =
𝐈𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐭 𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐞
Exercise 12
A company expects to receive £1,000 each year in perpetuity .The current discount rate is 8%
Required:
Working capital
Relevant Cash Flows
Risk
Taxation
Capital
Asset
Rationing
Replacement
Having learnt the basic fundamentals of investments appraisal, we will look at some advanced
issues .The first and most important thing is that in order to maximize the shareholder wealth, the
BEST appraisal method to use is NPV .All of the issues in this unit relate to advanced
applications of NPV .NPV is considered to be the best method of investment appraisal because:
Relevant cost: Future cash flow arising as a direct result of the decision
Opportunity cost
The benefit foregone by choosing one alternative in preference to the next best alternative. In
many decisions there is more than one simple “do nothing” alternative .In such circumstances the
benefit/cash of one course of action will be determined by other possible courses of actions
Fixed cost
Should be treated as a whole, and only where relevant .This means using marginal, not
absorption costing: overhead absorbed using an overhead absorption rate is never relevant.
Depreciation
Depreciation is not a cash flow and so should never be included in a discounted cash flow
calculation .The only investment appraisal technique that will include depreciation is ARR.
Incremental Costs
Only the costs (and revenue) that change as a result of investment are relevant and need to be
included in the appraisal .If a cost or revenue will be incurred without the investment, in should
not be included in the appraisal.
Interest costs
Ignore all financing cash flow (e.g. interest charges, loan employments, dividends, etc.) and all
their tax effects (e.g. interest tax relief).This is because there are all implicitly taken into account
through the discounting process.
WORKING CAPITAL
Investment in new project often requires an additional investment in working capital that is the
differences between short-term assets and liabilities
1. It is treated as an investment at the start of the project, like any other investment. Any
additional working capital requirements are invested when required and only the change in
working capital is treated as a cash flow.
2. At the end of the projects the capital is released. This is treated as a cash inflow at the end of
the project, equal to the total investment in working capital.(unless told otherwise)
So far we have assumed that inflation does not exist (or affects all cash flow equally) this means
that the cost of capital has been the going rate of interest .This known as the money rate
If the money is invested it will earn interest but inflation will reduce the value of the return .By
deflating the future cash (money) we can find the real return – the return at today's prices
Exercise 1
£1,000 is invested in an account that pays 10% interest per annum .Inflation is currently 7% per
annum .Find the real return on the investment.
(𝟏+𝐦)
Formula: (𝟏 + 𝐫) =
(𝟏+𝒊)
and (1 + m) = (1 + r) (1 + i)
Exercise 2
BE CONSISTENT!
The two methods give the same NPV, assuming the inflation rate is constant.
Sarah Ltd is evaluating project X which requires an initial investment of £50,000.Expected net
cash flow are £20,000 per annum for 4 years at today's prices .However these are expected to rise
by 5.5% per annum because of inflation .The firm cost of capital is 15%.Find the NPV by :
Exercise 4
(a) Explain how inflation affects the rate of return required on a investment projects, and the
distinction between the real and a nominal (or “money terms”) approach to the evaluation of
an investment of an investment project under inflation.
(b) Darling plc is contemplating investment in an additional production line to produce its range
of compacts discs. A market research study, undertaken by a well-known firm of consultants
has revealed scope to sell an additional output of 400,000 units per annum the study cost
£100,000 but the account has not yet been settled.
The price and cost structure of a typical disc (net of royalties) is as follows:
£ £
While the precise rates of price and cost inflation are uncertain, economists in Darling’s
corporate planning department make the following forecasts for the average annual rates of
inflation relevant to the project
Required:
Given that Darling’s shareholder require a real return of 8.5 per cent for projects of this degree of
risk assess the financial viability of this proposal
(c) Briefly discuss how inflation may complicate the analysis of business financial decisions
We must also consider the impact that the tax will have on the return of an investment because
most companies will be liable for corporation tax on the additional profits generated There are
three aspects to taxation ,the good the bad and the ugly.
Exercise 5
An assets is bought on the first day of the year for £10,000 and will be used for four years after
which it will be disposed of ( on the final day of year 4 ) for £2,500.Tax is payable at 30% one
year in arrear and capital allowances are available at 25% reducing balance
Required:
Calculate the writing down allowances and hence the tax savings for each year.
We are further told that net cash from trading is £4,000 per annum .The cost oof capital is 10%
Required:
Calculate the net present value NPV.
Format:
Year 0 1 2 3
Add an extra year (if tax is ugly)
These five 1) Net trading revenue The inflows and outflows from trading (e.g.
headings must be sales minus operating cash flows)
prepared for all 2) Tax payable The net trading revenue x tax rate (normally
taxation questions delayed by one year)
3) Investment
4) Residual value
5) Tax savings on W.D.A.s Calculated as a separated cash flow
Net cash flow
Discount factor
Present Value
NPV………
You are the chief accountant of Dighton plc which manufactures a wide range of building of
plumbing fittings, it has recently taken over a smaller unquoted competitors Linton limited
.Dighton is currently checking through various documents at Linton’s head office, including a
number of investment appraisals. One of these, a recently rejected applications involving outlay
on equipment of £900,000 is produced below .It was rejected because it is failed to offer Linton
target return on investment of 25 per cent (average profit to initial investment outlay). Closer
inspection reveals several errors in the appraisals.
Evaluation of profitability of proposed project NT17 (all values in current year prices)
1. Linton policy was to finance both working capital and fixed investment by a bank overdraft.
A 12 per cent interest rate applied at the time of evaluation
2. 25 per cent writing down allowances (WDA) on a reducing balance basis is offered for new
investment. Linton profit are sufficient to utilize fully this allowances throughout the project
3. Corporate tax is paid a year in arrears
4. Of the overhead charge ,about half reflects absorption of existing overhead costs
5. The market research was actually undertaken to investigate two proposal, the other projects
also having been rejected .The total bill for all this research has been already paid
6. Dighton itself requires a nominal return on new projects of 20 per cent after taxes is currently
ungeared and has no plans to use any debts finance in the future.
Required:
Write a report to the finance director in which you:
a) Identify the mistakes made in Linton evaluation.
b) Restate the investment appraisals in terms of the post -tax net present value to Dighton,
recommending whether the project should be undertaken or not.
ASSETS REPLACEMENT
Where there are competing replacements for a particular assets we must compare the possible
replacement strategies available. This type of question either looks at:
1. Comparing different competing assets or
2. The same assets replaced over differing time periods.
1. Cash inflow in trading are not normally considered in this type of question .The assumptions
being that they will be similar regardless of the replacement decision.
2. The difficulty will arise from the differing lifecycle of each machine.
3. The operating efficiency of machine will be similar with differing machine or with machine
of differing ages.
4. The assets will be replaced in perpetuity or at least into the foreseeable future.
A company is considering the replacement of an assets with one of the following two machine:
Machine
R S
£000s £000s
Required:
Determine which machine should be bought using a NPV analysis at a cost of capital of 10%.
Year CASH FLOW DISCOUNT PRESENT VALUE FACTOR
R S R S
£000s £000s £000s £000s
0 (120) (60) 1
1 (20) (40) 0.91
2 (20) (35) 0.83
3 (10) 0.75
PV of costs =
This cash flow is net of £20,000 outflow from maintenance and the inflow of £10,000 from the
residual value.
Machine S appears cheaper ,but it requires replacing on a more frequent basis, We are unable to
make an informed decision as to which is the most cost effective replacement strategy .To
compare like with like (over the same period of time) the method we use is the equivalent
annual cost EAC method.
After calculating the NPV in the normal way we are then able to calculate some measure of
equal cost for each year by using the following calculation
𝐏𝐕 𝐨𝐟 𝐜𝐨𝐬𝐭𝐬
Equivalent Annual Cost =
𝐀𝐧𝐧𝐮𝐢𝐭𝐲 𝐅𝐚𝐜𝐭𝐨𝐫
Machine R Machine S
(£000s) (£000s)
Present value of cost
Annuity factor
EAC
Decisions:
Capital Rationing
Shareholder wealth is maximized if a company undertakes all possible positive NPV projects.
Capital rationing is where there are insufficient funds to do so .There are 2 causes of this:
A situation where there is a shortage of fund in more than one period .This makes the analysis
more complicated because we have multiple limitations and multiple output. In such a situation
we must employ a linear programming model to identify the profit maximizing mix of
investment .This is beyond the scope of this syllabus
There is a shortage of fund in the present period that will not arise in following periods. Note that
the rationing in this situation is very similar to the limiting factor decision that we know from
decision making .In this situation we maximize the contribution per unit of limiting factor
Exercise 8
A company has £100,000 available for investment and has identified the following 5 investment
in which to invest. All investment must be started now (Yr 0):
C 40 20
D 100 35
E 50 24
F 60 18
G 50 (10)
Required:
Which project should we invest in to maximize the return to the business?
Scenario 1: Divisibility
A proportion of a project may be undertaken and the returns (NPV) will be proportionate to the
amount of investment
Calculate the NPV per pound invested, also known as the 'Profitability Index'.
𝐍𝐏𝐕
Profitability Index =
𝐈𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭
Total NPV =
i.e. Projects may be taken as a whole or not at all .In this situation the profitability index cannot
be used .There is no technique or method available to make the decision beyond trial and error.
i.e. Where again we can take any part of a project and the return is proportionate to the
investment and the taking of one project precludes the taking of another.
Exercise 9
Required:
What is the optimal mix of projects?
E (X) = ∑ 𝐩𝐱
Exercise 10
Darkie plc are considering an investment of £460,000 in a fixed assets expected to generate
substantial cash inflow over the next 5 years .Unfortunately the annual cash flow from this
investment are uncertain ,but the following distribution has been established:
£50,000 0.3
£100,000 0.5
£150,000 0.2
At the end of its 5 year life the assets is expected to be sold for £40,000.The cost of capital is
5%.Should the investment be undertaken?
Estimates of the cash flow several years ahead are quite likely to be inaccurate and unreliable. It
may be difficult to control capital projects over a long period of time. Risk may be limited by
selecting projects with short payback period, in addition to positive NPVs.
The discount rate we have assumed so far is the rate that reflects either the cost of borrowing
funds in the forms of a loan rate or it may reflect the underlying return of the business.(i.e. the
return required by the shareholder ), or a mix of both.
SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
Sensitivity analysis typically involves posing what if question. For example, what if demand fell
by 10%, selling price was decreased by 5%, etc.
Alternatively we may wish to discover the maximum possible change in one of the parameters
before the projects is no longer viable.
This maximum possible change is often expressed as a percentage;
𝐍𝐏𝐕
Sensitivity margin =
𝐏𝐕 𝐨𝐟 𝐟𝐥𝐨𝐰 𝐮𝐧𝐝𝐞𝐫 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐬𝐢𝐝𝐞𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧
This would be calculated for each input individually. The key is to identify the relevant cash
flow.
An investment of £40,000 is expected to give rise to annual contribution of £25,000 and annual
fixed cost of £10,000 for each of year 1 to 4 the discount rate is 10%
Required:
c) The annual contribution of £25,000 is based on selling one product with a sales volume of
10,000 units ,selling price of £12.50 and variable costs £10.Calculate the sensitivity margin for :
Burley plc a manufacturer of building products, mainly supplies the whole sale trade. It has
recently suffered failing demand due to economic recession and thus has spare capacity. It now
perceives an opportunity to produce designer ceramic tiles for the home improvement market. It
has already paid £0.5 million for development expenditure, market research and a feasibility
study.
The initial analysis reveals scope for selling 150,000 boxes per annum over a five – year period
at a price of £20 per box .Estimated operating costs largely based on experience are as follows.
Material cost 8
Direct labor 2
Variable overhead 1.5
Fixed overhead (allocated) 1.5
Distribution etc 2
Production can take place in existing facilities although initial re- design and set – up costs
would be £2 million after allowing for all relevant tax reliefs. Returns from the projects would be
taxed at 33%
Burley shareholders require a nominal return of 14 per cent per annum after tax which includes
allowances for generally expected inflation of 5.5 per cent per annum. It can be assumed that all
operating cash flow occur at year ends.
Required:
Assess the financial desirability of this venture in real terms, finding both the net present value
and the internal rate of return (to the nearest 1 per cent) offered by the project. Assume no tax
delay.
(b) Briefly explain the purpose of sensitivity analysis in relation to project appraisals, indicating
the drawbacks with this procedure.
(c) Determine the value of:
(I) price
(II) volume
Note: At which the projects NPV becomes zero.
Discuss your result, suggesting appropriate management action.
Once the decision has made to acquire an assets the decision can be made as to how to finance it.
The choices that will consider are:
Lease
Buy
The main consideration is the taxation position
Leasing
The assets is never 'owned' by the user company from the perspective of the taxman.
Implications
1. The finance company receives the writing down allowances as the owner of the assets.
2. The user receives no writing down allowances but is able to offset the full rental payment
against tax, this may have the effect of accelerating the tax allowances allowing them to be
taken in earlier years.
Buying
The assumptions is that buying requires the use of a bank loan (for the sake of comparability).
The user is the owner.
Implications
The user will receive writing down allowances on the assets and allowances against the interest
payable on the loan.
Cost of capital
We must use the Post Tax Cost of Borrowing as our discount rate .As all financing cash flows
are considered to be risk free, this rate is used for both leasing and buying.
Post Tax Cost of Borrowing = cost of borrowing x (1 - tax rate)
Salomi Papan plc has already decided to accept a project and is now considering how to finance
it
For the four life of the projects the company can arrange a bank loan at an interest rate of 10%
after corporation tax relief .The loan is for £120,000 and would be taken out on 1st January 2014
the first day of the company's tax year .The residual value of the equipment is £10,000 at the end
of the fourth year.
An alternative would be to lease the assets over four years at a rental of £36,000 per annum Tax
is payable at 33% one year in arrears .Capital allowances are available at 25 % on the written
down value of the assets.
Required:
Should company lease or buy the equipment?
Solution:
Year 0 1 2 3 4 5
Initial investment
Residual value
Tax savings
Net cash flows
Discount Factor@
10%
Present Value
NPV
Leasing
Conclusions:
1. Who receives the residual value in the lease agreement? It is possible that the residual value
may be received wholly by the lessor or almost completely by the lessee.
2. There may be restrictions associated with the taking on of leased equipment the agreement
tends to be much more restrictive than bank loans.
3. Are there any additional benefits associated with lease agreement? Many lease agreement
will include within the payments some measure of maintenance or other support services.
Exercise 14
Assume that you have been appointed finance director of Sarah plc The Company is considering
investing in the production of an electronic security device with an expected market life of 5
years
The previous finance director has undertaken an analysis of the proposed project the main
features of his analysis are shown below
He has recommend that the project should not be undertaken because the estimated annual
accounting rate of return is only 12.3%
All of the above cash flow and profit estimates have been prepared in terms of present day cost
and price as the previous finance director assumed the sales price could be increased to
compensate for any increase in costs.
(a) Selling prices, working capital requirement and overhead expenses are expected to
increase by 5% per year.
(b) Material cost and labor cost are expected to increase by 10% per year.
(c) Capital allowances (tax depreciation) are allowable for taxation purposes against profits
at 25% per year on a reducing balance basis.
(d) Taxation of profits is at rate of 35% payable one year in arrears.
(e) The fixed assets have no expected salvage value at the end of 5 years.
(f) The company’s real after tax weighted average cost of capital is estimated to be 8% per
year, and nominal after tax weighted average cost of capital 15% per year.
Assume that all receipts and payments arise at the end of the year to which they relate except
those in year 0 which occur immediately.
Required:
(a) Estimate the net present value of the proposed project .State clearly any assumptions that you
make.
(b) Calculate by how much the discount rate would have to change to result in a net present
value of approximately zero.
Introduction
The topic develop a general market model for the valuation of securities on the basis of the
discounted value of future cash flows. We will introduce the dividend valuation model and
investigate this model in detail .We will also apply the discounted cash flow technique for the
valuation of loan stock
The value of a share can be determine by discounting the future cash benefits arising from
holding it .These will be the dividend receivable, plus any eventual sale proceeds
The sales proceeds of a share represent a value which can itself be expressed as the present value
of dividends after the date of sale .Consequently the value of a share is really the present value of
the estimated dividends to be paid on the share to perpetuity.
In order to make the model workable one of two assumptions usually made are :
Constant dividends
If a share is expected to pay constant dividend each year, we can use the simple perpetuity
formula:
Po = D/ r
Mark plc is expected to pay a constant annual dividend of 40 p per share .IF the market expects a
return of 20% per annum for Mark plc shares at which price will the market value the shares?
Po = D1/ r-g
Where D1 is the expected dividend to be paid in one year time and g is the expected constant
growth rate in dividends.
Exercise 2
Now assume that Mark plc dividend will grow at a constant rate of 4% per annum .What should
the value per ordinary share be?
Note:
Up to now all the formulas that we have looked at assume that the latest dividend has just been
paid which means that all the share value are ex div If you are given a situation where the next
dividend on a share is just about to be paid then we said that the share is cum div .Therefore the
only difference between cum div and ex div value of a share is the amount of the current
dividend.
Of the two version of the dividend valuation model presented above the version incorporating
growth is generally more realistic simply because growth is likely to occur because of inflation
rather than in real terms .However it must be remembered that the growth factor used in the
model is in perpetuity. If a company is expanding rapidly and expected to continue this high rate
of growth for the next few years, you should not assume that this high rate of growth will be
sustained in the long term .it is more realistic to assume that the high rate of growth will be for
the first few years followed by a lower growth rate to perpetuity.
Narvin plc has just paid a dividend of 15p per share. The market is in general agreement with
directors forecast of 30% growth in earnings and dividend for the next two years. Beyond this
point a reasonable estimate is 15 % growth in year 3 followed by 6% growth to perpetuity. The
market required return on investment of this risk level is 25% per annum .Estimate the share
value.
Estimating “g”
One of the major problems in applying the dividend valuation model is the determination of the
value of “g”. This cannot be known with certainly it can only be estimated using one of the
following ways:-
The year on year rate of growth could be examined oe we could take an average compound
growth rate over a longer period of time
Exercise 4
A company has paid a dividend of £1000 4 years ago the latest dividend paid now is £1500.
Determine the average annual growth rate of the dividends.
Past growth rates is only useful as one possible guide to the future, which could be very
different. This model is severely limited in estimating g.
g = br
b = the retention rate
r = the return on the reinvested funds (i.e. the ROCE)
Cat plc is financed entirely by equity shares. Last year it earn a profit after corporation tax of £5
and paid a dividend of £2.Its net assets at the start of the year totaled £25m.What rate of growth
is estimated for future dividend if this profitability and retention policy are expected to continue?
However the model is unrealistic in practice .It is unlikely that a company will be able to find the
right number of projects which would produce a return justifying the continued use of a fixed
proportion of earning as in the above example.
It is possible that other forecast can be used ,possibly from the forecast made by the directors of
the firm .again such forecast are likely to be highly subjective
The valuation principal is the same as for ordinary shares. The value of the loan stock is the
present value of the cash receipts to be generated by the loan stock, discounted at a rate which
allows for the risk of the investment. The discount rate will cover a risk free rate of return and a
premium to cover the risk of default by the company
In practice irredeemable loan stock are virtually non-existent and therefore the study of the
pricing of this loan stock is only theoretical in nature. The formula to determine the value is:
Po = I / r
An irredeemable debenture stock pays a nominal interest rate of 5%.The required yield on the
stock of this type is 12.5% per annum.
At what price will £100 nominal value of the stock sell for?
If market interest rates were to rise and the required yield on the loan stock rises to 14%.what
will happen to the stock price?
The same valuation principles apply except this time there is interest and redemption proceeds to
be discounted.
Exercise 7
Winnie plc has 10% loan stock in issue redeemable in 5 years’ time at par. The required yield on
the stock of this type is 8% per annum .At which price will the stock sell per £100 nominal?
Convertible loan stock is loan stock which at the option of the holder may be converted into
ordinary shares in the company under specific condition. It will be worth converting if the value
of equity is higher than the value as straight debt.
Exercise 8
Luke plc has in issue 7% convertible loan stock .The conversion terms are 80 ordinary shares for
£100 of loan stock otherwise the loan stock will be redeemed at par. Today is the last day for
either redemption or conversion .above what share price is it worth converting to shares as
opposed to receiving redemption proceeds?
An important aspects in evaluating the cost of finance is the effect of taxation .Loan interest is an
allowances expense for corporation tax purposes which effectively reduces the cost of loan
finance to the firm.
For irredeemable loan stock, the cost of debt to the company equal Kd (1-t) where Kd is the debt
holder required rate of return and t is the corporation tax rate .Now the cost of debt and the
required rate of return are no longer equal.
For redeemable debt, the tax position is a little more complex because there is only relief on the
interest payment element not the redemption premium. Thus the correct procedure is to reduce
only the interest payment by the corporation tax rate.
Exercise 9
A portfolio is a collection of investment that make up an investors total holding. A portfolio can,
in theory, consist of any kind of investment, but for simplicity sake, it is usually assumed that it
consists entirely of quoted shares.
Portfolio theory (according to Harry Markowitz) is concerned with how risk involved with
investing in only one type of investment can be reduced through diversification. The theory of
risk reduction through diversification applies to both private investors as well as for companies.
Return can be defined as the financial gain that can be obtained by making an investment.
Risk is the possibility that actual returns will be different from expected returns. It is usually
measured as the variance of the outcomes, or the square-root of the variance i.e. the standard
deviation. The standard deviation gives a measure of dispersion of the probability distribution, in
that the higher the standard deviation, the greater the dispersion and hence the risk. When
comparing two investment, we can say that the one with the higher standard deviation has the
higher risk.
Security – investment should provide investors with an assurance that at least, their capital
value will be protected.
Liquidity – this refers to how quickly an investment can be converted back to cash.
Return – as defined earlier, the return is the financial gain an investor can obtain by making
a financial investment.
Risk – this refers to the possibility that investor’s actual returns will be different from
expected returns.
Brokerage fees – these are the fees involved when buying and selling securities
Tax- how will the income from the securities be taxed?
Portfolio theory tells us that the risk and return from individual investments cannot be looked at
on its own, but the relationship between two investments can be of three types:
Positive correlation – where there is positive correlation between two investments, it means that
the return are expected to behave in a likewise manner. If you were to buy shares in two similar
construction companies, then both the shares will do badly in an economic slump.
Negative correlation – where if one investment performs well, the other will perform badly, and
vice-versa.
The logic of risk reduction through diversification can be explained by looking at a two asset
portfolio, where the risk of the portfolio can be calculated as follows:
𝐂𝐨𝐯 𝐚,𝐛
Note: 𝐩𝐚𝐛 =
𝛔𝐚 𝛔𝐛
Exercise 1
A company is considering investment in one or both of two securities and you are given the
following information:
A portfolio consists of two assets, A and B, whose expected returns are 16% and 20%
respectively and whose standard deviations are 8% and 12%. Asset A makes up 40% of the
portfolio and asset B makes up the remaining 60%.
Calculate the expected return and the standard deviation of the portfolio if the coefficient of
correlation between the assets are:
a) +1.0
b) +0.7
c) +0.3
d) -0.3
The total risk of a portfolio (as measured by the standard deviation of returns) consists of two
types of risk, unsystematic risk and systematic risk. If we have a large enough portfolio it is
possible to eliminate the unsystematic risk, however the systematic risk will remain.
Unsystematic / Specific risk: refers to the impact on a company’s cash flow of largely random
events like industrial relations problem, equipment failure, R & D achievements, changes in the
senior management team etc. In a portfolio such random factors tend to cancel as the number of
investments in the portfolio increase.
Systematic / Market risk: General economic factors are those macro-economic factors that
affect the cash flows of all companies in the stock market in a consistent manner e.g. a country’s
rate of economic growth, corporate tax rates, unemployment levels and interest rates. Since these
factors cause returns to move in the same direction they cannot cancel out. Therefore systematic
(market) risk remains present in all portfolios.
Ideally the investor should be fully diversified i.e. invest in every company quoted in the stock
market. They should hold the “Market Portfolio”, in order to gain the maximum risk reduction
effect. However the wonderful news is that we can construct a well-diversified portfolio i.e. a
portfolio that will benefit from most of the risk reduction effects of diversification by just
investing in fifteen different sectors of the market.
The risk reduction is quite dramatic. We find that two thirds of an investment’s total risk can be
diversified away, whilst the remaining one third of systematic risk cannot be diversified away.
A well-diversified portfolio is very easy to obtain, all we have to do is, buy a portion of a larger
fund that is already well-diversified, like buying into a unit trust or a tracker fund.
Remember that real joy of diversification is the reduction of risk without any consequential
reduction in return. If we assume that investors are rational and risk averse, their portfolio
should be well-diversified i.e. only suffer the type of risk that they cannot diversify away
(systematic risk).
An investor who has well-diversified portfolio only requires compensation for the risk
suffered by their portfolio (systematic risk). Therefore we need to redefine our
understanding of the required return:
The next question will be how do we measure an investment’s systematic risk? The answer to
this question will be given in the next session on the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM).
Question 1
You have already decided to invest £400,000 in Hotel Project, which is expected to show a
return of 26% and a standard deviation of 9%. The remainder of your wealth, £600,000, could be
invested in one of two indivisible projects, with details as follows:
Question 2
Cuci plc wishes to buy £1 million of shares in each of two companies from a choice of three
companies that it might wish to acquire at some future date. The companies are in different
industries. Historic five years data on the risk and returns of the three companies are shown
below:
Required:
a) Estimate which of the possible portfolio is the most efficient
b) Discuss whether or not Cuci plc strategy should be to purchase the most efficient portfolio of
two shares.
Systematic risk reflects market-wide factors such as the country’s rate of economic growth,
corporate tax rates, interest rates etc. Since these market-wide factors generally cause returns to
move in the same direction they cannot cancel out. Therefore, systematic risk remains present in
all portfolios. Some investments will be more sensitive to market factors than others and will
therefore have a higher systematic risk.
Remember that investors who hold well-diversified portfolios will find that the risk affecting the
portfolio is wholly systematic. Unsystematic risk has been diversified away. These investors may
want to measure the systematic risk of each individual investment within their portfolio, or of a
potential new investment to be added to the portfolio. A single investment affected by both
systematic and unsystematic risk of that investment would be owns a well-diversified portfolio
then only the systematic risk of that investment would be relevant. If a single investment
becomes part of a well-diversified portfolio the unsystematic risk can be ignored.
𝐂𝐨𝐯 (𝐞, 𝐦)
𝛃𝐞 =
𝛔𝐦𝟐
Exercise 1
You are considering investing in Suppiah Hot plc. The covariance between the company’s
returns and the return on the market is 30%. The standard deviation of the returns on the market
is 5%.
Required:
Calculate the beta value
Exercise 2
You are considering investing in Chandran Sexy plc. The correlation coefficient between the
company’s returns on the market is 0.7. The standard deviation of the returns for the company
and the market are 8% and 5% respectively.
Required:
Calculate the beta value
Note: Investors make investment decisions about the future. Therefore, it is necessary to
calculate the future beta. Obviously, the future cannot be foreseen, as a result it is difficult to
obtain an estimate of the likely future co-movements of the returns on a share and the market.
However, in the real world the most popular method is to observe the historical relationship
between the returns and then assume that this covariance will continue into the future.
The capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) provides the required return based on the perceived
level of systematic risk of an investment.
̅
𝐑 = 𝐑𝐅 + (𝐑 𝐌 - 𝐑 𝐅 )𝛃
̅
𝐑 = Required return on shares
𝐑𝐅 = Risk-free rate of return. Normally based on the return on treasury bills
𝐑𝐌 = Average return on the market. Normally based on the return on FTSE all-shares
index
(𝐑 𝐌 - 𝐑 𝐅 ) = Market risk premium. This is the reward that investors receive over and above the
risk free rate for investing in shares that have the same level of risk as the market
𝛃 = Beta of shares. This measure the systematic risk of the shares in a company relative
to the systematic risk on the market (market risk)
The required return on a share will depend upon the systematic risk of the share. What is the
required return on the following shares if the return on the market is 11% and the risk free rate is
6%?
Exercise 3
The shares in Sasau plc have a beta value of 0.5. Answer: 6% + (11% - 6%) 0.5 = 8.5%
Obviously, with hindsight there was no need to calculate the required return for Jantan plc as it
has a beta of one and therefore the same level of risk as the market and will require the same
level of return as the market i.e. the RM of 11%. The systematic risk-return relationship is
graphically demonstrated by the security market line.
The Required Rate of Return: The required rate of return is defined as the minimum rate of
return necessary to attract an investor to purchase an asset/shares. The definition is based on the
opportunity cost concept, in which an investment will only be made if the return offered by the
investment is at least the same as the return on the next best alternative that the investor has
forgone.
The CAPM model contends that the systematic risk-return relationship is positive (the higher the
risk the higher the return) and linear.
Returns
SML
Rm
Rf
Beta
1.0
If we engage our common sense, we would probably agree that the risk-return relationship
should be positive. However, it is hard to accept that in our complex and dynamic world that the
relationship will neatly conform to a linear pattern. Indeed, there have been doubts raised about
the accuracy of the CAPM.
The line that results when we plot returns and beta coefficients is obviously of some importance,
so it’s time we give it a name. This line, which we use to describe the relationship between
systematic risk and return in financial markets, is called the security market line (SML). After
NPV, the SML is arguably the most important concept in modern finance.
The Security Market Line (SML) is not static over time. Any shifts in the SML will result in a
change in the required rate of return. There are two forces that affect the slope and position of the
SML.
𝐑 𝐟 = R* + IP
Changes in General Risk Aversion as discussed in the beginning of the chapter, rational
investors are risk-averse – any additional risk must be compensated with additional return. This
positive relationship between risk and return is depicted graphically by the SML. The slope of
the SML reflects the degree of general risk aversion of investors in the market: the steeper the
slope, the greater the degree of risk aversion. Examples of events that would change investors
risk aversion are such as a stock market crash, an economic crisis and political chaos. Any
changes in the general risk preference of investors will result in a shift in the slope of the SML.
The more risk averse the investors are, the steeper the slope of the SML, and vice versa.
The CAPM contends that shares co-move with the market. If the market moves by 1% and a
share has a beta of two, then the return on the share would move by 2%. The beta indicates the
sensitivity of the return on shares with the return on the market.
The beta value of 1.0 is the benchmark against which all share betas are measured.
Beta > 1. Aggressive shares – These shares tend to go up faster than the market in a rising
(bull) market and fall more than the market in a declining (bear) market.
Beta < 1. Defensive shares – These shares will generally experience smaller than average
gains in a rising market and smaller than average falls in a declining market.
Beta = 1. Neutral shares – These shares are expected to follow the market.
Note: The beta value of a share is normally between 0 and 2.5. A risk free investment (a treasury
bill) has a 𝛽 = 0 (no risk). The most risky shares would have a beta value closer to 2.5.
Therefore, if you are in the exam and you calculate a beta of 10 you know that you have made a
mistake!
A shareholder required return on a project will depend on the project’s perceived level of
systematic risk. Different projects generally have different levels of systematic risk and therefore
shareholders have a different return for each project. A shareholders required return is the
minimum return the company must earn on the project in order to compensate the shareholder. It
therefore becomes the company’s cost of equity.
Exercise 4
Andrew Betina plc is evaluating a project, which has a beta value of 1.5. The return on the FTSE
all shares index is 15%. The return on treasury bills is 5%.
Required:
What is the cost of equity?
Regarding Stock we read the financial section of our newspapers, it is commonplace to see
analyst advising us that it is a good time to buy, sell or hold certain shares. The CAPM is one
method that may employed by analyst to help them reach their conclusions. And then subtract
the required return from the expected return for each share i.e. they calculate the alpha value (or
abnormal return) for each share. They would then construct an Alpha Table to present their
findings.
Exercise 5
Required:
What investment advice would you give us?
The expected return of the portfolio is calculated as normal (a weighted average) and goes in the
first column in the alpha table. We then have to calculate the required return of the portfolio. To
do this we must first calculate the portfolio beta, which is the weighted average of the individual
betas. Then we can calculate the required return of the portfolio using the CAPM formula.
Exercise 6
The expected return of the portfolio A + B is 20%. The return on the market is 15% and the risk
free rate is 6%. 80% of your funds are invested in A plc and the balance is invested in B plc. The
beta of A is 1.6 and the beta of B is 1.1.
Required:
Prepare the alpha table for the portfolio (A + B).
β (A + B) =
R portfolio (A + B) =
Alpha Table
CAPM assumes that all the company’s shareholders hold well-diversified portfolio and therefore
need only consider systematic risk. However, a considerable number of private investors within
the UK do not hold well-diversified portfolios.
CAPM is one period model, whilst most investment projects tend to be over a number of years.
A scatter diagram is prepared of the share’s historical risk premium plotted against the historical
market risk premium usually over the last five years. The slope of the resulting line of the best fit
will be the 𝜷 value. The difficulty of using historic data is that it assumes that historic
relationships will continue into the future. This is questionable, as betas tend to be unstable over
time.
Evidence
CAPM does not correctly express risk-return relationship in some circumstances. To cite a
number of these circumstances they are, for small companies, high and low beta companies, low
PE companies, and in certain days of the week or months of the year.
Richard Roll (1977) criticized CAPM has untestable, because the FTSE all-share index, is a poor
substitute for the true market i.e. all the risky investment worldwide. How can the risk and return
of the market be established as a whole? What is the appropriate risk-free rate?
However, despite the problems with CAPM, it provides a simple and reasonably accurate way of
expressing the risk-return relationship. Quite simply, CAPM is not perfect but is the best model
that we have at the moment.
Gatal plc is considering investing in one of two short-term portfolios of four-short term financial
investments. The correlation between the returns of the individual investments is believed to be
negligible (zero/independent/no correlation).
Portfolio 1
Investment Amount invested Expected Total Risk Beta
£ million Return
A 10 20% 8 0.7
B 40 22% 10 1.2
C 30 24% 11 1.3
D 20 26% 9 1.4
Portfolio 2
Investment Amount invested Expected Total Risk Beta
£ million Return
A 20 18% 7 0.8
B 40 20% 9 1.1
C 20 22% 12 1.2
D 20 16% 13 1.4
The market return is estimated to be 15%, and the risk free rate 5%
Required:
a) Estimate the risk and return of the portfolios using the principles of both Portfolio Theory
and CAPM and decide which one should be selected.
b) How would you alter your calculations for the summary table if you were told “The
correlation between the returns of the individual investments is perfectly positively
correlated”?
The cost of a particular source of a company’s capital is the rate of return which the company
must pay in order to satisfy the providers of these funds. In the case of loan capital, the
repayments will be agreed in the loan contract. In the case of equity capital (ordinary shares) the
rate of return is not fixed contract but is expected by the shareholders. If the company does not
pay this rate of return, shareholders react by selling their shares, in some cases to another
company which is interested in a takeover, and new equity capital becomes difficult to raise.
We consider the costs of individual sources of funds, before and after taxation and then show
how these costs can be combined into an overall cost of capital.
A company’s cost of capital is closely linked to its value. We examine the extent to which a
company can improve its value by choosing an optimal mix of funds. This question has produced
a detailed and lengthy on-going debate.
The cost of equity capital represents the minimum expected return required by shareholders from
the investment of their funds by the company’s management. It is sometimes referred to as an
opportunity cost. If investors do not get this return, they will transfer some or all of their
investments elsewhere. Therefore, the yield on equity is the opportunity cost to shareholders of
not investing elsewhere.
Two possible ways of estimating the cost of equity capital of a firm are:
A company’s cost of equity, usually given by the symbol Ke, can be estimated using the CAPM
formula:
Ke = 𝐑 𝐅 + (𝐑 𝐌 - 𝐑 𝐅 )𝛃
The CAPM provides a very workable, and probably the best, method of estimating the
company’s cost of equity capital. The main advantage of the model compared with the DVM is
that it does make an attempt to estimate the required return, building it up from a pure rate of
interest and risk premium.
The cost of a firm’s equity can be estimated using the dividend valuation model which assumes
that the market value of a share is equal to the expected future dividends received on that share
discounted at the shareholders required rate of return.
The model can be used to evaluate the cost of equity capital by rearranging the share valuation
formula.
Po = D/ r
Po = D1/ r-g
For the cost of equity, we need to make r the subject of the formula and rename it Ke.
𝐝
𝐊𝐞 =
𝐏𝐨
Ke from the constant growth in dividends model:
𝐝𝟏
𝐊𝐞 = + 𝐠
𝐏𝐨
If we are trying to estimate the Ke, the main practical problem is trying to estimate the future
growth rate. Whichever way you do it, the estimate is subject to a high degree of error.
In examining the cost of equity capital, it is best, therefore, to use both the CAPM and the DVM
and to compare the results, perhaps giving more weight to the CAPM but recognizing its
potential errors.
Exercise 1
Salomiya plc has just paid a dividend of 30p per share. The market price per share is £2.5. Future
dividends are expected to grow at 5% per annum. Estimate the cost to the company of using the
equity finance.
The above discussion has focused on the cost of continuing to use equity capital which is already
in issue. This includes the cost of using retained earnings, which could otherwise be returned to
shareholders as dividends.
When new equity capital is issued, the returns earned on the new funds should be the same as
those earnings on existing funds, provided that there is no change in the systematic risk involved
in the use to which the funds are put.
New issues are subject to issue costs, however, which are the lowest for the rights issues and
placing, and highest on offers for sale to the general public. The DVM can adjusted to allow for
issue costs, as follow:-
𝐝
𝐊𝐞 =
𝐏𝐨(𝟏 − 𝐟)
𝐝
𝐊𝐞 = + 𝐠
𝐏𝐨(𝟏 − 𝐟)
Exercise 2
Lucah plc has 20 million ordinary shares in issue quoted at £2.20 each. A dividend of 40p has
just been paid. Future dividends are expected to grow at 10% per annum. The company now
proposes to issue £2 million worth of shares, incurring £140,000 of issue costs. This money will
be invested in projects of the same systematic risk as existing operations. Estimate the costs of
new equity finance.
The cost of debt is the figure which balances the cash received from investors with future
payments made for interest and redemption. Remember from a previous lecture that interest is
fully allowed for corporation tax unlike dividend payments.
We may distinguish irredeemable debt and debt redeemable at the current market price from the
debt redeemable at other than the current market price (or issue price if currently being issued).
Irredeemable debt is debt that will be issued by a company, which will not be redeemed. As such
the study of irredeemable debt is only of a theoretical nature. It doesn’t exist in practice.
𝐢
𝐊𝐝 = (𝐢𝐠𝐧𝐨𝐫𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐭𝐚𝐱𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧)
𝐏𝐨
𝐢(𝟏 − 𝐭)
𝐊𝐝 = (𝐚𝐟𝐭𝐞𝐫 𝐭𝐚𝐱𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧)
𝐏𝐨
Exercise 3
Winnie plc has irredeemable loan stock in issue which pays 5% interest on nominal value. Its
current market price is £80 per £100 nominal. What is the cost of debt, both before and after
corporation tax relief assuming a rate of 33%?
The cost is established by the same formula as for irredeemable stock. Remember that there is no
tax relief on the redemption proceeds.
Exercise 4
Luke plc has in issue loan stock (that is a rate on nominal value) of 7% per annum. It is currently
quoted at £110 per £100 nominal, and will be redeemed for £110 in 2 years’ time. What is the
cost both before and after tax relief assuming a rate of 33%?
The cost of debt is the interest rate which links the NPV of future payments by the company with
its current market price.
Essentially, this means finding an IRR for the cash flows, which has to be done by trial and error.
Tarchanai plc has in issue 9% debentures which are redeemable in 5 years at £96 per £100
nominal. The current market price is £92. Estimate the cost of debt capital before and after
corporation tax relief 33%.
The cost of debt capital in the above illustration represent the cost of continuing to use the
finance. It would represent the cost of raising additional fixed interest capital if we assume that
the cost of additional capital would be equal to the cost of that already issued. If a company has
not already issued any fixed interest capital, it may estimate the cost of doing so by making a
similar calculation for another company which is judged to be similar as regards risk.
Most debt raised by companies is now in the form of bank loans rather than loan stock. If a fixed
rate of interest is paid, the cost of the loan to the company is simply this interest rate, adjusted for
tax relief:
In practice, most bank loans are at floating rates. Banks will peg the interest rate they charge to a
standard interest rate such as LIBOR. This rate will fluctuate daily. The bank will add a fixed
number of percentage points to LIBOR when charging the customer (for example, LIBOR + 2%)
With this type of finance, the cost of capital at any point of time is easily seen but it is difficult to
forecast the future cost to use in financing calculations. If a firm has a floating rate debt, then the
cost of an equivalent fixed interest debt should be substituted. Equivalent usually means fixed
interest debt with similar term to maturity in a firm of similar standing. This would be a better
rate to use rather than the current rate of interest because this takes into account the markets
forecast of future interest rates.
When a firm uses different forms of finance, its overall cost of funds will be the weighted
average of the individual sources of funds used. The weights used in this calculation should be
the market values of the funds employed because these are the values used in computing the cost.
A simple example will illustrate this point:
Cutemon plc has two types of funds: equity shares and 6% irredeemable debentures. The market
values of the funds are shown below:
The company earns annual profits of £1.8 million before interest. After interest all the surplus is
distributed as dividends. Ignore corporation tax. The company expects to maintain stable profits
into the foreseeable future but to show no growth.
Required:
𝐄 𝐃
𝐖𝐀𝐂𝐂 = [ 𝐊𝐞 𝐱 ] + [ 𝐊𝐝 𝐱 (𝟏 − 𝐭) 𝐱 ]
𝐄+𝐃 𝐄+𝐃
Note: If the Cost of Capital is more than three than it is advisable to use table method to compute
the WACC answer rather than using the formula.
£ Million
Ordinary shares (@ £1 par) 45
Retained earnings 90
10% loan 55
190
The share price of the company is 150p and it has just paid a net dividend of 15p. A growth rate
of 10% per annum has been achieved in dividends, but future growth is estimated to be 5%. The
loan is trading at par on the market and the corporation tax rate is 33%. Compute the WACC.
………………………………………………………………………………………………………
The WACC is used frequently in appraising capital projects. It is recommended for use on the
assumption that the WACC reflects a company’s long-term future capital structure and the
company continues to invest in projects which carry the same level of risk as existing operations.
1. The business risk is constant – this means that the any new project that the firm undertakes
will be in the same line of business as the firms existing operations.
2. The financial risk is constant – this means that any new finance raised to undertake the
project will be in the same proportion as the firm’s existing gearing/capital structure level. It
assumes that the firms gearing level will remain unchanged when a new a project is
undertaken.
The arguments against using WACC are primarily based around the assumptions:
1. New investments undertaken by a company might have different business risk characteristics
from existing operations. As a consequence, the return required might go up or down because
business risk is perceived to be higher or lower. The CAPM is one method by which we can
derive a risk adjusted discount rate specific to each project. The existing cost of equity and
hence the existing WACC will only be of use if the new projects is of average systematic risk
for the firm.
What of those cases where the conditions do not hold? For example, large capital projects
involving major issues of funds and a change in the risk profile of the business. It is possible to
make adjustments to the WACC to allow for these factors, but there are more effective ways of
tackling the problem which do not need the use of WACC.
Question 1
a) Kent plc has issued 10 million ordinary shares of £1. Details of the company’s dividends per
share during the past four years are as follows:-
The current (December 2005) market value of each ordinary share of Kent plc is £2.35 cum div.
The 2005 dividend of 30p per share is due to paid January 2006.
You are required to estimate the cost of capital for Kent plc ordinary share capital.
b) Ten years ago Freak plc issued £2.5 million 6% redeemable debentures at a price of £98 per
cent. The debentures are redeemable six years from now at a price of £102 per cent. They are
currently quoted at £59 per cent, ex interest.
You are required to estimate the cost of debt for Freak plc redeemable debentures, without
tax, and with a corporation tax rate of 30%.
c) The following figures are from the current balance sheet of Crazy plc:
£000
Issued ordinary share capital (@ £1 par) 8,000
Share premium 2,000
Reserves 6,000
Shareholders’ funds 16,000
12% Irredeemable debentures 4,000
Annual ordinary dividend of 20p per share has just been paid. In the past, ordinary dividends
have grown at a rate of 10% per annum and this rate of growth is expected to continue. Annual
interest has recently been paid on the debentures. The ordinary shares are currently quoted at
£2.75 and the debentures at £80 per cent. The corporation tax rate is 30%.
You are required to estimate the weighted average cost of capital for Crazy plc.
Your company is considering the possible effects on its cost of capital if conversion of a
convertible debenture occurs. Stock market prices have recently been very volatile, and could
easily rise or fall by 10% or more during the next two months. The convertible is a £20m 8%
debenture with four years to maturity, which was originally issued at its par value of £100. The
debentures current market price is £110. Redemption in four years’ time would be at the par
value of £100. The company has other debt with a market value of £23m.
Your company could currently issue straight debt par of £100 with redemption yield of 9%.
The company’s current share price is 520p, the market value of shares is £180m, and financial
gearing 80% equity to 20% debt (by market values).
The systematic risk of the company’s equity is similar to that of the market, and is thought to be
unlikely to change in the near future.
Required:
Assuming that no major changes in interest rates occur during the next two months, estimate the
impact on the company’s cost of capital if:
(i) The company’s share price in two months’ time is 470p, and no conversion takes
place.
(ii) The company’s share price in two months’ time is 570p, and conversion takes
place.
The finance director of Sarah plc is considering how to finance a major new expansion of
existing activities. The investment will cost £40m and is expected to last for five years.
£m
Medium-term floating rate loans 34
11% debentures redeemable July 2007 56
Issued ordinary shares (50p par value) 15
Reserves 82
Other information:
1) The company’s current share price ex-div is 478p, and the debenture price ex-interest is
£107.8. Each debenture is redeemable at its par value of £100.
2) Issue cost of externally financed equity are expected to be 6.5% of the total raised. Their
needs to be a minimum issue of £20m, otherwise issue costs increase substantially.
3) Issue costs of new debentures are estimated to be 3.5%.
4) The equity beta of Sarah plc is 1.15
5) The current dividend per share is 36.4p and dividends have grown by approximately 4%
per year for last three years.
6) The risk free rate is 3.5% per year and the market return is 11% per year.
7) The corporate tax rate is 30%
8) Sarah plc wishes to maintain its current capital structure.
Required:
b) Discuss whether or not the techniques used in part (a) could be applied unlisted
companies.
If you can reduce the WACC this results in a higher market value/net present value of the
company and therefore increases shareholders wealth.
100 100
Market value of a company = 667 = 𝟏, 𝟎𝟎𝟎
0.15 0.10
If it is possible to reduce the WACC by changing the gearing ratio, finance managers have
a duty to achieve this optimal gearing level / capital structure.
What mixture of debt (Kd) and equity (Ke) will give us the lowest WACC?
a) Debt less risky than equity, therefore the return required by investors is lower.
b) Tax relief on interest payments.
The company gets tax relief on interest payments but not on dividends e.g. 10% (1 - 0.3) = 7.0%
(cost of debt – from the company’s viewpoint is after tax relief)
The geared company’s dividends is more volatile and therefore the financial risk is higher thus
the shareholders will demand a relatively higher return to compensate for the higher risk.
The reduction in WACC caused by the cheaper debt The Increase in WACC caused by
the increase in financial risk and
keg
Gearing Theories
In 1958 Franco Modigliani and Merton Miller stated that a company’s level of gearing (capital
structure) has no effect on shareholder wealth.
Keg
Keu WACC Vu Vg
Kd
The cost of equity is directly linked to the level of gearing. The financial risk to
shareholders increases, therefore Keg increases as gearing increases.
Conclusion: The WACC and the total value of the firm are unaffected by gearing
levels.
In 1963 M + M modified their model to reflect the fact, that the corporate tax system
gives tax relief on interest payments.
Keg Vg
Keu Vu
WACC
7% Kd
1) Bankruptcy risk
As a company begins to “suffer” from high gearing some of the following problems may come
into play. If bankruptcy situation finally occur, the assets may be sold off quickly and cheaply. A
large proportion of management time is spent “firefighting” i.e. focusing on short-term cash flow
rather than long-term shareholder wealth.
Key staffs leave to avoid being tainted by a failed company. Uncertainties are placed in the
minds of customers and suppliers, which may result in lost sales and more expensive trading
terms. Shareholders refuse to invest new funds for +NPV projects, as they do not wish “to throw
good money after bad”.
In order to safeguard their investments debentures holders often impose restrictive condition in
the loan agreements that constrains management’s freedom of action.
E.g. restriction:
3) Tax exhaustion
After a certain level of gearing companies will discover that they have no tax liability left against
which to offset interest charges.
High levels of gearing are unusual because companies run out of suitable assets to offer as
security against loans. Companies with assets, which have an active second-hand market, and
low levels of depreciation such as property companies, have a high borrowing capacity.
Business failure can have a far greater impact on directors than on a well-diversified investor. It
may be argued that directors have a natural tendency to be cautious about borrowing.
The Assumptions:
As gearing increases:
Vg = Vu + Dt
g = geared
u = ungeared
𝐃𝐭
WACC = Keu x [ ]
𝐄+𝐃
Note: When a firm is ungeared, the cost of equity and the WACC will be the same
𝐃 (𝟏−𝐭)
Keg = Keu + [ (𝐊𝐞𝐮 − 𝐊𝐝) 𝐱 ]
𝐄
Keg
WACC
Keu Vu Vg
Kd
The WACC will initially fall because of the benefit of the cheaper debt (after tax) is greater than
the increase in Ke.
However the WACC will then rise when the bankruptcy costs cause shareholders to demand a
return (Ke) that outweighs the benefit of the cheaper debt.
There is an optimal gearing ratio at which WACC is minimized and the total value of the
company is maximized.
While we accept that the WACC is probably U shaped for firms generally, we cannot precisely
calculate a best gearing level.
The optimum level will differ from one firm to another and can only be found by trial and error.
In this approach, there is no search for an optimal structure through a theorized process. Firms
simply use all their internally generated funds first then move down the pecking order to debt
and then finally to issuing new equity. Firms follow a line of least resistance that establishes the
capital structure.
Debt
The degree of questioning and publicity associated with debt is usually significantly less than
that associated with a share issue.
Moderate issue costs.
Perception by stock markets that is a possible sign problems. Myers and Majluf (1984)
provide a theoretical explanation of why an equity issue might be bad news – managers will
only issue shares when they believe the firm’s shares are over-priced.
Benefit Stewart (1990) puts it differently: “Raising equity conveys doubt. Investors suspects
that management is attempting to shore up the firm’s financial resources for rough times
ahead by selling over-valued shares”.
Extensive questioning and publicity associated with a share issue.
Expensive issue costs.
ROE
This is a measure of return relating solely to the shareholders. It is calculated after taxation and
before dividends has been paid out. It gives an indication as to how well the company has
performed for its shareholders, the most important stakeholders. The impact of differing levels
of gearing will have an impact on the return.
It is useful to compare the ROE to the ROCE to measure the amount of the return underlying to
the business that pertains to the shareholders. Note however that they are not directly comparable
ROE being post-tax and ROCE, pre-tax.
ROCE
ROCE gives a measure of the underlying performance of the business finance. It gives an
indication of the health of the business in generating a return on its investments. Gearing has no
impact on the return and hence this is the most important measure of profitability to calculate.
The ratio is calculated before tax allowing return to be compared between companies under
differing tax regimes.
Note: Capital Employed represents the total funds invested in the business, it includes Equity
and Long-term Debt.
Formula:
A company is considering a number of funding options for a new projects. The new projects may
be funded by £10m of equity or £10m debt. Below are the forecast financial statements given the
projects have been funded in each manner.
£m
Turnover 100.0
Operating Profit 5.0
Corporation tax is charged at 30%
Required:
Full disclosure of fully diluted EPS, in addition to EPS is required when the fully diluted EPS is
more than 5% away from the EPS. In FM, use is often made of potential shares issues at a future
date: such as;
Exercise 2
On 1 April 20x3, the company issued by way of rights or otherwise £1,250,000 8% convertible
unsecured loan stock for cash at par. Each £100 nominal of the stock will be convertible in
20x6/20x9 into the number of ordinary shares set out below:
Relevant information:
Required:
Calculate the basic EPS and fully diluted EPS for 20x4 and 20x3.
Dummy plc is a confectionery manufacturing company that is keen to expand its current
operations.
The board is currently considering two proposals to raise the £300,000 required for the
expansion:
The Finance Directors main concern is increasing the level of gearing within the firm. He asks
you to provide some information he can use at the forthcoming board meeting.
£000
Ordinary share capital (£1 shares) 3000
Reserves 500
7% Preference shares (£1 shares) 1000
12% Secured irredeemable loan stock 1500
6000
Additional information:
1. The last dividend paid to ordinary shareholders was 22 pence per share.
2. Records show that dividends to ordinary shareholders are growing at a constant rate of 3%
per annum.
3. The current rate of corporation tax is 35%.
Required:
a) Calculate the current weighted average cost of capital using the market values.
b) Calculate the current debt/debt + equity ratio and the revised ratio should proposal (i) be
taken.
c) If the rights issue route is followed and shareholders are offered one new share for every
3 currently held at what price must they be sold in order to raise the capital required for
the expansion and what would be the TERP?
Modigliani and Miller developed their original theories before the CAPM was developed in 1964.
Using our knowledge of the CAPM we can now see that when M & M describe operating risk, we should
substitute ‘systematic risk of the firm’s operations’.
Financial risk (from borrowing) cannot be ‘diversified away’ and will therefore increase the systematic
risk of a share if the company is geared. In other words the beta factor of a share in a geared company will
be higher than the beta of that share if the company were ungeared.
By combining the formulae of M & M the formulae of M & M for the cost of equity and the CAPM
model formula we can arrive at the following formulae for the betas of geared and ungeared shares in
companies with the same level of systematic risk in their operations:
𝐃
Ignoring corporation tax: 𝛃𝐠 = 𝛃𝐮 [𝟏 + 𝐄
]
𝐃
Allowing for corporation tax: 𝛃𝐠 = 𝛃𝐮 [𝟏 + (𝟏 − 𝐭) 𝐄 ]
Where 𝛽𝑔 and 𝛽𝑢 are the betas in the geared and ungeared firms. D and E is the market value of debt and
equity, and t is the corporation tax rate.
These formulae can be seen to be the averaging formulae for the beta of equity and the beta of debt. The
beta of debt is zero because we assume, like M & M, that the debt in the company is risk-free. Take the
case when corporation tax is ignored.
According to M & M
𝐖𝐀𝐂𝐂 𝐠 = 𝐖𝐀𝐂𝐂 𝐮
Thus the overall β of the geared firm will also be equal to the 𝛽 of the ungeared firm, that is βu .
The overall β of the geared firm is the average of the beta of the ungeared equity, βg and the beta of debt
is zero. Thus:
𝐄 𝐃
𝛃𝐮 = [ 𝛃𝐠 𝐱 ] + [ 𝛃𝐝 𝐱 ]
𝐃+𝐄 𝐃+𝐄
𝐄 𝐃
𝛃𝐮 = [ 𝛃𝐠 𝐱 ] + [𝟎 𝐱 ]
𝐃+𝐄 𝐃+𝐄
𝐄
- 𝛃𝐠 𝐱 = 𝛃𝐮
𝐃+𝐄
𝐃+𝐄
- 𝛃𝐠 = 𝛃𝐮 [ 𝐄
]
𝐃
- 𝛃𝐠 = 𝛃𝐮 [𝟏 + 𝐄 ]
In an earlier chapter, we suggested that the CAPM could be very useful for identifying a discount
rate suitable for project appraisal. We then said that in order to estimate the beta for a project, we
could look at the betas of companies in a similar line of business to the project .The problem that
we raised at that stage was that these companies would usually have debt in their capital
structure, which affected the beta. We are now in a position to solve that problem, using the
‘geared beta formula’.
Exercise 1:
Mark plc is a company that manufactures motor vehicle components. It is considering a new
project producing electronic components, which is known to be considering more risky than its
existing business.
The equity beta of Mark plc is 0.89 and the average equity beta of companies in electronic
components is 1.71.Mark plc is an –equity financed firm whereas the electronic components
companies are geared on average to a ratio of 30% debt: 70% equity. The risk –free rate of
interest is 8% and the return on the market, 15%.The corporation tax rate is 35%.
1. Degear the equity beta of electronic companies (i.e. find the ‘asset beta’).
2. Estimate the required rate of return which Mark should expect on its new venture, assuming it
remains all – equity financed.
3. Estimate the weighted average cost of capital of Mark‘s new electronics division if it
borrowed to a gearing level of 20% debt: 80% equity.
In practice, debt issued by companies is not risk –free. It has been estimated that a reasonable
figure for the beta of debt issued by large corporation is between 0.2 to 0.3.This affects the
‘geared 𝛽’ formula, which can be amended by using the weighted average approach.
The overall 𝛽 of a geared firm will be equal to the weighted average of the beta of geared equity,
𝛽g, and the beta of the debt 𝛽d. When we include corporation tax, the market value of debt is
multiplied by the factor (1-t) in the formula.
𝐄 𝐃(𝟏−𝐭)
Thus, u = [ 𝛃𝐠 ] + [ 𝛃𝐝 ]
𝐄+𝐃(𝟏−𝐭) 𝐄+𝐃(𝟏−𝐭)
Question 1
The management of Nelson plc wishes to estimate their firm’s equity beta Neslon has had a stock
market quotation for only two months and the financial manager feels that it would be
inappropriate to attempt to estimate beta from the actual share price behavior over such a short
period. Instead it is proposed to ascertain and where necessary adjust, the observed equity betas
of other companies operating in the same industry, and with the same operating characteristics as
Neslon, as these should be based on similar level of systematic risk and be capable of providing
an accurate estimate of Neslon’s beta .
Three companies have been identified as firms having operation in the same industry as Nelson
which utilize identical operating characteristics .However only one company, Oak plc operates
exclusive in the same industry as Neslon. The other two companies have some dissimilar
activities or opportunities in addition to operating characteristics which are identical to those of
Nelson.
1. Oak plc – Observed equity beta 1.12.Capital structure at market values is 60% equity, 40%
debt.
2. Beech plc – Observed equity beta 1.11.It is estimated that 30% of the current market value of
Beech is caused by risky growth opportunities which have an estimated beta of 1.9.The growth
opportunities are reflected in the observed beta. The current operating activities of Beech are
identical to those of Nelson. Beech is financed entirely by equity.
Pine plc – Observed equity beta 1.14.Pine has two division, East and West .East’s operating
characteristics are considered to be identical to those of nelson. The operating characteristics of
West are considered to be 50% more risky than those of East .In terms of financial valuation East
is estimated as being twice as valuable as west. Capital structure of Pine at market values is 75%
equity, 25% debt.
a) Assuming that all debt is virtually risk-free, determine three estimate of the likely equity beta
of Nelson plc.The three estimates should be based, separately on the information provided for
Oak, Beech and Pine plc.
b) Explain why the estimated beta of beta of Nelson when eventually determined from observed
share price movements may differ from those derived from the approach employed in (a) above.
c) Specify the reasons why a company which has a high level of share price volatility and is
generally considered to be extremely risky can have a lower beta value, and therefore lower
financial risk, than an equally geared firm whose share price is much less volatile.
Biggo plc runs a chain of food retailers. The company is considering opening a chain of
department stores. In order to estimate a suitable discount rate for this investment, some data is
obtained on a quoted company, Smallo plc which runs a successful department store business.
Financed by
Bank loans 21.2 17.2
Ordinary shares 16.0 4.0
Reserves 60.4 12.2
97.6 33.4
The par value of ordinary shares is 25p for Biggo and £ 1 for Smallo.
Biggo plc can borrow at 0.5% above the Treasury bill rate, which is currently 5% per year.
Corporation tax is payable at 30%. The return on the market is estimated at 13 % per annum.
Biggo does not expect its financial gearing to change significantly if the company diversifies into
the new business. The beta of corporate debt can be taken as approximately 0.2.
Required:
Estimate a risk adjusted WACC, which Biggo can use in the appraisal of its proposed
diversification.
The government has just announced that the corporation tax rate is being reduced from 33% per
year to 30% per year and the directors of Baris plc wish to know the likely effect of this change
on the company’s share price and cost of capital. The company’s current capital structure is as
follows.
£m
Ordinary shares (50p per value) 30
Share premium 48
Other reserves 62
Shareholders’ equity 140
10% irredeemable debentures 40
180
The company’s shares are trading at 320p ex-div, and the debentures at £ 125 ex-interest. Prior to
the tax change Baris’s beta equity was 1.2. The market return is 13% per year. The tax cut itself
is expected to increase the net present value of Baris’s operating cash flows by £ 15m. Assume
that the cost of debt and market price of debt do not change as a result of this tax change. Baris’s
debt may be assumed to be risk free.
Required:
c) Explain the reason for the difference between the old and the new cost of capital
d) Briefly discuss:
i) The main limitations of this analysis
ii) The importance in investment decision of accurate estimate of the cost of capital.
A merger is in essence the pooling of interest by two business entities, which results in common
ownership.
However it is quite normal for an acquisition to be referred to as a merger for the following PR
reasons (forget about ACR please).
ORGANIC GROWTH
Organic Growth is internally generated growth within the firm.
Organic growth permits an organization to carefully plan its strategic growth in line with stated
objectives. It is less risky than growth by acquisition, which occurs at one go.
The cost is often much higher in an acquisition. As the bidding company usually has to pay a
significant acquisition premium to acquire the target company.
Post-acquisition integration problems. The integration process is often a difficult process due to
cultural differences between the two companies.
If a company has chosen to enter a particular market, the quickest way is to purchase an
established company in the product or geographical market. The alternative is to grow
organically which may lead to oversupply and excessive competition.
To eliminate competition and increases market power in order to be able to exercise some
control over the price of the product. A company may be able to push up the price of the goods
sold because customers have few alternatives e.g. monopoly or by collusion with other
producers.
To acquire the target company’s staff highly trained staff. To apply their talent, knowledge and
techniques to the parent company’s existing and future products lines to give them a competitive
edge.
The most common areas for the examiner to explore are the effect of a takeover on the share
price or the EPS of a company, and hence the wealth of shareholders.
AFFECT ON THE SHARE PRICE I.E. THE NET PRESENT VALUE OF A COMPANY.
Synergy occurs when combined entity is worth more than the sum of the companies apart.
If A and B as individual companies present values are £120m and £100m respectively and the
value of 𝐏𝐕𝐀+𝐁 𝐏𝐎𝐒𝐓 𝐀𝐂𝐐 = 𝐏𝐕𝐀 + 𝐏𝐕𝐁 + 𝐒𝐧𝐞𝐫𝐠𝐲 the combined entity after merge costs
(underwrites fees, legal and accounting fees, stock exchange fees and etc.) is £270m, the synergy
from merger is:
If A pays more than the £50m this is known as the “winners curse”.
This will demand on the price paid for B. However it is normal for the acquiring company to pay
a significant premium (i.e. an immediate payment for “part of” the synergy) to gain control,
this is called an acquisition or bid premium.
The average acquisition premium is about 30% - 50%. Therefore the shareholders of the target
company normally benefit from the merger e.g. say A paid £130m for B. Therefore the value
created by the merger has been split as follow £20m to A’s shareholders and £30m to B’s
shareholders.
Exercise 1
Hi plc has made a bid for Lo plc. The offer is 1 share in Hi plc for every 2 shares in Lo plc.
Required: Please calculate the post-merger share price in the enlarged Hi plc.
Answer:
Value of Equity
Hi
Lo
PV of the synergies
The bootstrapping argument is that the share price of the combined company =
Post acq EPS x Pre acq P/E ratio of the bidding company
It contends that the share price can rise (under certain conditions) despite there being no
synergies identified by the merger.
………………………………………………………………………………………………………
X20 X10
Hi Lo
Hi has a much superior management team than Lo and has a much brighter future. This fact is
denoted by their respective P/E ratios: investors are willing to pay 20 times the earnings to buy
shares in Hi. But investors in Lo are only willing to pay 10 times the earnings.
Therefore all profits in the enlarged Hi (i.e. the original Hi profits and Lo profits) are now
multiplied by the factor of 20 i.e. pre-acquisition P/E ratio of the Hi – biding company.
The enlarged Hi
X20
It is unlikely, as the sophisticated lead investors will what to see a detailed breakdown of the
synergies. They will say: “show me the synergy” and then undertake a detailed analysis the risk
of the synergy.
Be careful as bootstrapping question has been very poorly answered in the past.
Exercise 2
A plc has made a bid for B plc. The offer is 2 share in A plc for every 3 shares in B plc.
Answer:
A plc £200.00m
B plc 50m x 2/3 = £33.33m
------------
£233.33m
908
Post-merger share price: = £3.89
233.33
A shareholders in B plc gets 2 shares in A plc (£3.89) for every 3 shares of B plc.
The new share price of £3.89 is lower than current market price of A plc which is £4.04, which
reflects the fact that the premium payment to B plc shareholders has reduced the wealth of A
plc’s shareholders. Therefore before acquisition premium is paid, consideration should be given
to the synergistic effects of the acquisition.
Directors of the acquiring company have a duty to their shareholders not to reduce their wealth.
There is a potential conflict of interest directors and shareholders and thus a potential corporate
governance angle to merger and acquisition questions.
Exercise 3
In a recent meeting of the board of directors of KFC plc the chairman proposed the acquisition of
Ayamas plc.
During his presentation the chairman stated that ‘As a result of this takeover we will diversify
our operations and our earnings per share will rise by 13%, bringing great benefits to our
shareholders’.
No bid has yet been made, and KFC currently owns only 2% of Ayamas. A bid would be based
on a share for share exchange, which would be one KFC share for every six Ayamas shares.
KFC Ayamas
£m £m
Turnover 56.0 42.0
Profit before tax 12.0 10.0
Profit available to ordinary shareholders 7.8 6.5
Dividends 3.2 3.4
Retained earnings 4.6 3.1
Issued ordinary shares 20m 15m
Market price per share 320 pence 45 pence
KFC and Ayamas share par value are 50 pence and 10 pence respectively.
A non-executive director has recently stated that he believes “the share price of KFC will rapidly
increases to £3.61 following the announcement of the bid.”
Required:
a) Explain whether you agree with the chairman’s and the non-executive director’s
assessment of the benefits of the proposed takeover. State clearly any assumptions that
you make.
b) Support your explanation with relevant calculations, including your assessment of the
likely post acquisition share price of KFC if the bid is successful.
Exchange Rates
An exchange rate is the rate at which one country’s currency is traded in relation to another
country’s currency. There will be two rates being quoted, by dealers for buying and selling the
currencies.
Exchange rates between currencies in the EMU have been fixed in terms of the new European
single currency, the EURO, since its inception in 1999. The UK is not yet a member of the EMU.
The euro is a hard currency.
The spot rate is the rate for delivery of the currency immediately. The forward rate is the rate
which applies to a transaction in the currency at a future time. The forward rate will be
determined based on the relative interest rate differences between the countries concerned. We
will look at this issue in the future.
The FOREX markets are generally considered to be the largest financial markets in the world.
London is the largest FX market in the world, followed by New York. The demand for foreign
currency usually comes from importers and exporters of goods and services. Banks usually play
an active role in the FX markets.
Foreign exchange quotations can be obtained on an immediate basis from FX dealers or from
banks. Major newspaper will quote the latest rates as done up to a point in time.
Direct Quote – Which is the number of domestic currency units needed to buy one unit of
foreign currency (e.g. from a UK viewpoint, US$1 = £0.64)
Indirect Quote – Which is the number of foreign currency units needed to buy one unit of
domestic currency (e.g. from a UK viewpoint, US$1.56 = £1)
Currencies can appreciate or depreciate relative to another currency. For example, if the $/£
exchange rate moves from US$1.56/£ to US$1.63£, the £ has strengthened/appreciated, or you
could say that US$ has weakened/depreciated.
This is the rate quoted for immediate delivery of the currency. For example, the $/£ spot rate can
be quoted as follows:
1.4215 – 1.4225
If buying $ from the bank the company would receive the offer rate of $1.4215 for every £1,
which is the smaller and least favorable of the two rates.
If selling $ to the bank, the company would have to give to the bank $1.4225 for every £1 it
receives. This is again the least favorable of the two rates. The bank always wins!
The difference between the two rates is the banks profit, and it is also known as the spread.
Dealers at the banks make the market by quoting the bid and offer prices at which they are
prepared to buy and sell. The size of the spread between bid and offer rates varies depending on
the following:
The usual factors which influence the movement of exchange rates will be the demand and
supply of the currency. The demand and supply for the currency will in turn come from:
1. The rate of inflation, compared with inflation rate in other countries (Purchasing Power
Parity Theory – see below)
2. Interest rates, compare with interest rates in other countries
3. The balance of payments
4. Speculation
5. Sentiments of investors towards a particular currency
6. Government intervention on exchange rates
This theory predicts that the exchange value of a foreign currency depends on the relative
purchasing power of each currency in its own country and that spot exchange rates will vary over
time according to relative price changes. This is also sometimes referred to as the law of one
price. This theory can be used to predict future exchange rates. PPPT can be expressed in the
following equation:
Where: so is the current lower foreign currency spot exchange rate (at time 0)
St is the expected spot rate at time t
if is the expected inflation in the foreign country to time t (expressed as a decimal)
iuk is the expected inflation in the home country to time t (expressed as a decimal)
In the real world, exchange rates move towards PPPT only over the long-term. However, the
theory is sometimes used to predict future exchange rates in investment appraisal problems
where forecast of relative inflation rates are available
There are a number of exchange rate policies which are open to governments. These are:
1. Fixed exchange rates – this is a situation where the government rigidly fixes its exchange
rate. The government will intervene in the FX markets to ensure the rate remains fixed.
2. Free floating exchange rates – these are directly opposite the rate suggested above, where
the rate is free to be determined by market forces.
3. A moveable peg system – this is a situation where the government allows the exchange rate
to fluctuate around a peg which it deems to be desirable.
4. Managed floating – where the currency is said to be freely floating, but in reality, the
government may intervene to ‘manage’ the currency. This is sometimes referred to as a
‘dirty’ float.
Exchange risk can be defined as the variability of a firm’s value that is due to uncertain exchange
rate changes. There are three types of exposure to currency risk:
1. Economic exposure risk – this can be defined as the effects of exchange rate movements on
the international competitiveness of a company. Economic exposure may be difficult to
avoid, although diversification of the supplier and customer base across different countries
may reduce this kind of exposure to risk.
2. Translation exposure risk – this refers to the possibility that the book value of shareholders’
funds may change as a result of a movement in exchange rates. It arises due to the need to
prepare periodic financial statements for a group with foreign subsidiaries. Translation
exposure is an accounting concept which may affect future cash flows, and therefore it must
be treated with caution.
We will now look at the various ways in which FOREX risk can be hedged, focusing on
transaction exposure risk:-
A company can insist that it will only deal with its local currency, either in making payments or
receiving payments. This policy may not really be applicable to a large MNC. It is a policy that
could only be applied by a small company undertaking import and export activities. Even then,
the bargaining position of the company may not allow it.
A forward exchange contracts is an immediately binding contract between a bank and its
customer, for the purchase or sale of a specified quantity of a stated foreign currency, at a rate of
exchange fixed at the time the contract is made. The performance of the contract will be at a
future time, either at a specified date, or between two specified dates (i.e. an option forward
contract).
The rate quoted on a forward exchange contract is known as a forward rate. This rate is not the
bank predicting future rates, but it is in fact the spot rate adjusted for the interest differential
between the two countries.
Forward rates will be quoted as adjustments to the spot rate. It can be either at a premium or at a
discount to the spot rate. It is important to remember that premiums should be deducted from the
spot rate to find the forward rate and discounts should be added to the spot rate.
By now it should be obvious to you that the difference spot rates and forward rates is the interest
rate differential. The principle of interest rate parity (not to be confused with PPPT) links the
foreign exchange markets and the international money markets. This principle can be stated as:
𝟏 + 𝐫$ 𝐟$/£
=
𝟏 + 𝐫£ 𝐒$/£
Where: r$ is the dollar ($) interest rate on a deposit for a certain time period
r£ is the pound (£) interest rate on a deposit for the same period of time
f$/£ is the forward exchange rate $/£ for the same time period
S$/£ is the spot exchange rate $/£
This is also known as a forward option contract, option date forward contract or forward option
dated contract. Such a contract offers the same arrangement as a forward contract except that
there is a choice of dates on which the user can exercise the contract. This is either on any date
up to a specified date or at any time between two future dates. In either case, the forward rate
that applies would be the forward rate, in the period in which the contract can be exercised, that
is the least favorable to the purchaser of the contract.
With the money market hedged, the idea is either to buy or sell the foreign currency at the spot
rate today thereby fixing the exchange rate today and eliminating the exchange rate risk. The
following Question will help explain these techniques:-
It is now October, 2011. Sexy plc is a UK company which exports goods to the USA. Handsome
Inc, one of the customers, is due to pay US$2,140,000 in 6 months’ time in April, 2012. Sexy plc
is concerned that the $ may weaken relative to the £ before the $ is received.
Exchange rates:
Spot rates: $1.5766 - $1.5775/£
Forward rates:
6 month forward rate $1.5708 - $1.5739/£
9 month forward rate $1.5665 - $1.5709/£
Required:
1. Evaluate which is the best method for sexy plc to hedge the currency risk on this transaction,
either a money market hedge or a forward contract.
2. In the past, Handsome Inc has not always paid on the due date and has sometimes paid up to
three months late. What £ would be received if Sexy plc used an option forward contract to
hedge this risk.
Rooney Ltd sells shoes to Italy. A shipment has just been made to a major Italian customer, who
has been invoiced in Italian lire, payable in 3 months’ time. The amount due is 56m lire.
Rooney’s financial director has the following information about foreign exchange rates and
interest rates.
Required:
1. What course of action would you recommend to the finance director for converting the lire
into £, so as to maximize £ receipts from the shipment?
2. How your advice would differ, if at all, were Rooney Ltd also due to make a payment of 30m
lire to an Italian supplier in three months’ time?
Question 3:
Repeat the above example, now assuming a payment of 56m lire in three months’ time.
The exports to Eastern Europe will be paid for by barter exchange of 100,000 tins of meat. Love has
arranged for this tinned meat to be exchange for 70 tons of coffee by its customer in West Africa where
tinned meat is in demand. The West African country’s currency is tied to the French Franc.
Exchange rates
A$/£ Lire/£ Franc/£
Spot 2.1400 – 2.1425 2,208 – 2,210 10.38 – 10.39
3 month forward 2 – 2.5 cents dis 3 – 6 lire dis 5 – 3 centimes pm
6 month forward 3.5 – 4.5 cents dis 5 – 8 lire dis 7 – 5 centimes pm
Assume that interest rate will not change in the next six months.
Love proposes to invest net sterling proceeds from foreign trade in a UK bank. The company wishes to
hedge against all foreign exchange risk, and currently has no surplus cash. Taxation, transaction costs and
margin requirements on futures contracts may be ignored.
Required:
Using the forward market, money market or commodity futures market, as appropriate, estimates the
maximum size of cash surplus or the minimum size of cash that will result from Love’s foreign trade at
the end of six months.
Foreign currency derivatives can be used to hedge foreign currency risk. Futures contracts,
option and swaps are types of derivative
Currency futures
Currency futures are standardized contracts for the sale or purchase at a set future data of a set
quantity of currency. Currency futures are not nearly as common as forward contracts and their
market is much smaller
A future market is an exchange traded market for the purchase or sale of a standard quantity of
an underlying item such as currencies, commodities or shares for settlement at a future date at an
agreed price.
The contract size is the fixed minimum quantity of commodity which can be bought or sold
using a futures contract. In general, dealing on future markets must be in a whole number of
contracts.
The contracts price is the price at which the futures contract can be bought or sold. For all
currencies futures the contract price is in US dollars. The contract price is the figure which is
traded on the futures exchange. It changes continuously and is the basis for computing gains or
losses.
The settlement date (or delivery date, or expiry date) is the date when trading on a particular
futures contract stops and all accounts are settled .On the international Monetary Market (IMM,
in Chicago),the settlement dates for all currency futures are at the end of March, June, September
and December.
A future’s price may be different from the spot price, and this difference is the basis
One tick is the smallest measured movement in the contract price. For currency futures this is a
movement in the fourth decimal place.
Market trader will compute gains or losses on their futures position by reference to the number of
ticks by which the contract price has moved.
A US company buys goods worth €720000 from a German company payable in 30 days. The US
company wants to hedge against the € strengthening against the dollar. Current spot is 0.9215 –
0.9221 € and the € future rate is 0.9245 €.The standard size of a 3 month € future contract is
€125000. In 30 days’ time the spot is 0.9345-0.9351€.Closing future price will be 0.9367.
Evaluate the hedge.
Exercise 6
Assume that it is now 30 June, KYT Inc. Is a company located in the USA that has contracted to
purchase goods from Japan in two months’ time on 1 September? The payment to be made in
yen and will total 140 million yen. The managing director of KYT Inc wishes to protect the
contract against adverse movement in foreign exchange rates and is considering the use of
currency futures. The following data are available.
Required:
a) Illustrate how KYT might hedge its foreign exchange risk using currency futures.
c) Assuming that spot exchange rate is 120 yen/$ on 1 September and that basis risk decreases
steadily in a linear manner, calculate what is the result of the hedge is expected to be. Briefly
discuss why this result might not occur. Margin requirements and taxation may be ignored.
Disadvantage of futures
Currency options
Currency options protect against adverse exchange rate movements while allowing the
investor to take advantage of favourable exchange rate movement. They are particularly useful in
the situation where the cash flow is not certain to occur (e.g. when tendering for overseas
contracts).
A currency option is a right of an option holder to buy (call) or sell (put) foreign currency at a
specific exchange rate at a future date.
The exercise price for the option may be the same as the current spot rate or it may be more
favourable or less favourable to the option holder than the current spot rate.
a) A tailor- made currency option from the bank, suited to the company’s specific needs. These
are over – the counter (OTC) or negotiated option, or
b) A standard option in certain currencies only from an option exchange such option are traded
or exchange traded option.
Buying a currency option involves paying a premium which is the most the buyer of the option
can lose
The purpose of currency option is to reduce or eliminate exposure to currency risks and it is
particularly useful for companies in the following situations:
a) Where there is uncertainty about foreign currency receipts or payments either in timing or
amount. Should the foreign exchange transaction not materialize the option can be sold
on the market (if it has any value) or exercised if this would make a profit.
b) To support the tender for an overseas contracts, priced in a foreign currency
c) To allow the publication of price lists for its goods in a foreign currency
d) To protect the import or export of price – sensitive goods
In both situation (b) and (c), the company would not know whether it had won any export sales
or would have any foreign currency income at the time that it announces its selling prices. It
cannot make a forward exchange contract to sell foreign currency without becoming exposed in
the currency.
Exercise 7
Lukey plc is expecting to receive 20 million Austrian Schillings (Sch) in one month’s time. The
current spot rate is Sch/£ 19.3383 – 19.3582.Compare the results of the following action:
In each case, compute the results if in one month the exchange rate moves to :
a) 21.00
b) 17.60
Receipts Payments
3 months’ time $4.8 million $ 7.6 million
6 months’ time DM 4.5 million DM 2.8 million
Exchange rates in Paris
FF/DM FF/$
Spot 3.3260 – 3.3310 5.5640 – 5.5910
3 months forward 3.3105 – 3.3160 5.5880 – 5.6190
6 months forward 3.2978 – 3.3036 5.6020 – 5.6320
Current bank prime rate (per annum)
3 months 6 months
France 6% 6.25%
Germany 8% 8.30%
USA 4% 4.25%
Let out can borrow at prime plus 1% in France and prime plus 1.5% in Germany and can invest
at 1% below prime in France and Germany.
Franc market traded option prices (125,000 francs contracts size) in the USA
Option prime are in cents per franc and are payable up front. The option is American style.
Assume that it is now 1 June and that option contracts mature on the 15th of the month
Required:
Discuss with supporting calculation how Let out should hedge its foreign exchange risk during
the next six month. Include in you discussion comment about which currency option contracts
might be best for Let out. The company does not wish to take significant risk and wishes to
accumulate as high a cash flow as possible from its foreign trade transaction. Let out currently
has an overdraft of 5.5 million francs. Transaction costs may be ignored.
State clearly any assumption that you make
Currency swaps effectively involve the exchange of debt from one currency to another.
Currency swaps can provide a hedge against exchange rate movement for longer period than the
forward market and can be means of obtaining finance from new countries
A swap is a formal agreement whereby two organizations contractually agree to exchange
payment on different terms, e.g.: in different currencies or one at a fixed rate and the other at a
floating rate”
In a currency swap, the parties agree to swap equivalent amount of currency for a period .This
effectively involves the exchange of debt form one currency to another. Liability on the main
debt (the principal) is not transferred and the third parties are liable to counter party risk: if the
other party defaults on the agreement to pay the interest, the original borrower remains liable to
the lender.
Consider a UK company X with a subsidiary Y in France which owns vineyards. Assume a spot
rate of £1 = 1.6 Euros .Suppose the parent company X wishes to raise the loan of 1.6 million
Euros for the purpose of buying another French wine company. At the same time, the French
subsidiary Y wishes to raise £1 million to pay for new up - to – date capital equipment imported
from UK.The UK parent company X could borrow the £1 million sterling and the French
subsidiary Y could borrow the 1.6 million Euros each effectively borrowing on the other’s
behalf. They would then swap currencies.
a) Swaps are easy to arrange and are flexible since they can be arranged in any size and are
reversible.
b) Transaction costs are low, only amounting to legal fees, since there is no commission or
premium to be paid.
c) The parties can be obtain the currency they require without subjecting themselves to the
uncertainties of the foreign exchange markets
d) The company can gain access to debt finance in other country and currency where it is
little known and consequently has a poorer credit rating ,than in its how country .It can
therefore take advantage of lower interest rates than its could obtain if it arranged the
currencies loan itself.
e) Currency swap may be used to restructure the currency base of the company liabilities.
This may be important where the company trading overseas and receiving revenues in
foreign currencies, but its borrowings are denominated in the currency of its home
country. Currency swaps therefore provide a means of reducing exchange rate exposure.
In practice most currency swap are conducted between banks and their customers. An agreement
may only be necessary if the swap were for longer than say one year.
Exercise 9
Required :
Determine whether A plc should do nothing or hedge its exposure using a currency swap.
Goldsmith mining plc wishes to hedge 1 year foreign exchange risk, which will arise on an
investment in Chile. The investment is for 800m escudos and is expected to yield an amount of
1000m escudos in 1 year time. Goldsmith cannot borrow escudos directly and is therefore
considering two possible hedging techniques:
(a) Entering into a forward contract for the full 1000m escudos receivable
(b) Entering into a currency swap for the 800m escudos initial investment, and then a
forward contract for the 200m escudos profit element.
The currency spot rate is 28 escudos to the pound and the bank has offered a currency swap at 22
escudos/pound with Goldsmith making a net interest payment to the bank of 1% in sterling
(assume at T1 )
Required
Determine whether Goldsmith should hedge its exposure using a forward contract or a currency
swap.
Interest rate risk refers to a risk of an adverse movement in interest rates and thus a reduction in
the company net cash flow.
Instruments bought on the Over the Counter Market OTC are purchased from the major bank
and are usually tailor made to suit the precise requirement of the company. The exchange
traded instruments are of a standard size thus ensuring that they are marketable. In the UK
the market where these instruments are bought and sold is the London International Financial
Futures and Option Exchange (LIFFE)
Example
A 2 v 5 FRA at 6.00 – 5.70
This means an agreement to borrow or lend starts in two months’ time and ends in 5 months’
time (this means borrowing or lending for a period of 3 months ).The higher rate is for
borrowing and the lower rate is for lending
The company is protected from a rise in interest rates but is not able to benefit from a
fall in interest rate-locked it-a FRA hedges the company against both an adverse
movement and a favourable movement.
The FRA is a totally separate contractual agreement from the loan itself and could be
arranged with a completely different bank.
Usually on amounts > £1m the daily turnover in FRAs now exceeds £4bn
As an OTC instrument they can be a tailor made to the company precise requirement
Enables you to hedge for a period of one month up to two years
Interest rate guarantee like all option protect the company from adverse movement and allows it
take advantage of favourable
Decision rules:
IRGs are more expensive than the FRAs as one has to pay for the flexibility to be able to take
advantage of a favourable movement
If the company treasurer believes that interest rates will rise, will he use an FRA or an IRG? He
will use an FRA as it is the cheaper way hedge against the potential adverse movement
If the treasurer is unsure which way interest will move he may be willing to use the more
expensive IRG to be able to benefit from fall in interest rates?
The aim:
To lock the company into the current future interest rate (plus or minus the margin).To hedge
both adverse and favourable interest rate movement
Interest rate futures are effectively contracts to buy or sell the interest on a notional three
month deposit.
If you buy a futures contract you have a contract to deposits money – what you are buying is
the entitlement to interest receipts
If you buy a futures contract you have a contract to borrow money – what you are selling is
the promise to make interest payments
Deposits Loans
This contracted depositing or borrowing starts on the date when futures contract expires i.e. a
December futures contract obliges us to deposits or borrow for three months starting at the end of
December.
However th depositing or borrowing is only notional because we close out the position by
reversing the original deal before the real depositing or borrowing starts i.e. before the expiry
date of the contract.
This means selling futures if you previously bought them or buying them if you previously sold
them to close out the position .The contract cancel out against each other i.e. we have contract to
borrow and deposits the same amounts of money.
The only cash flow that arises is the net interest paid or received i.e. the profit or loss on the
future contracts.
The future contracts arise is priced as (100-r) where r is the interest rate. This implies that the
future price and interest rates moves in an adverse manner.
The aim of the interest rate futures hedge is to obtain a profit in the futures position to offset any
loss on the spot/cash market. However, a futures hedge is rarely perfect due to the existence of
basis.
The current interest rate (cash market rate) and the future interest rate (the futures prices) are
normally different. This difference is called the basis.
Indeed between now and the date the rate is agreed the future rates do not normally move by
exactly the same amount as the cash market rates in which case a perfect hedge will not occur
and the future gain could be smaller or greater than the cash market loss. This risk of this
occurring is known as basis risk.
1) Basis risk – the future rate (as defined by the future prices) moves approximately but not
precisely in line with the cash market rate.
2) If you are not dealing in whole contract and have to round-up to whole contracts
The short sterling contract or the 3 month sterling contract traded on LIFFE is always the
standard size of £500,000.One feature of the futures market is that you can only deal in whole
contacts. Therefore you simply have to round to the nearest whole number.
A tick is a minimum price movement in the futures price. A tick is 0.01% (in decimal, it is
0.0001)
1% is equal to 100 ticks or basis points. The ticks can be used to calculate the profit or loss on a
future contract. The value of a tick on a short sterling £500,000 3 months futures contract is
These are options to buy or sell futures. Therefore all the futures information is still valid:
A call option gives the holder the right to buy the futures contracts
A put option gives the holder the right to sell the futures contract
You always buy the option – buy the right to buy or buy the right to sell
Question 1
The monthly cash budget of HYK Communication plc shows that the company is likely to need
£18m in two months’ time for a period of four months. Financial markets have recently been
volatile due to uncertainties about the impact of the ‘millennium bug’. If severe computer
problem occur in January 2000 the finance director of HYK plc fears that the short term interest
rates could rise by as much as 150 basis points. If few problems occur then short term rates could
fall by 50 basis points. LIBOR is currently 6.5% and HYK plc can borrow at LIBOR + 0.75%
The finance director does not wish the pay more than 7.5% including option premium costs buts
excluding the effect of margin requirements and commissions:
LIFFE £500,000 3 months futures prices are as follows: (The value of one tick is £12.50)
December 93.40
March 93.10
June 93.75
Assume that it is now 1 December and that exchange traded futures and options contracts expire
at the end of the month. Margin requirements and default risk may be ignored
Required:
a) Discuss the results of undertaking EACH of an interest rate futures hedge and an interest
rate options hedge on LIFFE exchange, if LIBOR
i) Increases by 150 basis points AND
ii) Decreases by 50 basis points.
Discuss how successful the hedges would have been. State clearly any assumption that you
make
c) Your finance director has received some quotation for over – the –counter (OTC) interest
rate options and wonders whether or not they are too expensive. Outline the main
determinants if interest rate option prices and comment upon whether or not the OTC
options are likely to be expensive