Missoula Market Trends 1-23-2012

Market Trends Executive Summary
Monday January 23, 2012
MISSOULA, MT
Single Family Homes
This Week
The median list price in MISSOULA, MT this week is $239,450. Inventory has been tightening and days-on-market increasing recently. The Market Action Index has been basically flat, not providing strong indication for market conditions.
Real-Time Market Profile Median List Price $ 239,450 Asking Price Per Square Foot $ 136 Average Days on Market (DOM) 214 Percent of Properties with Price Decrease 23 % Percent Relisted (reset DOM) n/a Percent Flip (price increased) 2% Median House Size (sq ft) 1749 Median Lot Size 8,001 - 10,000 sqft Median Number of Bedrooms 3.0 Median Number of Bathrooms Market Action Index Strong Buyer's 2.0 17.2
Trend + == ==
Supply and Demand

The market has shown some evidence of slowing recently. Both prices and inventory levels are relatively unchanged in recent weeks. Watch the Market Action Index for changes as it can be a leading indicator for price changes.
No change
== Strong upward trend Strong downward trend = Slight upward trend Slight downward trend
Price
Market Action Index
The market seems to have paused around this plateau. The Market Action Index is a good leading indicator for the durability of this trend.
Price Trends
7-Day Rolling Average
Buyer/Seller Cutoff
The Market Action Index answers the question "How's the Market?" by measuring the current rate of sale versus the amount of the inventory. Index above 30 implies Seller's Market conditions. Below 30, conditions favor the buyer.
Quartiles
Quartile Top/First Upper/Second Lower/Third Bottom/Fourth
Median Price Sq. Ft. Lot Size
1.0 - 2.5 acres 0.25 - 0.50 acre 6,501 8,000 sqft 4,501 6,500 sqft
Characteristics per Quartile
Investigate the market in quartiles where each quartile is 25% of homes ordered by price.
Most expensive 25% of properties Upper-middle 25% of properties Lower-middle 25% of properties Least expensive 25% of properties
Beds
Baths
Age Inventory New Absorbed DOM
$ 499,000 $ 289,900 $ 210,000 $ 169,000
2999 2249 1749 1249
4.0 3.0 3.0 3.0
3.0 2.0 2.0 2.0
13 20 30 33
113 113 113 113
4 3 7 6
7 4 6 7
274 231 168 184
Prudential Montana Real Estate | (406) 721-4141
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City Overview
Single Family Homes in
MISSOULA, MT
This Week
The median list price in MISSOULA, MT this week is $239,450. The 452 properties have been on the market for an average of 214 days.
Median List Price Average List Price
Real-Time Market Profile

$ 239,450 $ 323,586 $ 136 214 452 $ 3,985,000 $ 45,900 30 23 % n/a 2% 1749 8,001 - 10,000 sqft 3.0 2.0
Trend
+ == ==
Asking Price Per Square Foot Average Days on Market (DoM) Inventory of Properties Listed Most Expensive Listing
Inventory has been tightening and days-on-market increasing recently. The Market Action Index has been basically flat, not providing strong indication for market conditions.
Least Expensive Listing Average Age of Listing Percent of Properties with Price Decrease Percent Relisted (reset DOM) Percent Flip (price increased) Median House Size (sq ft) Median Lot Size Median Number of Bedrooms
Supply and Demand

The market has shown some evidence of slowing recently. Both prices and inventory levels are relatively unchanged in recent weeks. Watch the Market Action Index for changes as it can be a leading indicator for price changes.
Median Number of Bathrooms
Altos Research Value Statistics

Market Action Index Strong Buyer's 17.2 + The Market Action Index answers the question "How's the Market?" by measuring the current rate of sale versus the amount of the inventory. Index above 30 implies a seller's advantage. Below 30, conditions give the advantage to the buyer.
Trend Key:
No change
== Strong upward trend Strong downward trend = Slight upward trend Slight downward trend
Characteristics per Quartile

Quartile
Top/First Upper/Second Lower/Third Bottom/Fourth
Median Price Sq. Ft. Lot Size Beds Baths Age Inventory New Absorbed DOM
$ 499,000 $ 289,900 $ 210,000 $ 169,000
2999 2249 1749 1249
1.0 - 2.5 acres 0.25 - 0.50 acre 6,501 8,000 sqft 4,501 6,500 sqft
4.0 3.0 3.0 3.0
3.0 2.0 2.0 2.0
13 20 30 33
113 113 113 113
4 3 7 6
7 4 6 7
274 231 168 184
Most expensive 25% of properties Upper-middle 25% of properties Lower-middle 25% of properties Least expensive 25% of properties
Page 2 of 31
City Overview
MISSOULA, MT
Median Price
The market seems to have paused around this plateau. The Market Action Index is a good leading indicator for the durability of this trend.
7-day Average
90-day Average
Quartile Prices
Prices have settled at a price plateau across the board. Prices in all four quartiles are basically mixed. Look for a persistent shift (up or down) in the Market Action Index before prices move from these current levels.
First/Top
Second/Upper
Third/Lower
Fourth/Bottom
Page 3 of 31
City Overview
MISSOULA, MT
Price per Square Foot

The value placed on homes continues to increase, despite the fact that prices in general have been basically flat recently. These conditions can arise when inventory is light and more, smaller homes have more influence on overall prices.
7-day Average
90-day Average
Inventory of Properties Listed for Sale

Inventory has been falling in recent weeks. Note that declining inventory alone does not signal a strengthening market. Look to the Market Action Index and Days on Market trends to gauge whether buyer interest is changing with the available supply.
7-day Average
90-day Average
Page 4 of 31
City Overview
MISSOULA, MT
Market Action Index

The MISSOULA market is currently quite strongly in the Buyer's Advantage zone (below 30). The 90-day Market Action Index stands at 17.19. With several months of inventory available at the current sales rate, buyers should find ample choice.
90-day Average
Buyers/Sellers Cutoff
Market Action Index per Quartile

Not surprisingly given the overall Market Action Index, all quartiles are in the Buyer's Market zone with several months of inventory given the current rate of demand for homes in the quartile. Watch the quartile for changes before the overall market shifts. Often one end of the market (e.g. the low end) will improve and signal a strengthening market before the whole group changes.
First/Top
Second/Upper
Third/Lower
Fourth/Bottom
Buyers/Sellers Cutoff
Residential house prices are a function of supply and demand, and market conditions can be characterized by analyzing those factors. Watch this index for sustained changes: if the index falls into the Buyers Advantage zone (below 30) for a long period, prices are likely in for a downward correction.
Page 5 of 31
City Overview
MISSOULA, MT
Days on Market
The properties have been on the market for an average of 214 days. Half of the listings have come newly on the market in the past 152 or so days.
7-day Average
90-day Average
Days on Market per Quartile

It is not uncommon for the higher priced homes in an area to take longer to sell than those in the lower quartiles.
First/Top
Second/Upper
Third/Lower
Fourth/Bottom
Page 6 of 31

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Market Trends Executive Summary

Monday January 23, 2012

Supply and Demand

7-Day Rolling Average

90-Day Rolling Average

7-Day Rolling Average

90-Day Rolling Average

Characteristics per Quartile

Age Inventory New Absorbed DOM

$ 499,000 $ 289,900 $ 210,000 $ 169,000

2999 2249 1749 1249

4.0 3.0 3.0 3.0

3.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

113 113 113 113

274 231 168 184

Prudential Montana Real Estate | (406) 721-4141

Single Family Homes in

Real-Time Market Profile

Supply and Demand

Median Number of Bathrooms

Altos Research Value Statistics

Characteristics per Quartile

$ 499,000 $ 289,900 $ 210,000 $ 169,000

2999 2249 1749 1249

4.0 3.0 3.0 3.0

3.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

113 113 113 113

274 231 168 184

Monday January 23, 2012

Single Family Homes in

Prudential Montana Real Estate | (406) 721-4141

Monday January 23, 2012

Single Family Homes in

Prudential Montana Real Estate | (406) 721-4141

Price per Square Foot

Inventory of Properties Listed for Sale

Monday January 23, 2012

Single Family Homes in

Prudential Montana Real Estate | (406) 721-4141

Market Action Index

Market Action Index per Quartile

Monday January 23, 2012

Single Family Homes in

Prudential Montana Real Estate | (406) 721-4141

Days on Market per Quartile

Monday January 23, 2012

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