2-Eng Eco

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Chapter - Two

Money time relation


and
Cash flow
2024/25 (2017 EC 1st sem. )
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Time Value of Money
 In most decisions the change in the value of
money needs to be accounted
 The manifestation of time value of money is
called interest.
 Interest ; Money paid by Borrower for the use of
funds provided by the lender
 Interest represents
- Earning power of money
- Risk of non-repayment
- Loss of used of the loaned money
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 Therefore time value of money is the relationship
between time and money.
 It is clearly explained in quote;

“An instant dollar is worth more than a distant


dollar… ”

Today 6 months later


 The reason : the time value of money is inflation,
risk and cost of money.
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Interest could be simple or compound

 Simple; The interest doesn't attract any interest


during the repayment period
 Compound; The interest amount it self also attracts
further interest.

 Consider the following statement by a Bank


“Interest on the deposit will be payable at the rate of
eight percent compound quarterly’’
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A year for Quarterly compounding of interest:-
Four periods ( 3 months of each)
- If the amount was 100 Birr
1st period = 100 + (100*8%/4)
= 102
2nd Period = 102 + (102*8%/4)
= 104.04
3rd Period = 104.04 + (104.04*8%/4)
=106.12
4th Period = 106.12 + (106.12*8%/4)
= 108.24 5
 From the Example it is clear that Birr 8.24
can be seen as the interest amount attracted
by 100 Birr in one year period under a given
rate ( 8% ) and condition of quarterly
compounding.

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EXAMPLE 1

HP borrowed money to do rapid prototyping


for a new ruggedized computer that targets
desert oilfield conditions. The loan is $1
million for 3 years at 5% per year interest.
How money will HP repay at the end of 3
years?
i. Simple Interest
ii. Compound Interest
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Cash-Flow Diagrams / Interest Tables
- Any organization involved in a project received and
spend different amounts of money at different points in
time.
- Cash flow diagram is visual representation of this
inflow and outflow of funds.
- In practice cash flow does not follow any pattern,
however for simplification all cash incomings and
outgoings are assumed to happen either at the
beginning or end of a period
- The period could be day, week, month, quarter, or year.
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ECONOMIC EQUIVALENCE

 Established when we are indifferent between a


future payment, or a series of future payments, and a
present sum of money .
 Considers the comparison of alternative options, or
proposals, by reducing them to an equivalent basis,
depending on:
 interest rate;
 amounts of money involved;
 timing of the affected monetary receipts and/or expenditures;
 manner in which the interest , or profit on invested capital is paid and the initial
capital is recovered. 9
CASH FLOW DIAGRAMS / TABLE
NOTATION
i = effective interest rate per interest period
N = number of compounding periods (e.g., years)
P = present sum of money; the equivalent value of one or more
cash flows at the present time reference point
F = future sum of money; the equivalent value of one or more cash
flows at a future time reference point
A = end-of-period cash flows (or equivalent end-of-period values )
in a uniform series continuing for a specified number of periods,
starting at the end of the first period and continuing through the
last period
G = uniform gradient amounts -- used if cash flows increase by a
constant amount in each period 10
CASH FLOW DIAGRAM NOTATION
A = $2,524 3 5
1
1 2 3 4 5=N
P =$8,000 2 4 i = 10% per year

1 Time scale with progression of time moving from left to


right; the numbers represent time periods (e.g., years,
months, quarters, etc...) and may be presented within a
time interval or at the end of a time interval.
2 Present expense (cash outflow) of $8,000 for lender.

3 Annual income (cash inflow) of $2,524 for lender.

Dashed-arrow line indicates


4 Interest rate of loan. 5 amount to be determined. 11
Example 2

A father wants to deposit an unknown


lump-sum amount into an investment
opportunity 2 years from now that is large
enough to withdraw $4000 per year for
state university tuition for 5 years starting 3
years from now. If the rate of return is
estimated to be 15.5% per year, construct
the cash flow diagram.
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Solution

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RELATING PRESENT AND FUTURE
EQUIVALENT VALUES OF SINGLE
CASH FLOWS

 Finding F when given P:


 Finding future value when given present value
 F = P ( 1+i ) N
 (1+i)N single payment compound amount factor
 functionally expressed as F = ( F / P, i%,N )
 predetermined values of this are presented in a Table
P
N=
0
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F=?
RELATING PRESENT AND FUTURE
EQUIVALENT VALUES OF SINGLE
CASH FLOWS

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RELATING PRESENT AND FUTURE
EQUIVALENT VALUES OF SINGLE CASH
FLOWS

 Finding P when given F:


 Finding present value when given future value
 P = F (1 / (1 + i )N )
 (1+i)-N single payment present worth factor
 functionally expressed as P = F ( P / F, i%, N )
 predetermined values of this are presented in a Table
F
0 N=

P=? 16
Example 3
Hewlett-Packard has completed a study indicating
that $50,000 in reduced maintenance this year (i.e.,
year zero) on one processing line resulted from
improved wireless monitoring technology.
a. If Hewlett-Packard considers these types of
savings worth 20% per year, find the equivalent
value of this result after 5 years.
b. If the $50,000 maintenance savings occurs now,
find its equivalent value 3 years earlier with interest
at 20% per year. 17
RELATING A UNIFORM SERIES (ORDINARY
ANNUITY) TO PRESENT AND FUTURE EQUIVALENT
VALUES
• Finding P given A:
• Finding present equivalent value given a series of
uniform equal receipts
(1+i)N-1
P=A
i(1+i)N
– uniform series present worth factor in [ ]
– functionally expressed as P = A ( P / A, i%, N )
– predetermined values are in a Table.
A= 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
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P=?
RELATING A UNIFORM SERIES (ORDINARY
ANNUITY) TO PRESENT AND FUTURE EQUIVALENT
VALUES
• Finding A given P:
• Finding amount A of a uniform series when given the
equivalent present value
i ( 1+i )N
A=P
( 1 + i ) N -1
– capital recovery factor in [ ]
– functionally expressed as A = P ( A / P,i%,N )
– predetermined values are in a Table
P=
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 19
A =?
Example 4

How much money should you be willing to pay


now for a guaranteed $600 per year for 9 years
starting next year, at a rate of return of 16% per
year?

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RELATING A UNIFORM SERIES TO
PRESENT AND FUTURE
EQUIVALENT VALUES

 Finding F given A:
 Finding future equivalent income (inflow) value given a
series of uniform equal Payments
(1+i)N-1
F=A
i
 uniform series compound amount factor in [ ]

 functionally expressed as F = A ( F / A, i%, N )

F=?
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 21
A=
RELATING A UNIFORM SERIES (ORDINARY
ANNUITY) TO PRESENT AND FUTURE EQUIVALENT
VALUES
• Finding A given F:
• Finding amount A of a uniform series when given the
equivalent future value
i
A=F
( 1 + i ) N -1
– sinking fund factor in [ ]
– functionally expressed as A = F ( A / F,i%,N )
– predetermined values are in a Table
F=
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 22
A =?
Example 5
1. Formasa Plastics has major fabrication plants in
Texas and Hong Kong. The president wants to know
the equivalent future worth of $1 million capital
investments each year for 8 years, starting 1 year
from now. Formasa capital earns at a rate of 14% per
year. Compute the future worth.
2. How much money must an electrical contractor
deposit every year in her savings account starting 1
year from now at 5.5% per year in order to
accumulate $6000 seven years from now?
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RELATING A UNIFORM GRADIENT OF CASH
FLOWS TO FUTURE EQUIVALENTS

 Find F when given G:


 Find the future equivalent value when given the uniform
gradient amount
(1+i)N-1 -1 (1+i)N-2 -1 (1+i) 1 -1
 F=G i + i + ... + i

 Functionally represented as (G/ i) (F/A,i%,N) - (NG/ i)


 Usually more practical to deal with annual and present
equivalents, rather than future equivalent values
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Cash Flow Diagram for a Uniform Gradient
Increasing by G Dollars per period

(N-1)G
i = effective interest rate
per period
(N-2)G
(N-3)G

3G
2G
G

1 2 3 4 N-2 N-1 N
End of Period 25
RELATING A UNIFORM GRADIENT OF CASH
FLOWS TO ANNUAL AND PRESENT
EQUIVALENTS
• Find P when given G:
• Find the present equivalent value when given the
uniform gradient amount
1 (1 + i ) N-1 N
• P=G -
i i (1 + i ) N (1 + i ) N
• Functionally represented as P = G ( P / G, i%,N )
• The value shown in{ } is the gradient to present
equivalent conversion factor and is presented in a
Table
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Example 6

The Highway Department expects the cost


of maintenance for a piece of heavy
construction equipment to be $5000 in
year 1, to be $5500 in year 2, and to
increase annually by $500 through year
10. At an interest rate of 10% per year,
determine the present worth of 10 years of
maintenance costs.
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RELATING A UNIFORM GRADIENT OF CASH
FLOWS TO ANNUAL AND PRESENT
EQUIVALENTS
• Find A when given G:
• Find the annual equivalent value when given the
uniform gradient amount
1 N
• A=G -
i (1 + i ) N - 1
• Functionally represented as A = G ( A / G, i%,N )
• The value shown in [ ] is the gradient to uniform series
conversion factor and is presented in a Table.

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QUESTIONS?

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