Last week’s launch of a caste survey in Telangana by the
Congress government is a step towards fulfilling its 2023 Assembly poll promise. The survey may form the basis for enhancing the quantum of reservation for Backward Classes (BCs), going by the party’s election manifesto. At present, 112 communities under five categories of BCs enjoy a 29% quota in education and employment, including 4% for socially and educationally Muslim BCs. The survey is being undertaken at a time when demand for such an exercise at the all-India level is growing louder. In Tamil Nadu, an early mover in the area of affirmative action for BCs, political parties have been raising the issue though divided on whether the State or the Centre should conduct the exercise. In poll-bound Maharashtra, the Opposition Maha Vikas Aghadi has promised a caste-based census. The Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh had stated that a caste census undertaken for the welfare of the downtrodden was fine but the BJP is cold to the idea. The Union government had also said that it had no proposal to make caste data of the Socio Economic and Caste Census 2011 public. In fact, in Karnataka, where most of the work on a socio-economic and educational survey was done about 10 years ago, the survey report has yet to be made public despite the submission of the final report to Chief Minister Siddaramaiah. The idea of a caste-based survey is being floated as a prelude to the automatic lifting of the Supreme Court’s ceiling of 50% in reservation for OBCs, SCs and STs. In June, the Patna High Court struck down two Acts in Bihar, envisaging enhanced quantum in quota for BCs, Extremely BCs, SCs and STs in education and government jobs. The Nitish Kumar government had carried out a caste survey prior to enacting the laws. The High Court had emphasised the principle of adequate representation while striking down the laws. In the case on 10.5% internal quota for Vanniyars within the Most BCs of Tamil Nadu, the Supreme Court had upheld the Madras High Court’s conclusion that the reservation to the community under the 2021 Act was based on “antiquated data”. Compilation and presentation of data would not mechanically pave the way for any increase in the quantum, let alone breaching the 50% cap. Analysis of features such as poverty, caste, occupation and location of residence should justify any move to increase the quantum. Besides, as in Article 16(4), only those communities inadequately represented in the public services can be given job quota. No political party should create an impression that a caste census will lead to increased OBC reservation. The Centre should also limit the ceiling of annual parental income in determining the creamy layer among OBCs. Else, only the most advanced sections among BCs will continue to corner the benefits of reservation. Political meltdown Germany seems set for an economic crisis amid political instability
The collapse of German Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s coalition in
Germany last week has plunged Europe’s largest and a recession-affected economy deeper into crisis. The three- way coalition, involving Mr. Scholz’s Social Democrats, Greens and pro-market Free Democratic Party, was struggling for the past year to put up a united face amid public differences. As the economic crisis worsened, differences on a recovery also deepened, leading to Chancellor Scholz sacking his Finance Minister, Christian Lindner of the Free Democrats. While the Social Democrats and the Greens supported more borrowing and public spending to modernise and support industry and a shift towards environmental energy, Mr. Lindner advocated lower taxes and austerity measures. After Mr. Lindner’s firing, his party colleagues quit the government. Infighting and economic challenges had already turned the government unpopular. All three parties in the coalition lost support in recent months, while the Conservatives and the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) saw a surge in opinion polls. Now that he has lost parliamentary majority, Mr. Scholz will have to depend on opposition parties to pass key policy measures, including the budget for 2025, through the Bundestag. Mr. Scholz has so far resisted calls to face a vote of confidence quickly. Reports are that his plan is to run a minority government for a few more months. The Social Democrats say a collapse of the government at a time of multiple challenges would leave the country rudderless. But Mr. Scholz clinging on to power, heading an unpopular, minority government, is unlikely to resolve any of Germany’s critical problems. The continuing war in Ukraine has hurt the German economy, which is set to contract for a second consecutive year. The country has also seen a large influx of migrants in recent years — over six million in a decade — which the far-right AfD has used to trigger panic in society and drum up support for itself. And the return of Donald Trump, who is sceptical of American support for Ukraine and NATO’s role in general, is also a concern for Berlin. What Germany has to do is to bring in a decisive shift in its Ukraine policy, focusing on bringing the war to an end at the earliest through talks. And it should also take measures to pump- prime the economy and have policies to address the immigration challenge in a humanitarian fashion. Mr. Scholz, as a lame-duck Chancellor, is unlikely to take any decisive measure. What he can do is to face a vote of confidence immediately and prepare the country for snap elections.