Konza---MDP1-Implementation-Plan-by-Dr.-Bitange-Ndemo
Konza---MDP1-Implementation-Plan-by-Dr.-Bitange-Ndemo
Konza---MDP1-Implementation-Plan-by-Dr.-Bitange-Ndemo
Project Lead
Real Estate Strategy
Business and Governance Planning
2
MDP1 will complete its assignment at the end of February.
Complete In progress
Business and
Governance
Plan
Sector
Strategy Master
Vision + Financial GoK and KOTDA
Plan + Action Plan
Mission Strategy Implementation
Real Estate Design
Strategy
LPDP
MDP2
3
Konza Technology City vision statement
4
Konza is 60km from Nairobi, providing opportunity and challenge.
5
At 5,000 acres, Konza is comparable to other world-class cities.
6
Konza will be positioned as a mid-density urban environment.
7
A citybuilding strategy will help Konza accommodate
anticipated growth in Kenya.
Areas with good connectivity have attracted A109 and rail improves development
growth prospects
High population growth, high urbanization rates , and GDP growth highlight that the fundamentals are in
place for strong growth in real estate demand in upcoming years.
Given the wide availability of well-connected land within Nairobi metropolitan area, for growth to occur Konza
should be different. It should position itself as a self-sustaining city, providing all the elements required to
attract people and workers.
8
11 case studies narrowed from a list of 26 showcase the
ingredients for successful technology hub development.
9
Case studies vary in size, age, and economic context.
10
Case studies reveal base criteria for technology hub
development.
11
Outreach to over 300 companies identified sector opportunities
and requirements for tenants to locate in Konza.
Synthesis and
Sector Scope Assessment Recommendations
ITO / BPO
Global Strategic Fit
Telecom Interview Insights
Education
Local
Financial Services Anchor / Follower
Life Sciences
SME Sector Summaries
SMEs Job Impact
(incl. students)
Public Sector Cross-Sector
12
In parallel, economic analysis identified sectors that should be
fostered at Konza to achieve its goals.
13
Four knowledge-focused themes emerge, two of which are
significantly government funded.
14
Phase 1 should target 7,500 knowledge (office/life science)
workers.
7,500
350
600 1,750
600
Physicians 200
Staff 800 800
Hospital Life Science ITO / Telecom Anchors Followers Total
Lab BPO
MPD1 outreach to over 300 organizations indicates near-term interest from these companies in coming to Phase 1 of Konza.
15
Konza’s value proposition is to become a self-sustaining city
anchored by a cluster of knowledge industries.
Vision Implementation
Office: ITO/BPO/Telecom
Retail Residential
Life sciences: Lab/Hospital
Services Vibrant public realm
University
Retail Residential
16
Phase 1 establishes a framework for the future growth of Konza.
17
Konza Phase 1 vision
18
An enabling environment must be in place to attract 17,000
jobs in Phase 1.
Urban Economic
KOTDA policy
environment environment
High quality
Effective marketing Anchor tenants
infrastructure
Regulatory
Regional accessibility
environment
19
Phase 1 of Konza, with catalysts in place, could entail 1.5 m2
of total vertical development.
Lab:
35,000m2
Middle income housing: 660,000m2
Hospital: Studio–1 bedroom: 1,720 units
50,000m2 2–4 bedrooms: 4,400 units
University:
194,000m2
Studio–1 bed: 510 units
Lower income housing: 100,000m2 2–4 bedrooms 1,300 units
Retail: 65,000m2
Hotel: 6,000 m2
School: 44,000m2
20
Program will be distributed throughout the “Stitch” on
specialized “bands” connected by a mixed-use “bar.”
BAND BAND
Life Science Office
BAND
Residential
BAND
University
BAR
Mixed Use
21
Phase 1 will be built out over 400 acres of land.
22
Over 5 years, development agreements will ensure great
neighborhoods and employment clusters will be established.
Vertical development
transactions by year
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
23
What do we need to make Konza a reality?
Governance
Infrastructure
24
Establishing KOTDA, a special governance authority, helps to
ensure successful project implementation.
KOTDA
Unique benefits
• Single-purpose mission
• Efficiency
• Flexible use of funds
• One-stop shop
• Single voice/messaging
• Highest quality human resources
25
KOTDA will be single-purpose entity empowered to carry out
its mission.
KOTDA mission
To ensure that Konza Technology City grows into a sustainable, world-class
technology hub and a major economic driver for the nation, with a vibrant mix of
businesses, workers, residents, and urban amenities
Characteristics
High-quality
Single-purpose
Results-oriented
26
KOTDA Board structure
Advisory Committee
Konza Konza
developer business
rep. tenant rep.
Cabinet Konza
Secretaries residential TBD
tenant rep.
KOTDA Board
Government of Kenya Private Sector
Other CHAIR
Ministry of Ministry County John Haron Reuben Emma Rosemary
MoIC
Finance (e.g., Trade, representative Ngumi Nyakundi Mutiso Miloyo Maundu
Education)
KOTDA CEO
KOTDA sits within MoIC
27
Organizational structure: full capacity
Legend
Officer
Board of Directors
Internal Audit
Department
MDP
External Resource
External Govt
CEO General Counsel
Chief Executive Officer
28
Year 0: minimal staffing, outsourcing for critical expertise
Legend
Officer
Board of Directors
Internal Audit
New Department
MDP
External Resource
External Govt
CEO General Counsel
Expert Private
Service Provider
Chief Executive Officer (Legal services)
GOK
29
Years 1-5: internal capacity building
Legend
Officer
Board of Directors
Internal Audit
New Department
Established Department
MDP
External Resource
CEO General Counsel
Expert Private
Service Provider
Chief Executive Officer (Legal services)
External Govt
GOK
30
Years 6+: full capacity
Legend
Officer
Board of Directors
Internal Audit
New Department
Established Department
MDP
External Resource
CEO General Counsel
Chief Executive Officer
External Govt
31
Year 10+: transition to management role
Legend
Officer
Board of Directors
Internal Audit
Department
CEO
External Resource
External Govt General Counsel
Chief Executive Officer
CFO CBDO
Chief Financial Officer
Chief Business Development
Officer
Services Manager
Accounting, and
Business Development
Administration
Social Services
Community and
Service Fee Collection
Government Relations
Business Services
Director of Development
Real Estate
Infrastructure
Development
External Resources
Planning and
GOK Permitting
32
KOTDA will evolve over time.
KOTDA
Organizational timeline
Minimal staffing and Internal
outsourcing for capacity
critical expertise building
Full capacity
Transition to
management role
Option: Phase out to
local government
33
Konza must offer both financial and regulatory incentives.
34
Infrastructure will be financed by different entities, requiring
key partnerships.
Project Finance
On-site
KOTDA
Infrastructure $750M
Government of Kenya
$1,060M
Off-site
$310M
35
Financing the on-site infrastructure requires PPP and non-
PPP project types.
On-site KOTDA
infrastructure Type of projects Funding source Financing Entity
User fees
Project Finance
PPP
$350M Government
revenues
Government
$750M
KOTDA
Land leases
Non-PPP Service fees
Government
Federal taxes
$400M Government
revenues
36
Each PPP project will need a business plan, rate study
and assessment of available funding.
PPPs and
Utilities
Solid Waste
Government Funds Available
Communications:
Fiber
Rate Study
Power
Business Plan
37
Non-PPP projects will be managed by MDP2 with funding from
GoK.
Government
Funding
Budget Requests
Facilities
KOTDA Management
O&M Contract Operator (O&M)
MDP2 Contract
MDP2
EPC Contract
Construction
Contractor (EPC)
38
Non-PPP funds will be sourced from land leases of
income-generating catalyst and ancillary programs.
University:
194,000 m2
Studio–1 bed: 510 units
Lower income housing: 100,000 m2 2–4 bedrooms 1,300 units
Retail: 65,000 m2
Hotel: 6,000 m2
School: 47,000 m2
39
KOTDA will sign land leases with vertical developers.
Finance
99 Year Land Lease
KOTDA
Debt
Banks
Debt Institutional
Land Lease Payment &
Investors
Service Fees
Vertical Developer
Taxes Equity
GoK Developer’s equity
Counties
Equity 3rd party equity
Taxes Tenant Attraction
Tenants Investor
40
Land lease agreements should follow a process that creates
market interest and ensures alignment with Konza’s mission.
1 2 3 4 5 6
Determine Marketing and Determine Procurement Evaluate Negotiate deal
parameters business evaluation process responses terms
development criteria (RFEI/RFP or
sole source)
Developer,
Location: Term sheet
Konza promotion Economic offer investor, and Credit testing
parcels/zones negotiation
business outreach
Identify target Economic impact
Program and Financial analysis Land lease
Design guidelines businesses/ and mission
design guidelines of proposal payments
sectors alignment
Identify
Financial
developers/ Evaluation criteria Reference checks Capital subsidy
feasibility
investors
Creditworthiness
Coordination of Development
and comparable Deal parameters Interviews
actors milestones
project experience
LOI/MOU/
Tenant
Business case development
commitments
agreements
Alignment with
Ground lease
design, program
agreements
guidelines
41
Attracting and securing a high-quality university will entail
many special considerations.
42
KOTDA / MDP2 will rely on the flow of funds to pay for on-site
infrastructure, using project finance where needed.
Funding
MDP2
Design and
construction overview
Funding of some infrastructure
Funding
Project finance PPPs
GoK Debt KOTDA
Equity
Mezzanine Funding Municipal
Facilitator services
Private
Lease and service fees developers
Individual parcel
development
Taxes
43
Residential land development will be the primary source
of land revenue to pay for non-PPP infrastructure.
$60,000,000
$50,000,000
$40,000,000
$30,000,000
$20,000,000
$10,000,000
$0
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
2044
Office Lab High-end res Mid-end res Flex Retail Hotel
44
Infrastructure costs will be frontloaded in cash…
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
2044
$0
($20,000,000)
($40,000,000)
($60,000,000)
($80,000,000)
($100,000,000)
($120,000,000)
($140,000,000)
($160,000,000)
45
…but can be smoothed using a central government
bond.
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
2044
$0
($20,000,000)
($40,000,000)
($60,000,000)
($80,000,000)
($100,000,000)
($120,000,000)
($140,000,000)
($160,000,000)
Assumes total infrastructure costs of $400 million, a 12.5% interest rate, and a 25 year central government
bond.
46
For example a standard GO bond can help finance the
development; GoK will need to cover the funding gap.
Bond structure
$80,000,000
Bond term: 25 years
$70,000,000 2018 Yield to Maturity: 12.5%
funding gap Denomination: KSh
$60,000,000 $50M
$50,000,000 Standard
Bond
$40,000,000 Payments
$30,000,000 Land
Lease
$20,000,000 Revenues
$10,000,000
$0
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
2044
Annual funding gap (millions)
2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2035 2037 2039 2041 2043
$0 ($23) ($43) ($49) ($45) ($44) ($42) ($38) ($32) ($26) ($22) ($16) ($10) $1 $32 $38
47
Current market conditions provide the opportunity to
reduce financing costs using Eurobonds.
Bond structure
$80,000,000
Bond term: 25 years
$70,000,000 Yield to Maturity: 5.5%
Principal payment: USD
$60,000,000
2018 Eurobond
$50,000,000
funding gap Payments
$40,000,000 $28M
Land Lease
$30,000,000 Revenues
$20,000,000
$10,000,000
$0
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
2044
Annual funding gap (millions)
2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2035 2037 2039 2041 2043
$0 ($13) ($24) ($26) ($22) ($21) ($20) ($16) ($10) ($4) ($1) $1 $3 $6 $9 $12
48
A loan from a multilateral institution would help to
minimize the funding gap.
Bond structure Loan structure
$80,000,000
Bond term: 25 years Loan term: 30 years
$70,000,000 Yield to Maturity: 5.5% Interest rate: 2%
Principal payment: USD Moratorium: 10 years
$60,000,000
2033 funding gap Loan
$50,000,000 $11M Disbursements
2019 funding gap
$40,000,000 $11M Land Lease
Revenues
$30,000,000
Loan
$20,000,000 Payments
$10,000,000
Eurobond
$0 Payments
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
2044
Annual funding gap (millions)
2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2035 2037 2039 2041 2043
$0 ($5) ($10) ($11) ($10) ($9) ($9) ($8) ($7) ($5) ($11) ($9) ($6) $0 $13 $7
49
Several sources of financing are available to the GoK
for non-PPP investments.
High
50
Combing the Eurobond with a loan from a multilateral
institution is the preferred financial structure.
Multilateral Institution
Eurobond
Loan
Minimum gap to be
financed by other
Bond size: $400 million Loan amount: $225 million government revenues
Interest rate: 5.5% Interest rate: 2%
Term: 25 years Term: 30 years
Moratorium: 10 years
51
Public investment in Phase 1 of Konza will have substantial
economic benefits.
$400M $180M
Non-PPP infrastructure: GoK PPP infrastructure:
public investment public share of investment
$940 M
Private investment
52
Konza will contribute to Kenya’s economic output.
$1.3 B
Konza gross regional product (GRP)
2%
of Kenya GDP in 2020
7%
of Kenya GDP growth 2012-2020
8%
of Kenya wage growth 2012-2020
at full Phase 1 build-out, assumed to be 2020
53
Public investment in infrastructure has a return on
investment when considering GoK tax revenue.
-13%
Real IRR:
$580M land lease revenue
Non-PPP and PPP
infrastructure investments
by GOK +19%
Real IRR:
land lease revenue + taxes
54
Public investment creates significant economic impacts.
$940M
Private investment
$580M 16,675
Non-PPP and PPP Direct jobs
infrastructure investments
by GOK
16,675
Multiplier jobs
55
Phase 1 will catalyze the buildout of Konza, leading to
broader economic impacts.
Konza
Konza
Phase
1
56
Short-term risk factors (0-3 months)
57
Medium-term risk factors (0-18 months)
58