HSTS201assn3

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UNIVERSITY OF ZIMBABWE

HSTS201
B.Sc.Honours in Statistics Part I

Theory of Estimation and Testing of Hypotheses Assn 3

October 2013
Time : 2 hours

Candidates should attempt all questions in Section A and all Questions from Section B.
Marks will be allocated as indicated.

SECTION A (40 marks)


Candidates may attempt ALL questions being careful to number them A1 to A4.

A1. Let Y1 < Y2 < Y3 be the order


 statistics
 random sample of size 3 from a distribution
x−θ1

with pdf f (x; θ1 , θ2 ) = θ12 e θ2
, θ1 < x < ∞,−∞ < θ1 < ∞, 0 < θ2 < ∞, and
zero elsewhere. Find the joint pdf of Z1 = Y1 , Z2 = Y2 and Z3 = Y1 + Y2 + Y3 . The
corresponding transformation maps the space {(y1 , y2 , y3 ) : θ1 < y1 < y2 < y3 < ∞}
onto {(z1 , z2 , z3 ) : θ1 < z1 < z2 < (z3 − z1 )/2 < ∞} Show that Z1 and Z3 are joint
sufficient statistics for θ1 and θ2

A2. Let X1 , X2 , · · · , Xn and Y1 , Y2 , · · · , Ym be two independent random samples from the


respective normal distributions N (µ1 , σ12 ) and N (µ2 , σ22 )where the four parameters are
unknown. To construct a confidence interval for the ratio, σ 2 /σ 2 of the variances, form
the quotient of the two independent chi-square variables, each divided by its degrees
of freedom, namely
(m−1)S22
σ22
/(m − 1) S 2 /σ 2
F = (n−1)S 2 = 22 22
1
/(n − 1) S1 /σ1
σ21

where S12 and S22 are the respective sample variances.

(a) From the appropriate table,a and b can be found so that P (F < b) = 0.975 and
P (a < F < b) = 0.95
(b) What is the 95% confidence interval for the ratio.

A3. (a) Let X1 , X2 , · · · , Xn be a random sample from a distribution with density,


(
θe−θx , 0 < θ < ∞
f (x; θ) =
0, otherwise

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HSTS201/

(i) Find a most powerful test of size α for testing H0 : θ = θ0 versus H1 : θ = θ1


(θ > θ1 ). [10]

A4. Let X1 , X2 , · · · , Xn random sample from a Poisson distribution with mean θ,0 < θ < ∞.
Let Y = ni=1 . Use the loss function to be `[θ, δ(y) = [θ − δ(y)]2 Let θ be an observed
P

value of the random variable Θ. If Θ has pdf h(θ = θα−1 e−θ/β /Γ(α)β α for 0 < θ < ∞,
zero elsewhere, where α > 0,β > 0 are known numbers, find the Bayes’ solution δ(y)
for a point estimate for θ.

A5. (a) A metallurgist made four determinations of the melting point of manganese: 1289,
1271, 1263 1nd 1265 centigrade. Test the hypothesis that the mean µ of this
population is within 5 degrees centigrade of the published value of 1260. Use
α = 0.05. Assume that X ∼ N (1260, 25). [5]
(b) (i) When is a family of densities f (x; θ) for θ ∈ Ω said to have a monotone
likelihood ratio? [1]
−θx
(ii) If f (x; θ) = θe , 0 < θ < Ω, give the monotone likelihood ratio. [3]
(iii) Why is the statistic in (ii) called monotone? [1]

A6. Consider the distribution of the form N (0, 4). the simple hypothesis H0 : θ = 0
is rejected and the alternative composite H1 : θ > 0 is accepted if and only if the
observed is mean x of the random sample of size 25 is greater than or equal to 35 . Find
the power γ(θ), θ ≤ 0 of this test.

A7. Let X be N (θ, 100) find the sequential probability ratio test for testing
H0 : θ = 75 against H1 : θ = 78 such that each of α and β is approximately equal to
0.10. [12]

A8. (a) Suppose each trial of a random experiment results in any one of the following
events A1 , A2 , ..., Am with unknown but constant probabilities θ1 , ..., θm respec-
tively. Let Xij = 1 if the ith trial results in the event j Xij = 0 elsewhere. If n tri-
(1) (m) (1) (m)
als are made, and if H0 : θ1 = θ0 , ..., θm = θ0 versus Ho : θ1 6= θ0 , ..., θm 6= θ0 .
(i) Find the generalised likelihood ratio. [10]
(ii) What is the uniformly most powerful test of size α? [10]
(iii) Use the result from (a) to answer the following question: A die was cast 300
times with the following results:
Event 1 2 3 4 5 6
Frequency 43 49 56 45 66 41

END OF ASSIGNMENT QUESTIONS.

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