HSTS201assn3
HSTS201assn3
HSTS201assn3
HSTS201
B.Sc.Honours in Statistics Part I
October 2013
Time : 2 hours
Candidates should attempt all questions in Section A and all Questions from Section B.
Marks will be allocated as indicated.
(a) From the appropriate table,a and b can be found so that P (F < b) = 0.975 and
P (a < F < b) = 0.95
(b) What is the 95% confidence interval for the ratio.
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HSTS201/
A4. Let X1 , X2 , · · · , Xn random sample from a Poisson distribution with mean θ,0 < θ < ∞.
Let Y = ni=1 . Use the loss function to be `[θ, δ(y) = [θ − δ(y)]2 Let θ be an observed
P
value of the random variable Θ. If Θ has pdf h(θ = θα−1 e−θ/β /Γ(α)β α for 0 < θ < ∞,
zero elsewhere, where α > 0,β > 0 are known numbers, find the Bayes’ solution δ(y)
for a point estimate for θ.
A5. (a) A metallurgist made four determinations of the melting point of manganese: 1289,
1271, 1263 1nd 1265 centigrade. Test the hypothesis that the mean µ of this
population is within 5 degrees centigrade of the published value of 1260. Use
α = 0.05. Assume that X ∼ N (1260, 25). [5]
(b) (i) When is a family of densities f (x; θ) for θ ∈ Ω said to have a monotone
likelihood ratio? [1]
−θx
(ii) If f (x; θ) = θe , 0 < θ < Ω, give the monotone likelihood ratio. [3]
(iii) Why is the statistic in (ii) called monotone? [1]
A6. Consider the distribution of the form N (0, 4). the simple hypothesis H0 : θ = 0
is rejected and the alternative composite H1 : θ > 0 is accepted if and only if the
observed is mean x of the random sample of size 25 is greater than or equal to 35 . Find
the power γ(θ), θ ≤ 0 of this test.
A7. Let X be N (θ, 100) find the sequential probability ratio test for testing
H0 : θ = 75 against H1 : θ = 78 such that each of α and β is approximately equal to
0.10. [12]
A8. (a) Suppose each trial of a random experiment results in any one of the following
events A1 , A2 , ..., Am with unknown but constant probabilities θ1 , ..., θm respec-
tively. Let Xij = 1 if the ith trial results in the event j Xij = 0 elsewhere. If n tri-
(1) (m) (1) (m)
als are made, and if H0 : θ1 = θ0 , ..., θm = θ0 versus Ho : θ1 6= θ0 , ..., θm 6= θ0 .
(i) Find the generalised likelihood ratio. [10]
(ii) What is the uniformly most powerful test of size α? [10]
(iii) Use the result from (a) to answer the following question: A die was cast 300
times with the following results:
Event 1 2 3 4 5 6
Frequency 43 49 56 45 66 41
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