The Practice and Challenges of Cost Esti

GRADUATE PROGRAM
ADDIS ABABA SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY UNIVERSITY

COLLEGE OF ARCITECTURAL AND CIVIL ENGINEERING
THE PRACTICE AND CHALLENGES OF COST ESTIMATION IN BUILDING

CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS IN ETHIOPIA:
CASE STUDY OF FOUR GRADE ONE CONTRACTORS
By: Bruktaite Negussie
A Thesis Submitted to College of Architectural and civil Engineering in

partial Fulfillment of the Requirement of Master of Science in Civil
Engineering (Construction Technology and Management).
Advisor
Solomon Sertse, PhD
January, 2017
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This Msc thesis is entitled to “The practice and challenges of cost estimation
in building construction projects in Ethiopia: Case study of four grade one
contractors” has been approved by the following examiners in partial
fulfillment of the requirement for the degree of Master of Science in construction
technology and management.
Date of Defense: February 28, 2017
Principal Advisor
1. Dr. Solomon Sertse _______________ _____________
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I, the under signed, certify that I read and hear by recommend for acceptance by
Addis Ababa Science and Technology University a thesis entitled “The practice
and challenges of cost estimation in building construction projects in
Ethiopia: Case study of four grade one contractors” in partial fulfillment of
the requirement for the degree of Master of Science in construction technology
and management.
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Dr. Solomon Sertse
Principal Advisor
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Bruktaite Negussie Gossaye, declare that this thesis is my original own work that
has not been presented and will not be presented by me to any other University
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The Practice and Challenges of Cost Estimation in Building Construction Projects, Case study 2017
CONFIDENTIALITY OF RESEARCHING SUBJECT

The researcher of this thesis has agreed that all project names and the case study company’s
name will be kept confidential. This has been made possible by replacing the performing
company names as well as project names with anonymous names. The information gathered
during this study is under the sole ownership of the researcher, and access to the information
has been limited to the researcher and the supervisor.
ABSTRACT
Cost estimating is the compilation and analysis of many items that influence and contribute to
the cost of a project. Mainly emanating from the various variables involved and the forecasting
needed, producing accurate cost estimation faces different challenges. The objective of this
research is to explore the cost estimation practices and gain an understanding of factors that are
the challenge and problem areas of cost estimation in building construction projects and to
recommend possible improvement solutions. This was achieved through case study of four
grade one contractors of which five projects selected from each contractor to review the cost
estimate practice. Accordingly, the research examined case projects’ cost records, cost analysis
documents and contract documents. In addition, interviews and discussions are used to
substantiate as well as support the findings of the document analysis to ensure the validity and
reliability of the information.
The findings of the study indicate that contractors predominantly undertake cost estimating for
planning tender and for new variation works at execution stage. Detail estimating technique is
widely applicable and contractors have not adopted estimating tools that consider risks and
variability in cost estimates. The study revealed that the major challenge of cost estimation
continues to be lack of sufficient project information at time of tender, poor project specific
assessment, poor analysis of construction costs especially in estimating risk and indirect costs
and influence of fierce competition in the industry.
Key words: Cost estimation, estimating techniques, construction costs, challenges of estimating
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ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
First of all, I would like to praise and thank Almighty GOD, for His blessings in my life.
I would like to express my deepest gratitude for my advisor, Dr. Solomon Sertse, for guiding me
in the whole research process. I am greatly indebted for his continuous follow-up, for providing
me different reference materials, for his constructive comments and ideas as well as for his
precious time in reviewing this work.
I also would like to thank the contractors who facilitated the research by allowing me to use their
projects for the case study. They have been a great help for the research success by providing me
different documents and as well have been cooperative for interviews and intermittent discussions.
Finally yet importantly, I would like to thank my family to stand by my side during my whole life.
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Table of Contents
CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION .........................................................................................1
1.1 The Research Background .................................................................................................1
1.2 Problem Statement .............................................................................................................2
1.3 Research Questions ............................................................................................................5
1.4 Objective of the research ...................................................................................................5
1.4.1 General objectives .............................................................................................................5
1.4.2 Specific objectives .............................................................................................................5
1.5 Significance of the Study ...................................................................................................6
1.6 Scope of the Research ........................................................................................................6
1.7 Limitation ..........................................................................................................................6
1.8 Over view of the study .......................................................................................................7
CHAPTER TWO: LITRATURE REVIEW................................................................................9
2.1 Introduction........................................................................................................................9
2.2 Fundamentals of Cost Estimation Theory .........................................................................9
2.2.1 Definitions .........................................................................................................................9
2.3 Cost Estimating Approach in Construction Industry .......................................................10
2.4 Cost Estimation at Different Phases of Construction ......................................................10
2.5 Classification of Cost Estimate in Construction Projects ................................................12
2.6 The Cost Estimating Process ...........................................................................................14
2.7 Components of Construction Costs .................................................................................15
2.7.1 Direct Construction Costs ................................................................................................15
2.7.1.1 Material cost ..................................................................................................................15
2.7.1.2 Direct Labor Cost ..........................................................................................................16
2.7.1.3 Equipment Costs............................................................................................................18
2.7.1.4 Subcontract Costs ..........................................................................................................19
2.7.2 Indirect Construction Costs .............................................................................................19
2.7.2.1 Project overhead costs ...................................................................................................19
2.7.2.2 General overhead ...........................................................................................................20
2.7.3 Risk Allowances ..............................................................................................................20
2.7.4 Profit ................................................................................................................................22
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2.8 Factors that Influence Project Cost Estimation ...............................................................22

2.9 Factors Affecting Accuracy of Cost Estimates ................................................................26
CHAPTER THREE: RESEARCH METHODOLOGY............................................................28
3.1 Research Methods ............................................................................................................28
3.2 Case Sampling .................................................................................................................28
3.2.1 Determining Case Design ................................................................................................28
3.2.2 Techniques for Case Selection.........................................................................................29
3.3 Data Collection Process ...................................................................................................30
3.4 Data Analysis ...................................................................................................................30
CHAPTER FOUR: ANALYSIS AND DISCUSSION .............................................................33
4.1 Introduction......................................................................................................................33
4.2 Case Description ..............................................................................................................33
4.2.1 Coding..............................................................................................................................33
4.2.2 Case Presentation .............................................................................................................34
4.3 Contractors Cost Estimating Practice: Within Case Analysis .........................................39
4.3.1 Cost Estimating Practice for Tendering ...........................................................................39
4.3.1.1 Preliminary Considerations for Tender Estimate Preparation.......................................39
4.3.1.2 Analysis of Practices in Direct Cost Component Handling ..........................................50
4.3.1.2.1 Input Data for Cost Estimation.............................................................................50
4.3.1.2.2 Cost Data Collection and Recording System .......................................................53
4.3.1.2.3 Determination of Material Break Down, Productivity, Crew Formation and
Utilization Factor ......................................................................................................................53
4.3.1.2.4 Analysis of Material Cost.....................................................................................56
4.3.1.2.5 Analysis of Labor Cost.........................................................................................60
4.3.1.2.6 Analysis of Equipment Cost.................................................................................62
4.3.1.2.7 Subcontract Cost ..................................................................................................64
4.3.1.3 Determination of Indirect Cost ......................................................................................67
4.3.1.4 Determination of Risk and Allowance ..........................................................................69
4.3.1.5 Determination of Profit .................................................................................................72
4.3.2 Evaluation of Cost Estimating Frequency in Tender Projects .........................................72
4.3.3 Cost Estimation Practice for Variation Work ..................................................................95
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4.3.4 Estimating Team Responsibility and Involvement of Management................................95

4.4 Cross Case Analysis of Contractors Cost Estimating Practice ........................................97
4.4.1 The Practice of Different Cost Estimation Techniques ...................................................97
4.4.2 Comparative Outlook.....................................................................................................100
4.4.2.1 Input Data ....................................................................................................................100
4.4.2.1.1 Project Information ............................................................................................100
4.4.2.1.2 Data Collection and Management ......................................................................103
4.4.2.2 Cost Analysis ...............................................................................................................104
4.4.2.2.1 Pricing Direct Costs ...........................................................................................104
4.4.2.2.2 Pricing Indirect Costs .........................................................................................106
4.4.2.2.3 Pricing Risks ......................................................................................................106
4.4.2.2.4 Pricing Profit ......................................................................................................106
4.4.2.3 Out Put of Cost Estimates- How accurate are the cost estimates? ..............................112
4.5 Conclusion .....................................................................................................................112
CHAPTER FIVE: CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION........................................114
5.1 Conclusion .....................................................................................................................114
5.2 Recommendation ...........................................................................................................117
5.3 Future Research .............................................................................................................118
REFERENCES........................................................................................................................119
APPENDIX .............................................................................................................................125
Appendix A- Interviews ..........................................................................................................125
Appendix B- Cost analysis templets .......................................................................................129
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LIST OF TABLES
Table 2: 1 AACE Generic cost estimating classification matrix ............................................. 13
Table 2: 2 Four groups of factors influencing construction costs ............................................ 25
Table 4: 1 Description scope of projects under case one contractor .........................................35
Table 4: 2 Description of scope of projects under case two contractor ..................................36
Table 4: 3 Description of scope of projects under case three contractor ..................................37
Table 4: 4 Description of scope of projects under case four contractor....................................38
Table 4:5 Preliminary consideration for tender estimates.........................................................46
Table 4:6 Input data formation and management .....................................................................55
Table 4:7 Technical procedures and considerations for material cost estimation ....................59
Table 4:8 Technical procedures and considerations for labor cost estimation .........................61
Table 4:9 Technical procedures and considerations for equipment cost estimation .................63
Table 4:10 Cost considerations for subcontracted work items .................................................65
Table 4:11 Techniques of incorporating risk allowance by case contractors ...........................71
Table 4:12 Cost estimate practice for tender case one-contractor projects ...............................74
Table 4:13 Cost estimate practice for tender -case two contractor projects .............................79
Table 4: 14 Cost estimate practice for tender -case three contractor projects ..........................85
Table 4:15 Cost estimate practice for tender -case four contractor projects .............................91
Table 4:16 Purpose and techniques of cost estimation ............................................................99
Table 4:17Problem and challenge areas of cost estimation practice.......................................107
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LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 1: 1 Structure of the study report ........................................................................................ 8
Figure 3: 1 Research methodology flowchart ............................................................................... 32
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ABBREVATION
AACE Association for the Advancement of Cost Engineering

BOQ Bill of Quantities
CIF Cost Insurance and Freight
CSA Central Statistics Agency
EBCA Ethiopian Building Construction Authority
ECCA Ethiopian Construction Contractors Association
ETCA Ethiopian Transport Construction Authority
FIDIC Fédération International des Ingénieurs Conseils
FOB Free on Board
GDP Gross Domestic Product
HS Harmonized System
IMF International Monetary Fund
MoFED Ministry of Finance and Economic Development
PPA Public Procurement Agency
VAT Value Added Tax
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CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION
1.1 The Research Background

The construction industry plays significant role in the growth of any economy. Particularly in
many developing countries, major construction activities account for about 80% of the total
capital assets Lioyd (1987) Cited in (Wubshet, 2004). Moreover, in these countries,
construction accounts for 10% of their GDP and more than 50% of the wealth invested on fixed
assets. In addition to that, the industry provides high employment opportunities, probably only
second to agriculture Ofori (2006) cited by (Abadir, 2011). Similarly, in Ethiopia, public
construction projects shared an average annual rate of 58.2% of the capital budget between
years 1997/98 and 2001/02 (Wubshet, 2004). Moreover, construction industry accounted for
4%-7.6% of the total GDP of the country between years 2010/11- 2013/14 (MoFED, 2014). In
the reflection, the industry’s national figure shows that the construction industry plays great
role in Ethiopian economic development.
Despite construction industry’s significant contribution to the economy of developing countries

and the critical role it plays (in the development) of the nations, the required level of
performance of the industry remains generally low. In this regard, many projects exhibit cost
overruns, time extensions, and fail to realize their intended benefit or even from the fact that
totally terminated and abandoned before or after their completion due to conflicts among parties
Idoko (2008) cited by (Abadir,2011). In general construction, industry in developing countries
fail to meet the expectation of the government, client and society as a whole (Wubshet, 2004).
Problems of cost estimation in the construction sector is one of the contributing factors of poor
performance. As Ahuja (1994) stated estimating is the primary function of the construction
industry and thus accuracy of cost estimates starting from early phase of a project through tender
estimate can affect the success or failure of any construction project. However, the industry is
known for having poor price forecasting and cost estimating practices. The poor cost estimating
practices like poor analysis of cost data, lack of knowledge in the construction process by
estimator, poor document analysis and so on, generally lead to poor overall project
performance. In general, they lead to over budget completion, delays or even compromise of
potential benefits of project’s products. Moreover, construction contractors have to produce
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accurate cost estimates as overestimated or under estimated costs has potential to cause missing
strategic opportunities to construction contractors (Akintoye, 2000).
1.2 Problem Statement

The construction industry in Ethiopia shares many of the problems and challenges its
counterparts in other developing countries face, perhaps with greater severity. In terms of cost
estimating, the potential problems associated with the practice of cost estimation in building
construction projects originate from the following major issues:
1.2.1 Estimating Method in Practice

In this regard, in the international construction context, according to Akintoye and Fitzgerald
(2000), the standard estimating method is deterministic (single point number) in its nature.
However, this approach generally fails to cope up with the realities of today’s world cost as it
involves a high risk of overestimating or underestimating. In relation to this, despite the
suggestions different studies on the process and principals involved in costing such as Law
(1994) and Stewart (1995); Carr (1989) pointed out that there is serious lack of commonly
accepted estimating guidelines. Even the existing and being practiced techniques are inaccurate
and unstructured and are solely based on contractors’ own experiences and applying purpose
procedures stated by the software systems.
In Ethiopian context, previous studies by Tadesse (2006) and Abeselom (2008) show that there
is a wide application of detailed estimating technique similar to this suggested by the literature,
in construction industry. However, like the international practices, it can be argued that they are
subjected to the flaws and drawbacks of the international practices discussed in the above
paragraph. Therefore, this research aimed to investigate the key drawbacks of the cost
estimation practices of the industry. Indeed, this thesis mainly focuses on investigating the
challenges and problem areas of the current cost estimation practice of Ethiopian contractors-
one of which could be the method adopted.
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1.2.2 Information on Cost Estimating Items

The use of accurate data for direct cost components make crucial component of an appropriate
cost for construction project. The quality of these estimates, measured by consistency between
estimated and actual values, is directly proportional to certainty of the direct costs the
components of the cost item that the practitioner has as its disposal. Information on material
costs, equipment costs and labor costs are highly important to determine the direct costs of the
project. However, research by Asteway (2008) indicated that data sources published by Central
Statistics Agency (CSA) and Ethiopian Construction Contractors Association (ECCA) are not
widely used by most contractors. One of the reasons could be the price data by these institutes
are published in a very wide range of time, while the price of materials on the market changes
within very short time. In light of these, it can be argued that there are no established systems,
which provide contractors up to date data of cost of resources.
Another critical data for cost estimation is crew productivity, which is an important component
of a cost breakdown structure. In this regard, for example, the Ethiopian Building Construction
Authority (EBCA) and the Ethiopian Transport Construction Authority (ETCA) have
developed material consumption breakdowns and performance standards for the most
commonly used activities for building and road projects respectively (Tadesse, 2006).
However, due to the advancement of construction technology, change in capacity and
productivity of construction equipment and change in skill of construction labor from time to
time; the performance standards get outdated. Therefore, this problem is also reflected in
Ethiopia context, as estimators do not have access to up to date productivity norms that can be
applied industry wide.
1.2.3 Stability of Market Conditions

Cost estimating, in essence, involves forecasting of prices. Cost estimates for construction work
are produced at specific point in time and the prices used therein are relevant only for that time
and for short near future. This is because prices for goods supplied and work undertaken are
continually subject to market forces. In recent years in Ethiopia, the price of materials on market
observed to be very unstable. Consequently, price of construction commodities greatly
increased and still increasing. According to IMF (2008), the inflation rate in Ethiopia was 40%.
The construction sector is one of the victims of this high price rise of inputs persists in Ethiopia.
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In this regard, a study made by Fetene (2008) indicated that inflation or increase on the cost of
construction materials is the major causes of cost overrun for public building projects in
Ethiopia. This research also revealed that the price of materials used to exhibit a very high
increase that is, more than 34%.
In a related issue, a study by Asteway (2008) indicated that the degree of predictability of
material price variation is very low compared to the price fluctuation of labor and equipment,
which can be fairly predictable taking in to consideration of other factors.
Therefore, in general, market predictability is one of the key issues in cost estimating conducted
for future consumptions. Given the volatility of the Ethiopian market, the accuracy and
forecasting capability of the estimating could be seriously affected by the market.
1.2.4 Others
In addition to the above, clearly defined scope of works and specifications, well-established
quantities, etc also make a critical component of cost estimates as they affect the methodologies
employed and ultimately the cost estimates. However, in this regard, the construction industry
in Ethiopia known for issuing incomplete drawings, ambiguous specifications and incomplete
scope definitions (Abeselom, 2008).
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1.3 Research Questions

Based on the discussed problems above, the research questions raised by the study are:
• What are the cost estimation practices by the subject contractors and how are these
practices compared and contrasted to the accepted international practices and
principles?
• What are the major challenges and problems in the current cost estimation practices of
the Ethiopian construction industry as exemplified by the subject contractors?
• What approaches can improve the problems related to inaccurate estimates?
1.4 Objective of the research

1.4.1 General objectives
The main purpose of this research is to explore and identify the key characteristics of the cost
estimating practices of building projects in Ethiopia and identify the major factors affecting the
practice with an objective of suggesting ways of alleviating these challenges and thereby
improving the accuracies of cost estimates.
1.4.2 Specific objectives

With the above overarching aims, the study specifically set the following objectives
• Explore the current cost estimating practices by the selected case contractors and
identify the gaps in current practice of cost estimation as compared to accepted practices
• Identify the major challenges and problems faced by the selected contractors in their
cost estimation practices
• Recommend possible ways of alleviating these challenges for improved cost estimating
practices
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1.5 Significance of the Study

The finding of this research has pin pointed gaps on the current practice of cost estimation and
the major variables affecting the cost estimation process of building projects. Its ultimate
significance is to contribute towards a more accurate cost estimation practice by exploring the
deficiencies of the existing practices and suggesting 'best practice based' cost estimating
practices as well as exploring for ways of alienating the major challenges of the currently
exercised practices.
1.6 Scope of the Research

From the manageability point of view, the research scope is limited to the investigation and
analysis of gaps in the current practice and the major problems affecting the cost estimation of
building construction projects. Construction projects undertaken by contractors range from light
residential buildings to complex and heavy projects. However, the scope of this research work
is limited and focused on building construction projects. The need for limiting the scope to
building construction projects arises mainly due to the fact that building projects are the most
common projects local contractors involve. This research paper is not expected to come up with
a report that covers vast construction industry of Ethiopia due to limited budget and time.
Therefore, this study attempted to investigate selected contractors as a sample for the case study.
1.7 Limitation
This research could not evaluate the accuracy of the cost estimates due to lack of data on the
actual cost records by contractors. Strategic feedback systems are an essential part of reviewing,
assessing, and improving the data available so that the new estimates do not have inaccuracies
carried forward from previous projects. This is, ideally, a process of learning from mistakes,
and seems to be a process neglected by estimators and their companies when it comes to
improving the accuracy of the estimating practice.
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1.8 Over view of the study

This section presents the organization of this report. As also preselected on float in Figure 1.1,
the research report has five chapters.
Chapter One- Presents a background to the research and serotypes the research problem. It also
presents the key research questions formulated, the aims and objectives of the
research. The chapter also presents the description of the major limitations of the
study and the scope of the study and its applicability.
Chapter Two- Presents the literature review. It presents both the contemporary theoretical views
of cost estimation as wells as empirical findings of the researches carried on the
issue. It highlights the basics of cost estimating and the drawbacks of the
contemporary cost estimating practices. The chapter also identifies the major
factors that the literatures identify as the factors that affect the construction cost
estimates.
Chapter Three-Describes and argues for the methodology as well as the methods adopted by
the study. It critically stereotypes the research philosophy, the research
methodology and discusses the data collection process and analysis techniques
adopted by the research.
Chapter Four-Presents the discussions and findings of the study. The findings are presented
based on themes selected around the topics stereotyped from literature review.
Chapter Five-Draws the conclusion of the research and provides recommendation on the
improvement of the practice.
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Chapter One
Introduction Chapter Two
Chapter Three
-Research background Literature Review Chapter Four
Methodology Chapter Five
-Problem statement -Fundamental of Findings and Discussion
-Research philosophy Conclusion &
-Research question cost estimation -Discussion of current
-Research methodology Recommendation
-Objective of study -Cost estimation approaches estimation practice
-Case sampling -Conclusion of the
-Research Scope -Cost estimation at -Comparison of current with
-Data collection major findings and
-Research Limitation different stages of constn standard practice on
-Data analysis discussions
-Overview of the study -Cost estimating process technical considerations
-Recommendation on
-Classification of -Identifying problem and
how to improve the
construction costs challenge areas
system to a more
-Factors that influence -Evaluating the estimation
effective practice
cost estimation and accuracy consistency
Figure 1: 1 Structure of the study report
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CHAPTER TWO: LITRATURE REVIEW

2.1 Introduction
This chapter provides aspects of study in terms of theoretical concepts and the reflection on
what has been already published on a topic by other researchers and scholars. The key points
identified in the literatures are basic concepts of cost estimation, the approaches of cost
estimation, cost estimating at different phases of construction, classification of cost estimates,
the steps in developing an estimate and components of construction costs. This chapter also
addresses empirical findings on the factors that influence project cost estimation and its
accuracy.
2.2 Fundamentals of Cost Estimation Theory

2.2.1 Definitions
The Project Management Institute (PMI, 2004) and the Association for the Advancement of
Cost Engineering (AACE, 2007) define construction cost estimation as process whereby
construction projects predict costs of expenditure of resources necessary to realize the intended
project which lays base for feasibility study, tender price of construction contracts, cost control
and project management. In the reflection, this show that both literatures have indicated similar
concepts on the construction cost estimation theory. This explanation is exactly implemented
in Ethiopian construction industry cost estimation concepts in everywhere as the world has
similar nature.
The code of estimating practice produced by the chartered institute of building (CIOB, 1997)
defines estimating as ‘the technical process of predicting costs of construction’ and tendering
as ‘separate and subsequent commercial function based up on the estimate’. Ashworth and
Skitmore (1983) and Smith (1995) argue that estimating cannot be a precise technical and
analytical process but it is largely a subjective process. In relation to this Elhag, Holm and et
al. (2005), argue that it is an experience-based process, which involves evaluations of unknown
circumstances and complex relationships of cost-influencing factors.
In the reflection the literatures show the predictive nature of cost estimate and its importance in
the determination, control and overall management of cost control. Cost estimating is a process
of analyzing a specific scope of work and predicting the cost of performing the work. That
involves collecting, analyzing and summarizing all available data related to a building
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construction project. This is apart from those variable items such as production rates, material
usage or other historical cost data derived from the company’s files as Cited by (Akintoye,
2000).
2.3 Cost Estimating Approach in Construction Industry
Assael (1985) and Kotler (1988) as cited by Akintoye et al. (1992) classified pricing strategies
as cost oriented, competition oriented and demand oriented. Cost-oriented methods consider
cost plus mark-up, breakeven and target rate of return where as competition-oriented method
focus on pricing based on competitors’ prices. This approach involves pricing in relation to
competitors’ expected reactions. Demand-oriented pricing is based mainly on the going price
or customers’ perceived value.
On the other hand, Gabor (1977) also Cited by Akintoye et al. (1992) classified pricing into
two basic groups cost based and market-oriented pricing and argues that other approaches fall
in between. Cost-based pricing encompasses profit-oriented and government-controlled prices,
while market-oriented pricing includes customer- and competition-oriented pricing.
Mochtar and Arditi (2000) indicated that cost based pricing approach involves estimating the
project cost then applying a markup for profit whereas market based pricing strategy is basically
the inverse of cost based pricing. It starts with the customer and the benefits the product creates
relative to key competitors. Based up on a combination of customer benefits, price is set in the
market. This is mostly developed in manufacturing industry and beyond the scope of this study.
Mochtar and Arditi (2000) also pointed that cost based pricing approach is the most practiced
approach in the construction industry though market based pricing strategy is becoming the
future alternative for pricing in the industry. The above discussions indicate various pricing
methods and this research focus on the cost based pricing approach. The next sections present
cost estimating methods and estimating process followed at different phases of construction.
2.4 Cost Estimation at Different Phases of Construction

The project cost management includes three core processes: cost estimation, cost budgeting and
cost control (PMI, 2004). Cost estimation at the planning stage plays a vital role as it influences
the decision making process from early planning to final project outcomes.
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At conceptual stage of the project, clients need an estimate of the probable cost of the
construction to access the financial feasibility of projects. To satisfy this need at a stage when
major features of the project have not been established yet, cost estimators use preliminary
estimate to establish the budget. Parametric cost estimation or estimation based on historic
database is widely used in developed countries to satisfy this need. However, Sodikov (2005)
states that developing countries face difficulties in relation to the creation of a costs database,
which may be used for cost estimation in either at the conceptual stage or at the feasibility study
of the project cycle.
As design completed, a final pre- bid estimate can be compiled to anticipate the contractors’
bid price for the project. This estimate is relatively accurate and can be used to check whether
the bid prices established will be within the owner’s budget for planned project.
Akintoye and Fitzgerald (2000) indicated that contractors undertake cost estimating,
predominantly for construction planning purposes including the preparation of tenders, cost
control of projects during the execution stage and to lesser extent for construction projects
evaluation. At tender stage, contractors determine project direct costs and below the lower cost,
it would not be economical to carry out the works. In addition, once construction is underway,
this estimate provides benchmark for the contractor to identify deficiencies and helps to take
corrective actions to maintain profit margins.
In cost control programs, estimating is required to facilitate the control of expenditure of funds
for the project. Contractors set cost targets based on their estimates of the cost of each
component of the work, and then they compare the actual cost of work against these target
amounts to find out if corrective action is required to bring productivity up to required levels.
Often during construction operations, the owner or the designer asks the contractor to quote
prices for proposed changes in the scope of the work (Pratt, 2011).
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2.5 Classification of Cost Estimate in Construction Projects

The Association for the Advancement of Cost Engineering International (ACCE,1997)
recommended practice suggests that the most significant factors for classifying the cost
estimates are the level of project definition, end usage of the estimate, estimate methodology,
and effort and time needed to prepare the estimate. The guideline developed by AACE uses the
level of project definition as the “primary” characteristics for classifying cost estimate, the end
use of estimate and estimating methodology as the “secondary’’ characteristics for classifying
estimates.
As observed from Table 2.1, the five estimating categories labeled from class 1 to class 5. In
this regard, class 1 being the most accurate estimate requiring high effort; while class 5 is least
accurate demanding less effort to produce estimates. The level of project information required
increases as the estimate changes from class 5 to class 1.The methodology applied also changes
from judgmental 1 or stochastic 2 for class 5 estimate to completely deterministic 3 method for
class 1 estimate. This is because at class 5, the level of information available is limited, thereby
leading itself to only judgmental or stochastic estimating process. As level of project definition
increases, the estimating methodology moves from the stochastic process to the deterministic
process. This shows that the relative accuracy of estimates denoted by level of project
definition.
1
Judgmental process refers to a non-quantitative process whereby conclusions and decisions are made based
on the experiences and opinions of the decision makers
2
Stochastic process, also refers to as non-probabilistic process, is a process whereby at least one of the input
to the stochastic model is uncertain and subject to variation
3
Deterministic process refers to the process whereby all the inputs to the deterministic model are known and
cannot vary
12
Table 2: 1 AACE Generic cost estimating classification matrix

Primary
Characteristics Secondary Characteristics
Estimate Level of project End usage Methodology Expected accuracy range Preparation effort
class definition Typical purpose of Typical estimating Typical variation in low Typical degree of
Expresses as % of estimate methodology and high ranges[a] effort [b]
complete definition
Class 5 0%-2% Screening or feasibility Stochastic or L:-20% to -50% 1
judgment H:+30% to +100%
Class 4 1%-15% Concept study or Preliminary L:-15% to -30% 2 to 4
feasibility Stochastic H:+20% to +50%
Class 3 10%-40% Budget, authorization Mixed but L:-10% to -20% 3 to 10
or control preliminarily H:+10% to +30%
Stochastic
Class 2 30%-70% Control or Bid/tender Preliminarily L:-5% to -15% 5 to 20
deterministic H:+5% to +20%
Class 1 50%-100% Check estimate or deterministic L:-3% to -10% 10 to 100
Bid/tender H:+3% to +15%
Notes: [a] The availability of applicable reference cost data can affect the range markedly
[b] If the range index value of “1” represents the 0.005% of project cost, then an index value of 100 represents 0.5%
Estimate preparation is highly dependent upon the size of the project and the quality of the estimating data.
Adapted from (AACE 1997)
13
2.6 The Cost Estimating Process

The cost estimating process requires tools that must be available or collected to perform the
estimating function. An organization that is embarking on an estimating mission needs to
identify, collect, organize and activate the listed principal estimating principles summarized
here under by (Steward 1995).
• Information-which includes historical data or recent information on similar work,
professional and reference materials (books, magazines, presentations, and reports),
knowledge of the operation, and the results of market and industrial surveys
• Methods- which includes techniques, procedures, policies, and practices discussed
previously
• Plan /schedule for estimating
• Skills which includes knowledge regarding finance, engineering and technical
skills
According to Uman (1990), factors like extreme diversity in building systems, methods,
projects, suppliers, contractors and workforce makes it difficult to develop standard process of
cost estimating. However, (Steward 1995) listed twelve basic steps to be followed in cost
estimation summarized here under,
Step one: Developing ground rules and assumptions
Step two: Schedule the work elements
Step three: Retrieve and organize historical data
Step four: Develop and use cost-estimating relationships
Step five: Develop and use production learning curves
Step six: Identify skill categories, skill levels and labor rates
Step seven: Develop labor hour and material estimates
Step eight: Develop overhead and administrative costs
Step nine: Apply inflation and escalation factors (cost growth factors)
Step ten: Price or compute estimated costs
Step eleven: Analyze, adjust and support estimate
Step twelve: Publish and present the estimate so that it can be utilized effectively
14
2.7 Components of Construction Costs

The construction cost has two parts; the direct and indirect construction costs which are briefly
elaborated below.
2.7.1 Direct Construction Costs

Direct construction cost consists physically traceable to the costs needed to carry out a specific,
well-defined item of work. The direct cost components listed as,
• Material cost
• Labor cost
• Equipment and
• Subcontractor cost (if employed)
2.7.1.1 Material cost
According to Chitkara (2001), the direct material cost generally includes:
• Purchase costs, ex-factory or specified delivery location.
• Transportation costs, custom clearance, insurance and handling charges until arrival at
site.
• Site manufacturing and fabrication costs to transform raw materials in to products for
use in permanent works
The material cost includes not only the direct costs of material but also any other costs that may
be obtained except labor and equipment for installation. Additional items considered are
transportation, freight costs, delivery, storage, sales, other taxes and losses.
Material Unit Cost=Σ (Material quantity x Materials unit price) ……………. (2.1)
Material quantity is obtained from consumption standard which is the material quantity required
to execute specific activity including the assumed allowances for wastage. Material unit price
can be obtained from suppliers from various sources, including, but not limited to, catalogs,
vendor price sheets and/or vendor quotations, pricing services, cost data books, historical
records and other resources.
For materials to be supplied from local market or produced on site the material unit cost can be
easily computed by adding an extra cost of loading, unloading and transportation costs to the
project on the supplier’s invoice. However, if the material is imported from abroad, the
estimator should have proper understanding of the logistics of imported materials; international
15
commercial terms and should compute these additional costs and add to the supplier’s price to
get the material unit price to the project site (Tadesse, 2006).
2.7.1.2 Direct Labor Cost

Labor cost consists of the cost of employees directly or indirectly involved depending on the
extent of their relationship on the project. Direct labor cost considered as all costs related to the
workers working on specific activity such as carpenters, masons, erectors, painters, plumbers
and miscellaneous workers. Whereas indirect labor costs cover all the salaries and benefits of
staffs other than senior management members working at the head office and staffs not included
at the site management members depending on the size, type and organizational structure of the
construction project (Tadesse,2006).
Some examples of indirect labor cost at head office could be the salaries and benefits of
technical, administrative, marketing, finance, supply staffs…whereas indirect labor cost at
project site could be the salaries and benefits of site engineers, office engineers, administrative
and finance staffs, data collectors and so on. Indirect labor costs are accounted in overhead
costs.
For calculating the direct labor crew required for one activity, the cost estimator shall determine
the number of labor, skill and utilization factor (UF) required for executing the construction
work.
Direct labor hourly cost=Σ (No of labor x Basic salary x Labor index x UF) …... (2.2)
Direct labor cost = Direct labor hourly cost / Hourly crew productivity…... (2.3)
i. Determination of Number of Labor

The number of direct labor required for an activity varies based on the number of crew
deployed, the job schedule, and the site condition, the intensity of the activity, the number and
type of equipment involved. Clough (2015) claims that labor is both the largest component of
cost within an estimate and at the same time the most difficult and therefore the most risky-to-
estimate component of construction cost. The literature Clough (2015) suggests that the under
listed steps to determine the number of work force required for the job,
16
1. Building the job in mind-the estimator will determine all of the activities that must be
performed in order to complete the work. Activities defined as elements of work that
are identifiable and quantifiable and consume resources.
2. Creating work breakdown structure
3. Determining, literally estimating, the number of person-hours necessary for the crew
and each of its craft workers to complete every activity that are identified. This
component of the labor estimate is both vital and, at the same time filled with
uncertainty.
ii. Determination of Crew Productivity, Utilization Factor and Labor Index
To accomplish the prediction of crew productivity, the best approach is to use historical cost
information that contractors’ cost estimating, cost accounting, and cost control systems
developed. This is in fact; the very reason for the contractors’ compiling and maintaining
information files. The historical cost data is tabulation of contractors’ costs of performing work,
by project and by activity, on previous projects. This information generated as each project
performed, and is stored in a systematic manner in historical cost database. This database is one
of the contractor’s most important and most closely guarded assets (Clough 2015). Thus the
amount of crew can be obtained from previous experience of works similar in nature, historical
data, national /international performance standards and other trial tests conducted on actual
conditions. The utilization factor (UF) is used for calculating the contribution of a crewmember
for the specific activity who can also be engaged in other or more other activities.
In Ethiopian context, according to proclamation No.377/2003, the minimum employee benefits

that the cost estimator should include in determining the labor index listed as;
• Severance pay
• Annual leave
• Occupational accident expenses
• Occupational disease expenses
• Overtime pay
• Occupational safety
• Health and working environment and other benefits resulting from collective
agreements.
17
2.7.1.3 Equipment Costs

The equipment cost like labor costs, are difficult to evaluate the exactness of the values.
Equipment accounts for a substantial proportion of the total cost of most construction projects.
However, is typically somewhat less significant as a fraction of the total cost in building
construction work (Clough 2015). Many factors can influence the selection of equipment on a
construction site. These factors can be group into three categories: site conditions, the nature of
the work, and equipment characteristics.
Equipment production rates, like labor production rates, are subjected to considerable variation,
and influenced by host of different jobsite conditions. There are several sources of equipment
production information like production information provided by manufacturers’, contractors’
historical records and experiences of operators’/machine owners’. The most reliable by far are
the contractor’s production records from past projects. Additionally, input from the equipment
operators can be very useful at times. If a new piece of equipment is involved, with which there
is no prior experience, production information provided by the equipment manufacturer or
dealer can be useful.
Equipment costs are generally divided into two categories: ownership costs and operating costs,
as discussed below. According to Tadesse (2006), in addition to owning and operating costs of
equipment, the equipment owner’s overhead costs should be included to determine the overall
equipment hourly costs.
i.Equipment Owning Cost

Equipment ownership costs defined as costs that continue to accrue, whether the machine is in
use or not. Examples include financing costs for buying the machine (or sinking fund
contributions for replacing the machine at the end of its useful life) and depreciation.
Equipment owning cost includes depreciation cost, insurance charges, property tax, erection
and installation cost, major repairs and overhauls (Clough 2015; Tadesse 2006).
ii.Equipment Operating Cost

Equipment Operating costs, as their name indicates, include costs associated with the operation
of the machine. Operating cost accrue only when the unit of equipment is used, whereas
ownership costs accrue whether or not the equipment is used. Equipment operating cost
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includes fuel cost, cost of lube oils, filters, and grease cost of tires, cost of under carriage (in
case of crawl-mounted equipment), cost of normal repairs and cost of high wear items.
To get the hourly cost of operator, the annual equipment operator’s salary and benefits summed
up and divided by the annual utilization of equipment (Clough 2015; Tadesse 2006).
2.7.1.4 Subcontract Costs

All tasks in given construction project undertaken by general contractors may not be completed
entirely by contractor's own workforce. Therefore, subcontractors engaged to accomplish the
jobs. The cost estimator should delineate the work items to handle by subcontractors, obtain
price quotes from various subcontractors and then factor selected prices into the cost estimate.
The cost estimator must also determine any administrative responsibilities and interference or
scheduling problems involved in subcontracted work. That will increase the cost of the general
contractor's work items (Steward 1995).
When specific activities are subcontracted to subcontractors, the subcontract prices considered
as the direct cost of the activity (Tadesse, 2006).
2.7.2 Indirect Construction Costs

Indirect construction costs include all costs, which cannot be directly booked under the specific
activity but required to keep the whole project operational (Asteway, 2008). According to
Chitkara (2001), the range of indirect costs ranges from seven to thirty-five percent (7% - 35%)
of the total cost depending up on the nature of the project. Indirect costs subdivided into two
categories: project overhead and office overhead costs. Project overhead costs also referred as
general conditions costs, or as project indirect. Office overhead costs also referred as company
overhead, or as general overhead (Clough 2015).
2.7.2.1 Project overhead costs

Project overhead costs, as the name implies, refer to overhead costs incurred on job site. These
costs typically significant items of expense on project and will generally contribute from five
to fifteen percent (5% -15%) of the total project cost, depending on where and how certain
project costs are included in the cost estimate (Clough 2015). Project overhead costs estimated
with reasonable accuracy, compiled and included in the estimate by the estimator. Project
overhead costs computed by listing and costing each item of overhead individually, rather than
by using an arbitrary percentage of project cost. This is true because different projects can and
19
do have widely varying job overhead requirements. The only way to arrive at an accurate
estimate of job overhead is to analyze the particular needs of each project and determining the
cost (Clough 2015). These project overhead costs for a project determined by direct estimation.
More typically, however, these costs extracted from the contractor’s historical cost database
and are then included in the estimate.
2.7.2.2 General overhead

General overhead or office overhead includes general business expenses such as cost of owning
or leasing the contractor’s head office and salaries of the head office employees. The head office
staff include but not limited to company president, estimators, cost accountants, reception and
clerical workers, and so on; utilities and equipment for the home office; insurance; office
supplies; furniture; regular legal expenses; travel; donations; advertising; association dues; and
unnamed elements. Some companies include the salaries of project manager’s in the category
of general overhead. The total cost of this overhead expense generally ranges from three to ten
percent (3% to 10 %) of contractor’s annual business volume (Clough 2015).
2.7.3 Risk Allowances

Al-Bahar (1990), defines risk as the exposure to the chance of occurrences of events adversely
or favorably affecting project objectives because of uncertainty. Some of the risk conditions
that estimator need to consider includes the following (Plither, 1992),
• ability of the contractor to manage the productivity of resources that was assumed
during the estimation
• bad weather and the interference with production and program that it may cause
• the availability of materials for incorporation in the work
• delays due to industrial disputes
• the financial stability of the client and
• the performance of equipment
Contingency is the amount of money added to an estimate to cover unforeseen needs of the
project, construction difficulties or estimating accuracy. In estimating, the word contingency
used for two types of estimates. The first is the expected value of possible identified event. The
second type of contingency is the possible cost of unforeseen events. Those events impossible
to identify because the engineer does not know what can happen in the future. The second type
20
is a true contingency and the one that needs close attention, because it is margin for error (Carr,
1988).
In Ethiopian context, there is practice of considering ten percent (10%) of the total project cost
as the contingency. Most of the time consultants compute this margin to secure project budget.
Ostwald (2001) identified the main items that make many estimators add a contingency to the
estimate to cover one or possibly more of the following:
• Unpredictable price escalation for materials, labor, and installed equipment for projects
with an estimated duration greater than 12 months
• Project complexity
• Incomplete working drawings at the time detail estimate is performed
• Incomplete design in the fast-track or design-build contracting approach
• Soft spots in the detail estimate due to possible estimating errors, to balance an estimate
that is biased low
• Abnormal construction methods and startup requirements;
• Estimator personal concerns regarding project, unusual construction risk, and difficulties
to build and
• Unforeseen safety and environmental requirements
The following methods and models proposed for dealing with risks and uncertainties. Some of
them are Simple assessment, Sensitivity analysis method, Probability analysis method, the
Monte Carlo simulation method, Decision tree analysis method, multiple estimating using risk
analysis, Bayesian belief networks’. Generally, these models characterized by their complexity
and high mathematical treatment and thus difficulty for application (Khalafallah, 2002).
However, Tadesse (2006) proposed for the contractor to trace the local and international market
trends and to use the changes in price index in calculation of economic risks as:
RA= (DMCI* DMC) + (DLCI* DLC) + (DECI* DEC) + (SOCI +SOC) + (HOCI* HOC)
Where, RA=Risk allowance
DMCI=Direct material cost increment DMC=Direct material cost
DLCI=Direct material cost increment DLC=Direct labor cost
DECI=Direct equipment cost increment DEC=Direct equipment cost
SOCI=Site overhead cost increment SOC=site overhead cost
HOCI=Head office overhead cost increment HOC=Head office overhead cost
21
Consumer price index could be used as a base for estimating risk allowances, though the
consumer price index published by Central Statistics Agency, database has got shortcomings
listed under here (Tadesse, 2006).
• Construction materials categorized under the same group with house rent, fuel and power.
• All types of construction materials grouped under one category whereas the rate of price
increment for construction materials widely vary depending on the type of materials.
• Locally produced construction materials and imported construction materials treated under
the same group of consumer price index.
• Governmentally controlled material prices grouped with market oriented material prices
such as fuel as compared to cement.
• Moreover, the published consumer price index does not include construction labor and
construction equipment.
Due to the above facts, it would be difficult to apply the price index for risk analysis.
2.7.4 Profit
Profit is the sum of money that will remain with the contractor after the project is completed
and once the costs of carrying out the works paid for (Plither, 1992).
2.8 Factors that Influence Project Cost Estimation

Construction is multidisciplinary industry and its work involves many actors that has its own
influencing factors on the cost estimation. Akinci and Fischer (1998), Akintoye (2000) and Liu
and Zhu (2007), revealed that a large number of factors affect or influence cost estimation. In
general, they assert that these factors directly related to construction project specific factors, the
construction organizations’ responsibilities for managing costs, economic and external
conditions as well as the technological and political environments within which they operate.
Akinci and Fischer (1998), separated factors affecting cost estimates of project from those
affecting final cost of projects. The factors that affect cost estimates related to estimator-specific
factors and design and project specific factors. Estimator specific factors are risks associated
with estimator’s background and experience and as well as cognitive bias and error occurrence.
While design and project-specific factors are those factors related to project size, type of project,
ground conditions, type of client, material costs, likely design and scope changes, duration,
22
tendering method and contract type. On the other hand, factors that affect the final cost and
increase the gap between the actual cost and the estimated cost of a project are related to
construction specific factors and as well economic and political environment-specific factors
as cited by (Abukar, 2006).
Similarly, Akintoye (2000) presents twenty-four variables that affect the project cost estimation
and he grouped them in seven factors with the most important being project complexity
followed by technological requirements, project information, project team requirement,
contract requirement, project duration and finally market requirement. The finding also
indicated that construction firms, irrespective of company size, generally have similar opinions
regarding the factors influencing construction cost estimates.
In the same manner Liu and Zhu (2007), categorize the factors that influence the cost of project
as control factors and idiosyncratic factors. Control factors are those determined by the
estimators to increase the performance of the estimation. Idiosyncratic factors are the factors
that affect estimation but are outside the control of the estimator. This includes but not limited
to market conditions, project complexity, weather, type of contract, type of client, site
constraints and resource availability. By aggregating many factors influencing construction
costs Abukar (2006), grouped the factors in to four (discussed in table 2:3) as Project specific
factors, client and contractor related factors, competition and market conditions, and
Macroeconomic and political factors.
As presented on above literatures, there are several influencing factors, but it is difficult to find
detailed study regarding the challenges of cost estimation in building projects in the Ethiopian
construction industry as prior research. However, related studies by some researchers Tadesse
(2006) and Abeselom (2008) are reviewed in this research.
Tadesse (2006) claims that there is lack of competency in estimating and lack of organized data
base system in the industry. According to the literature, many contractors use previously
prepared unit prices by other contractors that they believe are well-organized contractors
without justification of the cost components included in these unit prices.
23
Further, the same literature elaborates contractors expected to satisfy high quality and shorter
time requirements of project owners. Of course, the contractor still has to offer the lowest
possible construction cost to win the bid. Thus in prevailing unfair market competition, there is
high tendency of under estimation to stay in business.
Abeselom (2008), identified major factors affecting the accuracy of contractors cost estimates
as,
• unfamiliarity with different estimating methods
• lack of up-to-date estimating manuals
• inadequate search for information on project specific and contextual cost and non-cost
items,
• improper estimation of overhead costs,
• failures to evaluate and incorporate and/or difficulties in forecasting quantifying risk
allowances and
• Inadequate assessment of factors while determining markup amount or profit margin
24
Table 2: 2 Four groups of factors influencing construction costs
Factors Factors affecting construction Layers of determining factors

costs: Examples and comments
1.Project specific Project size Mainly client controlled factors
factors Project complexity but may have favored certain
Quality contractor
2.Client& Contractor type Both client and contractor could
Contractor related Client type (e.g. public, private) influence indirect cost through
factors Procurement method supplier structure and extent of
Contractor-client relationship relationship
3.Competition Level of competition They affect both direct and
and market Level of construction activity indirect costs but their impact
conditions on the latter is more exacerbated
when client /contractor related
factors are taking in to
considerations
4.Macroeconomic Inflation and interest rate Uncontrolled but predictable
and political General labor market rules and factors by either client or
factors other government regulations contractors
Source: Abstracted from (Abukar 2006)
25
2.9 Factors Affecting Accuracy of Cost Estimates

The word “accuracy” has two definitions as defined in Webster’s College Dictionary (1999) as:
• The condition or quality of being true, correct, or exact; precision; exactness.
• The extent to which given measurement agrees with the standard value for that
measurement
Hicks (1992), states that without an accurate cost estimate, nothing short of an act of God can
be done to prevent a loss, regardless of management competence and financial strength of the
contractor cited in (Li Liu and Kai Zhu, 2007).
The Construction industry institute (CII, 1998), study highlights the major factors influencing
on estimate accuracy:
• Quality and amount of information available for preparing the estimate;
• Time allocated to prepare the estimate;
• Proficiency of estimator and estimating team;
• Tools and techniques used in preparing estimate
Accurate prediction of construction costs is fundamentally dependent on the availability of
quality historical cost data and the level of professional expertise among other things. The
limited information available at an early stage of construction project may mean that the
quantity surveyor must make assumptions about the design details of project, which may not
eventuate as the design, planning, and construction evolve (Li Liu and Kai Zhu, 2007).
Also according to Fetene (2008), the actual site conditions of a project are not usually
determined until excavation is completed. Thus, unexpected conditions on sub surface may lead
to require fundamental redesign of projects with high expense. In addition to this, changes of
site conditions become a problem for machinery and supplies to move in and out of the site,
which in turn increase costs.
Vergara and Boyer (1974) on the other hand argue that the precision of estimates depends not
only on the method but also on the type of work and the intended use of estimate. They argue
that to increase the reliability of estimates, the level of detail involved should be increased up
to a limit (optimum level of detail) at which the cost of increased reliability equals the value of
the increased reliability. Because of the time and cost constraints associated with this practice
26
they have advocated a probabilistic approach to cost estimating as cited by (Akintoye &
Fitzgerald, 2000).
Shash and Al-Khaldi (1992) elaborate factors affecting the accuracy of cost estimating as
financial issues, bidding situations, project characteristics and the estimating process itself.
They argue that the accuracy of cost estimate irrespective of size of contractors, mainly affected
by the previous experience of the contractor on the type of the project. This factor was followed
by anticipated or frequent delays in periodic payments, type and size of contract and project
location as cited by (Akintoye & Fitzgerald, 2000).
The study by Al-Harbi et al. (1994) as cited in Akintoye & Fitzgerald (2000) listed 12 factors
that challenge cost estimators face. The major challenge areas identified in the research are
tough competition followed by contract period, incomplete drawings and specification,
incomplete project scope definition, unforeseeable changes in material prices, changes in
owners’ requirements, current workload, errors in judgment, inadequate production time data,
lack of historical data for similar jobs and lack of experience in similar projects.
27
CHAPTER THREE: RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

3.1 Research Methods
Research methodology refers to the principles and procedures of logical thought processes
applied to a scientific investigation while research methods concern with the techniques that
are available (for data collection, analysis) and implemented in the research (Fellows, 2007).
There are different research methods depending on the research philosophical backgrounds that
guide them. The common ones are experiment, survey, case study, ground theory, action
research and ethnography. In selecting the right research methodology, one has to consider the
purpose of research, nature of research problem to be solved, the type of data needed and
researchers’ ontological and epistemological assumptions on the research problem.
As can be seen from the previous discussions, the nature of the research problem and the
objective of the research, this research demand through scrutiny on the current cost estimation
practice. The research approach adopted for the present study confirms to qualitative research
through a case study design. Case study is an appropriate research method as it emphasizes
detailed contextual analysis of a limited number of events or conditions and their relationships.
The method for this research shall be a triangulation from an extensive literature survey review
and then followed by a document analysis of the case study of the company’s cost estimation
practice.
3.2 Case Sampling

3.2.1 Determining Case Design
According to Yin (2003), there are two major types of designs in the case study, single case
design and multiple case study design. A single case study design focuses only on one case
while in multiple case study design cases should be selected so that they are replicating each
other either exact (direct) replications or predictably different (systematic) replications. Some
of the rationales for using in single cases is when it represents the critical case in testing well
formulated theory, in cases representing an extreme case or unique case, single case is the
representative or typical case, revelatory case and in case of longitudinal cases. Whereas the
major insight to consider multiple is to follow the replication logic. In this logic each case must
be selected as it needs to clarify the predicts similar results or predicts contrasting results but
28
for predictable reasons (Yin 2003). In this study multiple case design is selected as the subject
under scrutiny involves examining the issues raised practice by replication logic.
3.2.2 Techniques for Case Selection

Case study research focuses on a small number of cases that are expected to provide insight
into causal relationship across a larger population of the cases. The study samples are selected
through purposive (nonrandom) selection procedures (Gerring 2007).
According to Gerring (2007), there are nine case selection techniques: typical, diverse, extreme,
deviant, influential, crucial, pathway, most similar, and most different.
As far as this research is concerned, grade one contractors involved in building projects are the
cases under study and hence extreme case selection used. Extreme case selection method is
appropriate where there exist cases of extreme values on an independent or dependent value of
interest.
The decision to select grade one contractors is based on the assumption that they usually take
most of the large projects given to local contractors and that they have better database for the
study. The case contractors who have wide variability of projects and the ones that are volunteer
to provide the data and facilitate the projects that could be studied were selected. Accordingly,
four case contractors were selected. To review the cost estimating approaches followed, five
building projects from each four case contractor were selected. The selection of these projects
made in collaboration with the selected contractors’ management to represent major works
carried by their company in recent years that could be taken as fair representation of the
company’s portfolio of the work.
29
3.3 Data Collection Process

This research aims to determine the challenges and problems of the current cost estimation
practice using a case study of selected contractors, and answering the following questions:
• What are the cost estimation practices by the subject contractors and how are these
practices compared and contrasted to the accepted international practices and
principles?
• What are the major challenges and problems in the current cost estimation practices
of the Ethiopian construction industry as exemplified by the subject contractors?
• What approaches can improve the problems related to inaccurate estimates?
To answer these questions, document analysis of the case study company’s cost breakdown
analysis, cost records, contract documents and bill of quantities are conducted.
In addition, interviews and discussions with contractors on the issues that cannot be covered
tangibly are covered. The interviews and discussions are used to substantiate as well as support
the findings of the document analysis to ensure the validity and reliability of the information.
In addition, the research questions that have been prepared to monitor the attainment of the
objectives are used as a guideline for interviews.
3.4 Data Analysis

According to Miles (1994), the qualitative data analysis consists of three concurrent flows of
activity; data reduction, data display and finally conclusion drawing or verification.
Data reduction refers to the process of selecting, focusing, simplifying, abstracting, and
transforming the data that appear in written up field notes or transcriptions. The data reduction
occurs continuously throughout the life of any qualitatively oriented project.
After these data are reduced, the next step of analysis is to change these data in to a data display
form. A display is an organized, compressed assembly of information that permits conclusion
drawing and action.
Accordingly, in this study, the data from each contractors and each projects have been reduced
thematically. For with in case analysis, the following themes are stereotyped from the literature
review are used:
• Cost estimation practice
• Technical procedures and considerations in detailed cost estimation practice
30
• Estimating consistency
• Estimating team responsibility
• involvement of management in monitoring and controlling quality of
estimates
After each case analysis, a cross- case analysis was conducted to compare the practices of the
different contractors and identify the challenge and problem areas in the practice. Thematic
analysis, themed around the above-identified topics was used to evaluate and analyze the
problem and challenge areas. Figure 3:1 below presents a schematic representation of the
methodology adopted and methods used.
31
MAIN PROCEDURES SUB-PROCEDURES OUTPUT
Identify research needs and goals -Research methodology

Research methodology -Research objective
Research design and specifications -Research scope & limitation
-Identify data source -Current practice of estimation

-Data collection from archives, -structure & technique of
Data Collection
documents and interviews estimation
-data base system
-Evaluation of current practice

-Extraction of relevant data
against principles
Data Analysis -Data examination
-Reveal factors that affect cost
-Qualitative data analysis
estimation and difficulties
faced
Documentation of analysis procedures -Fulfilling research objectives

Reporting & results & questions
Discussions conclusions and - Recommendation for future
Figure
recommendation3.1 Research flow c study
Figure 3: 1 Research methodology flowchart
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CHAPTER FOUR: ANALYSIS AND DISCUSSION

4.1 Introduction
This chapter provides the analysis and discussion of the case study.
The analysis and discussions are done in three major sections summarized below
• Section 4.2 presents the case coding and gives description of the scope of the case
projects
• Section 4.3 presents within case analysis of contractors cost estimating practice.
Under the subsection 4.3.1, the cost estimating practice for tendering discussed raising
issues on preliminary consideration for estimate preparation, inputs of cost estimate and
construction cost analysis. In the same manner under the sub section 4.3.2, examined
how consistent the case projects estimates are. The cost estimation practice for variation
works are reviewed under section 4.3.3. Finally, in section 4.3.4, reviewed the
estimating team responsibility and involvement of management.
• Section 4.4 presents the cross case analysis of contractors on the different cost estimation
practice and presents the comparative outlook of the case contractors practice and
challenges.
4.2 Case Description

4.2.1 Coding
For this study, the selected case company’s name and project names are replaced by an alpha
numeric based coding system. The numerical code represents the four case contractors and the
alphabetical part represents projects under each contractor. Accordingly, the case contractors are
represented as Case one (C1), Case two (C2), Case three (C3) and Case four (C4). The
corresponding five projects in each case contractors are indicated by alphabetical letters as A, B,
C, D and E. Thus the projects under case one contractor shall be represented as: Case one project
A (C1PA), Case one Project B (C1PB), Case one Project C(C1PC), Case one Project D(C1PD)
and Case one Project E(C1PE). The remaining case-contractors follow the same format of code-
naming.
33
4.2.2 Case Presentation

As described in the literature review section, the major factors that affect construction cost
estimates are method of estimating, contract duration, contract type, project complexity, project
location, nature of tendering, type of client and type of consultant. Thus in order to review the
cost estimation practice of the selected projects, this information is relevant and are presented in
tabulated form.
Table 4.1 up to 4.4 below describes the scope of the selected projects
Page 34 of 145
Table 4: 1 Description of scope projects under case one contractor
No Description Project A Project B Project C Project D Project E

1.1 Project
G+4 Dormitory G+4 office building G+4 Dormitory Factory buildings Factory buildings
description
Method of National competitive National competitive National competitive National competitive
1.2 Selective Bid
tendering bidding (NCB) bidding (NCB) bidding (NCB) bidding (NCB)
Condition of
1.3 PPA 2006 PPA 2006 PPA 2006 PPA 2006 PPA 2006
contract
Unit Price Unit Price Unit Price Unit Price Unit Price
1.4 Contract Type
(admeasurement) (admeasurement) (admeasurement) (admeasurement) (admeasurement)
Contract price 190,768,959.11 94,599,512.30
1.5 45,522,524.19 Birr 114,665,370.48 birr 21,779,201.13 Birr
(with VAT) Birr Birr
1.6 Contract period 730 Cal days 960 Cal days 450 Cal days 273 Cal days 960 Cal days
Project
1.7 Yirgalem Bahirdar Addis Ababa Wonji Tana Beles
location
1.8 Project start 05 June 2010 17 Dec 2008 28 July 2010 31 May 2012 24 March 2012
Project
1.9 04 June 2012 01 Sep 2011 21 Oct 2011 28 Feb 2013 28 March 2013
completion
1.10 Project status Completed Completed Completed Completed under construction
1.11 Consultant Private. Government Government Private Private
1.12 Client Government Government Government Government Government
35
Table 4: 2 Description of scope of projects under case two contractor

G+2 Administrative
1.1 Project G+4 Office B+G+6 Office G+4 B+G+8
Building
description Building Building Dormitory Building Hotel Building
Method of National competitive National competitive National competitive National competitive National competitive
1.2
tendering bidding(NCB) bidding (NCB) bidding (NCB) bidding (NCB) bidding (NCB)
Condition of
1.3 PPA PPA PPA PPA PPA
contract
Unit Price Unit Price Unit Price Unit Price Unit Price
1.4 Contract Type
(ad-measurement) (ad-measurement) (ad-measurement) (ad-measurement) (ad-measurement)
Contract price
151,178472.58 42,635,292.3 36,425,048.5
1.5 (inclusive of 63,063,794.21 birr 115,866,868.57 birr
birr birr birr
VAT)
365 600 540 365 365
1.6 Contract period
calendar days calendar days calendar days calendar days calendar days
Project
1.7 Arbaminch Debreberhan Wolyta sodo Bahirdar Nekemt
location
1.8 Project start 11 August, 2015 05 March ,2016 19 May ,2016 30 June , 2016 02 July , 2015
Project
1.9 12 August , 2016 23 December,2017 11 Sept.,2017 31 July, 2017 03 July ,2016
completion
1.10 Project status under construction under construction under construction under construction under construction
Private Private Government
1.11 Consultant Private Private
Government Government private Government

1.12 Client Government
PPA-Public Procurement Agency

Page 36 of 145
Table 4: 3 Description of scope of projects under case three contractor

1.1 Project B+G+3 , Hospital 2B+G+10, B+G+7 Office and
G+3,Medical college 2B+G+12, Hotel
description building Office building Apartment Complex
Method of National competitive National competitive
1.2 Selected Selected Selected
tendering bidding (NCB) bidding (NCB)
Condition of
1.3 FIDIC,1999 PPA FIDIC,1999 PPA PPA
contract
Lump sum Ad-measurement Lump sum Lump sum Ad-measurement
1.4 Contract Type (1st phase contract) (1st phase (2nd phase contract)
contract)
Contract price
54,040,061.31 47, 442,331.64
1.5 (inclusive of 101,017,005.80 birr 116,154,889.70 birr 78,731,355 birr
birr birr
VAT)
730 Calendar
1.6 Contract period Two years 796 Calendar days 730 calendar days 430 calendar days
days
1.7 Project location Addis Ababa Adama Addis Ababa Addis Ababa Addis Ababa
1.8 Project start 24 May 2016 08 January 2016 15 May 2016 05 March 2015 January 2012
Project
1.9 24 May 2018 13 March 2017 15 May 2018 05 March 2017 April 2013
completion
under
1.10 Project status under construction under construction under construction Completed
construction
1.11 Consultant Private Private Private Private Private
1.12 Client Private Private Private Private Private

FIDIC-Federation Internationale Des Ignieus Conselis
37
Table 4: 4 Description of scope of projects under case four contractor

1.1 G+5 Mixed-use Mixed use building
Project description B+G+7+Hotel Aviation Depot B+G+4 Building
building B+G+5
National competitive National competitive Short list National competitive
1.2 Method of tendering Shortlist
bidding bidding ,Negotiation bidding
1.3 Condition of contract PPA 2006 PPA 2011 PPA 2011 PPA 2011 PPA 2011
Ad-measurement Ad-measurement Ad-measurement Ad-measurement Ad-measurement
1.4 Contract Type
(Labor contract) (Labor contract)
Contract price 101,726,012.25 12,465,143.00 13,467,494.30 8,465,143.00 72,196,830.00
1.5
(inclusive of VAT) birr birr birr birr birr
1.6 Contract period 550 days 365 days 90 days 240 days 730 days
1.7 Project location Addis Ababa Addis Ababa Combolcha Addis Ababa Addis Ababa
April 02,2013 October 27, 2014 September 2014
1.8 Project start Oct 21, 2015 G.C. July 21, 2015 G.C.
G.C. G.C. G.C.
October 30,2014 October 27, 2015
1.9 Project completion Jan 18, 2016 G.C. May, 2015 G.C. July 21, 2017 G.C.
G.C G.C.
1.10 Project status Completed Completed Completed Completed Under construction
Private Private Private Private

1.11 Consultant Private
Private Private Private Private

1.12 Client Private
**PPA-Public Procurement Agency
38
4.3 Contractors Cost Estimating Practice: Within Case Analysis

The cost estimating practice of the case contractors are stereotyped based on the themes from
literature review for estimates prepared at different stages of construction. Accordingly, the
practice of contractors shows that cost estimates are predominantly prepared at tendering phase
to fix rates for new tender projects and during construction phase to fix rates for variation works.
As observed in the report, detailed cost estimating methodology is popular for estimation of
tender and variation costs.
4.3.1 Cost Estimating Practice for Tendering

The decision to bid involves a study of many interrelated factors. Some of factors are related to
contracting parties, project complexity, contractors’ capacity and terms of contract set forth and
market conditions (Clough 2011). Contractor who decides to bid shall examine different
documents before preparing estimates. Some of the preliminary conditions and contractors’
practices are discussed below.
4.3.1.1 Preliminary Considerations for Tender Estimate Preparation

Akintoye (2010) prescribes that the estimator, in the course of preparing a cost estimate, should
carry out tasks such as a thorough examination of the tender documents, a site visit, preparation
of methods statement and tender program, make enquiries and receive quotations for materials,
plant and subcontractors. These tasks are required to determine an approach to pricing the
project at a level at which the costs of construction resources could be recovered.
In short, the contractor prior to estimating for tender collects key information regarding the
project. In line with this, the case contractors are expected to compile this information prior to
estimating. The practice by contractors are investigated as discussed below.
a) Case one contractor

i.Supporting Documents
As can be seen from table 4.5, the contractor did not receive any geotechnical data for all
projects. For project A, it was contractor’s responsibility for conducting geological
investigation before conducting permanent work. This project specifically orders the contractor
to produce a soil test taking samples on the actual locations the buildings rest. However, this
cost being project overhead cost, was not incorporated in cost estimation and was absorbed by
the contractor.
39
In the same manner, as shown in table 4.5, the case contractor received drawings for project A
and project C. The information from drawing was used for cross checking quantity and
existence described sections of reinforcement and steel material. In addition to this, drawings
were used as reference to understand the details of item description.
ii.Site Visit
For the projects evaluated under case one contractor, the contractor visited project A and project
C. The contractor practice of site visit is to identify resource availability and check the local
market price of labor and material. Accordingly, during cost estimation the contractor used the
local market price in preparing estimates.
Other than this, the contractor did not incorporate costs due to lack of storage space at project
C and the costs due to establishment of camp facilities at project A. In discussion with the
contractor, they implied identified conditions were not incorporated in cost estimation due to
fear of losing competition because of increased costs.
iii.Conditions of Contract
The contract clauses dealt in this section are those that have cost implication for the project and
require estimators’ attention. Accordingly, the contractors’ practice towards contract clauses
related with price adjustment, payment, variation, project duration and risks are discussed in
this section.
• Contract clauses related with price adjustment

The conditions of contract for the reported projects under case one contractor are standard
bidding document prepared by Public Procurement Agency (PPA 2006, PPA2011versions).
The contract conditions in PPA provide indices method or adjustment formula. However, the
provisions in contract allow price adjustment for materials comprising cement, bitumen,
reinforcement bar and fuel. As the prevailing price fluctuation is not limited to the mentioned
materials, the contractor is expected to include the risks of market fluctuation in their
estimation. The discussion held with the contractor and evaluation of the cost analysis, showed
that the contractor tried to incorporate future market inflation. Accordingly, to compensate the
future price increase on certain finishing, sanitary and electrical materials, the contractor
increased the profit margin of the items.
40
• Contract clauses related with variations

Additional quantity and reduction in quantity bring extra costs to the contractor. Additional
quantity of work will force the contractor to rent costly equipment or will incur extra cost and
difficulty to discharge his responsibility, paying for such additional expense based on the
contract unit price may not be adequate compensation. In the same manner, reduction in
quantity causes loss of profit and portion of the allowance for overhead in the unit price of
reduced quantity. This will of course be because the reduction in quantity is large enough to
affect the contractors profit and overhead allowance percent of the project cost (Kasem, 2008).
Discussion held with the case contractor implied that existence of such case was not assessed
during estimate preparation.
• Contract clauses related with time for completion, delays, and extension of time
In cases where the contract specified time is inadequate, the contractor will have to add a sum
to his tender to cover possible liquidated damages or include expenses for overtime work and
other costs that may arise due to rushed schedule. Discussion with the case contractor implied
this condition was not assessed during estimate preparation.
• Contract clauses related with advance and interim payments

At the start of the project, the contractor will have to mobilize equipment, material and work
force and have to construct temporary facilities and start of permanent construction works. The
contractor has to check for the amount of advance payment, for the type of advance repayment
guarantee and time table stated for repayment of advance payments as it has effect on the
contractor’s project cash flow. In addition to this, the timetable stated for interim and final
payment is very crucial in that it completely affects the contractor’s project cash flow.
In the projects studied, the contractor indicated that such issues in estimate preparation not
considered unless the projects are lacking mobilization advance payments.
• Contract clauses related with risk

Proper risk allocation in construction contracts can help to reduce negative impacts that will
affect the achievement of contract management efficiency. However, despite the cost
implication of the contract conditions discussed; only the effect of price escalation was given
consideration of its cost implications in the estimation as discussed previously.
41
iv.Method of Construction
The cost estimation should be prepared based on the method of construction the contractor plans
to adopt; otherwise, it may not reflect the actual project cost. The method of construction is
decided based on the information from drawings, specifications, estimated quantities and site
conditions (Tadesse, 2006).
In the case contractor, the method of construction is prepared specifically as a requirement for
technical tender document. In discussion with contractor, the contractor pointed that the
methodology of construction is not referred in preparing cost estimates.
b) Case two contractor

i.Supporting Documents
This contractor did not receive geotechnical reports of projects under study whereas drawings
were provided for projects A, C and E.
In discussion with the contractor, it was indicated that drawings are used to check the quantities
and availability of some items provided in bill of quantity.
According to the contractor, there are cases where the provided quantity in the BOQ show
significant difference while checked from the drawing and the described specifications
contradict from that implied in the plans. The contractor mainly check quantity (and availability
of all sections) of reinforcement bar, steel sections, the electrical boards, cables and fittings
specified in the drawings are in accord with the specification. Thus contractor consider pricing
their costs based on this information on the drawing, this according to the contractor decrease
unnecessary price and use it as competitive advantage.
ii.Site Visit
In this contractor, the sites of four projects (A, B, C and D) were visited. In discussion with the
contractor, it was implied that, the main purpose of the site visit is to get official letter from
clients. Thus site visits serve for fulfilling the requirement of technical bid evaluation.
42
iii.Conditions of Contract
Case two and case four contractors did not consider all provisions of contract conditions raised
in previous discussion with case one contractor. The contractors in their part argue that they
overlooked the details due to lack of time and fear of losing competitiveness because of the
possibility of cost increment.
iv.Method of Construction
As shown in table 4.5 below the contractor did not consider the specified method of construction
in cost estimation.
c) Case three contractor

i. Supporting Documents
Soil investigation was not provided for all projects.
This contractor got the drawings for all studied projects. As the drawings were mandatory for
lump sum projects (Project A, C and D), the contractor used drawings quantifying and as well
to price the items in the bill of quantity. For the ad-measurement projects, the drawings were
used to review details while estimating.
ii. Site Visit

The site visit was done for all projects. As shown in table 4.5, the contractor experiences the
demolishing of existing structure for the two of the lump sum projects (Project A and D) and
there was shortage of space for material storage and laydown at Project C. In addition, the
contractor detected the possibility of underground water for project A and project D.
From the evaluation of the cost breakdowns and discussions held, the contractor has considered
the conditions identified from site visit in preparing cost estimation. Accordingly, the cost
implication due to underground water conditions considered by decreasing the performance of
underground activities. The contractor did not go through analyzing the cost due to underground
water.
In the same manner, the demolishing structure for project C was measured and priced as lump
sum. Also for the absence of storage space, the contractor added percent of the material price
to cover the expense. The storage cost was considered in the cost break down of cement and
reinforcement material related work items.
43
iii. Conditions of Contract

Case three contractor considered the adjustment on material prices of lump sum projects.
The discussion held with the contractor and evaluation of the cost analysis, showed that the
contractor tried to incorporate future market inflation. Accordingly, to compensate the future
price increase on imported items of finishing, sanitary, electrical and mechanical fixtures, the
contractor chose to increase the initial material prices of these items as a strategy. The contractor
pointed that senior engineer at engineering head select the items and adjust the final prices
based on experience. In addition, for lump sum projects the contractor adds contingency to
alleviate risks due to extra work volume. In this regard, the contractor added ten percent (10%)
of total project cost as contingency.
Other cost implications due to contract clauses discussed in previous discussion with case one
contractor were not considered during cost estimation.
iv. Method of Construction

The method of construction for underground condition was identified. The costs considered in
this case were discussed in previous (site visit) section.
44
d) Case four Contractor

i. Supporting Documents
As shown in table 4.5 below, this contractor also did not get geotechnical reports for all the
projects under study.
The drawings were provided for project A and E. The contractor pointed that, the drawings
used as reference to understand the vague descriptions in bill of quantity and specifications.
ii. Site Visit

The site visit was made for project A and E. During the site visit the contractor detected the
possibility of underground water for project E. Similarly, project A did not have space for
material damping and site office construction. The discussion held with the contractor and
evaluation of the cost analysis, showed that the contractor tried to incorporate costs for
underground water condition in to the estimate. Reducing excavation works output was used
as strategy to compensate the cost implication. In the cost estimation, the costs incurred due to
shortage of space was not considered.
iii. Conditions of Contract

As pointed in Table 4:5, and discussed previously under case two practice, the contractor did
not consider the cost implication of the contract condition in the cost estimation.
iv. Method of Construction

The method statement of the construction was prepared for fulfilling the technical requirement
of the bid. The contractor did not consider the cost implications of devised methodology during
estimation.
45
Table 4:5 Preliminary considerations for tender estimates
Preliminary Conditions Cost considerations taken by case contractors

considerations
Case one Case two Case three Case four
1.Provision of supporting documents
Geothechnical Provision of soil investigation report Not provided Not provided Not provided Not provided
information
Drawings Provision of drawings A&C A, C&E A, B, C, D&E A&E
2.Site visit
Site visit done for A&C A, B, C&D A, B, C, D&E A&E
Difficult underground conditions 3 3 1 1
Condition of site (for project A, D) (for project E)
Existence of existing structures to be 3 3 1 3
demolished (for project A, D)
No space for storage and laydown 2 3 1 2
(for project C) (for project C) (for project A)
Notes:
1-Case present and its cost implication was considered in cost estimation
2-Case present but its cost implication was not considered in cost estimation
3-Case was not present and no extra cost implication considered
A: Project A B: Project B C: Project C D: Project D E: Project E
46
Table 4:5 Preliminary considerations for tender estimates: case one contractor contd.
Preliminary Conditions Cost considerations taken by case contractors
considerations Case one Case two Case three Case four
2.Site visit
Location of site Location and quality of local const.materials 1 1 1 1
Transportation cost of material 1 1 1 1
Availability of labor 1 1 1 1
Difficulty in access to site 3 2 3 3

(for project C)
Facilities Difficulty of power, water, communication 3 3 3 3
facilities
Camp facilities 2 3 3 3
(for project A)
3.Condition of contract for clauses related with cost
Price adjustment Contract did not consider price adjustment 1 2 1 2

clause for all items in the BOQ (all projects) (all projects) (all projects) (all projects)
Allowances in Price adjustment was not 2 2 2 2
sufficient (all projects) (all projects) (project B, E) (all projects)
Notes:
47
Table 4:5 Preliminary considerations for tender estimates: case one contractor contd.
Preliminary Conditions Cost considerations for projects under case contractor

considerations
3.Condition of contract for clauses related with cost
Payment Difficult time table for interim 3 3 3 3

payments
Advance payment not considered 3 3 3 3
Material on site not considered during 3 3 3 3
interim payment
Variation Contract did not consider extra costs 3 3 1 3
due to increase in volume of work (project A, C& D)
Contract did not consider extra costs 2 2 2 2
due to reduction in volume of work (all projects) (all projects)
Project duration inadequate time of completion 3 3 3 3
Risks Contractor’s risks 2 2 1 2

(all projects) (all projects) (project A, C& D) (all projects)
48
Table 4:5 Preliminary considerations for tender estimates contd.
Preliminary Conditions Cost considerations for projects under case contractor

considerations
4.Method of construction
Resource Skill and number of working 2 2 2 2
crew (all projects) (all projects) (all projects) for project A,C&
D)
type and specification of “ “ “ “
equipment
Construction Difficulties of construction “ “ “ “
expected defects and remedial “ “ “ “

measures
A: Project A B: Project B C :Project C D: Project D E: Project E
49
4.3.1.2 Analysis of Practices in Direct Cost Component Handling

4.3.1.2.1 Input Data for Cost Estimation
i. Material cost data
The cost data are mostly collected based on the written quotation and telephone requests from
suppliers or from other colleagues.
The contractor collected the material cost data for civil, finishing, sanitary and electrical work
items. However, electronic data records are made for civil and finishing work items only. The
sanitary and electrical fixture works are collected in form of written quotation and was not
found in the electronic data record.
The marketing and finance department does the collection of the data on time and deliver the
quotation to the contract-engineering department.
ii. Labor cost data

The costs of labor differ based on project location and skill of labor. In this contractor, labor
cost is determined from local market rate around project location.
The labor cost data collected for projects are similar for all projects except project E, which
included sanitary and electrical labor in addition to the civil work crew included in other
projects. In addition, for subcontracted works, the subcontractor’s offer is used as labor cost
data however, the recorded data was not found in the electronic data record.
iii. Equipment cost data

The equipment costs are fixed by requesting rental rates at the project location and by
forecasting previously collected rate based on estimator’s assumptions.
Refer Appendix B, TableB-3 for Equipment cost data collected in the estimation of case
projects.
50

The material cost data collected for concrete, finishing, electrical and sanitary materials. The
cost data are collected by sending out written quotation or telephone requests from suppliers,
gathering information from other professionals and referring previous suppliers offer.
According to the contractor, the material cost data for finishing, sanitary and electrical are
collected for every project. However, electronic data records were not made consistently. In
addition to making surveys and sending out requests, it is the engineers’ responsibility to collect
the suppliers’ offers.
ii. Labor cost data

The labor cost once collected for specific tender usually used as reference for pricing other
tender projects around that location. The market labor cost rate used without applying labor
index rate during cost estimation. In addition, the contractor uses the labor subcontract rate to
price items that are subcontracted in future. In this manner electrical, sanitary, waterproofing
and aluminum works estimated based on subcontractors’ offer. However, records of such data
are not found in electronic records. This, according to the contractor is because, the quotations
are not done for every tender and there are times they price the items based on previous projects
offers.

The equipment costs are fixed by requesting equipment’s rental rates at the project location and
by forecasting previous rate based on engineering assumptions.
The equipment rental rate is not collected consistently for all projects studied. For instance,
there is no record of equipment hourly rental data for project A and D.
51

The material cost data is collected from local suppliers and foreign suppliers.
In this contractor, the material cost data for lump sum and admeasurement contracts have
different approaches.
For instance, specialist subcontractors do the material specification and quantification for
electrical, sanitary, mechanical and data infrastructure. In addition to this, the contactor request
subcontractors’ offer for the supply, fix and commissioning service. In this case the
subcontractor offers for the total work package including material, labor, equipment and their
overhead cost and profit margin. According to the contractor, mechanical and data work items
of lump sum, projects (A, C and D) are priced this way.
Other than this, the contractor sends out request for quotation for electrical, sanitary and
finishing items for different suppliers. The collected quotation are then compared, and the one
with minimum unit price and that satisfies the specification are selected and used to compute
rate.
In addition to this, for imported materials, the contractor took offers from foreign suppliers
through mail and fax communication or refer to previous material prices from other projects.
Material used in civil works are not collected for every tender. According to the contractor,
they refer to previous data collected and purchases done for other projects.
ii. Labor cost data

The contractor subcontracts the concrete, reinforcement, carpentry, block work, plastering and
roofing works to labor subcontractors. Thus, the engineers refer to the ongoing projects labor
contract rates to fix labor rates.

For the equipment owned by the contractor, the equipment hourly cost is determined otherwise
the contractor use market hourly rental rate to fix equipment cost.
52
d) Case four contractor

i. Material cost, labor and equipment cost data
According to the contractor, the material cost data was collected for all tender estimations
except labor projects (Project B and D). Labor, equipment data are collected randomly, and
their records are not found for the studied projects.
Material cost data are collected using telephone communications and sending out written
request for quotations. However, electronic records were not done consistently.
4.3.1.2.2Cost Data Collection and Recording System

The historical data gives a fairly accurate and reliable information for the estimation of future
projects. For that, properly documenting and compiling records of cost, risk and productivity
from previous projects, should build the company’s database. In the reported case contractors,
the data kept for future reference are material, labor and equipment cost data collected during
bid preparation. These cost data are kept in electronic records in an excel format and hard copy
of in file records. As discussed previously, electronic records and hard copy of file records are
not made consistently. Other than this, productivity and risk data from previous projects not
followed and recorded. Thus, cost estimators tend to use their own assumption on those factors.
4.3.1.2.3 Determination of Material Break Down, Productivity, Crew Formation and

Utilization Factor
In material cost analysis, the material breakdown give the quantity of material required to make
a unit of the work item. Contractors determine the material breakdown on the bases of the
construction specifications provided in the bill of quantity. Then based on the given
specifications, they determine the quantities of materials from published standard manuals,
from product manuals and from their experience of previous projects.
Another information required in direct cost analysis is the work out put or productivity of the
assigned labor and equipment in given unit of time. Commonly, productivity is defined as the
ratio of work out put to the time spent to complete that work. The most reliable source of
equipment productivity is contractor’s production records from past projects. Manufacturer
specification also provide the theoretical productivity of the construction equipment however;
the actual productivity of the equipment should be corrected using job correction factors on the
ideal productivity.
53
The referred case contractors do not have a system of monitoring their productivity of labor
and equipment. In addition to this, they do not have organized ways of collecting this data from
different sites. The most common way of establishing productivity is estimators own
assumptions and adopting the output of previously established breakdowns.
Similarly, in establishing crew, the case contractors adopt the formation from the previous cost
break down analysis. In cases of new work items, engineers’ use their judgment and assumption
to form the required crew. In the same manner, in the observed cost breakdowns, utilization
factor derived from the previously established breakdown. It is observed engineers use their
assumptions to determine on how fully or partially engaged are the labor and equipment
attributes to the job.
Theoretically, the number of crew for the job differs based on the project job schedule, the site
condition, the intensity of the activity, the number and type of equipment involved and so on.
Thus to determine the required crew, crew productivity and utilization factor the best approach
is to refer to the historical cost information that the contractor’s cost estimating, cost
accounting, and cost control system has developed.
Table 4:6 below shows the contractors practice for input data base establishment &
management
54
Table 4:6 Input data formation and management
item Description Case one Case two Case three Case four
a For cost information on material cost Not consistently Not consistently Not consistently Not consistently
recorded recorded recorded recorded
b For cost information on base labor “ “
“ “
cost
c Equipment rental cost adjusted by Not established Established for
Not established Not established
the company owned equipment
d Equipment rental cost from market Not consistently Not consistently Not consistently Not consistently
e For labor productivity Not followed, not Not followed, not Not followed, not Not followed, not
f For equipment productivity “ “ “ “
g For crew formation Use Previous established Same as case one Same as case one Same as case one
breakdown and
estimators assumption,
not updated
h historical data base for existence of Not followed, not Not followed, not Not followed, not Not followed, not
the risks recorded recorded recorded recorded
55
4.3.1.2.4 Analysis of Material Cost

In the previous section, we have seen how contractors compile inputs of direct cost. In this
section reviews the material cost analysis of the case contractors.
To evaluate the contractor’s experience for analysis of material costs, the evaluated breakdowns
of the five projects did not show any technical differences.
As discussed previously, the material costs collected by this contractor focus on material for
civil works. In the examined cost breakdowns, the contractor used the current material price
without adjusting for future market fluctuations in computing material direct cost. It is recalled
from previous discussion that the contractor considers the market inflation by increasing profit
margin.
The material cost transportation cost considered only for cement, sand, aggregate and
reinforcement bar. The unit cost of transportation expense derived by computing the total
expense of transporting from the proposed supplier location to project site. However, in the
breakdowns, the loading and unloading cost and the insurance charges for transportation to the
project site not considered in cost analysis.

As the contractor collected the costs from local suppliers, the direct cost calculation for local
materials evaluated in cost analysis. Accordingly, in material cost analysis, material price
before vat, transportation and handling cost are considered. The quoted material price used
without forecasting for future market fluctuations even in cases where the price escalation
clauses were not entertained.
According to the contractor, 2%-5% of the material price used to cover expenses of
transportation and handling. However, the value of the percentage was provided based on
engineers’ assumption.

As discussed previously, the subject contractor projects have undergone through lump sum and
admeasurement contract types. Thus material cost analysis has different approaches for each
contract type. For lump sum contracts, as the contractor is responsible for quantification and
pricing, the contractor need to consider the right specification and quantities are determined
56
from the drawings and technical demand set by designers. It is recalled from the previous
discussion that for lump sum contracts, the contractor outsourced the quantification and pricing
mechanical and data infrastructure works to subcontractors. Thus, the contractor did not make
direct cost analysis for these items.
Direct material cost analysis for locally available materials include material price before VAT,
transportation cost to site and loading and unloading expense.
For imported materials, the material cost analysis is computed as shown below.
Relevant data collected for calculation of import expenses computed by case contractor (as
shown attached in Appendix B) are:
 Currency of import and the resulting exchange rate including bank charges
 FOB Value of commercial invoice
 Quantity being imported
 HS Code for commodity
 Number of containers for consignment
 Estimated cost of sea freight and inland transport
 Estimated cost of marine transport
 “Transiting” company’s charges for clearing from Modjo dry port and transporting
to Addis Ababa
 Cost of unloading/ un staffing, Customs duties, sur tax, Excise tax, withholding tax
and VAT for given HS Code
Cost calculations
1. Total Cost of (CIF) =Total FOB Cost+ Cost of Sea freight and inland transport Cost of
Marine insurance
2. Total payable to customs=Customs Duty +Excise Tax+ VAT+ Sur Tax+ Withholding
Tax
3. Estimated clearing and transport charges for the total quantity of containers
4. Estimated cost of unloading for total containers
5. Total cost of consignment sum of the above from number one to four.
Then the cost of imported item per unit computed by dividing the total cost of import by the
total quantity for the item.
Refer Appendix B Table B-1 for sample import material cost analysis prepared by contractor.
57
d) Case four contractor

In analysis of material cost done for quotations collected from local suppliers. The contractor’s
cost break down indicates that material price before VAT used without adjustment and
consideration of additional costs like transportation and handling.
In summary, the report shows that:
There is no difference in technique of direct cost analysis method for materials purchased from
local market. However, for the materials imported from abroad, only case three-contractor
made computation.
In addition, it was reported that case contractors did not consistently include the cost of
transportation, loading, unloading and storage costs in material direct cost estimation.
Table 4:7 below shows the contractors practice of material cost estimation
58
Table 4:7 Technical procedures and considerations for material cost estimation
No Description Case one Case two Case three Case four Remark
1 For materials available at local market /supplier
Material price Material cost before Material cost before Material cost Material cost
1.1 VAT VAT before VAT before VAT
Transportation cost Not consistently Not consistently Not consistently Not consistently
1.2 determined determined determined determined
Loading and Not consistently Not consistently Not consistently Not consistently
1.3 unloading cost determined determined determined determined
Storage and handling Not determined Not determined Not determined Not determined
1.4 cost
2 For materials Imported from abroad market
2.1 Import expenses Considered Refer to appendix 22
2.2 Inland expenses Considered “
2.3 Insurances Considered “
Unloading expense Considered

2.4
at site
59
4.3.1.2.5 Analysis of Labor Cost

• Case one, Case two and Case four contractors
Before analyzing the direct cost of labor for the given item, the crew productivity and the number
of crew required to accomplish the work for estimated completion time are estimated.
For the projects observed, the number and set up of crew in the break down is the same, which
shows that regardless of the quantity of work and the methodology followed to complete the
project, there is the same crew arrangement in the breakdown. Moreover, as discussed previously
the crew productivity is mostly established from the estimators own assumptions and experience.
As can be seen from in table 4.8, the contractors did not index labor cost. They simply adopt the
market price for determination of labor cost.
• Case –three contractor

As discussed in the previous section, this contractor subcontracts the concrete, reinforcement,
carpentry, Block work, plastering and roofing work to labor subcontractors. Thus, the estimators
refer to the ongoing projects labor contract rates as an indexed labor cost.
The case contractors determine the number of labor crew, utilization factor and crew productivity
from previously established breakdown and their own assumptions.
60
Table 4:8 Technical procedures and considerations for labor cost estimation
No Description Case one Case two Case three Case four Remarks
Basic salary Established from Established from -established from Established from
market market ongoing projects market
1 labor contract
costs
Labor index Not calculated, Not calculated, Not calculated, Not calculated,
2
market cost taken market cost taken market cost taken market cost taken
3 No of labor /crew Previously Same as case one Same as case one Same as case one
established cost
4 UF
breakdown &
Hourly crew estimators
productivity assumption
5
61
4.3.1.2.6 Analysis of Equipment Cost

• Case one, case two and case four contractors
As previously discussed, the market rental rate for equipment is used in calculating the direct cost
of equipment.
• Case –three contractor
The equipment hourly cost is established from market rental rate and from contractor’s
established price for owned equipment.
The contractor establishes the hourly cost of equipment as shown in the Appendix F, Table F-2.
In determine the hourly cost of equipment, the contractor have computed the owning and
operating costs as shown in appendix B-2. Compared to the guidelines supported by different
literatures like Clough (2015) and Tadesse (2006), the technical computations have the under
listed shortcomings:
• To calculate depreciation, the unit production method of calculating depreciation
better relates with the real utilization of equipment. Whereas the contractor used
straight-line method.
• Insurance charges should be considered in calculating the annual utilization hour of
equipment
• Owning costs should include the property tax paid annually
• Operating costs should include the cost of lube oils, filters and grease based on the
maintenance practice of the company
• For crawl mounted equipment the cost of undercarriage should be considered
In summary, the report shows that:

Contractors prefer to use the market rental rate to fix equipment hourly cost. As can be seen in
Table 4.9 below, only case three contractor develop equipment hourly cost for equipment owned
by the company. The considerations taken by the contractor are as per the guidelines shown in
the literature.
62
Table 4:9 Technical procedures and considerations for equipment cost estimation
No Description Case one Case two Case three Case four Remark
Equipment cost Established from Established from For owned equipment, Established Refer appendix
market rental rate market rental rate contractor establishes market rental rate F for equipment
1 hourly cost, otherwise cost calculation

use market rental rate by case three
contractor
Other none none none none

2
consideration
63
4.3.1.2.7 Subcontract Cost
Table 4:10 Illustrates the cost considerations done for subcontracted work items
64
Table 4:10 Cost considerations for subcontracted work items

Sub contracted work Project Subcontract type Cost estimation technique by contractor
items
Case one contractor
Water proofing work All projects Provision of Material + labor Subcontractor offer+ contractor’s OH+Profit
Metal doors Project B Provision of Material + labor Subcontractor offer+ contractor’s OH+Profit
Window door work All projects Provision of Material + labor Subcontractor offer+ contractor’s OH+Profit
Sanitary ,electrical “ Labor only Labor price of sub-contractor +material offer by

supplier+ contractor’s OH+Profit
Case two contractor
Excavation work Project B,E Equipment +Operator Subcontractor offer+ contractor’s OH+Profit
Sanitary ,electrical “ Labor only Labor price of sub-contractor +material offer by
supplier+ contractor’s OH+Profit
65
Table 4:10 Cost considerations for subcontracted work items
Sub contracted work Project Subcontract type Cost estimation technique by contractor
items
Case three contractor
Concrete work, All projects labor Subcontractor’s labor price is used to fix labor rate
reinforcement work,
carpentry work ,
Block work &
plastering works
Sanitary ,electrical, All projects Labor only Labor price of sub-contractor +material offer by supplier+
Mechanical contractor’s OH+Profit
Case four contractor
Sanitary ,electrical “ Labor only Labor price of sub-contractor +material offer by supplier+
contractor’s OH+Profit
66
4.3.1.3 Determination of Indirect Cost

Indirect costs include all costs, which cannot be directly booked under the specific activity but
required to keep the whole project operational (Asteway, 2008). These costs are divided into
two categories: project overhead and office overhead costs.
Project overhead costs refer to overhead costs incurred on the job site and office overhead costs
refer to general business expenses such as the cost of owning or leasing the contractor’s home
office; salaries of the home office staff and so on.
The contractors practice for determination of these costs are discussed below.
• Case one contractor

This contractor has developed a base line overhead cost for a sample project.
According to this sample project, the calculated site OH cost items include :project staff costs,
project office running expenses, transportation expenses and mobilization/demobilization costs
and financial costs associated with bonds, guaranties and insurance.
However the major company OH cost items like office running expenses, head office staff
wages, office rent and/or building depreciation, office furniture and equipment and
transportation expenses and expenses related with tenders, insurances, bonds, guaranties, bank
interests were not calculated. Instead, the head office contribution, profit and risk margin added
along with the calculated indirect project cost and used as overhead and profit cost.
The assumptions used in computing overhead cost starts with determining project cost and
duration.
The case contractor assumed a project direct cost of 70,000,000 birr with project duration of
two years. Then project expenses considered in calculating project overhead summarized below
as:
1. Supervisor staff expense for the total project duration: - the expenses assumed are salary
and benefits of project manager, project engineer, office engineer, general Forman and
surveyor. In estimating project staff costs, the salary and benefit scales of staffs for the
total of 24 months was calculated.
2. Administration staff expenses for the assumed project duration: -the administration staff
considered are administration and finance, personnel, casher, storekeeper, timekeeper,
67
small vehicle driver, cleaner and guard. In the same manner, the expenses for total of
24 months calculated.
3. Expenses of commonly used plant and tools in the assumed project duration: - the
expenses of the monthly rental used and the total expense for project duration
calculated. The commonly used plant and tools considered in this section are small
vehicles, welding machine, surveying instrument, water tank, and plastic hose.
4. Office furniture equipment and material expenses: - in this section the expenses used
for office furniture, stationaries, utilities and medicine are considered.
5. Provisional facilities: - these facilities include site office, store, rebar cutting shade,
HCB production shed, guard house, pit latrine, staff toilet, tea room, fence, electrical
and sanitary lines and fixtures and scaffolding. The costs of the facilities deducting their
salvage values are taken.
6. Move in and move out cost: - the total trip assumed to be made by trucks, pick-ups are
computed and taken as the move in and move out cost.
7. Financial costs: -for the project total cost of seventy million birr, the following costs
were assumed:
a. Performance bond ,1.4% of 15% of the project cost
b. Interest up on retention amount, 3% of 5% of the project cost
c. Interest up on the unpaid sum, for an average delay of certificate for 15 days
d. Guarantee for mobilization advance, 2.4% of the mobilization advance
e. Bid bond guarantee is 1% of the total project cost
Then the above costs (from 1 to 7) summed up to give project site overhead cost of 3,833,008
birr. Thus, the site overhead cost calculated as
Site overhead cost = (Project site overhead cost/assumed project direct cost) *100
Site overhead cost = 6%
In addition to this, the contractor adds the overhead contribution, which is assumed to be 8%
and profit margin 15 % to the computation. Finally summing the above percentages
(6%+8%+15%) gives 29%. This according to the case contractor used as base line to for
overhead and profit cost calculation.
68
According to Wubshet (2007) as cited in Abeselom (2008), the ratio of site overhead costs to
project direct cost ranges from 11.4 to 14.6%, of the direct project cost and that of company
overhead is 4.5% in Ethiopia. However, as can be seen from the report the ratio of company
OH cost to the assumed direct project cost for the case contractor is 8%, which is high.
Similarly, site overhead cost is 6%, which is low according to the literature. The reflection of
this shows that the contractor did not make the right assumptions in calculating direct cost,
rather high profit margin is used to compensate the expenses.
• Case two, case three and case four contractors

These contractors do not have premeditated base for indirect cost estimation. They consider
15% to 25 % of the direct cost as overhead and profit on the subcontracted work items and
25%-35% of the direct cost for works performed by main contractor.
4.3.1.4 Determination of Risk and Allowance

It is very essential to incorporate risk allowance in pricing for construction project. This helps
to compensate the negative impacts of different risks such as contractual, technical, political
and economic risks. It was previously observed that case one contractor considered risk of
material price escalation for some finishing sanitary and electrical items by increasing profit
margin. In the same manner case three contractor incorporated the risks of price escalation for
same items by increasing the material unit price. On the other hand, in case two and case four
contractors, did not make risk allowance for price escalations.
For the studied contractors risk allowance is the most difficult item to estimate and incorporate
in the cost. In addition to this, the contractors fail to identify potential risks and forecast the
effects during estimating cost. The contractors also admit that they lack established historical
data, time and expertise to make appropriate assessment of documents. On top of this, the
contractors absorb some risks in order to stay competitive in market.
As can be seen in Table 4.11 only case one and case three contractors incorporate risks in cost
estimating process. Economic risk, related to escalation of materials price, is the major risk item
considered by these contractors.
Case one contractor attempts to alleviate the risk of market inflation BOQ items (tiles, sanitary
fixtures and electrical fixtures) by increasing profit margin.
69
Whereas case three contractor anticipate the risk of market inflation and forecast material unit
price. Nevertheless, both contractors do not utilize any technical method or have previous data
to reach to definite figure.
70
Table 4:11 Techniques of incorporating risk allowance by case contractors
No Description Case one Case two Case three Case four

1. Risk allowance
Risks considered Risk of market inflation none Risk of market inflation none
1.1 For tiles, sanitary & electrical For imported items

fixtures
Technique of By increasing profit margin none By forecasting material unit price, none
1.2 considering risks but the forecast is made based on

subjective decision of estimator
consistency Not consistent for all projects none For lump sum projects only none
1.3
Other none none none none

1.4
consideration
71
4.3.1.5 Determination of Profit

In the examined breakdowns, contractors combine overhead and profit in cost estimates.
However, overheads are those costs associated with maintaining the contractor’s organization
that are not specific to any individual project. Such costs are covered by income from the
various projects that the contractor undertakes during a given period (Meikle, 2015).On the
other hand, profit carries its usual meaning; after all other costs are accounted for the contractor
adds their margin.
4.3.2 Evaluation of Cost Estimating Frequency in Tender Projects

As illustrated in table 4:12 the aforementioned case contractors, follow three approaches to
tender price.
The first approach is the contractor prepare cost breakdown for the item of works in the bill of
quantity. This approach is followed for most of civil work items. This is done by generating
new breakdown for new items and by updating the existing breakdowns from previous tenders.
In cases where the contractor updates the previous breakdown, they update the price of labor,
equipment, material and productivity based on the new project information. In the second
approach, the contractor after receiving subcontractor’s offer, add up their expenses along with
their overhead and profit margin to fix the final cost. The third approach is that the estimator’s
price items based on their assumption from their previous experience, information from other
colleagues or use other projects costs and predict the present tender cost without making any
cost analysis for the work.
In the coming sections, the case projects are examined for the approaches followed in cost
estimating. This is achieved by categorization of items that are priced based on cost break
down, based on subcontractors offer and engineers’ assumptions. This way how much
percentage is priced based on what approach is computed against the total item present under
major BoQ item. Finally, percentages were computed against the total number of items present
under the major BOQ. Accordingly, the next section presents the contractors cost estimating
approaches and their estimating consistency computed as discussed previously.
72

Option one- According to the above discussion and as shown in table 4:12 below, the
contractor prepared cost break down for civil and finishing works.
Taking the average percentage of the five projects examined, it can be seen that the contractor
prepared cost break down for masonry (100%) work consistently followed by concrete(93%),
roofing(82%) ,excavation(76%) ,carpentry and joinery (74%), metal work(53%) and finishing
work (67%) . In addition as evidenced in table 4:12, except masonry work, other work items
did not have consistency in the detail estimating.
Option two- the contractor prepares prices based on offers from sub-contractors. This was
observed in waterproofing and door - window works (each 100%), sanitary (88%) and electrical
works (80%) by averaging the computation done for five projects.
As can be seen from the analysis, the contractor used the subcontractors offer to determine
the prices of the water proofing and window and door work in all five projects reviewed. In the
same manner an average of 80% of the sanitary and electrical work items, the contractor
collected material prices from suppliers and took the labor contractors offer and the contractor
added the cost of overhead and profit margins to determine the final cost.
Option three-the contractor predicts prices based from previous experience and by requesting
information from colleagues. In this manner, averaging the computation done for five projects,
carpentry and joinery (65%), excavation and earthwork (44%) were the top frequent items
determined this way.
Table 4 :12 Tender cost estimating practice by case one contractor
73
Table 4:12 Cost estimate practice for tender, case one-contractor projects
No Description of major work items in Projects Pricing method

Bill of quantity Option1* % Option 2* % Option 3* %
01 Excavation and Earth work Project A  100%
Project B  80%  20%
Project C  79%  21%
Project D  74%  26%
Project E  73%  27%
02 Concrete work Project A  100%
Project B  80%  20%
Project C  83%  17%
Project D  100%
Project E  100%
03 Masonry & block work Project A  100%
Project B  100%
Project C  100%
Project D  100%
Project E  100%
Option 1-Detailed cost breakdown performed by the contractor
Option 2- Prices are prepared based on offer from specialist subcontractor
Option 3 -Prices are predicted based on the estimators’ experience, previous projects and information from colleagues
74
Table 4:12 Cost estimate practice for tender, case- one contractor projects contd.
04 Roofing work Project A  100%
Project B  80%  20%
Project C  73%  27%
Project D  84%  16%
Project E  74%  26%
05 Thermal moisture protection Project A  100%
Project B  100%
Project C  100%
Project D  100%
Project E  100%
06 Metal work Project A  60%  40%
Project B  27%  38%  35%
Project C  60%  40%
Project D  60%  40%
Project E  60%  40%
75
Table 4:12 Cost estimate practice for tender, case- one contractor projects contd.
07 Carpentry and joinery work Project A  20%  80%
Project B  50%  50%
Project C  100%
Project D  100%
Project E  100%
08 Wood and plastic work Project A  60%  40%
Project B  45%  55%
Project C  65%  35%
Project D  70%  30%
Project E  63%  37%
09 Window and door work Project A  100%
Project B  100%
Project C  100%
Project D  100%
Project E  100%
76
Table 4:12 Cost estimate practice for tender, case -one contractor projects contd.
10 Finishing work Project A  52%  48%
Project B  69%  31%
Project C  77%  23%
Project D  83%  17%
Project E  54%  46%
11 Sanitary work Project A  73%  27%
12 Electrical work Project B  68%  32%
Project C  100%
Project D  100%
Project E  100%
Option 2- Prices are prepared based on offer from subcontractor and supplier
77
• Case two contractor

Similarly, in this contractor by averaging computation done for the five projects detailed
estimates were fully done for masonry works followed by concrete (92%), roofing (91%),
metalwork (83%), carpentry and joinery (77%) and finishing work (75%).
In the same manner it was observed that door and window works, sanitary and electrical works
(each 100%), water proofing works (87%), mechanical works (77%) and excavation & earth
work (74%) were the most frequent items priced by using option two (price based on
subcontractors offer).
On the other hand, wood and plastic (with average of 41% from two projects) was the most
frequent item priced based on option three (price based on engineers’ assumptions)
Table 4:13 Tender cost estimating practice by case two contractor
78
Table 4:13 Cost estimate practice for tender, case- two contractor projects

01 Excavation and Earth work Project A  90%  10%
Project B  20%  80%
Project C  87%  13%
Project D  82%  18%
Project E  27%  67%
Project B  88%  12%
Project C  92%  8%
Project D  100%
Project E  80%  20%
Project B  100%
Project C  100%
Project D  100%
Project E  100%
79
Table 4:13 Cost estimate practice for tender, case two-contractor projects contd.
04 Roofing work Project A  90%  10%
Project B  87%  13%
Project D  82%  18%
Project E  100%
05 Thermal moisture protection Project A  20%  80%
Project B  17%  76%  7%
Project D  82%  18%
Project E  100%
Project B  77%  23%
Project C  85%  15%
Project D  69%  31%
Project E  100%
80
Project B  72%  28%
Project C  85%  15%
Project D  62%  38%
Project E  100%
Project D  69%  31%
09 Window and door work Project A  100%
Project B  80%  20%
Project C  100%
Project D  100%
Project E  100%
Project B  84%  16%
Project C  62%  38%
Project D  70%  30%
Project E  87%  13%
Option 2- Prices are prepared based on offer from subcontractor
81
11 Sanitary work Project A  100%
Project B  100%
Project C  100%
Project D  100%
Project E  100%
12 Electrical work Project A  100%
Project B  100%
Project C  100%
Project D  100%
Project E  100%
13 Mechanical work Project A  73%  27%
Project E  80%  20%
82
• Case three contractor

In case of the aforementioned case contractor, the tender prices provided for lump sum and
admeasurement contract types are discussed separately.
Out of the five projects, three projects are engaged in the lump sum fixed price contract type.
This contract type requires the contractor to execute the project based on a fixed lump sum
price, which shall not be subjected to any variations unless the drawings and specifications are
altered beyond the maximum limit stated in the contract conditions by the owner.
In case of lump sum contracts (Project A, C and D) the contractor followed the listed three
approaches of pricing.
Approach one –In this case, the contractor prepare bill of quantities based on the drawings, site
conditions and client’s preferences and finally produce new cost breakdowns.
In this approach by averaging computation done for the three lump sum projects detailed
estimates were done in the following frequencies; Excavation and earth work (88%), concrete
and glazing (88% each), roofing and water proofing work (85 %each), painting (83%), finishing
work (82%), Walling work (79%), metal work (77%) and carpentry and joinery (64%).
Approach two- The contractor outsourced mechanical, plumbing, electrical, data infrastructure
works to specialist subcontractors. In this case, the subcontractors in addition to quantification
and preparing bill of quantity of the work items, they also priced the items. The contractor after
receiving the specifications and offers of the subcontractors, prepared their cost by adding
allowances for provision of storage, construction of temporary facilities and supervision of the
work along with their overhead and profit cost. Thus, all the sanitary and electrical works of
the projects (A, C & D) were determined this way. For the mechanical and data works, similar
to electrical works subcontractors offer was used but here subcontractor makes the offer for
total supply, fix and commission.
Approach three- the pricing based on engineers’ experience from previous projects
In this approach, where the prices are predicted based on the estimator’s assumptions, previous
projects experiences and information from colleagues. By averaging computation done for the
three lump sum projects; carpentry and roofing (36%) and metal work (23%) were the most
frequent items determined this way.
83
In case of admeasurement contracts, the contractor followed the same approach of pricing as
of case one and case two contractors.
Accordingly, by averaging computation done for the two admeasurement contract projects
detailed estimates were done in the following frequencies; masonry and block work (100%),
Concrete work (94%), Carpentry and joinery (93%), roofing work (89%), finishing work (87%)
and window and door (77%).
Table 4:14 Tender cost estimating practice by case three contractor
84
Table 4: 14 Cost estimate practice for tender, case- three contractor projects

Bill of quantity (lump sum) Option1* % Option 2* % Option 3* %
Project C  88%  12%
Project D  94%  6%
Project C  80%  20%
Project D  85%  15%
03 Walling work Project A  70%  30%
Project C  86%  14%
Project D  82%  18%
04 Roofing work Project A  100%
Project C  73%  23%
Project D  82%  18%
Option 1-Preparation of quantity, specification and detailed cost breakdown performed by the contractor (Approach one)
Option 2- Preparation of quantity, specification and pricing by specialist subcontractor and contractor add allowances (Approach Two)
Option 3 - Preparation of quantity, specification prepared by contractor and prices are predicted based on the engineers’ experience from
previous projects
85
Table 4:14 Cost estimate practice for tender, case-three contractor projects contd.
05 Steel structure Project A  100%
Project C  73%  27%
Project D  82%  18%
Carpentry and joinery Project A  63%  37%
06 Project C  73%  27%
Project D  55%  45%
07 Metal works Project A  83%  17%
Project C  79%  21%
Project D  69%  31%
08 Finishing works Project A  76%  24%
Project C  84%  16%
Project D  87%  13%
previous projects
86
Table 4:14 Cost estimate practice for tender, case –three-contractor projects contd.
09 Glazing Project A  65%  35%
Project C  100%
Project D  100%
10 Painting Project A  87%  13%
Project D  71%  29%
11 Plumbing works Project A  100%
Mechanical works Project C  100%
Electrical works
Project D  100%
previous projects
87
Table 4:14 Cost estimate practice for tender- case three contractor projects contd.
Bill of quantity (admeasurement)
Option1* % Option 2* % Option 3* %
01 Excavation and earthwork work Project B  20%  80%
Project E  87%  13%
02 Concrete work Project B  100%
Project E  88%  12%
03 Masonry & block work Project B  100%
Project E  100%
04 Roofing work Project B  90%  10%
Project E  87%  13%
05 Thermal moisture protection Project B  20%  80%
Project E  17%  76%  7%
06 Metal work Project B  82%  18%
Project E  69%  31%
07 Carpentry work Project B  85%  15%
Project E  100%
88
Table 4:14 Cost estimate practice for tender- case three contractor projects contd.
Bill of quantity (admeasurement)
Option1* % Option 2* % Option 3* %
08 Wood and plastic work Project B  50%  50%
Project E  69%  31%
09 Window and door work Project B  73%  27%
Project E  80%  20%
10 Finishing work Project B  83%  17%
Project E  90%  10%
11 Sanitary work Project B  65%  35%
Project E  57%  43%
12 Electrical work Project B  13%  50%  37%
Project E  22%  63%  15%
13 Mechanical work Project B  100%
Project E  1000%
89
• Case four contractor

In this contractor, all projects are admeasurement contracts where project B and project D are
labor contracts and the other three projects are priced for total package of the work.
In case of labor contracts, there are three approaches in pricing.
In the first case, the contractor prepares detailed breakdown for provision of labor, equipment,
and ancillary materials and include their overhead expenses and profit margin. The second
approach is taking the labor cost offers by subcontractors especially for electrical and sanitary
items and the contractor add their overhead expenses and profit margin. In the third case, for
similar project items the contractor adopts the unit price from the previously estimated projects
where the project areas are located at the same area. In the cases where the contractor is
responsible for the provision of personnel and technical resources for the construction; they
execute new break down for material, labor and equipment provision or adopt previously
executed cost breakdowns or use subcontractors offer as reference. In both cases, the
approaches are the same.
In this contractor, by averaging computation done for the five projects detailed estimates were
done in the following frequencies; concrete (96%), excavation and earth work (95%), masonry
(94%), metal work (85%), carpentry and joinery (67%), and finishing work (70%).
In the same manner price based on the subcontractor’s offer was done in the following
frequencies: sanitary and electrical work (100%), waterproofing works (92%) and door-
window work (85%).
For prices predicted based on the estimator’s assumptions, previous projects experiences and
information from colleagues; Carpentry and roofing (33% taking average of the five projects),
wood and plastic (62% from two projects) were the most frequent items determined this way.
Table 4:15 Tender cost estimating practice by case four contractor
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Table 4:15 Cost estimate practice for tender, case -four contractor projects
No Description of major work items in Pricing Cost estimating method followed in tender pricing of
Bill of quantity method Option1* % Option 2* % Option 3* %
Project B  100%
Project D  100%
Project E  87%  13%
Project B  100%
Project D  100%
Project E  87%  13%
Project B  100%
Project C  83%  17%
Project D  100%
Project E  87%  13%
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Table 4:15 Cost estimate practice for tender, case- four contractor projects contd.
04 Roofing work Project A  90%  10%
Project B  100%
Project D  100%
Project E  87%  13%
05 Thermal moisture protection Project A  80%  20%
Project B  100%
Project D  100%
Project E  87%  13%
Project B  100%
Project C  72%  28%
Project D  100%
Project E  87%  13%
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Table 4:15 Cost estimate practice for tender, case -four contractor projects contd.
Project B  70%  30%
Project C  78%  22%
Project D  63%  37%
Project E  58%  42%
Project B
Project C  33%  67%
Project D  100%
Project E  27%  73%
09 Window and door work Project A  100%  100%
Project B  67%  33%
Project C  100%
Project D  20%  80%
Project E  78%  22%
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Table 4:15 Cost estimate practice for tender, case -four contractor projects contd..
Project B  78%  22%
Project C  63%  37%
Project D  89%  11%
Project E  65%  35%
11 Sanitary work Project A  100%
Project B  100%
Project C  100%
Project D  100%
Project E  100%
13 Electrical work Project A  100%
Project B  100%
Project C  100%
Project D  100%
Project E  100%
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4.3.3 Cost Estimation Practice for Variation Work

In addition, preparing cost estimation for tendering purpose, contractors prepare detailed cost
estimation to quote price of variation works. The experience of case contractors show that they
prepare breakdown for every variation item of work. Here the contractors are expected to come
up with the present market costs of the material, labor and equipment.
From discussions with contractors, it was implied that cost estimates prepared for variation
works are relatively clear and accurate. The reason given by contractors was that as the
specifications and requirements of the work is clear and the risks are known. In addition, the
estimates are subjected to evaluation by approving party and should be clear. However, the
contractors agree that due to difference in assumptions on the productivity and crew formation,
they face disagreement with the variation approving party.
In this research, all the cases report to face these kinds of issues on the variation work cost
estimates.
4.3.4 Estimating Team Responsibility and Involvement of Management

The case contractor has different divisions of departments the estimating team for this contractor
is the contract department. In this section, the major responsibility of this team is preparing tender
technical and financial documents. Along with the tendering procedures the estimating engineers
are expected to understand the tender document, identify the material cost, labor cost gather this
cost data either by liaising the material cost data for purchasers or by directly requesting suppliers
and furnish the cost estimates for the projects under bid and record the cost data for future
references.
The involvement of management is limited to evaluating the final tender prices.
The head of contract department and deputy manager review the cost estimates and amend final
tender prices.
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• Case two contractor

Operation and contract department do the cost estimation.
The preparation of tendering estimating starts by studying the drawings (if available) and quantity
checking for some items. The engineers are responsible for sending out requests to suppliers and
collecting the quotations.
The collected cost data are recorded in excel format. The deputy general manager reviews the
tender offers and decides on costs to be amended before submitting to tender.
• Case three contractor

The cost estimation is done by internal office engineering department and special sub-contractors
(for lump sum contracts).The office engineering department is responsible for studying the
documents, preparing quantity (in case of lump sum contracts) and identifying the required
quotations. The purchasing department is liaised to distribute the quotations to different suppliers
and fetch the proforma from the suppliers. The cost estimators select the with least cost and well
suited to the specification.
The engineering head collects and price the imported material costs and forecasts prices of some
finishing, sanitary fixtures and electrical fixtures. The engineering head also gives the final review
of the cost breakdown and adjust tender price accordingly.
• Case four contractor

The estimating team in this contractor is the tender and procurement department. The team is
responsible for tender document preparation, estimating and follow up of ongoing projects. The
cost estimators collects cost information mostly through telephone requests from usual suppliers
and by sending out quotations. The collected cost data are recorded for material only.
The technical director review the tender prices and decides on the final tender price to be
submitted.
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4.4 Cross Case Analysis of Contractors Cost Estimating Practice

4.4.1 The Practice of Different Cost Estimation Techniques
Contractors mainly prepare cost estimate to price tenders for clients, quote for variation works,
to evaluate tender to bid and lesser amount to monitor project.
The main technique used by the case contractors is detailed estimating technique where the
costs of construction (labor, material, plant, subcontractors) are established and to which an
allowance for overheads and profit is added. However as critiqued by Akintoye and Fitzgerald
(2000), this method of cost estimating is deterministic (single point number) in its nature and
fails to cope with the realities of today’s world, which involves uncertainty due to the risk of
overestimating or underestimating.
To counter this problem Curran (1990) suggests the use of range estimating techniques by
contractors as part of their estimating process. Range estimating can be used as a decision
support system in addition to the traditional estimating. Range estimating could provide
information on the probability of cost over run, on how large the overrun can be, and on what
to do to eliminate or reduce cost overrun risk, including how much contingency to add to the
estimate in order to reduce any residual risk to an acceptable level.
The contractors were interviewed why they were not using other groups of estimating methods
other than detailed estimating.
They responded that
 They believe the competitive tender are better suited to detailed estimating
 lack of familiarity with the techniques
 fear of degree of sophistication involved in the techniques
 they believe the techniques require sound data of previous projects and system to monitor
which they do not have
It is reported that parametric and comparative cost estimating techniques used to filter better
tender projects in cases where multiple tender opportunities exist. As can be seen in table 4:16
below, case one and case four contractors select tender to bid by comparison with previous
projects cost and based on the management decision on the current load of projects and other
factors.
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In case three contractor, there is experience of using parametric estimating for selecting tender
to bid. In this contractor, the senior engineer determines the range of the project cost by
calculating area of the building with estimated birr/m2 amount. The birr/m2 amount is
determined from previous projects experience taking in to consideration of different cost
driving factors.
On the other hand, case two-contractor selection of tender to bid is rather dependent on the
management decision than filtering tender based on cost.
The study revealed that the main use of cost estimating for the studied cases is for tender sum
preparation in response to an invitation to bid by construction clients.
The study tried to examine the use of cost estimation in monitoring project costs and using it
as feedback for other projects. However, the contractors do not have the experience.
Table 4.16 shows construction contractors’ practice of cost estimation techniques.
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Table 4:16 Purpose and techniques of cost estimation

1.Purpose of preparing cost estimate
1.1 To prepare tender for client    
1.2 For variation :compile quotes for    
changes in the work
1.3 To monitor project execution
1.4 To select projects to tender for   
2.Techniques of cost estimating
2.1 Estimating standard procedure    
2.2 Comparison with similar past    
experience based on personal
experience
2.3 Comparison with similar past    
projects based on documented
facts
2.4 Intuition    
2.5 Published price information
2.6 Cost estimating software
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4.4.2 Comparative Outlook

The comparative outlook of the four case contractors is themed around input data, cost analysis
techniques and cost estimate output.
4.4.2.1 Input Data

4.4.2.1.1 Project Information
The fundamental project information that cost estimators should assess before preparing
estimate include project information and construction methodology of the project.
i. Geotechnical Reports
Geotechnical reports are basic information reviewed while estimating the foundation work.
However, the study reported that all contractors were not provided with Geotechnical
documents. From the discussion and observation of the researcher cost analysis methodology,
that is concluded contractors depend on the information that is provided on the specification to
determine the cost of the foundation works.
ii. Drawings
Drawings contribute vivid information on the unique nature of the project and indicate the
complex nature that needed to be incorporated in cost consideration. Thus, contractors are
expected to study drawings prior to preparing the estimate. However, drawings were not
provided for all projects under study for case one, two and four contractors. In this regard, out
of five projects studied drawings provided for two projects, (each under case one and case four
contractors) besides that for three projects under case two contractor. On the other hand, case
three contractor reported to receive drawings for all the projects under study.
From the above discussion, the case contractors indicated that there is no enough time to study
drawings, however, they refer drawings to understand the details specified in the bill of
quantity. In addition to that, contractor crosschecked the quantities specified in the BOQ in
according to the drawings. In this regard, case one and case two contractors have an experience
of checking reinforcement/steel quantity also an existence of specified items from drawings.
However, case contractors reported there are times they find ambiguity between drawings and
BOQ specification, which leave contractors to take their own assumption in price quoting. On
the other hand, with respect to the case three contractor, drawings required for project cost
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estimation, as the contract is a lump sum for project A, C and D. Thus, the contractor uses the
drawings for detail quantification and as well cost estimation.
iii. Site Visit

The study indicated that contractors made site visit for twelve projects out of the total twenty
projects studied. Case one contractor visited two projects, case two visited three projects, case
three visited all the projects (understudy) and case four visited two projects. It evidenced that
case three contractor has better practice visiting all sites before preparing cost estimates.
The discoveries of the site visit established difficult underground conditions as identified by
case three and case four contractors, existence of structures to be demolished as identified by
case three contractor and inadequate space for material damping and storage as identified by
case one, case three and case four contractors.
In this regard, case three and case four contractors have better practice of incorporating the cost
associations in cost estimation. The contractors took the strategy of decreasing the underground
works performance to compensate the costs incurred due to difficult underground conditions.
In reflection this shows that, the contractors did not do actual analysis of cost for pumping out
and its propagated effects on subsequent activities. In the same manner, case three contractor
uses the strategy of adding percentage of the material cost to cover the expense due to storage
rental. However, these costs are only considered in cost analysis of cement and reinforcement
related work items. As established from the report, the contractor did not go through actual
estimation of the storage cost. Moreover, as these costs are project overhead costs, should be
considered in indirect cost estimation.
In regarding to the existence structures, to be demolished, the contractor reported performing

the analysis of the cost and provided as lump sum. However, the cost analysis done for this
item was not found in the record. In light of this, it can be seen that the findings of the site visit
are not properly analyzed in cost estimation, though to some extent attempts were made by case
three and case four contractors. In the contrast, case one and case two contractors did not
attempt to incorporate these costs at all.
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iv. Condition of Contract

Construction contracts have impact on the cost of the project. In reference to this, the clauses
related to price adjustment, payment, variation, project duration and risks were studied. The
report indicated that case one and case three contractors have better experience of analyzing
the effect of price adjustment and risk clauses in their estimation. In contrast, case two and case
four contractors did not attempt to incorporate these costs. The contractors (case one and case
three) considered the effect of market inflation for certain finishing, sanitary and electrical
materials. Thus to alleviate the risks of future market inflation, case one contractor chooses
increasing profit margin as a strategy while case three contractor forecasted the increase in
material cost by certain percentage.
In the same manner, case three contractor incorporated the costs incurred due to different risks
for lump sum projects (project A, C and D). In these projects, the contractor used contingency
percentage to alleviate risks due to increased work volume.
In light of this, it can be seen that the economic risks that the contract clauses transfer to
contractors needs to be properly analyzed in cost estimation. The efforts made by case one
and case three contractors are made based on intuition. Thus, the practice calls for proper
document assessment and analysis of economic risks. There are different ways of estimating
these costs, for instance contractors could trace the local and international market trends and
use the changes in price index in calculation of economic risks (literature review section 2.7.3).
v. Construction Methodology
After having the clear concept on the project information, the methodology of construction is
devised for the project. The construction method statement indicates the requirement in quality
and quantity of labor, material and equipment resources, proposed working crews, estimated
crew productivity, estimated duration for completion and expected defects and remedial
measures (Tadesse, 2006).
Thus in preparation of cost estimation the effect of the construction methodology from resource
allocation and difficulty of construction are reviewed. It is observed that resource allocation
identified in the method statement are used in preparing cost estimation. Specifically, case one
and case three contractors use the transport costs of the materials from supplier and/or nearby
factory location identified in the methodology. On the other hand, case two and case four
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contractors use the method statement in their estimation rather it was used for fulfilling the
technical requirement of the bid.
However, from the above discussion it can be seen that case contractors do not make use of the
devised project methodology to guide their cost estimation. Indeed, tough competition and
shortage of time to prepare breakdowns in such detail made them to overlook on these issues
while preparing estimation.
4.4.2.1.2 Data Collection and Management

The input data required for cost estimation include cost data of material, labor and equipment
and work crew and productivity. The following sections elaborates the findings of the research.
• Material Cost Data

The case contractors have similar practice of material cost data collection. Material prices are
collected from local market at the time of bid and when new quotation are prepared for
additional works. In addition to this, the study shows that case three contractor have the practice
of using quotes from foreign suppliers where the costs are collected through mail and fax
communication.
In reference to this, it is observed that material items for civil, finishing, sanitary and electrical
work items are widely collected by case contractors at every bid. However, as of case three
contractor, the civil work items are not collected for every bid. In addition to this mechanical
and data works for lump sum projects (Project A, C and D), are outsourced for special
subcontractor and thus cost data are completed by subcontractors.
Regarding the data recording and management system, the contractors have similar practice.
The case contractors record the cost data in excel format. However, all cost data collected at
the time of estimates are not consistently recorded for future reference.
• Labor cost data

The labor cost data collected from project location area and labor subcontractors offer are
commonly used in estimation. In addition, the contractors use the direct market rate without
adding the labor index factor. The study also revealed that case contractors do not have
consistent recording of labor costs.
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• Equipment cost data

Case one, case two and case three contractors use the market rental rate to fix the equipment
hourly cost. However, case three contractor prepare the equipment hourly cost for owned
equipment and use the market rental rate foe rented equipment. Similar to the previous
discussed, case contractors do not have consistent recording of equipment cost data.
• Historical data
The practice contractors regarding historical records are similar. They do not have a system to
follow and record such information. In addition to this the contractors use previously
established breakdown and estimators’ assumptions on the formation of crew and productivity.
4.4.2.2 Cost Analysis

4.4.2.2.1 Pricing Direct Costs
The direct cost involves material cost, labor cost and equipment cost that directly linked with
construction activities and the finding of the research demonstrated in the following section as
how the case companies applied during cost estimation.
• Material cost
The direct material cost analysis of the observed the contractors experience show minor
technical differences among the reviewed projects. As discussed previously, case two and case
four contractors used quotations without adjusting for future market fluctuations. On the
contrary, case one and case three contractor considered market fluctuations on certain finishing,
sanitary and electrical materials. In this regard, case one contractor used increased profit margin
on the final cost while case three contractor forecasted the increase in material cost by certain
percentage the material price. Consequently, the material costs for case three contractor is not
an initial value of the quotation.
In addition to material unit price, the material direct cost analysis includes transportation costs,
loading, unloading costs, storage, and handling cost for locally purchased materials. In this
regard, as previously discussed, case one contractor considered transport costs for cement, sand,
aggregate and reinforcement bar. In the same manner, case two contractor used 2%-5% of the
material cost for transportation and handling cost, though the values of the percentage are based
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on estimators’ assumption. In both contractors, loading and unloading costs were not
considered.
When we come to case three contractor, the material cost analysis has different approaches for
each contract type. For lump sum contracts as the material quantification, and pricing for
electrical, plumbing, mechanical and data infrastructure works were outsourced to specialist
sub-contractors the contractor does not make direct cost analysis for this case.
However, for admeasurement contracts, the analysis of material costs follow the same
procedure as discussed for other contractors. Accordingly, analysis of costs for locally available
materials include material price before VAT, transportation expense to site and loading and
unloading expense, though the latter three costs are not consistently included. Where as in case
of imported material, the material cost analysis include relevant inputs for calculation of import
expenses are included.
In case four contractor, in calculating the material direct costs, only the material prices before
VAT are considered.
• Labor cost
In the analysis of direct labor direct, the labor price collected from market used without
indexing it for case contractors. In addition, case three contractor refer to the ongoing projects
labor contract rates as an indexed labor cost for concrete, reinforcement, carpentry, block work,
plastering and roofing work to labor subcontracted.
In addition to this, for the case projects observed, the number and set up of crew in the break
down is the same, which shows that regardless of the quantity of work and the methodology
followed to complete the project, there is the same crew arrangement in the breakdown. The
crew productivity is mostly established from the estimators own assumptions from their
experience.
• Equipment cost
The analysis of direct equipment for case contractors show that the market rental rate for
equipment used in calculating the direct cost of equipment. However, for owned equipment,
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only case three contractor establishes the hourly cost of equipment by calculating the equipment
owner ship and equipment operation and maintenance cost.
4.4.2.2.2 Pricing Indirect Costs

In determination of indirect cost, the contractors (case two, case three and case four),
allowances made based on the subjective decision of the estimators and management.
The contractors consider profit margin along with indirect cost. In the observed cost
breakdowns of the case projects, 25%-35% of the direct cost used as overhead and profit
margin. However, case one contractor developed a base line overhead cost from a sample
project. According to this sample project, the calculated site OH cost items include project staff
costs, project office running expenses, transportation expenses, mobilization/demobilization
costs, and financial costs associated with bonds, guaranties, insurance considered.
4.4.2.2.3 Pricing Risks

The contractors experience for risk identification and allowance show that, contractors of case
one and case three consider economical risks in their pricing. On the other hand, that case two
and case three contractors did not consider the effects of risk in their pricing.
In the study indicated that risk allowance is the most difficult item to estimate and to incorporate
in cost. In addition to this, the contractors fail to identify potential risks and forecast the effects
during estimating. The contractors also admit that they lack established historical data, time
and expertise to make appropriate assessment of documents. On top of this, the contractors
absorb some risks in order to stay competitive in market.
4.4.2.2.4 Pricing Profit

The contractors combined overhead and profit margin. Profit margin are determined based on
subjective decision.
In general, based on the suggested practices in literature review and previous discussions, Table
4:17 below shows that the major challenge problem areas.
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Table 4:17 Problem and challenge areas of cost estimation practice
Problem and Problems Case one Case two Case three Case four
challenge areas
1 Assessment of preliminary items
1.1 Supporting -information from In all projects In all projects In all projects - In all projects
documents supporting documents not
incorporated in cost
estimation
1.2 Site visit information from site visit In all projects In all projects In all projects - In all projects
not incorporated in cost
estimation
1.3 Assessment of tender Insufficient tender In all projects In all projects In all projects - In all projects
documents document analysis
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Table 4:17 Problem and challenge areas of cost estimation practice contd.
Problem and challenge Problems Case one Case two Case three Case four
areas
2 Information on input data
2.1 Direct cost components -not all cost components In all projects In all projects In all projects - In all projects
are collected
-inaccurate cost data are In all projects In all projects In all projects - In all projects
used
Lack of actual costs In all projects In all projects In all projects - In all projects
feedback
2.2 Productivity data -inaccurate production data In all projects In all projects In all projects - In all projects
used in estimating
-lack of historical data In all projects In all projects In all projects - In all projects
Poor project cost feedback “ “ “ “
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areas
3 Analysis of direct cost
3.1 Analysis of material cost Contractors did not In all projects In all projects In local material In all projects
consistently include- cost analysis
material cost elements
like transportation Considered in
+loading and unloading imported material
and storage analysis are
3.2 Analysis of labor cost The contractors do not In all projects In all projects In all projects In all projects
make analysis of labor
cost. They rely on
commercial data.
3.3 Analysis of equipment The contractors do not In all projects In all projects In case of In all projects
cost make analysis of equipment not
owned by
equipment costs. They
contractor.
rely on commercials
data
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Problem and challenge areas Problems Case one Case two Case three Case four
3 Analysis of direct cost
3.4 Sub contracted costs Move from analytical For all projects For all projects For all projects For all projects
-For labor only estimating to

commercial estimating
3.5 Sub contracted costs Poor understanding of “ “ “ “
For labor +material how specialist

trades are costed
4 Analysis of indirect cost
4.1 Head office Overhead cost Analysis not done Base line For all projects For all projects For all projects
analysis done
4.2 Project overhead cost Analysis not done “ “ “ “
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areas
5 Analysis of risk
5.1 Identification of risk Risks are not properly Some Economical None Some Economical None
identified Risks identified based identified Risks identified identified
on experience based on experience
5.2 Techniques of risk Do not have Risks are considered by None used By forecasting the None used
analysis techniques of risk increasing profit margin increase in price of
analysis material based on
estimator
assumption
6 Determination of profit margin
Profit margins are not For all projects For all For all projects For all
properly calculated, projects projects
they are mixed with
overhead costs
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4.4.2.3 Out Put of Cost Estimates- How accurate are the cost estimates?
Accuracy is defined as the degree to which a measurement or calculation deviates from its
actual price; therefore, estimating accuracy is indicative of the degree to which the final price
outcome of a project may vary from the single point value used as the estimated cost of the
project. This, essentially, is what every estimator in the industry is after: accurate estimates,
which are close to the end result figure. However, from the literature, the accuracy of estimating
is influenced by direct or indirect factors, which may push them off the targeted budget.
After examining the current cost estimation practice of the contractors, this research intends to
answer the question ‘How accurately do contractors predict actual construction costs?’
To answer this, the research attempted to conduct document analysis of the case study
company’s construction cost records that comprise a comparative feedback of the estimated
costs from preconstruction to the actual construction costs. However, the researcher could not
find recorded data that shows the actual construction costs.
The experience by case one, two and four contractors show that, they track the executed work
volumes and the monthly expenses of direct costs (labor, material, equipment and
subcontractor) and some indirect costs (expenses at project site) on project site. However, these
data are collected to monitor the performance of the project on monthly bases. Thus, this
research was not able to evaluate the deviation of cost estimate from the actual cost.
4.5 Conclusion
This section examined the practice of the cost estimation by the selected case contractors from
initial preliminary project assessment up to evaluation of final cost estimate.
In preparing tender estimate, the contractors’ practice of the project assessment was evaluated
on their practice of evaluating project specifics from supporting documents, site visit, tender
document and construction methodology. Following this, the contractors’ practice on cost input
collection and management were examined. Then the cost components technical analysis was
reviewed by comparing with the principles set in the theories and literatures. Finally, the
thematic analysis among contractors discussed.
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The next section presents the summary of the major findings of the study and provides
recommendation on the improvement of the practice.
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CHAPTER FIVE: CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION
5.1 Conclusion
This study aimed at exploring the current cost estimating practice to identify the major
challenge and problem areas faced by the case contractors and to recommend suggestions for
improved cost estimating practice.
The research has examined the cost estimation practice of five selected projects from each case
contractor. The case study conducted by collecting the case companies’ cost records, contract
documents and bill of quantities used in estimation of the selected projects. The analysis process
also incorporated interviews and discussions to substantiate as well as support the findings of
the document analysis to ensure the validity and reliability of the information.
The research shows that contractors use detail-estimating technique to tender price and to quote
for variation works.
The cost estimates prepared for pricing the case projects examined from preliminary project
assessment to the final the cost estimate analysis.
The preliminary project assessment includes examining how contractors investigate the project
specifics from supporting documents, site visit, contract documents and construction
methodology. Accordingly, the following are the major findings of the study:
• Supporting documents were not fully provided for contractors at tender stage. It was
reported that geotechnical reports were not issued for all projects under study.
However, drawings were issued for most of the case projects. The case contractors
indicated that they face shortage of time to study drawings .But at some points they
indicated referring drawings to understand the details specified in the bill of quantity
and to cross check quantities. However, it was reported that there were times case
contractors find ambiguity between drawings and BOQ specification.
• Findings of the site visit include the existence of difficult underground conditions,
structures that need to be demolished and inadequate space for material damping and
storage. However, it was reported that case contractors who attempted to consider the
cost associates did not conduct proper cost analysis. On the other hand, there were
case contractors who did not consider the costs incurred.
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• Contractors’ experience of analyzing costs due to contract clauses were studied. In

this regard, the clauses related to price adjustment, payment, variation, project
duration and risks were studied. It appears two of the case contractors do not properly
analyze the costs while the remaining case contractors do not attempt to incorporate
these costs at all.
• Contractors do not refer the work methodology in preparing cost estimate.
In the same manner, the project cost inputs were reviewed for data collection and management
process. Accordingly, the study on this section reported that
• Case contractors have similar practice of cost data collection and keeping record of
it. However, the study revealed that case contractors did not have consistent data
records.
• Case contractors collect material cost data from local contractors and only one
contractor uses quotes of foreign suppliers. Similarly labor and equipment cost data
collected from local market for all cases.
• In addition to this, historical data records on previous projects performance were not
recorded and did not have a system to follow such information. In the same manner,
contractors use previously established breakdown and estimators’ assumptions on the
formation of crew and productivity.
The study also examined the contractors practice on the analysis techniques of cost components.
In this regard, the following are the major findings of the study:
• Direct material prices are used without proper adjustment of future market for two
case contractors while the other case contractors do not consider adjusting at all
• Expenses related to material cost purchased local market are not consistently included
in material cost analysis by case contractors.
• The labor cost data from local market are commonly used in estimation. Contractors
use the market rate without including the labor index factor.
• Case contractors use the market rental rate to fix the equipment hourly cost. However,
only case three contractor prepare the equipment hourly cost for owned equipment
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• Three case contractors determine indirect cost based on the subjective decision of the
estimator and management. It is observed these contractors use 25%-35% of the direct
cost as overhead and profit margin. However, one case contractor has developed
analysis for overhead cost. It was pointed that the overhead cost analysis by the
contractor showed some technical discrepancies.
• The study indicated that risk allowance is the most difficult item to estimate and to
incorporate in cost. In addition to this, the contractors fail to identify potential risks
and forecast the effects during estimating. The contractors also admit that they lack
established of historical data, time and expertise to make appropriate assessment of
documents. On top of this, the contractors absorb some risks in order to stay
competitive in market.
Finally, after reviewing the current cost estimation practice of the contractors, this research
intends to answer the question ‘How accurately do contractors predict actual construction
costs?’
To answer this, the research tried to conduct document analysis of the case study company’s
construction cost records to comprise a comparative feedback of the estimated costs from
preconstruction to the actual construction costs. However, this research could not find recorded
data that shows the actual construction costs. Thus, this research was not able to evaluate the
deviation of cost estimate from the actual cost.
116
5.2 Recommendation
The study shows the practice mainly challenged by insufficient project information, poor
project specifics assessment, poor analysis of construction costs especially in estimating risk
and indirect costs and influence of fierce competition in the industry. In this regard, this research
recommends the following specific actions to be undertaken by contractors:
• Contractors should introduce guidelines and check lists that fully engage estimators to
make appropriate preliminary assessments prior to estimating. Moreover, contractors
should develop more specific “how to” guidance in the form of procedures in some
critical areas such as potential risk assessment and analysis.
• Contractors should be able to devise ways to follow site performances so that
productivity and crew standards are accurately determined. In this regard, formal
communication and reports of site feedback should be established.
In line with the above recommendation, Ministry of Construction and related
professional associations should take their share in creating industry benchmarks and
should devise ways of updating the information on continual basis.
• Estimates shall develop their knowledge in reviewing project risks and uncertainties
that should be incorporated into estimates. In this regard, estimators shall record
estimate basis, assumptions and back up calculations for future references. In addition,
contractors’ management should coordinate trainings that improve estimators’ skills
and expertise.
In line with the above, the Central Statistics Agency shall give due focus to prepare
refined monthly consumer price index on construction materials, labor and equipment.
In the same manner, regulatory bodies and related professional associates should work
together to improve the compensation system in which a wider range of inputs will be
allowed for compensation.
• Contractors shall follow and record actual costs of ongoing projects. This way they can
follow on the accuracy of their estimate and develop feedback for future estimates
• In line with the above recommendations, it is highly recommended that contractors
establish research and development department to handle the responsibility.
• Contractors shall perform estimate reviews to confirm estimates are accurate and fully
reflect project scope.
117
• Contractors should employ decision supporting estimation tools in addition to the

standard method in use. For instance, range estimating can assist in providing
probability of cost overrun and assist the risk analysis. Also use of appropriate
parametric estimation can help contractors in decision making at earlier stage and can
assist in verifying the accuracy of detailed estimates. In addition, contractors can make
use of standard estimating soft wares to as they can assist them improving the speed
and reliability of estimates.
5.3 Future Research
This study tried to review some of the challenges associated with cost estimation practice of
local case contractors. However, the researcher believes that further work on the area is vital to
guide the efficient improvement in the area.
• Study of methodologies to integrate construction risks in cost estimation
• Study of level of accuracy of cost estimates among different grades of contractors
• Study alternative methods of cost estimation that improve accuracy of cost estimates
• Study on building cost drivers and indicators
• Study on construction estimating software and data base management system
118
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124
APPENDIX
Appendix A- Interviews
The following interview questions were prepared for further discussion and clarification on the
cost estimation practice of the case contractors.
I. Questions on General Company Level Cost Estimation Practice
1. Does the company have standard estimating format or base estimate? How often is it
updated?
Case contractors Answers by case contractors
1 Case one We have prepared excel estimating format, we don’t have scheduled
updating time. We just prepare bid estimates using it as base estimate
2 Case two Same as above
3 Case three “
4 Case four Yes we have format, we update it once a year on average
2. Does your company have practice of using estimating software?
-All cases do not have the experience of using estimating software
3. In your detailed estimating practice, are the costs of labor, equipment and material tracked
separately?
- All cases replied they keep records of the collected costs of labor, material and equipment
in excel format
125
4. Does your company have data base systems for:

item Description Case -2 Case -
Case -1 Case -3
4
a For cost information on material cost yes yes yes yes
b For cost information on base labor cost yes yes yes yes
c Labor index estimating no no no no
d Equipment rental cost adjusted by the no
no yes no
company
e Equipment rental cost as per market yes yes yes yes
f For material consumption rate no no no no
g For labor productivity no no no no
h For equipment productivity no no no no
i For crew formation and productivity no no no no
j historical data base for existence of the risks no no no no
k overhead cost yes no no no
l markup cost no no no no
m For work breakdown structure no no no no
n if other, mention no no no no
5. How does your company incorporate subcontractors offer to fix the price?
1 Case one by directly taking the previous offer as direct cost and forecast the cost
then include the company’s indirect cost
2 Case two Same as above
3 Case three “
4 Case four “
126
6. Does your company incorporate risks in cost estimation?

1 Case one We consider risk for price change
2 Case two No in case of competitive bids
3 Case three We consider risk for price change for the materials we import
4 Case four No in case of competitive bids
7. Who is involved in the process of pricing for risk?

1 Case one the management is possible for determining the percentage to of risk,
2 Case two
3 Case three the engineering head is ultimately responsible for determining the
price of risk, which usually occurs during a tender review
4 Case four
8. How do you calculate the amount to include for risk in your tenders?
1 Case one We don’t have technical calculation, we just increase our profit by
percentage
2 Case two
3 Case three We price risk on a trade by trade basis as we receive subcontractor and
supplier prices … We assess the suitability of the prices we receive
and determine how much it should cost to do the work … We need to
look at each area of the work in isolation to assess our risk and make
adjustments accordingly…
4 Case four
127
9. What are the risk identification techniques in use by your company to determine its cost
implications in your company?
1 Case one Experience and assumptions
2 Case two
3 Case three Experience and assumptions
4 Case four
10. What are the challenges and draw backs of the current practice in tracking and managing of
historical data base ?
1 Case one Lack of efficient controlling system
2 Case two Lack of time and coordination
3 Case three System not developed
4 Case four Efficiency of data collectors and absence of organized data base
system development
128
Appendix B- Cost analysis templets
129
Appendix B-1 Cost analysis for imported item, case three contractor
130
131
Appendix B-2Sample Equipment direct cost analysis, case three contractor

Rated HP Equipment Equipment Salvage Tyre Depriciation Insurance Repair Cost Fuel Consumption Service Cost Tyre Cost Owning Operating O & O
Capacity Delivery Life time Value (birr) price Price Life Cost (birr/hr) Interest Rate Cost Factor (D*T) Cost Birr/h Birr/hr Cost Cost Cost
price (Hours) (Yrs) 10%E Size Q'ty (birr) (Birr) Hour = (E-L-H)/F (Birr/h) % (E*P/100)*0.05 %N Birr/hr Lt/h/Hp Lit/h FuelCost %V (x) (y) (N+O+Q) (S+V+X+Y) (Z+_AA)
Item Equipment Type (e) (f) (g) (h) (i) (j) (k) (l) (m) (n) (o) (p) (q) r (s) (t) (u) (v) (w) (v*w) = L/M Birr/hr Birr/hr Birr/hr
1 Dump Truck 6x4 12-14 m3 300 1,020,000 12,000 6.0 102,000 11x20,12x20 10 2,424 24,240 1,500 74.48 13.07 2.20 11.22 20 14.90 0.10 30.00 536.70 20.0 107.34 16.16 98.77 675.10 773.87
2 Excavator, wheel type 1.0 - 1.5 m3 150 3,600,000 12,000 6.0 360,000 15.5x25 4 4,500 18,000 2,500 268.50 25.75 1.20 21.60 200 537.00 0.15 22.50 402.53 25.0 100.63 7.20 315.85 1047.36 1,363.21
3 Vibrtatory plate compactor(8500kg) 13 250,000 12,000 6.0 25,000 18.75 19.63 1.20 1.50 70 13.13 0.20 2.60 51.66 20.0 10.33 0.00 39.88 75.12 115.00
4 Jack Hammer 800,000 6,000 3.0 80,000 120.00 0.41 1.20 4.80 50 60.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.0 0.39 125.21 60.39 185.60
5 Loader, Wheel 2.0 - 2.5 m3 200 1,434,000 10,000 5.0 143,400 23.5x25 4 5,600 22,400 2,200 126.82 19.93 1.20 8.60 60 76.09 0.14 28.00 500.92 25.0 125.23 10.18 155.35 712.42 867.78
6 Concrete Mixer, trailer mounted 500 lit 25 170,000 16,000 8.0 17,000 6.5x16 2 550 1,100 2,500 9.49 2.95 0.40 0.34 50 4.75 0.14 3.50 62.62 14.0 8.77 0.44 12.78 76.57 300.00
7 Crawler Dozer 140 - 180 Hp 160 8,885,500 13,000 6.5 888,550 0 615.15 34.14 1.20 53.31 275 1691.66 0.14 22.40 400.74 30.0 120.22 702.60 2212.62 2,915.22
8 Concrete Vibrator, petrol 4Hp 4 15,940 8,000 4.0 1,594 0 0 1.79 0.25 0.40 0.03 50 0.90 0.14 0.56 11.13 7.0 0.78 2.08 12.80 50.00
9 Mobile crane 0.14 960
10 Polishing mach. 0.14 250
11 Welder, Electric 300 - 400 AMP - 101,020 8,000 4.0 10,102 11.36 1.58 0.40 0.20 30 3.41 0.14 0.00 0.0 1.00 0.00 13.15 4.41 17.56
12 Hand Compactor 0.00
13 Asphalt Distributor 6000 lts 200 3,076,317 14,000 7.0 307,632 11x20,12x20 6 1,924 11,544 2,200 196.94 17.67 2.20 33.84 350 689.29 0.14 28.00 500.92 25.0 125.23 5.25 248.45 1320.68 1,569.13
14 Water Truck 6000 lts 150 1,488,570 12,000 6.0 148,857 11x20,12x20 6 1,924 11,544 1,800 110.68 7.87 2.20 16.37 150 166.02 0.10 15.00 298.05 20.0 59.61 6.41 134.93 530.09 665.02
15 Power Broom self propelled 1- 2m 70 1,628,930 11,000 5.5 162,893 11.2x20 4 2,100 8,400 2,200 132.51 10.09 0.40 3.26 80 106.01 0.10 7.00 125.23 22.0 27.55 3.82 145.86 262.61 408.47
16 Spreader, aggregate 5-7m 170 3,254,250 15,000 7.5 325,425 10x20 4 1,800 7,200 2,200 194.78 20.75 0.40 6.51 80 155.82 0.14 23.80 425.78 30.0 127.73 3.27 222.03 712.61 934.64
17 Roller, Pneumatic About 10 ton 100 2,713,855 15,000 7.5 271,386 11x20 7 1,700 11,900 2,500 162.04 11.81 1.20 16.28 80 129.63 0.14 14.00 250.46 30.0 75.14 4.76 190.13 459.99 650.12
18 Roller, Vibrator, 2 drums 10 - 16 ton 150 2,213,830 12,000 6.0 221,383 166.04 19.63 1.20 13.28 80 132.83 0.20 30.00 536.70 30.0 161.01 0.00 198.95 830.54 1,029.49
132
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GRADUATE PROGRAM

ADDIS ABABA SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY UNIVERSITY

THE PRACTICE AND CHALLENGES OF COST ESTIMATION IN BUILDING

By: Bruktaite Negussie

A Thesis Submitted to College of Architectural and civil Engineering in

Date of Defense: February 28, 2017

1. Dr. Alemayehu Ambo ________________ ____________

2. Dr. Messay Daniel _____________ ____________

3. Mr. Addisu Bekele _______________ _____________

4. Dr. Brook Abate _______________ _____________

Dr. Solomon Sertse

CONFIDENTIALITY OF RESEARCHING SUBJECT

2.8 Factors that Influence Project Cost Estimation ...............................................................22

4.3.4 Estimating Team Responsibility and Involvement of Management................................95

Figure 3: 1 Research methodology flowchart ............................................................................... 32

AACE Association for the Advancement of Cost Engineering

CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION

1.1 The Research Background

Despite construction industry’s significant contribution to the economy of developing countries

1.2 Problem Statement

1.2.1 Estimating Method in Practice

1.2.2 Information on Cost Estimating Items

1.2.3 Stability of Market Conditions

1.3 Research Questions

1.4 Objective of the research

1.4.2 Specific objectives

1.5 Significance of the Study

1.6 Scope of the Research

1.8 Over view of the study

Figure 1: 1 Structure of the study report

CHAPTER TWO: LITRATURE REVIEW

2.2 Fundamentals of Cost Estimation Theory

2.4 Cost Estimation at Different Phases of Construction

2.5 Classification of Cost Estimate in Construction Projects

Table 2: 1 AACE Generic cost estimating classification matrix

2.6 The Cost Estimating Process

2.7 Components of Construction Costs

2.7.1 Direct Construction Costs

2.7.1.2 Direct Labor Cost

i. Determination of Number of Labor

In Ethiopian context, according to proclamation No.377/2003, the minimum employee benefits

2.7.1.3 Equipment Costs

i.Equipment Owning Cost

ii.Equipment Operating Cost

2.7.1.4 Subcontract Costs

2.7.2 Indirect Construction Costs

2.7.2.1 Project overhead costs

2.7.2.2 General overhead

2.7.3 Risk Allowances

2.8 Factors that Influence Project Cost Estimation

Table 2: 2 Four groups of factors influencing construction costs

Factors Factors affecting construction Layers of determining factors

Source: Abstracted from (Abukar 2006)

2.9 Factors Affecting Accuracy of Cost Estimates

CHAPTER THREE: RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

3.2 Case Sampling

3.2.2 Techniques for Case Selection

3.3 Data Collection Process

3.4 Data Analysis

MAIN PROCEDURES SUB-PROCEDURES OUTPUT

1. Dr. Alemayehu Ambo ____

2. Dr. Messay Daniel _

3. Mr. Addisu Bekele ___ _

4. Dr. Brook Abate ___ _