Final Assignment Gregor Hohls Group 2
Final Assignment Gregor Hohls Group 2
Final Assignment Gregor Hohls Group 2
Maastricht
University
School
of
Business
and
Economics
Maastricht,
04
April
2012
Name:
Gregor
Hohls
ID:
i6001867
Study:
International
Business
Economics
Course:
International
Competition
Policy
Course
Code:
EBC2093
Group
Number:
02
Tutor
Name:
G.
Valletta
Writing
Assignment:
Final
Case
Study
Table
of
Contents
1.
Introduction
...................................................................................................................
1
2.
The
Case
........................................................................................................................
1
2.1
Google,
Inc.
..........................................................................................................................
2
2.2
Motorola
Mobility
Holdings,
Inc.
..........................................................................................
2
2.3
Reasons
for
a
Merger
...........................................................................................................
2
2.4
The
EU
Decision
....................................................................................................................
3
2.5
The
US
Decision
....................................................................................................................
4
2.6
Intermediate
Summary
........................................................................................................
5
3.
Economic
Analysis
..........................................................................................................
5
3.1
Antitrust
Guideline
...............................................................................................................
5
3.1.1
Product
Market
Definition
...................................................................................................
6
3.1.2
Foreclosure
or
Harm
on
Consumers
....................................................................................
9
3.1.3
Efficiency
Gains
..................................................................................................................
10
3.1.4
Results
................................................................................................................................
11
3.2
Outlook
and
Other
Issues
...................................................................................................
11
4.
Conclusions
..................................................................................................................
12
Bibliography
....................................................................................................................
13
1.
Introduction
On
August
15th
in
2011,
Google,
Inc.
announces
that
it
has
agreed
on
acquiring
Motorola
Mobility,
Inc.
by
means
of
share
purchase.
This
$12.5
billion
deal
is
Googles
first
step
into
the
mobile
device
hardware
market
and
can
therefore
be
seen
as
a
non-horizontal
or
vertical
merger,
as
Google
has
been
active
in
the
market
at
a
different
stage
of
the
supply
chain
through
the
development
of
one
of
the
major
mobile
device
operating
systems
(OSs):
Android
OS.
This
merger
will
strengthen
Googles
stance
in
the
market
for
mobile
devices
and
will
mainly
boost
Googles
patent
portfolio.
Nearly
one
third
of
all
mobile
device
sales
in
2011
were
smartphones
with
a
growth
rate
of
58
percent
from
2010.
In
this
rapidly
developing
market
with
such
a
high
number
of
consumers,
it
is
of
great
importance
that
there
is
high
competition
in
order
to
keep
the
prices
low
and
to
drive
innovation.
As
this
market
is
also
very
global,
antitrust
organisations
all
over
the
world,
for
example
the
United
States
Department
of
Justice
or
the
European
Commission
need
to
check,
whether
a
merger
like
the
one
that
is
presented
in
the
following
could
harm
competition
or
increase
a
firms
market
power
in
a
market
above
an
acceptable
level.
Additionally,
this
paper
will
face
the
question,
whether
the
sinergies
of
this
merger
are
big
enough
to
influence
the
competition
commissions
decisions.
In
order
to
answer
these
questions,
this
paper
will
firstly
present
the
case
and
the
decisions
from
both
the
European
and
the
US
point
of
view.
Secondly,
it
will
show
an
analysis
of
the
economic
background
of
the
case
to
trace
the
steps
of
the
two
antitrust
commissions
and
then,
thirdly
it
will
conclude
with
a
competition
analysis
and
a
search
for
efficiency
gains
that
justify
the
commissions
decisions,
followed
by
a
short
outlook.
2.
The
Case
As
an
introductory
part
to
this
paper,
I
will
give
some
general
information
about
the
firms,
their
operations
prior
to
the
merger
and
a
projection
of
their
combined
future.
I
will
also
present
the
notifying
partys
(i.e.
Googles)
reasons
for
why
they
would
like
to
acquire
Motorola.
Following
this
are
the
EU
and
U.S.
decisions
and
a
short
abstract
on
the
differences
in
their
approaches.
smartphones, which creates a natural fit between [the two] companies (Google, Inc., 2012b, p. 1). This, as well as Motorola being a member of the Open Handset Alliance (OHA), a consortium to create open standards for mobile devices, which now includes 84 firms from every part of the supply chain, will enable faster innovation. Another point that Google stresses in their facts about the acquisition is the long history of innovation in communications technology at Motorola Mobility and additionally the development of intellectual property. The latter is very important to Google as it will support their own, so far very small, patent portfolio to defend Android OS against the strong competition from Apple and Microsoft, which is well explained in an extra paragraph in their press release. It is very important to Google to support the constant competition it has injected into the smartphone market since the introduction of the first Android phone in 2008. They are trying to give consumers, application developers, and mobile carriers high-quality alternatives to products like Apples iPhone and iPad and RIMs BlackBerry (Google, Inc., 2012b, p. 2). Google especially highlights what they will not be trying to do with the merger, in order to keep competitors and consumers calm. They do not want to close the Android ecosystem and favour Motorola over other hardware manufactures. The Android OS will stay available to everyone on an open source basis. Google will also not force their partners to use Google search (in order to boost their own advertising revenues).
Google acquires from MMI. With their market analysis they conduct a competition analysis and conclude in all areas that the merger does not raise any competition issues, which can also be seen in the economic analysis that follows later. Their decision therefore is to drop the investigation and allow the deal to go through without any remedies or changes to be made.
3.
Economic
Analysis
Following
the
preceding
description
of
the
case
is
a
detailed
analysis
of
the
market
for
the
proposed
transaction
as
well
as
a
competition
analysis
to
identify
and
explain
the
risk
of
anti-competitive
behaviour
post-merger.
I
will
also
present
the
potential
benefits
for
consumers
that
may
result
because
of
this
transaction.
I
will
begin
by
explaining
the
method
of
analysis:
my
antitrust
guideline.
mentioned
efficiency
gains
outweigh
the
losses
on
consumer
welfare
and
foreclosure
of
the
market.
Product
Market
DeniEon
Dominant
Not Dominant
Is there Foreclosure?
Figure 1: Antitrust Guideline 3.1.1 Product Market Definition With regards to the definition of the relevant product markets, the European Commission has split up the analysis three-fold. First, it analyses the relevant market for operating systems: the market Google is active in. Operating systems are system software products that are designed to support the functioning of the mobile device and the corresponding applications (European Commission, 2012, p. 5). Googles OS, Android, is free to use, edit, and further develop under an open source licence. Google states that Motorola is not active in this market, as well as proposes to expand the market for mobile software platforms for smartphones to include mobile software platforms for tablets, as they are very similar to each other (arguing that for example Apples iOS is running on both the iPhone and the iPad). Additionally, Google sees Android as a direct substitute to other software platforms such as iOS (Apple) or BlackBerry OS (Research in Motion), which are not available for third- party Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs): From a demand side perspective [...] users can substitute between devices using licensable and non-licensable mobile software platforms(European Commission, 2012, p.5) and on the supply-side, OEMs can switch between mobile operating systems or start producing their own. In the view of the EU 6
Commission
(2012),
which
is
in
line
with
Googles
proposal,
it
can
be
concluded
that:
1. Mobile
OSs
are
different
from
PC
OSs
2. Mobile
OSs
for
smartphones
are
different
from
basic
mobile
phones
3. Mobile
OSs
for
smartphones
and
tablets
are
part
of
the
same
market.
Figure
2
shows
the
percentage
of
each
operating
systems
market
share
for
every
quarter
in
2010
and
2011.
The
trend
lines
I
have
added
clearly
show
the
constant
increase
of
Android
OSs
usage
in
those
two
years,
whereas
the
Symbian
operating
system
faces
a
strong
decrease.
Apples
iOS
market
share
is
increasing
at
a
much
slower
rate,
which
is
probably
due
to
the
fact
that
Android
is
available
for
a
lot
more
mobile
devices.
60,00
50,00
40,00
30,00
20,00
10,00
0,00
2010
2010
2010
2010
2011
2011
2011
2011
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Android
iOS
Symbian
RIM
Microsoft
Bada
Other
Linear
(Android)
Linear
(iOS)
Linear
(Symbian)
Figure 2: Mobile OS Market Shares % 2010 and 2011 by quarter (Gartner, Inc., 2011) The market for mobile devices, the Comissions second analysis part, is much easier to identify, as decisions from earlier EU Antitrust cases can be adopted. The commission decides that it separates the smartphone market from the market for other mobile devices (basic and feature phones) as the difference in functionalities and distribution channels majorly affects the consumers choice. Figure 3 on the next page shows the market shares of the smartphone manufacturers for the final quarters of 2010 and 2011. Apple and Samsung are the two big winners in the year 2011, whereas Nokias market share drops by almost a half. Motorola Mobilitys market share is negligible and gets lost as part of others. The market for Standard Essential Patents is very complex and therefore hard to generalise. Google, Inc. will acquire about 7000 to 8000 patents, of which 6000 7000 are US and 500
Figure 3: Market Shares of Smartphone Manufacturers (Gartner, Inc., 2011) 1000 are EU patents. Motorola Mobilitys patent portfolio focuses mainly on wireless communication hardware and to some extent high-definition television (HDTV) (European Commission, 2012, p.2). This quote shows that the patents Google will acquire are part of many different product markets and therefore the commission defines that each SEP can be considered as a separate market in itself as it is necessary to comply with a standard and thus cannot be designed around (European Commission, 2012, p.12), meaning that there are no perfect substitutes or many alternatives for each patent. In terms of geographical boundaries the markets are said to be at least covering the European Economic Area, if they cannot even be considered worldwide and therefore very large in size. The product market analysis shows firstly, that although Android OS is by far the leader in the mobile OS market it does not change its position through the acquisition of Motorola Mobility, Inc.,; the success of Android is fully dependent on the smartphone manufacturers decision to choose it as their OS. Therefore, secondly, we notice that Motorolas market share in the market for mobile devices is negligibly low and will not create any dominant position in that market. Thirdly, Google states openly that it will not be favouring Motorola handsets and we can see that if it would do so, Androids market share and therefore a lot of advertising revenues would be lost. Lastly, because every SEP is seen as a separate market
and Google is committing openly to license all acquired patents under FRAND terms, there are no concerns for competition raised here as well. 3.1.2 Foreclosure or Harm on Consumers Although the preceding analysis has shown that there is no dominant position post-merger, meaning that no further investigation is necessary, I will continue with a competition analysis to see possible effects of foreclosure or harm on consumers. This will lead us to possible efficiency gains that result from the merger. Foreclosure is the behaviour of a firm to engage in many different practices aimed at deterring entrants (Motta, 2004, p. 88). These include, amongst others: investing in extra capacity, setting prices below cost, flooding a market wth many different product specifications, [...], bundling, price discriminating (Motta, 2004, p. 88). These activities can eventually force competitors out of a market and will keep possible competitors from entering. As mentioned earlier, it is very important to keep the market for mobile devices highly competitive as it affects an incredible amount of consumers. Subsequent to the merger Google will have access to all three key elements that are needed for a mobile device to work: (i) technology that allows the device to operate over mobile networks; (ii) a mobile OS; and (iii) the remaining device hardware (European Commission, 2012, p. 12). The first it will get through the acquisition of patents, the second Google already posesses and the third comes from Motorola. Therefore there are two vertical relationships that are created between those three points: the OS as a key ingredient into smartphones and the Standard Essential Patents as key ingredients into the smartphone industry. Next to these, the merger also presents some conglomerate relationship in the connection between smartphones on the one hand and Googles online services on the other hand. An analysis of the vertical relationship delivers the following results. Although Google states that it does not control Android and therefore Androids market share [] should not be attributed to Google but to each of the various OEMs building Android based phones (European Cmmission, 2012, p.13), the manufacturers state something different. Since Google is responsible for each new release of the Android OS and has to approve each tablet or smartphone that wants to run it, the Commission finds that all market share should be attributed to Google on the OS level. With this significant market share, Google would have enough power to exert some of the practices mentioned before. Through choosing a lead manufacturer for each new version of 9
the Android OS, it could significantly impede competition especially by favouring Motorola irrespective of its performance. Google could also downgrade versions of Android it offers to other OEMs than Motorola and therefore make their own handsets more attractive. Although the possibilities are great for Google to use these methods to foreclose the market, the revenue loss for Google from restricting access to Android is more likely to be far greater than the potential gain from Motorola Mobility smart mobile device sales (European Commission, 2012, p. 16). This is the main reason why it will be very likely that Google will try to ensure that Android is distributed as widely as possible amongst several OEMs and that it will not close the market, trying to boost only the Motorola smartphone sales. The topic of foreclosure does not seem to be an issue in this case. The question remains, whether the transaction will hurt consumers or not. Those using Motorola smartphones up until know will not be harmed by the transaction as Motorola Mobility is already using Android as the exclusive operating system for its smartphones. Other consumers using Android on other manufacturers devices might only benefit from Google having their own in-house hardware production, because the creation of new Android versions might improve through the cooperation of software and hardware development. 3.1.3 Efficiency Gains The large amount of patents Google buys from Motorola will bring some stronger competition to the smartphone market. As a lot of the patents are essential to every producer of smartphones, they will need to license them from Google from now on. Of course, they will be faced with the same terms and conditions as before with Motorola, however the power in Googles hands can bring about some difficulties for Apple or Samsung for example. HTC Corp., the second-biggest Asian smartphone producer for example has bought nine patents from Google that were part of the Motorola deal, with which it is now able to defend itself against a law suit by Apple. Apple was suing HTC for copying certain features of the iPhone. Google knows that HTC is under tremendous legal pressure from Apple and clearly on the losing track (Milford & Decker, 2011, p.1). By selling the patents to HTC, Google is clearly supporting one of its major OEMs to be able to stick up against one of its major competitors. By strengthening its OEMs, Google can further expand 10
its Android ecosystem and create a powerful counterpart to its competitors. As David Balto, senior fellow at the Center for American Progress and a former antitrust official at the Federal Trade Comission says: If anything, antitrust regulators may see the deal as a boost to competition. Android is such a crucial competitor to the iPhone in particular, that allowing Google to buy Motorola Mobility will likely produce even more innovation in smartphones and other devices (Tessler, 2011, p.1). 3.1.4 Results The economic analysis of this merger has shown that in terms of product market definition there are no issues of dominance. Whereas Android might be seen as dominant in the market for operating systems there will be no intentions for Google to foreclose any part of the market for new entrants. Google will also not be able to force any competitors out of the market by favouring solely Motorola smartphones, because of its small market share. Additionally, there are some efficiency gains through the acquistion of patents in terms of creating strong competition against Apple. Yves Maitre, senior vice president of France Telecom Orange gives the deal his blessing by saying: I believe it is always good to have very strong players and very integrated ones. We welcome strong competitors to Apple, and Motorola and Google will be this type of very strong competitor (Fried, 2011, p.2).
11
cash in recent years. It has lots of [] tax losses, which can now be offset against Googles future profits (Worstall, 2011, p.2). Google will be taxed on cumulative profits over a longer period of time and bringing in these losses will reduce the amount of money Google will have to pay taxes on. The tax benefits of the deal make what was a good deal into a great deal (Browning & Byrnes, 2011, p.1) said Robert Willens, a New York accounting and tax expert.
4.
Conclusions
A
great
deal
that
is
the
general
perception
of
this
acquisition
case.
The
preceding
analysis
has
confirmed
the
public
view
of
this
merger
as
it
has
first
presented
the
two
companies
and
the
reasons
why
Google
would
like
to
acquire
Motorola.
The
short
description
of
the
European
Commssions
as
well
as
of
the
United
States
Department
of
Justices
decision
have
presented
the
legal
background
to
the
case.
The
following
economic
analysis
gave
answer
to
the
questions
stated
in
the
introduction:
The
merged
entity
will
not
be
able
or
more
precisely
it
will
not
be
willing
to
foreclose
any
of
the
markets
it
is
active
in.
This
would
only
harm
its
own
operations
and
profits
and
it
will
have
great
influences
on
customer
satisfaction.
The
efficiency
gains
analysed
afterwards
show
that
Google
will
create
even
more
competition
subseding
the
transaction,
rather
than
destroy
it.
Furthermore,
the
acquired
patents
will
stabilise
Googles
position
as
a
competitor
to
Apple
Inc.
and
other
companies
with
great
market
shares.
In
conclusion,
I
can
only
agree
with
the
European
Commission
and
the
US
Department
of
Justice
in
saying
that
this
acquisition
of
Motorola
Mobility,
Inc.
by
Google,
Inc.
should
not
be
prohibited,
as
it
will
create
a
strong
market
player
that
is
not
dominant
and
will
therefore
increase
innovation
in
the
industry.
12
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L.,
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N.
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31).
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3,
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(2012).
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I.
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13
Lo, A. (2012, February 8). Letter to Standard Setting Organizations. Retrieved March 20, 2012 from Google, Inc.: http://www.google.de/press/motorola/pdf/sso-letter.pdf McCarthy, J., & Golvin, C. S. (2011, August 15). Analysis: Google's Acquisition of Motorola Mobility. Retrieved March 19, 2012 from Forbes: http://www.forbes.com/sites/forrester/2011/08/15/analysis-googles-acquisition-of- motorola-mobility/ Milford, P., & Decker, S. (2011, September 8). HTC Sues Apple Using Google Patents Bought Last Week as Battle Escalates . Retrieved March 30, 2012 from Bloomberg: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-09-07/htc-sues-apple-alleging-infringement-of- four-u-s-patents.html Motorola Mobility Holdings, Inc. (2010). ANNUAL REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934. Washington, D.C.: United States Securities and Exchange Comission. Motta, M. (2004). Competition Policy Theory and Practice. New York, NY: Cambridge University Press. Tessler, J. (2011, August 16). Feds Likely to Let Google Buy Motorola Mobility . Retrieved March 30, 2012 from Associated Press: http://abcnews.go.com/Technology/wireStory?id=14311422 U.S. Department of Justice. (2012). Statement of the Department of Justices Antitrust Division on Its Decision to Close Its Investigations of Google Inc.s Acquisition of Motorola Mobility Holdings Inc. and the Acquisitions of Certain Patents by Apple Inc., Microsoft Corp. and Research in Motion Ltd. Washington, DC: Author. Worstall, T. (2011, September 1). The real reason Google bought Motorola. Retrieved March 22, 2012 from The Register: http://www.theregister.co.uk/2011/09/01/google_buys_tax_breaks_along_with_mobility/ 14