Global Investing: Is It Time To Relocate Some of Your Portfolio?
Global Investing: Is It Time To Relocate Some of Your Portfolio?
Global Investing: Is It Time To Relocate Some of Your Portfolio?
AGENDA
Outside Canada
38%
Canada
62%
Source: IFIC mutual fund assets, as of June 30, 2011. Includes Equity, Balanced and Fixed Income Mutual Fund Assets.
Canada
World
Oct00
Jul01
Apr02
Jan03
Oct03
Jul04
Apr05
Jan06
Oct06
Jul07
Apr08
Jan09
Oct09
Jul10
Apr11
Source: Morningstar, Canada as represented by the S&P/TSX Total Return Index, World as represented by MSCI World Index in Canadian Dollars. January 3rd, 200 to December 1, 2011. The chart above is for illustrative purposes only.
Utilities Telecom. Services Information Technology Health Care Consumer Staples Consumer Discretionary Industrials Financials Materials Energy
-20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
14000 1
Canadian Dollar
0.8
12000
10000
0.6
8000
S&P/TSX
0.4
6000
Source: Yahoo Finance. Bank of Canada December 31, 2001 to December 23, 2011
YTD: +1%
Health Care
Consumer Staples Consumer Discretionary Industrials
Financials
Materials Energy -60% -40% -20% 0%
20% 40%
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
Sector Weight
Source: Morningstar, as of November 23rd, 2011.
Sector Performance
1.0
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.0 Jan- Feb- Mar- Apr- May- Jun- Jul- Sep- Oct- Nov- Dec- Jan- Feb- Mar- May- Jun- Jul- Aug- Sep- Oct- Nov10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11
Source: Bank of Canada as of January 4th, 2010 to December 1st, 2011.
CANADA OUTPERFORMS
10% 5% 0% -5% -10% -15%
WORLD OUTPERFORMS
-20% 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010
Difference between S&P/TSX Total Return Index and MSCI World Index ($Cdn) rolling 5 year periods, as of November 30, 2011 Source: Morningstar, S&P/TSX Total Return Index and MSCI World Index ($Cdn). The S&P / TSX Total Return Index and MSCI World Index is unmanaged and unavailable for direct investment. Assumes reinvestment of capital gains and dividends and no taxes. Index past performance is not indicative of future results. For illustrative purposes only.
Source: As of 2008, CIA Factbook for GDP data. Economic size based on GDP Growth Rate. Natural Earth website for shapefiles of the world.
$1,200,000
$1,000,000 $800,000 $600,000 $400,000 $200,000 $0 6 Largest Companies
Source: Morningstar, Financial Times Global 500. Canadas market cap as of Nov 30, 2011. Companies market caps are as of Oct 31, 2011.
Canada
Source: Paltrack, Dynamic Funds. All Indices are represented in Canadian dollars Mexico BMV IPC. U.S. S&P 500 Total Return. England FTSE 100 Total Return. Canada S&P/TSX Total Return. Germany FSE DAX Total Return. Brazil BOVESPA. France - Euronext Paris CAC 40 PR. Japan Nikkei 225 Average PR. Hong Kong Hang Seng Hong Kong Composite.
Canadian Equities
Outside U.S.
In the U.S.
AND GROWING
U.S. CORPORATE PROFITS
2,000
1,500
In billions
1,000
500
0 2007q1 2007q3 2008q1 2008q3 2009q1 2009q3 2010q1 2010q3 2011q1 2011q3
25
20
15
10
0 1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
25 20 15 10 5 0 U.S.
Source: Time Mag. Your Next Job: Made in India or China March 17, 2011
Sources: McKinsey & Co. report "Preparing for China's urban billion" March 2009
Computers
Lenovo HP Apple Dell
Wireless Phone
Iphone Blackberry Samsung Nokia
Entertainment
Samsung Panasonic LG Sony Sharp Bose Yamaha Toshiba
Automobile
GM Chrysler Ford BMW
Acer
Gateway eMachines
HTC
Motorola
Mercedes
Nissan Toyota
Honda
Mazda Hyundai/Kia Volkswagen Mitsubishi
Fiat
Volvo
IMPORTANT INFORMATION
Commissions, trailing commissions, management fees and expenses all may be associated with mutual fund investments. Please read the prospectus before investing. The indicated rates of return are the historical annual compounded total returns including changes in units value and reinvestment of all distributions and do not take into account sales, redemption, distribution or optional charges or income taxes payable by any securityholder that would have reduced returns. Mutual funds are not guaranteed, their values change frequently and past performance may not be repeated Views expressed regarding a particular company, security, industry or market sector should not be considered an indication of trading intent of any funds managed by Goodman & Company, Investment Counsel Ltd. These views are not to be considered as investment advice nor should they be considered a recommendation to buy or sell. This document is not to be distributed or reproduced without the consent of Goodman & Company, Investment Counsel. Dynamic Funds is a division of Goodman & Company, Investment Counsel Ltd.