Submitted by Birabrata Chakraborty

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Submitted By

Birabrata Chakraborty
C] What is Recession?

Recession is the economy shrinking for two


consecutive quarters (=6 months) with a
decrease in the GDP (=Gross Domestic Product)

GDP = Value of all the reported goods and services


produced by the people operating in the country

GDP = MONEY VALUE OF {C + I + G + (X – M)}

C = Consumables, I = Gross Investments, G = Government Spending,


X = Exports, M = Imports
Cause of Recession ?
America in recent trends, experienced a rising economy
leading to people thinking about good times, which lead
to
People Buying More Things like Homes, Cars, etc due to “Feel Good” factor

This leads to Boom in Market Sectors Like Housing, Home Products, etc

Banks and Finicial Institutions Offer Attractive Loans to Attract Such Consumers and
Sub-Prima Consumers , i.e Lower to Middle class Consumers
Reported cause : Real Estate and Inflation due to it

People buy home on Loans Due to Rising Real Estate

Finicial Institutions and Banks complete,for consumers

This gives Rise to giving Loans to Defaulting Consumers

Banks take over homes of defaulters and try to sell them

But Banks have to sell homes at loss,due to low prices

Due to This,Banks go into loss,leading to a finicial crunch

Banks and Institutions create loans to save from


CONTINUED
Bankrupcy
IN NEXT SLIDE
Reported cause : Real Estate and Inflation due to it

Banks and Finicial Institutions started “Cost Reduction” activities

iii] Salary reduction to


i] Reduce Mortage rates ii] Lay off people
“Not laid off people”

People still unable to Low or No income to They became careful due


Pay EMI’s spend and buy goods to the fear of loss of job

This tightens Finicial Demand for other goods Started saving money
Crunch in Banks & Institutions come down instead of spending

To escape bankruptcy,Banks Demand for other goods


lays off people come down
So, you can see how the hit on Banks and Finicial
institutions can affect “Un-related” industries
in the end;

One industry can hit many other industries when the


confidence level of millions of consumers & producers
drastically comes down;
F] How to know recession?

Indicators to say a nation is in recession;

- People buying less stuff


- Decrease in factory production
- Growing unemployment
- Slump in personal income
- An unhealthy stock market

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