Decision Making

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DECISION MAKING

• This is an act of choice where a conclusion is


formed about what must and what must not
be done in a given situation.
Decision making process
Identify the problem
• A problem refers to a discrepancy between an
existing and a desired state of affairs.
• Thorough diagnostic efforts should be made
to determine the exact causes of the problem.
Decision making process cont...
Collect relevant information
• Gather relevant information for solving the
problem.
Develop alternatives
• This involves identifying and developing
possible solutions from the obtained
information.
Decision making process cont...
Evaluate alternatives
• Assess the strengths and weaknesses of each
alternative with the intention to select the
best.
Select and implement the best alternative
• Properly implement selected decisions to
ensure non-recurrence of the problem.
Types of decisions

Programmed/routine decisions
• These are regularly made decisions and have
predictable results.
• They depend on policies and procedures to guide the
user.
Types of decisions cont...

Semi-programmed/Adaptive decisions
• A combination of moderately unusual and
partially known problems and solutions.
• The implementer would gradually modify
partly routine decisions and practices to make
continuous improvements.
Types of decisions cont...

Non-programmed/non-routine decisions
• These are new, risky and non-recurring decisions based on
the discovery of unusual problems and the development of
creative solutions.
• They are often made in dynamic environment with
unpredictable results.
• These decisions are not logically made since the process
involves defining unusual problems using limited information
and changes that come in different times.
Conditions under which decisions can be made
Certainty condition (programmed decisions)
• This is when the manager is fully informed about the
problem, the alternative solution and the possible
outcomes of each solution.
Uncertainty condition (semi-programmed decisions)
• It is when managers have insufficient information
to assign probability to a decision outcome.
Risk condition (non-programmed decisions)
• When managers have no information to assign
probability to the outcome of a decision.
...
Group decision making

• Decision-making process performed by several


individuals.
Advantages of group decision making

• Groups provide a broader viewpoint.


• Employees are more likely to be satisfied and
to support the final decision.
• Groups promote discussions which help to
answer questions and reduce uncertainties
for decision makers.
• groups inspire star performers to higher
levels of productivity
Disadvantages of group decision making

• Time-consuming than individual decision


making
• Decisions reached could be a compromise
rather than the optimal solution.

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