OPEC's Oil Production Quotas

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OPEC’s oil production quotas

• Why does OPEC set oil production quotas?


– The OPEC Statute requires OPEC to pursue stability and harmony in the
petroleum market for the benefit of both oil producers and consumers.
– If demand grows, or some oil producers are producing less oil, OPEC can
increase its oil production in order to prevent a sudden rise in prices.

• OPEC said it will keep oil production quotas unchanged, banking on a


recovery in the world economy to maintain prices near today’s US$80 a
barrel.

• The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries agreed to maintain


total production quotas at 24.845 million barrels a day.

• The 11 members bound by quotas pumped 26.055 million barrels a day in


August 2009, according to estimates in a Bloomberg survey, which
indicates quota compliance of about 71%.
Cont…
• Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and Qatar pumped less than their target last month,
according to Bloomberg estimates.

• Iran, Angola and Venezuela were the biggest quota busters.

• Iraq is the only OPEC member which does not have production limits.

• OPEC members will make $559 billion in net sales from crude exports this
year.
OPEC oil production affect oil
price
OPEC and Global Oil Supply and
Demand
• Oil prices are driven by global changes in supply and demand along with a
number of other geopolitical factors.

• Worldwide oil production is controlled by OPEC, which aims to keep a


stable price-per-barrel for crude oil.

• OPEC’s goal over the past decade has been to keep the price of oil around
$30/barrel however major global events have made this task increasingly
difficult over time.

• The Oil and Energy Ministers of the OPEC Member Countries meet at least
twice a year to co-ordinate their oil production policies in light of the
market fundamentals, ie, the likely future balance between supply and
demand.
• As OPEC Countries produce about 46 % of the world's crude oil and about
60 % of the crude oil traded internationally, any decisions to increase or
reduce production may lower or raise the price of crude oil.

• Previously in July 2008, Oil prices was all-time high of $147.27 a barrel, but
fell to $32.40 in December same year as the world grappled with
recessionary pressures, which eroded global oil demand.

• Hence, the falling prices of crude oil not only affected investments in both
the upstream and downstream, but would delay future investments.

• OPEC’s Secretary-General, Mr.Abdalla El Badri said, if the present situation


did not change, future investments can get cancelled, a development
which would automatically affect oil supply to the market.
• This will automatically affect oil supply to the market. It will also have an
effect on gas supply.

• The current price rally of $ 80 a barrel, OPEC said it is in a comfortable


zone.

• Thus, production has risen again, mainly because of higher volumes from
Angola and Nigeria.

• The survey noted that increases from Angola and Nigeria totaling 150,000
b/d were offset by decreases from Ecuador, Iran , Iraq , Saudi Arabia, the
United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Venezuela totaling 110,000 b/d.

• The latest estimates leave the OPEC-11 overproducing their 24.845 million
b/d output target by about 1.49 million b/d.

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