Presentation 2
Presentation 2
• Credibility and
Reliability
• Decision Making
• Arbitration &
Regulation
• Performance
Monitoring
Modelling Methods
• Analogies
• Decline Curve Analysis
• Material Balance
• Streamline Simulation
• Finite Differences
• Integration Production Modelling
Reservoir Simulation
• What is it ?
– numerical model of reservoir made up
of a large number of cells. Equations
are solved to calculate pressures and
flows
• What can it do ?
– used to predict future performance to
decide on optimum development
strategies
Reservoir Simulation
• What data does it need
– structural information, rock properties,
fluid properties, well data, historical
production and operating constraints
• Underlying concepts
– Mass Balance
– Darcy’s Law
– Well inflow model
– Physical PVT model
Key Steps in a Simulation Study
Sources of Uncertainty
Data Quality
& Quantity
Geology
Mathematical
Scale Up
Sources of Uncertainty
• Results should carry a
‘‘band of uncertainty”
• Models are often asked
to provide forecasts
beyond the accuracy of
the field data
• Worsened by lack of
geologic & engineering
control
Typical Goals for New Fields
• Define reservoir’s internal & external boundaries
• Define reservoir pay, volume, & reserves
• Determine optimum number, location, & configuration
of wells
• Optimize timing and sizing of facilities
• Select optimum recovery process
• Estimate potential recovery performance
• Anticipate future produced fluid & operational
changes
• Determine critical gas and water coning rates
Typical Goals for Mature Fields
• Monitor fluid contact movement
• Evaluate productivity degradation
• Evaluate historical reservoir performance. Determine
why performance did not match predicted recovery
• Determine source of produced water and/or gas.
• Identify wells with workover potential
• Monitor reservoir sweep to locate by-passed oil.
• Specify infill drilling requirements
• Estimate benefits of secondary recovery or EOR
• Determine connectivity between multiple reservoirs
• Quantify lease-line migration
Geological Description
A geological description must identify the key
factors which affect flow through the reservoir
Fluid Characterization
Fluid characterization defines the physical properties of the
reservoir fluid mixture, and how they vary with changes in
pressure, temperature and volume.
• Black Oil
• Condensate
• Miscible
• Compositional
• Thermal
Model Validation
• History Matching must not be achieved at the
expense of parameter modifications that are
physically and/or geologically wrong
• Technical memorandum
• Formal report
• Presentation
• Store data files
• Share lessons learned with future project
teams
Update the reservoir model