Phase DPMO
Phase DPMO
Phase DPMO
M# 642
Statistical Process Control
Welcome to Control
Advanced Capability
Elements and Purpose
Defect Prevention
Methodology and Chart Types
Statistical Process Control (SPC)
Special Cause Tests
Six Sigma Control Plans
Examples
Lean Controls
M# 643
OSSS LSS Black Belt v10.3 - Control Phase 2 © Open Source Six Sigma, LLC
SPC Overview: Collecting Data
Population:
– An entire group of objects that have been made or will be
made containing a characteristic of interest
Sample:
– A sample is a subset of the population of interest
– The group of objects actually measured in a statistical
study
– Samples are used to estimate the true population
parameters
Population
Sample
Sample
Sample
M# 644
OSSS LSS Black Belt v10.3 - Control Phase 3 © Open Source Six Sigma, LLC
SPC Overview: Control Methods/Effectiveness
Type 2 Corrective Action = Flag: improvement made to the process which will detect
when the error condition has occurred. This flag will shut down the equipment so that
the defect will not move forward.
SPC on X’s or Y’s with fully trained operators and staff who respect the rules. Once a
chart signals a problem everyone understands the rules of SPC and agrees to shut
down for Special Cause identification. (Cpk > certain level).
SPC on X’s or Y’s with fully trained operators. The operators have been trained and
understand the rules of SPC, but management will not empower them to stop for
investigation.
M# 645
OSSS LSS Black Belt v10.3 - Control Phase 4 © Open Source Six Sigma, LLC
Elements of Control Charts
UCL=55.24
Special Cause 50
Variation Detected
40
Individual Value
30
_
X=29.06
Process
20
Center
Control Limits
10
LCL=2.87
0
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28
Observation
M# 646
OSSS LSS Black Belt v10.3 - Control Phase 5 © Open Source Six Sigma, LLC
Understanding the Power of SPC
Y=f(x)
To get results, should we focus our behavior on the Y or X?
Y X1 . . . XN
Dependent Independent
Output Input
Effect Cause
Symptom Problem
Monitor Control
M# 647
OSSS LSS Black Belt v10.3 - Control Phase 8 © Open Source Six Sigma, LLC
Purpose of Statistical Process Control
Special Cause
Variation Run Chart of
Process is “Out data points
of Control”
Upper Control
Limit
+/- 3 Standard
Deviations
Common Cause
Variation
Process is “In
Control”
Lower Control
Limit
Average
Special Cause
Variation
Process is “Out
of Control” Process Sequence/Time Scale
M# 649
OSSS LSS Black Belt v10.3 - Control Phase 10 © Open Source Six Sigma, LLC
Control and Out of Control
Outlier
3
2
1
99.7%
95%
68%
-1
-2
-3
Outlier
M# 650
OSSS LSS Black Belt v10.3 - Control Phase 11 © Open Source Six Sigma, LLC
Size of Subgroups
Lot 1 Lot 5
Lot 3
Lot 2
Lot 4
Short-term studies
Long-term study
M# 651
OSSS LSS Black Belt v10.3 - Control Phase 12 © Open Source Six Sigma, LLC
The Impact of Variation
-UCL
-LCL
Choose Appropriate
Control Chart
type of
subgroup
attribute
size
data
DEFECTS DEFECTIVES
NP SPECIAL CASES
C Chart U Chart P Chart
Chart
Cumulative Exponentially
Sum Weighted Moving
Average M# 652
OSSS LSS Black Belt v10.3 - Control Phase 14 © Open Source Six Sigma, LLC
Understanding Variable Control Chart Selection
Type of Chart
When do you need it?
Most common
Production is higher volume; allows subgroup process Mean and Range
Average & Range
(Xbar-R) or Variability (Xbar-S) to be viewed and assessed together.
or StdDev
Outliers can cause issues with Range (R) charts so Standard Deviation
(Xbar and R or
charts (S) used instead if concerned.
Xbar and S)
Production is low volume or cycle time to build product is long or
Individual and homogeneous sample represents entire product (batch etc.); sampling
Moving Range and testing is costly so subgroups are not desired. Control limits are
wider than Xbar Charts. Used for SPC on most inputs.
Set-up is critical, cost of setup scrap is high and/or very low production
Pre-Control volumes. Used for outputs only and prior to establishing I-MR or Xbar-R
Control Charts.
222 _
_
X=221.13
219
LC L=216.50
216
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23
Sample
U C L=16.97
16
Sample Range
12
_
8 R=8.03
0 LC L=0
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23
Sample
M# 654
OSSS LSS Black Belt v10.3 - Control Phase 16 © Open Source Six Sigma, LLC
Xbar-R Chart Calculations
Calculate the parameters of the Xbar and R (Xbar-R) Control Charts with
the following:
R
k
x i i UCL x X A 2 R UCL R D 4 R
X i 1
R i
LCL x X A 2 R LCL R D3R
k k
Where:
Xi : Average of the subgroup averages, it becomes the Center Line of the Control Chart
Xi: Average of each subgroup
k: Number of subgroups
Ri : Range of each subgroup (Maximum observation – Minimum observation)
Rbar: The average range of the subgroups, the Center Line on the Range Chart
UCLX: Upper Control Limit on Average Chart
LCLX: Lower Control Limit on Average Chart
UCLR: Upper Control Limit on Range Chart
LCLR : Lower Control Limit Range Chart
A2, D3, D4: Constants that vary according to the subgroup sample size
M# 655
OSSS LSS Black Belt v10.3 - Control Phase 17 © Open Source Six Sigma, LLC
Xbar-S Chart Calculations
Calculate the parameters of the Xbar and S (Xbar-S) Control Charts with the
following:
x i s i UCL x X A3 S UCL S B4 S
X i 1
S i 1
k k LCL x X A3 S LCL S B3 S
Where:
Xi: Average of the subgroup averages, it becomes the Center Line of the Control Chart
Xi: Average of each subgroup
k: Number of subgroups
si : Standard Deviation of each subgroup
Sbar: The average S. D. of the subgroups, the Center Line on the S chart
UCLX: Upper Control Limit on Average Chart
LCLX: Lower Control Limit on Average Chart
UCLS: Upper Control Limit on S Chart
LCLS : Lower Control Limit S Chart
A3, B3, B4: Constants that vary according to the subgroup sample size
M# 655
OSSS LSS Black Belt v10.3 - Control Phase 18 © Open Source Six Sigma, LLC
SPC: I-MR Chart
An Individuals and Moving Range (I-MR) Chart combines Control Charts of the
values of each individual observation and a moving range between points.
You can use the I chart to track the process level and to detect the presence of
Special Causes when the sample size is 1.
Seeing both charts together allows you to track the process level and process
variation at the same time, providing greater sensitivity that can help detect the
presence of Special Causes.
I-MR Chart
U C L=226.12
225.0
Individual Value
222.5
_
220.0 X=219.89
217.5
215.0
LC L=213.67
1 13 25 37 49 61 73 85 97 109
O bse r v ation
8
U C L=7.649
6
Moving Range
4
__
M R=2.341
2
0 LC L=0
1 13 25 37 49 61 73 85 97 109
O bse r v ation
M# 656
OSSS LSS Black Belt v10.3 - Control Phase 19 © Open Source Six Sigma, LLC
I-MR Chart Calculations
R
k
x i i
UCL x X E 2 MR UCL M R D 4 MR
X i 1 MR i
k k LCL x X E 2 MR LCL M R D3 MR
Where:
Xbar: Average of the individuals, becomes the Center Line on the Individuals Chart
Xi: Individual data points
k: Number of individual data points
Ri : Moving range between individuals, generally calculated using the difference between
each successive pair of readings
MRbar: The average moving range, the Center Line on the Range Chart
UCLX: Upper Control Limit on Individuals Chart
LCLX: Lower Control Limit on Individuals Chart
UCLMR: Upper Control Limit on moving range
LCLMR : Lower Control Limit on moving range (does not apply for sample sizes below 7)
E2, D3, D4: Constants that vary according to the sample size used in obtaining the moving range
M# 656
OSSS LSS Black Belt v10.3 - Control Phase 20 © Open Source Six Sigma, LLC
SPC: Pre-Control Charts
Pre-Control Charts use zones relative to the specification limits not standard
deviations. This is the first and ONLY chart you will see specification limits
plotted for Statistical Process Control. This is the most basic type of chart and
unsophisticated use of process control.
Qualifying Process
• To qualify a process, five consecutive parts must fall within the green zone
– The process should be qualified after tool changes, adjustments, new
operators, material changes, etc
M# 657
OSSS LSS Black Belt v10.3 - Control Phase 22 © Open Source Six Sigma, LLC
SPC: Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) Chart
CUSUM charts display the sum of the differences between sample values and
the target. Use CUSUM charts for in-control processes to detect small shifts
away from the target. CUSUM charts are suitable for processes in which it
takes some time to produce a single item.
Calculate the parameters of the CUSUM control charts with MINITABTM or other
program since the calculations are even more complicated than the EWMA
charts.
Type of
Attribute Chart
No hierarchy When do you need it?
P Need to track the percentage of defective
units in a defined subgroup; sample size is
variable and usually > 50
nP When you want to track the number of defective
units per subgroup; sample size is usually
constant and usually > 50
C When you want to track the number of defects per
subgroup of units produced; sample size is
constant
M# 661
OSSS LSS Black Belt v10.3 - Control Phase 27 © Open Source Six Sigma, LLC
P Chart Calculations
np
Total number of defective items UCL np n i p 3 ni p(1 p)
Total number of subgroups
Where: LCL np n i p 3 n i p(1- p)
np: Average number defective items per subgroup
ni: Number inspected in each subgroup
LCLnp: Lower Control Limit on nP chart
UCLnp: Upper Control Limit on nP chart
M# 663
OSSS LSS Black Belt v10.3 - Control Phase 30 © Open Source Six Sigma, LLC
U Chart Calculations
M# 664
OSSS LSS Black Belt v10.3 - Control Phase 32 © Open Source Six Sigma, LLC
Frequency of Sampling
M# 665
OSSS LSS Black Belt v10.3 - Control Phase 33 © Open Source Six Sigma, LLC
Frequency of Sampling
Sampling too little will not allow for sufficient detection of shifts in the
process because of Special Causes.
I Chart of Sample_3
Output 7.5
UCL=7.385
Individual Value
6.5
7
_
6.5 6.0
X=6.1
6
5.5
5.5
5 5.0 Sample every half hour
LCL=4.815
1 7 13 19 25 31 37
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Observation
6.2
7
Individual Value
Individual Value
6.0
_ _
X=6.129 X=5.85
6 5.8
5.6
5 5.4
5.2
Sample 4x per shift
Sample every hour LCL=5.141
4 LCL=4.090
5.0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 2 3 4
Observation Observation
M# 665
OSSS LSS Black Belt v10.3 - Control Phase 34 © Open Source Six Sigma, LLC
Detection of Assignable Causes or Patterns
When using MINITABTM, you should be aware of the default settings for
the rules. You can alter your program defaults by selecting:
Tools > Options…
A
B
C
C
B
A
M# 668
OSSS LSS Black Belt v10.3 - Control Phase 37 © Open Source Six Sigma, LLC
Special Cause Tests
A
B
C
C
B 2
M# 668
OSSS LSS Black Belt v10.3 - Control Phase 38 © Open Source Six Sigma, LLC
Special Cause Tests
M# 669
OSSS LSS Black Belt v10.3 - Control Phase 39 © Open Source Six Sigma, LLC
Special Cause Tests
A
B
C
C 4
B
A
M# 669
OSSS LSS Black Belt v10.3 - Control Phase 40 © Open Source Six Sigma, LLC
Special Cause Tests
M# 670
OSSS LSS Black Belt v10.3 - Control Phase 41 © Open Source Six Sigma, LLC
Special Cause Tests
M# 670
OSSS LSS Black Belt v10.3 - Control Phase 42 © Open Source Six Sigma, LLC
Special Cause Tests
B
A
M# 671
OSSS LSS Black Belt v10.3 - Control Phase 43 © Open Source Six Sigma, LLC
Special Cause Tests
M# 671
OSSS LSS Black Belt v10.3 - Control Phase 44 © Open Source Six Sigma, LLC
Responding to Out of Control Indications
The power of SPC is not to find out what the Center Line and Control Limits are.
The power is to react to the Out of Control (OOC) indications with your Out of
Control Action Plans (OCAP) for the process involved. These actions are your
corrective actions to correct the output or input to achieve proper conditions.
Individual SPC chart for Response Time
40
1
UCL=39.76
VIOLATION:
Special Cause is indicated
30
Individual Value
20 _
X=18.38
10 OCAP
If response time is too high, get
0
LCL=-3.01
additional person on phone bank
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31
Observation
Step 3 and 5 of the methodology is the primary focus for this example.
– Select the appropriate Control Chart and Special Cause tests to
employ
– Calculate the Center Line and Control Limits
– Looking at the data set, we see 20 weeks of data.
– The sample size is constant at 250.
– The amount of defective in the sample is in column C3.
Paycheck2.mtw
M# 672
OSSS LSS Black Belt v10.3 - Control Phase 46 © Open Source Six Sigma, LLC
Attribute SPC Example (cont.)
type
ATTRIBUTE CONTINUOUS
of data
type of
subgroup
attribute
size
data
DEFECTS DEFECTIVES
Cumulative Exponentially
Sum Weighted
Moving Average M# 673
OSSS LSS Black Belt v10.3 - Control Phase 47 © Open Source Six Sigma, LLC
Attribute SPC Example (cont.)
We will confirm what rules for Special Causes are included in our
Control Chart analysis.
M# 673
OSSS LSS Black Belt v10.3 - Control Phase 48 © Open Source Six Sigma, LLC
Attribute SPC Example (cont.)
We will confirm what rules for Special Causes are included in our
Control Chart analysis. Select the top 3 and Click OK
M# 674
OSSS LSS Black Belt v10.3 - Control Phase 49 © Open Source Six Sigma, LLC
Attribute SPC Example (cont.)
UCL=0.2802
0.25
Proportion
_
0.20 P=0.2038
0.15
LCL=0.1274
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19
Sample
Now we must see if the next few weeks are showing Special
Cause from the results. The sample size remained at 250 and
the defective checks were 61, 64, 77.
M# 674
OSSS LSS Black Belt v10.3 - Control Phase 50 © Open Source Six Sigma, LLC
Attribute SPC Example (cont.)
We have calculated the Control Limits from the first 20 weeks. Now we
need to add in 3 new weeks of data and NOT have MINITABTM calculate
new Control Limits.
We are executing Steps 6-8
– Step 6: Plot process X or Y on the newly created Control Chart
– Step 7: Check for Out-Of-Control (OOC) conditions after each point
– Step 8: Interpret findings, investigate Special Cause variation, &
make improvements following the Out of Control Action Plan
(OCAP)
M# 675
OSSS LSS Black Belt v10.3 - Control Phase 51 © Open Source Six Sigma, LLC
Attribute SPC Example (cont.)
MINITABTM will automatically calculate new control limits when data is added or
removed unless we follow this technique:
_
0.20 P=0.2038
0.15
LCL=0.1274
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23
Sample
M# 675
OSSS LSS Black Belt v10.3 - Control Phase 52 © Open Source Six Sigma, LLC
Attribute SPC example (cont.)
Because of the Special Cause, the process must refer to the Out of Control
Action Plan (OCAP) that states what Root Causes need to be investigated and
what actions are taken to get the process back in Control.
P Chart of Empl_w_Errors
1
0.30
UCL=0.2802
0.25
Proportion
_
0.20 P=0.2038
0.15
LCL=0.1274
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23
Sample
After the corrective actions are taken, wait until the next sample is taken to see if
the process has changed to not show Special Cause affect.
– If still out of control, refer to the OCAP and take further action. DO NOT make
any more changes if the process shows back in control after the next reading.
• Even if the next reading seems higher or lower than the Center Line! If it’s
within the Control limits, don’t react and cause more variability.
If process changes are documented after this project was closed, the Control
Limits should be recalculated as in step 9 of the SPC methodology.
M# 676
OSSS LSS Black Belt v10.3 - Control Phase 53 © Open Source Six Sigma, LLC
Variable SPC Example
M# 676
OSSS LSS Black Belt v10.3 - Control Phase 54 © Open Source Six Sigma, LLC
Variable SPC Example (cont.)
type
ATTRIBUTE CONTINUOUS
of data
type of
subgroup
attribute
size
data
DEFECTS DEFECTIVES
Cumulative Exponentially
Sum Weighted
Moving Average
M# 677
OSSS LSS Black Belt v10.3 - Control Phase 55 © Open Source Six Sigma, LLC
Variable SPC Example (cont.)
We will confirm what rules for Special Causes are included in our
Control Chart analysis. M# 677
OSSS LSS Black Belt v10.3 - Control Phase 56 © Open Source Six Sigma, LLC
Variable SPC Example (cont.)
Click on the “Xbar and R Options…” button then the “Tests” tab
to clarify the rules for detecting Special Causes.
We will confirm what ……..Xbar-R Chart... Options > Tests
rules for Special Causes
are included in our
Control Chart analysis.
For this example check
the first and third test.
M# 678
OSSS LSS Black Belt v10.3 - Control Phase 57 © Open Source Six Sigma, LLC
Variable SPC Example (cont.)
Then the select the “Estimate” tab and check the radio button for
the Rbar method for estimating Standard Deviation.
……..Xbar-R Chart Options > Estimate
M# 678
OSSS LSS Black Belt v10.3 - Control Phase 58 © Open Source Six Sigma, LLC
Variable SPC Example (cont.)
No Special Causes were detected in the Xbar Chart with the 2 selected
tests. The average hole diameter (X) is 26.33. The UCL is 33.07 and
19.59 for the LCL.
Xbar-R Chart of Part1, ..., Part5
35
U C L=33.07
Sample M ean
30
_
_
X=26.33
25
20 LC L=19.59
1 6 11 16 21 26 31 36 41 46
Sample
1
24 U C L=24.72
Sample Range
18
_
12 R=11.69
0 LC L=0
1 6 11 16 21 26 31 36 41 46
Sample
Now we will use the Control Chart to monitor the next 2 hours and see if
we are still in control. M# 679
OSSS LSS Black Belt v10.3 - Control Phase 59 © Open Source Six Sigma, LLC
Variable SPC Example (cont.)
M# 679
OSSS LSS Black Belt v10.3 - Control Phase 60 © Open Source Six Sigma, LLC
Variable SPC Example (cont.)
MINITABTM will automatically calculate new control limits when data is added or
removed unless we follow this technique:
……..Xbar-R Chart Options > Parameters
M# 680
OSSS LSS Black Belt v10.3 - Control Phase 61 © Open Source Six Sigma, LLC
Variable SPC Example (cont.)
A new updated Xbar-R Chart is shown with still no Special Causes detected by
the 2 selected tests. The Mean, UCL and LCL are unchanged from the first
chart because of the completed parameters option.
The process does not refer to the OCAP or Out of Control Action Plan and NO
actions are required.
Xbar-R Chart of Part1, ..., Part5
If process
35
changes are U C L=33.07
documented
Sample M ean
30
after the _
_
X=26.33
25
project is
closed, the 20 LC L=19.59
Control Limits 1 6 11 16 21 26 31 36 41 46 51
Sample
should be
1
recalculated 24 U C L=24.72
as in Step 9 of
Sample Range
18
the SPC 12
_
R=11.69
methodology
6
0 LC L=0
1 6 11 16 21 26 31 36 41 46 51
Sample
M# 680
OSSS LSS Black Belt v10.3 - Control Phase 62 © Open Source Six Sigma, LLC
Recalculation of SPC Chart Limits
Remembering many of the tests are based on the 1st and 2nd Standard
Deviations from the Center Line, some Black Belts prefer to have these
additional lines displayed. This is possible by selecting the S limit tab
from the Options window. Here is an example of the I-MR Options
window: ….I-MR Options > S Limits
The extra lines can be helpful if users are using MINITABTM for the SPC.
M# 681
OSSS LSS Black Belt v10.3 - Control Phase 64 © Open Source Six Sigma, LLC
Summary
M# 682
OSSS LSS Black Belt v10.3 - Control Phase 65 © Open Source Six Sigma, LLC