Treasury Management
Treasury Management
Treasury Management
1
Week 3 Agenda
• Market Instruments – Capital Markets
• Market Instruments – Foreign Exchange
Markets
• Fixed Income Securities – Duration, Convexity
• Bond Portfolio Management
Arvind Sampath 2
Week 4 Agenda
• Overview of Derivatives
• Forward Rates
• Swaps
– Introduction
– Illustration
– Examples
– Benefits
Arvind Sampath 3
Week 4 Agenda
• Overview of Derivatives
• Forward Rates
• Swaps
– Introduction
– Illustration
– Examples
– Benefits
Arvind Sampath 4
Overview of Derivatives
• Concept: Any instrument which derives its value
from another cash instrument
• Eg INR Forwards, Paneer
• Derivatives are traded in the following asset classes
– Equities
– Fixed Income
– Commodities
– Currencies
• Has both benefits and risk
• Allows hedging, speculation
Arvind Sampath 5
Overview of Derivatives
Rapid growth and widespread use
• Global Context
– 20% CAGR from 1995 in the use of Interest Rate and Currency Derivatives
– 70% growth in the use of Credit Derivatives since inception 8 years ago
– Current Outstanding
• $400 Tn (Rs22000 lac cr) in Interest Rate and Currency Derivatives
• $ 65 Tn (Rs3575 lac cr) in Credit Derivatives
• $ 10 Tn (Rs550 lac cr) in Equity Derivative
– Daily Turnover
• $1.7 Tn in Interest Rate Derivatives
• $0.3 Tn in Currency Derivatives
– Credit derivatives - CDS, CBO, CLO viewed with caution due to the
financial sector crisis
Arvind Sampath 6
Overview of Derivatives
Domestic Context (Fixed Income)
• Products
– Plain Vanilla IRS introduced in 1999
– OTC Currency Options in 2005
– Currency Futures introduced in 2008
– Interest Rate futures reintroduced in 2009
– Currency Options on Exchange introduced in 2010
– Credit Default Swaps permitted in 2011
Arvind Sampath 7
Overview of Derivatives
Domestic Context (Fixed Income)
• Current Outstanding
• $1600Bn in Interest Rate Derivatives
• $ 57Bn in Currency Derivatives
– Daily Turnover
• $2Bn (Rs11,000cr) in Interest Rate Derivatives
• Key issues for banks
• Provisioning for doubtful cases
• Appropriateness of product
• Risk Management infrastructure
Arvind Sampath 8
Overview of Derivatives
• Can be traded on Exchange or OTC
• Exchange traded contracts are standardized
– Standard face value
• Eg Rs 2lacs for Equity F&O
– Fixed Maturity schedule
• Eg 3 Months trading cycle, Equity F&O
• Eg Last Thursday of the expiry month, Equity F&O
• Exchange traded contracts require an initial margin
– Eg Purchase price Rs5250, IM 10% hence account needs
atleast Rs525 to buy this contract
Arvind Sampath 9
Overview of Derivatives
• Exchange traded contracts are Marked to
Market daily
– Difference between settlement price and contract
price is adjusted daily
– Eg Purchase price 5250, Settlement Price 5240; then
Rs 10 is debited
• OTC contracts are custom made based on client
requirements, financing pattern
– Often sold as a package with the loan
– Current views are incorporated with the solution
Arvind Sampath 10
Overview of Derivatives
• Since OTC contracts are not margined daily they
consume credit limit on the client/ counterparty
– Maximum probable credit loss is modeled and
monitored
• Derivatives introduce leverage and are hence
risky
– Due to margin payment or notional principal
• Derivatives are a method to redistribute existing
risk
– To those better able to absorb a specific risk
Arvind Sampath 11
Overview of Derivatives
• Excellent tool for hedging
– Partial or fully hedging possible
– Allow an entity to freeze the risk on a position
– Remove uncertainty from floating rate assets/
liabilities
• Derivatives in isolation are just a view or
speculation
• Derivatives in conjunction with an asset are a
hedge
Arvind Sampath 12
Overview of Derivatives
• Critique
– Introduce leverage hence make markets unstable
– Effectiveness of hedge in stressed markets
– Large Counterparty Credit Risk introduced
– Off Balance Sheet item, hence not monitored
• Situation in India
– F&O and exchange traded derivatives operating
smoothly
– OTC derivatives have seen litigations
• RBI guidelines tightened
Arvind Sampath 13
Overview of Derivatives
• Review the turnover in F&O segment and
compare with the cash market
• Review RBI’s comprehensive guidelines (April 20,
2007) on derivatives
• http://www.rbi.org.in/scripts/NotificationUser.asp
x?Id=3432&Mode=0
• Special emphasis on
– User and Market Maker
– Benchmarks permitted
– Risk Management
– Suitability and Appropriateness
Arvind Sampath 14
Overview of Derivatives
• Equities
– Index Futures
– Index Options
– Stock Futures
– Stock Options
• Currency
– Currency Futures
– Currency Forwards
– Currency Options (OTC, Exchange)
Arvind Sampath 15
Overview of Derivatives
• Commodity
– Commodity Futures
• Oil, Gold, Agri
– Commodity Options (Exchange, OTC)
Arvind Sampath 16
Overview of Derivatives
The family of derivatives includes Interest Rate,
Credit and Equity derivatives.
Interest Rate Derivatives include the following:
Interest Rate
Derivatives
InterestRate
Interest Rate Interest Rate Forward Rate Interest Rate
Swaps
Swaps Futures Agreements Options
Arvind Sampath 17
Overview of Derivatives
• Fixed Income
– Interest Rate Futures
– Interest Rate Options
– Swaps
– FRA
Arvind Sampath 18
Overview of Derivatives
Fixed Income
• Interest Rate Futures
– Bond Future
• Notional Coupon
• Duration Hedging
• Physical Settlement/ Price Settlement
– T bill Future
• Hedge for regular buyers at auction
• Short term interest rate future
Arvind Sampath 19
Overview of Derivatives
Fixed Income
• Interest Rate Options
– Separately tradable Options on a Bond Eg 10 year
– Puts/ Calls based on price or yield
– Volatility Data needed
– Challenge – Same bond doesn’t trade for more
than a few months
Arvind Sampath 20
Overview of Derivatives
Fixed Income
• FRA
– Forward Rate Agreement
– Notional Principal
– Settles at a future date
– Based on a floating rate benchmark
– Excellent hedge for single period cash flows
– Eg Hedging a CP program
– Eg Hedging a known redemption
Arvind Sampath 21
Overview of Derivatives
Fixed Income
• Swaps
– Exchange of Cash Flows
– Notional Principal
– Net Cash Flow
– Conversion from Fixed to Floating rate possible
– Excellent tool for removing uncertainly from
floating rate assets/ liabilities
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Week 4 Agenda
• Overview of Derivatives
• Forward Rates
• Swaps
– Introduction
– Illustration
– Examples
– Benefits
23 Arvind Sampath
Who owns
• Skoda
• SEAT
• Audi
• Porsche
• Bugatti
• Lamborghini
• Bentley
Arvind Sampath 24
Spot Curve
Yield
10%
9%
8%
7% Yield
6%
5%
4%
3mth 6mth 12mth
Arvind Sampath 25
Spot Rates
• You have funds for 1 year
• You now have 3 options
– Invest money once for 12 months
– Put money for 6 months and rollover again
– Put money for 3 months and rollover thrice more
• Since market is in equilibrium all these should
have the same PV
Arvind Sampath 26
Forward Rates
• Rs100 becomes Rs 101.5 in 3 months
– Yield/ Spot rate is 6%
• Rs100 becomes Rs 103.5 in 6 months
– Yield/ Spot rate is 7%
• Rs100 becomes Rs 108 in 12 months
– Yield/ Spot rate is 8%
Arvind Sampath 27
Forward Rates
Proceeds
12m
6m
3m
T+0
98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109
Arvind Sampath 28
Forward Rates
Proceeds
12m
6m
F1, F2
3m
T+0
98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109
Arvind Sampath 29
Forward Rates
• Rs101.5 needs to become 103.5 in 3 months
– Forward rate is ?
• 103.5= 101.5 * (1+F1*/4)
• F1= 7.88%
• Rs103.5 needs to become 108 in 6 months
– Forward rate is ?
• 108= 103.5 * (1+F2*/2)
• F2= 8.69%
Arvind Sampath 30
Forward Curve
10%
9%
8%
7% Spot
Forward
6%
5%
4%
3mth 6mth 12mth
Arvind Sampath 31
Forward Rates
• For more precision use Actual/365
• Rs101.5 needs to become 103.5 in 3 months
– Forward rate is ?
• 103.5= 101.5 * (1+F1*91/365)
• F1= 7.90%
• Rs103.5 needs to become 108 in 6 months
– Forward rate is ?
• 108= 103.5 * (1+F2*182/365)
• F2= 8.72%
Arvind Sampath 32
Forward Rates
• Forward rates are our best guess for rates in
the future based on current curves
• We can use forward rates to compute the
discount factors in the future
• We can use the Discount Factors to get the PV
of our cash flows
Arvind Sampath 33
Forward Rates
Time Cash Flow Forward Rate Discount Factor
1 40 7.5% .964
2 40 7.8% .962
3 40 8.1% .961
4 1040 8.4% .959
Total
Arvind Sampath 34
Week 4 Agenda
• Overview of Derivatives
• Forward Rates
• Swaps
– Introduction
– Illustration
– Examples
– Benefits
Arvind Sampath 35
Introduction To Swaps
• A swap transaction, is a custom-tailored bilateral
agreement, in which two counter-parties agree to
exchange specified cash flows at periodic intervals over
a pre-determined life of the swap on a notional principal
– Custom
– 2 parties
– Exchange cash flows
– Notional principal
– Known dates
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Interest Rate Swap
Pays
Floating Interest Rate
Bank A Corporate
Receives
Fixed Interest Rate
Arvind Sampath 37
Interest Rate Swap
Bank A enters into a Interest Rate swap with a
corporate, on the following terms
• Nominal Principal Amt. : Rs. 25 cr.
• Corporate to pay : Rs. 9.00 % Fixed
• Corporate to receive : 3 Month NSE
MIBOR
• Tenor : 6 Months
Arvind Sampath 38
Interest Rate Swap
• Trade Date of the swap : 22 Jul 12
• Start Date of the swap : 23 Jul 12
• Tenor of the swap : 6 months
• Maturity of the swap : 23 Jan 13
• Interest Payment Dates : 23 Oct & 23 Jan
• First Fixing : 8.60%
Arvind Sampath 39
Interest Rate Swap
• Cash Flow On the 23 Oct 12
– 3 Month NSE MIBOR: 8.60 %
(This was the 3M NSE MIBOR on 22 Jul 12, Trade Date)
– Corporate to pay : Rs. 56.71lakhs
( Rs. 25 cr. X 9.00% X 92 days / 365 days)
– Bank to pay : Rs. 54.19lakhs
(Rs. 25 cr. X 8.60% X 92 days / 365 days)
Arvind Sampath 40
Interest Rate Swap
Net Result
Corporate to pay (23 Oct) : Rs. 2.52 lakhs
Bank to pay (23 Jan) : Rs. 1.57 lakhs
Arvind Sampath 42
Interest Rate Swap - As a hedge
Pays
Floating Interest Rate
Bank A Corporate
Receives
Fixed Interest Rate 3M NSE MIBOR +10
Arvind Sampath 43
Users of IRS
– Commercial banks
– Financial institutions
– Primary Dealers
– Corporates *
– Mutual Funds *
Arvind Sampath 44
Advantages Of Interest Rate Swaps
Arvind Sampath 45
Benchmarks
• The essential characteristics of a benchmark
are:
– It should be mutually acceptable
– It should be accessible
– It should be transparent
– It should be liquid and deep
– It should be available through the lifetime of the
swap
Arvind Sampath 46
Issues in pricing an OIS
• Pricing an OIS means determining the fixed rate of the swap
– System liquidity
• Other factors:
– Market positioning
20% risk weightage for banks and FIs; 100% for others
OEM: 3.00% Potential Credit Equivalent for 3-5 yr maturity portfolio
80% trades with banks
CAR 9%
48
IRS Cash Flows
Example of IRS to observe cash flows
• 3 year IRS
• Fixed Rate against 6M T-bill Rate
• Fixed Rate = 8.35%
• Rs25cr Notional Principal
• Settlement every 6 Months
• Start Date 23 Jul 12
• End Date 23 Jul 15
Arvind Sampath 49
Interest Rate Swap
Bank B Bank A
Arvind Sampath 50
IRS Cash Flows – the floating rate
Dates 6 M Tbill Rate
Arvind Sampath 51
IRS Cash Flows
Arvind Sampath 52
IRS Cash Flows
Arvind Sampath 53
Interest Rate Swap - Hedge
6M T Bill Rate
Bank B Bank A
Arvind Sampath 54
Overnight Indexed Swap
Start Date 23 Jul 12
End Date 01 Aug 12
Days 10
Notional Amount Rs. 25 cr.
Fixed Rate PayerBank A
Fixed Interest Rate 8.10%
Floating Rate Payer Bank B
Floating Interest Rate NSE MIBOR O/N
Compounding Applicable
Settlement On Maturity
Arvind Sampath 55
Overnight Indexed Swap
Bank B Bank A
Arvind Sampath 56
Overnight Indexed Swap – floating rate
Day Date NSE MIBOR
Mon 23-Jul-12 8.11%
Tue 24-Jul-12 8.08%
Wed 25-Jul-12 8.22%
Thu 26-Jul-12 8.25%
Fri 27-Jul-12 8.16%
Mon 30-Jul-12 8.10%
Tue 31-Jul-12 8.03%
Wed 01-Aug-12 8.30%
Thu 02-Aug-12
Arvind Sampath 57
Overnight Indexed Swap
Interest Principal
Mon 23-Jul-12 8.11% 55547.95 250055548
Tue 24-Jul-12 8.08% 55354.76 250110903
Wed 25-Jul-12 8.22% 56326.35 250167229
Thu 26-Jul-12 8.25% 56544.65 250223774
Fri 27-Jul-12 8.16% 167821.3 250391595
Mon 30-Jul-12 8.10% 55566.35 250447161
Tue 31-Jul-12 8.03% 55098.38 250502260
Wed 01-Aug-12 8.30% 56963.53 250559223
Thu 02-Aug-12
Arvind Sampath 58
OIS Cash Flows
• Fixed Cash Flows = 554794.5
• Floating Cash Flows = 559223.3
Arvind Sampath 59
Overnight Indexed Swap
NSE MIBOR
Pays Daily Compounded
NSE MIBOR
Bank B Bank A
Arvind Sampath 60
Long Term OIS
Arvind Sampath 61
Long Term OIS
• The difference between the daily
compounded NSE MIBOR rate and the fixed
rate on a notional principal is settled every 6
months
• The tenors actively quoted are for 2, 3 & 5
years against NSE MIBOR
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CCIL IRS trade reporting
https://www.ccilindia.com/IRSS_HOME.aspx
Arvind Sampath 63
Long Term OIS
Start Date 23 Jul 12
End Date 23 Jul 17
Notional Amount Rs. 25 cr.
Fixed Payer Bank B
Fixed Interest Rate 7.00%
Floating Payer Bank A
Floating Interest Rate NSE MIBOR
Compounding Applicable
Settlement Every 6 Months
Arvind Sampath 64
Long Term OIS
Bank A Bank B
Arvind Sampath 66
INR Interest Rate Swaps
67
INBMK (GOI) Swap
• In a GOI Swap, the floating rate is the 1 year GOI
yield on the reset date
• INBMK refers to the page on which the GOI yields
are quoted daily by Reuters, hence they have been
named INBMK swaps
• Also, by convention, the floating GOI tenor is taken
as 1 year GOI yield as it appears on FIMMDA site or
Reuters page 0#INBMK= prevailing 1 day prior
Arvind Sampath 68
INBMK (GOI) Swap
• The floating rate is reset annually before
settlement date, I.e. the 2 counterparties
know their cash flows that they would
exchange after 12 months
• On every settlement date, the floating rate is
set for the next settlement date at the Reuters
1year interpolated 0#INBMK= bid yield
prevailing 1 day prior
Arvind Sampath 69
INBMK (GOI) Swap
Start Date 23 Jul 12
End Date 23 Jul 22
Notional Amount Rs. 25 cr.
Fixed Payer Bank B
Fixed Interest Rate 7.95%
Floating Payer Bank A
Floating Interest Rate 1Y GOI Yield
First Floating Fixing 7.93%
Settlement Annual
Arvind Sampath 70
INBMK (GOI) Swap
Bank A Bank B
Bank A Bank B
Corporate A Bank B
LIBOR
Bank Corporate
Fixed Rate
LIBOR + 200
Arvind Sampath 77
Currency Swap/ MIFOR
LIBOR
Bank Corporate
Fixed Rate
Arvind Sampath 78
Swap Quote
A swap quote would look like : 6.60 - 6.65%.
This has to be interpreted as
• The bank will pay a fixed rate of 6.60% as
against the floating rate benchmark.
• The bank will receive a fixed rate of 6.65% as
against the floating rate benchmark.
Arvind Sampath 79
Settlement Conventions
• Settlement Conventions
– Following Business Day
– Previous Business Day
– Modified Following Business Day for Swaps
Arvind Sampath 80
Day Count Conventions
• Day Count Conventions
– Actual / 365 for swaps
Arvind Sampath 81
Settlement Conventions
• For OIS, INBMK, INCMT swaps based on Rupee
benchmarks reset lag is 1 day & settlement
conventions are MFBD, Mumbai
• For MIFOR swaps reset lag is 2 days &
settlement conventions are MFBD, Mumbai &
New York
Arvind Sampath 82
FRA
Arvind Sampath 83
FRA
• The FRA rate is the Forward - Forward rate for
the period
– T to T+m
– where the FRA is for m time periods starting at T
t T T+m
Start Date Settlement Date Maturity Date
Arvind Sampath 85
FRA
– Contract made at time - t
– for exchange of fixed rate interest rate for
floating rate at the rate prevailing on - T
– for a notional principal
– for specified future period - m
– The net amount to be settled on T is for the
period T + m, hence the same is discounted
back at the interest rate for the period T + m to
the settlement date T
Arvind Sampath 86
FRA
5%
Bank A Corporate
Receives
3 Month NSE MIBOR
Arvind Sampath 87
FRA
Bank A enters into a FRA with a corporate, on
the following terms
• Nominal Principal Amt. : Rs. 25 cr.
• Corporate to pay : 5.00% Fixed
• Corporate to receive : 3 Month NSE MIBOR
Arvind Sampath 88
FRA
• Trade Date : 07 Aug 09
• Start Date : 10 Aug 09
• Fixing Date : 09 Nov 09
• Settlement Date : 10 Nov 09
• Maturity Date : 10 Feb 10
Arvind Sampath 89
FRA
• Cash Flow on 10 Nov 09 :
• 3 Months NSE MIBOR : 4.60%
– Corporate to pay : Rs. 31.51 lakhs
( Rs. 25 cr. X 5.00% X 92 days / 365 days)
– Bank to pay : Rs. 28.99 lakhs
( Rs. 25 cr. X 4.60% X 92 days / 365 days)
The net settlement amount of Rs. 252,055 is discounted back for 92 days
at 4.60% = 247068, paid by Bank to Corporate
Arvind Sampath 90
FRA
• An interest rate swap can be thought of as a
series of FRAs
• Each FRA fixes today the cost of financing for
the particular periods in the future
Arvind Sampath 91
FRA Quote
A FRA quote would look like
12X24 months: 5.15 - 5.25% p.a.
This has to be interpreted as
• The bank will borrow for 12 months starting 12 months
from now, maturing 24 months from now, at 5.15%
• The bank will lend for 12 months starting 12 months
from now, maturing 24 months from now, at of 5.25%
Arvind Sampath 92
Interpreting The Swap Curve
93
Swap Curve theory
Yield
Credit curve
Swap curve
G-Sec curve
Tenor
94
Asset Management - IRS
– Portfolio diversification
– Yield pick-up
– Duration Management
– Alteration of risk profile
Arvind Sampath 95
Trading - IRS
– Alternative asset class to cash securities
– Duration similar to that of par bond
– Execution of bearish rate view possible
– Hedging
– Capture mis-pricing
Arvind Sampath 96
Liability Management - IRS
– Segregation of interest rate risk
– Cost reduction
– Choice of benchmark
– Tenor management
Arvind Sampath 97