Good Afternoon & Welcome To The Presentation On India's Trade Reforms 1991-2014
Good Afternoon & Welcome To The Presentation On India's Trade Reforms 1991-2014
Good Afternoon & Welcome To The Presentation On India's Trade Reforms 1991-2014
&
Welcome
to the
Presentation on India’s Trade
Reforms 1991-2014
In this presentation We will take you through the
• The average growth rate in the ten year period from 1992-93 to 2001-02
was around 6.0 percent,
• Though this growth record is only slightly better than the annual average
of 5.7 percent in the 1980s, but it can be argued that the 1980s growth
was unsustainable, fuelled by a buildup of external debt which
culminated in the crisis of 1991. In sharp contrast,
• Growth in the 1990s was accompanied by remarkable external stability
despite the East Asian crisis.
• Poverty also declined significantly in the post-reform period, and at a
faster rate than in the 1980s according to some studies.
• However, the ten-year average growth performance hides the fact that
while the economy grew at an impressive 6.7 percent in the first five
years after the reforms,
• it slowed down to 5.4 percent in the next five years. But slowed down
after the East Asian crisis,
• The annual growth of 5.4 percent was much below the target of 7.5
percent which the government had set for the period.
India’s economic performance in the post-reforms period has many
positive features:
This Led to questions about the effectiveness of the reforms.
World economic growth was slower in the second half of the
1990s and that would have had some dampening effect, but
India’s dependence on the world economy is not large enough for
this to account for the slowdown.
– Import licensing was abolished relatively early for capital goods and intermediates,
became freely importable in 1993, with flexible exchange rate regime.
To reduce import duties
– Removing quantitative restrictions on imports of capital goods and intermediates
was relatively easy, because the number of domestic producers was small.
– In the case of final consumer goods it was difficult because the number of domestic
producers affected was very large on account of the consumer goods industry being
reserved for small scale production.
• Procedures for permission were simplified by listing industries that are eligible
for automatic approval up to specified levels of foreign equity (100 percent, 74
percent and 51 percent).
• Potential foreign investors investing within these limits only need to register
with the Reserve Bank of India.
– Software Development
– IT enabled services like
• Medical transcription,
• Backup accounting, and
• Customer related services
• Export earnings in this area have grown from $100 million in 1990-91 to over $6
billion in 2000-01,
• Electric power,
• Road and rail connectivity,
• Telecommunications,
• Air transport,
• Efficient ports.
• factor limiting the efficiency of banks is the legal framework, which makes it very
difficult for creditors to enforce their claims.
• Reforms in the stock market were accelerated by a stock market scam in 1992
that revealed serious weaknesses in the regulatory mechanism,
• Reforms implemented include establishment of a statutory regulator,
• Promulgation of rules and regulations governing various types of participants in
the capital market and also activities like insider trading and takeover bids,
• Introduction of electronic trading to improve transparency in establishing prices
This is to some extent reflected in the fact that foreign institutional investors have
invested a cumulative $21 billion in Indian stocks since 1993, when this avenue for
investment was opened.
Where Did India Stand Globally?
International Trade of Select Countries in 2003
Country Exports Imports GDP Trade as % of GDP
(US$ bn.) (US$ bn.) (US$ bn.)
Korea 197.6 175.5 605.0 61.7
China 438.3 393.6 1446.9 57.5
Mexico 165.4 171.0 626.1 53.7
Russia 135.9 75.4 433.5 48.7
South Africa 38.7 35.0 160.1 46.0
Argentina 29.4 13.1 129.7 32.8
Brazil 73.1 48.3 492.1 24.7
India 57.0 74.3 588.8 22.3
Source: Economist Intelligence Unit
India’s share in global merchandise exports: 0.8% (2003)
India’s Export Performance
India's Export Performance (1999-2000 to 2003-04)
70000
52856 63623
60000
44147 43976
50000 47742
36760
US$ million
40000
30000
29751
20000
10000
0
1999-2000 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04
All Commodities Years Agricultural & allied products
Ores & minerals Manufactured goods
Petroleum & crude products
India’s Import Performance
India's Import Performance (1999-2000 to 2003-04)
90000
80000
77237
70000 61572
60000 51588
49799 50056 56613
US$ million
50000
40000
30000 37172
20000
10000
0
1999-2000 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04
commodities
Identify potential export commodities
Textiles 1.20
Special Thanks to my colleagues in the group for their valuable inputs and
excellent advice in making this presentation:
• Jignesh Shah,
• Hanmant Pawar,
• Santosh kadam,
• Vinayak Surve
• Ritu Prabhakar
Thanks for your patience
We hope you enjoyed this as
much as we enjoyed
preparing this presentation