Spending and Output in The Short Run: Part 2: MB MC

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Spending and

Output in the
Short Run: Part 2

MB MC

Lecture 4
MB MC

Contents

 1. Short-Run Equilibrium Output


(Keynesian Cross)
 2. Income-Expenditure Multiplier
 3. Stabilizing Planned Spending
 4. Role of Fiscal Policy

MBA Lecture 4 Slide 2


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Short-run equilibrium

 Keynesian Assumption

Producers meet demand at preset


prices in the short-run
Short-run equilibrium: Y = PAE

MBA Lecture 4 Slide 3


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Short-run equilibrium

 Short-run Equilibrium Output


 The level of output at which output
(Y ) equals planned aggregate
expenditure (PAE)
Short-run equilibrium output is the
level of output that prevails during
the period in which prices are
predetermined

MBA Lecture 4 Slide 4


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Determination of Short-Run
Equilibrium Output (Keynesian Cross)
Y = PAE
Planned aggregate expenditure PAE

Expenditure line
PAE = 960 + 0.8Y

Slope = 0.8
Equilibrium
• PAE intersects the 45o line @ 4,800
Disequilibrium
960 • < 4,800, PAE > Y
• > 4,800, PAE < Y

45o
4,800
Output Y

MBA Lecture 4 Slide 5


MB MC
A Decline In Planned
Spending Leads To A Recession
Y = PAE
Expenditure line
Planned aggregate expenditure PAE
PAE = 960 + 0.8Y

Expenditure line
PAE = 950 + 0.8Y
E

A decline in autonomous
F aggregate expenditure (C)
shifts the expenditure line
960 down
950

Recessionary gap
45o
4,750 4,800
Y* Output Y

MBA Lecture 4 Slide 6


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Planned Aggregate Expenditure

 Observations
 Other factors remaining constant, a
decline in autonomous spending
causes short-run equilibrium output to
fall and creates a recessionary gap.
 A decrease in autonomous spending
can be caused by a reduction in C, IP, G,
and/or NX.

MBA Lecture 4 Slide 7


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Planned Aggregate Expenditure

 Observations
 Other factors remaining constant, an
increase in autonomous spending causes
short-run equilibrium output to rise and
creates an expansionary gap.
 An increase in autonomous spending can
be caused by an increase in C, IP, G,
and/or NX.

MBA Lecture 4 Slide 8


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Planned Aggregate Expenditure

 Income-Expenditure Multiplier
 The effect of a 1-unit increase in autonomous
expenditure on short-run equilibrium output,
or
 Change in the equilibrium level of output for
one unit change in autonomous expenditure
 For example, a multiplier of 5 means that a 10-
unit decrease in autonomous expenditure
reduces short-run equilibrium output by 50
units

MBA Lecture 4 Slide 9


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Income-Expenditure Multiplier

 The Multiplier
 Recall
PAE = 960 + 0.8Y, equilibrium Y = 4,800
C fell by 10

PAE = 950 + 0.8Y, equilibrium Y = 4,750#

The Multiplier: 1/ (1 - MPC)

MBA Lecture 4 Slide 10


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Income-Expenditure Multiplier

 The Multiplier Effect


 The decrease in the equilibrium Y was
5 times the fall in C.
 The income-expenditure multiplier
equaled 5.
 The size of the multiplier is influenced
by the MPC.
 The Multiplier: 1/ (1 - MPC)

MBA Lecture 4 Slide 11


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Stabilizing Planned Spending

 In the Keynesian Model:


Recessionary and expansionary
gaps are caused by inadequate or
excessive spending, respectively.
Stabilization policies are used to
affect planned aggregate
expenditures to eliminate output
gaps.

MBA Lecture 4 Slide 12


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Stabilizing Planned Spending

 Stabilization Policies

Government policies that are used


to affect planned aggregate
expenditure, with the objective of
eliminating output gaps

MBA Lecture 4 Slide 13


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Stabilizing Planned Spending

 Expansionary Policies
 Government policy actions intended to
increase planned spending and output

 Contractionary Policies
 Government policy actions designed to
reduce planned spending and output

MBA Lecture 4 Slide 14


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Stabilizing Planned Spending

 Tools of Stabilization Policy

 Fiscal
policy
 Monetary policy

MBA Lecture 4 Slide 15


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Stabilizing Planned Spending:
The Role of Fiscal Policy

 Tools of fiscal policy


 Government spending
Direct effect on PAE

 Taxation
Indirect effect on PAE

 Transfer payments
Indirect effect on PAE

MBA Lecture 4 Slide 16


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Stabilizing Planned Spending:
The Role of Fiscal Policy
 Tools of fiscal policy

 Government spending
We saw that 10 units decrease in
autonomous spending resulted a 50
units decline in short-run equilibrium
output (multiplier effect).

MBA Lecture 4 Slide 17


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Stabilizing Planned Spending:
The Role of Fiscal Policy
 Tools of fiscal policy
 Government spending
Thus, to cover that 50 units fall in output
govt. can increase its expenditure by ten
units (e.g., military expenditure).
Govt. expenditure is a part of autonomous
expenditure.
Autonomous expenditure as well as output
then will return to its original level.

MBA Lecture 4 Slide 18


An Increase In Government
MB MC

Purchases Eliminates A Recessionary Gap


Y = PAE
Expenditure line
Planned aggregate expenditure PAE
PAE = 960 + 0.8Y
Expenditure line
PAE = 950 + 0.8Y

An increase in G shifts the


F expenditure line upward
960
950

Recessionary gap
45o
4,750 4,800
Output Y
Y*
MBA Lecture 4 Slide 19
MB MC
Stabilizing Planned Spending:
The Role of Fiscal Policy

 Taxes, Transfers, and Aggregate


Spending
 Taxes and transfers affect PAE indirectly
 Example
 Using a tax cut to close a recessionary
gap

MBA Lecture 4 Slide 20


MB MC
Stabilizing Planned Spending:
The Role of Fiscal Policy
 Example
 Assume
Recessionary gap = 50
MPC = 0.8, multiplier = 5
 Use a tax cut to eliminate the gap
The tax cut must increase PAE by 10
For every dollar reduction in taxes,
consumption will increase by 80
cents (MPC = 0.8)

MBA Lecture 4 Slide 21


MB MC
Stabilizing Planned Spending:
The Role of Fiscal Policy
 Example: Assume
Recessionary gap = 50
MPC = 0.8, multiplier = 5
 Use a tax cut to eliminate the gap
 Change in spending (10) = tax cut x MPC
(0.8)
 Tax cut = change in spending / MPC = 10/0.8
= 12.5
 A tax cut of 12.5 will raise PAE by 10 (12.5 x
0.8) = 10

MBA Lecture 4 Slide 22


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Stabilizing Planned Spending:
The Role of Fiscal Policy

 The same results could be obtained by


increasing transfer payments by 12.5
units.
 80% of 12.5 ( = 10) will be consumed.
 Consumption expenditure will increase
and, therefore, PAE will be increased by
10.

MBA Lecture 4 Slide 23

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