9a Capital Budgeting

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9.

A
CAPITAL
BUDGETING
Decision Criteria

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Decision-making Criteria in
Capital Budgeting

How do we decide
if a capital
investment
project should
be accepted or
rejected?
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Payback Period

 The number of years needed to


recover the initial cash outlay.
 How long will it take for the project
to generate enough cash to pay for
itself?

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Payback Period

 How long will it take for the project


to generate enough cash to pay for
itself?
(500) 150 150 150 150 150 150 150 150

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

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Payback Period
 How long will it take for the project
to generate enough cash to pay for
itself?
(500) 150 150 150 150 150 150 150 150

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Payback period = 3.33 years.


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 Is a 3.33 year payback period good?
 Is it acceptable?
 Firms that use this method will
compare the payback calculation to
some standard set by the firm.
 If our senior management had set a
cut-off of 5 years for projects like
ours, what would be our decision?
 Accept the project.

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Drawbacks of Payback Period:

 Firm cutoffs are subjective.


 Does not consider time value of money.
 Does not consider any required rate of
return.
 Does not consider all of the project’s
cash flows.

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Drawbacks of Payback Period:

 Does not consider all of the project’s


cash flows.
(500) 150 150 150 150 150 (300) 0 0

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Consider this cash flow stream!


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Drawbacks of Payback Period:

 Does not consider all of the project’s


cash flows.
(500) 150 150 150 150 150 (300) 0 0

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
This project is clearly unprofitable, but we
would accept it based on a 4-year payback
criterion!
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Discounted Payback

 Discounts the cash flows at the firm’s


required rate of return.
 Payback period is calculated using
these discounted net cash flows.
 Problems:
 Cutoffs are still subjective.
 Still does not examine all cash flows.

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Discounted Payback
(500) 250 250 250 250 250

0 1 2 3 4 5
Discounted
Year Cash Flow CF (14%)
0 -500 -500.00
1 250 219.30

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Discounted Payback
(500) 250 250 250 250 250

0 1 2 3 4 5
Discounted
Year Cash Flow CF (14%)
0 -500 -500.00
1 250 219.30 1 year
-280.70

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Discounted Payback
(500) 250 250 250 250 250

0 1 2 3 4 5
Discounted
Year Cash Flow CF (14%)
0 -500 -500.00
1 250 219.30 1 year
- 280.70
2 250 192.38

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Discounted Payback
(500) 250 250 250 250 250

0 1 2 3 4 5
Discounted
Year Cash Flow CF (14%)
0 -500 -500.00
1 250 219.30 1 year
-280.70
2 250 192.38 2 years
-88.32
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Discounted Payback
(500) 250 250 250 250 250

0 1 2 3 4 5
Discounted
Year Cash Flow CF (14%)
0 -500 -500.00
1 250 219.30 1 year
280.70
2 250 192.38 2 years
88.32
12/08/22 3 250 168.75 15
Discounted Payback
(500) 250 250 250 250 250

0 1 2 3 4 5
Discounted
Year Cash Flow CF (14%)
0 -500 -500.00
1 250 219.30 1 year
280.70
2 250 192.38 2 years
88.32
12/08/22 3 250 168.75 .52 years 16
Discounted Payback
(500) 250 250 250 250 250

0 1 2 3 4 5
Discounted
Year Cash Flow CF (14%)
The Discounted
0 -500 -500.00
Payback
1 250 219.30 1 year
280.70
is 2.52 years
2 250 192.38 2 years
88.32
12/08/22 3 250 168.75 .52 years 17
Other Methods

1) Net Present Value (NPV)


2) Profitability Index (PI)
3) Internal Rate of Return (IRR)

Each of these decision-making criteria:


 Examines all net cash flows,
 Considers the time value of money, and
 Considers the required rate of return.
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Net Present Value

 NPV = the total PV of the annual net


cash flows - the initial outlay.

NPV =
t=1
ACFt
(1 + k) t
- IO

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Net Present Value

 Decision Rule:

 If NPV is positive, ACCEPT.


 If NPV is negative, REJECT.
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NPV Example
 Suppose we are considering a capital investment that
costs $276,400 and provides annual net cash flows of
$83,000 for four years and $116,000 at the end of the
fifth year. The firm’s required rate of return is 15%.

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NPV Example
 Suppose we are considering a capital investment that
costs $276,400 and provides annual net cash flows of
$83,000 for four years and $116,000 at the end of the
fifth year. The firm’s required rate of return is 15%.

83,000 83,000 83,000 83,000 116,000


(276,400)

0 1 2 3 4 5
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Profitability Index


ACFt
NPV = t - IO
(1 + k)
t=1

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Profitability Index


ACFt
NPV = t - IO
(1 + k)
t=1


ACFt
PI = IO
(1 + k) t
t=1
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Profitability Index

 Decision Rule:

 If PI is greater than or equal


to 1, ACCEPT.
 If PI is less than 1, REJECT.
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Internal Rate of Return (IRR)

 IRR: the return on the firm’s


invested capital. IRR is simply
the rate of return that the firm
earns on its capital budgeting
projects.

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Internal Rate of Return (IRR)


ACFt
NPV = - IO
(1 + k) t
t=1

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Internal Rate of Return (IRR)


ACFt
NPV = - IO
(1 + k) t
t=1

n
ACFt
IRR:

t=1
(1 + IRR) t = IO

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Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
n
ACFt
IRR:

t=1
(1 + IRR) t = IO

 IRR is the rate of return that makes the PV


of the cash flows equal to the initial outlay.
 This looks very similar to our Yield to
Maturity formula for bonds. In fact, YTM is
the IRR of a bond.
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