The Basics of The Foreign Exchange Market
The Basics of The Foreign Exchange Market
The Basics of The Foreign Exchange Market
Exchange Market
Raghunandan Helwade
• Foreign Exchange (forex or FX) is the trading of one
currency for another.
• For example, one can swap the U.S. dollar for the
euro. Foreign exchange transactions can take place
on the foreign exchange market, also known as the
forex market.
• The forex market is the largest, most liquid market
in the world, with trillions of dollars changing
hands every day.
• There is no centralized location. Rather, the forex
market is an electronic network of banks, brokers,
institutions, and individual traders (mostly trading
through brokers or banks).
• Foreign exchange is essential to coordinate global
business. Foreign exchange management is
associated with currency transactions designed to
meet and receive overseas payments.
• Beyond these transactions, foreign exchange
management requires you to understand the
relevant factors that influence currency values.
From that point, you may execute the proper
strategy to manage risks and improve potential
earnings.
Defining The Foreign Exchange Market
• The Foreign Exchange Market can be defined in terms of
specific functions, or the institutional structure that:
• (1) Facilitates the conversion of one country’s currency into
another.
– Through the buying and selling of currencies.
– Allows global firms to move in and out of foreign currency as needed.
(2) Sets and quotes exchange rates.
– This is the ratio of one currency to another.
– These rates determine costs and returns to global businesses.
• (3) Offers contracts to manage foreign exchange exposure.
– These hedging contracts allow global firms to offset their foreign currency
exposures and manage foreign exchange risk.
– Thus, they can concentrate on their core business.
Quick Review of Market Characteristics
• World’s largest financial market.
– Estimated at $6.2 trillion dollars per day in trades.
• NYSE-Euronext currently running about $68 billion per day.
All Commercial Banks And Scheduled It deals in all type of current ant
Authorized Dealers Category – I banks registered Under RBI Act. capital account transaction
1
(ADs- I ) Urban Co-operative Banks (To some according to the norms and
prescribed extent). procedure laid down by RBI.
A) Meaning :
By ‘Foreign Exchange’ we mean broadly, a vast array of foreign currencies such as
Pound, Sterling, US Dollars, French Francs, Deutsch Marks, Yens etc. apart from
currency, near money assets denominated in foreign exchange are also included in
foreign exchange.
B) Definition :
1) Foreign Exchange Management Act 1999 :
“All deposits, credits, balances payable in any foreign currency and any drafts,
traveller’s cheques, letters of credit, bills of exchange expressed or drawn in Indian
currency but payable in any foreign currency”.
Foreign Exchange Market:
A) Meaning :
Foreign Exchange Market is a part of money market. It is a place where foreign money
is bought and sold. It is a market for national currency anywhere in the world. The
trading in Foreign Exchange Market is done 24 hours a day by telephone, telex and fax
machine, display monitor, satellite communication, SWIFT .
3) Current-Account Deficits:
The current account is the balance of trade between a country and its trading partners,
reflecting all payments between countries for goods, services, interest and dividends.
Foreign Exchange Market:
D) Factors Affecting/ Determinants Foreign Exchange Rates:
4) Public Debt:
Countries will engage in large-scale deficit financing to pay for public sector projects
and governmental funding. While such activity stimulates the domestic economy,
nations with large public deficits and debts are less attractive to foreign investors as a
large debt encourages inflation, and if inflation is high, the debt will be serviced and
ultimately paid off with cheaper real dollars in the future.
5) Terms of Trade:
A ratio comparing export prices to import prices, the terms of trade is related to current
accounts and the balance of payments. If the price of a country's exports rises by a
greater rate than that of its imports, its terms of trade have favorably improved.
If, for example, it is determined that the value of a single unit of local
currency is equal to US$3, the central bank will have to ensure that it
can supply the market with those dollars. In order to maintain the rate,
the central bank must keep a high level of foreign reserves. This is a
reserved amount of foreign currency held by the central bank that it can
use to release (or absorb) extra funds into (or out of) the market. This
ensures an appropriate money supply, appropriate fluctuations in the
market (inflation/deflation) and ultimately, the exchange rate. The central
bank can also adjust the official exchange rate when necessary.
B) Exchange Rate –Regime/System:
2) Floating/ Flexible Rate System:
During the Bretton Woods era, exchange rates were more or less fixed or pegged.
However, many leading economists argued that they should be allowed to float.
Types of Floating / Flexible Rate System:
Two types of floating system are;
a) Independent Floats :
Independent or free-floating rates refer to the system where exchange rates are
determined by conditions of demand and supply of foreign exchange in the market.
Rates are free to fluctuate according to the changes in demand and supply forces with
no restrictions of foreign exchange in the market. In a free float, the government does
not announce a parity rate; therefore, there is no intervention by the monetary authority
in the foreign exchange market.
b) Managed Floats :
In a free float, exchange rates may change drastically, making international
transactions very risky. Fluctuations in exchange rates can cause a lot of uncertainty
about the future spot rates for market participants. This will vitiate the investment
climate and international transactions.
Floating Rates
Unlike the fixed rate, a floating exchange rate is determined by the private market
through supply and demand. A floating rate is often termed "self-correcting," as any
differences in supply and demand will automatically be corrected in the market. Look
at this simplified model: if demand for a currency is low, its value will decrease, thus
making imported goods more expensive and stimulating demand for local goods and
services. This, in turn, will generate more jobs, causing an auto-correction in the
market. A floating exchange rate is constantly changing.
A) Types of Risks :
There are various types of risks involved in foreign exchange markets. They are
discussed below:
A) Types of Risks :
1) Exchange Rate Risk or Position Risk :
This type of risk refers to the risk of change in exchange rates affecting the overbought
or oversold position in foreign currency held by a bank. If the amount of currency
purchased by a bank is more than the amount of currency sold to the foreign exchange
dealer the bank is said to have “over purchase” or “long or plus position” on the other
hand, if the amount of currency purchased by the bank is less than the amount of
currency sold to the foreign dealer, the bank is said to have “Over sold” or “Short or
Minus Position”.
2) Operational Risk :
Human mistakes, faults in working procedures may create operational risk in case of
exchange transactions. Banks should take precautions about these risks and try to
take proper action in time.
3) Country Risk :
Country risk is also known as sovereign risk or transfer risk. This risk relates to the
ability and willingness of a country to service its external liabilities. It refers to the
possibility that the Government as well as other borrowers of a particular country may
be unable to fulfill their obligations under foreign exchange transactions due to reasons
which are beyond the usual credit risks.
A) Types of Risks :
4) Legal Risk :
This risk is created due to events happening in one country or events happening in the
country of origin in case of the currencies in which banks have exchange transactions.
This risk may be created in a country in which a bank as a counter party makes
exchange transactions.
5) Counter Party Risk or Credit Risk :
Counter party risk is related to risk of loss which may be created in case of outstanding
contracts where a counter party fails to fulfill obligations. Owing to lack of ability to
repay or due to unwillingness on the part of a borrower he is not able to repay the
loans, there will be a Credit Risk.
The Indian rupee has a market determined exchange rate. However, the RBI trades
actively in the USD/INR currency market to impact effective exchange rates. Thus, the
currency regime in place for the Indian rupee with respect to the US dollar is a de facto
controlled exchange rate. However, unlike China, successive administrations have not
followed a policy of pegging the INR to a specific foreign currency at exchange rate.
•Convertibility is the ease with which a country's currency can be converted into gold or
another currency through global exchanges.
•India's rupee is a partially convertible currency—rupees can be exchanged at market
rates in certain cases, but approval is required for larger amounts.
•Making the rupee a fully convertible currency would mean increased liquidity in
financial markets, improved employment and business opportunities, and easy access
to capital.
•Some of the disadvantages include higher volatility, an increased burden of foreign
debt, and an effect on the balance of trade and exports
.
Convertibility is the ease with which a country's currency can
be converted into gold or another currency through global
exchanges. It indicates the extent to which the regulations
allow inflow and outflow of capital to and from the country.
Currencies that aren't fully convertible, on the other hand, are
generally difficult to convert into other currencies.
Will help Indian corporate to use External commercial Imposing control would become difficult in a
borrowing route without RBI or Govt approval. globalized environment once CAC is introduced.
Outward Investments
Improved Financial System
Disadvantages
High Volatility
Lack of Fundamentals
Is India Ready?
India is expected to become a truly global economy in the near future, and it will need
fuller integration into the global economic system. Making the rupee fully convertible
is an expected step in that direction.