44-45. Demand and Supply Side Causes of Unemployment 2

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Y12

Macroeconomics
Demand-side and Supply-side causes of
unemployment
Review starter

Forgetting curve for


newly learned
information
Demand or Supply

We can sort the factors that cause unemployment and employment


into demand-side and supply-side

Demand-side = A lack of AD in the economy causes a lack of demand


for labour as firms reduce their output. (demand deficient)
Supply-side = Workers are less able to supply their work for various
reasons such as incompatible skills, immobility or social reasons.
Demand or Supply?

On the sheet, sort the


factors into supply or
demand factors affecting
employment
/unemployment
Demand Side Supply side
● High interest rates ● Geographical immobility
● Recession in the economy ● Inward migration
● Negative multiplier ● Lack of affordable childcare
● Financial crisis ● Frictional unemployment
● Any change in components of AD ● Changes in the retirement age
● Changing relations with key trading ● Cost of higher education
partners ● Structural unemployment
● Government policy on spending on ● Change in skills using technology
infrastructure etc ● Changes in costs of hiring workers -
● Inward FDI (e.g. national insurance
● Increased use of robots contributions)
● Government policies to encourage
enterprise in the economy.
Diagrams and unemployment
Price LR Price LR SR Price
level AS level AS AS2 level LRAS1 LRAS2

SRAS SR SRAS
PL1 AS1

PL2 PL2 PL1

PL1
AD1 PL2

AD2 AD AD
Y2 Y1 Y2 Y1 Y1 Y2
Real GDP Real GDP Real GDP
output output output

How would you choose which diagram to use?


Supply and demand scenarios
Work through the scenarios on the sheet explaining how they cause
unemployment, using a diagram to support.
Example: The government have increased interest rates
➔ This would affect the AD in the economy because, firms are Price LR
level AS
less likely to invest in expansion plans as the cost of borrowing
rises, in addition, repayments on any loans already held will SRAS
increase. PL
1

➔ The higher costs of production will means firms will try to


PL
2

reduce the number of workers they hire, causing


unemployment in the economy. AD1
➔ This is seen by the AD shifting left from AD1 to AD2, output
falling, and therefore unemployment rising, as shown by the AD2
negative output gap between the LRAS curve and the new SR Y Y
2 1

Real GDP
equilibrium point (Y2). output
Which is more important?

Are supply side factors or


demand side factors more
important?
Which is more important?

Classical economists Keynesian economists


Emphasise supply side Emphasise the importance
factors as the main cause of aggregate demand in
of unemployment. determining unemployment.
Demand side is mostly It’s all about the economic
short term. cycle.
Keynes and unemployment
1. Wages are sticky downwards; this means workers are not willing to accept a wage cut
2. If wages are cut then there is a fall in consumer spending this causes a fall in AD.
Therefore this makes the unemployment situation worse.
3. Efficiency Wages Theory. This states that if wages are cut workers become dispirited
and work less hard leading to lower output.
4. During recession confidence is low and firms are reluctant to spend money on employing
more workers even at a lower wage.
5. Keynes said in the long run wages may adjust, but in the long run we are all dead! In
other words, why wait several years hoping wages will adjust downwards to reduce
unemployment.
➔ This is why Keynes wanted gov. intervention... to stimulate!
Keynes and unemployment

➔ In the 1930s mass


unemployment continued
until WW2. However,
when governments did
begin to spend on
military expenditure,
unemployment fell.
How much should gov. intervene?

Answer this question:


To what extent would government
intervention reduce unemployment in the
UK economy?

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