Lecture 8
Lecture 8
Lecture 8
4. Voting rights
-Right to vote on matters such as selection
of Board of Directors.
Voting for the Board of Directors
Normally occurs at annual stockholders’
meeting.
Prior to the meeting, firms will mail proxy
statement to shareholders which contains
information regarding matters to be voted.
Shareholders may authorise management or
someone else to vote on their behalf – Vote by
Proxy
Proxy - signing over your voting rights to someone
else
Estimating Dividends: Special
Cases
Constant dividend
The firm will pay a constant dividend forever
This is like preferred stock
The price is computed using the perpetuity formula
Constant dividend growth
The firm will increase the dividend by a constant
percent every period
Supernormal growth
Dividend growth is not consistent initially,
but settles down to constant growth eventually
One-Period Model
An investor who purchased a stock and hold it for one
period expects to receive a cash dividend, D1 and sell
the stock for P1.
0 1
RM D1 + RM P1
D1 P1
P0 = +
(1 + ke) 1
(1 + ke)1
D1 Future Dividend
k e required rate of return
One-Period Model
Example:
Diversified common stock is expected to pay RM1 dividend
and sell for RM27.50 at the end of the period, what is the
value of this stock to an investor who requires 14% rate of
return?
RM 1.00 RM 27.50
P0
(1 0.14) (1 0.14)
1 1
P0 RM 0.88 RM 24.12
P0 RM 25.00
n (Few)-Period Model
D1 D2 D3 Dn Pn
P0 ...
(1 ke ) (1 ke ) (1 ke )
1 2 3
(1 ke ) n
(1 ke ) n
Example:
•Continue from previous example, Diversified Corp.
stock expects to pay dividends of RM1, RM1 and
RM1.50 in years 1, 2 and 3.
Assume the stock can be sold for RM33.10 at the end
•
of year 3.
What is the value of the stock today, for an investor
•
RM 1 RM 1 RM 1.50 RM 33.10
P0
(1 0.14) (1 0.14) (1 0.14) (1 0.14) 3
1 2 3
D1 D0 1 g
1
D2 D1 1 g D0 1 g
2
D0 D1
Just paid a dividend Going to pay a
Previous dividend dividend
Current dividend Next dividend
Last dividend Expected dividend
Will pay a dividend
Constant Growth Dividend
Valuation Model
Example:
You are trying to value the common stock of Lily
annually.
What is the value of the stock to an investor who
RM 1.34
P0
0.11 0.085
P0 RM 53.60
Lecture Exercises
1. Ranney Inc. will pay RM3.50 per share
dividend next year. The company pledges to
increase its dividend by 5% per year,
indefinitely. If you require a 13percent return
on your investment, how much will you pay
for the company’s stock today?
Answer
Lecture Exercise
2. Granic Berhad, just paid a dividend of RM8
per share on its stock. The dividends are
expected to grow at a constant rate of 7% per
year, indefinitely. If investors require a 13%
return on Granic Berhad stock, what is the
current price? What will the price be in 3 years?
In 15 years?
Answer
Nonconstant Growth Problem
Statement
Example
Suppose a firm is expected to increase
dividends by 20% in first year and by 15% in
second years. After that dividends will
increase at a rate of 5% per year indefinitely. If
the last dividend was $1 and the required
return is 20%, what is the price of the stock?
Nonconstant Growth – Example
Solution
Compute the dividends until growth levels off:
D1 = 1(1.2) = $1.20
D2 = 1.20(1.15) = $1.38
D3 = 1.38(1.05) = $1.449
Find the expected future price:
P2 = D3 / (ke – g) = 1.449 / (.2 - .05) = 9.66
Find the present value of the expected future
cash flows:
P0 = 1.20 / (1.2) + (1.38 + 9.66) / (1.2)2 = 8.67
Lecture Exercise
1. Massey Ltd. is growing quickly.
Dividends are expected to grow at a 25%
rate for the next 3 years, with the growth
rate falling off to a constant 7% thereafter.
If the required return is 13% and the
company just paid an RM13.40 dividend,
what is the current share price?
Answer
Lecture Exercise
2. Develop a current stock value for a firm that is
expected to have extraordinary growth of 25%
for four years, after which it will face more
competition and slip into a constant growth
rate of 5%. Its required return is 14% and next
year’s dividend is expected to be RM5.00.
Answer
Required rate of return
ke
(1) k e r f rm r f
rf
D1
(2)
ke g
rm P0
(rm rf )
Estimation Inputs (Cont…)
Example:
Let’s assume that risk free rate is 5%, the beta of
ke = 5 + 0.85(7)
ke = 11%
Recall, 11% is the value used for ke to determine
Cumulative feature
If a firm fails to pay its preferred dividend, it
cannot pay dividend to common stock until it
satisfy all preferred stock in arrears.
Features of Preferred Stock (Cont…)
Maturity
Some firms issue preferred stock that is
intended to be perpetual (having no specific
maturity date).
Voting rights
Preferred stockholders are not entitled to vote
for the company’s board of directors.
However, special voting procedures take effect
if the company omits its preferred dividends or
incurs losses for a period of time.
Valuation of Preferred Stock
Consider the case of preferred stock that pays
regular, fixed dividends, and has no maturity
date.
Po=RM3.80/0.07
Po=RM54.29
Lecture Exercise
1. What is the required rate of return to the
investor who is willing to purchase a Duke
Power preferred stock with a RM8.70
dividend, a par value of RM100, and a current
market price of RM87?
Answer:
Lecture Exercise
2. Macau Pets just issued some new preferred
sock. The issue will pay an annual dividend of
RM6. If the market requires a 7 percent return
on this investment, how much does a share of
preferred stock cost today?
Answer:
Lecture Exercise
Sam Yu Corporation’s preferred stock is
currently selling for RM32 per share. The
preferred dividend amounts to RM2.50 per
share. If you require a return of 9%, should
you invest in this stock?
Answer:
"I hear and I forget.
I see and I remember.
I do and I understand."
-- Confucius