Financial Planning and Forecasting

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Accounting and

finance
Choirunnisa Arifa

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Financial Planning and
Forecasting
 Forecasting sales
 Projecting the assets and internally generated
funds
 Projecting outside funds needed
 Deciding how to raise funds

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Strategic Planning
• Mission statement
• A condensed version of a firm’s strategic plan
• Corporate scope
• Defines a firm’s lines of business and geographic area of
operation
• Statement of corporate objectives
• Sets forth specific goals to guide management
• Corporate strategies
• Broad approaches developed for achieving a firm’s goals

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Strategic Planning
• Operating plan
• Provides management with detailed implementation guidance
based on the corporate strategy to help meet the corporate
objectives
• Financial Plan
• The document that includes assumptions, projected financial
statements, and projected ratios and ties the entire planning
process together

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The Sales Forecast
• The Financial Plan begins with a sales forecast, which starts
with a review of sales during the past 5 years

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The AFN Equation

• The primary capital sources:


• Spontaneously generated fund
Funds that arise out of normal business operation from its suppliers,
employees, and the government that reduce the firm’s need for external
financing
• Addition to retained earning
The proportion of net income that is reinvested in the firm and is
calculated as 1 minus the dividend payout ratio
• AFN: additional fun needed
The amount of external capital (interest-bearing debt, and preferred and
common stock) needed to acquire the needed assets

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The AFN Equation
• The AFN equation shows the relationship of external funds needed
by a firm to its projected increase in assets, the spontaneous
increase in liabilities, and its increase in retained earnings

• WHEN THE AFN IS ZERO, SUSTAINABLE GROWTH RATE SHOW THE


MAXIMUM ACHIEVABLE GROWTH RATE WITHOUT THE FIRM HAVING
TO RAISE EXTERNAL FUNDS

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The AFN Equation
• The capital Intensity Ratio (A0*/S0)
• The ratio of assets required per dollar of sales
• Excess capacity adjustment
• Changes made to the existing asset forecast because
the firm is not operating at full capacity

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The AFN Equation

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Forecasted financial statements

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Forecasted financial statements

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Forecasted financial statements

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Forecasted financial statements

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Using regression to improve
forecasts

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