Division of Jagajaga

Jagajaga
Australian House of Representatives Division
Jagajaga; Australian House of Representatives Division
	Division of Jagajaga in Victoria, as of the 2022 federal election
Created	1984
MP	Kate Thwaites
Party	Labor
Namesake	Three Wurundjeri elders
Electors	113,239 (2022)
Area	137 km2 (52.9 sq mi)
Demographic	Outer metropolitan

The Division of Jagajaga is an Australian Electoral Division in the state of Victoria. It is located in the north-eastern suburbs of Melbourne, and lies north of the Yarra River. It covers an area of approximately 137 square kilometres and comprises the suburbs of Bellfield, Briar Hill, Eaglemont, Eltham, Eltham North, Greensborough, Heidelberg, Heidelberg Heights, Heidelberg West, Ivanhoe, Ivanhoe East, Lower Plenty, Montmorency, North Warrandyte, Plenty, Rosanna, St Helena, Viewbank, Yallambie, Watsonia and Watsonia North; and parts of Bundoora, and Macleod.

The area is predominantly residential and light industrial, and includes the Australian Army's Simpson Barracks, the Heidelberg Repatriation Hospital, the Mercy Hospital for Women and the Austin Hospital.

Most of the City of Banyule and parts of the Shire of Nillumbik and City of Whittlesea local government areas are contained within the Division's boundaries. Four Legislative Assembly Districts are represented in the Division, namely Ivanhoe, Eltham, Bundoora, and Eildon. The Legislative Council Regions of North-Eastern Metropolitan and Northern Victoria are also represented.

Geography

Since 1984, federal electoral division boundaries in Australia have been determined at redistributions by a redistribution committee appointed by the Australian Electoral Commission. Redistributions occur for the boundaries of divisions in a particular state, and they occur every seven years, or sooner if a state's representation entitlement changes or when divisions of a state are malapportioned.^[1]

History

The Wurundjeri Aboriginal Australian men who supposedly made the Batman Treaty with John Batman. The division's namesake comes from three of these elders.

The Division was proclaimed at the redistribution of 14 September 1984, and was first contested at the 1984 election. The division replaced the western half of the abolished Division of Diamond Valley, with the eastern half becoming the Division of Menzies. It was named after three Wurundjeri Aboriginal Australian men who supposedly made the Batman Treaty with the party of early colonial settler and one of the founders of Melbourne, John Batman in 1835.

The Division has always been a marginal-to-safe Labor seat. It was first held by Peter Staples, who served as a minister under Bob Hawke and Paul Keating. Staples retired in 1996 and was replaced by Jenny Macklin, who has held the seat prior to her retirement in 2018. Macklin served as Deputy Leader of the Australian Labor Party under Simon Crean, Mark Latham and Kim Beazley, as well as a minister under Kevin Rudd and Julia Gillard. In 2018, Macklin announced her retirement from politics. Kate Thwaites replaced Macklin as Labor's candidate for the area and subsequently won the seat in the 2019 Australian federal election.

Members

Member	Party	Term	Notes
Peter Staples (1947–)	Labor	1 December 1984 – 29 January 1996	Previously held the Division of Diamond Valley. Served as minister under Hawke and Keating. Retired
Jenny Macklin (1953–)		2 March 1996 – 11 April 2019	Served as minister under Rudd and Gillard. Retired.^[2]
Kate Thwaites (1980–)		18 May 2019 – present	Incumbent

Election results

2022 Australian federal election: Jagajaga^[3]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Labor	Kate Thwaites	41,412	40.90	+0.00
	Liberal	Sahil Tomar	29,535	29.17	−10.04
	Greens	Liz Chase	16,855	16.65	+2.26
	Liberal Democrats	Maya Tesa	3,760	3.71	+3.71
	United Australia	Allison Zelinka	3,493	3.45	−0.04
	Independent	Zahra Mustaf	3,150	3.11	+3.11
	One Nation	John Booker	2,274	2.25	+2.25
	Federation	Brendan Palmarini	764	0.75	+0.75
Total formal votes			101,243	96.20	−0.74
Informal votes			4,003	3.80	+0.74
Turnout			105,246	93.00	−2.26
Two-party-preferred result
	Labor	Kate Thwaites	63,122	62.35	+6.46
	Liberal	Sahil Tomar	38,121	37.65	−6.46
	Labor hold		Swing	+6.46

Alluvial diagram for preference flows in the seat of Jagajaga in the 2022 federal election.

indicates at what stage the winning candidate had over 50% of the votes and was declared the winner.

Primary vote results in Jagajaga (Parties that did not get 5% of the vote are omitted)

Labor

Liberal

Greens

Australian Democrats

Two-candidate-preferred results in Jagajaga

Opinion polling for the next federal election in Jagajaga

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Primary vote					2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	L/NP	ALP	GRN	IND	OTH	L/NP	ALP
10 Jul 2024 - 27 Aug 2024	Accent Research/RedBridge Group	—	±3.5%	35%	40%	16%	—	9%	41%	59%
Feb 2024 - May 2024	RedBridge Group	—	±3.3%	33%	39%	18%	—	10%	39%	61%
21 May 2022	2022 Federal Election			29.2%	40.9%	16.7%	3.1%	10.1%	37.6%	62.4%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov	—	—	37%	40%	14%	—	9%	43%	57%
18 May 2019	2019 Federal Election			38.6%	42.0%	14.3%	—	5.1%	43.4%	56.6%

References

^ Muller, Damon (14 November 2017). "The process of federal redistributions: a quick guide". Parliament of Australia. Retrieved 19 April 2022.
^ "Hon Jenny Macklin MP". Senators and Members of the Parliament of Australia. Retrieved 3 November 2021.
^ Jagajaga, VIC, 2022 Tally Room, Australian Electoral Commission.

External links

Division of Jagajaga – Australian Electoral Commission

37°43′44″S 145°07′01″E / 37.729°S 145.117°E / -37.729; 145.117

[1] Muller, Damon (14 November 2017). "The process of federal redistributions: a quick guide". Parliament of Australia. Retrieved 19 April 2022.

[2] "Hon Jenny Macklin MP". Senators and Members of the Parliament of Australia. Retrieved 3 November 2021.

[3] Jagajaga, VIC, 2022 Tally Room, Australian Electoral Commission.

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