2010 Wyoming gubernatorial election

2010 Wyoming gubernatorial election
Turnout	69.78% Registered 3.82% ; 38.17% of Total Population 1.04%
	County results; Mead: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80%
Governor before election; Dave Freudenthal; Democratic	Elected Governor ; Matt Mead; Republican

The 2010 Wyoming gubernatorial election was held on Tuesday, November 2, 2010, to elect the governor of Wyoming. Party primaries were held on August 17.

While it was initially thought that term limits would prevent incumbent Democratic governor Dave Freudenthal from running for re-election, the constitutionality of the term limit law has been questioned, leaving the possibility that if Freudenthal had successfully challenged the law, he might have been able to run for a third term.^[1] On March 4, 2010, Freudenthal announced he would not run for a third term.^[2]

Republican Matt Mead flipped every county from Democratic to Republican as he won by getting around two-thirds of the votes polled.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Pete Gosar, teacher, commercial pilot, state employee and small business owner^[3]
Al Hamburg, retired painter and perennial candidate
Leslie Petersen, former Teton County Commissioner and Chair of the Wyoming Democratic Party^[4]
Rex Wilde, cabinet maker
Chris Zachary, former psychiatrist

Declined

Larry Clapp, attorney and former mayor of Casper
Dave Freudenthal, incumbent governor (Term Limited but there was speculation that he might challenge the law)
Paul Hickey, attorney
Mike Massie, State Senator^[5] (ran for Superintendent of Public Instruction)^[6]

Polling

Poll source	Dates administered	Leslie Petersen	Pete Gosar	Al Hamburg	Chris Zachary	Rex Wilde	Undecided
WTE/Aspen Media & Market Research^[7]	July 26–29, 2010	34%	9%	5%	1%	4%	39%
Casper Star Tribune^[8]	July 26–28, 2010	30%	22%	2%	1%	<1%	45%

Results

Results by county:

Peterson

Peterson—80-90%
Peterson—50-60%
Peterson—40-50%

Gosar

Gosar—<40%
Gosar—40-50%
Gosar—50-60%
Gosar—60-70%

Democratic primary results^[9]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Leslie Petersen	10,785	47.2
	Democratic	Pete Gosar	8,409	36.8
	Democratic	Chris Zachary	1,139	5.0
	Democratic	Al Hamburg	1,092	4.8
	Democratic	Rex Wilde	1,042	4.6
	Democratic	write-ins	384	1.7
Total votes			22,851	100

Republican primary

Candidates

Alan Kousoulos, 19-year WYDOT supervisor
Matt Mead, former U.S. attorney
Rita Meyer, Wyoming state auditor
Ron Micheli, former state representative and former director of the Wyoming Department of Agriculture
John Self, candidate for governor in 2002 and 2006
Colin M. Simpson, Speaker of the Wyoming House of Representatives
Tom Ubben

Polling

Poll source	Dates administered	Rita Meyer	Matt Mead	Colin Simpson	Ron Micheli	Alan Kousoulos	Undecided
WTE/Aspen Media & Market Research^[7]	July 26–29, 2010	23%	18%	10%	20%	1%	25%
Casper Star-Tribune^[10]	July 26–28, 2010	27%	24%	17%	12%	2%	18%

Results

Results by county:

Mead

Mead—50–60%
Mead—40–50%
Mead—<40%

Meyer

Meyer—<40%

Micheli

Micheli—<40%
Micheli—50–60%
Micheli—60–70%

Simpson

Simpson—<40%

Republican primary results^[9]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Matt Mead	30,308	28.7
	Republican	Rita Meyer	29,605	28.0
	Republican	Ron Micheli	27,630	26.1
	Republican	Colin Simpson	16,722	15.8
	Republican	Alan Kousoulos	566	0.5
	Republican	Tom Ubben	432	0.4
	Republican	John Self	295	0.3
	Republican	write-ins	202	0.2
Total votes			105,760	100

General election

Candidates

Matt Mead (R)
Leslie Peterson (D)
Mike Wheeler (L)
Taylor Haynes (Write-in)

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
Cook Political Report^[11]	Safe R (flip)	October 14, 2010
Rothenberg^[12]	Safe R (flip)	October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics^[13]	Safe R (flip)	November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[14]	Safe R (flip)	October 28, 2010
CQ Politics^[15]	Safe R (flip)	October 28, 2010

Polling

Poll source	Dates administered	Matt Mead (R)	Leslie Petersen (D)
Rasmussen Reports^[16]	September 30, 2010	61%	25%
Rasmussen Reports^[17]	August 18, 2010	58%	24%
Rasmussen Reports^[18]	June 22, 2010	49%	22%

Results

Wyoming gubernatorial election, 2010^[19]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Matt Mead	123,780	65.68%	+35.67%
	Democratic	Leslie Petersen	43,240	22.94%	−47.05%
	Independent	Taylor Haynes	13,796	7.32%
	Libertarian	Mike Wheeler	5,362	2.85%
	Write-in		2,285	1.21%
Majority			80,540	42.74%	+2.75%
Turnout			190,822
	Republican gain from Democratic		Swing

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Big Horn (Largest city: Lovell)
Campbell (Largest city: Gillette)
Converse (Largest city: Douglas)
Crook (Largest city: Sundance)
Fremont (Largest city: Riverton)
Goshen (Largest city: Torrington)
Hot Springs (Largest city: Thermopolis)
Johnson (Largest city: Buffalo)
Lincoln (Largest city: Kemmerer)
Natrona (Largest city: Casper)
Albany (Largest city: Laramie)
Niobrara (Largest city: Lusk)
Park (Largest city: Cody)
Platte (Largest city: Wheatland)
Sheridan (Largest city: Sheridan)
Sublette (Largest city: Pinedale)
Sweetwater (Largest city: Rock Springs)
Carbon (Largest city: Rawlins)
Uinta (Largest city: Evanston)
Teton (Largest city: Jackson)
Laramie (Largest city: Cheyenne)
Washakie (Largest city: Worland)
Weston (Largest city: Newcastle)

References

^ Chris Cillizza And Ben Pershing (February 16, 2009). "Will Wyoming's Governor Buck Term Limits?". The Washington Post.
^ "US News - Mar 04, 2010 - Wyoming Gov. Freudenthal won't seek third term". RealClearPolitics. March 4, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
^ "Gosar campaign site". gosar4gov.com. Archived from the original on July 27, 2010. Retrieved April 11, 2018.
^ "Leslie Petersen Biography". People for Petersen. Archived from the original on October 1, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
^ Erika Lovely (October 8, 2009). "Wyoming governor Dave Freudenthal to seek third term?". Politico. Retrieved October 15, 2009.
^ Pelzer, Jeremy. "Massie running for superintendent of public instruction, not governor". trib.com. Retrieved April 11, 2018.
^ ^a ^b WTE/Aspen Media & Market Research ^{[permanent dead link‍]}
^ Casper Star Tribune
^ ^a ^b "Wyoming Gubernatorial Primary Results". WY SOS. August 17, 2010. Retrieved August 22, 2010.
^ Casper Star-Tribune
^ "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
^ "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
^ "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
^ "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
^ "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
^ Rasmussen Reports
^ Rasmussen Reports
^ Rasmussen Reports
^ "Statewide Candidates Official Summary, Wyoming General Election - November 2, 2010" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State.

External links

Elections at Wyoming Secretary of State
Candidates for Wyoming State Offices at Project Vote Smart
Campaign contributions for 2010 Wyoming Governor from Follow the Money
Wyoming Governor 2010 from OurCampaigns.com
2010 Wyoming Gubernatorial General Election: Matt Mead (R) vs. Leslie Petersen (D) graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
Election 2010: Wisconsin Governor from Rasmussen Reports
2010 Wyoming Governor - Walker vs. Barrett from Real Clear Politics
2010 Wisconsin Governor's Race^{[permanent dead link‍]} from CQ Politics
Race Profile in The New York Times
Candidates: Wyoming Governor at Decision 2010 at Wyoming PBS

Official campaign sites (Archived)

[1] Chris Cillizza And Ben Pershing (February 16, 2009). "Will Wyoming's Governor Buck Term Limits?". The Washington Post.

[freudenthal-2] "US News - Mar 04, 2010 - Wyoming Gov. Freudenthal won't seek third term". RealClearPolitics. March 4, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.

[3] "Gosar campaign site". gosar4gov.com. Archived from the original on July 27, 2010. Retrieved April 11, 2018.

[4] "Leslie Petersen Biography". People for Petersen. Archived from the original on October 1, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.

[massie-5] Erika Lovely (October 8, 2009). "Wyoming governor Dave Freudenthal to seek third term?". Politico. Retrieved October 15, 2009.

[6] Pelzer, Jeremy. "Massie running for superintendent of public instruction, not governor". trib.com. Retrieved April 11, 2018.

[WTE/Aspen_Media_&_Market_Research-7] WTE/Aspen Media & Market Research ^{[permanent dead link‍]}

[8] Casper Star Tribune

[results-9] "Wyoming Gubernatorial Primary Results". WY SOS. August 17, 2010. Retrieved August 22, 2010.

[10] Casper Star-Tribune

[11] "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.

[12] "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 28, 2010.

[13] "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 28, 2010.

[14] "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 28, 2010.

[15] "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.

[16] Rasmussen Reports

[17] Rasmussen Reports

[18] Rasmussen Reports

[19] "Statewide Candidates Official Summary, Wyoming General Election - November 2, 2010" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State.

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