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Victory (political bloc)

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Victory
Победа – Victorie
LeaderIlan Shor
Executive Secretary of the National Political CouncilEvghenia Guțul
Executive Committee SecretaryMarina Tauber
Parliamentary leaderVasile Bolea
FounderIlan Shor
Founded21 April 2024 (2024-04-21)
IdeologyRussophilia
Moldovenism
Populism
Social conservatism
Eurasianism
Hard Euroscepticism
Political positionLeft-wing[1][2]
Bloc membersȘor Party (banned)
Revival
Chance
FASM
Victory
Colours  Red
  Yellow
Parliament[a]
9 / 101
District Presidents[a]
1 / 32
  1. ^ a b Since 5 deputies of the Șor Party were legally banned from joining other formations, they sit de jure as independents.

The Victory (Romanian: Victorie, Russian: Победа, romanized: Pobeda, styled as Pobeda – Victorie) is a pro-Russia and Moldovenist political bloc in Moldova, established by the fugitive oligarch Ilan Shor and his allied parties in Moscow, Russia, on 21 April 2024.[3]

History

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The Victory bloc was officially founded by Ilan Shor on 21 April 2024 in Moscow, Russia, at a meeting at the Carlton Hotel. In addition to Shor, the agreement to create the bloc was signed by the Governor of Gagauzia Evghenia Guțul, as well as the leaders of the Revival, Chance, FASM and Victorie parties. The meeting could not be held in Moldova because Shor is a fugitive who lived in Russia at the time. The Victorie party, which shares the same name as the bloc, was founded in January 2024. Ilan Shor became the chairman of the bloc, Evghenia Guțul was elected executive secretary of the national political council, and MP Marina Tauber was elected secretary of the executive committee. According to the organizers and participants, this event was held in Russia because the opposition is persecuted in Moldova and arrests and searches are used against its activists and leaders. The Russian press called the meeting "a congress of Moldovan politicians who support Chișinău's accession to the EAEU", and Ilan Shor described the meeting on his social networks as "the unification of the Moldovan opposition". The meeting ended with a performance by Russian pop singers Nikolay Baskov and Philipp Kirkorov.[4][5][6][7][8]

Evghenia Guțul stated that the Victory bloc will nominate its single candidate for the 2024 Moldovan presidential election. Guțul herself refused to run for president, stating that she is not of the right age, since one must be 40 years old to run.[9] The bloc's likely goal in the presidential election could also be to gain enough votes to negotiate a political majority with the Party of Socialists of the Republic of Moldova (PSRM) and oust the Party of Action and Solidarity (PAS) from power.[10]

On 9 May 2024, the bloc's leaders took part in a march in Chișinău on the anniversary of the victory over Nazi Germany. The PSRM, which organized the demonstration, forbade the bloc's leaders from joining their column.[11]

On 9 June 2024, the second congress of the Victory bloc leaders was held in Moscow. At this congress, the bloc's participation in the presidential election and the 2024 Moldovan European Union membership referendum was discussed. Ilan Shor said he is confident that the Victory bloc will be able to defeat Moldovan President Maia Sandu in the presidential election and will "use any necessary methods" to achieve this goal and free Moldova from the "pro-European bandits". Shor said that the only way to "revive Moldova" is for Moldova to join the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU). The leader of the parliamentary group of the Victory bloc, Vasile Bolea, said that the bloc would resist Moldova's turning away from Russia. Evghenia Guțul said that the Victory bloc held its congress in Russia because the Moldovan government was threatening Moldovan oppositionists, and said that Moldova would be drawn into the war in Ukraine if Moldovans voted to join the EU. A few days before the bloc's congress, its leaders took part in the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum, which took place from 5 to 8 June 2024, and discussed the political situation in Moldova with Russian politicians such as Sergey Lavrov, Nikolai Valuev, Yevgeny Primakov Jr., Rustam Minnikhanov, Alexander Beglov and propagandists like Margarita Simonyan.[12]

On 7 August 2024 the Central Electoral Commission of Moldova forbade the recognition and certification of the Victory bloc in the concurrent 20 October 2024 Moldovan presidential election and 2024 Moldovan European Union membership referendum.[13]

Platform

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The Victory bloc consists of pro-Russian, eurosceptic, and nationalist parties that oppose Moldova's alignment with the West.[14] The electoral bloc opposes European integration of Moldova, and runs on a "No to the EU" slogan.[15] Instead of the European Union, Victory is advocating Moldovian accession to the Eurasian Economic Union instead.[16] It also seeks to protect Moldova’s “national interests and sovereignty” against “external control” by the “collective West,” and to Moldova into a federation that would include Russian-speaking federal units in Gagauzia and Transnistria, which would be reintegrated into Moldova through Russian mediation.[17] The bloc is described as left-wing in its rhetoric and political orientation,[1][2] and populist.[18]

Reception

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The Minister of Infrastructure and Regional Development of Moldova, Andrei Spînu, responded to the creation of the bloc by calling the new association an organized criminal bloc on his Internet page, and its founders "traitors to the nation". Spînu said that the bloc was created near the Kremlin "so that it would be clear who they work for and who they serve".[4][7]

Igor Munteanu, the leader of the pro-European extra-parliamentary opposition Coalition for Unity and Welfare (CUB), said that the emergence of a new bloc in Moscow means that plans to destabilize Moldova are entering the implementation phase.[19]

Member parties

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Party Abbr. Ideology Leader Seats Member
Șor Party (banned) ȘOR Populism
Russophilia 		Ilan Shor
5 / 101
 Apr 2024–
Revival PR Social conservatism
Russophilia 		Natalia Parasca
4 / 101
 Apr 2024–
Chance PPȘ Liberalism
Russophilia 		Alexei Lungu New Apr 2024–
Alternative and Salvation Force of Moldova FASM Social democracy
Russophilia 		Alexandru Beschieru New Apr 2024–
Victory PPV Moldovenism
Russophilia 		Vadim Grozavu New Apr 2024–

See also

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References

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  1. ^ a b Douglas, Nadja (16 October 2024). "What is at Stake in Moldova's Presidential Election and EU Referendum". ZOiS Spotlight. 2024 (19). The so-called leftist and pro-Russian spectrum that opposes EU membership is dominated by a number of extra-parliamentary parties linked in one way or another to the Kremlin-backed oligarch-in-exile Ilan Shor. In April 2024, Shor together with other politicians founded the electoral block 'Pobeda' (Victory) in Moscow.
  2. ^ a b Suruceanu, Marina (22 April 2024). "Tauber îl denunță pe Galbur la Procuratură. Pretinde că a fost insultată". stiripesurse.ro (in Romanian). Precizăm că duminică, 21 aprilie, mai mulți politicieni declarați de stânga au creat blocul „Pobeda" în cadrul unei ceremonii festive la Moscova. [We specify that on Sunday, April 21, several declared left-wing politicians created the "Pobeda" bloc in a festive ceremony in Moscow.]
  3. ^ "Moldovan opposition announces new election bloc at Moscow event". Reuters. 22 April 2024. Retrieved 13 June 2024.
  4. ^ a b "Олигарх Илан Шор в Москве создал пророссийский блок "Победа" – DW – 21.04.2024". dw.com (in Russian). Retrieved 2024-06-13.
  5. ^ "Оппозиция Молдовы объединилась в блок "Победа"" (in Russian). 2024-04-22. Retrieved 2024-06-13.
  6. ^ "Пророссийские силы Молдовы создали политический блок "Победа"". Dron Media (in Russian). 2024-04-21. Retrieved 2024-06-13.
  7. ^ a b "Bloc politic, lansat de Șor, la Moscova. Vicepreședinte PAS: A fost creat lângă Kremlin să fie clar pentru cine lucrează". RFI (in Romanian). 2024-04-22. Retrieved 2024-06-13.
  8. ^ "VIDEO // Kremlinul a demarat "OPERAȚIUNEA Pobeda" în R. Moldova, cu oligarhul Ilan Șor în AVANPOSTURI. "O țară întreagă i-a văzut pe TRĂDĂTORII de țară la Moscova. S-a creat blocul criminal organizat Victoria/ Pobeda"". www.ziarulnational.md. Retrieved 2024-06-13.
  9. ^ "Политический блок "Победа" выдвинет своего кандидата в президенты: "У него будут большие шансы"" (in Russian). 2024-04-22. Retrieved 2024-06-13.
  10. ^ "Moldova's pro-Russian opposition forms new political bloc at Moscow meeting". www.intellinews.com. 2024-04-23. Retrieved 2024-06-13.
  11. ^ "VICTORY MARCH TOOK PLACE IN CHISINAU, ITS PARTICIPANTS MARCHED THROUGH STREETS IN TWO DIFFERENT COLUMNS". Infotag.md. 2024-05-09. Retrieved 2024-06-13.
  12. ^ "Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 9, 2024". Institute for the Study of War. Retrieved 2024-06-13.
  13. ^ ""Victory" Bloc not registered for presidential election and referendum".
  14. ^ Gold, Eryn; Damm, Eduardo (12 August 2024). "The Global Weekly Report" (PDF). Global Weekly. p. 6.
  15. ^ Tanas, Alexander (1 June 2024). "Moldovan opposition leader calls for better ties with Russia, China". SwissInfo.
  16. ^ "In Moldova, Two Key Votes Portend More Pro-Russian Political Agitation". Worldview Stratfor. Stratfor. 24 April 2024.
  17. ^ "Russia Determined to Take Over Moldova or Break It (Part One)". Eurasia Daily Monitor. 21 (64). 25 April 2024.
  18. ^ Khimiak, Anton (30 April 2024). ""Victory" threat: how the Kremlin is preparing for revenge in Moldova". Hybrid Warfare Analytical Group.
  19. ^ "Moldovan Fugitive Oligarch Launches New Anti-EU Bloc in Moscow". Balkan Insight. 22 April 2024. Retrieved 13 June 2024.
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