Trabajo Final de Recursos Hídricos

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UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL MAYOR DE

SAN MARCOS
(Universidad del Perú, Decana de América)

TRABAJO N°4

ANALISIS DE LA INFORMACION
HIDROLÓGICA, ANALÍTICA DE SALTOS
Y TENDENCIAS

CURSO :
INGENIERIA DE RECURSOS HIDRICOS

PROFESOR :
ING. DOUGLAS SARANGO JULCA

ALUMNO :

TACO DIAZ, MARCO ANTONIO 12130190

Ciudad Universitaria, 17 de Octubre del 2016


Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

TABLA DE CONTENIDO

INTRODUCCIÓN

I. OBJETIVOS

II. PROCEDIMIENTO

2.1) Datos hidrológicos.

2.2) Completado de datos hidrológicos.

2.3) Histogramas de precipitación vs tiempo.

2.4) Determinación de la estación índice por el análisis


Curva de Doble masa.

2.5) Análisis y corrección de saltos.

2.6) Análisis de las tendencias lineales en la Curva de


Doble Masa corregida.

2.7) Análisis de las tendencias de la media y desviación


estándar de las estaciones corregidas.

III. CONCLUSIONES y RECOMENDACIONES

Ingeniería de Recursos Hídricos


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Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

INTRODUCCIÓN
La información hidrológica está constituida por una larga secuencia de
datos de precipitación registrados en una estación hidrológica,
obtenidas para un determinado lugar. Cuanto más largo sea el registro,
más probable es la posibilidad de inconsistencia o carencia de
homogeneidad.
Para verificar esta inconsistencia, se usa el método de la curva de doble
masa, basado en el hecho de que un gráfico de una cantidad acumulada
planteada contra otra cantidad acumulada durante el mismo periodo,
debe ser una línea recta siempre que las cantidades sean
proporcionales, de modo que al haber un cambio de pendiente indicara
que hay un salto, lo cual indica que se debe hacer un análisis de salto
para la corrección de la data bajo una estación índice.

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Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

I. OBJETIVOS

 Reconocer los pasos para llevar acabo la corrección de datos


hidrológicos mediante el análisis de la información hidrológica,
análisis de saltos y tendencias.
 Visualización del análisis temporal del comportamiento de la
precipitación y curva de doble masa, para elegir los datos de
precipitación a corregir.

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Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

II. PROCEDIMIENTO
ANÁLISIS DE SALTOS

2.1.- Datos Hidrológicos:

Cuadro 2.1-1 Precipitación Total Mensual Histórica – Estación 1

AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SET OCT NOV DIC TOTAL
1965 147.2 86.5 37.6 0.0 3.2 13.0 35.9 20.6 52.2 64.7 593.8
1966 50.3 140.4 33.8 7.7 35.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 23.7 65.6 77.5 101.6 536.1
1967 40.1 76.2 66.0 7.7 20.8 0.0 26.5 24.0 32.0 48.2 54.9 151.7 548.1
1968 183.9 175.9 89.7 11.2 2.0 0.0 22.2 36.0 3.7 4.7 5.0 7.7 542.0
1969 146.3 72.0 76.1 51.6 3.8 134.4 47.9 0.4 12.5 83.7 114.8 770.2
1970 130.1 159.8 137.1 59.0 4.3 1.1 0.2 2.9 76.0 48.8 17.7 120.9 757.7
1971 105.3 31.7 35.4 4.6 6.0 0.0 7.4 9.8 59.1 37.3 96.3 523.1
1972 112.3 100.6 85.5 31.7 7.0 1.5 6.7 43.8 30.1 43.6 56.2 109.4 628.4
1973 75.0 109.6 90.5 67.6 13.1 0.5 4.7 12.4 52.6 38.5 42.2 66.3 573.0
1974 111.1 110.8 78.0 48.3 9.9 11.0 21.3 33.8 24.7 28.6 28.4 110.0 615.9
1975 88.5 126.0 103.2 56.2 22.2 18.6 0.0 26.3 23.6 79.5 31.4 97.2 672.7
1976 122.8 98.8 90.3 28.2 52.6 13.4 16.1 6.7 59.2 6.5 19.9 80.6 595.1
1977 106.4 86.1 37.3 23.6 4.9 0.0 33.5 30.6 99.7 60.8 592.9
1978 87.3 87.6 113.5 53.5 9.1 6.3 0.0 0.0 51.8 19.5 98.6 145.0 672.2
1979 174.8 71.5 89.5 77.2 11.2 0.0 0.0 14.5 24.8 53.1 52.6 123.3 692.5
1980 181.4 132.3 140.7 30.1 37.1 0.0 2.4 14.6 51.4 85.1 59.6 114.4 849.1
1981 261.1 161.7 254.8 35.6 14.1 5.7 0.0 36.4 65.1 102.3 109.8 170.2 1216.9
1982 266.4 160.9 129.8 3.9 7.7 0.0 21.0 56.3 77.8 116.1 117.0 1115.8
1983 114.9 156.1 68.6 95.3 23.7 37.0 0.0 0.0 20.7 31.2 27.3 107.4 682.2
1984 221.8 225.8 194.3 40.6 0.0 0.0 15.1 60.3 9.8 83.7 173.2 169.5 1194.2
1985 204.1 159.3 136.8 16.9 57.1 8.8 8.3 65.7 85.5 163.2 165.2 1071.0
1986 184.4 180.0 213.1 93.9 25.2 0.0 7.1 22.7 87.9 56.1 83.0 178.5 1132.0
1987 220.6 70.7 142.2 58.7 18.3 12.5 50.1 6.7 20.6 67.3 167.4 176.3 1011.5
1988 157.9 131.5 161.6 107.5 33.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.8 42.6 114.5 824.8
1989 147.4 82.7 190.4 36.7 44.0 0.0 58.1 40.7 67.8 67.2 133.1 870.4
1990 234.4 115.5 32.1 65.4 11.6 69.6 4.5 34.3 11.3 106.8 99.0 167.3 951.7
1991 139.7 93.9 109.8 84.3 36.4 44.0 0.0 0.0 37.2 49.6 71.5 73.5 739.9
1992 104.7 126.1 117.0 60.1 0.0 19.7 0.0 42.0 11.6 48.9 97.7 117.3 745.2
1993 177.8 117.2 140.4 86.0 37.1 2.1 12.0 44.5 10.8 58.5 99.5 141.5 927.5
1994 210.3 160.2 107.1 0.0 5.5 0.0 11.2 10.2 33.2 54.9 164.3 874.6
1995 112.7 118.4 179.9 72.8 12.9 0.0 7.3 0.0 11.8 20.2 56.8 109.9 702.7
1996 185.1 138.0 78.7 40.0 26.6 0.7 44.0 23.8 39.1 32.6 671.0
1997 202.6 140.0 143.2 53.1 12.7 0.0 2.0 20.2 25.3 32.8 68.0 154.4 854.3
1998 76.4 102.1 76.6 35.0 0.5 6.2 0.0 0.5 45.7 101.5 49.2 526.7
1999 136.9 103.9 103.6 46.7 12.6 1.4 2.9 1.5 40.7 41.7 54.7 67.5 614.1
2000 93.2 97.8 95.4 7.1 18.1 4.1 12.7 20.4 75.0 26.1 112.5 610.7
2001 132.9 46.2 86.4 49.9 62.6 0.5 13.2 13.6 11.9 50.2 63.7 59.8 590.9
2002 125.7 107.9 42.3 10.1 0.5 27.2 19.7 39.5 48.8 115.3 74.4 770.3
2003 184.8 71.4 114.0 52.3 2.9 9.4 0.0 19.4 13.1 79.3 43.1 85.4 675.1
2004 236.3 126.8 79.4 39.8 11.7 21.4 6.0 11.4 31.2 45.8 60.2 83.8 753.8
2005 79.6 152.9 56.0 17.7 1.1 0.2 0.0 14.0 7.9 51.9 63.0 148.1 592.4

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Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

2006 165.0 83.1 61.3 62.6 2.8 5.4 0.0 20.8 29.2 71.3 98.1 661.6
2007 113.6 79.2 96.9 33.6 16.3 0.0 9.8 0.0 14.7 39.7 61.0 89.6 554.4
2008 168.2 62.7 60.3 40.6 24.7 2.8 1.8 7.7 7.1 48.3 56.0 133.7 613.9
2009 79.9 63.7 52.6 17.6 0.0 0.0 16.6 26.8 125.3 98.5 647.4

Cuadro 2.1-2 Precipitación Total Mensual Histórica – Estación 2

AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SET OCT NOV DIC TOTAL
1965 194.5 93.5 161.0 39.5 0.0 99.3 163.3 827.26
1966 66.7 151.1 66.4 32.2 41.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 26.0 43.4 95.5 48.2 571.4
1967 41.2 85.1 153.8 10.0 26.0 0.0 23.0 30.0 94.7 87.4 25.2 178.3 754.7
1968 79.6 126.2 72.0 48.1 0.7 0.4 45.4 1.1 56.4 49.0 138.9 40.6 658.4
1969 214.6 86.5 55.6 11.1 1.0 1.2 15.5 0.0 31.3 33.9 88.6 53.9 593.2
1970 191.3 99.8 92.6 86.9 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 61.4 40.3 20.7 184.4 777.9
1971 190.8 184.4 49.5 19.0 2.0 0.7 0.0 5.6 3.8 42.1 48.1 40.6 586.6
1972 155.6 119.0 77.7 46.6 6.0 0.0 1.0 13.8 28.6 43.9 105.1 77.8 675.1
1973 142.6 104.4 149.0 46.7 0.9 0.4 0.0 1.9 40.8 36.6 95.5 18.6 637.32
1974 137.1 144.8 93.6 47.5 0.6 4.8 1.4 16.8 33.4 68.3 51.0 104.7 704
1975 115.6 110.3 77.5 18.8 25.5 13.5 0.0 0.5 21.4 42.8 51.8 135.6 613.3
1976 151.7 97.3 86.8 22.3 14.0 8.0 1.5 19.1 76.3 3.7 26.2 66.7 573.6
1977 69.9 178.2 111.8 15.4 10.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 42.8 34.5 97.1 85.6 645.4
1978 117.2 117.4 95.3 55.3 5.3 2.6 0.3 0.3 27.8 23.5 117.3 158.1 720.4
1979 240.1 76.3 1.5 8.2 11.4 82.0 40.4 97.0 708.4
1980 121.5 55.4 114.4 15.2 11.9 3.0 15.3 4.6 52.9 91.7 33.8 57.4 577.1
1981 236.0 90.5 92.5 77.8 3.3 5.7 0.0 15.9 33.9 83.4 48.3 107.2 794.5
1982 94.6 44.0 39.8 29.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 5.2 23.7 17.2 49.2 26.2 329.68
1983 41.8 32.4 17.8 26.0 4.2 0.8 2.2 0.6 6.7 2.7 14.5 36.9 186.68
1984 116.6 86.9 39.3 13.8 2.7 2.1 0.9 9.0 0.2 32.7 44.2 43.2 391.84
1985 53.0 48.7 35.1 43.6 9.3 1.1 0.0 1.9 14.1 17.7 55.2 67.0 346.6
1986 42.5 58.8 36.2 57.0 5.5 0.0 1.0 3.2 19.9 5.8 34.7 57.0 321.44
1987 45.1 26.2 22.1 14.0 1.0 0.8 11.6 2.4 1.4 19.0 39.4 17.8 200.88
1988 48.3 26.4 80.8 36.8 4.8 0.0 0.0 2.1 3.6 18.4 3.7 55.0 279.84
1989 74.1 36.3 51.8 23.4 0.0 3.0 0.0 3.6 17.3 11.8 13.0 29.2 263.52
1990 71.6 24.0 30.4 10.3 43.6 33.6 45.7 287.48
1991 65.9 42.4 54.0 20.4 2.3 18.0 3.9 0.3 6.0 9.9 25.9 43.5 292.48
1992 61.4 21.7 19.9 10.1 0.0 0.5 1.6 29.0 8.2 17.8 26.5 49.5 246.2
1993 69.8 26.8 30.1 39.9 4.6 0.0 0.8 6.8 9.7 26.9 45.7 49.7 310.8
1994 68.3 45.0 45.5 29.0 7.1 2.1 0.0 0.0 7.4 15.0 17.8 42.8 280
1995 42.1 61.3 54.1 4.2 0.2 0.0 1.4 0.0 2.1 6.2 27.0 35.8 234.36
1996 47.4 26.7 45.4 14.9 11.8 0.0 0.4 2.8 8.3 8.0 52.6 38.3 256.64
1997 86.1 36.2 80.8 38.7 1.7 0.0 0.4 8.6 9.2 17.0 45.1 24.0 347.64
1998 50.2 42.3 37.1 13.2 0.0 4.8 0.0 0.6 0.2 26.8 35.8 9.8 220.8
1999 41.6 27.6 64.9 10.2 7.9 0.0 0.3 0.0 18.0 21.5 14.6 27.6 234.24
2000 158.0 131.4 93.7 15.1 1.7 27.4 0.0 11.0 12.2 112.3 25.0 105.2 693
2001 206.3 134.2 215.1 46.5 34.8 3.0 3.1 9.8 25.8 70.6 47.1 91.4 887.7
2002 125.5 130.5 110.6 53.3 14.6 1.0 16.7 5.8 21.8 128.4 51.6 100.6 760.4
2003 161.1 126.4 131.3 67.0 1.4 7.2 2.0 14.9 23.0 78.1 20.1 95.6 728.1
2004 215.0 123.3 79.9 47.9 6.1 0.0 1.2 18.3 21.6 17.0 62.4 67.9 660.6
2005 63.5 148.9 41.7 26.4 2.9 0.0 1.0 4.3 14.7 39.0 53.7 75.5 471.6
2006 220.4 132.6 102.7 95.5 2.0 5.6 0.2 2.4 47.6 63.3 83.8 153.1 909.2
2007 96.4 50.6 164.4 74.4 46.3 21.8 57.1 54.1 573.185
2008 121.6 79.4 69.7 3.2 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.5 58.7 77.1 140.0 571.18
511.766
2009 8.6 8.0 0.0 2.4 0.0 13.6 27.8 86.6 89.9 1

Ingeniería de Recursos Hídricos


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Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

Cuadro 2.1-3 Precipitación Total Mensual Histórica – Estación 3

AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SET OCT NOV DIC TOTAL
1965 175.1 84.2 144.9 35.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 20.7 19.4 89.4 147.0 716.49
1966 60.0 136.0 59.8 29.0 37.7 0.0 0.0 39.1 86.0 43.4 524.9086
1967 37.1 76.6 138.4 9.0 23.4 0.0 20.7 27.0 85.2 78.7 22.7 160.5 679.23
1968 43.3 0.6 0.4 40.9 1.0 50.8 44.1 125.0 36.5 629.1
1969 193.1 77.9 50.0 10.0 0.9 1.1 14.0 0.0 28.2 30.5 79.7 48.5 533.88
1970 172.2 89.8 83.3 78.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 55.3 36.3 18.6 166.0 700.11
1971 171.7 166.0 44.6 17.1 1.8 0.6 0.0 5.0 3.4 37.9 43.3 36.5 527.94
1972 140.0 107.1 69.9 41.9 5.4 0.0 0.9 12.4 25.7 39.5 94.6 70.0 607.59
1973 128.4 93.9 134.1 42.0 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.7 36.7 32.9 85.9 16.7 573.588
1974 123.4 130.3 84.2 42.8 0.5 4.3 1.3 15.1 30.1 61.5 45.9 94.2 633.6
1975 104.0 99.3 69.8 16.9 23.0 12.2 0.0 0.5 19.3 38.5 46.6 122.0 551.97
1976 136.5 87.6 78.1 20.1 12.6 7.2 1.4 17.2 68.7 3.3 23.6 60.0 516.24
1977 62.9 160.4 100.6 13.9 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 38.5 31.1 87.4 77.0 580.86
1978 85.8 49.8 4.8 2.3 0.3 0.3 105.6 142.3 721.89
1979 216.1 68.7 74.2 115.7 4.1 0.0 1.4 7.4 10.3 73.8 36.4 87.3 695.16
1980 109.4 49.9 103.0 13.7 10.7 2.7 13.8 4.1 47.6 82.5 30.4 51.7 519.39
1981 212.4 81.5 83.3 70.0 3.0 5.1 0.0 14.3 30.5 75.1 43.5 96.5 715.05
1982 212.8 98.9 89.6 66.4 0.0 0.0 0.7 11.6 53.4 38.7 110.8 59.0 741.78
1983 94.1 73.0 40.0 58.6 9.4 1.8 5.0 1.4 15.1 6.0 32.6 83.0 420.03
1984 262.4 195.6 88.5 31.1 6.1 4.8 2.0 20.3 0.5 73.6 99.5 97.3 881.64
1985 119.3 109.5 78.9 98.1 20.9 2.5 0.0 4.2 31.8 39.9 124.1 150.7 779.85
1986 95.7 132.2 81.4 128.3 12.3 0.0 2.2 7.1 44.7 13.0 78.0 128.3 723.24
1987 101.5 58.9 49.8 31.4 2.3 1.9 26.1 5.4 3.2 42.8 88.7 40.1 451.98
1988 108.7 59.4 181.9 82.7 10.8 0.0 0.0 4.8 8.0 41.3 8.4 123.7 629.64
1989 166.8 116.6 52.7 0.0 6.8 0.0 8.1 39.0 26.6 29.2 65.6 567.945
1990 161.1 54.1 68.3 23.1 5.2 54.9 0.0 1.6 15.6 98.1 75.6 102.8 660.42
1991 148.3 95.5 121.4 45.9 5.1 40.5 8.8 0.7 13.4 22.3 58.2 97.8 658.08
1992 138.2 48.9 44.7 22.7 0.0 1.1 3.6 65.3 40.1 59.7 111.3 553.095
1993 157.0 60.4 67.8 89.8 10.3 0.0 1.9 15.3 21.8 60.6 102.8 111.8 699.3
1994 153.7 101.3 102.3 65.2 16.0 4.7 0.0 0.0 16.7 33.7 40.1 96.2 630
1995 94.7 138.0 121.8 9.5 0.5 0.0 3.1 0.0 4.7 14.0 60.8 80.5 527.31
1996 106.7 60.1 102.2 33.6 26.6 0.0 0.8 6.2 18.7 17.9 118.4 86.1 577.44
1997 193.7 81.5 181.7 87.1 3.8 0.0 1.0 19.3 20.6 38.2 101.5 53.9 782.19
1998 113.0 95.1 83.5 29.6 0.0 10.8 0.0 1.4 0.5 60.2 80.5 22.1 496.8
1999 146.1 23.0 17.8 0.0 0.6 0.0 40.6 48.4 32.8 62.0 605.655
2000 142.2 118.3 84.3 13.6 1.5 24.7 0.0 9.9 11.0 101.1 22.5 94.7 623.7
2001 185.7 120.8 193.6 41.9 31.3 2.7 2.8 8.8 23.2 63.5 42.4 82.3 798.93
2002 113.0 117.5 99.5 48.0 13.1 0.9 15.0 5.2 19.6 115.6 46.4 90.5 684.36
2003 145.0 113.8 118.2 60.3 1.3 6.5 1.8 13.4 20.7 70.3 678.285
2004 193.5 111.0 71.9 43.1 16.5 19.4 15.3 56.2 61.1 594.495
2005 57.2 134.0 37.5 23.8 2.6 0.0 0.9 3.9 13.2 35.1 48.3 68.0 424.44
2006 198.3 119.3 92.4 85.9 1.8 5.0 0.1 2.2 42.8 57.0 75.5 137.8 818.28
2007 86.8 45.5 148.0 67.0 17.3 1.9 0.0 0.0 41.7 19.6 51.4 48.7 527.76
2008 109.4 71.5 62.7 2.9 5.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.0 52.8 69.4 126.0 514.062
2009 93.1 74.8 57.2 7.7 7.2 0.0 2.2 0.0 12.2 25.0 77.9 80.9 438.21

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Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

Cuadro 2.1-4 Precipitación Total Mensual Histórica – Estación 4

AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SET OCT NOV DIC TOTAL
1965 125.1 61.1 73.5 32.0 0.0 0.0 2.7 11.1 30.5 17.5 44.4 55.0 452.9
1966 42.8 119.3 28.7 6.5 30.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 20.1 55.8 65.9 86.4 455.7
1967 34.1 64.8 56.1 6.5 17.7 0.0 22.5 20.4 27.2 41.0 46.7 128.9 465.9
1968 156.3 149.5 76.2 9.5 1.7 0.0 18.9 30.6 3.1 4.0 4.3 6.5 460.7
1969 124.4 61.2 64.7 43.9 3.2 114.2 40.7 0.3 10.6 18.6 71.1 97.6 650.6
1970 110.6 135.8 116.5 50.1 3.6 1.0 0.2 2.5 64.6 41.5 15.0 102.7 644.0
1971 89.5 207.5 26.9 30.1 3.9 5.1 0.0 6.3 8.3 50.2 31.7 81.9 541.5
1972 95.5 85.5 72.7 26.9 6.0 1.3 5.7 37.2 25.6 37.1 47.8 93.0 534.1
1973 63.8 93.2 76.9 57.5 11.1 0.4 4.0 10.5 44.7 32.7 35.9 56.4 487.1
1974 94.4 94.2 66.3 41.1 8.4 9.4 18.1 28.7 21.0 24.3 24.1 93.5 523.5
1975 75.2 107.1 87.7 47.8 18.9 15.8 0.0 22.4 20.1 67.6 26.7 82.6 571.8
1976 104.4 84.0 76.8 24.0 44.7 11.4 13.7 5.7 50.3 5.5 16.9 68.5 505.8
1977 90.4 73.2 92.9 31.7 20.1 4.2 4.1 0.0 28.5 26.0 84.7 51.7 507.5
1978 74.2 74.5 96.5 45.5 7.7 5.4 0.0 0.0 44.0 16.6 83.8 123.3 571.4
1979 148.6 60.8 76.1 65.6 9.5 0.0 0.0 12.3 21.1 45.1 44.7 104.8 588.6
1980 110.2 80.3 85.4 18.3 22.5 0.0 1.4 8.8 31.2 51.7 36.2 69.4 515.5
1981 158.5 98.2 154.7 21.6 8.6 3.5 0.0 22.1 39.5 62.1 66.6 103.4 738.8
1982 161.8 64.5 97.7 78.8 2.4 4.7 0.0 12.8 34.2 47.3 70.5 71.1 645.5
1983 69.8 94.8 41.7 57.9 14.4 22.4 0.0 0.0 12.6 19.0 16.6 65.2 414.2
1984 134.6 137.1 118.0 24.7 0.0 0.0 9.2 36.6 6.0 50.8 105.1 102.9 725.1
1985 123.9 96.7 92.7 83.0 10.3 34.7 5.4 5.0 39.9 51.9 99.1 100.3 742.9
1986 111.9 109.3 129.4 57.0 15.3 0.0 4.3 13.8 53.4 34.1 50.4 108.4 687.3
1987 134.0 42.9 86.4 35.6 11.1 7.6 30.4 4.1 12.5 40.9 101.7 107.0 614.1
1988 95.9 79.8 98.1 65.3 20.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.8 19.5 25.8 69.5 479.2
1989 89.5 50.2 115.6 22.3 26.7 0.0 0.0 35.3 24.7 41.1 40.8 80.8 527.1
1990 142.3 70.1 19.5 39.7 7.1 42.2 2.7 20.8 6.9 64.9 60.1 101.6 577.8
1991 84.8 57.0 66.6 51.2 22.1 26.7 0.0 0.0 22.6 30.1 43.4 44.6 449.2
1992 63.6 76.6 71.1 36.5 0.0 12.0 0.0 25.5 7.1 29.7 59.3 71.2 452.5
1993 108.0 71.1 85.3 52.2 22.5 1.3 7.3 27.0 6.5 35.5 60.4 85.9 563.1
1994 127.7 160.1 97.2 65.0 0.0 3.3 0.0 6.8 6.2 20.1 33.3 99.7 619.6
1995 68.4 71.9 109.2 44.2 7.8 0.0 4.4 0.0 7.1 12.2 34.5 66.7 426.6
1996 112.4 83.8 47.8 24.3 16.2 0.0 0.4 26.7 14.5 23.7 53.1 19.8 422.6
1997 123.0 85.0 87.0 32.2 7.7 0.0 1.2 12.2 15.4 19.9 41.3 93.8 518.7
1998 64.9 86.8 65.1 29.8 0.4 5.3 0.0 0.4 7.6 38.8 86.3 41.8 427.2
1999 116.4 88.3 88.1 39.7 10.7 1.2 2.5 1.3 34.6 35.4 46.5 57.4 522.0
2000 79.2 83.1 81.1 20.1 6.0 15.4 3.5 10.8 17.3 63.8 22.2 95.6 498.2
2001 113.0 39.3 73.4 42.4 53.2 0.4 11.2 11.6 10.1 42.7 54.1 50.8 502.3
2002 56.0 106.8 91.7 36.0 8.6 0.4 23.1 16.7 33.6 41.5 98.0 63.2 575.7
2003 73.9 28.6 45.6 20.9 1.2 3.8 0.0 7.8 5.2 31.7 17.2 34.2 270.0
2004 94.5 50.7 31.8 15.9 4.7 8.6 2.4 4.6 12.5 18.3 24.1 33.5 301.5
2005 31.8 61.2 22.4 7.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 5.6 3.2 20.8 25.2 59.2 237.0
2006 66.0 33.2 24.5 25.0 1.1 2.2 0.0 8.3 11.7 28.5 27.7 39.2 267.5
2007 45.4 31.7 38.8 13.4 6.5 0.0 3.9 0.0 5.9 15.9 24.4 35.8 221.8
2008 67.3 25.1 24.1 16.2 9.9 1.1 0.7 3.1 2.8 19.3 22.4 53.5 245.6

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2009 54.0 32.0 25.5 21.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.6 10.7 50.1 39.4 246.4

Cuadro 2.1-5 Precipitación Total Mensual Histórica – Estación 5

AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SET OCT NOV DIC TOTAL
1965 220.8 107.9 129.8 56.4 0.0 0.0 4.8 19.5 53.9 30.9 78.3 97.1 799.2
1966 75.5 210.6 50.7 11.6 53.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 35.6 98.4 116.3 152.4 804.2
1967 60.2 114.3 99.0 11.6 31.2 0.0 39.8 36.0 48.0 72.3 82.4 227.6 822.2
1968 275.9 263.9 134.6 16.8 3.0 0.0 33.3 54.0 5.6 7.1 7.5 11.6 813.0
1969 219.5 108.0 114.2 77.4 5.7 201.5 71.8 0.6 18.8 32.9 125.5 172.2 1148.1
1970 195.1 239.7 205.6 88.4 6.4 1.7 0.3 4.4 114.0 73.2 26.5 181.3 1136.5
1971 158.0 366.2 47.6 53.1 6.9 9.0 0.0 11.1 14.7 88.7 56.0 144.5 955.5
1972 168.5 150.9 128.3 47.6 10.5 2.3 10.1 65.7 45.2 65.4 84.3 164.1 942.6
1973 112.5 164.4 135.8 101.4 19.7 0.8 7.1 18.6 78.9 57.8 63.3 99.5 859.5
1974 166.7 166.2 117.0 72.5 14.9 16.5 32.0 50.7 37.1 42.9 42.6 165.0 923.9
1975 132.8 189.0 154.8 84.3 33.3 27.9 0.0 39.5 35.4 119.3 47.1 145.8 1009.1
1976 184.2 148.2 135.5 42.3 78.9 20.1 24.2 10.1 88.8 9.8 29.9 120.9 892.7
1977 159.6 129.2 164.0 56.0 35.4 7.4 7.2 0.0 50.3 45.9 149.6 91.2 895.5
1978 131.0 131.4 170.3 80.3 13.7 9.5 0.0 0.0 77.7 29.3 147.9 217.5 1008.3
1979 262.2 107.3 134.3 115.8 16.8 0.0 0.0 21.8 37.2 79.7 78.9 185.0 1038.8
1980 194.4 141.8 150.8 32.3 39.8 0.0 2.6 15.6 55.1 91.2 63.9 122.6 909.8
1981 279.8 173.3 273.0 38.1 15.2 6.2 0.0 39.0 69.8 109.7 117.6 182.4 1303.8
1982 285.5 113.9 172.4 139.1 4.2 8.3 0.0 22.5 60.3 83.4 124.4 125.4 1139.1
1983 123.2 167.3 73.5 102.2 25.4 39.6 0.0 0.0 22.2 33.5 29.3 115.1 731.0
1984 237.6 242.0 208.2 43.5 0.0 0.0 16.2 64.7 10.5 89.7 185.6 181.7 1279.5
1985 218.7 170.7 163.5 146.6 18.2 61.2 9.5 8.9 70.4 91.7 174.9 177.0 1311.0
1986 197.6 192.9 228.3 100.7 27.0 0.0 7.7 24.3 94.2 60.2 89.0 191.3 1212.9
1987 236.4 75.8 152.4 62.9 19.7 13.4 53.7 7.2 22.1 72.2 179.4 188.9 1083.8
1988 169.2 140.9 173.1 115.2 36.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.4 34.4 45.6 122.7 845.7
1989 158.0 88.7 204.0 39.3 47.1 0.0 0.0 62.3 43.7 72.6 72.0 142.7 930.2
1990 251.1 123.8 34.4 70.1 12.5 74.6 4.8 36.8 12.2 114.5 106.1 179.3 1019.7
1991 149.7 100.7 117.6 90.3 39.0 47.1 0.0 0.0 39.9 53.1 76.7 78.8 792.8
1992 112.2 135.2 125.4 64.4 0.0 21.2 0.0 45.0 12.5 52.4 104.7 125.7 798.5
1993 190.5 125.6 150.5 92.1 39.8 2.3 12.9 47.7 11.6 62.7 106.7 151.7 993.8
1994 225.3 282.6 171.6 114.8 0.0 5.9 0.0 12.0 11.0 35.6 58.8 176.0 1093.4
1995 120.8 126.9 192.8 78.0 13.8 0.0 7.8 0.0 12.6 21.6 60.9 117.8 752.9
1996 198.3 147.9 84.3 42.9 28.5 0.0 0.8 47.1 25.5 41.9 93.8 35.0 745.8
1997 217.1 150.0 153.5 56.9 13.7 0.0 2.1 21.6 27.2 35.1 72.9 165.5 915.3
1998 114.6 153.2 114.9 52.5 0.8 9.3 0.0 0.8 13.4 68.5 152.3 73.8 753.9
1999 205.4 155.9 155.4 70.1 18.9 2.1 4.4 2.3 61.1 62.6 82.1 101.3 921.2
2000 139.8 146.7 143.1 35.6 10.7 27.2 6.2 19.1 30.6 112.5 39.2 168.8 879.2
2001 199.4 69.3 129.6 74.9 93.9 0.8 19.8 20.4 17.9 75.3 95.6 89.7 886.4
2002 98.9 188.6 161.9 63.5 15.2 0.8 40.8 29.6 59.3 73.2 173.0 111.6 1016.0
2003 277.2 107.1 171.0 78.5 4.4 14.1 0.0 29.1 19.7 119.0 64.7 128.1 1012.7
2004 354.5 190.2 119.1 59.7 17.6 32.1 9.0 17.1 46.8 68.7 90.3 125.7 1130.7
2005 119.4 229.4 84.0 26.6 1.7 0.3 0.0 21.0 11.9 77.9 94.5 222.2 888.6
2006 247.5 124.7 92.0 93.9 4.2 8.1 0.0 31.2 43.8 107.0 103.8 147.2 1003.2

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Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

2007 170.4 118.8 145.4 50.4 24.5 0.0 14.7 0.0 22.1 59.6 91.5 134.4 831.6
2008 252.3 94.1 90.5 60.9 37.1 4.2 2.7 11.6 10.7 72.5 84.0 200.6 920.9
2009 202.7 119.9 95.6 78.9 26.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 24.9 40.2 188.0 147.8 924.2

2.2.- Completado los datos hidrológicos:

Utilizaremos el método del promedio que considera que el dato faltante de una
cierta estación, puede ser estimado en base a los datos observados de los
distintos años consecutivos y/o adyacentes del mismo mes para un mismo
periodo. Este método puede ser aplicado para estimar valores faltantes diarios,
mensuales o anuales de la siguiente manera.

- Dato faltante entre años adyacentes:

𝐷𝑃𝑓𝑛 = (𝐷𝑃𝑛−1 + 𝐷𝑃𝑛+1 )/2

Dónde:
𝐷𝑃𝑓𝑛 = 𝑑𝑎𝑡𝑜 𝑑𝑒 𝑙𝑎 𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑐𝑖𝑝𝑖𝑡𝑎𝑐𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑓𝑎𝑙𝑡𝑎𝑛𝑡𝑒 𝑒𝑛 𝑒𝑙 𝑎ñ𝑜 𝑛
𝐷𝑃𝑛−1 = 𝑑𝑎𝑡𝑜 𝑑𝑒 𝑙𝑎 𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑐𝑖𝑝𝑖𝑡𝑎𝑐𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑒𝑛 𝑒𝑙 𝑎ñ𝑜 𝑛 − 1
𝐷𝑃𝑛+1 = 𝑑𝑎𝑡𝑜 𝑑𝑒 𝑙𝑎 𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑐𝑖𝑝𝑖𝑡𝑎𝑐𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑒𝑛 𝑒𝑙 𝑎ñ𝑜 𝑛 + 1

- Dato faltante en años laterales:

𝐷𝑃𝑓𝑛 = 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑚𝑒𝑑𝑖𝑜(𝐷𝑃𝑛+1 , 𝐷𝑃𝑛+2 , 𝐷𝑃𝑛+3 , … , 𝐷𝑃𝑚 )

Dónde:
𝑛 = 𝑝𝑟𝑖𝑚𝑒𝑟 𝑎ñ𝑜 𝑑𝑒𝑙 𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑖𝑜𝑑𝑜 𝑑𝑒 𝑑𝑎𝑡𝑜𝑠
𝑚 = 𝑢𝑙𝑡𝑖𝑚𝑜 𝑎ñ𝑜 𝑑𝑒𝑙 𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑖𝑜𝑑𝑜 𝑑𝑒 𝑑𝑎𝑡𝑜𝑠
𝐷𝑃𝑓𝑛 = 𝑑𝑎𝑡𝑜 𝑑𝑒 𝑙𝑎 𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑐𝑖𝑝𝑖𝑡𝑎𝑐𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑓𝑎𝑙𝑡𝑎𝑛𝑡𝑒 𝑒𝑛 𝑒𝑙 𝑎ñ𝑜 𝑛
𝐷𝑃𝑛+1 = 𝑑𝑎𝑡𝑜 𝑑𝑒 𝑙𝑎 𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑐𝑖𝑝𝑖𝑡𝑎𝑐𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑒𝑛 𝑒𝑙 𝑎ñ𝑜 𝑛 + 1
𝐷𝑃𝑛+2 = 𝑑𝑎𝑡𝑜 𝑑𝑒 𝑙𝑎 𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑐𝑖𝑝𝑖𝑡𝑎𝑐𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑒𝑛 𝑒𝑙 𝑎ñ𝑜 𝑛 + 2
𝐷𝑃𝑛+3 = 𝑑𝑎𝑡𝑜 𝑑𝑒 𝑙𝑎 𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑐𝑖𝑝𝑖𝑡𝑎𝑐𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑒𝑛 𝑒𝑙 𝑎ñ𝑜 𝑛 + 3
𝐷𝑃𝑚 = 𝑑𝑎𝑡𝑜 𝑑𝑒 𝑙𝑎 𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑐𝑖𝑝𝑖𝑡𝑎𝑐𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑒𝑛 𝑒𝑙 𝑎ñ𝑜 𝑚

Ahora completaremos los datos de las estaciones faltantes que en este caso son:

- Estación n°1
- Estación n°2
- Estación n°3

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Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

Cuadro 2.2-1 Precipitación Total Mensual Histórica con datos completados–


Estación 1

AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SET OCT NOV DIC TOTAL
1965 147.2 116.0 86.5 37.6 16.9 0.0 3.2 13.0 35.9 20.6 52.2 64.7 593.8
1966 50.3 140.4 33.8 7.7 35.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 23.7 65.6 77.5 101.6 536.1
1967 40.1 76.2 66.0 7.7 20.8 0.0 26.5 24.0 32.0 48.2 54.9 151.7 548.1
1968 183.9 175.9 89.7 11.2 2.0 0.0 22.2 36.0 3.7 4.7 5.0 7.7 542.0
1969 146.3 72.0 76.1 51.6 3.8 134.4 47.9 0.4 12.5 26.8 83.7 114.8 770.2
1970 130.1 159.8 137.1 59.0 4.3 1.1 0.2 2.9 76.0 48.8 17.7 120.9 757.7
1971 105.3 130.2 31.7 35.4 4.6 6.0 0.0 7.4 9.8 59.1 37.3 96.3 523.1
1972 112.3 100.6 85.5 31.7 7.0 1.5 6.7 43.8 30.1 43.6 56.2 109.4 628.4
1973 75.0 109.6 90.5 67.6 13.1 0.5 4.7 12.4 52.6 38.5 42.2 66.3 573.0
1974 111.1 110.8 78.0 48.3 9.9 11.0 21.3 33.8 24.7 28.6 28.4 110.0 615.9
1975 88.5 126.0 103.2 56.2 22.2 18.6 0.0 26.3 23.6 79.5 31.4 97.2 672.7
1976 122.8 98.8 90.3 28.2 52.6 13.4 16.1 6.7 59.2 6.5 19.9 80.6 595.1
1977 106.4 86.1 101.9 37.3 23.6 4.9 8.1 0.0 33.5 30.6 99.7 60.8 592.9
1978 87.3 87.6 113.5 53.5 9.1 6.3 0.0 0.0 51.8 19.5 98.6 145.0 672.2
1979 174.8 71.5 89.5 77.2 11.2 0.0 0.0 14.5 24.8 53.1 52.6 123.3 692.5
1980 181.4 132.3 140.7 30.1 37.1 0.0 2.4 14.6 51.4 85.1 59.6 114.4 849.1
1981 261.1 161.7 254.8 35.6 14.1 5.7 0.0 36.4 65.1 102.3 109.8 170.2 1216.9
1982 266.4 158.9 160.9 129.8 3.9 7.7 0.0 21.0 56.3 77.8 116.1 117.0 1115.8
1983 114.9 156.1 68.6 95.3 23.7 37.0 0.0 0.0 20.7 31.2 27.3 107.4 682.2
1984 221.8 225.8 194.3 40.6 0.0 0.0 15.1 60.3 9.8 83.7 173.2 169.5 1194.2
1985 204.1 159.3 136.8 16.9 57.1 8.8 8.3 65.7 85.5 163.2 165.2 1071.0
1986 184.4 180.0 213.1 93.9 25.2 0.0 7.1 22.7 87.9 56.1 83.0 178.5 1132.0
1987 220.6 70.7 142.2 58.7 18.3 12.5 50.1 6.7 20.6 67.3 167.4 176.3 1011.5
1988 157.9 131.5 161.6 107.5 33.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.8 67.6 42.6 114.5 824.8
1989 147.4 82.7 190.4 36.7 44.0 0.0 2.2 58.1 40.7 67.8 67.2 133.1 870.4
1990 234.4 115.5 32.1 65.4 11.6 69.6 4.5 34.3 11.3 106.8 99.0 167.3 951.7
1991 139.7 93.9 109.8 84.3 36.4 44.0 0.0 0.0 37.2 49.6 71.5 73.5 739.9
1992 104.7 126.1 117.0 60.1 0.0 19.7 0.0 42.0 11.6 48.9 97.7 117.3 745.2
1993 177.8 117.2 140.4 86.0 37.1 2.1 12.0 44.5 10.8 58.5 99.5 141.5 927.5
1994 210.3 117.8 160.2 107.1 0.0 5.5 0.0 11.2 10.2 33.2 54.9 164.3 874.6
1995 112.7 118.4 179.9 72.8 12.9 0.0 7.3 0.0 11.8 20.2 56.8 109.9 702.7
1996 185.1 138.0 78.7 40.0 26.6 0.0 0.7 44.0 23.8 39.1 62.4 32.6 671.0
1997 202.6 140.0 143.2 53.1 12.7 0.0 2.0 20.2 25.3 32.8 68.0 154.4 854.3
1998 76.4 102.1 76.6 35.0 0.5 6.2 0.0 0.5 33.0 45.7 101.5 49.2 526.7
1999 136.9 103.9 103.6 46.7 12.6 1.4 2.9 1.5 40.7 41.7 54.7 67.5 614.1
2000 93.2 97.8 95.4 48.3 7.1 18.1 4.1 12.7 20.4 75.0 26.1 112.5 610.7
2001 132.9 46.2 86.4 49.9 62.6 0.5 13.2 13.6 11.9 50.2 63.7 59.8 590.9
2002 158.9 125.7 107.9 42.3 10.1 0.5 27.2 19.7 39.5 48.8 115.3 74.4 770.3
2003 184.8 71.4 114.0 52.3 2.9 9.4 0.0 19.4 13.1 79.3 43.1 85.4 675.1
2004 236.3 126.8 79.4 39.8 11.7 21.4 6.0 11.4 31.2 45.8 60.2 83.8 753.8
2005 79.6 152.9 56.0 17.7 1.1 0.2 0.0 14.0 7.9 51.9 63.0 148.1 592.4
2006 165.0 83.1 61.3 62.6 2.8 5.4 0.0 20.8 29.2 71.3 62.0 98.1 661.6
2007 113.6 79.2 96.9 33.6 16.3 0.0 9.8 0.0 14.7 39.7 61.0 89.6 554.4
2008 168.2 62.7 60.3 40.6 24.7 2.8 1.8 7.7 7.1 48.3 56.0 133.7 613.9
2009 149.0 79.9 63.7 52.6 17.6 0.0 0.0 17.4 16.6 26.8 125.3 98.5 647.4

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Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

Cuadro 2.2-2 Precipitación Total Mensual Histórica con datos completados–


Estación 2

AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SET OCT NOV DIC TOTAL
1965 194.5 93.5 161.0 39.5 0.0 3.0 3.6 6.0 24.0 39.6 99.3 163.3 827.26
1966 66.7 151.1 66.4 32.2 41.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 26.0 43.4 95.5 48.2 571.4
1967 41.2 85.1 153.8 10.0 26.0 0.0 23.0 30.0 94.7 87.4 25.2 178.3 754.7
1968 79.6 126.2 72.0 48.1 0.7 0.4 45.4 1.1 56.4 49.0 138.9 40.6 658.4
1969 214.6 86.5 55.6 11.1 1.0 1.2 15.5 0.0 31.3 33.9 88.6 53.9 593.2
1970 191.3 99.8 92.6 86.9 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 61.4 40.3 20.7 184.4 777.9
1971 190.8 184.4 49.5 19.0 2.0 0.7 0.0 5.6 3.8 42.1 48.1 40.6 586.6
1972 155.6 119.0 77.7 46.6 6.0 0.0 1.0 13.8 28.6 43.9 105.1 77.8 675.1
1973 142.6 104.4 149.0 46.7 0.9 0.4 0.0 1.9 40.8 36.6 95.5 18.6 637.32
1974 137.1 144.8 93.6 47.5 0.6 4.8 1.4 16.8 33.4 68.3 51.0 104.7 704
1975 115.6 110.3 77.5 18.8 25.5 13.5 0.0 0.5 21.4 42.8 51.8 135.6 613.3
1976 151.7 97.3 86.8 22.3 14.0 8.0 1.5 19.1 76.3 3.7 26.2 66.7 573.6
1977 69.9 178.2 111.8 15.4 10.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 42.8 34.5 97.1 85.6 645.4
1978 117.2 117.4 95.3 55.3 5.3 2.6 0.3 0.3 27.8 23.5 117.3 158.1 720.4
1979 240.1 76.3 104.9 35.3 8.6 2.8 1.5 8.2 11.4 82.0 40.4 97.0 708.4
1980 121.5 55.4 114.4 15.2 11.9 3.0 15.3 4.6 52.9 91.7 33.8 57.4 577.1
1981 236.0 90.5 92.5 77.8 3.3 5.7 0.0 15.9 33.9 83.4 48.3 107.2 794.5
1982 94.6 44.0 39.8 29.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 5.2 23.7 17.2 49.2 26.2 329.68
1983 41.8 32.4 17.8 26.0 4.2 0.8 2.2 0.6 6.7 2.7 14.5 36.9 186.68
1984 116.6 86.9 39.3 13.8 2.7 2.1 0.9 9.0 0.2 32.7 44.2 43.2 391.84
1985 53.0 48.7 35.1 43.6 9.3 1.1 0.0 1.9 14.1 17.7 55.2 67.0 346.6
1986 42.5 58.8 36.2 57.0 5.5 0.0 1.0 3.2 19.9 5.8 34.7 57.0 321.44
1987 45.1 26.2 22.1 14.0 1.0 0.8 11.6 2.4 1.4 19.0 39.4 17.8 200.88
1988 48.3 26.4 80.8 36.8 4.8 0.0 0.0 2.1 3.6 18.4 3.7 55.0 279.84
1989 74.1 36.3 51.8 23.4 0.0 3.0 0.0 3.6 17.3 11.8 13.0 29.2 263.52
1990 71.6 24.0 30.4 10.3 1.1 10.5 2.0 2.0 12.8 43.6 33.6 45.7 287.48
1991 65.9 42.4 54.0 20.4 2.3 18.0 3.9 0.3 6.0 9.9 25.9 43.5 292.48
1992 61.4 21.7 19.9 10.1 0.0 0.5 1.6 29.0 8.2 17.8 26.5 49.5 246.2
1993 69.8 26.8 30.1 39.9 4.6 0.0 0.8 6.8 9.7 26.9 45.7 49.7 310.8
1994 68.3 45.0 45.5 29.0 7.1 2.1 0.0 0.0 7.4 15.0 17.8 42.8 280
1995 42.1 61.3 54.1 4.2 0.2 0.0 1.4 0.0 2.1 6.2 27.0 35.8 234.36
1996 47.4 26.7 45.4 14.9 11.8 0.0 0.4 2.8 8.3 8.0 52.6 38.3 256.64
1997 86.1 36.2 80.8 38.7 1.7 0.0 0.4 8.6 9.2 17.0 45.1 24.0 347.64
1998 50.2 42.3 37.1 13.2 0.0 4.8 0.0 0.6 0.2 26.8 35.8 9.8 220.8
1999 41.6 27.6 64.9 10.2 7.9 0.0 0.3 0.0 18.0 21.5 14.6 27.6 234.24
2000 158.0 131.4 93.7 15.1 1.7 27.4 0.0 11.0 12.2 112.3 25.0 105.2 693
2001 206.3 134.2 215.1 46.5 34.8 3.0 3.1 9.8 25.8 70.6 47.1 91.4 887.7
2002 125.5 130.5 110.6 53.3 14.6 1.0 16.7 5.8 21.8 128.4 51.6 100.6 760.4
2003 161.1 126.4 131.3 67.0 1.4 7.2 2.0 14.9 23.0 78.1 20.1 95.6 728.1
2004 215.0 123.3 79.9 47.9 6.1 0.0 1.2 18.3 21.6 17.0 62.4 67.9 660.6
2005 63.5 148.9 41.7 26.4 2.9 0.0 1.0 4.3 14.7 39.0 53.7 75.5 471.6
2006 220.4 132.6 102.7 95.5 2.0 5.6 0.2 2.4 47.6 63.3 83.8 153.1 909.2
2007 96.4 50.6 164.4 74.4 4.0 2.8 0.1 1.2 46.3 21.8 57.1 54.1 573.185
2008 121.6 79.4 69.7 3.2 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.5 58.7 77.1 140.0 571.18

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2009 112.6 83.9 78.4 8.6 8.0 0.0 2.4 0.0 13.6 27.8 86.6 89.9 511.7661

Cuadro 2.2-3 Precipitación Total Mensual Histórica con datos completados–


Estación 3

AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SET OCT NOV DIC TOTAL
1965 175.1 84.2 144.9 35.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 20.7 19.4 89.4 147.0 716.49
1966 60.0 136.0 59.8 29.0 37.7 0.0 0.0 7.7 26.3 39.1 86.0 43.4 524.9086
1967 37.1 76.6 138.4 9.0 23.4 0.0 20.7 27.0 85.2 78.7 22.7 160.5 679.23
1968 115.1 77.2 94.2 43.3 0.6 0.4 40.9 1.0 50.8 44.1 125.0 36.5 629.1
1969 193.1 77.9 50.0 10.0 0.9 1.1 14.0 0.0 28.2 30.5 79.7 48.5 533.88
1970 172.2 89.8 83.3 78.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 55.3 36.3 18.6 166.0 700.11
1971 171.7 166.0 44.6 17.1 1.8 0.6 0.0 5.0 3.4 37.9 43.3 36.5 527.94
1972 140.0 107.1 69.9 41.9 5.4 0.0 0.9 12.4 25.7 39.5 94.6 70.0 607.59
1973 128.4 93.9 134.1 42.0 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.7 36.7 32.9 85.9 16.7 573.588
1974 123.4 130.3 84.2 42.8 0.5 4.3 1.3 15.1 30.1 61.5 45.9 94.2 633.6
1975 104.0 99.3 69.8 16.9 23.0 12.2 0.0 0.5 19.3 38.5 46.6 122.0 551.97
1976 136.5 87.6 78.1 20.1 12.6 7.2 1.4 17.2 68.7 3.3 23.6 60.0 516.24
1977 62.9 160.4 100.6 13.9 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 38.5 31.1 87.4 77.0 580.86
1978 139.5 114.5 85.8 49.8 4.8 2.3 0.3 0.3 24.4 52.4 105.6 142.3 721.89
1979 216.1 68.7 74.2 115.7 4.1 0.0 1.4 7.4 10.3 73.8 36.4 87.3 695.16
1980 109.4 49.9 103.0 13.7 10.7 2.7 13.8 4.1 47.6 82.5 30.4 51.7 519.39
1981 212.4 81.5 83.3 70.0 3.0 5.1 0.0 14.3 30.5 75.1 43.5 96.5 715.05
1982 212.8 98.9 89.6 66.4 0.0 0.0 0.7 11.6 53.4 38.7 110.8 59.0 741.78
1983 94.1 73.0 40.0 58.6 9.4 1.8 5.0 1.4 15.1 6.0 32.6 83.0 420.03
1984 262.4 195.6 88.5 31.1 6.1 4.8 2.0 20.3 0.5 73.6 99.5 97.3 881.64
1985 119.3 109.5 78.9 98.1 20.9 2.5 0.0 4.2 31.8 39.9 124.1 150.7 779.85
1986 95.7 132.2 81.4 128.3 12.3 0.0 2.2 7.1 44.7 13.0 78.0 128.3 723.24
1987 101.5 58.9 49.8 31.4 2.3 1.9 26.1 5.4 3.2 42.8 88.7 40.1 451.98
1988 108.7 59.4 181.9 82.7 10.8 0.0 0.0 4.8 8.0 41.3 8.4 123.7 629.64
1989 166.8 56.7 116.6 52.7 0.0 6.8 0.0 8.1 39.0 26.6 29.2 65.6 567.945
1990 161.1 54.1 68.3 23.1 5.2 54.9 0.0 1.6 15.6 98.1 75.6 102.8 660.42
1991 148.3 95.5 121.4 45.9 5.1 40.5 8.8 0.7 13.4 22.3 58.2 97.8 658.08
1992 138.2 48.9 44.7 22.7 0.0 1.1 3.6 65.3 17.6 40.1 59.7 111.3 553.095
1993 157.0 60.4 67.8 89.8 10.3 0.0 1.9 15.3 21.8 60.6 102.8 111.8 699.3
1994 153.7 101.3 102.3 65.2 16.0 4.7 0.0 0.0 16.7 33.7 40.1 96.2 630
1995 94.7 138.0 121.8 9.5 0.5 0.0 3.1 0.0 4.7 14.0 60.8 80.5 527.31
1996 106.7 60.1 102.2 33.6 26.6 0.0 0.8 6.2 18.7 17.9 118.4 86.1 577.44
1997 193.7 81.5 181.7 87.1 3.8 0.0 1.0 19.3 20.6 38.2 101.5 53.9 782.19
1998 113.0 95.1 83.5 29.6 0.0 10.8 0.0 1.4 0.5 60.2 80.5 22.1 496.8
1999 127.6 106.7 146.1 23.0 17.8 0.0 0.6 0.0 40.6 48.4 32.8 62.0 605.655
2000 142.2 118.3 84.3 13.6 1.5 24.7 0.0 9.9 11.0 101.1 22.5 94.7 623.7
2001 185.7 120.8 193.6 41.9 31.3 2.7 2.8 8.8 23.2 63.5 42.4 82.3 798.93
2002 113.0 117.5 99.5 48.0 13.1 0.9 15.0 5.2 19.6 115.6 46.4 90.5 684.36
2003 145.0 113.8 118.2 60.3 1.3 6.5 1.8 13.4 20.7 70.3 51.3 75.8 678.285
2004 193.5 111.0 71.9 43.1 1.9 3.2 1.4 16.5 19.4 15.3 56.2 61.1 594.495
2005 57.2 134.0 37.5 23.8 2.6 0.0 0.9 3.9 13.2 35.1 48.3 68.0 424.44

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2006 198.3 119.3 92.4 85.9 1.8 5.0 0.1 2.2 42.8 57.0 75.5 137.8 818.28
2007 86.8 45.5 148.0 67.0 17.3 1.9 0.0 0.0 41.7 19.6 51.4 48.7 527.76
2008 109.4 71.5 62.7 2.9 5.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.0 52.8 69.4 126.0 514.062
2009 93.1 74.8 57.2 7.7 7.2 0.0 2.2 0.0 12.2 25.0 77.9 80.9 438.21

2.3.-Histogramas de precipitación mensual versus tiempo en meses:

Figura 2.2-1 Análisis visual de la distribución temporal de la ESTACION 1

ESTACIÓN 1
300.00
Precipitación total mensual (mm)

Punto 414
250.00
Punto 178

200.00

150.00

100.00

50.00

0.00
0 100 200 300 400 500
Tiempo (meses)
Posible salto

Figura 2.2-2 Análisis visual de la distribución temporal de la ESTACION 2

ESTACIÓN 2
300.00
Precipitación total mensual (mm)

250.00

200.00
Punto 216 Punto 419
150.00

100.00

50.00

0.00
0 100 200 300 400 500
Tiempo (meses)

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Figura 2.2-3 Análisis visual de la distribución temporal de la ESTACION 3

ESTACIÓN 3
300.00
Precipitación total mensual (mm)

250.00

200.00

150.00

100.00

50.00

0.00
0 100 200 300 400 500
Tiempo (meses)

Figura 2.2-4 Análisis visual de la distribución temporal de la ESTACION 4

ESTACIÓN 4
250.00
Precipitación total mensual (mm)

200.00

150.00
Punto 474

100.00

50.00

0.00
0 100 200 300 400 500
Tiempo (meses)

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Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

Figura 2.2-5 Análisis visual de la distribución temporal de la ESTACION 5

ESTACIÓN 5
400.00
Precipitación total mensual (mm)

350.00

300.00

250.00

200.00

150.00

100.00

50.00

0.00
0 100 200 300 400 500
Tiempo (meses)

2.4.- Determinación de la estación índice por el análisis Curva de Doble


Masa:

En el análisis de la curva de doble masa se muestra la información de la


precipitación total mensual de las estación n°1, estación n°2, estación n°3,
estación n°4 y estación n°5 con el fin de ubicar la estación índice y detectar en
que estación se produce saltos.

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Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

Cuadro 2.4-1 Precipitación Total Mensual y Acumulada para el análisis de CDM

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Estacion 1 Estacion 2 Estacion 3 Estacion 4 Estacion 5


Prom. 5 estaciones Prom. Acum. 5 est.
Total Acumulado Total Acumulado Total Acumulado Total Acumulado Total Acumulado
593.80 593.80 827.26 827.26 716.49 716.49 452.88 452.88 799.20 799.20 677.93 677.93
536.10 1129.90 571.40 1398.66 524.91 1241.40 455.69 908.57 804.15 1603.35 578.45 1256.37
548.10 1678.00 754.70 2153.36 679.23 1920.63 465.89 1374.45 822.15 2425.50 654.01 1910.39
542.00 2220.00 658.40 2811.76 629.10 2549.73 460.70 1835.15 813.00 3238.50 620.64 2531.03
770.22 2990.22 593.20 3404.96 533.88 3083.61 650.58 2485.73 1148.09 4386.59 739.19 3270.22
757.68 3747.90 777.90 4182.86 700.11 3783.72 644.03 3129.76 1136.52 5523.11 803.25 4073.47
523.09 4270.99 586.60 4769.46 527.94 4311.66 541.45 3671.21 955.50 6478.61 626.92 4700.38
628.40 4899.39 675.10 5444.56 607.59 4919.25 534.14 4205.35 942.60 7421.21 677.57 5377.95
573.00 5472.39 637.32 6081.88 573.59 5492.84 487.05 4692.40 859.50 8280.71 626.09 6004.04
615.90 6088.29 704.00 6785.88 633.60 6126.44 523.52 5215.91 923.85 9204.56 680.17 6684.21
672.70 6760.99 613.30 7399.18 551.97 6678.41 571.80 5787.71 1009.05 10213.61 683.76 7367.98
595.10 7356.09 573.60 7972.78 516.24 7194.65 505.84 6293.54 892.65 11106.26 616.69 7984.66
592.85 7948.94 645.40 8618.18 580.86 7775.51 507.45 6800.99 895.50 12001.76 644.41 8629.07
672.20 8621.14 720.40 9338.58 721.89 8497.40 571.37 7372.36 1008.30 13010.06 738.83 9367.91
692.50 9313.64 708.40 10046.98 695.16 9192.56 588.63 7960.99 1038.75 14048.81 744.69 10112.59
849.10 10162.74 577.10 10624.08 519.39 9711.95 515.53 8476.51 909.75 14958.56 674.17 10786.77
1216.88 11379.62 794.50 11418.58 715.05 10427.00 738.82 9215.33 1303.80 16262.36 953.81 11740.58
1115.80 12495.42 329.68 11748.26 741.78 11168.78 645.49 9860.82 1139.10 17401.46 794.37 12534.95
682.22 13177.64 186.68 11934.94 420.03 11588.81 414.21 10275.03 730.95 18132.41 486.82 13021.76
1194.20 14371.84 391.84 12326.78 881.64 12470.45 725.05 11000.08 1279.50 19411.91 894.45 13916.21
1071.00 15442.84 346.60 12673.38 779.85 13250.30 742.90 11742.98 1311.00 20722.91 850.27 14766.48
1132.04 16574.88 321.44 12994.82 723.24 13973.54 687.31 12430.29 1212.90 21935.81 815.39 15581.87
1011.50 17586.38 200.88 13195.70 451.98 14425.52 614.13 13044.41 1083.75 23019.56 672.45 16254.31
824.81 18411.19 279.84 13475.54 629.64 15055.16 479.23 13523.64 845.70 23865.26 611.84 16866.16
870.38 19281.57 263.52 13739.06 567.95 15623.10 527.09 14050.73 930.15 24795.41 631.82 17497.97
951.72 20233.29 287.48 14026.54 660.42 16283.52 577.83 14628.56 1019.70 25815.11 699.43 18197.40
739.90 20973.19 292.48 14319.02 658.08 16941.60 449.23 15077.78 792.75 26607.86 586.49 18783.89
745.22 21718.41 246.20 14565.22 553.10 17494.70 452.46 15530.24 798.45 27406.31 559.08 19342.97
927.50 22645.91 310.80 14876.02 699.30 18194.00 563.13 16093.36 993.75 28400.06 698.90 20041.87
874.57 23520.47 280.00 15156.02 630.00 18824.00 619.60 16712.96 1093.41 29493.47 699.52 20741.38
702.66 24223.13 234.36 15390.38 527.31 19351.31 426.62 17139.58 752.85 30246.32 528.76 21270.14
671.02 24894.15 256.64 15647.02 577.44 19928.75 422.62 17562.20 745.80 30992.12 534.70 21804.85
854.28 25748.43 347.64 15994.66 782.19 20710.94 518.67 18080.87 915.30 31907.42 683.62 22488.46
526.70 26275.13 220.80 16215.46 496.80 21207.74 427.19 18508.06 753.87 32661.29 485.07 22973.53
614.10 26889.23 234.24 16449.70 605.66 21813.39 521.99 19030.05 921.15 33582.44 579.43 23552.96
610.70 27499.93 693.00 17142.70 623.70 22437.09 498.19 19528.23 879.15 34461.59 660.95 24213.91
590.90 28090.83 887.70 18030.40 798.93 23236.02 502.27 20030.50 886.35 35347.94 733.23 24947.14
770.25 28861.08 760.40 18790.80 684.36 23920.38 575.71 20606.20 1015.95 36363.89 761.33 25708.47
675.10 29536.18 728.10 19518.90 678.29 24598.67 270.04 20876.24 1012.65 37376.54 672.84 26381.30
753.80 30289.98 660.60 20179.50 594.50 25193.16 301.52 21177.76 1130.70 38507.24 688.22 27069.53
592.40 30882.38 471.60 20651.10 424.44 25617.60 236.96 21414.72 888.60 39395.84 522.80 27592.33
661.60 31543.98 909.20 21560.30 818.28 26435.88 267.52 21682.24 1003.20 40399.04 731.96 28324.29
554.40 32098.38 573.19 22133.48 527.76 26963.64 221.76 21904.00 831.60 41230.64 541.74 28866.03
613.90 32712.28 571.18 22704.66 514.06 27477.70 245.56 22149.56 920.85 42151.49 573.11 29439.14
647.39 33359.67 511.77 23216.43 438.21 27915.91 246.44 22396.00 924.15 43075.64 553.59 29992.73

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Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

Figura 2.4-1 Determinación de la estación índice por el análisis CDM

Mediante la gráfica podemos observar que la estación n°5 es la que


tiene una mejor tendencia lineal, por tanto esta será nuestra estación
índice.

Figura 2.4-2 Análisis de CDM de la información de precipitación de la


estación 1

Se observa que en la estación n°1 existen saltos (2), debido al


cambio de pendiente, que deberán ser modificados.

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Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

Figura 2.4-3 Análisis de CDM de la información de precipitación de la


estación 2

Se observa que en la estación n°2 existen saltos (3), debido al


cambio de pendiente, que deberán ser modificados.

Figura 2.4-4 Análisis de CDM de la información de precipitación de la


estación 3

Se observa que en la estación n°3 no existen saltos ya que no


hay cambio de pendiente.

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Figura 2.4-5 Análisis de CDM de la información de precipitación de la


estación 4

Se observa que en la estación n°4 existe 1 salto, debido al


cambio de pendiente, que deberán ser modificados.

2.5.- Análisis y corrección de saltos

2.5.1.- Análisis y corrección de saltos en la estación n°1

- Análisis de salto:

1er periodo N1 = 247 P1 = 73.70 S1 = 65.07


2do periodo N2 = 126 P2 = 53.01 S2 = 47.83

- Pruebas de medias:

Alfa = 0.05 G.L = 371 Sp = 59.82 Sd = 6.55 Tc = 3.16


Tt = 1.966379

Como /Tc/ > Tt  P1 es diferente de P2, se concluye que existe salto en la


media.

- Prueba de varianza:

Como S1 > S2

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Alfa = 0.05 GLN = 246 GLD = 125 Fc = 1.85


Ft = 1.300189

Como Fc > Ft  S1 es diferente de S2, se concluye que existe salto en la


varianza.

- Corrección de saltos:
Como la media y desviación estándar resultan diferentes estadísticamente,
tendremos que corregir los datos del primer periodo (N1) para mantener los
datos estadísticos del periodo bueno, segundo periodo (N2); cuya ecuación
de corrección es:

𝑋𝑡 − 𝑃1
𝑋𝑡 ′ = (( ) ∗ 𝑆2) + 𝑃2
𝑆1
Reemplazando datos:

𝑋𝑡 − 73.70
𝑋𝑡 ′ = (( ) ∗ 47.83) + 53.01
65.07

𝑋𝑡 ′ = 0.73495𝑋𝑡 − 1.15495

Cuadro 2.5.1-1 Precipitación Total Mensual Histórica con datos Corregidos–


Estación 1

AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SET OCT NOV DIC TOTAL
1965 147.20 115.98 86.50 37.60 16.91 0.00 3.20 13.00 35.90 20.60 52.20 64.70 593.80
1966 50.30 140.40 33.80 7.70 35.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.70 65.60 77.50 101.60 536.10
1967 40.10 76.20 66.00 7.70 20.80 0.00 26.50 24.00 32.00 48.20 54.90 151.70 548.10
1968 183.90 175.90 89.70 11.20 2.00 0.00 22.20 36.00 3.70 4.70 5.00 7.70 542.00
1969 146.30 72.01 76.14 51.59 3.80 134.36 47.88 0.38 12.52 26.75 83.66 114.83 770.22
1970 130.08 159.78 137.07 58.96 4.25 1.13 0.21 2.93 75.97 48.80 17.65 120.85 757.68
1971 105.30 130.19 31.70 35.40 4.60 6.00 0.00 7.40 9.80 59.10 37.30 96.30 523.09
1972 112.30 100.60 85.50 31.70 7.00 1.50 6.70 43.80 30.10 43.60 56.20 109.40 628.40
1973 75.00 109.60 90.50 67.60 13.10 0.50 4.70 12.40 52.60 38.50 42.20 66.30 573.00
1974 111.10 110.80 78.00 48.30 9.90 11.00 21.30 33.80 24.70 28.60 28.40 110.00 615.90
1975 88.50 126.00 103.20 56.20 22.20 18.60 0.00 26.30 23.60 79.50 31.40 97.20 672.70
1976 122.80 98.80 90.30 28.20 52.60 13.40 16.10 6.70 59.20 6.50 19.90 80.60 595.10
1977 106.40 86.10 101.90 37.30 23.60 4.90 8.05 0.00 33.50 30.60 99.70 60.80 592.85
1978 87.30 87.60 113.50 53.50 9.10 6.30 0.00 0.00 51.80 19.50 98.60 105.41 632.61
1979 127.31 51.39 64.62 55.58 7.08 0.00 0.00 9.50 17.07 37.87 37.50 89.46 495.09
1980 132.19 96.08 102.25 20.97 26.11 0.00 0.59 9.55 36.61 61.40 42.68 82.91 610.19
1981 190.74 117.69 186.11 24.98 9.24 3.06 0.00 25.60 46.69 74.06 79.51 123.96 880.49
1982 194.65 115.63 117.07 94.23 1.73 4.50 0.00 14.28 40.21 56.05 84.14 84.86 806.20
1983 83.32 113.57 49.26 68.92 16.23 26.01 0.00 0.00 14.07 21.79 18.91 77.76 487.54
1984 161.83 164.81 141.66 28.68 0.00 0.00 9.96 43.19 6.05 60.38 126.12 123.45 863.82
1985 148.86 115.94 0.00 99.37 11.30 40.83 5.33 4.92 47.10 61.71 118.82 120.26 773.27
1986 134.36 131.17 155.45 67.89 17.37 0.00 4.09 15.51 63.46 40.11 59.86 130.03 818.13
1987 161.00 50.81 103.38 41.96 12.32 8.00 35.68 3.78 13.97 48.34 121.91 128.39 729.54
1988 114.91 95.46 117.58 77.87 23.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.61 48.49 30.12 83.01 592.33

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1989 107.19 59.65 138.78 25.80 31.15 0.00 0.49 41.55 28.79 48.65 48.23 96.70 625.83
1990 171.09 83.73 22.41 46.90 7.39 49.98 2.14 24.05 7.18 77.35 71.59 121.80 685.61
1991 101.53 67.89 79.51 60.79 25.60 31.15 0.00 0.00 26.21 35.27 51.42 52.86 529.93
1992 75.81 91.55 84.86 42.99 0.00 13.35 0.00 29.71 7.39 34.75 70.66 85.07 533.84
1993 129.52 84.97 102.05 62.02 26.11 0.39 7.69 31.57 6.77 41.85 72.00 102.87 667.81
1994 153.39 87.74 118.86 79.87 1.15 5.17 1.15 9.39 8.67 25.54 41.49 121.89 654.31
1995 81.67 85.89 131.06 52.35 8.31 0.00 4.20 0.00 7.49 13.66 40.62 79.62 502.56
1996 134.87 100.30 56.67 28.27 18.39 0.00 0.00 31.15 16.34 27.55 44.74 22.82 479.31
1997 147.73 101.74 104.10 37.84 8.21 0.00 0.29 13.66 17.47 22.92 48.85 112.34 613.99
1998 55.00 73.88 55.14 24.57 -0.79 3.40 0.00 0.00 23.11 32.42 73.44 35.00 373.24
1999 99.46 75.21 74.99 33.17 8.11 0.00 2.90 1.50 40.70 41.70 54.70 67.50 499.80
2000 93.20 97.80 95.40 48.30 7.10 18.10 4.10 12.70 20.40 75.00 26.10 112.50 610.70
2001 132.90 46.20 86.40 49.90 62.60 0.50 13.20 13.60 11.90 50.20 63.70 59.80 590.90
2002 158.85 125.70 107.90 42.30 10.10 0.50 27.20 19.70 39.50 48.80 115.30 74.40 770.25
2003 184.80 71.40 114.00 52.30 2.90 9.40 0.00 19.40 13.10 79.30 43.10 85.40 675.10
2004 236.30 126.80 79.40 39.80 11.70 21.40 6.00 11.40 31.20 45.80 60.20 83.80 753.80
2005 79.60 152.90 56.00 17.70 1.10 0.20 0.00 14.00 7.90 51.90 63.00 148.10 592.40
2006 165.00 83.10 61.30 62.60 2.80 5.40 0.00 20.80 29.20 71.30 62.00 98.10 661.60
2007 113.60 79.20 96.90 33.60 16.30 0.00 9.80 0.00 14.70 39.70 61.00 89.60 554.40
2008 168.20 62.70 60.30 40.60 24.70 2.80 1.80 7.70 7.10 48.30 56.00 133.70 613.90
2009 148.97 79.90 63.70 52.60 17.60 0.00 0.00 17.43 16.60 26.80 125.30 98.50 647.39

Los datos de precipitacion de color verde son los datos corregidos.

Figura 2.5.1-1 Análisis visual de la distribución temporal de la ESTACION 1


con datos corregidos de saltos

ESTACIÓN 1 Corregida de saltos


250.00
Precipitacion total mensual (mm)

200.00

150.00

100.00

50.00

0.00
0 100 200 300 400 500
-50.00
Tiempo (meses)

Ingeniería de Recursos Hídricos


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Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

2.5.2.- Análisis y corrección de saltos en la estación n°2

- Analisis de salto:

1er periodo N1 = 204 P1 = 23.04 S1 = 22.62


2do periodo N2 = 121 P2 = 56.15 S2 = 55.75

- Pruebas de medias:

Alfa = 0.05 G.L = 323 Sp = 38.42 Sd = 4.41 Tc = -7.51


Tt = 1.9673356

Como /Tc/ > Tt  P1 es diferente de P2, se concluye que existe salto en la


media.

- Prueba de varianza:

Como S1 > S2

Alfa = 0.05 GLN = 203 GLD = 120 Fc = 6.07


Ft = 1.3153772

Como Fc > Ft  S1 es diferente de S2, se concluye que existe salto en la


varianza.

- Corrección de saltos:
Como la media y desviación estándar resultan diferentes estadísticamente,
tendremos que corregir los datos del primer periodo (N1) para mantener los
datos estadísticos del periodo bueno, segundo periodo (N2); cuya ecuación
de corrección es:

𝑋𝑡 − 𝑃1
𝑋𝑡 ′ = (( ) ∗ 𝑆2) + 𝑃2
𝑆1
Reemplazando datos:

𝑋𝑡 − 23.04
𝑋𝑡 ′ = (( ) ∗ 55.75) + 56.15
22.62

𝑋𝑡 ′ = 2.464𝑋𝑡 − 0.627896

Ingeniería de Recursos Hídricos


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Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

Cuadro 2.5.2-1 Precipitación Total Mensual Histórica con datos Corregidos–


Estación 2

AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SET OCT NOV DIC TOTAL
1965 147.20 115.98 86.50 37.60 16.91 0.00 3.20 13.00 35.90 20.60 52.20 64.70 593.80
1966 50.30 140.40 33.80 7.70 35.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.70 65.60 77.50 101.60 536.10
1967 40.10 76.20 66.00 7.70 20.80 0.00 26.50 24.00 32.00 48.20 54.90 151.70 548.10
1968 183.90 175.90 89.70 11.20 2.00 0.00 22.20 36.00 3.70 4.70 5.00 7.70 542.00
1969 146.30 72.01 76.14 51.59 3.80 134.36 47.88 0.38 12.52 26.75 83.66 114.83 770.22
1970 130.08 159.78 137.07 58.96 4.25 1.13 0.21 2.93 75.97 48.80 17.65 120.85 757.68
1971 105.30 130.19 31.70 35.40 4.60 6.00 0.00 7.40 9.80 59.10 37.30 96.30 523.09
1972 112.30 100.60 85.50 31.70 7.00 1.50 6.70 43.80 30.10 43.60 56.20 109.40 628.40
1973 75.00 109.60 90.50 67.60 13.10 0.50 4.70 12.40 52.60 38.50 42.20 66.30 573.00
1974 111.10 110.80 78.00 48.30 9.90 11.00 21.30 33.80 24.70 28.60 28.40 110.00 615.90
1975 88.50 126.00 103.20 56.20 22.20 18.60 0.00 26.30 23.60 79.50 31.40 97.20 672.70
1976 122.80 98.80 90.30 28.20 52.60 13.40 16.10 6.70 59.20 6.50 19.90 80.60 595.10
1977 106.40 86.10 101.90 37.30 23.60 4.90 8.05 0.00 33.50 30.60 99.70 60.80 592.85
1978 87.30 87.60 113.50 53.50 9.10 6.30 0.00 0.00 51.80 19.50 98.60 105.41 632.61
1979 127.31 51.39 64.62 55.58 7.08 -1.15 -1.15 9.50 17.07 37.87 37.50 89.46 495.09
1980 132.19 96.08 102.25 20.97 26.11 -1.15 0.59 9.55 36.61 61.40 42.68 82.91 610.19
1981 190.74 117.69 186.11 24.98 9.24 3.06 0 25.60 46.69 74.06 79.51 123.96 880.49
1982 194.65 115.63 117.07 94.23 1.73 4.50 0.00 14.28 40.21 56.05 84.14 84.86 806.20
1983 83.32 113.57 49.26 68.92 16.23 26.01 0.00 0 14.07 21.79 18.91 77.76 487.54
1984 161.83 164.81 141.66 28.68 0.00 0.00 9.96 43.19 6.05 60.38 126.12 123.45 863.82
1985 148.86 115.94 0.00 99.37 11.30 40.83 5.33 4.92 47.10 61.71 118.82 120.26 773.27
1986 134.36 131.17 155.45 67.89 17.37 0.00 4.09 15.51 63.46 40.11 59.86 130.03 818.13
1987 161.00 50.81 103.38 41.96 12.32 8.00 35.68 3.78 13.97 48.34 121.91 128.39 729.54
1988 114.91 95.46 117.58 77.87 23.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.61 48.49 30.12 83.01 592.33
1989 107.19 59.65 138.78 25.80 31.15 -1.15 0.49 41.55 28.79 48.65 48.23 96.70 625.83
1990 171.09 83.73 22.41 46.90 7.39 49.98 2.14 24.05 7.18 77.35 71.59 121.80 685.61
1991 101.53 67.89 79.51 60.79 25.60 31.15 0.00 -1.15 26.21 35.27 51.42 52.86 529.93
1992 75.81 91.55 84.86 42.99 0.00 13.35 0.00 29.71 7.39 34.75 70.66 85.07 533.84
1993 129.52 84.97 102.05 62.02 26.11 0.39 7.69 31.57 6.77 41.85 72.00 102.87 667.81
1994 153.39 87.74 118.86 79.87 1.15 5.17 1.15 9.39 8.67 25.54 41.49 121.89 654.31
1995 81.67 85.89 131.06 52.35 8.31 0.00 4.20 0.00 7.49 13.66 40.62 79.62 502.56
1996 134.87 100.30 56.67 28.27 18.39 0.00 0.00 31.15 16.34 27.55 44.74 22.82 479.31
1997 147.73 101.74 104.10 37.84 8.21 0.00 0.29 13.66 17.47 22.92 48.85 112.34 613.99
1998 55.00 73.88 55.14 24.57 0.00 3.40 0.00 0.00 23.11 32.42 73.44 35.00 373.24
1999 99.46 75.21 74.99 33.17 8.11 -0.13 2.90 1.50 40.70 41.70 54.70 67.50 499.80
2000 93.20 97.80 95.40 48.30 7.10 18.10 4.10 12.70 20.40 75.00 26.10 112.50 610.70
2001 132.90 46.20 86.40 49.90 62.60 0.50 13.20 13.60 11.90 50.20 63.70 59.80 590.90

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Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

2002 158.85 125.70 107.90 42.30 10.10 0.50 27.20 19.70 39.50 48.80 115.30 74.40 770.25
2003 184.80 71.40 114.00 52.30 2.90 9.40 0.00 19.40 13.10 79.30 43.10 85.40 675.10
2004 236.30 126.80 79.40 39.80 11.70 21.40 6.00 11.40 31.20 45.80 60.20 83.80 753.80
2005 79.60 152.90 56.00 17.70 1.10 0.20 0.00 14.00 7.90 51.90 63.00 148.10 592.40
2006 165.00 83.10 61.30 62.60 2.80 5.40 0.00 20.80 29.20 71.30 62.00 98.10 661.60
2007 113.60 79.20 96.90 33.60 16.30 0.00 9.80 0.00 14.70 39.70 61.00 89.60 554.40
2008 168.20 62.70 60.30 40.60 24.70 2.80 1.80 7.70 7.10 48.30 56.00 133.70 613.90
2009 148.97 79.90 63.70 52.60 17.60 0.00 0.00 17.43 16.60 26.80 125.30 98.50 647.39

Los datos de precipitacion de color verde son los datos corregidos.

Figura 2.5.2-1 Análisis visual de la distribución temporal de la ESTACION 2


con datos corregidos de saltos

E2 Corregida de saltos
350.00

300.00
Precipitacion total mensual (mm)

250.00

200.00

150.00

100.00

50.00

0.00
0 100 200 300 400 500
-50.00
Tiempo (meses)

2.5.3.- Análisis y corrección de saltos en la estación n°4

- Análisis de salto:

1er periodo N1 = 474 P1 = 44.62 S1 = 39.68


2do periodo N2 = 66 P2 = 19.73 S2 = 18.37

- Pruebas de medias:

Alfa = 0.05 G.L = 538 Sp = 37.75 Sd = 4.96 Tc = 5.02


Tt = 1.9643832

Ingeniería de Recursos Hídricos


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Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

Como /Tc/ > Tt  P1 es diferente de P2, se concluye que existe salto en la


media.

- Prueba de varianza:

Como S1 > S2

Alfa = 0.05 GLN = 473 GLD = 65 Fc = 4.66


Ft = 1.391745

Como Fc > Ft  S1 es diferente de S2, se concluye que existe salto en la


varianza.

- Corrección de saltos:
Como la media y desviación estándar resultan diferentes estadísticamente,
tendremos que corregir los datos del primer periodo (N1) para mantener los
datos estadísticos del periodo bueno, segundo periodo (N2); cuya ecuación
de corrección es:

𝑋𝑡 − 𝑃1
𝑋𝑡 ′ = (( ) ∗ 𝑆2) + 𝑃2
𝑆1
Reemplazando datos:

𝑋𝑡 − 19.73
𝑋𝑡 ′ = (( ) ∗ 39.62) + 44.55
18.37

𝑋𝑡 ′ = 2.1593144𝑋𝑡 − 2.0092761

Cuadro 2.5.3-1 Precipitación Total Mensual Histórica con datos Corregidos–


Estación 4

AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SET OCT NOV DIC TOTAL
1965 125.12 61.12 73.53 31.96 0.00 0.00 2.72 11.05 30.52 17.51 44.37 55.00 452.88
1966 42.76 119.34 28.73 6.55 30.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.15 55.76 65.88 86.36 455.69
1967 34.09 64.77 56.10 6.55 17.68 0.00 22.53 20.40 27.20 40.97 46.67 128.95 465.89
1968 156.32 149.52 76.25 9.52 1.70 0.00 18.87 30.60 3.15 4.00 4.25 6.55 460.70
1969 124.36 61.21 64.72 43.85 3.23 114.21 40.70 0.32 10.64 18.63 71.11 97.61 650.58
1970 110.57 135.81 116.51 50.12 3.61 0.96 0.18 2.49 64.57 41.48 15.00 102.72 644.03
1971 89.51 207.49 26.95 30.09 3.91 5.10 0.00 6.29 8.33 50.24 31.71 81.86 541.45
1972 95.46 85.51 72.68 26.95 5.95 1.28 5.70 37.23 25.59 37.06 47.77 92.99 534.14
1973 63.75 93.16 76.93 57.46 11.14 0.43 4.00 10.54 44.71 32.73 35.87 56.36 487.05
1974 94.44 94.18 66.30 41.06 8.42 9.35 18.11 28.73 21.00 24.31 24.14 93.50 523.52
1975 75.23 107.10 87.72 47.77 18.87 15.81 0.00 22.36 20.06 67.58 26.69 82.62 571.80
1976 104.38 83.98 76.76 23.97 44.71 11.39 13.69 5.70 50.32 5.53 16.92 68.51 505.84

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Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

1977 90.44 73.19 92.91 31.71 20.06 4.17 4.08 0.00 28.48 26.01 84.75 51.68 507.45
1978 74.21 74.46 96.48 45.48 7.74 5.36 0.00 0.00 44.03 16.58 83.81 123.25 571.37
1979 148.58 60.78 76.08 65.62 9.52 0.00 0.00 12.33 21.08 45.14 44.71 104.81 588.63
1980 110.16 80.33 85.43 18.28 22.53 0.00 1.45 8.84 31.20 51.68 36.21 69.45 515.53
1981 158.53 98.18 154.70 21.59 8.59 3.49 0.00 22.10 39.53 62.14 66.64 103.36 738.82
1982 161.76 64.52 97.67 78.80 2.38 4.68 0.00 12.75 34.17 47.26 70.47 71.06 645.49
1983 69.79 94.78 41.65 57.89 14.37 22.44 0.00 0.00 12.58 18.96 16.58 65.20 414.21
1984 134.64 137.11 117.98 24.65 0.00 0.00 9.18 36.64 5.95 50.83 105.15 102.94 725.05
1985 123.93 96.73 92.65 83.05 10.29 34.68 5.36 5.02 39.87 51.94 99.11 100.30 742.90
1986 111.95 109.31 129.37 57.04 15.30 0.00 4.34 13.77 53.38 34.09 50.41 108.38 687.31
1987 133.96 42.93 86.36 35.62 11.14 7.57 30.43 4.08 12.50 40.89 101.66 107.02 614.13
1988 95.88 79.82 98.09 65.28 20.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.76 19.47 25.84 69.53 479.23
1989 89.51 50.24 115.60 22.27 26.69 0.00 0.00 35.28 24.74 41.14 40.80 80.84 527.09
1990 142.29 70.13 19.47 39.70 7.06 42.25 2.72 20.83 6.89 64.86 60.10 101.58 577.83
1991 84.83 57.04 66.64 51.17 22.10 26.69 0.00 0.00 22.61 30.09 43.44 44.63 449.23
1992 63.58 76.59 71.06 36.47 0.00 11.99 0.00 25.50 7.06 29.67 59.33 71.23 452.46
1993 107.95 71.15 85.26 52.19 22.53 1.28 7.31 27.03 6.55 35.53 60.44 85.94 563.13
1994 127.67 160.14 97.24 65.03 0.00 3.32 0.00 6.80 6.21 20.15 33.32 99.74 619.60
1995 68.43 71.91 109.23 44.20 7.82 0.00 4.42 0.00 7.14 12.24 34.51 66.73 426.62
1996 112.37 83.81 47.77 24.31 16.15 0.00 0.43 26.69 14.45 23.72 53.13 19.81 422.62
1997 123.00 85.00 86.96 32.22 7.74 0.00 1.19 12.24 15.39 19.89 41.31 93.76 518.67
1998 64.94 86.79 65.11 29.75 0.43 5.27 0.00 0.43 7.57 38.83 86.28 41.82 427.19
1999 116.37 88.32 88.06 39.70 10.71 1.19 2.47 1.28 34.60 35.45 46.50 57.38 521.99
2000 79.22 83.13 81.09 20.15 6.04 15.39 3.49 10.80 17.34 63.75 22.19 95.63 498.19
2001 112.97 39.27 73.44 42.42 53.21 0.43 11.22 11.56 10.12 42.67 54.15 50.83 502.27
2002 56.02 106.85 91.72 35.96 8.59 0.43 23.12 16.75 33.58 41.48 98.01 63.24 575.71
2003 73.92 28.56 45.60 20.92 1.16 3.76 0.00 7.76 5.24 31.72 17.24 34.16 270.04
2004 94.52 50.72 31.76 15.92 4.68 20.49 7.19 11.86 28.96 41.57 54.01 74.39 436.06
2005 70.76 134.07 50.38 17.30 2.96 2.18 2.01 14.10 8.83 46.84 56.42 129.93 535.78
2006 144.52 73.78 54.96 56.08 4.43 6.67 2.01 19.97 27.23 63.59 61.78 86.74 601.77
2007 100.13 70.42 85.70 31.03 16.09 2.01 10.47 2.01 14.71 36.30 54.70 79.40 502.96
2008 147.29 56.16 54.09 37.08 23.34 4.43 3.56 8.66 8.14 43.73 50.38 117.49 554.35
2009 118.70 71.02 57.03 47.44 17.21 2.01 2.01 2.01 16.35 25.16 110.23 87.09 556.25

Los datos de precipitacion de color verde son los datos corregidos.

Ingeniería de Recursos Hídricos


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Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

Figura 2.5.3-1 Análisis visual de la distribución temporal de la ESTACION 4


con datos corregidos de saltos
E4 Corregida de saltos
250.00
Precipitacion total mensual (mm)

200.00

150.00

100.00

50.00

0.00
0 100 200 300 400 500
Tiempo (meses)

2.6.- Análisis de las tendencias lineales en la Curva de Doble Masa corregida.

Cuadro 2.6-1 Precipitación Total Mensual y Acumulada para el análisis de CDM

Estacion 1 Estacion 2 Estacion 3 Estacion 4 Estacion 5 Prom.


Prom. 5
Acum.
Total Total Total Total Total estaciones
Acumulado Acumulado Acumulado Acumulado Acumulado 5 est.
593.80 593.80 827.26 827.26 716.49 716.49 452.88 452.88 799.20 799.20 677.93 677.93
536.10 1129.90 571.40 1398.66 524.91 1241.40 455.69 908.57 804.15 1603.35 578.45 1256.37
548.10 1678.00 754.70 2153.36 679.23 1920.63 465.89 1374.45 822.15 2425.50 654.01 1910.39
542.00 2220.00 658.40 2811.76 629.10 2549.73 460.70 1835.15 813.00 3238.50 620.64 2531.03
770.22 2990.22 593.20 3404.96 533.88 3083.61 650.58 2485.73 1148.09 4386.59 739.19 3270.22
757.68 3747.90 777.90 4182.86 700.11 3783.72 644.03 3129.76 1136.52 5523.11 803.25 4073.47
523.09 4270.99 586.60 4769.46 527.94 4311.66 541.45 3671.21 955.50 6478.61 626.92 4700.38
628.40 4899.39 675.10 5444.56 607.59 4919.25 534.14 4205.35 942.60 7421.21 677.57 5377.95
573.00 5472.39 637.32 6081.88 573.59 5492.84 487.05 4692.40 859.50 8280.71 626.09 6004.04
615.90 6088.29 704.00 6785.88 633.60 6126.44 523.52 5215.91 923.85 9204.56 680.17 6684.21
672.70 6760.99 613.30 7399.18 551.97 6678.41 571.80 5787.71 1009.05 10213.61 683.76 7367.98
595.10 7356.09 573.60 7972.78 516.24 7194.65 505.84 6293.54 892.65 11106.26 616.69 7984.66

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Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

592.85 7948.94 645.40 8618.18 580.86 7775.51 507.45 6800.99 895.50 12001.76 644.41 8629.07
632.61 8581.55 720.40 9338.58 721.89 8497.40 571.37 7372.36 1008.30 13010.06 730.91 9359.99
495.09 9076.64 708.40 10046.98 695.16 9192.56 588.63 7960.99 1038.75 14048.81 705.21 10065.19
610.19 9686.83 577.10 10624.08 519.39 9711.95 515.53 8476.51 909.75 14958.56 626.39 10691.58
880.49 10567.32 794.50 11418.58 715.05 10427.00 738.82 9215.33 1303.80 16262.36 886.53 11578.12
806.20 11373.51 367.42 11786.00 741.78 11168.78 645.49 9860.82 1139.10 17401.46 740.00 12318.11
487.54 11861.05 452.52 12238.52 420.03 11588.81 414.21 10275.03 730.95 18132.41 501.05 12819.16
863.82 12724.87 958.12 13196.64 881.64 12470.45 725.05 11000.08 1279.50 19411.91 941.63 13760.79
773.27 13498.14 846.63 14043.27 779.85 13250.30 742.90 11742.98 1311.00 20722.91 890.73 14651.52
818.13 14316.27 784.63 14827.90 723.24 13973.54 687.31 12430.29 1212.90 21935.81 845.24 15496.76
729.54 15045.82 487.52 15315.41 451.98 14425.52 614.13 13044.41 1083.75 23019.56 673.38 16170.14
592.33 15638.15 682.11 15997.52 629.64 15055.16 479.23 13523.64 845.70 23865.26 645.80 16815.95
625.83 16263.98 641.89 16639.41 567.95 15623.10 527.09 14050.73 930.15 24795.41 658.58 17474.52
685.61 16949.58 700.93 17340.34 660.42 16283.52 577.83 14628.56 1019.70 25815.11 728.90 18203.42
529.93 17479.51 713.26 18053.60 658.08 16941.60 449.23 15077.78 792.75 26607.86 628.65 18832.07
533.84 18013.35 599.20 18652.80 553.10 17494.70 452.46 15530.24 798.45 27406.31 587.41 19419.48
667.81 18681.16 758.40 19411.20 699.30 18194.00 563.13 16093.36 993.75 28400.06 736.48 20155.96
654.31 19335.47 682.50 20093.70 630.00 18824.00 619.60 16712.96 1093.41 29493.47 735.96 20891.92
502.56 19838.03 570.02 20663.73 527.31 19351.31 426.62 17139.58 752.85 30246.32 555.87 21447.79
479.31 20317.34 624.93 21288.66 577.44 19928.75 422.62 17562.20 745.80 30992.12 570.02 22017.81
613.99 20931.33 849.19 22137.85 782.19 20710.94 518.67 18080.87 915.30 31907.42 735.87 22753.68
373.24 21304.57 536.61 22674.46 496.80 21207.74 427.19 18508.06 753.87 32661.29 517.54 23271.22
499.80 21804.37 530.00 23204.46 605.66 21813.39 521.99 19030.05 921.15 33582.44 615.72 23886.94
610.70 22415.07 693.00 23897.46 623.70 22437.09 498.19 19528.23 879.15 34461.59 660.95 24547.89
590.90 23005.97 887.70 24785.16 798.93 23236.02 502.27 20030.50 886.35 35347.94 733.23 25281.12
770.25 23776.22 760.40 25545.56 684.36 23920.38 575.71 20606.20 1015.95 36363.89 761.33 26042.45
675.10 24451.32 728.10 26273.66 678.29 24598.67 270.04 20876.24 1012.65 37376.54 672.84 26715.28
753.80 25205.12 660.60 26934.26 594.50 25193.16 436.06 21312.30 1130.70 38507.24 715.13 27430.42
592.40 25797.52 471.60 27405.86 424.44 25617.60 535.78 21848.08 888.60 39395.84 582.56 28012.98
661.60 26459.12 909.20 28315.06 818.28 26435.88 601.77 22449.86 1003.20 40399.04 798.81 28811.79
554.40 27013.52 573.19 28888.24 527.76 26963.64 502.96 22952.82 831.60 41230.64 597.98 29409.77
613.90 27627.42 571.18 29459.42 514.06 27477.70 554.35 23507.17 920.85 42151.49 634.87 30044.64
647.39 28274.81 511.77 29971.19 438.21 27915.91 556.25 24063.42 924.15 43075.64 615.55 30660.19

Ingeniería de Recursos Hídricos


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Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

Figura 2.6-1 Determinación de la estación índice con datos corregidos por el


análisis CDM

CDM-CORREGIDA
50000.00

45000.00
Precipitacion ptotalacumulada (mm)

40000.00

35000.00

30000.00

25000.00

20000.00

15000.00

10000.00

5000.00

0.00
0.00 5000.00 10000.00 15000.00 20000.00 25000.00 30000.00 35000.00
Precipitacion promedio acumulada (mm)

E1 E2 E3 E4 E5

Mediante la gráfica podemos observar que las estaciones corregidas


tiene una tendencia lineal, tomaremos la estación 5 como estación
índice.

Ingeniería de Recursos Hídricos


Página30
Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

Figura 2.6-2 Análisis de CDM de la información corregida de saltos de


precipitación de la estación 1

ESTACIÓN 1 CORREGIDA

30000.00
Precipitacion ptotalacumulada

25000.00
ESTACIÓN 1 (mm)

20000.00

15000.00

10000.00

5000.00

0.00
0.00 5000.00 10000.00 15000.00 20000.00 25000.00 30000.00 35000.00 40000.00 45000.00 50000.00
Precipitacion promedio acumulada ESTACIÓN 5 (mm)

Figura 2.6-3 Análisis de CDM de la información corregida de saltos de


precipitación de la estación 2

ESTACIÓN 2 CORREGIDA
35000.00
Precipitacion ptotalacumulada ESTACIÓN

30000.00

25000.00

20000.00
2 (mm)

15000.00

10000.00

5000.00

0.00
0.00 5000.00 10000.00 15000.00 20000.00 25000.00 30000.00 35000.00 40000.00 45000.00 50000.00
Precipitacion promedio acumulada ESTACIÓN 1 (mm)

Ingeniería de Recursos Hídricos


Página31
Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

Figura 2.6-4 Análisis de CDM de la información corregida de saltos de


precipitación de la estación 4

ESTACIÓN 4 CORREGIDA
30000.00
Precipitacion ptotalacumulada (mm)

25000.00

20000.00

15000.00

10000.00

5000.00

0.00
0.00 5000.00 10000.00 15000.00 20000.00 25000.00 30000.00 35000.00 40000.00 45000.00 50000.00
Precipitacion promedio acumulada (mm)

2.7.- Análisis de las tendencias de la media y desviación estándar de las


estaciones.
2.7.1.- Análisis de las tendencias de la media y desviación estándar de la
estación n°1

Cuadro 2.7.1-1 Precipitación Total Mensual Histórica con datos Corregidos–


Estación 1

ESTACION 1-CORREGIDA
t AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SET OCT NOV DIC TOTAL Sp Sp * P
1 1965 147.20 115.98 86.50 37.60 16.91 0.00 3.20 13.00 35.90 20.60 52.20 64.70 593.79 46.44 46.44
2 1966 50.30 140.40 33.80 7.70 35.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.70 65.60 77.50 101.60 536.1 148.86 297.72
3 1967 40.10 76.20 66.00 7.70 20.80 0.00 26.50 24.00 32.00 48.20 54.90 151.70 548.1 150.39 451.16
4 1968 183.90 175.90 89.70 11.20 2.00 0.00 22.20 36.00 3.70 4.70 5.00 7.70 542 155.88 623.51
5 1969 146.30 72.01 76.14 51.59 3.80 134.36 47.88 0.38 12.52 26.75 83.66 114.83 770.22 210.27 1051.33
6 1970 130.08 159.78 137.07 58.96 4.25 1.13 0.21 2.93 75.97 48.80 17.65 120.85 757.68 209.99 1259.94
7 1971 105.30 130.19 31.70 35.40 4.60 6.00 0.00 7.40 9.80 59.10 37.30 96.30 523.09 145.67 1019.71
8 1972 112.30 100.60 85.50 31.70 7.00 1.50 6.70 43.80 30.10 43.60 56.20 109.40 628.4 171.65 1373.23
9 1973 75.00 109.60 90.50 67.60 13.10 0.50 4.70 12.40 52.60 38.50 42.20 66.30 573 156.17 1405.55
10 1974 111.10 110.80 78.00 48.30 9.90 11.00 21.30 33.80 24.70 28.60 28.40 110.00 615.9 168.28 1682.83
11 1975 88.50 126.00 103.20 56.20 22.20 18.60 0.00 26.30 23.60 79.50 31.40 97.20 672.7 183.25 2015.79
12 1976 122.80 98.80 90.30 28.20 52.60 13.40 16.10 6.70 59.20 6.50 19.90 80.60 595.1 162.82 1953.79
13 1977 106.40 86.10 101.90 37.30 23.60 4.90 8.05 0.00 33.50 30.60 99.70 60.80 592.85 162.35 2110.53
14 1978 87.30 87.60 113.50 53.50 9.10 6.30 0.00 0.00 51.80 19.50 98.60 105.41 632.61 173.73 2432.25
15 1979 127.31 51.39 64.62 55.58 7.08 0.00 0.00 9.50 17.07 37.87 37.50 89.46 497.4 136.81 2052.12

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Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

16 1980 132.19 96.08 102.25 20.97 26.11 0.00 0.59 9.55 36.61 61.40 42.68 82.91 611.342 167.70 2683.16
17 1981 190.74 117.69 186.11 24.98 9.24 3.06 0.00 25.60 46.69 74.06 79.51 123.96 881.64 243.17 4133.84
18 1982 194.65 115.63 117.07 94.23 1.73 4.50 0.00 14.28 40.21 56.05 84.14 84.86 807.35 221.36 3984.45
19 1983 83.32 113.57 49.26 68.92 16.23 26.01 0.00 -1.15 14.07 21.79 18.91 77.76 488.69 134.94 2563.89
20 1984 161.83 164.81 141.66 28.68 0.00 0.00 9.96 43.19 6.05 60.38 126.12 123.45 866.13 239.22 4784.46
21 1985 148.86 115.94 -1.15 99.37 11.30 40.83 5.33 4.92 47.10 61.71 118.82 120.26 773.2 212.12 4454.45
22 1986 134.36 131.17 155.45 67.89 17.37 0.00 4.09 15.51 63.46 40.11 59.86 130.03 819.28 224.69 4943.17
23 1987 161.00 50.81 103.38 41.96 12.32 8.00 35.68 3.78 13.97 48.34 121.91 128.39 729.54 200.50 4611.61
24 1988 114.91 95.46 117.58 77.87 23.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.61 48.49 30.12 83.01 595.79 164.62 3950.96
25 1989 107.19 59.65 138.78 25.80 31.15 0.00 0.49 41.55 28.79 48.65 48.23 96.70 626.98 171.77 4294.34
26 1990 171.09 83.73 22.41 46.90 7.39 49.98 2.14 24.05 7.18 77.35 71.59 121.80 685.61 188.02 4888.58
27 1991 101.53 67.89 79.51 60.79 25.60 31.15 0.00 0.00 26.21 35.27 51.42 52.86 532.24 144.48 3901.04
28 1992 75.81 91.55 84.86 42.99 -1.15 13.35 0.00 29.71 7.39 34.75 70.66 85.07 534.99 146.42 4099.87
29 1993 129.52 84.97 102.05 62.02 26.11 0.39 7.69 31.57 6.77 41.85 72.00 102.87 667.81 182.29 5286.40
30 1994 153.39 87.74 118.86 79.87 1.15 5.17 1.15 9.39 8.67 25.54 41.49 121.89 654.3 181.54 5446.31
31 1995 81.67 85.89 131.06 52.35 8.31 0.00 4.20 0.00 7.49 13.66 40.62 79.62 504.87 141.01 4371.41
32 1996 134.87 100.30 56.67 28.27 18.39 0.00 0.00 31.15 16.34 27.55 44.74 22.82 481.10 132.58 4242.50
33 1997 147.73 101.74 104.10 37.84 8.21 0.00 0.29 13.66 17.47 22.92 48.85 112.34 615.15 170.42 5623.71
34 1998 55.00 73.88 55.14 24.57 0.00 3.40 0.00 0.00 23.11 32.42 73.44 35.00 375.97 103.66 3524.36
35 1999 99.46 75.21 74.99 33.17 8.11 0.00 2.90 1.50 40.70 41.70 54.70 67.50 499.92 136.77 4786.94
36 2000 93.20 97.80 95.40 48.30 7.10 18.10 4.10 12.70 20.40 75.00 26.10 112.50 610.7 167.28 6022.18
37 2001 132.90 46.20 86.40 49.90 62.60 0.50 13.20 13.60 11.90 50.20 63.70 59.80 590.9 160.72 5946.67
38 2002 158.85 125.70 107.90 42.30 10.10 0.50 27.20 19.70 39.50 48.80 115.30 74.40 770.25 210.51 7999.21
39 2003 184.80 71.40 114.00 52.30 2.90 9.40 0.00 19.40 13.10 79.30 43.10 85.40 675.1 185.74 7243.87
40 2004 236.30 126.80 79.40 39.80 11.70 21.40 6.00 11.40 31.20 45.80 60.20 83.80 753.8 207.14 8285.59
41 2005 79.60 152.90 56.00 17.70 1.10 0.20 0.00 14.00 7.90 51.90 63.00 148.10 592.4 166.47 6825.24
42 2006 165.00 83.10 61.30 62.60 2.80 5.40 0.00 20.80 29.20 71.30 62.00 98.10 661.6 181.00 7602.14
43 2007 113.60 79.20 96.90 33.60 16.30 0.00 9.80 0.00 14.70 39.70 61.00 89.60 554.4 152.41 6553.65
44 2008 168.20 62.70 60.30 40.60 24.70 2.80 1.80 7.70 7.10 48.30 56.00 133.70 613.9 169.65 7464.71
45 2009 148.97 79.90 63.70 52.60 17.60 0.00 0.00 17.43 16.60 26.80 125.30 98.50 647.391 178.36 8026.09
St 13.1339255 S Tsp 35.32
Prom Prom
t 23 Tsp 170.43
Prom.
n 45 Tsp*P 3962.68

Ingeniería de Recursos Hídricos


Página33
Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

- Cuadro 2.7.1-2 Tabla de datos para hallar la tendencia de la media

Mes (t) P (Xt) (Xt-PTm) ^2 (t -Pt) ^2 t * Tm p ‫ג‬


1965 1 147.20 8972.05 72630.25 147.20
1965 2 115.98 4032.91 72092.25 231.97
1965 3 86.50 1157.42 71556.25 259.50
1965 4 37.60 221.39 71022.25 150.40
1965 5 16.91 1265.01 70490.25 84.56
1965 6 0.00 2754.05 69960.25 0.00
1965 7 3.20 2428.43 69432.25 22.40
1965 8 13.00 1558.60 68906.25 104.00
1965 9 35.90 274.87 68382.25 323.10
1965 10 20.60 1016.28 67860.25 206.00
1965 11 52.20 0.08 67340.25 574.20
1965 12 64.70 149.35 66822.25 776.40
1966 13 50.30 4.75 66306.25 653.90
1966 14 140.40 7730.09 65792.25 1965.60
1966 15 33.80 348.91 65280.25 507.00
1966 16 7.70 2005.17 64770.25 123.20
1966 17 35.50 288.29 64262.25 603.50
1966 18 0.00 2754.05 63756.25 0.00
1966 19 0.00 2754.05 63252.25 0.00
1966 20 0.00 2754.05 62750.25 0.00
1966 21 23.70 828.24 62250.25 497.70
1966 22 65.60 172.16 61752.25 1443.20
1966 23 77.50 626.05 61256.25 1782.50
1966 24 101.60 2412.86 60762.25 2438.40
1967 25 40.10 153.24 60270.25 1002.50
1967 26 76.20 562.68 59780.25 1981.20
1967 27 66.00 182.82 59292.25 1782.00
1967 28 7.70 2005.17 58806.25 215.60
1967 29 20.80 1003.56 58322.25 603.20
1967 30 0.00 2754.05 57840.25 0.00
1967 31 26.50 674.91 57360.25 821.50
1967 32 24.00 811.06 56882.25 768.00
1967 33 32.00 419.39 56406.25 1056.00
1967 34 48.20 18.31 55932.25 1638.80
1967 35 54.90 5.86 55460.25 1921.50
1967 36 151.70 9844.79 54990.25 5461.20
1968 37 183.90 17271.46 54522.25 6804.30
1968 38 175.90 15232.72 54056.25 6684.20
1968 39 89.70 1385.40 53592.25 3498.30
1968 40 11.20 1703.96 53130.25 448.00
1968 41 2.00 2548.14 52670.25 82.00
1968 42 0.00 2754.05 52212.25 0.00
1968 43 22.20 916.82 51756.25 954.60
1968 44 36.00 271.56 51302.25 1584.00
1968 45 3.70 2379.40 50850.25 166.50
1968 46 4.70 2282.84 50400.25 216.20
1968 47 5.00 2254.26 49952.25 235.00
1968 48 7.70 2005.17 49506.25 369.60
1969 49 146.30 8802.36 49062.25 7168.70
1969 50 72.01 381.46 48620.25 3600.50

Ingeniería de Recursos Hídricos


Página34
Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

1969 51 76.14 559.84 48180.25 3883.14


1969 52 51.59 0.79 47742.25 2682.68
1969 53 3.80 2369.65 47306.25 201.40
1969 54 134.36 6704.48 46872.25 7255.44
1969 55 47.88 21.15 46440.25 2633.40
1969 56 0.38 2714.31 46010.25 21.28
1969 57 12.52 1596.73 45582.25 713.64
1969 58 26.75 661.99 45156.25 1551.50
1969 59 83.66 972.25 44732.25 4935.94
1969 60 114.83 3887.64 44310.25 6889.80
1970 61 130.08 6021.90 43890.25 7934.88
1970 62 159.78 11513.49 43472.25 9906.36
1970 63 137.07 7155.62 43056.25 8635.41
1970 64 58.96 42.00 42642.25 3773.44
1970 65 4.25 2326.04 42230.25 276.25
1970 66 1.13 2636.73 41820.25 74.58
1970 67 0.21 2732.06 41412.25 14.07
1970 68 2.93 2455.11 41006.25 199.24
1970 69 75.97 551.82 40602.25 5241.93
1970 70 48.80 13.54 40200.25 3416.00
1970 71 17.65 1213.07 39800.25 1253.15
1970 72 120.85 4674.58 39402.25 8701.20
1971 73 105.30 2790.05 39006.25 7686.90
1971 74 130.19 6038.99 38612.25 9634.06
1971 75 31.70 431.77 38220.25 2377.50
1971 76 35.40 291.70 37830.25 2690.40
1971 77 4.60 2292.41 37442.25 354.20
1971 78 6.00 2160.31 37056.25 468.00
1971 79 0.00 2754.05 36672.25 0.00
1971 80 7.40 2032.12 36290.25 592.00
1971 81 9.80 1821.50 35910.25 793.80
1971 82 59.10 43.84 35532.25 4846.20
1971 83 37.30 230.40 35156.25 3095.90
1971 84 96.30 1920.27 34782.25 8089.20
1972 85 112.30 3578.54 34410.25 9545.50
1972 86 100.60 2315.62 34040.25 8651.60
1972 87 85.50 1090.38 33672.25 7438.50
1972 88 31.70 431.77 33306.25 2789.60
1972 89 7.00 2068.35 32942.25 623.00
1972 90 1.50 2598.87 32580.25 135.00
1972 91 6.70 2095.72 32220.25 609.70
1972 92 43.80 75.33 31862.25 4029.60
1972 93 30.10 500.82 31506.25 2799.30
1972 94 43.60 78.84 31152.25 4098.40
1972 95 56.20 13.85 30800.25 5339.00
1972 96 109.40 3239.99 30450.25 10502.40
1972 97 112.30 3578.54 30102.25 10893.10
1973 98 109.60 3262.80 29756.25 10740.80
1973 99 90.50 1445.59 29412.25 8959.50
1973 100 67.60 228.64 29070.25 6760.00
1973 101 13.10 1550.71 28730.25 1323.10
1973 102 0.50 2701.83 28392.25 51.00
1973 103 4.70 2282.84 28056.25 484.10
1973 104 12.40 1606.33 27722.25 1289.60

Ingeniería de Recursos Hídricos


Página35
Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

1973 105 52.60 0.01 27390.25 5523.00


1973 106 38.50 195.41 27060.25 4081.00
1973 107 42.20 105.66 26732.25 4515.40
1973 108 66.30 191.02 26406.25 7160.40
1974 109 111.10 3436.41 26082.25 12109.90
1974 110 110.80 3401.33 25760.25 12188.00
1974 111 78.00 651.32 25440.25 8658.00
1974 112 48.30 17.46 25122.25 5409.60
1974 113 9.90 1812.98 24806.25 1118.70
1974 114 11.00 1720.51 24492.25 1254.00
1974 115 21.30 972.14 24180.25 2449.50
1974 116 33.80 348.91 23870.25 3920.80
1974 117 24.70 771.68 23562.25 2889.90
1974 118 28.60 570.21 23256.25 3374.80
1974 119 28.40 579.80 22952.25 3379.60
1974 120 110.00 3308.66 22650.25 13200.00
1975 121 88.50 1297.51 22350.25 10708.50
1975 122 126.00 5405.32 22052.25 15372.00
1975 123 103.20 2572.61 21756.25 12693.60
1975 124 56.20 13.85 21462.25 6968.80
1975 125 22.20 916.82 21170.25 2775.00
1975 126 18.60 1147.79 20880.25 2343.60
1975 127 0.00 2754.05 20592.25 0.00
1975 128 26.30 685.34 20306.25 3366.40
1975 129 23.60 834.00 20022.25 3044.40
1975 130 79.50 730.13 19740.25 10335.00
1975 131 31.40 444.33 19460.25 4113.40
1975 132 97.20 1999.96 19182.25 12830.40
1976 133 122.80 4945.03 18906.25 16332.40
1976 134 98.80 2145.63 18632.25 13239.20
1976 135 90.30 1430.42 18360.25 12190.50
1976 136 28.20 589.47 18090.25 3835.20
1976 137 52.60 0.01 17822.25 7206.20
1976 138 13.40 1527.18 17556.25 1849.20
1976 139 16.10 1323.44 17292.25 2237.90
1976 140 6.70 2095.72 17030.25 938.00
1976 141 59.20 45.17 16770.25 8347.20
1976 142 6.50 2114.08 16512.25 923.00
1976 143 19.90 1061.40 16256.25 2845.70
1976 144 80.60 790.79 16002.25 11606.40
1977 145 106.40 2907.46 15750.25 15428.00
1977 146 86.10 1130.37 15500.25 12570.60
1977 147 101.90 2442.43 15252.25 14979.30
1977 148 37.30 230.40 15006.25 5520.40
1977 149 23.60 834.00 14762.25 3516.40
1977 150 4.90 2263.77 14520.25 735.00
1977 151 8.05 1973.94 14280.25 1215.55
1977 152 0.00 2754.05 14042.25 0.00
1977 153 33.50 360.21 13806.25 5125.50
1977 154 30.60 478.69 13572.25 4712.40
1977 155 99.70 2229.81 13340.25 15453.50
1977 156 60.80 69.24 13110.25 9484.80
1978 157 87.30 1212.50 12882.25 13706.10
1978 158 87.60 1233.48 12656.25 13840.80

Ingeniería de Recursos Hídricos


Página36
Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

1978 159 113.50 3723.55 12432.25 18046.50


1978 160 53.50 1.04 12210.25 8560.00
1978 161 9.10 1881.75 11990.25 1465.10
1978 162 6.30 2132.51 11772.25 1020.60
1978 163 0.00 2754.05 11556.25 0.00
1978 164 0.00 2754.05 11342.25 0.00
1978 165 51.80 0.46 11130.25 8547.00
1978 166 19.50 1087.62 10920.25 3237.00
1978 167 98.60 2127.14 10712.25 16466.20
1978 168 105.41 2801.98 10506.25 17709.35
1979 169 127.31 5600.31 10302.25 21516.11
1979 170 51.39 1.18 10100.25 8736.97
1979 171 64.62 147.48 9900.25 11050.54
1979 172 55.58 9.64 9702.25 9560.31
1979 173 7.08 2061.40 9506.25 1224.23
1979 174 0.00 2754.05 9312.25 0.00
1979 175 0.00 2754.05 9120.25 0.00
1979 176 9.50 1847.05 8930.25 1672.32
1979 177 17.07 1253.68 8742.25 3021.71
1979 178 37.87 213.40 8556.25 6741.02
1979 179 37.50 224.27 8372.25 6713.11
1979 180 89.46 1367.91 8190.25 16103.59
1980 181 132.19 6354.52 8010.25 23927.18
1980 182 96.08 1900.95 7832.25 17486.36
1980 183 102.25 2477.39 7656.25 18712.21
1980 184 20.97 993.01 7482.25 3857.94
1980 185 26.11 695.24 7310.25 4830.66
1980 186 0.00 2754.05 7140.25 0.00
1980 187 0.59 2692.04 6972.25 111.12
1980 188 9.55 1843.26 6806.25 1794.63
1980 189 36.61 251.93 6642.25 6918.68
1980 190 61.40 79.65 6480.25 11666.76
1980 191 42.68 96.07 6320.25 8151.40
1980 192 82.91 925.96 6162.25 15918.45
1981 193 190.74 19116.21 6006.25 36812.91
1981 194 117.69 4252.00 5852.25 22831.17
1981 195 186.11 17857.29 5700.25 36291.50
1981 196 24.98 756.21 5550.25 4896.05
1981 197 9.24 1869.86 5402.25 1819.74
1981 198 3.06 2441.88 5256.25 606.61
1981 199 0.00 2754.05 5112.25 0.00
1981 200 25.60 722.63 4970.25 5119.45
1981 201 46.69 33.51 4830.25 9384.75
1981 202 74.06 465.73 4692.25 14960.08
1981 203 79.51 730.84 4556.25 16141.17
1981 204 123.96 5109.94 4422.25 25288.43
1982 205 194.65 20212.68 4290.25 39903.33
1982 206 115.63 3987.86 4160.25 23819.49
1982 207 117.07 4171.87 4032.25 24233.30
1982 208 94.23 1742.88 3906.25 19599.18
1982 209 1.73 2575.87 3782.25 360.75
1982 210 4.50 2301.59 3660.25 945.87
1982 211 0.00 2754.05 3540.25 0.00
1982 212 14.28 1459.25 3422.25 3027.15

Ingeniería de Recursos Hídricos


Página37
Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

1982 213 40.21 150.58 3306.25 8564.31


1982 214 56.05 12.78 3192.25 11995.46
1982 215 84.14 1002.62 3080.25 18090.82
1982 216 84.86 1048.76 2970.25 18330.53
1983 217 83.32 951.17 2862.25 18080.48
1983 218 113.57 3732.19 2756.25 24758.42
1983 219 49.26 10.35 2652.25 10788.51
1983 220 68.92 270.14 2550.25 15161.34
1983 221 16.23 1313.71 2450.25 3587.71
1983 222 26.01 700.68 2352.25 5773.95
1983 223 0.00 2754.05 2256.25 0.00
1983 224 -1.15 2876.61 2162.25 -258.71
1983 225 14.07 1475.01 2070.25 3166.47
1983 226 21.79 941.81 1980.25 4924.58
1983 227 18.91 1126.94 1892.25 4292.38
1983 228 77.76 639.33 1806.25 17730.18
1984 229 161.83 11957.08 1722.25 37058.50
1984 230 164.81 12618.55 1640.25 37906.63
1984 231 141.66 7953.33 1560.25 32723.58
1984 232 28.68 566.21 1482.25 6654.69
1984 233 0.00 2754.05 1406.25 0.00
1984 234 0.00 2754.05 1332.25 0.00
1984 235 9.96 1808.09 1260.25 2340.01
1984 236 43.19 86.25 1190.25 10193.29
1984 237 6.05 2155.89 1122.25 1433.27
1984 238 60.38 62.35 1056.25 14369.26
1984 239 126.12 5423.52 992.25 30143.56
1984 240 123.45 5036.65 930.25 29627.63
1985 241 148.86 9289.86 870.25 35875.99
1985 242 115.94 4026.94 812.25 28056.82
1985 243 -1.15 2876.61 756.25 -280.65
1985 244 99.37 2198.90 702.25 24246.64
1985 245 11.30 1696.12 650.25 2767.30
1985 246 40.83 135.81 600.25 10043.05
1985 247 5.33 2223.29 552.25 1315.85
1985 248 4.92 2262.27 506.25 1219.10
1985 249 47.10 28.91 462.25 11728.36
1985 250 61.71 85.26 420.25 15428.17
1985 251 118.82 4400.89 380.25 29823.38
1985 252 120.26 4594.08 342.25 30305.21
1986 253 134.36 6703.68 306.25 33991.84
1986 254 131.17 6191.54 272.25 33316.02
1986 255 155.45 10602.63 240.25 39639.28
1986 256 67.89 237.38 210.25 17378.88
1986 257 17.37 1232.94 182.25 4463.01
1986 258 0.00 2754.05 156.25 0.00
1986 259 4.09 2341.25 132.25 1059.98
1986 260 15.51 1366.44 110.25 4033.57
1986 261 63.46 120.62 90.25 16563.54
1986 262 40.11 153.11 72.25 10507.55
1986 263 59.86 54.49 56.25 15743.33
1986 264 130.03 6014.70 42.25 34328.87
1987 265 161.00 11777.74 30.25 42666.16
1987 266 50.81 2.80 20.25 13514.40

Ingeniería de Recursos Hídricos


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Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

1987 267 103.38 2591.34 12.25 27603.61


1987 268 41.96 110.71 6.25 11244.53
1987 269 12.32 1612.43 2.25 3315.16
1987 270 8.00 1978.16 0.25 2160.68
1987 271 35.68 282.18 0.25 9669.48
1987 272 3.78 2371.22 2.25 1029.22
1987 273 13.97 1482.93 6.25 3813.90
1987 274 48.34 17.16 12.25 13244.22
1987 275 121.91 4819.96 20.25 33523.89
1987 276 128.39 5762.06 30.25 35434.90
1988 277 114.91 3897.41 42.25 31829.61
1988 278 95.46 1847.49 56.25 26538.31
1988 279 117.58 4238.59 72.25 32805.81
1988 280 77.87 644.54 90.25 21802.72
1988 281 23.75 825.64 110.25 6672.39
1988 282 0.00 2754.05 132.25 0.00
1988 283 0.00 2754.05 156.25 0.00
1988 284 0.00 2754.05 182.25 0.00
1988 285 4.61 2291.73 210.25 1313.01
1988 286 48.49 15.91 240.25 13868.40
1988 287 30.12 499.73 272.25 8645.74
1988 288 83.01 932.23 306.25 23907.31
1989 289 107.19 2993.43 342.25 30978.30
1989 290 59.65 51.49 380.25 17299.89
1989 291 138.78 7447.76 420.25 40384.84
1989 292 25.80 711.61 462.25 7534.48
1989 293 31.15 454.78 506.25 9127.96
1989 294 0.00 2754.05 552.25 0.00
1989 295 0.49 2702.73 600.25 144.95
1989 296 41.55 119.54 650.25 12297.51
1989 297 28.79 561.32 702.25 8549.71
1989 298 48.65 14.70 756.25 14496.29
1989 299 48.23 18.02 812.25 14421.87
1989 300 96.70 1955.16 870.25 29008.88
1990 301 171.09 14068.05 930.25 51497.46
1990 302 83.73 976.73 992.25 25286.99
1990 303 22.41 904.30 1056.25 6789.49
1990 304 46.90 31.17 1122.25 14256.41
1990 305 7.39 2033.46 1190.25 2252.48
1990 306 49.98 6.23 1260.25 15294.76
1990 307 2.14 2534.26 1332.25 656.25
1990 308 24.05 808.00 1406.25 7408.58
1990 309 7.18 2052.06 1482.25 2218.43
1990 310 77.35 618.68 1560.25 23979.24
1990 311 71.59 365.24 1640.25 22264.61
1990 312 121.80 4805.69 1722.25 38002.27
1991 313 101.53 2406.21 1806.25 31779.59
1991 314 67.89 237.38 1892.25 21316.28
1991 315 79.51 730.84 1980.25 25046.64
1991 316 60.79 69.02 2070.25 19208.57
1991 317 25.60 722.63 2162.25 8114.32
1991 318 31.15 454.78 2256.25 9906.80
1991 319 0.00 2754.05 2352.25 0.00
1991 320 0.00 2754.05 2450.25 0.00

Ingeniería de Recursos Hídricos


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Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

1991 321 26.21 689.82 2550.25 8414.88


1991 322 35.27 296.18 2652.25 11356.67
1991 323 51.42 1.11 2756.25 16609.75
1991 324 52.86 0.15 2862.25 17127.89
1992 325 75.81 544.28 2970.25 24637.93
1992 326 91.55 1526.66 3080.25 29845.83
1992 327 84.86 1048.76 3192.25 27750.39
1992 328 42.99 90.12 3306.25 14099.45
1992 329 -1.15 2876.61 3422.25 -379.98
1992 330 13.35 1530.85 3540.25 4406.48
1992 331 0.00 2754.05 3660.25 0.00
1992 332 29.71 518.30 3782.25 9864.70
1992 333 7.39 2033.46 3906.25 2459.26
1992 334 34.75 314.15 4032.25 11608.07
1992 335 70.66 330.70 4160.25 23672.56
1992 336 85.07 1062.13 4290.25 28583.31
1993 337 129.52 5935.17 4422.25 43647.95
1993 338 84.97 1055.43 4556.25 28718.67
1993 339 102.05 2456.95 4692.25 34593.83
1993 340 62.02 91.05 4830.25 21087.26
1993 341 26.11 695.24 4970.25 8904.09
1993 342 0.39 2713.43 5112.25 132.85
1993 343 7.69 2005.72 5256.25 2638.99
1993 344 31.57 437.40 5402.25 10858.37
1993 345 6.77 2089.52 5550.25 2334.89
1993 346 41.85 112.89 5700.25 14481.59
1993 347 72.00 381.14 5852.25 24984.68
1993 348 102.87 2539.23 6006.25 35798.71
1994 349 153.39 10183.07 6162.25 53533.22
1994 350 87.74 1243.29 6320.25 30708.79
1994 351 118.86 4407.03 6480.25 41721.45
1994 352 79.87 750.16 6642.25 28113.56
1994 353 1.15 2634.17 6806.25 407.70
1994 354 5.17 2238.36 6972.25 1829.39
1994 355 1.15 2634.17 7140.25 410.01
1994 356 9.39 1856.98 7310.25 3341.55
1994 357 8.67 1919.57 7482.25 3093.81
1994 358 25.54 725.68 7656.25 9143.53
1994 359 41.49 120.78 7832.25 14894.55
1994 360 121.89 4817.82 8010.25 43880.25
1995 361 81.67 852.34 8190.25 29484.28
1995 362 85.89 1116.46 8372.25 31093.09
1995 363 131.06 6175.36 8556.25 47575.70
1995 364 52.35 0.02 8742.25 19055.18
1995 365 8.31 1950.80 8930.25 3033.59
1995 366 0.00 2754.05 9120.25 0.00
1995 367 4.20 2331.31 9312.25 1539.74
1995 368 0.00 2754.05 9506.25 0.00
1995 369 7.49 2024.19 9702.25 2763.09
1995 370 13.66 1506.79 9900.25 5054.81
1995 371 40.62 140.65 10100.25 15069.87
1995 372 79.62 736.41 10302.25 29617.17
1996 373 134.87 6788.19 10506.25 50306.35
1996 374 100.30 2286.60 10712.25 37511.28

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Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

1996 375 56.67 17.57 10920.25 21251.59


1996 376 28.27 585.96 11130.25 10630.44
1996 377 18.39 1161.74 11342.25 6934.81
1996 378 0.00 2754.05 11556.25 0.00
1996 379 0.00 2754.05 11772.25 0.00
1996 380 31.15 454.78 11990.25 11838.31
1996 381 16.34 1306.26 12210.25 6224.34
1996 382 27.55 621.35 12432.25 10524.94
1996 383 44.74 59.97 12656.25 17133.63
1996 384 22.82 879.71 12882.25 8762.54
1997 385 147.73 9072.96 13110.25 56876.51
1997 386 101.74 2426.44 13340.25 39270.88
1997 387 104.10 2665.19 13572.25 40288.47
1997 388 37.84 214.26 13806.25 14682.50
1997 389 8.21 1959.90 14042.25 3193.03
1997 390 0.00 2754.05 14280.25 0.00
1997 391 0.29 2724.17 14520.25 111.65
1997 392 13.66 1506.79 14762.25 5355.36
1997 393 17.47 1225.73 15006.25 6865.19
1997 394 22.92 873.62 15252.25 9031.27
1997 395 48.85 13.16 15500.25 19296.16
1997 396 112.34 3582.85 15750.25 44485.06
1998 397 55.00 6.33 16002.25 21833.10
1998 398 73.88 458.15 16256.25 29405.61
1998 399 55.14 7.09 16512.25 22001.74
1998 400 24.57 779.01 16770.25 9827.32
1998 401 0.00 2754.05 17030.25 0.00
1998 402 3.40 2408.59 17292.25 1367.50
1998 403 0.00 2754.05 17556.25 0.00
1998 404 0.00 2754.05 17822.25 0.00
1998 405 23.11 862.36 18090.25 9360.80
1998 406 32.42 402.46 18360.25 13161.53
1998 407 73.44 439.46 18632.25 29891.08
1998 408 35.00 305.36 18906.25 14281.87
1999 409 99.46 2207.18 19182.25 40679.01
1999 410 75.21 516.53 19460.25 30834.60
1999 411 74.99 506.55 19740.25 30819.19
1999 412 33.17 372.95 20022.25 13664.89
1999 413 8.11 1969.02 20306.25 3347.54
1999 414 0.00 2754.05 20592.25 0.00
1999 415 2.90 2458.09 20880.25 1203.50
1999 416 1.50 2598.87 21170.25 624.00
1999 417 40.70 138.75 21462.25 16971.90
1999 418 41.70 116.19 21756.25 17430.60
1999 419 54.70 4.93 22052.25 22919.30
1999 420 67.50 225.63 22350.25 28350.00
2000 421 93.20 1658.19 22650.25 39237.20
2000 422 97.80 2053.99 22952.25 41271.60
2000 423 95.40 1842.20 23256.25 40354.20
2000 424 48.30 17.46 23562.25 20479.20
2000 425 7.10 2059.26 23870.25 3017.50
2000 426 18.10 1181.92 24180.25 7710.60
2000 427 4.10 2340.54 24492.25 1750.70
2000 428 12.70 1582.38 24806.25 5435.60

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Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

2000 429 20.40 1029.07 25122.25 8751.60


2000 430 75.00 507.19 25440.25 32250.00
2000 431 26.10 695.86 25760.25 11249.10
2000 432 112.50 3602.51 26082.25 48600.00
2001 433 132.90 6467.52 26406.25 57545.70
2001 434 46.20 39.43 26732.25 20050.80
2001 435 86.40 1150.63 27060.25 37584.00
2001 436 49.90 6.65 27390.25 21756.40
2001 437 62.60 102.43 27722.25 27356.20
2001 438 0.50 2701.83 28056.25 219.00
2001 439 13.20 1542.85 28392.25 5794.80
2001 440 13.60 1511.58 28730.25 5984.00
2001 441 11.90 1646.66 29070.25 5247.90
2001 442 50.20 5.19 29412.25 22188.40
2001 443 63.70 125.91 29756.25 28219.10
2001 444 59.80 53.60 30102.25 26551.20
2002 445 158.85 11314.77 30450.25 70688.25
2002 446 125.70 5361.30 30800.25 56062.20
2002 447 107.90 3071.48 31152.25 48231.30
2002 448 42.30 103.61 31506.25 18950.40
2002 449 10.10 1795.99 31862.25 4534.90
2002 450 0.50 2701.83 32220.25 225.00
2002 451 27.20 639.03 32580.25 12267.20
2002 452 19.70 1074.47 32942.25 8904.40
2002 453 39.50 168.46 33306.25 17893.50
2002 454 48.80 13.54 33672.25 22155.20
2002 455 115.30 3946.47 34040.25 52461.50
2002 456 74.40 480.53 34410.25 33926.40
2003 457 184.80 17508.82 34782.25 84453.60
2003 458 71.40 358.00 35156.25 32701.20
2003 459 114.00 3784.82 35532.25 52326.00
2003 460 52.30 0.03 35910.25 24058.00
2003 461 2.90 2458.09 36290.25 1336.90
2003 462 9.40 1855.81 36672.25 4342.80
2003 463 0.00 2754.05 37056.25 0.00
2003 464 19.40 1094.23 37442.25 9001.60
2003 465 13.10 1550.71 37830.25 6091.50
2003 466 79.30 719.36 38220.25 36953.80
2003 467 43.10 87.97 38612.25 20127.70
2003 468 85.40 1083.79 39006.25 39967.20
2004 469 236.30 33790.13 39402.25 110824.70
2004 470 126.80 5523.60 39800.25 59596.00
2004 471 79.40 724.74 40200.25 37397.40
2004 472 39.80 160.76 40602.25 18785.60
2004 473 11.70 1662.93 41006.25 5534.10
2004 474 21.40 965.91 41412.25 10143.60
2004 475 6.00 2160.31 41820.25 2850.00
2004 476 11.40 1687.49 42230.25 5426.40
2004 477 31.20 452.80 42642.25 14882.40
2004 478 45.80 44.61 43056.25 21892.40
2004 479 60.20 59.61 43472.25 28835.80
2004 480 83.80 981.00 43890.25 40224.00
2005 481 79.60 735.54 44310.25 38287.60
2005 482 152.90 10084.36 44732.25 73697.80

Ingeniería de Recursos Hídricos


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Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

2005 483 56.00 12.40 45156.25 27048.00


2005 484 17.70 1209.58 45582.25 8566.80
2005 485 1.10 2639.81 46010.25 533.50
2005 486 0.20 2733.10 46440.25 97.20
2005 487 0.00 2754.05 46872.25 0.00
2005 488 14.00 1480.64 47306.25 6832.00
2005 489 7.90 1987.30 47742.25 3863.10
2005 490 51.90 0.34 48180.25 25431.00
2005 491 63.00 110.69 48620.25 30933.00
2005 492 148.10 9143.36 49062.25 72865.20
2006 493 165.00 12660.96 49506.25 81345.00
2006 494 83.10 937.64 49952.25 41051.40
2006 495 61.30 77.81 50400.25 30343.50
2006 496 62.60 102.43 50850.25 31049.60
2006 497 2.80 2468.01 51302.25 1391.60
2006 498 5.40 2216.44 51756.25 2689.20
2006 499 0.00 2754.05 52212.25 0.00
2006 500 20.80 1003.56 52670.25 10400.00
2006 501 29.20 541.92 53130.25 14629.20
2006 502 71.30 354.23 53592.25 35792.60
2006 503 62.00 90.65 54056.25 31186.00
2006 504 98.10 2081.27 54522.25 49442.40
2007 505 113.60 3735.77 54990.25 57368.00
2007 506 79.20 714.01 55460.25 40075.20
2007 507 96.90 1973.22 55932.25 49128.30
2007 508 33.60 356.42 56406.25 17068.80
2007 509 16.30 1308.93 56882.25 8296.70
2007 510 0.00 2754.05 57360.25 0.00
2007 511 9.80 1821.50 57840.25 5007.80
2007 512 0.00 2754.05 58322.25 0.00
2007 513 14.70 1427.26 58806.25 7541.10
2007 514 39.70 163.31 59292.25 20405.80
2007 515 61.00 72.61 59780.25 31415.00
2007 516 89.60 1377.96 60270.25 46233.60
2008 517 168.20 13391.33 60762.25 86959.40
2008 518 62.70 104.47 61256.25 32478.60
2008 519 60.30 61.17 61752.25 31295.70
2008 520 40.60 141.11 62250.25 21112.00
2008 521 24.70 771.68 62750.25 12868.70
2008 522 2.80 2468.01 63252.25 1461.60
2008 523 1.80 2568.37 63756.25 941.40
2008 524 7.70 2005.17 64262.25 4034.80
2008 525 7.10 2059.26 64770.25 3727.50
2008 526 48.30 17.46 65280.25 25405.80
2008 527 56.00 12.40 65792.25 29512.00
2008 528 133.70 6596.84 66306.25 70593.60
2009 529 148.97 9309.75 66822.25 78803.09
2009 530 79.90 751.91 67340.25 42347.00
2009 531 63.70 125.91 67860.25 33824.70
2009 532 52.60 0.01 68382.25 27983.20
2009 533 17.60 1216.55 68906.25 9380.80
2009 534 0.00 2754.05 69432.25 0.00
2009 535 0.00 2754.05 69960.25 0.00
2009 536 17.43 1228.77 70490.25 9339.92

Ingeniería de Recursos Hídricos


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Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

2009 537 16.60 1287.31 71022.25 8914.20


2009 538 26.80 659.42 71556.25 14418.40
2009 539 125.30 5302.89 72092.25 67536.70
2009 540 98.50 2117.92 72630.25 53190.00
Suma 1180525.04 13121955.00 7608349.66
Promedio 14089.54

Figura 2.7.1-1 Análisis visual de la distribución temporal de la ESTACION 1


con datos corregidos de saltos.

- Análisis de la tendencia de la media

n = 540
Ptm = 52.43
Pt = 270.5

∑(𝑋𝑡 − 𝑃𝑇𝑚)2 0.5


𝑆𝑇𝑚 = ( ) = 46.85557512
𝑛−1

∑(𝑡 − 𝑃𝑡)2 0.5


𝑆𝑡 = ( ) = 156.0288435
𝑛−1

Ingeniería de Recursos Hídricos


Página44
Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

R = -0.01464911

Bm = -0.004399138

Am = 53.61980414

- Pruebas del estadístico T

𝑅 ∗ (𝑛 − 2)0.5
𝑇𝑐 = = −0.34
(1 − 𝑟 2 )0.5

𝑇𝑡(𝑎𝑙𝑓𝑎 = 5%, (𝑛 − 2)𝐺. 𝐿. ) = 1.964383179

Estadística T
Tendencia Comparación Tendencia
Tc Tt(95%)
en la media
-0.34 1.964383179 /Tc/ < Tt NO

El coeficiente de correlación resulta no ser significativa, de elo deducimos


que la información no presenta tendencia significativa con el 95% de
probabilidad.

- Análisis de la tendencia de la desviación estándar


Datos:
Datos
n = 45
r = 0.091915849
Bs = 0.247360028
Tc = 0.605294875
Alfa = 0.05
G.L. = 43
Tt = 2.016692199

Tendencia en Estadística T
Comparación Tendencia
la desviación Tc Tt(95%)
estándar 0.61 2.016692199 /Tc/ < Tt NO

El coeficiente de correlación resulta no ser significativa, por lo tanto la información


no presenta una tendencia significativa con el 95% de probabilidad.

Ingeniería de Recursos Hídricos


Página45
Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

2.7.2.- Análisis de las tendencias de la media y desviación estándar de la


estación n°2

Cuadro 2.7.2-1 Precipitación Total Mensual Histórica con datos Corregidos–


Estación 2

ESTACION 2-CORREGIDA
t AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SET OCT NOV DIC TOTAL Sp Sp * P
1 1965 194.50 93.50 161.00 39.50 0.00 3.04 3.60 5.99 23.95 39.58 99.30 163.30 827.259318 71.19 71.19
2 1966 66.70 151.10 66.40 32.20 41.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.00 43.40 95.50 48.20 571.4 157.84 315.67
3 1967 41.20 85.10 153.80 10.00 26.00 0.00 23.00 30.00 94.70 87.40 25.20 178.30 754.7 207.16 621.48
4 1968 79.60 126.20 72.00 48.10 0.70 0.40 45.40 1.10 56.40 49.00 138.90 40.60 658.4 180.39 721.56
5 1969 214.60 86.50 55.60 11.10 1.00 1.20 15.50 0.00 31.30 33.90 88.60 53.90 593.2 164.32 821.60
6 1970 191.30 99.80 92.60 86.90 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.40 40.30 20.70 184.40 777.9 216.56 1299.37
7 1971 190.80 184.40 49.50 19.00 2.00 0.70 0.00 5.60 3.80 42.10 48.10 40.60 586.6 166.86 1168.04
8 1972 155.60 119.00 77.70 46.60 6.00 0.00 1.00 13.80 28.60 43.90 105.10 77.80 675.1 185.69 1485.50
9 1973 142.64 104.36 148.97 46.66 0.92 0.38 0.03 1.93 40.82 36.56 95.49 18.56 637.32 177.64 1598.77
10 1974 137.10 144.80 93.60 47.50 0.60 4.80 1.40 16.80 33.40 68.30 51.00 104.70 704 193.68 1936.85
11 1975 115.60 110.30 77.50 18.80 25.50 13.50 0.00 0.50 21.40 42.80 51.80 135.60 613.3 169.49 1864.39
12 1976 151.70 97.30 86.80 22.30 14.00 8.00 1.50 19.10 76.30 3.70 26.20 66.70 573.6 158.27 1899.19
13 1977 69.90 178.20 111.80 15.40 10.00 0.00 0.10 0.00 42.80 34.50 97.10 85.60 645.4 180.07 2340.97
14 1978 117.20 117.40 95.30 55.30 5.30 2.60 0.30 0.30 27.80 23.50 117.30 158.10 720.4 199.78 2796.88
15 1979 240.10 76.30 104.85 35.25 8.60 2.80 1.50 8.20 11.40 82.00 40.40 97.00 708.4 195.99 2939.91
16 1980 121.50 55.40 114.40 15.20 11.90 3.00 15.30 4.60 52.90 91.70 33.80 57.40 577.1 158.58 2537.22
17 1981 236.00 90.50 92.50 77.80 3.30 5.70 0.00 15.90 33.90 83.40 48.30 107.20 794.5 218.20 3709.33
18 1982 94.56 43.96 39.80 29.52 0.00 0.00 0.32 5.16 23.72 17.20 49.24 63.94 367.419672 101.18 1821.31
19 1983 103.74 80.57 44.40 64.80 10.88 2.60 6.15 2.21 17.19 7.23 36.31 91.52 467.590995 129.30 2456.71
20 1984 286.82 213.58 96.27 33.48 6.08 4.60 1.54 21.55 0.00 80.01 108.30 105.93 958.156482 266.74 5334.88
21 1985 129.99 119.34 85.82 106.82 22.24 2.13 -0.63 4.01 34.17 43.04 135.31 164.39 846.630092 232.58 4884.13
22 1986 104.16 144.18 88.49 139.94 12.88 0.00 1.74 7.16 48.36 13.57 84.84 139.94 785.253408 216.41 4761.03
23 1987 110.57 63.84 53.88 33.78 1.84 1.44 27.96 5.29 2.92 46.20 96.57 43.24 487.516124 134.05 3083.20
24 1988 118.45 64.43 198.60 89.96 11.20 0.00 0.00 4.60 8.15 44.62 8.54 134.82 683.361807 192.89 4629.36
25 1989 182.03 88.88 127.03 57.04 0.00 6.77 0.00 8.24 42.06 28.55 31.31 71.23 643.14262 177.88 4447.04
26 1990 175.82 58.62 74.19 24.71 2.18 25.25 4.20 4.20 30.82 106.82 82.18 111.95 700.934115 192.57 5006.83
27 1991 161.83 103.96 132.35 49.65 4.99 43.73 9.03 0.16 14.06 23.82 63.15 106.52 713.25617 196.41 5303.14
28 1992 150.79 52.90 48.36 24.21 -0.63 0.56 3.32 70.84 19.58 43.24 64.73 121.31 599.20323 165.01 4620.18
29 1993 171.29 65.52 73.60 97.75 10.61 0.00 1.44 16.13 23.23 65.71 111.95 121.80 759.032075 208.21 6037.96
30 1994 167.74 110.37 111.45 70.74 16.92 4.50 0.00 0.00 17.71 36.24 43.34 104.75 683.756113 188.77 5662.99
31 1995 103.07 150.49 132.75 9.72 0.00 0.00 2.72 0.00 4.50 14.65 66.01 87.50 571.41541 162.10 5025.13
32 1996 116.28 65.22 111.26 36.14 28.55 0.00 0.26 6.17 19.88 18.99 129.10 93.71 625.559577 172.94 5534.15
33 1997 211.51 88.58 198.40 94.79 3.51 0.00 0.46 20.47 21.95 41.17 110.57 58.42 849.820976 235.89 7784.41
34 1998 123.18 103.57 90.85 31.80 0.00 11.20 0.00 0.95 0.00 65.32 87.50 23.62 537.997997 149.66 5088.51
35 1999 101.99 67.29 159.36 24.61 18.89 0.00 0.06 -0.63 43.83 52.41 35.25 27.56 530.6255 148.46 5196.04

Ingeniería de Recursos Hídricos


Página46
Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

36 2000 158.00 131.40 93.70 15.10 1.70 27.40 0.00 11.00 12.20 112.30 25.00 105.20 693 192.16 6917.79
37 2001 206.30 134.20 215.10 46.50 34.80 3.00 3.10 9.80 25.80 70.60 47.10 91.40 887.7 246.21 9109.86
38 2002 125.50 130.50 110.60 53.30 14.60 1.00 16.70 5.80 21.80 128.40 51.60 100.60 760.4 208.53 7924.24
39 2003 161.10 126.40 131.30 67.00 1.40 7.20 2.00 14.90 23.00 78.10 20.10 95.60 728.1 201.02 7839.90
40 2004 215.00 123.30 79.90 47.90 6.10 0.00 1.20 18.30 21.60 17.00 62.40 67.90 660.6 182.89 7315.57
41 2005 63.50 148.90 41.70 26.40 2.90 0.00 1.00 4.30 14.70 39.00 53.70 75.50 471.6 132.42 5429.05
42 2006 220.38 132.57 102.72 95.48 1.99 5.61 0.16 2.41 47.59 63.31 83.84 153.14 909.2 250.07 10502.88
43 2007 96.40 50.60 164.40 74.40 4.00 2.81 0.08 1.21 46.30 21.80 57.10 54.10 573.185 159.72 6868.09
44 2008 121.58 79.40 69.70 3.20 6.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.50 58.70 77.10 140.00 571.18 159.50 7018.13
45 2009 112.60 83.89 78.37 8.60 8.00 0.00 2.40 0.00 13.60 27.80 86.60 89.90 511.766136 142.26 6401.72
St 13.1339255 S Tsp 37.83
Prom
t 23 Prom Tsp 181.06
Prom.
n 45 Tsp*P 4225.16

Cuadro 2.7.2-2 Tabla de datos para hallar la tendencia de la media

Mes (t) P (Xt) (Xt-PTm) ^2 (t -Pt) ^2 t * Tm p ‫ג‬


1965 1 194.50 19300.96 72630.25 194.50
1965 2 93.50 1438.52 72092.25 187.00
1965 3 161.00 11115.04 71556.25 483.00
1965 4 39.50 258.31 71022.25 158.00
1965 5 0.00 3088.26 70490.25 0.00
1965 6 3.04 2759.44 69960.25 18.25
1965 7 3.60 2701.03 69432.25 25.20
1965 8 5.99 2458.42 68906.25 47.92
1965 9 23.95 999.89 68382.25 215.56
1965 10 39.58 255.87 67860.25 395.76
1965 11 99.30 1912.13 67340.25 1092.30
1965 12 163.30 11605.30 66822.25 1959.60
1966 13 66.70 123.83 66306.25 867.10
1966 14 151.10 9125.58 65792.25 2115.40
1966 15 66.40 117.24 65280.25 996.00
1966 16 32.20 546.26 64770.25 515.20
1966 17 41.90 186.93 64262.25 712.30
1966 18 0.00 3088.26 63756.25 0.00
1966 19 0.00 3088.26 63252.25 0.00
1966 20 0.00 3088.26 62750.25 0.00
1966 21 26.00 874.51 62250.25 546.00
1966 22 43.40 148.16 61752.25 954.80
1966 23 95.50 1594.24 61256.25 2196.50

Ingeniería de Recursos Hídricos


Página47
Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

1966 24 48.20 54.35 60762.25 1156.80


1967 25 41.20 206.56 60270.25 1030.00
1967 26 85.10 871.90 59780.25 2212.60
1967 27 153.80 9648.72 59292.25 4152.60
1967 28 10.00 2076.82 58806.25 280.00
1967 29 26.00 874.51 58322.25 754.00
1967 30 0.00 3088.26 57840.25 0.00
1967 31 23.00 1060.94 57360.25 713.00
1967 32 30.00 653.93 56882.25 960.00
1967 33 94.70 1530.99 56406.25 3125.10
1967 34 87.40 1013.01 55932.25 2971.60
1967 35 25.20 922.47 55460.25 882.00
1967 36 178.30 15062.13 54990.25 6418.80
1968 37 79.60 577.34 54522.25 2945.20
1968 38 126.20 4988.30 54056.25 4795.60
1968 39 72.00 269.88 53592.25 2808.00
1968 40 48.10 55.83 53130.25 1924.00
1968 41 0.70 3010.95 52670.25 28.70
1968 42 0.40 3043.96 52212.25 16.80
1968 43 45.40 103.47 51756.25 1952.20
1968 44 1.10 2967.21 51302.25 48.40
1968 45 56.40 0.69 50850.25 2538.00
1968 46 49.00 43.19 50400.25 2254.00
1968 47 138.90 6943.54 49952.25 6528.30
1968 48 40.60 224.16 49506.25 1948.80
1969 49 214.60 25289.87 49062.25 10515.40
1969 50 86.50 956.53 48620.25 4325.00
1969 51 55.60 0.00 48180.25 2835.60
1969 52 11.10 1977.77 47742.25 577.20
1969 53 1.00 2978.12 47306.25 53.00
1969 54 1.20 2956.33 46872.25 64.80
1969 55 15.50 1605.77 46440.25 852.50
1969 56 0.00 3088.26 46010.25 0.00
1969 57 31.30 589.14 45582.25 1784.10
1969 58 33.90 469.68 45156.25 1966.20
1969 59 88.60 1090.84 44732.25 5227.40
1969 60 53.90 2.80 44310.25 3234.00
1970 61 191.30 18422.06 43890.25 11669.30
1970 62 99.80 1956.11 43472.25 6187.60
1970 63 92.60 1371.06 43056.25 5833.80
1970 64 86.90 981.44 42642.25 5561.60

Ingeniería de Recursos Hídricos


Página48
Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

1970 65 0.50 3032.94 42230.25 32.50


1970 66 0.00 3088.26 41820.25 0.00
1970 67 0.00 3088.26 41412.25 0.00
1970 68 0.00 3088.26 41006.25 0.00
1970 69 61.40 33.96 40602.25 4236.60
1970 70 40.30 233.24 40200.25 2821.00
1970 71 20.70 1216.06 39800.25 1469.70
1970 72 184.40 16596.62 39402.25 13276.80
1971 73 190.80 18286.58 39006.25 13928.40
1971 74 184.40 16596.62 38612.25 13645.60
1971 75 49.50 36.87 38220.25 3712.50
1971 76 19.00 1337.52 37830.25 1444.00
1971 77 2.00 2869.97 37442.25 154.00
1971 78 0.70 3010.95 37056.25 54.60
1971 79 0.00 3088.26 36672.25 0.00
1971 80 5.60 2497.21 36290.25 448.00
1971 81 3.80 2680.35 35910.25 307.80
1971 82 42.10 181.50 35532.25 3452.20
1971 83 48.10 55.83 35156.25 3992.30
1971 84 40.60 224.16 34782.25 3410.40
1972 85 155.60 10005.58 34410.25 13226.00
1972 86 119.00 4023.10 34040.25 10234.00
1972 87 77.70 489.64 33672.25 6759.90
1972 88 46.60 80.50 33306.25 4100.80
1972 89 6.00 2457.39 32942.25 534.00
1972 90 0.00 3088.26 32580.25 0.00
1972 91 1.00 2978.12 32220.25 91.00
1972 92 13.80 1744.91 31862.25 1269.60
1972 93 28.60 727.50 31506.25 2659.80
1972 94 43.90 136.24 31152.25 4126.60
1972 95 105.10 2453.01 30800.25 9984.50
1972 96 77.80 494.08 30450.25 7468.80
1972 97 155.60 10005.58 30102.25 15093.20
1973 98 104.36 2380.26 29756.25 10227.28
1973 99 148.97 8723.16 29412.25 14748.03
1973 100 46.66 79.43 29070.25 4666.00
1973 101 0.92 2986.85 28730.25 92.92
1973 102 0.38 3046.17 28392.25 38.76
1973 103 0.03 3084.93 28056.25 3.09
1973 104 1.93 2877.48 27722.25 200.72
1973 105 40.82 217.62 27390.25 4286.10
1973 106 36.56 361.46 27060.25 3875.36

Ingeniería de Recursos Hídricos


Página49
Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

1973 107 95.49 1593.44 26732.25 10217.43


1973 108 18.56 1369.90 26406.25 2004.48
1974 109 137.10 6646.80 26082.25 14943.90
1974 110 144.80 7961.62 25760.25 15928.00
1974 111 93.60 1446.12 25440.25 10389.60
1974 112 47.50 65.16 25122.25 5320.00
1974 113 0.60 3021.93 24806.25 67.80
1974 114 4.80 2577.81 24492.25 547.20
1974 115 1.40 2934.62 24180.25 161.00
1974 116 16.80 1503.28 23870.25 1948.80
1974 117 33.40 491.60 23562.25 3907.80
1974 118 68.30 162.00 23256.25 8059.40
1974 119 51.00 20.90 22952.25 6069.00
1974 120 104.70 2413.55 22650.25 12564.00
1975 121 115.60 3603.35 22350.25 13987.60
1975 122 110.30 2995.14 22052.25 13456.60
1975 123 77.50 480.83 21756.25 9532.50
1975 124 18.80 1352.19 21462.25 2331.20
1975 125 25.50 904.33 21170.25 3187.50
1975 126 13.50 1770.06 20880.25 1701.00
1975 127 0.00 3088.26 20592.25 0.00
1975 128 0.50 3032.94 20306.25 64.00
1975 129 21.40 1167.73 20022.25 2760.60
1975 130 42.80 163.13 19740.25 5564.00
1975 131 51.80 14.23 19460.25 6785.80
1975 132 135.60 6404.46 19182.25 17899.20
1976 133 151.70 9240.57 18906.25 20176.10
1976 134 97.30 1741.22 18632.25 13038.20
1976 135 86.80 975.18 18360.25 11718.00
1976 136 22.30 1107.03 18090.25 3032.80
1976 137 14.00 1728.24 17822.25 1918.00
1976 138 8.00 2263.11 17556.25 1104.00
1976 139 1.50 2923.79 17292.25 208.50
1976 140 19.10 1330.22 17030.25 2674.00
1976 141 76.30 429.65 16770.25 10758.30
1976 142 3.70 2690.72 16512.25 525.40
1976 143 26.20 862.72 16256.25 3746.60
1976 144 66.70 123.83 16002.25 9604.80
1977 145 69.90 205.29 15750.25 10135.50
1977 146 178.20 15037.60 15500.25 26017.20
1977 147 111.80 3161.57 15252.25 16434.60
1977 148 15.40 1613.80 15006.25 2279.20

Ingeniería de Recursos Hídricos


Página50
Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

1977 149 10.00 2076.82 14762.25 1490.00


1977 150 0.00 3088.26 14520.25 0.00
1977 151 0.10 3077.16 14280.25 15.10
1977 152 0.00 3088.26 14042.25 0.00
1977 153 42.80 163.13 13806.25 6548.40
1977 154 34.50 444.03 13572.25 5313.00
1977 155 97.10 1724.57 13340.25 15050.50
1977 156 85.60 901.67 13110.25 13353.60
1978 157 117.20 3798.00 12882.25 18400.40
1978 158 117.40 3822.69 12656.25 18549.20
1978 159 95.30 1578.30 12432.25 15152.70
1978 160 55.30 0.07 12210.25 8848.00
1978 161 5.30 2527.29 11990.25 853.30
1978 162 2.60 2806.05 11772.25 421.20
1978 163 0.30 3055.01 11556.25 48.90
1978 164 0.30 3055.01 11342.25 49.20
1978 165 27.80 771.29 11130.25 4587.00
1978 166 23.50 1028.62 10920.25 3901.00
1978 167 117.30 3810.33 10712.25 19589.10
1978 168 158.10 10511.97 10506.25 26560.80
1979 169 240.10 34050.54 10302.25 40576.90
1979 170 76.30 429.65 10100.25 12971.00
1979 171 104.85 2428.31 9900.25 17929.35
1979 172 35.25 412.99 9702.25 6063.00
1979 173 8.60 2206.38 9506.25 1487.80
1979 174 2.80 2784.90 9312.25 487.20
1979 175 1.50 2923.79 9120.25 262.50
1979 176 8.20 2244.12 8930.25 1443.20
1979 177 11.40 1951.18 8742.25 2017.80
1979 178 82.00 698.43 8556.25 14596.00
1979 179 40.40 230.19 8372.25 7231.60
1979 180 97.00 1716.27 8190.25 17460.00
1980 181 121.50 4346.49 8010.25 21991.50
1980 182 55.40 0.03 7832.25 10082.80
1980 183 114.40 3460.72 7656.25 20935.20
1980 184 15.20 1629.91 7482.25 2796.80
1980 185 11.90 1907.25 7310.25 2201.50
1980 186 3.00 2763.83 7140.25 558.00
1980 187 15.30 1621.84 6972.25 2861.10
1980 188 4.60 2598.16 6806.25 864.80
1980 189 52.90 7.14 6642.25 9998.10
1980 190 91.70 1305.22 6480.25 17423.00

Ingeniería de Recursos Hídricos


Página51
Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

1980 191 33.80 474.03 6320.25 6455.80


1980 192 57.40 3.34 6162.25 11020.80
1981 193 236.00 32554.22 6006.25 45548.00
1981 194 90.50 1219.96 5852.25 17557.00
1981 195 92.50 1363.67 5700.25 18037.50
1981 196 77.80 494.08 5550.25 15248.80
1981 197 3.30 2732.37 5402.25 650.10
1981 198 5.70 2487.23 5256.25 1128.60
1981 199 0.00 3088.26 5112.25 0.00
1981 200 15.90 1573.88 4970.25 3180.00
1981 201 33.90 469.68 4830.25 6813.90
1981 202 83.40 774.39 4692.25 16846.80
1981 203 48.30 52.88 4556.25 9804.90
1981 204 107.20 2665.44 4422.25 21868.80
1982 205 94.56 1520.06 4290.25 19384.80
1982 206 43.96 134.84 4160.25 9055.76
1982 207 39.80 248.76 4032.25 8238.60
1982 208 29.52 678.71 3906.25 6140.16
1982 209 0.00 3088.26 3782.25 0.00
1982 210 0.00 3088.26 3660.25 0.00
1982 211 0.32 3052.80 3540.25 67.52
1982 212 5.16 2541.38 3422.25 1093.92
1982 213 23.72 1014.56 3306.25 5052.36
1982 214 17.20 1472.42 3192.25 3680.80
1982 215 49.24 40.10 3080.25 10586.60
1982 216 63.94 70.02 2970.25 13810.97
1983 217 103.74 2320.03 2862.25 22511.33
1983 218 80.57 625.06 2756.25 17565.00
1983 219 44.40 124.91 2652.25 9722.69
1983 220 64.80 85.18 2550.25 14256.25
1983 221 10.88 1997.40 2450.25 2404.45
1983 222 2.60 2806.11 2352.25 577.07
1983 223 6.15 2442.73 2256.25 1371.04
1983 224 2.21 2848.04 2162.25 493.95
1983 225 17.19 1473.28 2070.25 3867.47
1983 226 7.23 2336.72 1980.25 1634.55
1983 227 36.31 370.93 1892.25 8242.95
1983 228 91.52 1291.92 1806.25 20865.51
1984 229 286.82 53476.05 1722.25 65682.01
1984 230 213.58 24966.08 1640.25 49123.10
1984 231 96.27 1656.54 1560.25 22239.00
1984 232 33.48 488.08 1482.25 7767.26

Ingeniería de Recursos Hídricos


Página52
Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

1984 233 6.08 2449.93 1406.25 1415.55


1984 234 4.60 2598.50 1332.25 1075.62
1984 235 1.54 2919.38 1260.25 362.08
1984 236 21.55 1157.38 1190.25 5086.23
1984 237 0.00 3088.26 1122.25 0.00
1984 238 80.01 597.09 1056.25 19041.82
1984 239 108.30 2780.13 992.25 25883.48
1984 240 105.93 2536.24 930.25 25423.98
1985 241 129.99 5537.41 870.25 31326.60
1985 242 119.34 4066.30 812.25 28880.19
1985 243 85.82 915.15 756.25 20855.14
1985 244 106.82 2626.39 702.25 26064.18
1985 245 22.24 1110.91 650.25 5449.25
1985 246 2.13 2855.82 600.25 524.53
1985 247 -0.63 3158.44 552.25 -155.09
1985 248 4.01 2659.15 506.25 993.29
1985 249 34.17 458.07 462.25 8508.23
1985 250 43.04 157.02 420.25 10760.37
1985 251 135.31 6357.97 380.25 33962.56
1985 252 164.39 11841.13 342.25 41426.04
1986 253 104.16 2360.67 306.25 26352.19
1986 254 144.18 7851.52 272.25 36621.95
1986 255 88.49 1083.27 240.25 22563.73
1986 256 139.94 7118.30 210.25 35825.18
1986 257 12.88 1822.87 182.25 3309.41
1986 258 0.00 3088.26 156.25 0.00
1986 259 1.74 2898.12 132.25 450.13
1986 260 7.16 2343.77 110.25 1861.51
1986 261 48.36 51.95 90.25 12623.16
1986 262 13.57 1764.42 72.25 3554.58
1986 263 84.84 856.48 56.25 22312.36
1986 264 139.94 7118.30 42.25 36944.72
1987 265 110.57 3024.36 30.25 29300.08
1987 266 63.84 68.38 20.25 16981.73
1987 267 53.88 2.85 12.25 14387.26
1987 268 33.78 475.10 6.25 9051.78
1987 269 1.84 2887.51 2.25 494.02
1987 270 1.44 2930.05 0.25 389.40
1987 271 27.96 762.47 0.25 7576.96
1987 272 5.29 2528.62 2.25 1437.98
1987 273 2.92 2772.16 6.25 797.39
1987 274 46.20 87.91 12.25 12657.68

Ingeniería de Recursos Hídricos


Página53
Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

1987 275 96.57 1680.70 20.25 26556.33


1987 276 43.24 152.12 30.25 11933.86
1988 277 118.45 3953.94 42.25 32811.33
1988 278 64.43 78.51 56.25 17912.25
1988 279 198.60 20455.57 72.25 55408.03
1988 280 89.96 1182.79 90.25 25189.88
1988 281 11.20 1968.77 110.25 3147.56
1988 282 0.00 3088.26 132.25 0.00
1988 283 0.00 3088.26 156.25 0.00
1988 284 4.60 2598.50 182.25 1305.45
1988 285 8.15 2249.29 210.25 2321.44
1988 286 44.62 119.98 240.25 12760.95
1988 287 8.54 2212.05 272.25 2450.90
1988 288 134.82 6279.61 306.25 38827.05
1989 289 182.03 15992.67 342.25 52607.90
1989 290 88.88 1109.38 380.25 25775.06
1989 291 127.03 5106.03 420.25 36965.32
1989 292 57.04 2.15 462.25 16655.48
1989 293 0.00 3088.26 506.25 0.00
1989 294 6.77 2382.10 552.25 1989.01
1989 295 0.00 3088.26 600.25 0.00
1989 296 8.24 2239.95 650.25 2440.22
1989 297 42.06 182.69 702.25 12490.54
1989 298 28.55 730.16 756.25 8508.12
1989 299 31.31 588.61 812.25 9361.95
1989 300 71.23 245.30 870.25 21370.30
1990 301 175.82 14460.50 930.25 52923.00
1990 302 58.62 9.27 992.25 17702.20
1990 303 74.19 346.69 1056.25 22480.06
1990 304 24.71 952.70 1122.25 7510.70
1990 305 2.18 2850.55 1190.25 665.37
1990 306 25.25 919.53 1260.25 7726.02
1990 307 4.20 2638.85 1332.25 1290.12
1990 308 4.20 2638.85 1406.25 1294.32
1990 309 30.82 612.77 1482.25 9522.76
1990 310 106.82 2626.39 1560.25 33114.33
1990 311 82.18 707.78 1640.25 25556.83
1990 312 111.95 3178.06 1722.25 34927.28
1991 313 161.83 11289.90 1806.25 50651.56
1991 314 103.96 2341.55 1892.25 32643.98
1991 315 132.35 5895.11 1980.25 41690.79
1991 316 49.65 35.12 2070.25 15688.16

Ingeniería de Recursos Hídricos


Página54
Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

1991 317 4.99 2558.45 2162.25 1582.13


1991 318 43.73 140.20 2256.25 13906.62
1991 319 9.03 2165.93 2352.25 2881.40
1991 320 0.16 3070.42 2450.25 51.43
1991 321 14.06 1723.26 2550.25 4513.26
1991 322 23.82 1008.26 2652.25 7669.74
1991 323 63.15 57.44 2756.25 20397.79
1991 324 106.52 2596.17 2862.25 34514.00
1992 325 150.79 9065.59 2970.25 49005.29
1992 326 52.90 7.14 3080.25 17245.11
1992 327 48.36 51.95 3192.25 15815.22
1992 328 24.21 983.37 3306.25 7941.98
1992 329 -0.63 3158.44 3422.25 -206.58
1992 330 0.56 3026.88 3540.25 183.16
1992 331 3.32 2730.79 3660.25 1097.32
1992 332 70.84 233.11 3782.25 23518.89
1992 333 19.58 1295.41 3906.25 6520.23
1992 334 43.24 152.12 4032.25 14441.70
1992 335 64.73 83.84 4160.25 21683.97
1992 336 121.31 4321.62 4290.25 40760.55
1993 337 171.29 13390.49 4422.25 57724.53
1993 338 65.52 98.90 4556.25 22144.71
1993 339 73.60 325.01 4692.25 24950.46
1993 340 97.75 1779.09 4830.25 33235.47
1993 341 10.61 2021.61 4970.25 3617.95
1993 342 0.00 3088.26 5112.25 0.00
1993 343 1.44 2930.05 5256.25 494.68
1993 344 16.13 1555.67 5402.25 5548.75
1993 345 23.23 1046.17 5550.25 8013.52
1993 346 65.71 102.86 5700.25 22737.06
1993 347 111.95 3178.06 5852.25 38845.40
1993 348 121.80 4386.67 6006.25 42387.81
1994 349 167.74 12581.78 6162.25 58541.49
1994 350 110.37 3002.72 6320.25 38629.21
1994 351 111.45 3122.73 6480.25 39120.18
1994 352 70.74 230.11 6642.25 24900.99
1994 353 16.92 1494.09 6806.25 5972.30
1994 354 4.50 2608.56 6972.25 1592.32
1994 355 0.00 3088.26 7140.25 0.00
1994 356 0.00 3088.26 7310.25 0.00
1994 357 17.71 1433.74 7482.25 6321.51
1994 358 36.24 373.74 7656.25 12973.81

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Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

1994 359 43.34 149.69 7832.25 15558.05


1994 360 104.75 2418.50 8010.25 37710.11
1995 361 103.07 2256.48 8190.25 37209.90
1995 362 150.49 9009.36 8372.25 54477.30
1995 363 132.75 5955.81 8556.25 48186.81
1995 364 9.72 2102.18 8742.25 3539.04
1995 365 0.00 3088.26 8930.25 0.00
1995 366 0.00 3088.26 9120.25 0.00
1995 367 2.72 2792.95 9312.25 999.60
1995 368 0.00 3088.26 9506.25 0.00
1995 369 4.50 2608.56 9702.25 1659.79
1995 370 14.65 1674.50 9900.25 5421.04
1995 371 66.01 108.94 10100.25 24489.63
1995 372 87.50 1019.35 10302.25 32549.79
1996 373 116.28 3685.90 10506.25 43373.84
1996 374 65.22 93.10 10712.25 24392.72
1996 375 111.26 3100.74 10920.25 41721.14
1996 376 36.14 377.56 11130.25 13589.06
1996 377 28.55 730.16 11342.25 10763.63
1996 378 0.00 3088.26 11556.25 0.00
1996 379 0.26 3059.51 11772.25 98.27
1996 380 6.17 2440.19 11990.25 2346.07
1996 381 19.88 1274.21 12210.25 7572.76
1996 382 18.99 1338.34 12432.25 7253.73
1996 383 129.10 5406.16 12656.25 49444.80
1996 384 93.71 1454.48 12882.25 35984.55
1997 385 211.51 24316.19 13110.25 81430.81
1997 386 88.58 1089.77 13340.25 34193.34
1997 387 198.40 20399.21 13572.25 76780.00
1997 388 94.79 1538.36 13806.25 36780.11
1997 389 3.51 2710.22 14042.25 1366.29
1997 390 0.00 3088.26 14280.25 0.00
1997 391 0.46 3037.74 14520.25 178.47
1997 392 20.47 1232.34 14762.25 8023.25
1997 393 21.95 1130.71 15006.25 8624.82
1997 394 41.17 207.46 15252.25 16220.39
1997 395 110.57 3024.36 15500.25 43673.70
1997 396 58.42 8.11 15750.25 23134.08
1998 397 123.18 4571.38 16002.25 48904.09
1998 398 103.57 2303.55 16256.25 41219.83
1998 399 90.85 1244.60 16512.25 36249.56
1998 400 31.80 564.94 16770.25 12721.50

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Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

1998 401 0.00 3088.26 17030.25 0.00


1998 402 11.20 1968.77 17292.25 4502.91
1998 403 0.00 3088.26 17556.25 0.00
1998 404 0.95 2983.65 17822.25 383.53
1998 405 0.00 3088.26 18090.25 0.00
1998 406 65.32 95.02 18360.25 26519.82
1998 407 87.50 1019.35 18632.25 35612.27
1998 408 23.62 1020.82 18906.25 9637.74
1999 409 101.99 2154.64 19182.25 41713.98
1999 410 67.29 137.34 19460.25 27589.42
1999 411 159.36 10772.27 19740.25 65497.64
1999 412 24.61 958.80 20022.25 10138.36
1999 413 18.89 1345.56 20306.25 7801.67
1999 414 0.00 3088.26 20592.25 0.00
1999 415 0.06 3081.36 20880.25 25.79
1999 416 -0.63 3158.44 21170.25 -261.20
1999 417 43.83 137.88 21462.25 18277.14
1999 418 52.41 10.02 21756.25 21905.80
1999 419 35.25 412.83 22052.25 14771.40
1999 420 27.56 784.68 22350.25 11575.20
2000 421 158.00 10491.47 22650.25 66518.00
2000 422 131.40 5749.87 22952.25 55450.80
2000 423 93.70 1453.74 23256.25 39635.10
2000 424 15.10 1637.99 23562.25 6402.40
2000 425 1.70 2902.20 23870.25 722.50
2000 426 27.40 793.67 24180.25 11672.40
2000 427 0.00 3088.26 24492.25 0.00
2000 428 11.00 1986.67 24806.25 4708.00
2000 429 12.20 1881.14 25122.25 5233.80
2000 430 112.30 3218.05 25440.25 48289.00
2000 431 25.00 934.65 25760.25 10775.00
2000 432 105.20 2462.93 26082.25 45446.40
2001 433 206.30 22718.89 26406.25 89327.90
2001 434 134.20 6182.34 26732.25 58242.80
2001 435 215.10 25449.15 27060.25 93568.50
2001 436 46.50 82.30 27390.25 20274.00
2001 437 34.80 431.48 27722.25 15207.60
2001 438 3.00 2763.83 28056.25 1314.00
2001 439 3.10 2753.32 28392.25 1360.90
2001 440 9.80 2095.09 28730.25 4312.00
2001 441 25.80 886.38 29070.25 11377.80
2001 442 70.60 225.84 29412.25 31205.20

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Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

2001 443 47.10 71.78 29756.25 20865.30


2001 444 91.40 1283.64 30102.25 40581.60
2002 445 125.50 4889.91 30450.25 55847.50
2002 446 130.50 5614.19 30800.25 58203.00
2002 447 110.60 3028.07 31152.25 49438.20
2002 448 53.30 5.16 31506.25 23878.40
2002 449 14.60 1678.71 31862.25 6555.40
2002 450 1.00 2978.12 32220.25 450.00
2002 451 16.70 1511.04 32580.25 7531.70
2002 452 5.80 2477.26 32942.25 2621.60
2002 453 21.80 1140.56 33306.25 9875.40
2002 454 128.40 5303.90 33672.25 58293.60
2002 455 51.60 15.78 34040.25 23478.00
2002 456 100.60 2027.51 34410.25 45873.60
2003 457 161.10 11136.13 34782.25 73622.70
2003 458 126.40 5016.59 35156.25 57891.20
2003 459 131.30 5734.71 35532.25 60266.70
2003 460 67.00 130.60 35910.25 30820.00
2003 461 1.40 2934.62 36290.25 645.40
2003 462 7.20 2339.86 36672.25 3326.40
2003 463 2.00 2869.97 37056.25 926.00
2003 464 14.90 1654.22 37442.25 6913.60
2003 465 23.00 1060.94 37830.25 10695.00
2003 466 78.10 507.51 38220.25 36394.60
2003 467 20.10 1258.27 38612.25 9386.70
2003 468 95.60 1602.23 39006.25 44740.80
2004 469 215.00 25417.25 39402.25 100835.00
2004 470 123.30 4587.07 39800.25 57951.00
2004 471 79.90 591.85 40200.25 37632.90
2004 472 47.90 58.86 40602.25 22608.80
2004 473 6.10 2447.49 41006.25 2885.30
2004 474 0.00 3088.26 41412.25 0.00
2004 475 1.20 2956.33 41820.25 570.00
2004 476 18.30 1389.21 42230.25 8710.80
2004 477 21.60 1154.10 42642.25 10303.20
2004 478 17.00 1487.81 43056.25 8126.00
2004 479 62.40 46.62 43472.25 29889.60
2004 480 67.90 151.98 43890.25 32592.00
2005 481 63.50 62.85 44310.25 30543.50
2005 482 148.90 8710.09 44732.25 71769.80
2005 483 41.70 192.44 45156.25 20141.10
2005 484 26.40 851.01 45582.25 12777.60

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Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

2005 485 2.90 2774.35 46010.25 1406.50


2005 486 0.00 3088.26 46440.25 0.00
2005 487 1.00 2978.12 46872.25 487.00
2005 488 4.30 2628.83 47306.25 2098.40
2005 489 14.70 1670.53 47742.25 7188.30
2005 490 39.00 274.64 48180.25 19110.00
2005 491 53.70 3.50 48620.25 26366.70
2005 492 75.50 397.12 49062.25 37146.00
2006 493 220.38 27161.64 49506.25 108647.34
2006 494 132.57 5928.67 49952.25 65489.58
2006 495 102.72 2222.92 50400.25 50846.40
2006 496 95.48 1592.64 50850.25 47358.08
2006 497 1.99 2871.04 51302.25 989.03
2006 498 5.61 2496.21 51756.25 2793.78
2006 499 0.16 3070.50 52212.25 79.84
2006 500 2.41 2826.21 52670.25 1205.00
2006 501 47.59 63.71 53130.25 23842.59
2006 502 63.31 59.87 53592.25 31781.62
2006 503 83.84 799.07 54056.25 42171.52
2006 504 153.14 9519.49 54522.25 77182.56
2007 505 96.40 1666.92 54990.25 48682.00
2007 506 50.60 24.72 55460.25 25603.60
2007 507 164.40 11843.51 55932.25 83350.80
2007 508 74.40 354.49 56406.25 37795.20
2007 509 4.00 2660.20 56882.25 2033.46
2007 510 2.81 2784.37 57360.25 1430.55
2007 511 0.08 3079.37 57840.25 40.88
2007 512 1.21 2955.78 58322.25 616.96
2007 513 46.30 85.97 58806.25 23751.90
2007 514 21.80 1140.56 59292.25 11205.20
2007 515 57.10 2.33 59780.25 29406.50
2007 516 54.10 2.17 60270.25 27915.60
2008 517 121.58 4357.04 60762.25 62856.86
2008 518 79.40 567.77 61256.25 41129.20
2008 519 69.70 199.60 61752.25 36174.30
2008 520 3.20 2742.84 62250.25 1664.00
2008 521 6.00 2457.39 62750.25 3126.00
2008 522 0.00 3088.26 63252.25 0.00
2008 523 0.00 3088.26 63756.25 0.00
2008 524 0.00 3088.26 64262.25 0.00
2008 525 15.50 1605.77 64770.25 8137.50
2008 526 58.70 9.78 65280.25 30876.20

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Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

2008 527 77.10 463.45 65792.25 40631.70


2008 528 140.00 7128.07 66306.25 73920.00
2009 529 112.60 3252.28 66822.25 59565.88
2009 530 83.89 801.99 67340.25 44462.54
2009 531 78.37 519.91 67860.25 41616.40
2009 532 8.60 2206.38 68382.25 4575.20
2009 533 8.00 2263.11 68906.25 4264.00
2009 534 0.00 3088.26 69432.25 0.00
2009 535 2.40 2827.27 69960.25 1284.00
2009 536 0.00 3088.26 70490.25 0.00
2009 537 13.60 1761.66 71022.25 7303.20
2009 538 27.80 771.29 71556.25 14956.40
2009 539 86.60 962.73 72092.25 46677.40
2009 540 89.90 1178.40 72630.25 48546.00
Suma 1641430.29 13121955.00 8048876.62
Promedio 14905.33

Figura 2.7.2-1 Análisis visual de la distribución temporal de la ESTACION 2


con datos corregidos de saltos.

- Análisis de la tendencia de la media

n = 540
Ptm = 55.53
Pt = 270.5

Ingeniería de Recursos Hídricos


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Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

∑(𝑋𝑡 − 𝑃𝑇𝑚)2 0.5


𝑆𝑇𝑚 = ( ) = 55.21144017
𝑛−1

∑(𝑡 − 𝑃𝑡)2 0.5


𝑆𝑡 = ( ) = 156.0288435
𝑛−1

R = -0.014737315

Bm = -0.005214859

Am = 56.93682009

- Pruebas del estadístico T

𝑅 ∗ (𝑛 − 2)0.5
𝑇𝑐 = = −0.34
(1 − 𝑟 2 )0.5

𝑇𝑡(𝑎𝑙𝑓𝑎 = 5%, (𝑛 − 2)𝐺. 𝐿. ) = 1.964383179

Estadística T
Tendencia Comparación Tendencia
Tc Tt(95%)
en la media
-0.34 1.964383179 /Tc/ < Tt NO

El coeficiente de correlación resulta no ser significativa, de ello deducimos


que la información no presenta tendencia significativa con el 95% de
probabilidad.

- Análisis de la tendencia de la desviación estándar


Datos:
Datos
n = 45
r = 0.122122683
Bs = 0.352951331
Tc = 0.806851258
Alfa = 0.05
G.L. = 43
Tt = 2.016692199

Tendencia en Estadística T
Comparación Tendencia
la desviación Tc Tt(95%)
estándar 0.81 2.016692199 /Tc/ < Tt NO

Ingeniería de Recursos Hídricos


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Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

El coeficiente de correlación resulta no ser significativa, por lo tanto la información


no presenta una tendencia significativa con el 95% de probabilidad.

2.7.3.- Análisis de las tendencias de la media y desviación estándar de


la estación n°4

Cuadro 2.7.3-1 Precipitación Total Mensual Histórica con datos Corregidos–


Estación 4
ESTACION 4-CORREGIDA
t AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SET OCT NOV DIC TOTAL Sp Sp * P
1 1965 125.12 61.12 73.53 31.96 0.00 0.00 2.72 11.05 30.52 17.51 44.37 55.00 452.88 37.03 37.03
2 1966 42.76 119.34 28.73 6.55 30.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.15 55.76 65.88 86.36 455.685 126.53 253.06
3 1967 34.09 64.77 56.10 6.55 17.68 0.00 22.53 20.40 27.20 40.97 46.67 128.95 465.885 127.83 383.48
4 1968 156.32 149.52 76.25 9.52 1.70 0.00 18.87 30.60 3.15 4.00 4.25 6.55 460.7 132.50 529.98
5 1969 124.36 61.21 64.72 43.85 3.23 114.21 40.70 0.32 10.64 18.63 71.11 97.61 650.5815 177.73 888.64
6 1970 110.57 135.81 116.51 50.12 3.61 0.96 0.18 2.49 64.57 41.48 15.00 102.72 644.028 178.49 1070.95
7 1971 89.51 207.49 26.95 30.09 3.91 5.10 0.00 6.29 8.33 50.24 31.71 81.86 541.45 155.50 1088.52
8 1972 95.46 85.51 72.68 26.95 5.95 1.28 5.70 37.23 25.59 37.06 47.77 92.99 534.14 145.91 1167.24
9 1973 63.75 93.16 76.93 57.46 11.14 0.43 4.00 10.54 44.71 32.73 35.87 56.36 487.05 132.75 1194.72
10 1974 94.44 94.18 66.30 41.06 8.42 9.35 18.11 28.73 21.00 24.31 24.14 93.50 523.515 143.04 1430.41
11 1975 75.23 107.10 87.72 47.77 18.87 15.81 0.00 22.36 20.06 67.58 26.69 82.62 571.795 155.77 1713.42
12 1976 104.38 83.98 76.76 23.97 44.71 11.39 13.69 5.70 50.32 5.53 16.92 68.51 505.835 138.39 1660.72
13 1977 90.44 73.19 92.91 31.71 20.06 4.17 4.08 0.00 28.48 26.01 84.75 51.68 507.45 139.17 1809.23
14 1978 74.21 74.46 96.48 45.48 7.74 5.36 0.00 0.00 44.03 16.58 83.81 123.25 571.37 157.47 2204.53
15 1979 148.58 60.78 76.08 65.62 9.52 0.00 0.00 12.33 21.08 45.14 44.71 104.81 588.625 161.75 2426.25
16 1980 110.16 80.33 85.43 18.28 22.53 0.00 1.45 8.84 31.20 51.68 36.21 69.45 515.525 141.28 2260.40
17 1981 158.53 98.18 154.70 21.59 8.59 3.49 0.00 22.10 39.53 62.14 66.64 103.36 738.82 203.61 3461.30
18 1982 161.76 64.52 97.67 78.80 2.38 4.68 0.00 12.75 34.17 47.26 70.47 71.06 645.49 176.82 3182.72
19 1983 69.79 94.78 41.65 57.89 14.37 22.44 0.00 0.00 12.58 18.96 16.58 65.20 414.205 114.19 2169.56
20 1984 134.64 137.11 117.98 24.65 0.00 0.00 9.18 36.64 5.95 50.83 105.15 102.94 725.05 200.12 4002.34
21 1985 123.93 96.73 92.65 83.05 10.29 34.68 5.36 5.02 39.87 51.94 99.11 100.30 742.9 201.75 4236.65
22 1986 111.95 109.31 129.37 57.04 15.30 0.00 4.34 13.77 53.38 34.09 50.41 108.38 687.31 188.34 4143.58
23 1987 133.96 42.93 86.36 35.62 11.14 7.57 30.43 4.08 12.50 40.89 101.66 107.02 614.125 168.60 3877.69
24 1988 95.88 79.82 98.09 65.28 20.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.76 19.47 25.84 69.53 479.23 132.88 3189.20
25 1989 89.51 50.24 115.60 22.27 26.69 0.00 0.00 35.28 24.74 41.14 40.80 80.84 527.085 144.32 3608.02
26 1990 142.29 70.13 19.47 39.70 7.06 42.25 2.72 20.83 6.89 64.86 60.10 101.58 577.83 158.30 4115.75
27 1991 84.83 57.04 66.64 51.17 22.10 26.69 0.00 0.00 22.61 30.09 43.44 44.63 449.225 121.90 3291.20
28 1992 63.58 76.59 71.06 36.47 0.00 11.99 0.00 25.50 7.06 29.67 59.33 71.23 452.455 123.69 3463.32
29 1993 107.95 71.15 85.26 52.19 22.53 1.28 7.31 27.03 6.55 35.53 60.44 85.94 563.125 153.56 4453.24
30 1994 127.67 160.14 97.24 65.03 0.00 3.32 0.00 6.80 6.21 20.15 33.32 99.74 619.599 173.69 5210.57
31 1995 68.43 71.91 109.23 44.20 7.82 0.00 4.42 0.00 7.14 12.24 34.51 66.73 426.615 118.96 3687.61
32 1996 112.37 83.81 47.77 24.31 16.15 0.00 0.43 26.69 14.45 23.72 53.13 19.81 422.62 116.27 3720.64

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Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

33 1997 123.00 85.00 86.96 32.22 7.74 0.00 1.19 12.24 15.39 19.89 41.31 93.76 518.67 143.50 4735.49
34 1998 64.94 86.79 65.11 29.75 0.43 5.27 0.00 0.43 7.57 38.83 86.28 41.82 427.193 118.32 4022.93
35 1999 116.37 88.32 88.06 39.70 10.71 1.19 2.47 1.28 34.60 35.45 46.50 57.38 521.985 143.31 5015.95
36 2000 79.22 83.13 81.09 20.15 6.04 15.39 3.49 10.80 17.34 63.75 22.19 95.63 498.185 136.98 4931.13
37 2001 112.97 39.27 73.44 42.42 53.21 0.43 11.22 11.56 10.12 42.67 54.15 50.83 502.265 136.61 5054.67
38 2002 56.02 106.85 91.72 35.96 8.59 0.43 23.12 16.75 33.58 41.48 98.01 63.24 575.705 156.64 5952.43
39 2003 73.92 28.56 45.60 20.92 1.16 3.76 0.00 7.76 5.24 31.72 17.24 34.16 270.04 74.30 2897.55
40 2004 94.52 50.72 31.76 15.92 4.68 20.49 7.19 11.86 28.96 41.57 54.01 74.39 436.060882 118.80 4751.97
41 2005 70.76 134.07 50.38 17.30 2.96 2.18 2.01 14.10 8.83 46.84 56.42 129.93 535.782446 149.84 6143.30
42 2006 144.52 73.78 54.96 56.08 4.43 6.67 2.01 19.97 27.23 63.59 61.78 86.74 601.771093 164.28 6899.80
43 2007 100.13 70.42 85.70 31.03 16.09 2.01 10.47 2.01 14.71 36.30 54.70 79.40 502.960867 137.86 5928.15
44 2008 147.29 56.16 54.09 37.08 23.34 4.43 3.56 8.66 8.14 43.73 50.38 117.49 554.352549 152.76 6721.64
45 2009 118.70 71.02 57.03 47.44 17.21 2.01 2.01 2.01 16.35 25.16 110.23 87.09 556.252746 153.33 6899.75
St 13.1339255 S Tsp 30.38
Prom t 23 Prom Tsp 145.21
Prom.
n 45 Tsp*P 3330.82

Cuadro 2.7.3-2 Tabla de datos para hallar la tendencia de la media

Mes (t) P (Xt) (Xt-PTm) ^2 (t -Pt) ^2 t * Tm p ‫ג‬


1965 1 125.12 21135.34 1.00 125.12
1965 2 61.12 43842.08 4.00 122.23
1965 3 73.53 38799.15 9.00 220.58
1965 4 31.96 56901.33 16.00 127.84
1965 5 0.00 73170.25 25.00 0.00
1965 6 0.00 73170.25 36.00 0.00
1965 7 2.72 71706.13 49.00 19.04
1965 8 11.05 67314.30 64.00 88.40
1965 9 30.52 57592.80 81.00 274.64
1965 10 17.51 64003.94 100.00 175.10
1965 11 44.37 51134.78 121.00 488.07
1965 12 55.00 46442.41 144.00 659.94
1966 13 42.76 51867.79 169.00 555.82
1966 14 119.34 22849.35 196.00 1670.76
1966 15 28.73 58452.73 225.00 430.95
1966 16 6.55 69672.24 256.00 104.72
1966 17 30.18 57756.11 289.00 512.98
1966 18 0.00 73170.25 324.00 0.00
1966 19 0.00 73170.25 361.00 0.00
1966 20 0.00 73170.25 400.00 0.00
1966 21 20.15 62677.63 441.00 423.05
1966 22 55.76 46113.27 484.00 1226.72

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Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

1966 23 65.88 41871.39 529.00 1515.13


1966 24 86.36 33907.54 576.00 2072.64
1967 25 34.09 55892.05 625.00 852.13
1967 26 64.77 42324.83 676.00 1684.02
1967 27 56.10 45967.36 729.00 1514.70
1967 28 6.55 69672.24 784.00 183.26
1967 29 17.68 63917.95 841.00 512.72
1967 30 0.00 73170.25 900.00 0.00
1967 31 22.53 61491.60 961.00 698.28
1967 32 20.40 62550.01 1024.00 652.80
1967 33 27.20 59194.89 1089.00 897.60
1967 34 40.97 52684.02 1156.00 1392.98
1967 35 46.67 50102.11 1225.00 1633.28
1967 36 128.95 20037.82 1296.00 4642.02
1968 37 156.32 13038.21 1369.00 5783.66
1968 38 149.52 14637.37 1444.00 5681.57
1968 39 76.25 37735.01 1521.00 2973.56
1968 40 9.52 68110.56 1600.00 380.80
1968 41 1.70 72253.44 1681.00 69.70
1968 42 0.00 73170.25 1764.00 0.00
1968 43 18.87 63317.66 1849.00 811.41
1968 44 30.60 57552.01 1936.00 1346.40
1968 45 3.15 71478.70 2025.00 141.53
1968 46 4.00 71024.92 2116.00 183.77
1968 47 4.25 70889.06 2209.00 199.75
1968 48 6.55 69672.24 2304.00 314.16
1969 49 124.36 21358.36 2401.00 6093.40
1969 50 61.21 43802.93 2500.00 3060.43
1969 51 64.72 42345.82 2601.00 3300.67
1969 52 43.85 51369.54 2704.00 2280.28
1969 53 3.23 71433.25 2809.00 171.19
1969 54 114.21 24427.81 2916.00 6167.12
1969 55 40.70 52808.96 3025.00 2238.39
1969 56 0.32 72995.61 3136.00 18.09
1969 57 10.64 67526.18 3249.00 606.59
1969 58 18.63 63437.49 3364.00 1080.66
1969 59 71.11 39755.97 3481.00 4195.55
1969 60 97.61 29892.51 3600.00 5856.33
1970 61 110.57 25578.24 3721.00 6744.65
1970 62 135.81 18140.59 3844.00 8420.41
1970 63 116.51 23713.07 3969.00 7340.10

Ingeniería de Recursos Hídricos


Página64
Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

1970 64 50.12 48569.11 4096.00 3207.42


1970 65 3.61 71228.94 4225.00 234.81
1970 66 0.96 72651.54 4356.00 63.39
1970 67 0.18 73073.71 4489.00 11.96
1970 68 2.49 71829.09 4624.00 169.35
1970 69 64.57 42405.31 4761.00 4455.64
1970 70 41.48 52450.16 4900.00 2903.60
1970 71 15.00 65278.97 5041.00 1065.18
1970 72 102.72 28149.29 5184.00 7396.02
1971 73 89.51 32759.19 5329.00 6533.87
1971 74 207.49 3970.89 5476.00 15353.89
1971 75 26.95 59319.04 5625.00 2020.88
1971 76 30.09 57796.97 5776.00 2286.84
1971 77 3.91 71070.23 5929.00 301.07
1971 78 5.10 70437.16 6084.00 397.80
1971 79 0.00 73170.25 6241.00 0.00
1971 80 6.29 69806.92 6400.00 503.20
1971 81 8.33 68733.11 6561.00 674.73
1971 82 50.24 48516.67 6724.00 4119.27
1971 83 31.71 57023.05 6889.00 2631.52
1971 84 81.86 35586.94 7056.00 6875.82
1972 85 95.46 30640.75 7225.00 8113.68
1972 86 85.51 34221.30 7396.00 7353.86
1972 87 72.68 39134.73 7569.00 6322.73
1972 88 26.95 59319.04 7744.00 2371.16
1972 89 5.95 69986.70 7921.00 529.55
1972 90 1.28 72482.10 8100.00 114.75
1972 91 5.70 70121.69 8281.00 518.25
1972 92 37.23 54414.89 8464.00 3425.16
1972 93 25.59 59983.36 8649.00 2379.41
1972 94 37.06 54494.23 8836.00 3483.64
1972 95 47.77 49608.65 9025.00 4538.15
1972 96 92.99 31509.80 9216.00 8927.04
1972 97 95.46 30640.75 9409.00 9259.14
1973 98 93.16 31449.48 9604.00 9129.68
1973 99 76.93 37471.28 9801.00 7615.58
1973 100 57.46 45386.04 10000.00 5746.00
1973 101 11.14 67270.20 10201.00 1124.64
1973 102 0.43 72940.51 10404.00 43.35
1973 103 4.00 71024.92 10609.00 411.49
1973 104 10.54 67579.20 10816.00 1096.16
1973 105 44.71 50981.12 11025.00 4694.55

Ingeniería de Recursos Hídricos


Página65
Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

1973 106 32.73 56536.95 11236.00 3468.85


1973 107 35.87 55051.24 11449.00 3838.09
1973 108 56.36 45858.08 11664.00 6086.34
1974 109 94.44 30998.88 11881.00 10293.42
1974 110 94.18 31088.74 12100.00 10359.80
1974 111 66.30 41697.64 12321.00 7359.30
1974 112 41.06 52645.01 12544.00 4598.16
1974 113 8.42 68688.55 12769.00 950.90
1974 114 9.35 68199.32 12996.00 1065.90
1974 115 18.11 63703.24 13225.00 2082.08
1974 116 28.73 58452.73 13456.00 3332.68
1974 117 21.00 62252.75 13689.00 2456.42
1974 118 24.31 60609.52 13924.00 2868.58
1974 119 24.14 60693.25 14161.00 2872.66
1974 120 93.50 31329.00 14400.00 11220.00
1975 121 75.23 38132.33 14641.00 9102.23
1975 122 107.10 26699.56 14884.00 13066.20
1975 123 87.72 33408.53 15129.00 10789.56
1975 124 47.77 49608.65 15376.00 5923.48
1975 125 18.87 63317.66 15625.00 2358.75
1975 126 15.81 64867.00 15876.00 1992.06
1975 127 0.00 73170.25 16129.00 0.00
1975 128 22.36 61575.94 16384.00 2861.44
1975 129 20.06 62720.19 16641.00 2587.74
1975 130 67.58 41178.56 16900.00 8784.75
1975 131 26.69 59443.32 17161.00 3496.39
1975 132 82.62 35298.89 17424.00 10905.84
1976 133 104.38 27595.85 17689.00 13882.54
1976 134 83.98 34789.71 17956.00 11253.32
1976 135 76.76 37537.13 18225.00 10361.93
1976 136 23.97 60777.04 18496.00 3259.92
1976 137 44.71 50981.12 18769.00 6125.27
1976 138 11.39 67137.99 19044.00 1571.82
1976 139 13.69 65953.94 19321.00 1902.22
1976 140 5.70 70121.69 19600.00 797.30
1976 141 50.32 48479.23 19881.00 7095.12
1976 142 5.53 70211.75 20164.00 784.55
1976 143 16.92 64305.35 20449.00 2418.85
1976 144 68.51 40799.96 20736.00 9865.44
1977 145 90.44 32421.60 21025.00 13113.80
1977 146 73.19 38933.21 21316.00 10685.01
1977 147 92.91 31539.98 21609.00 13657.04

Ingeniería de Recursos Hídricos


Página66
Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

1977 148 31.71 57023.05 21904.00 4692.34


1977 149 20.06 62720.19 22201.00 2988.94
1977 150 4.17 70934.33 22500.00 624.75
1977 151 4.08 70979.62 22801.00 616.08
1977 152 0.00 73170.25 23104.00 0.00
1977 153 28.48 58576.10 23409.00 4356.68
1977 154 26.01 59775.36 23716.00 4005.54
1977 155 84.75 34504.92 24025.00 13135.48
1977 156 51.68 47882.19 24336.00 8062.08
1978 157 74.21 38531.73 24649.00 11650.19
1978 158 74.46 38431.68 24964.00 11764.68
1978 159 96.48 30284.70 25281.00 15339.53
1978 160 45.48 50636.25 25600.00 7276.00
1978 161 7.74 69045.45 25921.00 1245.34
1978 162 5.36 70301.87 26244.00 867.51
1978 163 0.00 73170.25 26569.00 0.00
1978 164 0.00 73170.25 26896.00 0.00
1978 165 44.03 51288.66 27225.00 7264.95
1978 166 16.58 64477.91 27556.00 2751.45
1978 167 83.81 34853.16 27889.00 13996.27
1978 168 123.25 21682.56 28224.00 20706.00
1979 169 148.58 14864.49 28561.00 25110.02
1979 170 60.78 43984.58 28900.00 10331.75
1979 171 76.08 37801.08 29241.00 13008.83
1979 172 65.62 41975.81 29584.00 11286.64
1979 173 9.52 68110.56 29929.00 1646.96
1979 174 0.00 73170.25 30276.00 0.00
1979 175 0.00 73170.25 30625.00 0.00
1979 176 12.33 66654.33 30976.00 2169.20
1979 177 21.08 62210.34 31329.00 3731.16
1979 178 45.14 50789.38 31684.00 8034.03
1979 179 44.71 50981.12 32041.00 8003.09
1979 180 104.81 27454.83 32400.00 18864.90
1980 181 110.16 25708.92 32761.00 19938.96
1980 182 80.33 36166.53 33124.00 14619.15
1980 183 85.43 34252.76 33489.00 15632.78
1980 184 18.28 63617.45 33856.00 3362.60
1980 185 22.53 61491.60 34225.00 4167.13
1980 186 0.00 73170.25 34596.00 0.00
1980 187 1.45 72390.59 34969.00 270.22
1980 188 8.84 68465.96 35344.00 1661.92
1980 189 31.20 57266.88 35721.00 5895.86

Ingeniería de Recursos Hídricos


Página67
Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

1980 190 51.68 47882.19 36100.00 9819.20


1980 191 36.21 54891.80 36481.00 6916.11
1980 192 69.45 40423.11 36864.00 13333.44
1981 193 158.53 12538.40 37249.00 30595.33
1981 194 98.18 29695.91 37636.00 19045.95
1981 195 154.70 13409.64 38025.00 30166.50
1981 196 21.59 61956.19 38416.00 4231.64
1981 197 8.59 68599.47 38809.00 1691.25
1981 198 3.49 71297.01 39204.00 690.03
1981 199 0.00 73170.25 39601.00 0.00
1981 200 22.10 61702.56 40000.00 4420.00
1981 201 39.53 53349.45 40401.00 7944.53
1981 202 62.14 43415.97 40804.00 12551.27
1981 203 66.64 41558.90 41209.00 13527.92
1981 204 103.36 27935.78 41616.00 21085.44
1982 205 161.76 11825.48 42025.00 33159.78
1982 206 64.52 42429.82 42436.00 13290.09
1982 207 97.67 29871.94 42849.00 20216.66
1982 208 78.80 36750.81 43264.00 16389.36
1982 209 2.38 71888.33 43681.00 497.42
1982 210 4.68 70662.93 44100.00 981.75
1982 211 0.00 73170.25 44521.00 0.00
1982 212 12.75 66435.06 44944.00 2703.00
1982 213 34.17 55851.87 45369.00 7278.21
1982 214 47.26 49836.10 45796.00 10113.64
1982 215 70.47 40014.00 46225.00 15149.98
1982 216 71.06 39776.31 46656.00 15348.96
1983 217 69.79 40286.51 47089.00 15143.35
1983 218 94.78 30879.28 47524.00 20660.95
1983 219 41.65 52372.32 47961.00 9121.35
1983 220 57.89 45205.14 48400.00 12734.70
1983 221 14.37 65605.14 48841.00 3174.67
1983 222 22.44 61533.76 49284.00 4981.68
1983 223 0.00 73170.25 49729.00 0.00
1983 224 0.00 73170.25 50176.00 0.00
1983 225 12.58 66522.73 50625.00 2830.50
1983 226 18.96 63274.89 51076.00 4283.83
1983 227 16.58 64477.91 51529.00 3762.53
1983 228 65.20 42150.14 51984.00 14864.46
1984 229 134.64 18457.94 52441.00 30832.56
1984 230 137.11 17794.23 52900.00 31534.15
1984 231 117.98 23262.35 53361.00 27253.38

Ingeniería de Recursos Hídricos


Página68
Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

1984 232 24.65 60442.22 53824.00 5718.80


1984 233 0.00 73170.25 54289.00 0.00
1984 234 0.00 73170.25 54756.00 0.00
1984 235 9.18 68288.14 55225.00 2157.30
1984 236 36.64 54692.84 55696.00 8645.86
1984 237 5.95 69986.70 56169.00 1410.15
1984 238 50.83 48254.91 56644.00 12097.54
1984 239 105.15 27342.28 57121.00 25129.66
1984 240 102.94 28078.03 57600.00 24704.40
1985 241 123.93 21482.76 58081.00 29867.13
1985 242 96.73 30196.01 58564.00 23408.66
1985 243 92.65 31630.62 59049.00 22513.95
1985 244 83.05 35139.38 59536.00 20262.98
1985 245 10.29 67711.85 60025.00 2519.83
1985 246 34.68 55611.07 60516.00 8531.28
1985 247 5.36 70301.87 61009.00 1322.69
1985 248 5.02 70482.29 61504.00 1243.72
1985 249 39.87 53192.50 62001.00 9926.39
1985 250 51.94 47770.66 62500.00 12983.75
1985 251 99.11 29374.53 63001.00 24876.61
1985 252 100.30 28968.04 63504.00 25275.60
1986 253 111.95 25139.69 64009.00 28322.09
1986 254 109.31 25982.22 64516.00 27764.74
1986 255 129.37 19917.68 65025.00 32989.35
1986 256 57.04 45567.31 65536.00 14600.96
1986 257 15.30 65127.04 66049.00 3932.10
1986 258 0.00 73170.25 66564.00 0.00
1986 259 4.34 70843.81 67081.00 1122.77
1986 260 13.77 65910.29 67600.00 3580.20
1986 261 53.38 47141.09 68121.00 13932.18
1986 262 34.09 55892.05 68644.00 8930.27
1986 263 50.41 48441.81 69169.00 13256.52
1986 264 108.38 26284.52 69696.00 28611.00
1987 265 133.96 18643.17 70225.00 35499.40
1987 266 42.93 51790.38 70756.00 11418.05
1987 267 86.36 33907.54 71289.00 23058.12
1987 268 35.62 55170.96 71824.00 9544.82
1987 269 11.14 67270.20 72361.00 2995.32
1987 270 7.57 69134.81 72900.00 2042.55
1987 271 30.43 57633.60 73441.00 8246.53
1987 272 4.08 70979.62 73984.00 1109.76
1987 273 12.50 66566.58 74529.00 3411.14

Ingeniería de Recursos Hídricos


Página69
Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

1987 274 40.89 52723.05 75076.00 11202.49


1987 275 101.66 28506.95 75625.00 27956.50
1987 276 107.02 26727.35 76176.00 29536.14
1988 277 95.88 30492.14 76729.00 26558.76
1988 278 79.82 36360.77 77284.00 22188.57
1988 279 98.09 29725.21 77841.00 27367.11
1988 280 65.28 42115.25 78400.00 18278.40
1988 281 20.57 62465.00 78961.00 5780.17
1988 282 0.00 73170.25 79524.00 0.00
1988 283 0.00 73170.25 80089.00 0.00
1988 284 0.00 73170.25 80656.00 0.00
1988 285 4.76 70617.75 81225.00 1356.60
1988 286 19.47 63018.57 81796.00 5566.99
1988 287 25.84 59858.52 82369.00 7416.08
1988 288 69.53 40388.94 82944.00 20024.64
1989 289 89.51 32759.19 83521.00 25866.95
1989 290 50.24 48516.67 84100.00 14568.15
1989 291 115.60 23994.01 84681.00 33639.60
1989 292 22.27 61618.13 85264.00 6502.84
1989 293 26.69 59443.32 85849.00 7820.17
1989 294 0.00 73170.25 86436.00 0.00
1989 295 0.00 73170.25 87025.00 0.00
1989 296 35.28 55330.80 87616.00 10441.40
1989 297 24.74 60400.44 88209.00 7346.30
1989 298 41.14 52606.01 88804.00 12259.72
1989 299 40.80 52762.09 89401.00 12199.20
1989 300 80.84 35972.81 90000.00 24250.50
1990 301 142.29 16437.80 90601.00 42829.29
1990 302 70.13 40150.14 91204.00 21177.75
1990 303 19.47 63018.57 91809.00 5897.90
1990 304 39.70 53270.95 92416.00 12067.28
1990 305 7.06 69403.27 93025.00 2151.78
1990 306 42.25 52100.35 93636.00 12926.97
1990 307 2.72 71706.13 94249.00 835.04
1990 308 20.83 62337.61 94864.00 6414.10
1990 309 6.89 69492.87 95481.00 2127.47
1990 310 64.86 42289.87 96100.00 20105.05
1990 311 60.10 44270.26 96721.00 18689.55
1990 312 101.58 28535.66 97344.00 31691.40
1991 313 84.83 34473.35 97969.00 26551.79
1991 314 57.04 45567.31 98596.00 17908.99
1991 315 66.64 41558.90 99225.00 20991.60

Ingeniería de Recursos Hídricos


Página70
Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

1991 316 51.17 48105.65 99856.00 16169.72


1991 317 22.10 61702.56 100489.00 7005.70
1991 318 26.69 59443.32 101124.00 8487.42
1991 319 0.00 73170.25 101761.00 0.00
1991 320 0.00 73170.25 102400.00 0.00
1991 321 22.61 61449.45 103041.00 7257.81
1991 322 30.09 57796.97 103684.00 9688.98
1991 323 43.44 51558.51 104329.00 14029.51
1991 324 44.63 51019.52 104976.00 14458.50
1992 325 63.58 42815.89 105625.00 20663.50
1992 326 76.59 37603.03 106276.00 24966.71
1992 327 71.06 39776.31 106929.00 23236.62
1992 328 36.47 54772.38 107584.00 11960.52
1992 329 0.00 73170.25 108241.00 0.00
1992 330 11.99 66830.01 108900.00 3955.05
1992 331 0.00 73170.25 109561.00 0.00
1992 332 25.50 60025.00 110224.00 8466.00
1992 333 7.06 69403.27 110889.00 2349.32
1992 334 29.67 58001.50 111556.00 9908.11
1992 335 59.33 44592.77 112225.00 19875.55
1992 336 71.23 39708.53 112896.00 23933.28
1993 337 107.95 26422.50 113569.00 36379.15
1993 338 71.15 39742.42 114244.00 24047.01
1993 339 85.26 34315.71 114921.00 28901.45
1993 340 52.19 47659.26 115600.00 17744.60
1993 341 22.53 61491.60 116281.00 7681.03
1993 342 1.28 72482.10 116964.00 436.05
1993 343 7.31 69268.98 117649.00 2507.33
1993 344 27.03 59277.64 118336.00 9298.32
1993 345 6.55 69672.24 119025.00 2258.03
1993 346 35.53 55210.90 119716.00 12293.38
1993 347 60.44 44127.30 120409.00 20970.95
1993 348 85.94 34064.24 121104.00 29905.38
1994 349 127.67 20400.41 121801.00 44556.83
1994 350 160.14 12179.33 122500.00 56049.00
1994 351 97.24 30019.03 123201.00 34131.24
1994 352 65.03 42219.98 123904.00 22888.80
1994 353 0.00 73170.25 124609.00 0.00
1994 354 3.32 71387.82 125316.00 1173.51
1994 355 0.00 73170.25 126025.00 0.00
1994 356 6.80 69537.69 126736.00 2420.80
1994 357 6.21 69851.85 127449.00 2215.19

Ingeniería de Recursos Hídricos


Página71
Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

1994 358 20.15 62677.63 128164.00 7211.91


1994 359 33.32 56254.35 128881.00 11961.88
1994 360 99.74 29159.32 129600.00 35906.04
1995 361 68.43 40834.31 130321.00 24701.43
1995 362 71.91 39437.99 131044.00 26031.42
1995 363 109.23 26009.63 131769.00 39648.68
1995 364 44.20 51211.69 132496.00 16088.80
1995 365 7.82 69000.78 133225.00 2854.30
1995 366 0.00 73170.25 133956.00 0.00
1995 367 4.42 70798.57 134689.00 1622.14
1995 368 0.00 73170.25 135424.00 0.00
1995 369 7.14 69358.49 136161.00 2634.66
1995 370 12.24 66698.23 136900.00 4528.80
1995 371 34.51 55691.28 137641.00 12803.21
1995 372 66.73 41524.25 138384.00 24821.70
1996 373 112.37 25005.10 139129.00 41914.01
1996 374 83.81 34853.16 139876.00 31344.94
1996 375 47.77 49608.65 140625.00 17913.75
1996 376 24.31 60609.52 141376.00 9140.56
1996 377 16.15 64693.92 142129.00 6088.55
1996 378 0.00 73170.25 142884.00 0.00
1996 379 0.43 72940.51 143641.00 161.08
1996 380 26.69 59443.32 144400.00 10142.20
1996 381 14.45 65561.60 145161.00 5505.45
1996 382 23.72 60902.84 145924.00 9059.13
1996 383 53.13 47251.89 146689.00 20346.88
1996 384 19.81 62847.98 147456.00 7605.12
1997 385 123.00 21757.73 148225.00 47353.08
1997 386 85.00 34410.25 148996.00 32810.00
1997 387 86.96 33688.77 149769.00 33651.59
1997 388 32.22 56779.74 150544.00 12499.42
1997 389 7.74 69045.45 151321.00 3008.92
1997 390 0.00 73170.25 152100.00 0.00
1997 391 1.19 72527.88 152881.00 465.29
1997 392 12.24 66698.23 153664.00 4798.08
1997 393 15.39 65083.66 154449.00 6046.31
1997 394 19.89 62805.37 155236.00 7836.66
1997 395 41.31 52528.06 156025.00 16317.45
1997 396 93.76 31238.80 156816.00 37126.98
1998 397 64.94 42254.91 157609.00 25781.18
1998 398 86.79 33751.20 158404.00 34540.43
1998 399 65.11 42185.05 159201.00 25978.89

Ingeniería de Recursos Hídricos


Página72
Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

1998 400 29.75 57960.56 160000.00 11900.00


1998 401 0.43 72940.51 160801.00 170.43
1998 402 5.27 70346.95 161604.00 2118.54
1998 403 0.00 73170.25 162409.00 0.00
1998 404 0.43 72940.51 163216.00 171.70
1998 405 7.57 69134.81 164025.00 3063.83
1998 406 38.83 53671.92 164836.00 15764.17
1998 407 86.28 33938.85 165649.00 35113.93
1998 408 41.82 52294.54 166464.00 17062.56
1999 409 116.37 23757.60 167281.00 47593.29
1999 410 88.32 33191.37 168100.00 36209.15
1999 411 88.06 33284.35 168921.00 36192.66
1999 412 39.70 53270.95 169744.00 16354.34
1999 413 10.71 67490.84 170569.00 4423.23
1999 414 1.19 72527.88 171396.00 492.66
1999 415 2.47 71842.76 172225.00 1022.98
1999 416 1.28 72482.10 173056.00 530.40
1999 417 34.60 55651.17 173889.00 14426.12
1999 418 35.45 55250.85 174724.00 14816.01
1999 419 46.50 50178.24 175561.00 19481.41
1999 420 57.38 45422.27 176400.00 24097.50
2000 421 79.22 36588.04 177241.00 33351.62
2000 422 83.13 35107.52 178084.00 35080.86
2000 423 81.09 35876.15 178929.00 34301.07
2000 424 20.15 62677.63 179776.00 8541.48
2000 425 6.04 69941.74 180625.00 2564.88
2000 426 15.39 65083.66 181476.00 6554.01
2000 427 3.49 71297.01 182329.00 1488.10
2000 428 10.80 67446.69 183184.00 4620.26
2000 429 17.34 64089.99 184041.00 7438.86
2000 430 63.75 42745.56 184900.00 27412.50
2000 431 22.19 61660.34 185761.00 9561.74
2000 432 95.63 30581.27 186624.00 41310.00
2001 433 112.97 24817.28 187489.00 48913.85
2001 434 39.27 53467.31 188356.00 17043.18
2001 435 73.44 38832.64 189225.00 31946.40
2001 436 42.42 52022.77 190096.00 18492.94
2001 437 53.21 47214.94 190969.00 23252.77
2001 438 0.43 72940.51 191844.00 186.15
2001 439 11.22 67226.12 192721.00 4925.58
2001 440 11.56 67049.92 193600.00 5086.40
2001 441 10.12 67800.35 194481.00 4460.72

Ingeniería de Recursos Hídricos


Página73
Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

2001 442 42.67 51906.51 195364.00 18860.14


2001 443 54.15 46809.49 196249.00 23986.24
2001 444 50.83 48254.91 197136.00 22568.52
2002 445 56.02 46003.82 198025.00 24926.68
2002 446 106.85 26782.96 198916.00 47652.87
2002 447 91.72 31964.08 199809.00 40996.61
2002 448 35.96 55011.36 200704.00 16107.84
2002 449 8.59 68599.47 201601.00 3854.67
2002 450 0.43 72940.51 202500.00 191.25
2002 451 23.12 61196.86 203401.00 10427.12
2002 452 16.75 64391.60 204304.00 7568.74
2002 453 33.58 56133.46 205209.00 15209.48
2002 454 41.48 52450.16 206116.00 18831.92
2002 455 98.01 29754.53 207025.00 44592.28
2002 456 63.24 42956.71 207936.00 28837.44
2003 457 73.92 38643.70 208849.00 33781.44
2003 458 28.56 58534.96 209764.00 13080.48
2003 459 45.60 50580.01 210681.00 20930.40
2003 460 20.92 62290.18 211600.00 9623.20
2003 461 1.16 72544.04 212521.00 534.76
2003 462 3.76 71150.23 213444.00 1737.12
2003 463 0.00 73170.25 214369.00 0.00
2003 464 7.76 69032.31 215296.00 3600.64
2003 465 5.24 70362.87 216225.00 2436.60
2003 466 31.72 57015.89 217156.00 14781.52
2003 467 17.24 64140.63 218089.00 8051.08
2003 468 34.16 55856.60 219024.00 15986.88
2004 469 94.52 30968.96 219961.00 44329.88
2004 470 50.72 48303.25 220900.00 23838.40
2004 471 31.76 56996.79 221841.00 14958.96
2004 472 15.92 64810.98 222784.00 7514.24
2004 473 4.68 70660.27 223729.00 2213.64
2004 474 20.49 62503.50 224676.00 9713.69
2004 475 7.19 69331.30 225625.00 3416.02
2004 476 11.86 66896.85 226576.00 5643.34
2004 477 28.96 58342.77 227529.00 13812.74
2004 478 41.57 52409.90 228484.00 19869.46
2004 479 54.01 46869.84 229441.00 25868.67
2004 480 74.39 38459.33 230400.00 35706.96
2005 481 70.76 39895.33 231361.00 34036.45
2005 482 134.07 18612.34 232324.00 64623.16
2005 483 50.38 48453.73 233289.00 24332.53

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Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

2005 484 17.30 64111.65 234256.00 8371.86


2005 485 2.96 71577.99 235225.00 1435.30
2005 486 2.18 71994.54 236196.00 1060.46
2005 487 2.01 72087.27 237169.00 978.52
2005 488 14.10 65740.22 238144.00 6881.50
2005 489 8.83 68469.77 239121.00 4319.19
2005 490 46.84 50025.30 240100.00 22949.95
2005 491 56.42 45828.53 241081.00 27704.18
2005 492 129.93 19760.75 242064.00 63924.11
2006 493 144.52 15869.95 243049.00 71250.34
2006 494 73.78 38696.84 244036.00 36449.73
2006 495 54.96 46459.36 245025.00 27203.05
2006 496 56.08 45976.58 246016.00 27814.94
2006 497 4.43 70794.46 247009.00 2200.57
2006 498 6.67 69604.48 248004.00 3323.35
2006 499 2.01 72087.27 249001.00 1002.63
2006 500 19.97 62762.89 250000.00 9987.39
2006 501 27.23 59180.26 251001.00 13642.26
2006 502 63.59 42810.54 252004.00 31923.65
2006 503 61.78 43564.42 253009.00 31074.89
2006 504 86.74 33767.45 254016.00 43717.35
2007 505 100.13 29026.44 255025.00 50564.90
2007 506 70.42 40033.46 256036.00 35630.68
2007 507 85.70 34149.45 257049.00 43452.08
2007 508 31.03 57345.66 258064.00 15763.47
2007 509 16.09 64725.46 259081.00 8188.79
2007 510 2.01 72087.27 260100.00 1024.73
2007 511 10.47 67613.63 261121.00 5352.11
2007 512 2.01 72087.27 262144.00 1028.75
2007 513 14.71 65430.55 263169.00 7544.20
2007 514 36.30 54850.02 264196.00 18657.78
2007 515 54.70 46571.13 265225.00 28168.72
2007 516 79.40 36519.55 266256.00 40969.94
2008 517 147.29 15181.21 267289.00 76147.87
2008 518 56.16 45939.54 268324.00 29093.41
2008 519 54.09 46832.45 269361.00 28073.72
2008 520 37.08 54486.51 270400.00 19279.80
2008 521 23.34 61086.43 271441.00 12161.86
2008 522 4.43 70794.46 272484.00 2311.26
2008 523 3.56 71254.84 273529.00 1863.96
2008 524 8.66 68560.20 274576.00 4537.82
2008 525 8.14 68831.86 275625.00 4274.41

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Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

2008 526 43.73 51425.89 276676.00 23000.52


2008 527 50.38 48453.73 277729.00 26549.16
2008 528 117.49 23412.24 278784.00 62034.41
2009 529 118.70 23043.66 279841.00 62791.57
2009 530 71.02 39791.89 280900.00 37641.11
2009 531 57.03 45570.04 281961.00 30282.19
2009 532 47.44 49755.21 283024.00 25238.75
2009 533 17.21 64155.39 284089.00 9173.38
2009 534 2.01 72087.27 285156.00 1072.95
2009 535 2.01 72087.27 286225.00 1074.96
2009 536 2.01 72087.27 287296.00 1076.97
2009 537 16.35 64593.68 288369.00 8778.41
2009 538 25.16 60193.13 289444.00 13534.53
2009 539 110.23 25685.15 290521.00 59416.19
2009 540 87.09 33640.60 291600.00 47026.58
Suma 28398509.36 52633890.00 6396789.94
Promedio 11845.91

Figura 2.7.3-1 Análisis visual de la distribución temporal de la ESTACION 4


con datos corregidos de saltos.

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Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

- Análisis de la tendencia de la media

n = 540
Ptm = 44.62
Pt = 270.5

∑(𝑋𝑡 − 𝑃𝑇𝑚)2 0.5


𝑆𝑇𝑚 = ( ) = 229.5373638
𝑛−1

∑(𝑡 − 𝑃𝑡)2 0.5


𝑆𝑡 = ( ) = 312.4916029
𝑛−1

R = -0.003122421

Bm = -0.002293541

Am = 45.24100845

- Pruebas del estadístico T

𝑅 ∗ (𝑛 − 2)0.5
𝑇𝑐 = = −0.42
(1 − 𝑟 2 )0.5

𝑇𝑡(𝑎𝑙𝑓𝑎 = 5%, (𝑛 − 2)𝐺. 𝐿. ) = 1.964383179

Estadística T
Tendencia Comparación Tendencia
Tc Tt(95%)
en la media
-0.07 1.964383179 /Tc/ < Tt NO

El coeficiente de correlación resulta no ser significativa, de ello deducimos


que la información no presenta tendencia significativa con el 95% de
probabilidad.

- Análisis de la tendencia de la desviación estándar


Datos:
Datos
n = 45
r = -0.022825094
Bs = -0.052789407
Tc = -0.149713155

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Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

Alfa = 0.05
G.L. = 43
Tt = 2.016692199

Tendencia en Estadística T
Comparación Tendencia
la desviación Tc Tt(95%)
estándar -0.15 2.016692199 /Tc/ < Tt NO

El coeficiente de correlación resulta no ser significativa, por lo tanto la información


no presenta una tendencia significativa con el 95% de probabilidad.

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Análisis de la información Hidrológica, Análisis de Saltos y Tendencias

III.- CONCLUSIONES.
1.-Podemos observar que gracias al Análisis visual de la distribución temporal se
aprecia un posible salto y con el análisis de curva de doble masa identificarlo.
Como se puede apreciar en la estación 1.

Figura 2.2-1 Análisis visual de la distribución temporal de la ESTACION 1

ESTACIÓN 1
300.00
Precipitación total mensual (mm)

Punto 414
250.00
Punto 178

200.00

150.00

100.00

50.00

0.00
0 100 200 300 400 500
Tiempo (meses)
Posible salto

Figura 2.4-1 Determinación de la estación índice por el análisis CDM

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2.- En la Figura 2.4-1 nos ayuda a elegir nuestra estación índice que presente un
comportamiento lineal, para nuestro caso tomamos la estación 5 y las estaciones
que se deben corregir 1,2 y 4. Y esto se pudo corrobora al calcular si presentan
tenencia de la media y la varianza.

3.- Corrigiendo nuestras precipitaciones por el análisis de saltos y tendencias,


podemos apreciar que el comportamiento de la estaciones se vuelve lineal. Como
se puede apreciar en la figura 2.6-1.

Figura 2.6-1 Determinación de la estación índice con datos corregidos por el


análisis CDM

CDM-CORREGIDA
50000.00

45000.00
Precipitacion ptotalacumulada (mm)

40000.00

35000.00

30000.00

25000.00

20000.00

15000.00

10000.00

5000.00

0.00
0.00 5000.00 10000.00 15000.00 20000.00 25000.00 30000.00 35000.00
Precipitacion promedio acumulada (mm)

E1 E2 E3 E4 E5

4.- Cuando se analizó las estaciones corregidas por el análisis de saltos y


tendencias se demostró que no presentaban tendencia en la media y la varianza.

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