Papers by Jana Kleineberg
How should we understand and visualise the uncertainty inherent in decision-making? A Publication... more How should we understand and visualise the uncertainty inherent in decision-making? A Publication of the Analysis Under Uncertainty for Decision Makers Networ
The Communicating Climate Risk toolkit draws together best practice on the effective communicatio... more The Communicating Climate Risk toolkit draws together best practice on the effective communication of climate information from across STEM, social sciences, and arts and humanities. It provides users with insights, recommendations, and tools for all forms of climate-related communication and decision-making, and identifies open problems.
Books by Jana Kleineberg
AR6 continues to demonstrate the IPCC's commitment to quantifying and communicating uncertainty i... more AR6 continues to demonstrate the IPCC's commitment to quantifying and communicating uncertainty in order to support transparency in science and inform robust decision-making. AR6 also includes greater emphasis on deep uncertainty, e.g. in domains such as tipping points and cascade risks. Risk assessment and risk management are assumed in AR6 as key frameworks that underpin global mitigation and adaptation efforts. However, more needs to be done to connect scientific understandings of uncertainty to risk-based decision-making by policymakers, NGOs, industry, and other actors spanning diverse epistemological, cultural and social contexts. Specific kinds of uncertainty such as model uncertainty and deep uncertainty are challenging to communicate and are typically not well-understood by decision-makers, even those who are risk-literate. Key concepts and methodologies differ across and within different domains of science and policy, creating the potential for information to be lost or misinterpreted. This Communicating Climate Risk Toolkit ('the Toolkit'), from the COP26 Universities Network (COP26 UN) and the Analysis under Uncertainty for Decision-Makers Network (AU4DM), seeks to narrow the gap between climate science and climate action, by providing insights, recommendations, and practical tools to support dialogue between scientists, decision-makers, and many diverse communities. The Toolkit also endeavours to identify open problems and pose questions for further study and debate. Topics covered include varying conceptions of uncertainty and risk, best practice in visualising uncertainty data, case studies on tipping points and model uncertainty. Based on close collaboration across decision science, climate risk modelling, statistics, the environmental humanities, and science communication, the Toolkit seeks to drive a step change in achieving holistic, joined-up, and participatory climate action, equal to the scale of the task of the decade ahead. The Toolkit was developed as part of the COP26 Universities Network Climate Risk project in 2021, and is usefully read in conjunction with the project's other outputs: Climate Action Unit's Communicating Climate Risk: A Handbook, which explores the science / policy interface, informed by neuroscience, climate journalism, and other fields, and which provides practical tips for writing and engaging in dialogues around climate risk; and the COP Conversations series, which summarises recent research in the areas of tipping points, cascade risks; coastal flood hazard modelling; compound hot-dry events such as heatwaves, wildfires and droughts; and attribution of extreme events.
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Papers by Jana Kleineberg
Books by Jana Kleineberg