Trees in forested and agricultural landscapes are particularly important because they disproporti... more Trees in forested and agricultural landscapes are particularly important because they disproportionately provide high values of environmental services and biodiversity. In this study, the link between deforestation, time allocation to fuel-wood collection and agriculture is analyzed. A non-separable (non-recursive) model was developed to test the participation of households in fuel-wood collection and farming activities using data from rural areas of Western Uganda. Results of the quantitative analysis show that the more traditional measures of economic conditions – shadow wages and prices, labour time, gender composition of the household, seasonality and agro-ecological differences – are important variables that affect household labour allocation decisions. The results provide no support to some of the previous studies which show that as deforestation increases and fuel-wood gets scarce, household members will divert time away from farming. The fact that there is no evidence of lab...
World prices for staple foods have been increasing since 2006, and accelerated sharply in 2008. T... more World prices for staple foods have been increasing since 2006, and accelerated sharply in 2008. The impact on the poor in developing countries has been severe. Previous analysis has indicated that the adverse effects of higher food prices in Uganda are likely to be limited because of the diversity of its staple foods, high level of food self-sufficiency, and weak links with world markets. This paper extends the previous analyses, disaggregating by regions and individual food items, using more recent price data, and estimating the impact on consumption poverty. The analysis finds that poor households in Uganda tend to be net buyers of food staples, and therefore suffer welfare losses when food prices increase. This is most pronounced in urban areas, but also holds true for most rural households as well. The diversity of staple foods has not been an effective buffer because of price increases across a range of staples. Both the incidence and depth of poverty have increased as a result...
This study covers a period of far-reaching economic reform policies and programs in Uganda. Measu... more This study covers a period of far-reaching economic reform policies and programs in Uganda. Measures of inequality and stochastic dominance analysis are applied to a series of regionally representatives national household surveys data to shed light on the patterns of inter-temporal changes in levels and distribution of welfare in Uganda. Stochastic dominance analysis of welfare distribution reveals that Ugandan households
The main objective of this study was to analyze the determinants of export participation of manuf... more The main objective of this study was to analyze the determinants of export participation of manufacturing firms in East Africa. In order for East African manufacturing firms to achieve global competitiveness, they need to have an indication of the factors that influence their export participation. Regression results using probit estimation procedure indicate that capital, foreign ownership, education level of the manager and training in Uganda, capital, training of workers and proportion of unskilled workers in Kenya, and firm size and foreign ownership in Tanzania, positively influences export participation of manufacturing firms. To promote exports, Tanzania should design strategies to grow small firms into large ones using measures such as loan guarantee schemes for small and medium firms, tax holidays for joint ventures and mergers, etc. The Ugandan and Kenyan government should also provide incentives for capital imports such as maintaining the current zero rating of capital imp...
This study presents results of trends of poverty in Uganda between 2002 and 2005. The methodology... more This study presents results of trends of poverty in Uganda between 2002 and 2005. The methodology used was Small Area Estimation (SAE) where data on welfare and population from the national household survey of 2005/6 was combined with that from the most recent national census of 2002. The application of the methodology to the data sets enables estimation of poverty estimates disaggregated down to the sub county level. The results show that welfare generally improved in most parts of the country during the period. However pockets of poverty still existed in the northern and eastern regions of the country due to the instability caused by the war, ecological and topographic factors. The results triangulated with education and health data suggest a method of adding a spatial dimension to key service sectors in Uganda. This would provide a solid base for further applications to guide policy planning in the different sectors. Although the causality issues are not explicitly handled here, ...
Elbers, Lanjouw and Lanjouw (2003a) show how, for census years, welfare estimates for small targe... more Elbers, Lanjouw and Lanjouw (2003a) show how, for census years, welfare estimates for small target populations can be derived through the combination of sample survey household information with unit record population census information. Estimates for non-census years are less reliable and are, for that reason, typically not generated. This leaves small area welfare estimators often dated. This paper extends the
World prices for staple foods have been increasing since 2006, and accelerated sharply in 2008. T... more World prices for staple foods have been increasing since 2006, and accelerated sharply in 2008. The impact on the poor in developing countries has been severe. Previous analysis has indicated that the adverse effects of higher food prices in Uganda are likely to be limited because of the diversity of its staple foods, high level of food self-sufficiency, and weak links with world markets. This paper extends the previous analyses, disaggregating by regions and individual food items, using more recent price data, and estimating the impact on consumption poverty. The analysis finds that poor households in Uganda tend to be net buyers of food staples, and therefore suffer welfare losses when food prices increase. This is most pronounced in urban areas, but also holds true for most rural households as well. The diversity of staple foods has not been an effective buffer because of price increases across a range of staples. Both the incidence and depth of poverty have increased as a result...
Trees in forested and agricultural landscapes are particularly important because they disproporti... more Trees in forested and agricultural landscapes are particularly important because they disproportionately provide high values of environmental services and biodiversity. In this study, the link between deforestation, time allocation to fuel-wood collection and agriculture is analyzed. A non-separable (non-recursive) model was developed to test the participation of households in fuel-wood collection and farming activities using data from rural areas of Western Uganda. Results of the quantitative analysis show that the more traditional measures of economic conditions – shadow wages and prices, labour time, gender composition of the household, seasonality and agro-ecological differences – are important variables that affect household labour allocation decisions. The results provide no support to some of the previous studies which show that as deforestation increases and fuel-wood gets scarce, household members will divert time away from farming. The fact that there is no evidence of lab...
World prices for staple foods have been increasing since 2006, and accelerated sharply in 2008. T... more World prices for staple foods have been increasing since 2006, and accelerated sharply in 2008. The impact on the poor in developing countries has been severe. Previous analysis has indicated that the adverse effects of higher food prices in Uganda are likely to be limited because of the diversity of its staple foods, high level of food self-sufficiency, and weak links with world markets. This paper extends the previous analyses, disaggregating by regions and individual food items, using more recent price data, and estimating the impact on consumption poverty. The analysis finds that poor households in Uganda tend to be net buyers of food staples, and therefore suffer welfare losses when food prices increase. This is most pronounced in urban areas, but also holds true for most rural households as well. The diversity of staple foods has not been an effective buffer because of price increases across a range of staples. Both the incidence and depth of poverty have increased as a result...
This study covers a period of far-reaching economic reform policies and programs in Uganda. Measu... more This study covers a period of far-reaching economic reform policies and programs in Uganda. Measures of inequality and stochastic dominance analysis are applied to a series of regionally representatives national household surveys data to shed light on the patterns of inter-temporal changes in levels and distribution of welfare in Uganda. Stochastic dominance analysis of welfare distribution reveals that Ugandan households
The main objective of this study was to analyze the determinants of export participation of manuf... more The main objective of this study was to analyze the determinants of export participation of manufacturing firms in East Africa. In order for East African manufacturing firms to achieve global competitiveness, they need to have an indication of the factors that influence their export participation. Regression results using probit estimation procedure indicate that capital, foreign ownership, education level of the manager and training in Uganda, capital, training of workers and proportion of unskilled workers in Kenya, and firm size and foreign ownership in Tanzania, positively influences export participation of manufacturing firms. To promote exports, Tanzania should design strategies to grow small firms into large ones using measures such as loan guarantee schemes for small and medium firms, tax holidays for joint ventures and mergers, etc. The Ugandan and Kenyan government should also provide incentives for capital imports such as maintaining the current zero rating of capital imp...
This study presents results of trends of poverty in Uganda between 2002 and 2005. The methodology... more This study presents results of trends of poverty in Uganda between 2002 and 2005. The methodology used was Small Area Estimation (SAE) where data on welfare and population from the national household survey of 2005/6 was combined with that from the most recent national census of 2002. The application of the methodology to the data sets enables estimation of poverty estimates disaggregated down to the sub county level. The results show that welfare generally improved in most parts of the country during the period. However pockets of poverty still existed in the northern and eastern regions of the country due to the instability caused by the war, ecological and topographic factors. The results triangulated with education and health data suggest a method of adding a spatial dimension to key service sectors in Uganda. This would provide a solid base for further applications to guide policy planning in the different sectors. Although the causality issues are not explicitly handled here, ...
Elbers, Lanjouw and Lanjouw (2003a) show how, for census years, welfare estimates for small targe... more Elbers, Lanjouw and Lanjouw (2003a) show how, for census years, welfare estimates for small target populations can be derived through the combination of sample survey household information with unit record population census information. Estimates for non-census years are less reliable and are, for that reason, typically not generated. This leaves small area welfare estimators often dated. This paper extends the
World prices for staple foods have been increasing since 2006, and accelerated sharply in 2008. T... more World prices for staple foods have been increasing since 2006, and accelerated sharply in 2008. The impact on the poor in developing countries has been severe. Previous analysis has indicated that the adverse effects of higher food prices in Uganda are likely to be limited because of the diversity of its staple foods, high level of food self-sufficiency, and weak links with world markets. This paper extends the previous analyses, disaggregating by regions and individual food items, using more recent price data, and estimating the impact on consumption poverty. The analysis finds that poor households in Uganda tend to be net buyers of food staples, and therefore suffer welfare losses when food prices increase. This is most pronounced in urban areas, but also holds true for most rural households as well. The diversity of staple foods has not been an effective buffer because of price increases across a range of staples. Both the incidence and depth of poverty have increased as a result...
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