2011 Saskatchewan general election

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Saskatchewan general election, 2011
← 2007 November 7, 2011 (2011-11-07) 2016 →
58 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Saskatchewan
30 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
  First party Second party
  Brad Wall - Saskatchewan Party leader.jpg Dwain Lingenfelter - NDP leader.jpg
Leader Brad Wall Dwain Lingenfelter
Party Saskatchewan New Democratic
Leader since March 15, 2004 June 6, 2009
Leader's seat Swift Current Regina Douglas Park (lost re-election)
Last election 38 seats, 50.92% 20 seats, 37.24%
Seats before 38 20
Seats won 49 9
Seat change Increase11 Decrease11
Popular vote 258,598 128,673
Percentage 64.25% 31.97%
Swing Increase13.33pp Decrease5.27pp
Sask11.PNG
Premier before election

Brad Wall
Saskatchewan

 Premier-designate

Brad Wall
Saskatchewan

The 27th Saskatchewan general election was held on November 7, 2011, to elect 58 members of the Legislative Assembly of Saskatchewan (MLAs).[1] The election was called on October 10 by the Lieutenant Governor of Saskatchewan, on the advice of Premier Brad Wall.[2] Wall's Saskatchewan Party government was re-elected with an increased majority of 49 seats, the third-largest majority government in the province's history. The opposition New Democratic Party was cut down to only nine ridings, its worst showing in almost 30 years.

This was the first Saskatchewan provincial vote to use a fixed election date, set on the first Monday of November every four years.[3]

Results

On election night, the incumbent Saskatchewan Party won 84% of the seats in the provincial legislature on the strength of 64% of the popular vote. In the process, they won the third-biggest majority government (in terms of percentage of seats won) in the province's history. The only bigger majorities came in 1934, when the Liberals won 50 out of 55 seats, and 1982, when the Tories won 55 out of 64. The NDP recorded its lowest share of the popular vote since 1938, when it was known as the Saskatchewan Co-operative Commonwealth Federation. The NDP was reduced to its smallest presence in the legislature since 1982, when the party won the same number of seats in what was then a larger assembly. Opposition leader Dwain Lingenfelter was unseated.

The Saskatchewan Party maintained their dominance of rural regions, and also broke the NDP's longstanding grip on the province's two largest cities, Regina and Saskatoon. The Green Party failed to win any seats – though they ran a full slate of 58 candidates and took third place in the overall popular vote, ahead of the Liberal Party. The Progressive Conservatives made a small gain in popular vote for the second straight election.

Party Seats Second Third Fourth Fifth
  Saskatchewan 49 9 0 0 0
  New Democratic 9 49 0 0 0
Green 0 0 52 6 0
  Liberal 0 0 3 6 0
  Progressive Conservative 0 0 3 2 0
Western Independence 0 0 0 1 1
Summary of the Legislative Assembly of Saskatchewan election results
Party Party leader Candidates Seats Popular vote
2007 Dissol. 2011 Change # % Change
Saskatchewan Brad Wall 58 38 38 49 +11 258,598 64.25 +13.33
  New Democratic Dwain Lingenfelter 58 20 20 9 -11 128,673 31.97 -5.27
Green Victor Lau 58 0 0 0 – 11,561 2.87 +0.86
  Liberal Ryan Bater 9 0 0 0 – 2,237 0.56 -8.84
  Progressive Conservative Rick Swenson 5 0 0 0 – 1,315 0.33 +0.15
Western Independence Dana Arnason 2 0 0 0 – 58 0.01 -0.12
  Independent 1 0 0 0 – 44 0.01
Total 191 58 58 58 402,486 100.00  

Results by region

The Saskatchewan Party maintained their sweep of the southern and central rural ridings. The Saskatchewan Party succeeded in unseating New Democrats in all of the smaller cities – including Moose Jaw, The Battlefords, and Prince Albert. The Saskatchewan Party also won eight of the 12 ridings in Saskatoon, marking the first time since the 1982 PC landslide that a centre-right party has won the most seats in that city. This didn't come as a surprise, since Saskatoon has traditionally been friendly to centre-right parties and candidates. However – and perhaps most surprisingly – the Saskatchewan Party also took eight out of 11 ridings in Regina, in part due to picking up local support from the largely absent Liberal Party. As was the case in Saskatoon, this was the first time a centre-right party has won the most seats there since 1982.

The New Democratic Party maintained their hold on the two northernmost ridings in Saskatchewan, in addition to three seats in the provincial capital and four constituencies in Saskatoon. The NDP recorded the lowest share of the popular vote since 1938 (when it was known as the CCF). However, compared to its result in 1982, NDP support in 2011 was more concentrated in the North and the inner cities of Regina and Saskatoon, a factor which allowed the party to equal its 1982 seat tally (and indeed exceed it in terms of proportion of seats). Also, for the first time in history, a Saskatchewan NDP leader lost his own seat, with Dwain Lingenfelter losing by a shocking 10-percentage-point margin in Regina Douglas Park to a Saskatchewan Party challenger.

Party Name Northern Prince Albert Central Southern Moose Jaw Saskatoon Regina Total
  Saskatchewan Seats: 11 2 6 12 2 8 8 49
  Popular Vote: 63.58% 55.79% 76.58% 76.78% 54.67% 58.21% 55.69% 64.25%
  New Democratic Seats: 2 0 0 0 0 4 3 9
  Popular Vote: 32.81% 41.64% 19.67% 19.71% 40.34% 37.53% 40.60% 31.97%
Green Popular Vote: 2.58% 2.57% 3.27% 2.91% 1.46% 2.87% 3.22% 2.87%
  Liberal Popular Vote: 1.03% xx xx xx xx 1.39% 0.21% 0.56%
  Progressive Conservative Popular Vote: xx xx 0.41% 0.56% 3.53% xx 0.23% 0.33%
Western Independence Popular Vote: xx xx 0.07% 0.04% xx xx xx 0.01%
  Independents Popular Vote: xx xx xx xx xx xx 0.05% 0.01%
Total seats: 13 2 6 12 2 12 11 58

Timeline

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

Incumbents not contesting their seats

Retiring incumbents

Saskatchewan Party
New Democrats

Lost nomination election

Saskatchewan Party

Opinion polls

Polling Firm Date of Polling Link Saskatchewan New Democratic Liberal Green
Forum Research November 5, 2011 HTML 62 34 1 3
Praxis November 4, 2011 HTML 66.7 26.4 * 5.2
Forum Research October 27, 2011 HTML 66 30 1 3
Insightrix October 25–26, 2011 HTML 60.0 33.3 2.8 3.0
Praxis August 29 – September 2, 2011 HTML 63.4 26.1 5.9 3.0
Insightrix July 6–8, 2011 HTML 58.2 30.8 4.2 5.0
Sigma Analytics November 6, 2010 HTML 57.3 29.4 8.2 4.8
Insightrix April 15, 2010 PDF 58.3 28.7 * *
Insightrix November 2009 PDF 66.6 23.0 * *
Environics June 2009 HTML 62 35 2 *
Environics April 2009 HTML 61 30 8 *
Environics December 2008 HTML 65 27 8 *
Environics October 2008 HTML 50 37 11 *
Environics June 2008 HTML 46 41 10 *
Environics March 2008 HTML 46 41 10 *
Environics December 2007 HTML 50 33 15 *
Election 2007 November 7, 2007 HTML 50.9 37.2 9.4 2.0

Riding-by-riding results

People in bold represent cabinet ministers and the speaker. Party leaders are italicized. The symbols ** indicates MLAs who did not run again.

All results are preliminary until approved by Elections Saskatchewan.

Northwest Saskatchewan

Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
SK Party New Democratic Green Liberal
       
Athabasca   Bobby Woods
1,017 (34.53%)		 Buckley Belanger
1,888 (64.11%)		 George Durocher
40 (1.36%)		   Buckley Belanger
Cut Knife-Turtleford   Larry Doke
3,977 (63.27%)		 Bernadette Gopher
2,096 (33.34%)		 Vinessa Currie-Foster
213 (3.39%)		   Michael Chisholm**
Lloydminster   Tim McMillan
2,797 (66.42%)		 Wayne Byers
1,225 (29.09%)		 Meggan Hougham
189 (4.49%)		   Tim McMillan
Meadow Lake   Jeremy Harrison
4,207 (61.97%)		 Helen Ben
2,491 (36.69%)		 Susan Merasty
91 (1.34%)		   Jeremy Harrison
Rosthern-Shellbrook   Scott Moe
4,442 (65.06%)		 Clay DeBray
2,174 (31.84%)		 Margaret-Rose Uvery
212 (3.10%)		   Denis Allchurch**
The Battlefords   Herb Cox
3,527 (51.06%)		 Len Taylor
2,475 (35.83%)		 Owen Swiderski
93 (1.35%)		 Ryan Bater
812 (11.76%)		   Len Taylor

Northeast Saskatchewan

Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
SK Party New Democratic Green
     
Batoche   Delbert Kirsch
4,650 (66.86%)		 Janice Bernier
2,106 (30.28%)		 Amber Jones
199 (2.86%)		   Delbert Kirsch
Canora-Pelly   Ken Krawetz
4,371 (71.15%)		 Rob Carlson
1,657 (26.98%)		 Jaime Fairley
115 (1.87%)		   Ken Krawetz
Carrot River Valley   Fred Bradshaw
4,903 (75.29%)		 Arnold Schellenberg
1,445 (22.19%)		 Spence Bourassa
164 (2.52%)		   Fred Bradshaw
Cumberland   Joe Hordyski
1,755 (33.42%)		 Doyle Vermette
3,319 (63.19%)		 Samuel Hardlotte
178 (3.39%)		   Doyle Vermette
Kelvington-Wadena   June Draude
5,091 (78.72%)		 Graham Reid
1,187 (18.36%)		 Elaine Hughes
189 (2.92%)		   June Draude
Melfort   Kevin Phillips
4,736 (73.10%)		 Ivan Yackel
1,599 (24.68%)		 Melvin Pylypchuk
144 (2.22%)		   Rod Gantefoer**
Prince Albert Carlton   Darryl Hickie
4,284 (60.17%)		 Ted Zurakowski
2,674 (37.56%)		 George Morin
162 (2.27%)		   Darryl Hickie
Prince Albert Northcote   Victoria Jurgens
2,816 (50.23%)		 Darcy Furber
2,625 (46.83%)		 Raymond Bandet
165 (2.94%)		   Darcy Furber
Saskatchewan Rivers   Nadine Wilson
4,749 (65.92%)		 Jeanette Wicinski-Dunn
2,247 (31.19%)		 Paul-Emile L'Heureux
208 (2.89%)		   Nadine Wilson

West Central Saskatchewan

Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
SK Party New Democratic Green Other
       
Arm River-Watrous   Greg Brkich
5,061 (73.67%)		 Eric Skonberg
1,640 (23.87%)		 Orest Shasko
169 (2.46%)		   Greg Brkich
Biggar   Randy Weekes
4,493 (68.15%)		 Glenn Wright
1,695 (25.71%)		 Darryl Amey
206 (3.12%)		 James Yachyshen (PC)
171 (2.59%)

Dana Arnason (WIP)
28 (0.43%)

   Randy Weekes
Humboldt   Donna Harpauer
5,677 (73.02%)		 Gord Bedient
1,807 (23.24%)		 Lynn Oliphant
291 (3.74%)		   Donna Harpauer
Kindersley   Bill Boyd
4,502 (79.71%)		 Peter Walker
907 (16.06%)		 Norbert Kratchmer
239 (4.23%)		   Bill Boyd
Martensville   Nancy Heppner
6,819 (83.14%)		 Catlin Hogan
1,109 (13.52%)		 Chad Wm. Crozier
274 (3.34%)		   Nancy Heppner
Rosetown-Elrose   Jim Reiter
5,690 (81.20%)		 Tom Howe
1,121 (16.00%)		 Dianne Rhodes
196 (2.80%)		   Jim Reiter

Southwest Saskatchewan

Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
SK Party New Democratic Green Prog. Conservative
       
Cypress Hills   Wayne Elhard
5,080 (82.90%)		 Alex Mortensen
757 (12.35%)		 William Caton
291 (4.75%)		   Wayne Elhard
Moose Jaw North   Warren Michelson
4,565 (59.17%)		 Derek Hassen
2,768 (35.88%)		 Corinne Johnson
99 (1.28%)		 Rick Swenson
283 (3.67%)		   Warren Michelson
Moose Jaw Wakamow   Greg Lawrence
3,064 (49.10%)		 Deb Higgins
2,863 (45.88%)		 Deanna Robilliard
104 (1.67%)		 Tom Steen
209 (3.35%)		   Deb Higgins
Swift Current   Brad Wall
6,021 (80.97%)		 Aaron Ens
1,223 (16.45%)		 Amanda Huxted
192 (2.58%)		   Brad Wall
Thunder Creek   Lyle Stewart
5,920 (79.61%)		 Ryan McDonald
1,304 (17.54%)		 Jill Forrester
212 (2.85%)		   Lyle Stewart
Wood River   Yogi Huyghebaert
5,354 (82.03%)		 Randy Gaudry
961 (14.72%)		 Amelia Swiderski
212 (3.25%)		   Yogi Huyghebaert

Southeast Saskatchewan

Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
SK Party New Democratic Green Other
       
Cannington   Dan D'Autremont
4,691 (75.65%)		 Todd Gervais
919 (14.82%)		 Daniel Johnson
134 (2.16%)		 Chris Brown (PC)
457 (7.37%)		   Dan D'Autremont
Estevan   Doreen Eagles
4,796 (79.24%)		 Blair Schoenfeld
1,045 (17.27%)		 Sigfredo Gonzalez
211 (3.49%)		   Doreen Eagles
Indian Head-Milestone   Don McMorris
5,766 (76.16%)		 Richard J. Klyne
1,516 (20.02%)		 Shelby Hersberger
289 (3.82%)		   Don McMorris
Last Mountain-Touchwood   Glen Hart
4,778 (67.49%)		 Don Jeworski
2,049 (28.95%)		 Greg Chatterson
222 (3.14%)		 Frank J. Serfas (WIP)
30 (0.42%)		   Glen Hart
Melville-Saltcoats   Bob Bjornerud
5,071 (73.46%)		 Leonard Dales
1,689 (24.47%)		 Jordan Fieseler
143 (2.07%)		   Bob Bjornerud
Moosomin   Don Toth
4,810 (77.06%)		 Carol Morin
1,244 (19.93%)		 Laura Forrester
188 (3.01%)		   Don Toth
Weyburn-Big Muddy   Dustin Duncan
5,194 (75.71%)		 Ken Kessler
1,517 (22.12%)		 Gene Ives
149 (2.17%)		   Dustin Duncan
Yorkton   Greg Ottenbreit
5,446 (72.45%)		 Chad Blenkin
1,932 (25.70%)		 Kathryn McDonald
139 (1.85%)		   Greg Ottenbreit

Saskatoon

Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
SK Party New Democratic Green Liberal
       
Saskatoon Centre   David Cooper
2,218 (42.92%)		 David Forbes
2,790 (54.00%)		 Daeran Gall
159 (3.08%)		   David Forbes
Saskatoon Eastview   Corey Tochor
5,217 (57.51%)		 Judy Junor
3,588 (39.56%)		 Shawn Setyo
266 (2.93%)		   Judy Junor
Saskatoon Fairview   Jennifer Campeau
2,644 (50.98%)		 Andy Iwanchuk
2,397 (46.22%)		 Jan Norris
145 (2.80%)		   Andy Iwanchuk
Saskatoon Greystone   Rob Norris
4,885 (58.39%)		 Peter Prebble
3,174 (37.94%)		 Tammy McDonald
140 (1.67%)		 Simone Clayton
167 (2.00%)		   Rob Norris
Saskatoon Massey Place   Fawad (Ali) Muzaffar
3,072 (43.40%)		 Cam Broten
3,812 (53.85%)		 Diane West
195 (2.75%)		   Cam Broten
Saskatoon Meewasin   Roger Parent
3,853 (54.05%)		 Frank Quennell
2,975 (41.73%)		 Tobi-Dawne Smith
160 (2.24%)		 Nathan Jeffries
141 (1.98%)		   Frank Quennell
Saskatoon Northwest   Gordon Wyant
4,761 (70.35%)		 Nicole White
1,718 (25.39%)		 Luke Bonsan
153 (2.26%)		 Eric Steiner
135 (2.00%)		   Gordon Wyant
Saskatoon Nutana   Zoria Broughton
3,290 (43.06%)		 Cathy Sproule
3,793 (49.64%)		 Mark Bigland-Pritchard
369 (4.83%)		 Cole Hogan
189 (2.47%)		   Pat Atkinson**
Saskatoon Riversdale   Fred Ozirney
2,349 (45.66%)		 Danielle Chartier
2,649 (51.50%)		 Vicki Strelioff
146 (2.84%)		   Danielle Chartier
Saskatoon Silver Springs   Ken Cheveldayoff
7,736 (74.59%)		 Cindy Lee Sherban
2,242 (21.62%)		 D'Arcy Hande
230 (2.22%)		 Rod Stoesz
163 (1.57%)		   Ken Cheveldayoff
Saskatoon Southeast   Don Morgan
8,073 (75.41%)		 Zubair Sheikh
2,068 (19.32%)		 Sarah Risk
297 (2.77%)		 Brenda McKnight
268 (2.50%)		   Don Morgan
Saskatoon Sutherland   Paul Merriman
3,994 (58.21%)		 Naveed Anwar
2,376 (34.63%)		 Larry Waldinger
305 (4.45%)		 Kaleb Jeffries
186 (2.71%)		   Joceline Schriemer**

Regina

Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
SK Party New Democratic Green Other
       
Regina Coronation Park   Mark Docherty
3,354 (53.59%)		 Jaime Garcia
2,756 (44.04%)		 Helmi Scott
148 (2.37%)		   Kim Trew**
Regina Dewdney   Gene Makowsky
4,435 (60.65%)		 Kevin Yates
2,558 (34.98%)		 Darcy Robilliard
143 (1.96%)		 Robin Schneider (Lib.)
176 (2.41%)		   Kevin Yates
Regina Douglas Park   Russ Marchuk
4,411 (52.00%)		 Dwain Lingenfelter
3,507 (41.34%)		 Victor Lau
565 (6.66%)		   Dwain Lingenfelter
Regina Elphinstone-Centre   Bill Stevenson
1,743 (38.54%)		 Warren McCall
2,581 (57.06%)		 Ingrid Alesich
199 (4.40%)		   Warren McCall
Regina Lakeview   Bob Hawkins
3,762 (46.56%)		 John Nilson
3,908 (48.37%)		 Mike Wright
410 (5.07%)		   John Nilson
Regina Northeast   Kevin Doherty
4,054 (58.90%)		 Dwayne Yasinowski
2,663 (38.69%)		 Nathan Sgrazzutti
165 (2.40%)		   Ron Harper**
Regina Qu'Appelle Valley   Laura Ross
6,269 (63.57%)		 Steve Ryan
3,359 (34.06%)		 Billy Patterson
190 (1.93%)		 Hafeez Chaudhuri (Ind.)
44 (0.44%)		   Laura Ross
Regina Rosemont   Tony Fiacco
2,745 (42.21%)		 Trent Wotherspoon
3,567 (54.85%)		 Allan Kirk
191 (2.94%)		   Trent Wotherspoon
Regina South   Bill Hutchinson
4,461 (53.79%)		 Yens Pedersen
3,534 (42.61%)		 David Orban
299 (3.60%)		   Bill Hutchinson
Regina Walsh Acres   Warren Steinley
3,679 (58.18%)		 Sandra Morin
2,488 (39.34%)		 Bart Soroka
157 (2.48%)		   Sandra Morin
Regina Wascana Plains   Christine Tell
7,460 (69.30%)		 Pat Maze
2,895 (26.89%)		 Bill Clary
215 (2.00%)		 Roy Gaebel (PC)
195 (1.81%)		   Christine Tell

Marginal seats

The following is a list of ridings which had narrowly been lost by the indicated party in the 2007 election. The symbol " * " indicates the incumbent MLA is not running again.

Saskatchewan Party New Democratic
  1. Saskatoon Eastview (NDP) 3.12% (won)
  2. Saskatoon Meewasin (NDP) 3.47% (won)
  3. The Battlefords (NDP) 4.1% (won)
  4. Regina Dewdney (NDP) 5.87% (won)
  1. Moose Jaw North (SK Party) 0.38% (held)
  2. Meadow Lake (SK Party) 0.5% (held)
  3. Prince Albert Carlton (SK Party) 0.78% (held)
  4. Regina Qu'Appelle Valley (SK Party) 1.99% (held)
  5. Regina South (SK Party) 2.6% (held)
  6. Saskatoon Greystone (SK Party) 3.17% (held)
  7. Saskatoon Sutherland (SK Party) 3.2% * (held)
Liberal
  1. Saskatoon Meewasin (NDP) 5.21% (won by SK Party)

Political parties

External links

References

  1. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  2. ↑ 2.0 2.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  3. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  4. ↑ 4.0 4.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  5. ↑ "MLA LeClerc steps down from Sask. Party caucus", http://www.thestarphoenix.com/news/LeClerc+steps+down+from+Sask+Party+caucus+accused+drug/2917277/story.html: April 16, 2010.
  6. ↑ "LeClerc won't run again", http://www.thestarphoenix.com/news/LeClerc+steps+down+from+Sask+Party+caucus+accused+drug/2917277/story.html: April 20, 2010.
  7. ↑ 7.0 7.1 "Regina Northeast MLA Ron Harper to retire", http://www.leaderpost.com/news/Regina+Northeast+Harper+retire/3020405/story.html: Regina Leader-Post, May 13, 2010.
  8. ↑ 8.0 8.1 "Saskatoon Sutherland MLA Joceline Schriemer not seeking re-election", http://www.skcaucus.com/schriemer.html: June 2, 2010.
  9. ↑ 9.0 9.1 "ROD GANTEFOER WILL NOT SEEK RE-ELECTION IN 2011", http://www.skcaucus.com/newsroom.html?news_action=details&news_id=6588B2C9-AE4C-83E9-29E6FC75C1A47A36: June 23, 2010.
  10. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  11. ↑ "Serge LeClerc resigns as MLA", http://www.thestarphoenix.com/sports/Serge+LeClerc+resigns/3464959/story.html: Saskatoon Star-Phoenix, August 31, 2010.
  12. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  13. ↑ 13.0 13.1 "MLA Pat Atkinson retires", http://www.globalsaskatoon.com/entertainment/Atkinson+retires/4092391/story.html: GlobalSaskatoon.com, January 12, 2011.
  14. ↑ 14.0 14.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  15. ↑ 15.0 15.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  16. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  17. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  18. ↑ "Saskatchewan Party MLA Mike Chisholm back at work" http://www.skcaucus.com/index.php?pageid=ArchiveDetail&archiveid=54 : May 13, 2009.
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