2018 United States Senate election in Minnesota

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Not to be confused with 2018 United States Senate special election in Minnesota.
2018 United States Senate election in Minnesota
← 2012 November 6, 2018 2024 →
Turnout 63.89%
  x150px x150px
Nominee Amy Klobuchar Jim Newberger
Party DFL Republican
Popular vote 1,566,174 940,437
Percentage 60.3% 36.2%
File:MNSenate18.svg
Results by county

Klobuchar:      40-50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

Newberger:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%
250px
Precinct Results


Klobuchar:      40-50%      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%      80-90%      90-100%
Tie:      
Newberger:      20-30%      30-40%      40-50%      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%      80-90%      90-100%
No Vote:

     
U.S. senator before election

Amy Klobuchar
DFL

 Elected U.S. Senator

Amy Klobuchar
DFL

Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. The 2018 United States Senate election in Minnesota took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a United States Senator from Minnesota. Democratic incumbent Amy Klobuchar was easily reelected to a third term in office. This election was held alongside a special election for Minnesota's other Senate seat, which was held by Al Franken until he resigned in January 2018. U.S. House elections, a gubernatorial election, State House elections, and other elections were also held.

The candidate filing deadline was June 5, 2018, and the primary election was held on August 14, 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

  • Steve Carlson[3]
  • Stephen A. Emery[3]
  • David R. Groves[3]
  • Leonard J. Richards[3]

Endorsements

Results

File:Democratic Primary for United States Senate Election in Minnesota, 2018.svg
Results by county:
Klobuchar
  •   >88%
  •   88-90%
  •   90-92%
  •   92-94%
  •   >94%
Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party primary results[13]
Party Candidate Votes %
DFL Amy Klobuchar (incumbent) 557,306 95.70%
DFL Steve Carlson 9,934 1.71%
DFL Stephen Emery 7,047 1.21%
DFL David Groves 4,511 0.77%
DFL Leonard Richards 3,552 0.61%
Total votes 582,350 100%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

  • Merrill Anderson,[3] Past Candidate (Mayor of Minneapolis), Past Candidate (Governor of Minnesota)
  • Rae Hart Anderson[3]
  • Rocky De La Fuente, 2016 Reform Party Presidential Nominee and perennial candidate[3]

Declined

Endorsements

Results

File:2018 MN US Senate Republican primary.svg
Results by county:
Newberger
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Republican Party primary results[13]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jim Newberger 201,531 69.50%
Republican Merrill Anderson 45,492 15.69%
Republican Rae Hart Anderson 25,883 8.93%
Republican Roque "Rocky" de la Fuente 17,051 5.88%
Total votes 289,957 100%

Minor parties and independents

Candidates

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[23] Solid D September 28, 2018
Inside Elections[24] Solid D December 7, 2017
Sabato's Crystal Ball[25] Safe D December 7, 2017
Fox News[26] Likely D^ July 9, 2018
CNN[27] Solid D July 12, 2018
RealClearPolitics[28] Safe D August 14, 2018

^Highest rating given

Debates

On August 24, MPR News hosted a debate between Amy Klobuchar and Jim Newberger at the Minnesota State Fair.[29]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of October 17, 2018
Candidate (party) Total receipts Total disbursements Cash on hand
Amy Klobuchar (D) $10,139,499 $7,700,359 $5,086,325
Jim Newberger (R) $210,846 $191,815 $19,030
Source: Federal Election Commission[30]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Amy
Klobuchar (D)		 Jim
Newberger (R)		 Paula
Overby (G)		 Dennis
Schuller (LMN)		 Other Undecided
Change Research November 2–4, 2018 953 – 55% 40% 2% 3% – –
Research Co. November 1–3, 2018 450 ± 4.6% 53% 33% – – 2% 12%
SurveyUSA October 29–31, 2018 600 ± 5.3% 57% 34% – – 1% 7%
Mason-Dixon October 15–17, 2018 800 ± 3.5% 56% 33% 2% 2% – 8%
Change Research October 12–13, 2018 1,413 – 50% 41% 2% 5% – 2%
Marist College September 30 – October 4, 2018 637 LV ± 4.9% 60% 32% 4% – <1% 4%
63% 33% – – <1% 4%
860 RV ± 4.2% 59% 32% 5% – <1% 5%
62% 33% – – <1% 5%
Mason-Dixon September 10–12, 2018 800 ± 3.5% 60% 30% 1% 3% – 6%
SurveyUSA September 6–8, 2018 574 ± 4.9% 53% 38% – – 2% 8%
Suffolk University August 17–20, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 54% 34% 1% 1% – 11%
Emerson College August 8–11, 2018 500 ± 4.6% 50% 26% – – – 24%
BK Strategies June 24–25, 2018 1,574 ± 2.5% 57% 37% – – – 6%

Results

Klobuchar won the election by a margin of 24.10%. She carried a clear majority of the state's 87 counties, and had the biggest statewide margin of any statewide candidate in Minnesota in 2018. Klobuchar ran up huge margins in the state's population centers and trounced Newberger in the counties encompassing the Minneapolis-St. Paul area. As in her 2012 victory, she also won many rural counties. Klobuchar was sworn in for a third term on January 3, 2019.

United States Senate election in Minnesota, 2018[31]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
DFL Amy Klobuchar (incumbent) 1,566,174 60.31% -4.92%
Republican Jim Newberger 940,437 36.21% +5.68%
LMN Dennis Schuller 66,236 2.55% N/A
Green Paula Overby 23,101 0.89% N/A
Write-in 931 0.04% N/A
Total votes 2,596,879 100% N/A
DFL hold

Voter demographics

Edison Research exit poll
Demographic subgroup Klobuchar Newberger No
Answer		  % of
Voters
Gender
Men 54 45 1 46
Women 67 32 1 54
Age
18–24 years old 79 19 2 6
25–29 years old 60 39 1 5
30–39 years old 63 35 2 12
40–49 years old 57 42 1 13
50–64 years old 61 38 1 29
65 and older 60 39 1 35
Race
White 59 40 1 89
Black 86 12 2 5
Latino N/A N/A N/A 3
Asian N/A N/A N/A 2
Other N/A N/A N/A 2
Race by gender
White men 52 47 1 40
White women 65 34 1 49
Black men N/A N/A N/A 3
Black women N/A N/A N/A 2
Latino men N/A N/A N/A 1
Latino women N/A N/A N/A 1
Others N/A N/A N/A 4
Education
High school or less 59 40 1 17
Some college education 55 43 2 23
Associate degree 54 44 2 17
Bachelor's degree 66 34 N/A 26
Advanced degree 75 25 N/A 16
Education and race
White college graduates 68 31 1 38
White no college degree 53 46 1 51
Non-white college graduates 79 20 1 4
Non-white no college degree 82 17 1 7
Whites by education and gender
White women with college degrees 74 25 1 21
White women without college degrees 59 40 1 28
White men with college degrees 61 39 N/A 17
White men without college degrees 46 53 1 23
Non-whites 80 18 2 11
Income
Under $30,000 67 28 5 14
$30,000–49,999 63 35 2 20
$50,000–99,999 55 44 1 36
$100,000–199,999 64 36 N/A 23
Over $200,000 N/A N/A N/A 7
Party ID
Democrats 98 2 N/A 39
Republicans 18 81 1 32
Independents 62 36 2 29
Party by gender
Democratic men 96 4 N/A 14
Democratic women 99 1 N/A 25
Republican men 16 84 N/A 15
Republican women 20 78 2 17
Independent men 56 42 2 16
Independent women 69 29 2 13
Ideology
Liberals 96 3 1 27
Moderates 76 23 1 39
Conservatives 17 82 1 33
Marital status
Married 55 44 1 67
Unmarried 69 28 3 33
Gender by marital status
Married men 51 47 2 31
Married women 58 42 N/A 36
Unmarried men 59 38 3 15
Unmarried women 79 19 2 18
First-time midterm election voter
Yes 59 40 1 13
No 64 35 1 87
Most important issue facing the country
Health care 78 20 2 50
Immigration 29 70 1 22
Economy 37 62 1 18
Gun policy N/A N/A N/A 7
Area type
Urban 73 26 1 40
Suburban 58 41 1 32
Rural 49 49 2 28
Source: CNN[32]

See also

References

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External links

Official campaign websites
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