2020 United States presidential election in California

2020 United States presidential election in California
Turnout	%
Incumbent President; Donald Trump; Republican	; ;

Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

The 2020 United States presidential election in California is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.^[1] California voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of California has 55 electoral votes in the Electoral College.^[2]

Primary elections

In a departure from previous election cycles, California held its primaries on Super Tuesday, March 3, 2020.^[3] Early voting began several weeks earlier.

Donald Trump secured the Republican nomination on March 17, 2020, defeating several longshot candidates, most notably former Governor Bill Weld. Kamala Harris, the state's junior U.S. Senator, was among the Democratic candidates declared until she dropped out on December 3, 2019. Representative Eric Swalwell from the 15th district was also a Democratic candidate but dropped out of the race on July 8, 2019. Other prominent state figures, including former Governor Jerry Brown, current Governor Gavin Newsom, and Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti have declined to run.^[4]^[5]^[6]

Republican primary

The Republican party's primary campaign has been dominated by a lawsuit over the President's taxes.^[7] The suit alleges that the new requirement for several years of a candidate's taxes was unconstitutional and onerous. The law was blocked in September 2019 while State Supreme court heard testimony and made a ruling.^[8]

As a contingency, the Republican state committee changed its delegate selection process, turning the primary into a mere "beauty contest" and setting up an emergency state convention to Trump's delegate choices.^[9] Should Trump be allowed on the ballot, the convention would be canceled and the so-called "winner-take-most" rules, which require a challenger to get 20% of the vote, would apply.

President Trump was allowed on the ballot, and the contingency convention was canceled.

2020 California Republican primary

Democratic primary

Candidates began filing their paperwork on November 4, 2019, and the final list will be announced on December 9.

There were major complaints by Democrats there that Joe Biden and Elizabeth Warren were snubbing the state by refusing to attend a forum at the State's "endorsement convention.^[10] Early voting began on February 11 and ended the day before primary day.

2020 California Democratic presidential primary

Libertarian primary

The Libertarian Party of California permitted non-affiliated voters to vote in their presidential primary.^[11]

California Libertarian primary, 2020^[12]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Libertarian	Jacob Hornberger	2,898	17.5
	Libertarian	Ken Armstrong	1,921	11.6
	Libertarian	Vermin Supreme	1,921	11.6
	Libertarian	Jo Jorgensen	1,896	11.4
	Libertarian	Kim Ruff (withdrawn)	1,459	8.8
	Libertarian	Adam Kokesh	1,302	7.9
	Libertarian	Dan "Taxation is Theft" Behrman	1,039	6.3
	Libertarian	Sam Robb	993	6.0
	Libertarian	Max Abramson	970	5.9
	Libertarian	Steve Richey	649	3.9
	Libertarian	Souraya Faas	590	3.6
	Libertarian	Erik Gerhardt	486	2.9
	Libertarian	Keenan Wallace Dunham	440	2.7
Total votes			16,564	100%

Green primary

2020 California Green primary^[13]
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	National delegates
Howie Hawkins	4,202	36.2%	16 estimated
Dario Hunter	2,558	22.0%	9 estimated
Sedinam Moyowasifza-Curry	2,071	17.8%	8 estimated
Dennis Lambert	1,999	17.2%	7 estimated
David Rolde	774	6.7%	3 estimated
Total	9,656	100.00%	43

Other primaries

American Independent primary

The American Independent Party permitted non-affiliated voters to vote in their presidential primary.^[11]

California American Independent primary, 2020^[12]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
style="background-color: Template:American Independent/meta/color; width: 2px;" \|	[[American Independent\|Template:American Independent/meta/shortname]]	Phil Collins	11,532	32.8
style="background-color: Template:American Independent/meta/color; width: 2px;" \|	[[American Independent\|Template:American Independent/meta/shortname]]	Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente	7,263	21.0
style="background-color: Template:American Independent/meta/color; width: 2px;" \|	[[American Independent\|Template:American Independent/meta/shortname]]	Don Blankenship	6,913	19.7
style="background-color: Template:American Independent/meta/color; width: 2px;" \|	[[American Independent\|Template:American Independent/meta/shortname]]	J.R. Myers	5,099	14.5
style="background-color: Template:American Independent/meta/color; width: 2px;" \|	[[American Independent\|Template:American Independent/meta/shortname]]	Charles Kraut	4,216	12.0
Total votes			35,723	100%

Peace and Freedom primary

California Peace and Freedom primary, 2020^[14]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Peace and Freedom	Gloria La Riva	2,570	66.0
	Peace and Freedom	Howie Hawkins	1,325	34.0
Total votes			3,895	100%

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[15]	Safe D	September 10, 2020
Inside Elections^[16]	Safe D	September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[17]	Safe D	July 14, 2020
Politico^[18]	Safe D	September 8, 2020
RCP^[19]	Safe D	August 3, 2020
Niskanen^[20]	Safe D	July 26, 2020
CNN^[21]	Safe D	August 3, 2020
The Economist^[22]	Safe D	September 2, 2020
CBS News^[23]	Likely D	August 16, 2020
270towin^[24]	Safe D	August 2, 2020
ABC News^[25]	Safe D	July 31, 2020
NPR^[26]	Likely D	August 3, 2020
NBC News^[27]	Safe D	August 6, 2020
538^[28]	Safe D	September 9, 2020

Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Joe Biden	Donald Trump	Other/Undecided^{[lower-alpha 1]}	Margin
270 to Win	September 7–17, 2020	September 17, 2020	58.0%	35.0%	7.0%	Biden +23.0
Real Clear Politics	May 8 – September 13, 2020	September 17, 2020	60.2%	30.2%	9.6%	Biden +30.0
FiveThirtyEight	until September 16, 2020	September 17, 2020	60.7%	31.1%	8.2%	Biden +29.6
Average			59.6%	32.1%	8.3%	Biden +27.5

Polls

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Jo Jorgensen Libertarian	Howie Hawkins Green	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Institute of California	Sep 4–13, 2020	1,168 (LV)	± 4.3%	31%	60%	3%	2%	1%^{[lower-alpha 3]}	2%
Spry Strategies/Women's Liberation Front	Aug 29 – Sep 1, 2020	600 (LV)	± 4%	39%	56%	–	–	–	5%
David Binder Research	Aug 22–24, 2020	800 (LV)	–	31%	61%	–	–	3%^{[lower-alpha 4]}	5%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies	Aug 9, 2020	1,904 (LV)	± 2.3%	24%	62%	–	–	6%	8%
University of California Berkeley [1]	Jul 21–27, 2020	6,756 (LV)	± 2.0%	28%	67%	–	–	–	5%
Public Policy Institute of California	May 19–26, 2020	1,048 (LV)	± 4.6%	33%	57%	–	–	6%^{[lower-alpha 5]}	3%
SurveyUSA	May 18–19, 2020	537 (LV)	± 5.4%	30%	58%	–	–	5%	7%
Emerson College	May 8–10, 2020	800 (RV)	± 3.4%	35%^{[lower-alpha 6]}	65%	–	–	–	–
Public Policy Polling	Mar 28–29, 2020	962 (RV)	–	29%	67%	–	–	–	3%
AtlasIntel	Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020	1,100 (RV)	± 3.0%	26%	62%	–	–	12%	–
YouGov	Feb 26–28, 2020	1,507 (RV)	–	31%	59%	–	–	4%	4%
CNN/SSRS	Feb 22–26, 2020	951 (RV)	± 3.3%	35%	60%	–	–	3%^{[lower-alpha 7]}	3%
University of California Berkeley	Feb 20–25, 2020	5,526 (RV)	–	31%	58%	–	–	–	11%
SurveyUSA	Feb 13–16, 2020	1,196 (RV)	± 3.1%	37%	57%	–	–	–	6%
YouGov/USC Price-Schwarzenegger Institute	Feb 1–15, 2020	1,200 (RV)	± 3.1%	30%	60%	–	–	–	4%
SurveyUSA	Jan 14–16, 2020	1,967 (RV)	± 2.8%	35%	59%	–	–	–	6%
CNN/SSRS	Dec 4–8, 2019	1,011 (RV)	± 3.4%	36%	56%	–	–	3%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	5%
SurveyUSA	Nov 20–22, 2019	2,039 (RV)	± 2.4%	32%	59%	–	–	–	9%
SurveyUSA	Oct 15–16, 2019	1,242 (RV)	± 3.8%	32%	59%	–	–	–	9%
Emerson College	Sep 13–16, 2019	830 (RV)	± 3.3%	36%	64%	–	–	–	–
SurveyUSA	Sep 13–15, 2019	1,785 (RV)	± 3.2%	31%	57%	–	–	–	11%
SurveyUSA	Aug 1–5, 2019	2,184 (RV)	± 2.7%	27%	61%	–	–	–	12%
SurveyUSA	Mar 22–25, 2018	882 (RV)	± 3.8%	33%	56%	–	–	–	11%

Former candidates

with Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Bernie Sanders (D)	Other	Undecided
AtlasIntel	Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020	1,100 (RV)	± 3.0%	28%	60%	12%	–
YouGov	Feb 26–28, 2020	1,507 (RV)	–	31%	59%	6%^{[lower-alpha 9]}	4%
CNN/SSRS	Feb 22–26, 2020	951 (RV)	± 3.3%	36%	59%	3%^{[lower-alpha 10]}	2%
University of California Berkeley	Feb 20–25, 2020	5,526 (RV)	–	31%	59%	–	10%
SurveyUSA	Feb 13–16, 2020	1,196 (RV)	± 3.1%	37%	58%	–	6%
YouGov/USC Price-Schwarzenegger Institute	Feb 1–15, 2020	1,200 (RV)	± 3.1%	31%	61%	–	4%
SurveyUSA	Jan 14–16, 2020	1,967 (RV)	± 2.7%	36%	59%	–	5%
CNN/SSRS	Dec 4–8, 2019	1,011 (RV)	± 3.4%	38%	54%	4%^{[lower-alpha 11]}	4%
SurveyUSA	Nov 20–22, 2019	2,039 (RV)	± 2.4%	34%	60%	–	7%
SurveyUSA	Oct 15–16, 2019	1,242 (RV)	± 3.8%	33%	59%	–	8%
Emerson College	Sep 13–16, 2019	830 (RV)	± 3.3%	38%	63%	–	–
SurveyUSA	Sep 13–15, 2019	1,785 (RV)	± 3.2%	33%	57%	–	10%
SurveyUSA	Aug 1–5, 2019	2,184 (RV)	± 2.7%	29%	62%	–	9%

with Donald Trump and Tulsi Gabbard

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Tulsi Gabbard (D)	Undecided
SurveyUSA	Jan 14–16, 2020	1,967 (RV)	± 2.8%	38%	43%	19%

with Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Elizabeth Warren (D)	Other	Undecided
AtlasIntel	Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020	1,100 (RV)	± 3.0%	28%	60%	12%	–
YouGov	Feb 26–28, 2020	1,507 (RV)	–	32%	57%	5%^{[lower-alpha 12]}	6%
CNN/SSRS	Feb 22–26, 2020	951 (RV)	± 3.3%	37%	56%	3%^{[lower-alpha 13]}	4%
University of California Berkeley	Feb 20–25, 2020	5,526 (RV)	–	33%	58%	–	10%
SurveyUSA	Feb 13–16, 2020	1,196 (RV)	± 3.1%	38%	54%	–	8%
YouGov/USC Price-Schwarzenegger Institute	Feb 1–15, 2020	1,200 (RV)	± 3.1%	32%	59%	–	4%
SurveyUSA	Jan 14–16, 2020	1,967 (RV)	± 2.8%	39%	55%	–	7%
CNN/SSRS	Dec 4–8, 2019	1,011 (RV)	± 3.4%	37%	53%	4%^{[lower-alpha 14]}	6%
SurveyUSA	Nov 20–22, 2019	2,039 (RV)	± 2.4%	35%	56%	–	9%
SurveyUSA	Oct 15–16, 2019	1,242 (RV)	± 3.9%	33%	55%	–	12%
SurveyUSA	Oct 15–16, 2019	1,242 (RV)	± 3.8%	35%	56%	–	8%
Emerson College	Sep 13–16, 2019	830 (RV)	± 3.3%	39%	61%	–	–
SurveyUSA	Sep 13–15, 2019	1,785 (RV)	± 3.2%	35%	53%	–	12%
SurveyUSA	Aug 1–5, 2019	2,184 (RV)	± 2.7%	30%	58%	–	12%
SurveyUSA	Jan 7–9, 2018	909 (RV)	± 3.3%	32%	53%	–	14%

with Donald Trump and Michael Bloomberg

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Michael Bloomberg (D)	Other	Undecided
AtlasIntel	Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020	1,100 (RV)	± 3.0%	25%	51%	24%	–
YouGov	Feb 26–28, 2020	1,507 (RV)	–	32%	51%	10%^{[lower-alpha 15]}	7%
CNN/SSRS	Feb 22–26, 2020	951 (RV)	± 3.3%	35%	55%	4%^{[lower-alpha 16]}	5%
University of California Berkeley	Feb 20–25, 2020	5,526 (RV)	–	30%	54%	–	16%
SurveyUSA	Feb 13–16, 2020	1,196 (RV)	± 3.1%	34%	59%	–	7%
YouGov/USC Price-Schwarzenegger Institute	Feb 1–15, 2020	1,200 (RV)	± 3.1%	31%	57%	–	6%
SurveyUSA	Jan 14–16, 2020	1,967 (RV)	± 2.8%	36%	56%	–	8%
SurveyUSA	Nov 20–22, 2019	2,039 (RV)	± 2.4%	34%	50%	–	16%

with Donald Trump and Amy Klobuchar

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Amy Klobuchar (D)	Other	Undecided
YouGov	Feb 26–28, 2020	1,507 (RV)	–	31%	59%	7%^{[lower-alpha 17]}	7%
CNN/SSRS	Feb 22–26, 2020	951 (RV)	± 3.3%	35%	55%	4%^{[lower-alpha 18]}	6%
University of California Berkeley	Feb 20–25, 2020	5,526 (RV)	–	30%	57%	–	13%
SurveyUSA	Feb 13–16, 2020	1,196 (RV)	± 3.1%	37%	52%	–	11%
SurveyUSA	Jan 14–16, 2020	1,967 (RV)	± 2.8%	38%	50%	–	11%

with Donald Trump and Pete Buttigieg

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Pete Buttigieg (D)	Other	Undecided
YouGov	Feb 26–28, 2020	1,507 (RV)	–	33%	54%	8%^{[lower-alpha 19]}	6%
CNN/SSRS	Feb 22–26, 2020	951 (RV)	± 3.3%	35%	56%	4%^{[lower-alpha 20]}	4%
University of California Berkeley	Feb 20–25, 2020	5,526 (RV)	–	30%	58%	–	12%
SurveyUSA	Feb 13–16, 2020	1,196 (RV)	± 3.1%	36%	56%	–	8%
YouGov/USC Price-Schwarzenegger Institute	Feb 1–15, 2020	1,200 (RV)	± 3.1%	31%	57%	–	6%
SurveyUSA	Jan 14–16, 2020	1,967 (RV)	± 2.8%	37%	53%	–	10%
CNN/SSRS	Dec 4–8, 2019	1,011 (RV)	± 3.4%	36%	53%	4%^{[lower-alpha 21]}	7%
SurveyUSA	Nov 20–22, 2019	2,039 (RV)	± 2.4%	34%	52%	–	14%
SurveyUSA	Oct 15–16, 2019	1,242 (RV)	± 3.9%	32%	54%	–	13%
SurveyUSA	Aug 1–5, 2019	2,184 (RV)	± 2.8%	30%	53%	–	17%

with Donald Trump and Tom Steyer

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Tom Steyer (D)	Undecided
SurveyUSA	Feb 13–16, 2020	1,196 (RV)	± 3.1%	38%	54%	9%
SurveyUSA	Jan 14–16, 2020	1,967 (RV)	± 2.8%	37%	53%	10%

with Donald Trump and Deval Patrick

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Deval Patrick (D)	Undecided
SurveyUSA	Mar 22–25, 2018	882 (RV)	± 3.8%	34%	34%	32%

with Donald Trump and Andrew Yang

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Andrew Yang (D)	Undecided
SurveyUSA	Jan 14–16, 2020	1,967 (RV)	± 2.8%	37%	53%	10%

with Donald Trump and Cory Booker

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Cory Booker (D)	Undecided
SurveyUSA	Mar 22–25, 2018	882 (RV)	± 3.8%	35%	39%	26%

with Donald Trump and Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Kamala Harris (D)	Undecided
SurveyUSA	Nov 20–22, 2019	2,039 (RV)	± 2.4%	35%	56%	8%
SurveyUSA	Oct 15–16, 2019	1,242 (RV)	± 3.8%	35%	57%	8%
Emerson College	Sep 13–16, 2019	830 (RV)	± 3.3%	39%	61%	–
SurveyUSA	Sep 13–15, 2019	1,785 (RV)	± 3.2%	35%	53%	12%
SurveyUSA	Aug 1–5, 2019	2,184 (RV)	± 2.7%	30%	59%	12%
SurveyUSA	Mar 22–25, 2018	882 (RV)	± 3.8%	35%	54%	12%
SurveyUSA	Jan 7–9, 2018	909 (RV)	± 3.3%	33%	53%	13%

with Donald Trump and Beto O'Rourke

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Beto O'Rourke (D)	Undecided
SurveyUSA	Sep 13–15, 2019	1,785 (RV)	± 3.2%	34%	51%	15%

with Donald Trump and Kirsten Gillibrand

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Kirsten Gillibrand (D)	Undecided
SurveyUSA	Mar 22–25, 2018	882 (RV)	± 3.8%	33%	47%	19%
SurveyUSA	Jan 7–9, 2018	909 (RV)	± 3.3%	32%	46%	22%

Hypothetical polling

with Donald Trump and Jerry Brown

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Jerry Brown (D)	Undecided
SurveyUSA	Mar 22–25, 2018	882 (RV)	± 3.8%	35%	54%	11%

with Donald Trump and Sherrod Brown

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Sherrod Brown (D)	Undecided
SurveyUSA	Mar 22–25, 2018	882 (RV)	± 3.8%	35%	36%	29%

with Donald Trump and Eric Garcetti

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Eric Garcetti (D)	Undecided
SurveyUSA	Mar 22–25, 2018	882 (RV)	± 3.8%	34%	49%	17%
SurveyUSA	Jan 7–9, 2018	909 (RV)	± 3.3%	32%	46%	21%

with Donald Trump and Tom Hanks

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Tom Hanks (D)	Undecided
SurveyUSA	Mar 22–25, 2018	882 (RV)	± 3.8%	34%	51%	15%
SurveyUSA	Jan 7–9, 2018	909 (RV)	± 3.3%	31%	56%	14%

with Donald Trump and Eric Holder

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Eric Holder (D)	Undecided
SurveyUSA	Mar 22–25, 2018	882 (RV)	± 3.8%	35%	38%	26%

with Donald Trump and Mitch Landrieu

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Mitch Landrieu (D)	Undecided
SurveyUSA	Mar 22–25, 2018	882 (RV)	± 3.8%	35%	36%	29%

with Donald Trump and Michelle Obama

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Michelle Obama (D)	Undecided
SurveyUSA	Aug 1–5, 2019	2,184 (RV)	± 2.7%	28%	64%	8%
SurveyUSA	Mar 22–25, 2018	882 (RV)	± 3.8%	36%	57%	8%

with Donald Trump and Oprah Winfrey

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Oprah Winfrey (D)	Undecided
SurveyUSA	Aug 1–5, 2019	2,184 (RV)	± 2.7%	28%	57%	14%
SurveyUSA	Mar 22–25, 2018	882 (RV)	± 3.8%	35%	52%	13%
SurveyUSA	Jan 7–9, 2018	909 (RV)	± 3.3%	32%	56%	12%

with Donald Trump and Mark Zuckerberg

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Mark Zuckerberg (D)	Undecided
SurveyUSA	Mar 22–25, 2018	882 (RV)	± 3.8%	36%	42%	22%
SurveyUSA	Jan 7–9, 2018	909 (RV)	± 3.3%	31%	50%	19%

with Mike Pence and Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Mike Pence (R)	Joe Biden (D)	Undecided
SurveyUSA	Nov 20–22, 2019	2,039 (RV)	± 2.4%	29%	59%	12%
SurveyUSA	Oct 15–16, 2019	1,242 (RV)	± 3.8%	30%	58%	13%
SurveyUSA	Sep 13–15, 2019	1,785 (RV)	± 3.2%	27%	58%	15%

with Mike Pence and Michael Bloomberg

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Mike Pence (R)	Michael Bloomberg (D)	Undecided
SurveyUSA	Nov 20–22, 2019	2,039 (RV)	± 2.4%	32%	48%	20%

with Mike Pence and Pete Buttigieg

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Mike Pence (R)	Pete Buttigieg (D)	Undecided
SurveyUSA	Nov 20–22, 2019	2,039 (RV)	± 2.4%	34%	48%	17%
SurveyUSA	Oct 15–16, 2019	1,242 (RV)	± 3.9%	34%	45%	21%

with Mike Pence and Bernie Sanders

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Mike Pence (R)	Bernie Sanders (D)	Undecided
SurveyUSA	Nov 20–22, 2019	2,039 (RV)	± 2.4%	31%	59%	9%
SurveyUSA	Oct 15–16, 2019	1,242 (RV)	± 3.8%	31%	58%	10%
SurveyUSA	Sep 13–15, 2019	1,785 (RV)	± 3.2%	31%	57%	13%

with Mike Pence and Elizabeth Warren

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Mike Pence (R)	Elizabeth Warren (D)	Undecided
SurveyUSA	Nov 20–22, 2019	2,039 (RV)	± 2.4%	34%	53%	13%
SurveyUSA	Oct 15–16, 2019	1,242 (RV)	± 3.9%	33%	55%	12%
SurveyUSA	Sep 13–15, 2019	1,785	± 3.2%	33%	50%	16%

with Nikki Haley and Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Nikki Haley (R)	Joe Biden (D)	Undecided
SurveyUSA	Oct 15–16, 2019	1,242 (RV)	± 3.9%	21%	56%	23%
SurveyUSA	Sep 13–15, 2019	1,785 (RV)	± 3.2%	21%	56%	24%

with Nikki Haley and Pete Buttigieg

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Nikki Haley (R)	Pete Buttigieg (D)	Undecided
SurveyUSA	Oct 15–16, 2019	1,242 (RV)	± 3.9%	24%	44%	32%

with Nikki Haley and Bernie Sanders

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Nikki Haley (R)	Bernie Sanders (D)	Undecided
SurveyUSA	Oct 15–16, 2019	1,242 (RV)	± 3.8%	23%	58%	19%
SurveyUSA	Sep 13–15, 2019	1,785 (RV)	± 3.2%	24%	56%	19%

with Nikki Haley and Elizabeth Warren

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Nikki Haley (R)	Elizabeth Warren (D)	Undecided
SurveyUSA	Oct 15–16, 2019	1,242 (RV)	± 3.9%	23%	52%	24%
SurveyUSA	Sep 13–15, 2019	1,785 (RV)	± 3.2%	25%	49%	26%

Hypothetical polling with former candidates

with Mike Pence and Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Mike Pence (R)	Kamala Harris (D)	Undecided
SurveyUSA	Nov 20–22, 2019	2,039 (RV)	± 2.4%	34%	54%	12%
SurveyUSA	Oct 15–16, 2019	1,242 (RV)	± 3.9%	33%	55%	12%
SurveyUSA	Sep 13–15, 2019	1,785 (RV)	± 3.2%	34%	51%	15%

with Mike Pence and Beto O'Rourke

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Mike Pence (R)	Beto O'Rourke (D)	Undecided
SurveyUSA	Sep 13–15, 2019	1,785 (RV)	± 3.2%	34%	47%	20%

with Nikki Haley and Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Nikki Haley (R)	Kamala Harris (D)	Undecided
SurveyUSA	Oct 15–16, 2019	1,242 (RV)	± 3.9%	23%	52%	25%
SurveyUSA	Sep 13–15, 2019	1,785 (RV)	± 3.2%	24%	51%	25%

with Nikki Haley and Beto O'Rourke

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Nikki Haley (R)	Beto O'Rourke (D)	Undecided
SurveyUSA	Sep 13–15, 2019	1,785 (RV)	± 3.2%	25%	44%	30%

Results

2020 United States presidential election in California^[29]
Party		Candidate
	Republican	Donald Trump and Mike Pence
	Democratic	Joe Biden and Kamala Harris
	Libertarian	Jo Jorgensen and Spike Cohen
	Green	Howie Hawkins and Angela Walker
	American Independent	Rocky De La Fuente and Kanye West
	Peace and Freedom	Gloria La Riva and Sunil Freeman
Total votes

Notes

↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
↑ ^2.00 ^2.01 ^2.02 ^2.03 ^2.04 ^2.05 ^2.06 ^2.07 ^2.08 ^2.09 ^2.10 ^2.11 ^2.12 ^2.13 ^2.14 ^2.15 ^2.16 ^2.17 ^2.18 ^2.19 ^2.20 ^2.21 ^2.22 ^2.23 ^2.24 ^2.25 ^2.26 ^2.27 ^2.28 ^2.29 ^2.30 ^2.31 ^2.32 ^2.33 ^2.34 ^2.35 Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
↑ "Would not vote" with 1%; "Someone else" with 0%
↑ "Someone else" with 3%
↑ "Someone else" with 4%; would not vote with 2%
↑ Including voters who lean towards a given candidate
↑ Other with 0%; neither with 3%
↑ Other with 0%; neither with 3%
↑ "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 3%
↑ Other with 0%; neither with 3%
↑ Other with 1%; neither with 3%
↑ "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 2%
↑ Other with 0%; neither with 3%
↑ Other with 1%; neither with 3%
↑ "Other" with 6%; would not vote with 4%
↑ Other with 0%; neither with 4%
↑ "Other" with 5%; would not vote with 2%
↑ Other with 0%; neither with 4%
↑ "Other" with 5%; would not vote with 3%
↑ Other with 0%; neither with 4%
↑ Other with 1%; neither with 3%

References

↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^11.0 ^11.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ ^12.0 ^12.1 Generally Recognized Presidential Candidates – March 3, 2020, Presidential Primary Election
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[29] Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.

[CAkey-30] 2.00 ^2.01 ^2.02 ^2.03 ^2.04 ^2.05 ^2.06 ^2.07 ^2.08 ^2.09 ^2.10 ^2.11 ^2.12 ^2.13 ^2.14 ^2.15 ^2.16 ^2.17 ^2.18 ^2.19 ^2.20 ^2.21 ^2.22 ^2.23 ^2.24 ^2.25 ^2.26 ^2.27 ^2.28 ^2.29 ^2.30 ^2.31 ^2.32 ^2.33 ^2.34 ^2.35 Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

[31] "Would not vote" with 1%; "Someone else" with 0%

[32] "Someone else" with 3%

[33] "Someone else" with 4%; would not vote with 2%

[34] Including voters who lean towards a given candidate

[35] Other with 0%; neither with 3%

[36] Other with 0%; neither with 3%

[37] "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 3%

[38] Other with 0%; neither with 3%

[39] Other with 1%; neither with 3%

[40] "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 2%

[41] Other with 0%; neither with 3%

[42] Other with 1%; neither with 3%

[43] "Other" with 6%; would not vote with 4%

[44] Other with 0%; neither with 4%

[45] "Other" with 5%; would not vote with 2%

[46] Other with 0%; neither with 4%

[47] "Other" with 5%; would not vote with 3%

[48] Other with 0%; neither with 4%

[49] Other with 1%; neither with 3%

[1] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[2] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[3] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[4] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[5] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[6] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[7] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[8] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[9] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[10] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[openprimary-11] 11.0 ^11.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[primarycandidates-12] 12.0 ^12.1 Generally Recognized Presidential Candidates – March 3, 2020, Presidential Primary Election

[13] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[14] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[15] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[16] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[17] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[18] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[19] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[niskanen-20] 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020

[21] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[22] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[23] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[24] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[25] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[26] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[27] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[28] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[50] Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

[1]

[2]

[3]

[4]

[5]

[6]

[7]

[8]

[9]

[10]

[11]

[12]

[13]

[14]

[15]

[16]

[17]

[18]

[19]

[20]

[21]

[22]

[23]

[24]

[25]

[26]

[27]

[28]

[lower-alpha 1]

[lower-alpha 2]

[lower-alpha 3]

[lower-alpha 4]

[lower-alpha 5]

[lower-alpha 6]

[lower-alpha 7]

[lower-alpha 8]

[lower-alpha 9]

[lower-alpha 10]

[lower-alpha 11]

[lower-alpha 12]

[lower-alpha 13]

[lower-alpha 14]

[lower-alpha 15]

[lower-alpha 16]

[lower-alpha 17]

[lower-alpha 18]

[lower-alpha 19]

[lower-alpha 20]

[lower-alpha 21]

[29]

v t e (2019 ←) 2020 United States elections (→ 2021)
U.S. President	Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware District of Columbia Florida Georgia Guam Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico New York North Carolina North Dakota Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virginia Washington West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming
U.S. Senate	Alabama Alaska Arizona (special) Arkansas Colorado Delaware District of Columbia (shadow) Georgia Georgia (special) Idaho Illinois Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Montana Nebraska New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico North Carolina Oklahoma Oregon Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas Virginia West Virginia Wyoming
U.S. House	Alabama Alaska American Samoa Arizona Arkansas California 25th sp Colorado Connecticut Delaware District of Columbia Florida Georgia 5th sp Guam Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland 7th sp Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico New York 27th sp North Carolina 11th North Dakota Northern Mariana Islands Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Puerto Rico Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virginia U.S. Virgin Islands Washington West Virginia Wisconsin 7th sp Wyoming
Governors	American Samoa Delaware Indiana Missouri Montana New Hampshire North Carolina North Dakota Puerto Rico Utah Vermont Washington West Virginia
Mayors	Baltimore, MD Clearwater, FL El Paso, TX Honolulu, HI Miami-Dade County, FL Milwaukee, WI Phoenix, AZ Portland, OR San Diego, CA Wilmington, DE Winston-Salem, NC
States and territories (legislative)	Alabama Alaska American Samoa Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware Florida Georgia Guam Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico New York North Carolina North Dakota Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Puerto Rico Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas U.S. Virgin Islands Utah Vermont Virginia Washington Washington, D.C. West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming
Related	Chinese interference George Soros interference

2020 United States presidential election in California

Contents

Primary elections

Republican primary

Democratic primary

Libertarian primary

Green primary

Other primaries

American Independent primary

Peace and Freedom primary

General election

Predictions

Polling

Aggregate polls

Polls

Results

See also

Notes

References

Navigation menu

Personal tools

Namespaces

Variants

Views

More

Search

Navigation

Tools