2020 United States presidential election in Hawaii

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Main article: 2020 United States presidential election
2020 United States presidential election in Hawaii
← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
Turnout %
  Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg 160x160px
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris
Incumbent President

Donald Trump
Republican


Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. The 2020 United States presidential election in Hawaii is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[1] Hawaii voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Hawaii has 4 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

By the time that the primary elections were held in Hawaii in late May 2020, incumbent President Donald Trump was already the Republican Party's presumptive nominee, being the only viable declared major candidate left. On the Democratic Party's side, Vice President Joe Biden became the presumptive nominee after Senator Bernie Sanders, his last competitor, withdrew on April 8, 2020. Tulsi Gabbard, the U.S. Representative for Hawaii's 2nd congressional district, was also in the race but suspended her campaign in March 2020.

Primary elections

Canceled Republican primary

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Further information: 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries § Cancellation of state caucuses or primaries

On December 11, 2019, the Hawaii Republican Party became one of several state GOP parties to officially cancel their respective primaries and caucuses.[3] Donald Trump's re-election campaign and GOP officials have cited the fact that Republicans canceled several state primaries when George H.W. Bush and George W. Bush sought a second term in 1992 and 2004, respectively; and Democrats scrapped some of their primaries when Bill Clinton and Barack Obama were seeking reelection in 1996 and 2012, respectively.[4][5] Because this was the first of the cancelled Republican state races to directly bind its delegates to the national convention (as opposed to a walking subcaucus-type system), Trump automatically was awarded his first 19 pledged delegates of the nomination campaign.[3][6]

Democratic primary

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Further information: 2020 Hawaii Democratic primary

The Hawaii Democratic primary was originally scheduled for April 4, 2020. On March 20, due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic, the Hawaii Democratic Party canceled in-person voting in favor of mail-in voting.[7] The deadline was then extended to May 22.[8]

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Green primary

Green Party of Hawaii presidential primary, May 23, 2020[9]
Candidate Percentage National delegates
Dario Hunter 41.6% 2
Howie Hawkins 33.3% 2
Kent Mesplay 8.3% 0
Dennis Lambert 8.3% 0
Chad Wilson 8.3% 0
Susan Buchser-Lochocki 0% 0
Sedinam Moyowasifza-Curry 0% 0
David Rolde 0% 0
No Preference 0% 0
Total 100.00% 4

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Safe D September 10, 2020
Inside Elections[11] Safe D September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe D July 14, 2020
Politico[13] Safe D September 8, 2020
RCP[14] Safe D August 3, 2020
Niskanen[15] Safe D July 26, 2020
CNN[16] Safe D August 3, 2020
The Economist[17] Safe D September 2, 2020
CBS News[18] Likely D August 16, 2020
270towin[19] Safe D August 2, 2020
ABC News[20] Safe D July 31, 2020
NPR[21] Likely D August 3, 2020
NBC News[22] Safe D August 6, 2020
538[23] Safe D September 9, 2020

Polling

Graphical summary

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Polls

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Joe
Biden (D)		 Other Undecided
MRG Research Jul 27–30, 2020 975 (RV) ± 3.1% 29% 56% 6%[lower-alpha 2] 10%

Results

2020 United States presidential election in Hawaii[24]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Donald Trump and Mike Pence
Democratic Joe Biden and Kamala Harris
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen and Spike Cohen
Green Howie Hawkins and Angela Walker
Constitution Don Blankenship and William Mohr
American Shopping Brock Pierce and Karla Ballard
Total votes

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ↑ "Neither" with 6%
Partisan clients

References

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  15. ↑ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
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