2022 Quebec general election

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2022 Quebec general election

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43rd Quebec Legislature →

125 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec
63 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout 66.05%[1] (Decrease0.40pp)
  Majority party Minority party Third party
  150x150px 150x150px 150x150px
Leader François Legault Dominique Anglade Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois[lower-alpha 1]
Party Coalition Avenir Québec Liberal Québec solidaire
Leader since November 4, 2011 May 11, 2020 May 21, 2017
Leader's seat L'Assomption Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Gouin
Last election 74 seats, 37.42% 31 seats, 24.82% 10 seats, 16.10%
Seats before 76 27 10
Seats won 90 21 11
Seat change Increase14 Decrease6 Increase1
Popular vote 1,685,573 591,077 634,535
Percentage 40.98% 14.37% 15.43%
Swing Increase3.56pp Decrease10.45pp Decrease0.67pp

  Fourth party Fifth party
  150x150px 150x150px
Leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon Éric Duhaime
Party Parti Québécois Conservative
Leader since October 9, 2020 April 17, 2021
Leader's seat Camille-Laurin (won seat) Ran in Chauveau (lost)
Last election 10 seats, 17.06% 0 seats, 1.46%
Seats before 7 1
Seats won 3 0
Seat change Decrease4 Decrease1
Popular vote 600,708 530,786
Percentage 14.61% 12.91%
Swing Decrease2.45pp Increase11.45pp

350px
Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead by the result in each riding.

Premier before election

François Legault
Coalition Avenir Québec

Premier after election

François Legault
Coalition Avenir Québec

The 2022 Quebec general election was held on October 3, 2022, to elect the members of the National Assembly of Quebec.[4] Under the province's fixed election date law, passed in 2013, "the general election following the end of a Legislature shall be held on the first Monday of October of the fourth calendar year following the year that includes the last day of the previous Legislature",[5] setting the date for October 3, 2022.

Premier François Legault's Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) increased its parliamentary majority in the election. The Liberals dropped to their lowest raw seat count since 1956, their lowest percentage of seats won since 1948 and recorded their lowest share of the popular vote in their history.[6] The Parti Québecois (PQ) had its worst general election result in history, losing most of its seats, but nevertheless managed to elect its previously seatless leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon.[7]

Previous promised plans for electoral reform were scrapped in 2021; as such, the election produced a highly distorted result which is common in Quebec's first past the post voting system.[8] As Liberal votes were concentrated on the Island of Montreal, the party received more seats than the rest of the opposition parties combined, remaining the official opposition despite finishing fourth in the popular vote. In contrast, the Conservatives increased their share of the vote to 13%; however, as their support was more spread throughout Quebec, they did not win any seats.[9] Quebecers elected the highest number of female candidates to the National Assembly in the province's history at 59, roughly 47% of the total number of seats.[10]

Background

The 2018 general election resulted in a landslide victory for the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) led by François Legault, which won 74 of 125 seats, giving the party a majority and unseating Philippe Couillard's Liberal Party after a single term in office. Couillard subsequently resigned as Liberal leader and was replaced on an interim basis by Pierre Arcand until his successor was chosen.[11][12]

Both the Parti Québécois and Québec solidaire won ten seats each, fewer than the twelve needed for official party status; Parti Québécois leader Jean-François Lisée, defeated in his bid for re-election, resigned as party leader, replaced on an interim basis by Pascal Bérubé until his permanent successor was chosen.[13][14] Adrien D. Pouliot, leader of the Conservative Party of Quebec, announced that he was stepping down as leader on October 16, 2020.

Following Couillard's resignation, the Quebec Liberal Party held a leadership race. Dominique Anglade, former Deputy Premier of Quebec, was acclaimed leader of the party after her only rival, former mayor of Drummondville, Alexandre Cusson, stepped down. Following a leadership race, Paul St-Pierre Plamondon was elected leader of the sovereignist party by the members and supporters of the Parti Québécois. Following Pouliot's resignation, the Conservative Party of Quebec held a leadership race. Éric Duhaime, a radio host and former political advisor, was elected as leader with just under 96% of the vote.

Name change of electoral district

In its 2022 amendments to the Charter of the French Language, the National Assembly of Quebec also provided for renaming the electoral district of Bourget as Camille-Laurin,[15] in honour of the Cabinet minister who promoted the original law.[16]

Political parties and standings

The table below lists parties represented and seats held in the National Assembly after the 2018 provincial election and at dissolution.

Name Ideology Position Leader 2018 Result Seats at
Dissolution
Votes (%) Seats
Coalition Avenir
Québec
Quebec nationalism
Quebec autonomism
Conservatism
Centre-right François Legault
37.42%
74 / 125
76 / 125
Liberal Quebec federalism
Economic liberalism
Liberalism
Centre Dominique Anglade
24.82%
31 / 125
27 / 125
Québec solidaire Quebec sovereigntism
Social democracy
Environmentalism
Left-wing Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois
16.10%
10 / 125
10 / 125
Parti Québécois Quebec sovereigntism
Quebec nationalism
Social democracy
Economic nationalism
Centre-left Paul St-Pierre Plamondon
17.06%
10 / 125
7 / 125
Conservative Conservatism
Quebec federalism
Fiscal conservatism
Centre-right
to right-wing
Éric Duhaime
1.46%
0 / 125
1 / 125
Independents N/A
0.16%
0 / 125
4 / 125
Vacant seats N/A
0 / 125
0 / 125

Timeline

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Graph of Quebec general election results by share of votes, 1993–2022; omitted are minor parties consistently registering less than 2% of the vote as well as those who campaigned intermittently.
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Graph of Quebec general election results by seats won, 1993–2022; those of independent MNAs are omitted.
42nd National Assembly of Quebec - Movement in seats held (2018-2022)
Party 2018 Gain/(loss) due to 2022
Resigned from party Withdrawn from caucus Resignation Expulsion Reinstatement Change of
allegiance
By-election gain
Coalition Avenir Québec 74 (1) (2) 2 3 76
Liberal 31 (2) (2) 27
Parti Québécois 10 (1) (1) (1) 7
Québec solidaire 10 10
Conservative 1 1
Independent 1 2 (1) 5 (2) (1) 4
Total 125 (3) 3 125
Changes in seats held (2018–2022)
Seat Before Change
Date Member Party Reason Date Member Party
Roberval October 4, 2018[11] Philippe Couillard  Liberal Resignation[a 1] December 10, 2018[17] Nancy Guillemette  CAQ
Chomedey October 5, 2018[18][19] Guy Ouellette  Liberal Expelled from caucus[a 2]  Independent
Marie-Victorin March 11, 2019[20] Catherine Fournier  Parti Québécois Resigned from caucus[a 3]  Independent
November 1, 2021[21]  Independent Resignation[a 4] April 12, 2022[22] Shirley Dorismond  CAQ
Jean-Talon August 30, 2019[23] Sébastien Proulx  Liberal Resignation[a 5] December 2, 2019[24] Joëlle Boutin  CAQ
Rimouski December 15, 2020[25] Harold LeBel  Parti Québécois Expelled from caucus[a 6]  Independent
Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata December 17, 2020[26] Denis Tardif  CAQ Expelled from caucus[a 7]  Independent
April 12, 2021[27]  Independent Reinstated  CAQ
Rousseau March 30, 2021[28] Louis-Charles Thouin  CAQ Withdrew from caucus[a 8]  Independent
September 14, 2021[29]  Independent Reinstated  CAQ
Bonaventure June 4, 2021[30] Sylvain Roy  Parti Québécois Withdrew from caucus[a 9]  Independent
Iberville June 15, 2021[31] Claire Samson  CAQ Expelled from caucus[a 10]  Conservative
Maurice-Richard November 1, 2021[32] Marie Montpetit  Liberal Expelled from caucus[a 11]  Independent
  1. from positions of Liberal Party leader and MNA
  2. for allegedly leaking confidential information to the CAQ in 2016
  3. claiming that the party had lost its way ideologically
  4. after winning the election for Mayor of Longueuil
  5. to spend more time with family
  6. amid further investigations relating to sexual assault allegations
  7. for breaking COVID-19 restrictions
  8. amid an ethics probe
  9. amid disagreements with party leadership
  10. after giving a donation to the Conservative Party of Quebec
  11. after allegations of workplace harassment

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

Campaign

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Timeline

  • August 28, 2022: Campaign period officially begins with the calling of an October 3 election.
  • September 1, 2022: PQ Parti Québécois leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon stages an event in Ottawa.[37]
  • September 4, 2022: Radio-Canada's Five leaders, one election.
  • September 7, 2022: (CAQ) Coalition Avenir Québec Premier François Legault apologizes for comments linking immigration and 'extremism,' and 'violence'.[38]
  • September 11, 2022: In a speech in Drummondville (CAQ) Coalition Avenir Québec Premier François Legault, Says that non-French speaking immigration threatens Quebec cohesion. He was criticized by the leaders of Quebec solidaire, Quebec Liberal and Parti Québécois.[39]
  • September 12, 2022: (CAQ) Coalition Avenir Québec Premier François Legault defends the comments he said the day before about immigration.[40]
  • September 15, 2022: First leaders debate TVA Leaders' Debate.[41][42]
  • September 22, 2022: Radio Canada's Leaders' Debate.
  • September 28, 2022: (CAQ) Coalition Avenir Québec Premier François Legault says during a speech, that having higher immigration numbers would be suicidal for Quebec and the French language. Legault was criticized by the other party leaders.[43][44][45]
    • CAQ Immigration and labour minister Jean Boulet walks back from his past comments during a debate a few days before. He said that 80% of immigrants go to Montreal, don't work, don't speak French and don't adhere to the values of Quebec.[46]

Party slogans

Party French English (translation)
 CAQ "Continuons."[47] "Now. Our record." ("Maintenant. Notre bilan.")[48]
 Liberal "Votez vrai. Vrais enjeux. Vraies solutions."[49] "Vote for Real. Real issues. Real solutions." (identical to French slogan)[50]
 Québec solidaire "Changer d'ère."[51] "Let's clear the air"
(This is a rhyming pun, "Let's clear the era", in French – the play on words being between "ère", which means "era", and "air", which means the same as it does in English.)[52]
 Parti Québécois "Le Québec qui s’assume. Pour vrai." N/A (unofficial translation: "The Quebec that takes it on. For real.")
 Conservative "Libres chez nous."[53] "Freedom to choose." ("Libre de choisir.")

Issues

2022 Quebec election – issues and respective party platforms
Issue CAQ QLP PQ QS PCQ/CPQ
Identity, diversity, language, and secularism
  • PQ would remove the bilingual status of municipalities where Anglophones make up less than 33% of residents.[54][55]
  • PQ would apply Bill 101 to CEGEPs, which would mean restrictions to access to English-language colleges.
  • PQ would create “an office for the promotion of Quebec cultural content.”[56]
  • QS would alter the province’s secularism law to let public sector workers affected by the legislation wear religious symbols at work, as long as their faces are uncovered.[57]
Immigration[58][59]
  • CAQ would maintain immigration at around 50,000 per year which they said would be best matches the province’s “integration capacity.”
  • CAQ wants more control of immigration powers from Canada such as family reunification.[60]
  • Liberals would increase immigration target to 70,000 a year.
  • PQ would reduce the annual number of immigrants to 35,000 from roughly 50,000.
  • A PQ government would also ensure that all economic immigrants have knowledge of French before they arrive
Sovereignty
Economy and public finance
  • QS has proposed to introduce wealth and inheritance taxes on the wealthiest 5% of Quebecers, which it states would raise $2.65 billion a year. This includes a wealth tax rate of 0.1% for those with net assets of $1 million to $10 million and a tax rate of 1% for those with assets worth $10 million to $99 million.[61]
  • The PCQ has proposed to lower gasoline tax and end tax on second-hand goods.[62]
Health care
Education
Child care and families
Environment
  • Included within QS' climate plan is to create an intercity transport network that would make it possible to reach all cities by train and bus.[63]
  • QS wants to support farmers in transitioning towards organic farming.[63]
  • QS has plans to create an air quality auditor position in government, which would be given to an independent scientist who would enjoy powers similar to those of the Auditor General in the National Assembly.[64]
Transport
  • QS has planned for an eight-year, $47-billion infrastructure investment in the Montreal region’s public transit network, which would include subway expansion, a new tramway and reserved bus lanes.[65]
Housing
  • QS wants to buy 10,000 homes to resell at a discount.[65]
  • QS wants to build 25,000 social housing units within the next four years if it forms a government, with a long term aim of increasing this figure to 50,000.[66]

Role of disinformation during the campaign

During the campaign, the issue of online political disinformation misleading voters has been raised by outlets including the Canadian Broadcasting Corporation (CBC). In September 2022, the CBC reported that opponents of COVID-19 pandemic restrictions used Facebook to spread a false rumor that Legault was booed out of a restaurant. According to CBC, "The post is one of many on social media that are misleading or outright false, with real-world consequences to both those who read it and to those involved in the event".[67]

According to the Centre for Media, Technology and Democracy (MTD) at McGill University, false allegations that polling outlets are unfairly biased against certain parties have spread on social media. Some online supporters of the Conservative Party of Quebec alleged collusion between the governing Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) and polling firm Léger. In response, a citizens' initiative emerged on Facebook urging individuals to file complaints over Léger, despite the fact that Élections Québec has no power to regulate the polling industry.[68]

Candidates

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The candidates standing for election generally had the following characteristics:

Candidates in the 2022 Quebec general election[69]
Characteristic Party Overall
CAQ Lib PQ QS PCQ
Average age (years) 49 46 39 39 46 44
% who are women 55 45 42 55 38 47
% who are parents 81 70 58 54 68 67
% who are visible minority or Indigenous 11 27 6 18 10 14
% with a university degree 84 76 73 80 57 74
% born outside Quebec/Canada 11 28 6 9 16 9

Incumbents not running for reelection

Electoral district Date announced Incumbent at dissolution and subsequent nominee New MNA
Anjou–Louis-Riel August 30, 2021[70]   Lise Thériault Chantal Gagnon[71]   Karine Boivin Roy
La Pinière November 14, 2021[72]   Gaétan Barrette Linda Caron   Linda Caron
Mille-Îles December 17, 2021[73]   Francine Charbonneau Virginie Dufour   Virginie Dufour
Iberville January 13, 2022[74]   Claire Samson Anne Casabonne[75]   Audrey Bogemans
Duplessis January 19, 2022[76]   Lorraine Richard Marilou Vanier   Kateri Champagne Jourdain
Jonquière March 1, 2022[77]   Sylvain Gaudreault Caroline Dubé   Yannick Gagnon
Rimouski March 3, 2022[78]   Harold LeBel   Maïté Blanchette Vézina
Acadie March 21, 2022[79]   Christine St-Pierre André A. Morin   André A. Morin
Fabre March 26, 2022[80]   Monique Sauvé Sonia Baudelot   Alice Abou-Khalil
Verchères March 31, 2022[81]   Suzanne Dansereau Suzanne Roy[82]   Suzanne Roy
Taschereau April 1, 2022[83]   Catherine Dorion Étienne Grandmont   Étienne Grandmont
Marguerite-Bourgeoys April 2, 2022[83]   Hélène David Fred Beauchemin   Fred Beauchemin
Laporte April 2, 2022[83]   Nicole Ménard Mathieu Gratton   Isabelle Poulet
Vimont April 2, 2022[83]   Jean Rousselle Anabela Monteiro   Valérie Schmaltz
Sanguinet April 8, 2022[84]   Danielle McCann Christine Fréchette   Christine Fréchette
Prévost April 8, 2022[84]   Marguerite Blais Sonia Bélanger   Sonia Bélanger
D'Arcy-McGee April 11, 2022[85]   David Birnbaum Elisabeth Prass[86]   Elisabeth Prass
Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata April 15, 2022[87]   Denis Tardif Amélie Dionne[88]   Amélie Dionne
Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré April 19, 2022[89]   Émilie Foster Kariane Bourassa   Kariane Bourassa
Joliette April 21, 2022[90]   Véronique Hivon Véronique Venne   François St-Louis
Huntingdon April 29, 2022   Claire IsaBelle Carole Mallette   Carole Mallette
Bourassa-Sauvé May 6, 2022   Paule Robitaille Madwa-Nika Cadet   Madwa-Nika Cadet
Mont-Royal–Outremont May 8, 2022   Pierre Arcand Michelle Setlakwe   Michelle Setlakwe
Châteauguay May 20, 2022   MarieChantal Chassé Marie-Belle Gendron   Marie-Belle Gendron
Maurice-Richard May 24, 2022   Marie Montpetit   Haroun Bouazzi
Lévis June 3, 2022[91]   François Paradis Bernard Drainville[92]   Bernard Drainville
Robert-Baldwin June 4, 2022[93]   Carlos Leitão Brigitte Garceau   Brigitte Garceau
Notre-Dame-de-Grâce June 6, 2022[94]   Kathleen Weil Désirée McGraw   Désirée McGraw
René-Lévesque June 14, 2022   Martin Ouellet Jeff Dufour-Tremblay   Yves Montigny
Bonaventure July 4, 2022   Sylvain Roy   Catherine Blouin
Repentigny July 5, 2022   Lise Lavallée Pascale Déry   Pascale Déry
Bertrand July 12, 2022   Nadine Girault France-Élaine Duranceau   France-Élaine Duranceau
Chutes-de-la-Chaudière August 3, 2022   Marc Picard Martine Biron   Martine Biron
Côte-du-Sud August 22, 2022   Marie-Eve Proulx Mathieu Rivest   Mathieu Rivest
Chomedey August 29, 2022   Guy Ouellette   Sona Lakhoyan Olivier

Candidate controversies

Quebec Liberal Party

  • Deepak Awasti, the party's candidate in Laurier-Dorion, for denying Quebec's right to register itself as a nation within the Canadian constitution and to have French as its sole official language, contrary to his party's official position.[95]

Parti Québécois

  • Pierre Vanier, the party's candidate in Rousseau, for past social media posts emerged where Vanier expressed anti-Islamic views. He was suspended as a candidate.[96]
  • Catherine Provost, the party's candidate in L’Assomption, for past social media posts emerged where Provost expressed Anti-Islam views.[97]
  • Lyne Jubinville, the party's candidate in Sainte-Rose, for past social media posts emerged where Jubinville expressed Anti-Islam views.[98][99]
  • Andréanne Fiola, candidate for Laval-des-Rapides, previously made porn. Party leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon defended Fiola and condemned the individuals who outed her.[100]
  • Paul St-Pierre Plamondon's use of the word nègre during a televised debate. [101]

Québec Solidaire

  • Marie-Eve Rancourt, the party's candidate in Camille-Laurin, withdrew from the race after she was caught removing PQ leaflets.[102]
  • Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois' use of the nègre during a televised debate.[101]

Coalition Avenir Québec

  • Shirley Dorismond, the party's candidate in Marie-Victorin, for blocking numerous constituents and electors on social media after facing criticisms on her comments about the September 13, 2022 floods in Longueuil.[103]

Opinion polls

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This chart depicts opinion polls conducted since the 2018 election, using a local regression. The table below provides a list of scientific, public opinion polls that were conducted from the 2018 Quebec general election leading up to the 2022 Quebec general election, which was held on October 3, 2022.

File:Chart of opinion polls for the 2022 Québec general election.svg
Evolution of voting intentions since the 2018 Quebec general election campaign. Plot generated in R from data in the table below. Trendlines are local regressions, with polls weighted by proximity in time.
Timeline of opinion polls
Polling organisation Last date of polling Source Sample size MoE CAQ PLQ PQ QS PCQ Other Lead
2022 election October 3, 2022 4,169,137 N/A 41.0 14.4 14.6 15.4 12.9 1.7 25.6
Mainstreet (Exit Poll) October 3, 2022 PDF 6109 ±1.3% 50.2 8.8 21.0 8.9 10.1 1.2 29.2
Forum October 2, 2022 PDF 981 ±3% 36.8 15.4 17.2 14.3 14.4 1.9 19.6
Research Co. October 2, 2022 HTML 708 ±3.7% 41 16 12 14 16 1 25
Mainstreet October 2, 2022 PDF 1,508 ±2.5% 41.4 14.8 14.0 12.0 16.7 1.2 24.7
Mainstreet October 1, 2022 PDF 1,445 ±2.6% 41.7 14.9 13.1 11.6 17.8 1.1 23.9
Mainstreet September 30, 2022 PDF 1,463 ±2.6% 41.3 15.4 12.8 11.2 18.4 1.0 22.9
Léger September 30, 2022 URL 950 ±3.1% 38 17 15 15 14 2 21
Mainstreet September 29, 2022 PDF 1,516 ±2.5% 40.3 17.7 12.9 12.5 14.9 1.9 22.6
Mainstreet September 28, 2022 PDF 1,523 ±2.5% 40.3 15.7 11.9 13.5 16.4 2.3 23.9
Mainstreet September 27, 2022 PDF 1,533 ±2.5% 39.1 16.8 12.4 12.8 16.5 2.4 22.6
Mainstreet September 26, 2022 PDF 1,555 ±2.5% 42.1 16.0 10.7 11.3 17.3 2.6 24.8
Main party leaders attend "Tout le monde en parle." (September 25, 2022)
Léger September 25, 2022 URL 1,023 ±3.1% 37 16 15 17 15 0 20
Mainstreet September 25, 2022 PDF 1,529 ±2.5% 41.8 16.5 10.0 9.9 18.7 3.1 23.1
Mainstreet September 24, 2022 PDF 1,209 ±2.8% 43.5 15.5 7.8 11.0 19.1 3.1 24.4
Mainstreet September 23, 2022 PDF 1,114 ±2.8% 38.8 16.8 9.4 14.1 19.3 2.6 19.5
EKOS September 23, 2022 PDF 589 ±4.0% 34.6 14.3 14.9 20.6 12.3 3.6 14.0
Radio Canada's Leaders' Debate. (September 22, 2022)
Angus Reid September 22, 2022 PDF 1,221 ±2.5% 34 16 12 16 19 2[lower-alpha 2] 15
Mainstreet September 22, 2022 PDF 1,192 ±2.8% 39.2 15.4 9.7 14.4 19.2 2.9 20.0
Research Co. September 21, 2022 HTML 700 ±3.7% 40 17 10 14 18 1 22
Mainstreet September 21, 2022 PDF 1,472 ±2.6% 39.3 15.1 10.3 14.2 18.3 2.7 21.0
Mainstreet September 20, 2022 PDF 1,467 ±2.6% 39.2 14.3 10.6 14.0 19.0 2.9 20.3
Segma September 20, 2022 HTML 1,080 ±3% 40 14 14 16 14 1 26
Mainstreet September 19, 2022 PDF 1,538 ±2.5% 38.7 15.6 9.9 12.9 19.8 3.1 18.9
Léger September 18, 2022 URL 1,046 ±3.0% 38 16 13 16 16 1 22
Mainstreet September 18, 2022 PDF 1,538 ±2.5% 39.5 16.5 9.9 11.9 19.7 2.5 19.8
Mainstreet September 17, 2022 PDF 1,846 ±2.5% 41.8 17.7 8.1 11.2 17.8 3.3 24.0
Mainstreet September 16, 2022 PDF 1,641 ±2.5% 41.0 17.5 8.1 11.0 18.7 3.7 22.3
TVA Leaders' Debate. (September 15, 2022)
Mainstreet September 15, 2022 PDF 1,523 ±2.5% 42.4 17.6 7.0 10.8 18.3 3.9 24.1
Mainstreet September 14, 2022 PDF 1,530 ±2.5% 41.8 17.3 7.4 10.8 18.9 3.8 22.9
Mainstreet September 13, 2022 PDF 1,529 ±2.5% 41.4 17.8 7.5 10.5 19.3 3.5 22.1
Léger September 12, 2022 PDF 3,100 ±1.8% 38 18 11 17 15 2 20
Mainstreet September 12, 2022 PDF 1,525 ±2.5% 43.0 17.6 7.1 10.6 18.5 3.2 24.5
Mainstreet September 11, 2022 PDF 1,499 ±2.5% 40.8 18.4 8.0 10.9 18.5 3.5 22.3
Mainstreet September 10, 2022 PDF 1,489 ±2.5% 40.9 17.6 7.5 10.6 19.7 3.7 21.2
Mainstreet September 9, 2022 PDF 1,500 ±2.5% 40.6 18.1 8.8 9.7 19.2 3.7 21.4
Mainstreet September 8, 2022 PDF 1,534 ±2.5% 38.3 18.4 9.2 10.4 19.2 4.5 19.1
Mainstreet September 7, 2022 PDF 1,548 ±2.5% 37.5 18.1 10.2 11.4 18.6 4.3 18.9
Mainstreet September 6, 2022 PDF 1,569 ±2.5% 37.9 17.6 11.4 11.0 17.5 4.7 20.3
Mainstreet September 5, 2022 PDF 1,537 ±2.5% 37.6 18.4 10.6 12.0 16.3 5.1 19.2
Radio-Canada's Five leaders, one election. (September 4, 2022)
Mainstreet September 4, 2022 PDF 1,511 ±2.6% 38.5 18.1 10.5 11.8 17.5 3.6 20.4
Mainstreet September 3, 2022 PDF 1,497 ±2.6% 37.5 18.3 9.4 12.5 18.3 4.1 19.2
Mainstreet September 2, 2022 PDF 1,462 ±2.6% 37.4 18.1 7.6 12.8 20.3 3.9 17.1
Mainstreet September 1, 2022 PDF 1,417 ±2.6% 38.2 17.6 7.5 13.4 19.9 3.4 18.3
Mainstreet August 31, 2022 PDF 1,210 ±2.8% 38.9 19.7 6.6 13.3 16.8 4.7 19.2
Mainstreet August 30, 2022 PDF 1,676 ±2.4% 40.9 17.7 6.9 12.0 18.2 4.3 22.7
Mainstreet August 29, 2022 PDF 1,386 ±2.6% 40.4 18.7 7.8 11.6 17.7 3.7 21.7
Mainstreet August 28, 2022 PDF 1,067 ±3% 38.1 17.4 7.0 12.1 21.5 3.9 16.6
Campaign period officially begins with the calling of an October 3 election. (August 28, 2022)
Léger August 26, 2022 PDF 1,000 ±3.1% 42 17 9 15 14 3 25
Léger July 31, 2022 PDF 985 ±3.1% 44 18 10 15 13 1 26
Léger June 22, 2022 PDF 1,019 ±3.1% 41 18 9 14 15 3 23
Angus Reid June 13, 2022 PDF 1,211 ±2.5% 35 18 10 14 19 4[lower-alpha 3] 16
Mainstreet June 10, 2022 PDF 1,404 ±3% 39.9 20.8 8.3 12.3 16.6 2 19.1
Léger May 22, 2022 PDF 1,019 ±3.1% 46 18 8 13 14 2 28
CAQ passes Bill 96, strengthening Bill 101, the French language law. (May 24, 2022)
Léger April 17, 2022 PDF 1,020 ±3.1% 44 17 9 15 13 2 27
Synopsis Recherche March 17, 2022 PDF 1,000 N/A 44 15 8 15 16 2 28
Angus Reid March 15, 2022 URL 761 ±3% 33 19 9 16 19 4[lower-alpha 4] 14
Mainstreet March 15, 2022 PDF 1,200 ±3% 36.2 16.1 6.8 17.3 23.6 N/A 12.6
Léger March 6, 2022 HTML 1,017 ±3.1% 41 18 10 14 14 3 23
Léger February 13, 2022 PDF 1,017 ±3.1% 41 20 11 12 14 2 21
Léger January 16, 2022 HTML 1,032 ±3.1% 42 20 11 14 11 3 22
Angus Reid January 12, 2022 PDF 760 ±3% 37 20 12 16 9 5[lower-alpha 5] 17
Mainstreet January 8, 2022 HTML 1,024 N/A 38 20 10 19 13 N/A 16
Léger November 28, 2021 PDF 1,024 ±3.1% 46 20 13 13 5 3 26
Angus Reid October 3, 2021 HTML 716 N/A 37 21 10 15 11 6[lower-alpha 6] 16
Léger September 29, 2021 PDF 1,008 ±3.1% 47 20 11 11 8 3 27
Synopsis Recherche August 30, 2021 HTML 1,500 N/A 49 16 9 14 9 3 33
Angus Reid June 8, 2021 PDF 679 ±3% 41 21 11 14 8 4[lower-alpha 7] 20
CAQ announce Bill 96 which will be strengthening Bill 101, the French language law. (May 12, 2021)
Leger May 1, 2021 HTML 1,015 ±3.1% 46 20 12 14 6 3 26
Éric Duhaime is elected as leader of the Conservative Party of Quebec (April 17, 2021)
Mainstreet February 9, 2021 PDF 1,012 ±3.08% 48 21 11 12 N/A 8 27
Leger December 13, 2020 PDF 1,004 ±3.1% 49 22 14 11 N/A 5 27
Angus Reid November 30, 2020 PDF 768 N/A 38 23 15 10 9 3[lower-alpha 8] 13
Leger November 25, 2020 HTML 1,000 ±3.1% 44 23 14 12 N/A 7 21
Leger October 18, 2020 PDF 1,011 ±3.1% 50 18 16 13 N/A 3 32
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon is elected as leader of the Parti Québécois (October 9, 2020)
Leger September 3, 2020 PDF 1,000 ±3.1% 48 22 17 11 N/A 3 26
EKOS August 28, 2020 HTML 5,039 ±1.53% 57 17 11 9 N/A 6 40
Innovative Research Group July 20, 2020 PDF 565 N/A 38 29 17 9 N/A 8 11
EKOS July 3, 2020 HTML 1,870 ±2.5% 59 19 8 9 N/A 5 40
Innovative Research Group June 23, 2020 PDF 263 N/A 39 29 21 5 N/A 7 10
Leger June 21, 2020 PDF 1,002 ±3.0% 51 22 14 10 N/A 4 29
Innovative Research Group June 1, 2020 PDF 257 N/A 38 28 16 9 N/A 9 10
Leger May 25, 2020 HTML 1,203 N/A 54 22 11 8 N/A 5 32
Angus Reid May 24, 2020 HTML 739 N/A 50 22 11 10 3 4 28
Dominique Anglade is elected as leader of the Quebec Liberal Party (May 11, 2020)
Innovative Research Group May 5, 2020 PDF 257 N/A 35 32 17 8 N/A 6 3
EKOS March 26, 2020 HTML 578 ±4.1% 51.9 19.2 14.4 10.4 N/A 4 32.7
Leger March 16, 2020 PDF 1,006 ±3.1% 46 22 18 10 N/A 3 24
State of emergency declared due to the COVID-19 pandemic (March 13, 2020)
Angus Reid February 28, 2020 PDF 638 ±3.7% 36 22 17 16 3 6 14
Leger February 17, 2020 PDF 1,017 ±3.1% 40 28 18 15 N/A N/A 12
Leger January 15, 2020 HTML 1,202 ±2.8% 42 23 19 11 N/A 5 19
CAQ wins the by-election in Jean-Talon (December 2, 2019)
Leger November 25, 2019 HTML 1,000 ±3.1% 38 27 19 10 N/A 6 11
Forum July 24, 2019 PDF 977 ±3% 42 22 12 15 N/A 10 20
Mainstreet July 2, 2019 HTML 871 ±3.32% 47.8 21.7 10.5 14.5 N/A 5.6 26.1
CAQ passes Bill 21 "An Act respecting the laicity of the State" (June 16, 2019)
Forum June 12, 2019 PDF 1,407–71 ±2.5% 46 16 13 19 N/A 6 24
Leger May 21, 2019 HTML 979 ±3% 46 23 14 13 N/A 4 23
Mainstreet March 21, 2019 PDF 940 ±3.20% 45.3 22.3 10.4 14.7 N/A 7.2 23.0
Leger March 11, 2019 PDF Archived August 14, 2019, at the Wayback Machine[lower-alpha 9] 1,014 ±3.08% 44 21 15 15 N/A 5 23
Leger January 28, 2019 PDF Archived November 7, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[lower-alpha 10] 1,007 ±3.09% 42 22 18 15 N/A 3 20
Mainstreet January 18, 2019 PDF 979 ±3.13% 44.5 26.1 8.9 15.8 N/A 4.8 18.4
CAQ wins the by-election in Roberval (December 10, 2018)
Mainstreet November 7, 2018 HTML 896 ±3.27% 39.4 22.8 14.1 19.0 N/A 4.7 16.6
2018 election October 1, 2018 4,033,538 37.4 24.8 17.1 16.1 1.5 3.1 12.6

Cancelled electoral reform referendum

Québec's 2022 Electoral reform Referendum
(government proposal)
Do you agree with replacing the first-past-the-post electoral system by the mixed electoral system with regional compensation set out in the Act to establish a new electoral system?
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Date October 3, 2022 (2022-10-03)

François Legault was elected on a promise to reform the electoral system within a year of his victory. On September 25, 2019, Minister of Justice Sonia LeBel presented Bill 39, An Act to establish a new electoral system which aims to replace the first-past-the-post electoral system in favour of a mixed-member proportional representation system. According to the bill, the National Assembly would have kept 125 members. Of the 125 members, 80 would have been elected by receiving a plurality of votes in single-member districts, similar to the existing system, matching the 78 federal ridings with the addition of 2 unique districts: Îles-de-la-Madeleine and Ungava. The remaining 45 members would have been chosen according to their order in a regional party list. All 17 regions of Québec would have been guaranteed at least one MNA.[104]

The proposed system was as such:

Federal region Provincial region District seats Regional seats  % of
electors
 % of
MNAs
Eastern Quebec Gaspésie–Îles-de-la-Madeleine 2 1 1.2% 2.4%
Bas-Saint-Laurent 2 1 2.6% 2.4%
Quebec City Capitale-Nationale 7 4 9.2% 8.8%
Chaudière-Appalaches 4 3 5.4% 5.4%
Eastern Townships Centre-du-Québec 3 2 3.1% 4.0%
Estrie 3 2 4.0% 4.0%
Montérégie Montérégie 14 8 18.9% 17.6%
Hochelaga (East Montreal, West
Montreal
, North Montreal & Laval)
Montreal 16 8 21.5% 19.2%
Laval 4 2 5.0% 4.8%
Côte-Nord and Saguenay Saguenay–Lac-Saint-Jean 3 2 3.6% 4.0%
Côte-Nord 1 1 1.1% 1.6%
Central Quebec Mauricie 3 2 3.5 % 4.0%
Lanaudière 5 3 6.3 % 6.4%
The Laurentides, Outaouais
and Northern Quebec
Laurentides 6 3 7.6 % 7.2%
Outaouais 4 2 4.6 % 4.8%
Abitibi-Témiscamingue 2 1 1.9% 2.4%
Nord-du-Québec 1 0 0.5% 0.8%
TOTAL 80 45

Bill 39 was intended to be debated in the legislature before June 2021. The bill's implementation would have been contingent on popular support expressed in a referendum held on the same day as the general election.[105] Had this referendum been successful, then the first legislature to be elected under mixed-member proportional would have been the 44th, in October 2026 at the latest. On April 28, 2021, Justice Minister LeBel informed a legislative committee hearing that the government would not move forward with a referendum on electoral reform in 2022. LeBel blamed the COVID-19 pandemic for altering the government's timeline and could not or would not commit to providing an alternate date for the referendum, effectively ending discussions about electoral reform in Quebec.[106]

Results

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All parties experienced uneven results across the province:

  • While the CAQ saw its share of the vote rise by over 10 percentage points from 2018 in 21 ridings, its support also declined in 38 ridings, most significantly in those in Centre-du-Québec and Chaudière-Appalaches.[107] In those regions, and in Mauricie, the contests were between the CAQ and the Conservatives.[108] In Quebec City, the QS is also a significant player.[108] In the Côte-Nord and Saguenay–Lac-Saint-Jean its principal opponent is the PQ.[108]
  • The Liberal Party lost support in all ridings, with the exception of Marquette, and its decline in the ridings along the Orange Line in Montreal worsened from 2014.[107] In Saguenay–Lac-Saint-Jean, its share of the vote fell to 4%, and in the Côte-Nord it dropped to 3%.[108]
  • Québec Solidaire lost the riding of Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue only because of a swing from the Liberals to the CAQ.[107]
  • While the PQ lost several strongholds—notably in Jonquière, René-Lévesque and Rimouski—its support remained stable in 29 ridings and showed small gains in 28 others.[107]
  • The Conservative Party saw its total share of the vote increase ninefold with its percentage vote share rising in all contests, and in 12 ridings it increased by more than 20 percentage points. In addition to its strong gains in the regions south of Quebec City—with several second-place results—it also received significant anglophone support in the West Island ridings of Nelligan, Robert-Baldwin and D'Arcy-McGee.[107]

In Beauce-Nord, the Conservatives sought a judicial recount as they had come within 202 votes of defeating the CAQ incumbent Luc Provençal. The application was dismissed by the Court of Quebec.[109]

Overview

Quebec National Assembly 2023

Elections to the 43rd Quebec Legislature (2022)
Party Leader Candidates Votes Seats
# ±  % Change (pp) 2018 2022 ±
Coalition Avenir Québec François Legault 125 1,685,573 176,124Increase 40.98 3.56 3.56
 
74
90 / 125
16Increase
Québec solidaire Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois
Manon Massé
125 634,535 14,968Decrease 15.43 -0.67
 
10
11 / 125
1Increase
Parti Québécois Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 125 600,708 87,287Decrease 14.61 -2.45
 
10
3 / 125
7Decrease
Liberal Dominique Anglade 125 591,077 409,960Decrease 14.37 -10.45
 
31
21 / 125
10Decrease
Conservative Éric Duhaime 125 530,786 471,731Increase 12.91 11.45 11.45
 
Green Alex Tyrrell 73 31,054 36,816Decrease 0.75 -0.93
 
CaPQ Colin Standish 20 12,981 12,981Increase 0.32 New
Climat Martine Ouellet 54 8,644 8,644Increase 0.21 New
BM Balarama Holness 13 7,774 7,774Increase 0.19 New
Democratie directe Jean Charles Cléroux 28 2,421 2,421Increase 0.06 New
Independent   14 2,121 4,341Decrease 0.05 -0.11
Parti nul Renaud Blais 9 1,074 2,585Decrease 0.03 -0.06
L'Union fait la force Georges Samman 9 1,042 1,042Increase 0.03 New
Parti 51 Hans Mercier 5 689 428Decrease 0.02 -0.01
Marxist–Leninist Pierre Chénier 12 675 1,033Decrease 0.02 -0.02
Équipe autonomiste Stéphane Pouleur 10 556 582Decrease 0.01 -0.02
Parti culinaire Jean-Louis Thémistocle 2 356 187Increase 0.01 0.01
Parti humain Marie-Ève Ouellette 2 262 262Increase 0.01 New
Union Nationale Jonathan Blanchette 1 159 159Increase Returned
Alliance for family and communities Alain Rioux 2 148 148Increase New
Libertarian Charles-Olivier Bolduc 1 116 116Increase New
Access to property and equity Shawn Lalande McLean 1 70 70Decrease New
Alliance provinciale did not campaign
Bloc Pot
  Changement intégrité pour notre Québec
  Citoyens au pouvoir du Québec
New Democratic
Parti libre
Voie du peuple
Total 880 4,112,821 100.00%
Rejected ballots 56,316 9,769Decrease
Turnout 4,169,137 69,514Increase 66.15% 0.30Decrease
Registered electors 6,302,789 133,017Increase

Synopsis of the riding results

Template:2022 Quebec general election - ridings synopsis

Results summary by region

Distribution of seats and popular vote %, by party by region (2022)
Region Seats Vote share (%) Change (pp)
CAQ Lib QS PQ CAQ Lib QS PQ Cons CAQ Lib QS PQ Cons Major swing
Abitibi-Témiscamingue 3 46.23 7.61 21.42 14.52 9.74 +11.13 -7.89 -1.10 -8.77 +9.05          9.95
Bas-Saint-Laurent 2 1 38.01 3.09 13.92 36.50 8.01 +12.20 -16.48 +2.40 -5.08 +7.46          14.34
Capitale-Nationale 9 2 42.18 6.00 16.26 13.53 20.84 -1.23 -16.02 -0.64 +1.81 +17.53          16.78
Centre-du-Québec 4 51.02 3.94 10.73 13.80 19.87 -7.21 -8.30 -2.60 +1.65 +17.69          13.00
Chaudière-Appalaches 7 45.94 4.63 7.90 9.26 31.91 -12.15 -14.32 -1.37 +1.17 +28.60          21.46
Côte-Nord 2 52.00 2.81 8.46 22.98 12.93 +18.30 -12.64 -2.87 -15.15 +11.54          16.73
Estrie 6 1 46.33 8.08 21.57 11.53 12.07 +9.86 -14.41 -0.71 -3.52 +11.55          12.98
Gaspésie–Îles-de-la-Madeleine 2 1 42.54 7.71 9.20 35.62 4.64 +26.25 -22.79 -5.12 -0.96 +4.64          24.52
Lanaudière 7 51.09 6.17 13.01 20.08 9.14 +3.76 -3.21 -0.77 -6.70 +8.62          5.92
Laurentides 10 48.51 7.79 14.28 17.50 10.65 +3.37 -5.66 -0.92 -4.30 +9.79          7.73
Laval 4 2 32.49 30.23 12.43 10.83 12.71 +0.16 -6.83 +0.15 -2.32 +11.24          9.04
Mauricie 4 53.06 5.17 11.15 14.07 15.71 +7.59 -17.07 -3.24 +0.08 +14.00          15.54
Montérégie 18 2 45.73 13.63 14.07 15.73 9.01 +3.42 -6.97 -0.93 -2.46 +8.21          7.59
Montreal 2 16 8 1 18.66 34.92 22.52 10.71 8.82 +1.71 -8.03 +0.59 -1.33 +7.48          7.76
Nord-du-Québec 1 36.27 18.19 24.23 12.55 8.76 +9.76 -6.73 +7.70 -13.42 +6.52          11.59
Outaouais 4 1 43.04 21.30 14.04 9.30 10.48 +6.97 -12.57 -0.64 -0.35 +8.65          10.61
Saguenay–Lac-Saint-Jean 5 57.50 3.01 9.28 19.37 10.29 +22.37 -18.02 -2.24 -10.05 +8.80          20.20
Total 90 21 11 3 40.98 14.37 15.43 14.61 12.91 +3.56 -10.45 -0.67 -2.45 +11.45          10.95

Detailed analysis

Party candidates in 2nd place
Party in 1st place Party in 2nd place Total
CAQ Lib QS PQ PCQ
Coalition Avenir Québec 15 12 41 22 90
Liberal 12 6 3 21
Québec solidaire 5 3 3 11
Parti Québécois 3 3
Total 20 18 18 44 25 125
Principal races, according to 1st and 2nd-place results
Parties Seats
 Coalition Avenir Québec  Parti Québécois 44
 Coalition Avenir Québec  Liberal 27
 Coalition Avenir Québec  Conservative 22
 Coalition Avenir Québec  Québec solidaire 17
 Liberal  Québec solidaire 9
 Liberal  Conservative 3
 Québec solidaire  Parti Québécois 3
Total 125
Party rankings (1st to 5th place)
Party 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th
Coalition Avenir Québec 90 20 11 4
Liberal 21 18 6 16 64
Québec solidaire 11 18 52 41 2
Parti Québécois 3 44 28 28 18
Conservative 25 28 35 37
CaPQ 1 2
Green 1
BM 1

Seats changing hands

Elections to the National Assembly of Quebec – seats won/lost by party, 2018–2022
Party 2018 Gain from (loss to) 2022
CAQ Lib PQ QS
Coalition Avenir Québec 74 8 8 (1) 1 90
Liberal 31 (8) (2) 21
Parti Québécois 10 1 (8) 3
Québec solidaire 10 (1) 2 11
Total 125 1 (17) 10 8 (1) 1 (2) 125

The following seats changed allegiance from the 2018 election:

* - byelection gains held

Resulting composition of the 43rd Quebec Legislature
Source Party
CAQ Lib PQ QS Total
Seats retained Incumbents returned 60 11 2 8 81
Open seats held 13 10 1 24
Seats changing hands Incumbents defeated 4 1 1 6
Open seats gained 10 1 11
Byelection gains held 3 3
Total 90 21 3 11 125

Incumbent MNAs who were defeated

MNAs defeated (2022)
Party Riding MNA Position held First elected Defeated by Party
 Coalition Avenir Québec Camille-Laurin Richard Campeau Parliamentary Assistant to the Minister of Environment and the Fight Against Climate Change, 2018–2022 2018 Paul St-Pierre Plamondon  Parti Québécois
 Liberal Hull Maryse Gaudreault Third Vice-President of the National Assembly, 2018–2022 2008 Suzanne Tremblay  Coalition Avenir Québec
 Québec solidaire Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue Émilise Lessard-Therrien 2018 Daniel Bernard  Coalition Avenir Québec
 Liberal Verdun Isabelle Melançon Deputy Official Opposition House Leader, 2018–2020 2016 Alejandra Zaga Mendez  Québec solidaire
 Parti Québécois Gaspé Méganne Perry Mélançon 2018 Stéphane Sainte-Croix  Coalition Avenir Québec
 Liberal Laval-des-Rapides Saul Polo PLQ President, 2012–2014
Temporary Chair, 2018–2022
2014 Céline Haytayan  Coalition Avenir Québec

Significant results among independent and minor party candidates

Those candidates not belonging to a major party, receiving more than 1,000 votes in the election, are listed below:

Riding Party Candidates Votes Placed
D'Arcy-McGee  CaPQ Marc Perez 1,285 5th
Jacques-Cartier  Green Virginie Beaudet 1,074 6th
Jacques-Cartier  CaPQ Arthur Fischer 1,462 4th
Nelligan  CaPQ Jean Marier 1,014 6th
Notre-Dame-de-Grâce  BM Balarama Holness 1,701 5th
Robert-Baldwin  CaPQ Jonathan Gray 1,231 5th
Westmount–Saint-Louis  CaPQ Colin Standish 1,029 6th

Notes

  1. Québec solidaire designates Nadeau-Dubois and Manon Massé as co-spokespeople. Nadeau-Dubois was the party's candidate for premier during the 2022 election.[2] The party's power is held by the general meetings of the members and a board of 16 directors; the de jure leader recognized by the Chief Electoral Officer of Quebec (DGE) is Nicolas Chatel-Launay.[3]
  2. Including PVQ at 1%
  3. Including PVQ at 2%
  4. Including PVQ at 2%
  5. Including PVQ at 3%
  6. Including PVQ at 3%
  7. Including PVQ at 3%
  8. Including PVQ at 2%
  9. Archived August 14, 2019, at the Wayback Machine
  10. Archived November 7, 2020, at the Wayback Machine

References

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  5. An Act to amend the Election Act for the purpose of establishing fixed-date elections, L.Q. 2013, c. 13, s. 3
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  15. An Act respecting French, the official and common language of Québec, 2022, c. 14, s. 178-179
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  24. "Liberal stronghold in Quebec City falls to the CAQ in by-election". CTV News Montreal, December 2, 2019.
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  35. Archived copy Archived July 18, 2022, at the Wayback Machine
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  40. Legault defends saying non-French speaking immigration could threaten Quebec cohesion CBC September 12, 2022
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  98. Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  100. Accessed 17 April 2023, https://web.archive.org/web/20220930083219/https://globalnews.ca/news/9117882/quebec-election-pq-leader-supports-candidate-porn/
  101. 101.0 101.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  102. Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  103. Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  104. Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  105. Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  106. Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  107. 107.0 107.1 107.2 107.3 107.4 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  108. 108.0 108.1 108.2 108.3 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  109. Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

See also