Next Queensland state election

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Next Queensland state election

← 2015

All 93 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Queensland
47 seats needed for a majority
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Leader Annastacia Palaszczuk Tim Nicholls
Party Labor Liberal National
Leader since 28 March 2012 (2012-03-28) 6 May 2016 (2016-05-06)
Leader's seat Inala Clayfield
Last election 44 seats 42 seats
Current seats 42 seats 42 seats
Seats needed Increase5 Increase5
TPP @ 2015 51.1% 48.9%
TPP Polling 49% 51%
Preferred Premier 59.5% 40.5%

Incumbent Premier

Annastacia Palaszczuk
Labor



The next Queensland state election is scheduled to be held in or before 2018 to elect all 93 members to the unicameral Legislative Assembly of Queensland. The first-term Labor government, currently led by Premier of Queensland Annastacia Palaszczuk, will attempt to win a second term. The Liberal National opposition is currently led by Opposition Leader Tim Nicholls.

Labor is governing as a minority government in a hung parliament with confidence and supply support while retaining the right to vote on conscience from crossbench independent MP Peter Wellington as well as the support of the independent member for Cook, Billy Gordon, who was expelled from the Parliamentary Labor Party over a failure to disclose criminal history, and the independent member for Cairns, Rob Pyne, who resigned from the Labor Party in March 2016.[1][2]

Successful amendments to the electoral act through legislation and a referendum in early 2016 include adding an additional four parliamentary seats from 89 to 93, changing from optional preferential voting to full-preferential voting, and moving from unfixed three-year terms to fixed four-year terms.[3] However, fixed four-year terms will not take effect until after the 2017/18 election.[4]

Previous election

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At the 2015 election, Labor won 44 seats, the most of all parties, but short by one of commanding a majority in the Legislative Assembly. The Liberal National Party, despite winning a record majority of 78 at the previous election, won 42 seats. Katter's Australian Party won two seats, and the independent member for Nicklin, Wellington, retained his seat.[5]

Wellington gave confidence and supply support to Labor to form government, giving it the majority of 45 out of 89 seats in parliament, and consequently the previous Liberal National government under the leadership of Campbell Newman, who lost his seat of Ashgrove, lost office after one term.

Polling

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Legislative Assembly polling
Date Firm Primary vote TPP vote
ALP LNP Green Other ALP LNP
10–11 February 2016 Galaxy[6] 43% 37% 9% 11% 48% 52%
December 2015 Newspoll[7] 41% 39% 8% 12% 52% 48%
17–18 November 2015 Galaxy[6] 42% 37% 9% 12% 49% 51%
16 Oct 2015 Morgan[8] 34.5% 42% 11.5% 12% 49% 51%
Sep 2015 Newspoll[9] 41% 38% 9% 12% 53% 47%
28–31 Aug 2015 Morgan[10] 38.5% 41.5% 12% 8% 52% 48%
19–20 Aug 2015 Galaxy[11] 40% 39% 10% 11% 52% 48%
19–21 Jun 2015 Morgan[12] 39.5% 42% 9.5% 9% 51.5% 48.5%
22–24 May 2015 Morgan[13] 34% 44% 11% 1% 48% 52%
22 May 2015 ReachTEL[14] 37.6% 45.6% 9.4% 7.4% 48% 52%
19–20 May 2015 Galaxy[15] 40% 39% 9% 12% 52% 47%
10–12 Apr 2015 Morgan[16] 40% 40.5% 9.5% 10% 52.5% 47.5%
8–9 Apr 2015 Galaxy[15] 39% 42% 7% 12% 50% 50%
31 Jan 2015 election 37.5% 41.3% 8.4% 12.8% 51.1% 48.9%
26–29 Jan 2015 Newspoll[17] 37% 41% 6% 14% 48% 52%
9–26 Jan 2015 Essential[18] 38% 39% 7% 16% 50% 50%
16–18 Jan 2015 Morgan[19] 37% 39.5% 10% 13.5% 49.5% 50.5%

See also

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References

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  3. Electoral Law Ructions in the Queensland Parliament: Antony Green 21 April 2016
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