Russian presidential election, 2018
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Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. The next presidential elections in Russia will take place in or before March 2018.
The first round will be held March 11, 2018. If in the first round no candidate attains an absolute Most of the votes (50% + 1 vote), then according to the law, a second round will have to go through exactly three weeks later, April 1, 2018.[1]
Contents
Background
Possible date change
In an article for Vedomosti, Eugene Gontmaher suggested that the rearrangement of the 2016 parliamentary elections from December to September indicated the intention of the authorities to transfer the presidential elections in the spring of 2016.[2]
Speaking on 19 June 2015 at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum, the head of the Committee of Civil Initiatives and former Finance Minister Alexei Kudrin suggested the feasibility of holding early presidential elections in March 2016,[3] subsequently criticized by members of all parties represented in the State Duma. Kudrin himself ruled out the possibility of his participation in the presidential race.[4] Commenting on this proposal, Sergey Ivanov said that the reasons for the postponement of elections to an earlier date, he does not see.[5]
Declared eligible candidates
| Portrait | Candidate | Party | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80px | Grigory Yavlinsky | Yabloko | Former leader of the party "Yabloko" (1993-2008), former leader the faction "Yabloko" in the State Duma (1993-2003), now the leader of the faction "Yabloko" in the Legislative Assembly of St. Petersburg. Presidential candidate in 1996 and 2000. In the "Memorandum of political alternative" 2015, called the candidate from the party "Yabloko" for President of Russia.[6] In February 28, 2016, the Congress Party, was officially nominated as a candidate for president.[7] | |
| 80px | Dmitry Demushkin | Slavic Union (Can only run as an Independent) | Politician, nationalist and opponent of Vladimir Putin. Organizer of the Russian March, the leader of the banned movement in Russia, "Slavic Union" and "Russians". In 2013, after Alexei Navalny, he said he wanted to participate in the elections in 2018.[8] | |
 |
Mikhail Kasyanov | People's Freedom Party | Former Prime Minister (2000-2004), former Minister of Finance and First Deputy Prime Minister in Putin's cabinet (1999-2000). After his dismissal from the post of Prime Minister, he went to the opposition and became an opponent of Putin. Now the leader of the People's Freedom Party. Tried to take part in the 2008 election, but was not admitted. In 2015, he announced his possible participation in the elections of 2018.[9] | |
| 80px | Ivan Okhlobystin | Independent | Actor, director and Russian Orthodox Church's priest. In September 2012 said that he was confident in his victory in the elections of 2018, but will participate only with the permission of the church. He had already tried to participate in the 2012 elections, but the church opposed, and Okhlobystin was forced to give up the nomination.[10] | |
| 80px | Sergey Mavrodi | Independent | Entrepreneur, founder of the company "MMM". The former deputy of the State Duma (1994-1995). Tried to take part in the 1996 elections, but was not admitted. In 2013, he announced his intention to run for president.[11] |
Other candidates featured in major polls include, that did not yet announce their intention to run include Putin, Shoygu, Zyuganov, Zhirinovskiy (declared intention, but then stated that the party may choose a more effective candidate), Navalny (ineligible), Prokhorov, Strelkov, Mironov and Khodorkovskiy (ineligible).
Opinion polls
| Date | Poll source | Putin | Shoygu | Zyuganov | Zhirinovsky | Navalny | Prokhorov | Mironov | Khodorkovsky |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 April 2016 | FOM | 67% | – | 8% | 5% | – | 1% | 1% | – |
| 18 March 2016 | FOM | 70% | 2% | 5% | 7% | – | 2% | 1% | – |
| 10 February 2016 | Levada Centre | 53% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 1% | – | 1% | – |
| 7 February 2016 | FOM | 71% | 2% | 4% | 5% | – | 1% | 1% | – |
| 3–5 November 2015 | Echo of Moscow | 60.5% | 2% | 2.1% | 7.3% | 3.2% | – | 0.7% | 2.6% |
| 27 April 2015 | Levada Centre | 82% | – | 9% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 1% | – |
| 1 April 2015 | Levada Centre | 80% | 1% | 6% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | – |
| 1 November 2014 | CIMES | 67.4% | 5% | 1.6% | 10.2% | 1% | – | 0.3% | 2.1% |
| 22–25 August 2014 | Echo of Moscow | 87% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 1% | – | 1% | – |
| 21 November 2013 | Levada Centre | 68% | – | 16% | 7% | 2% | 2% | – | – |
References
- ↑ The Federal Law on the election of the President of the Russian Federation
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- ↑ "Yabloko" party decided to nominate Yavlinsky for president of Russia
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