United States Senate election in Nevada, 2012
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← 2006 |
November 6, 2012 |
2018 → |
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Turnout |
57.1% (voting eligible)[1] |
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U.S. Senate election results map. Red denotes counties/districts won by Heller. Blue denotes those won by Berkley.
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The 2012 United States Senate election in Nevada was held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, alongside 33 other elections to the United States Senate in other states, as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives, and the 2012 United States presidential election. The primary election was held June 12, 2012. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Dean Heller, who was recently appointed to this seat left vacant by resigning U.S. Senator John Ensign, was narrowly elected to his first full term over Congresswoman Shelley Berkley.
Background
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Ensign was reelected to the United States Senate in 2006 against Jack Carter, son of former president Jimmy Carter, by a margin of 55–41%. Ensign's reelection campaign was expected to be complicated after it was revealed in 2009 that he had been involved in an extramarital affair with the wife of one of his campaign staffers, allegedly made payments to the woman's family and arranged work for her husband to cover himself.[2][3]
Ensign faced an investigation from the Senate Ethics Committee and his poll numbers declined significantly.[4][5] There was speculation that Ensign might resign before the election, but he denied these charges and initially stated he would run.[6] However, he changed his mind and on March 7, 2011, Ensign announced that he would not seek reelection.[7] On April 22, Ensign announced that he was resigning effective May 3.[8]
Republican primary
Candidates
- Sherry Brooks, retired secretary[9]
- Richard Charles[9]
- Eddie Hamilton, retired auto executive and perennial candidate[9]
- Dean Heller, incumbent U.S. Senator, former U.S. Representative, former Nevada Secretary of State and former State Assemblyman[10][11]
- Carlo Poliak, sanitation worker and perennial candidate[9]
- David Lory Vanderbeek, marriage and family therapist[9]
Declined
Polling
Hypothetical polling
|
- Primary
Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Sharron
Angle |
John
Chachas |
John
Ensign |
Dean
Heller |
Brian
Krolicki |
Sue
Lowden |
Danny
Tarkanian |
Undecided |
Public Policy Polling |
January 3–5, 2011 |
400 |
± 4.9% |
9% |
5% |
20% |
30% |
6% |
12% |
10% |
8% |
- Appointment preference
Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Jim
Gibbons |
Dean
Heller |
Sue
Lowden |
Brian
Sandoval |
Danny
Tarkanian |
Undecided |
Mason-Dixon/LVJR |
October 8, 2009 |
4% |
24% |
14% |
17% |
17% |
21% |
- Primaries with Ensign
Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
John Ensign |
Dean Heller |
Other |
Undecided |
Public Policy Polling |
January 3–5, 2011 |
400 |
± 4.9% |
34% |
52% |
–– |
13% |
Public Policy Polling |
October 7–9, 2010 |
400 |
± 4.9% |
45% |
37% |
–– |
18% |
Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
John Ensign |
Brian Krolicki |
Other |
Undecided |
Public Policy Polling |
October 7–9, 2010 |
400 |
± 4.9% |
55% |
27% |
–– |
18% |
|
Results
Democratic primary
Candidates
Withdrew
Polling
Hypothetical polling
|
Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Shelley Berkley |
Byron Georgiou |
Other |
Undecided |
Public Policy Polling |
July 28–31, 2011 |
400 |
± 4.9% |
71% |
6% |
–– |
23% |
Public Policy Polling |
April 21–24, 2011 |
300 |
± 5.7% |
65% |
8% |
–– |
27% |
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Results
General election
Candidates
Debates
The first Berkley and Heller debate was on September 27, 2012. They met again in Las Vegas on October 11 and on Jon Ralston’s “Face to Face” program on October 15.
- External links
Fundraising
Candidate (party) |
Receipts |
Disbursements |
Cash on hand |
Debt |
Dean Heller (R) |
$8,447,489 |
$6,510,874 |
$1,936,618 |
$0 |
Shelley Berkley (D) |
$8,779,074 |
$8,947,424 |
$924,918 |
$0 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[21][22] |
Top contributors
[23]
Shelly Berkley |
Contribution |
Dean Heller |
Contribution |
EMILY's List |
$93,049 |
Las Vegas Sands |
$43,750 |
NORPAC |
$59,750 |
MGM Resorts International |
$35,500 |
MGM Resorts International |
$53,700 |
Alliance Resource Partners |
$34,500 |
DaVita Inc |
$49,300 |
Crow Holdings |
$30,000 |
Diamond Resorts |
$44,000 |
Elliott Management Corporation |
$29,413 |
Cantor Fitzgerald |
$27,000 |
Brady Industries |
$25,000 |
Caesars Entertainment, Inc. |
$26,000 |
Mewbourne Oil Co |
$25,000 |
Fresenius Medical Care |
$24,500 |
Wynn Resorts |
$22,500 |
Brownstein Hyatt Farber Schreck |
$23,650 |
Southwest Gas |
$21,800 |
Station Casinos |
$20,200 |
Bank of America |
$20,500 |
Top industries
Shelley Berkley |
Contribution |
Dean Heller |
Contribution |
Lawyers/Law Firms |
$607,407 |
Leadership PACs |
$379,718 |
Pro-Israel |
$384,580 |
Retired |
$300,560 |
Health Professionals |
$369,954 |
Financial Institutions |
$217,084 |
Women's Issues |
$309,817 |
Real Estate |
$206,362 |
Leadership PACs |
$292,500 |
Casinos/Gambling |
$205,832 |
Retired |
$281,490 |
Oil & Gas |
$187,500 |
Real Estate |
$261,779 |
Insurance |
$182,155 |
Financial Institutions |
$228,393 |
Lobbyists |
$159,812 |
Casinos/Gambling |
$227,350 |
Mining |
$149,745 |
Lobbyists |
$175,147 |
Health Professionals |
$132,450 |
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Dean
Heller (R) |
Shelley
Berkley (D) |
Other |
Undecided |
Public Policy Polling |
November 3–4, 2012 |
750 |
± 3.6% |
48% |
46% |
4% |
1% |
LVRJ/SurveyUSA |
October 23–29, 2012 |
1,212 |
± 2.9% |
46% |
40% |
10% |
4% |
NBC/WSJ/Marist |
October 23–24, 2012 |
1,042 |
± 2.8% |
48% |
45% |
2% |
6% |
Public Policy Polling |
October 22–24, 2012 |
636 |
± 3.9% |
44% |
44% |
7% |
5% |
Rasmussen Reports |
October 23, 2012 |
500 |
± 4.5% |
50% |
45% |
1% |
4% |
Rasmussen Reports |
October 15, 2012 |
500 |
± 4.5% |
50% |
43% |
4% |
3% |
LVRJ/Survey USA |
October 11–15, 2012 |
806 |
± 3.5% |
46% |
40% |
8% |
6% |
Public Policy Polling |
October 8–10, 2012 |
594 |
± 4.0% |
47% |
44% |
4% |
5% |
Suffolk |
October 6–9, 2012 |
500 |
± 4.4% |
40% |
37% |
7% |
14% |
Rasmussen Reports |
October 8, 2012 |
500 |
± 4.5% |
48% |
45% |
3% |
4% |
LVRJ/Survey USA |
October 3–8, 2012 |
1,222 |
± 2.9% |
47% |
39% |
8% |
6% |
Precision Opinion |
October 6, 2012 |
1,521 |
± 2.5% |
45% |
43% |
— |
12% |
Gravis Marketing |
October 3, 2012 |
1,006 |
± 3.1% |
53% |
36% |
— |
12% |
We Ask America |
September 25–27, 2012 |
1,152 |
± 3.1% |
45% |
45% |
— |
10% |
NBC/WSJ/Marist |
September 23–25, 2012 |
984 |
± 3.1% |
49% |
43% |
1% |
6% |
Public Policy Polling |
September 18–20, 2012 |
501 |
± 4.4% |
44% |
48% |
— |
8% |
Rasmussen Reports |
September 18, 2012 |
500 |
± 4.5% |
42% |
41% |
4% |
12% |
Public Policy Polling |
August 23–26, 2012 |
831 |
± 3.4% |
47% |
45% |
— |
8% |
LVRJ/Survey USA |
August 16–21, 2012 |
869 |
± 3.4% |
44% |
39% |
9% |
8% |
Rasmussen Reports |
July 24, 2012 |
500 |
± 4.5% |
51% |
42% |
2% |
5% |
Magellan Strategies |
July 16–17, 2012 |
665 |
± 3.8% |
45% |
42% |
— |
13% |
Public Policy Polling |
June 7–10, 2012 |
500 |
± 4.4% |
44% |
43% |
— |
13% |
NBC News/Marist |
May 22–24, 2012 |
1,040 |
± 3.0% |
46% |
44% |
— |
10% |
Rasmussen Reports |
April 30, 2012 |
500 |
± 4.5% |
51% |
40% |
2% |
8% |
Public Policy Polling |
March 29–April 1, 2012 |
553 |
± 4.2% |
46% |
43% |
— |
12% |
Rasmussen Reports |
March 19, 2012 |
500 |
± 4.5% |
47% |
40% |
2% |
11% |
Cannon Survey Center |
December 12–20, 2011 |
600 |
± 4.0% |
43% |
44% |
— |
6.9% |
Public Policy Polling |
October 20–23, 2011 |
500 |
± 4.4% |
45% |
45% |
— |
10% |
Public Policy Polling |
July 28–31, 2011 |
601 |
± 4.0% |
46% |
43% |
— |
12% |
Public Policy Polling |
April 21–24, 2011 |
491 |
± 4.4% |
47% |
43% |
— |
10% |
Public Policy Polling |
January 3–5, 2011 |
932 |
± 3.2% |
51% |
38% |
— |
16% |
Hypothetical polling
|
Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Dean
Heller (R) |
Oscar
Goodman (D) |
Other |
Undecided |
Public Policy Polling |
January 3–5, 2011 |
932 |
± 3.2% |
45% |
38% |
–– |
16% |
Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Dean
Heller (R) |
Catherine
C. Masto (D) |
Other |
Undecided |
Public Policy Polling |
January 3–5, 2011 |
932 |
± 3.2% |
46% |
37% |
–– |
16% |
Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Dean
Heller (R) |
Ross
Miller (D) |
Other |
Undecided |
Public Policy Polling |
January 3–5, 2011 |
932 |
± 3.2% |
46% |
34% |
–– |
21% |
- with John Ensign
Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
John
Ensign (R) |
Shelley
Berkley (D) |
Other |
Undecided |
Public Policy Polling |
January 3–5, 2011 |
932 |
± 3.2% |
42% |
45% |
–– |
13% |
Public Policy Polling |
January 11–12, 2010 |
763 |
± 3.6% |
49% |
40% |
–– |
11% |
Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
John
Ensign (R) |
Catherine
C. Masto (D) |
Other |
Undecided |
Public Policy Polling |
January 3–5, 2011 |
932 |
± 3.2% |
42% |
44% |
–– |
14% |
Public Policy Polling |
July 16–18, 2010 |
630 |
± 3.9% |
48% |
38% |
–– |
14% |
Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
John
Ensign (R) |
Oscar
Goodman (D) |
Other |
Undecided |
Public Policy Polling |
January 3–5, 2011 |
932 |
± 3.2% |
35% |
45% |
–– |
20% |
Public Policy Polling |
January 11–12, 2010 |
763 |
± 3.6% |
43% |
41% |
–– |
16% |
Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
John
Ensign (R) |
Ross
Miller (D) |
Other |
Undecided |
Public Policy Polling |
January 3–5, 2011 |
932 |
± 3.2% |
39% |
40% |
–– |
21% |
Public Policy Polling |
January 11–12, 2010 |
763 |
± 3.6% |
47% |
36% |
–– |
18% |
Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
John
Ensign (R) |
Dina
Titus (D) |
Other |
Undecided |
Public Policy Polling |
July 16–18, 2010 |
630 |
± 3.9% |
51% |
41% |
–– |
8% |
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Results
See also
References
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- ↑ "Angle in race for Heller's House seat", ReviewJournal.com
- ↑ Krolicki endorses Heller, mulls House bid by David Catanese at POLITICO.com]
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- ↑ Campaign Finances
- ↑ Campaign Finances
- ↑ [http://www.opensecrets.org/races/contrib.php?cycle=2012&id=nvs1 Center for Responsive Politics
External links
- Official campaign sites