Vrhunec nafte

Proizvodnja nafte v ZDA, podobno kot je predvideval M. King Hubbert

Vrhunec nafte (ang.Peak oil) je dogodek, ko proizvodnja nafte doseže največjo količino in potem začne počasi padati. Vrhunec ne pomeni konec nafte ampak samo manjšanje proizvodnje. Kljub temu je zelo pomemben energetski dogodek, ki bo zelo vplival na ceno nafte in svetovno politiko. Nafta je trenutno najpomembnejši energent na svetu. Nekateri znanstveniki predvidevajo, da bo vrhuncu nafte sledilo gospodarsko nazadovanje.

Ameriški znanstvenik M. King Hubbert je pravilno napovedal vrhunec proizvodnje nafte v ZDA, ki se je zgodil leta 1970 - zato se po njem imenuje "Hubbertov vrhunec". Hubbertov vrhunec se lahko uporablja tudi za druge energente kot npr. zemeljski plin in premog.

Od leta 1994 do 2006 je proizvodnja rasla povprečno 1,76% na leto. Od leta 2008 do 2009 je celo padla za 1,8% kljub zmanjšanju cen nafte. Tako je proizvodnja nafte v zadnjih letih bolj ali manj konstantna pri okrog 85 milijonih sodčkov (13610000 m³) na dan. Nekateri trdijo, da se je vrhunec že zgodil, drugi predvidevajo, da bo proizvodnja narasla na 104 milijone sodčkov na dan leta 2030.

Glej tudi

• Doba nafte
• Vrhunec premoga
• Vrhunec plina
• Vrhunec urana

Sklici in reference

Bibliografija

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Zunanje povezave

• Association for the Study of Peak Oil International
• Eating Fossil Fuels FromTheWilderness.com
• Peak Oil Primer - Resilience.org; Peak Oil related articles Arhivirano 2016-11-25 na Wayback Machine. - Resilience.org
• Not Running Out of Oil (Yet): Oil Reserves Overview - The Daily Fusion
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• Energy Export Databrowser-Visual review of production and consumption trends for individual nations; data from the BP Annual Statistical Review
• Peak Oil For Dummies – concise quotes from renowned politicians, oil executives, and analysts
• Peak oil - EAA-PHEV Wiki Electric vehicles provide an opportunity to transition away from fueling our vehicles with petroleum fuels.