ARTICLE IN PRESS
Functional status, age, and
long-term survival after trauma
Allan B. Peetz, MD,a Gabriel A. Brat, MD,b Jessica Rydingsward, PT,c Reza Askari, MD,b
Olubode A. Olufajo, MD, MPH,b Kevin M. Elias, MD,d Kris M. Mogensen, MS, RD, LDN, CNSC,e
Jessica L. Lesage, PT, DPT,c Clare M. Horkan, MB, BCh,f Ali Salim, MD,b and
Kenneth B. Christopher, MD, SM,g Boston, MA
Background. The association between functional status in trauma survivors and long-term outcomes is
unknown.
Methods. We performed an observational cohort study on adult trauma patients ($18 years), who
required admission to the intensive care unit and who survived hospitalization between 1997 and 2011.
The exposure of interest was a functional status defined as bed mobility, transfers, and gait level assessed
at the time of hospital discharge. Adjusted odds ratios were estimated by multivariable logistic regression
models. The primary outcome was all-cause, postdischarge mortality.
Results. We analyzed 3,565 patients with a mean (standard deviation) age of 55 (12.4) years; 60%
were male, and 78% were white. The 720-day postdischarge mortality was 22.8%. In a logistic
regression model, the lowest functional status category at hospital discharge was associated with 4-fold
increased odds of 720-day postdischarge mortality (adjusted odds ratio 4.06 (95% confidence interval,
2.65–6.20, P < .001) compared with patients with independent functional status. We compared the
odds of 720-day postdischarge mortality in patients with independent functional status and in patients
in the lowest functional status category at hospital discharge. The odds of 720-day postdischarge
mortality were stronger in older adults ($65 years: adjusted odds ratio 3.34 [95% confidence interval,
1.72–6.50, P < .001]) than in younger adults (<65 years: adjusted odds ratio 2.53 [95% confidence
interval, 1.39–4.60, P = .002]). Finally, improvement of functional status prior to discharge was
associated with a 52% decrease in the odds of 720-day postdischarge mortality (adjusted odds ratio
0.48; 95% confidence interval, 0.30–0.75; P < .001) compared with patients without a change in
functional status prior to discharge.
Conclusion. In trauma intensive care unit survivors, functional status at hospital discharge is
predictive of long-term mortality. (Surgery 2016;j:j-j.)
From the Trauma, Surgical Critical Care & Acute Care Surgery,a Case Western Reserve University School of
Medicine; Division of Trauma, Burns, and Surgical Critical Care, Department of Surgery,b Department of
Rehabilitation,c Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology and Reproductive Biology,d Department of Nutrition,e
Department of Medicine,f and The Nathan E. Hellman Memorial Laboratory, Renal Division, Department of
Medicine,g Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Boston, MA
AS SURVIVAL AFTER A CRITICAL ILLNESS has improved
during the past 30 years, attention has pivoted toward the importance of long-term outcomes. Survivorship in the critically ill is complicated by
substantial long-term mortality and morbidity,
such as long-term physical impairments, profound
neuromuscular weakness, exercise limitation, and
Accepted for publication April 13, 2016.
Reprint requests: Kenneth B. Christopher, MD, SM, The Nathan
E. Hellman Memorial Laboratory, Division of Renal Medicine,
Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Medical Research Building
418, 75 Francis Street, Boston, MA 02115. E-mail:
kbchristopher@partners.org.
0039-6060/$ - see front matter
Ó 2016 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.surg.2016.04.015
lower quality of life after hospital discharge,1-6
but long-term outcomes among trauma intensive
care unit (ICU) survivors have not been studied.
Physical therapy early in the ICU course has
been shown to be safe.7-9 Early physical therapy is
associated with improved functional independence in mechanically ventilated patients.7,8
Studies show that functional status may be modifiable in the ICU.8-12 The combination of interrupted sedation with physical and occupational
therapy early in the ICU course is related to functional status improvements at hospital discharge.9
Although long-term functional independence is
desirable among ICU patients, little information
exists on critically ill trauma survivors’ functional
status at hospital discharge or on the adverse outcomes they face after hospital discharge.13
SURGERY 1
ARTICLE IN PRESS
2 Peetz et al
Because functional status may be an important
driver of long-term outcomes in critically ill
trauma patients, we performed this study to
determine the relationship between critically ill
trauma patients’ functional status at hospital
discharge and all-cause 2-year post-hospital
discharge mortality. We hypothesized that a
decrease in functional status at discharge would
be associated with adverse outcomes among critically ill and injured patients.
METHODS
Source population and data sources. We
abstracted patient-level administrative and laboratory data from the Brigham and Women’s Hospital, a 793-bed urban level I trauma center. Data on
all trauma patients $18 years old who were
admitted to the intensive care unit between
January 1, 1997, and December 31, 2011, and
who survived to hospital discharge were obtained
through the Research Patient Data Registry, a
computerized registry that serves as a central data
warehouse for all inpatient and outpatient records
at Partners HealthCare sites.14,15 Approval for the
study was granted by the Partners Human Research
Committee (Institutional Review Board) Protocol
Number: 2010P000645. Requirement for consent
was waived, as the data were analyzed anonymously.
Study population. During the study period,
7,450 unique patients met inclusion criteria. Exclusions included 3,885 patients who did not
receive a formal structured evaluation from a
physical therapist within 48 hours of hospital
discharge. Thus, the analytic cohort comprised
3,565 patients.
Exposure of interest and covariates. The exposure of interest was functional status at hospital
discharge defined as physical function assessed at
the time of hospital discharge. Determination of
physical function was made by a licensed physical
therapist and rated based on qualitative categories
adapted from the functional mobility subscales of
the Functional Independence Measure.16-18 The
Functional Independence Measure mobility subscales incorporate transfers (including bed, chair,
and wheelchair) as well as locomotion (including
walking/wheelchair and stairs) and are scored on
an ordinal scale based on percentage of active patient participation in the selected task.16 The scale
scoring system grades patients on a scale of function for motor tasks assessed (independent,
standby assist/supervision, minimal assist, moderate assist, maximal assist, and total assist) with a
determination of “not applicable” used when a
Surgery
j 2016
patient was either incapable of progressing to the
designated task or to indicate physical or medical
limitations. Patients were assessed on bed mobility
(roll side-to-side, supine-to-sit, sit-to-supine), transfers (sit-to-stand, stand-to-sit, bed-to-chair), and
gait (level ambulation, stairs). A categorical risk
prediction score was derived previously and validated based on a logistic regression model of the
individual scale of function grades for each
assessment.19
Definition and determination of the following
covariates are outlined in the Supplementary
Methods (online only version): Deyo-Charlson index,20 intensive care unit admission,21 race, sepsis,22
exposure to inotropes and vasopressors,23 acute kidney injury,24 noncardiogenic acute respiratory failure,25 emergency general surgery,26 packed red
blood cells transfused,23 acute organ failure,21,27
malnutrition,28 and International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification, Ninth Edition (ICD-9-CM) derived injury severity score
(ICISS).29-33 Malignant neoplasm history is defined
by the presence of any of the following ICD-9-CM codes prior to the hospital discharge date: 140-209.34
For severity of illness risk adjustment, we used the
acute organ failure score, an ICU risk-prediction
score derived and validated from demographics
(age, race), patient admission “type” as well as
ICD-9-CM code based comorbidity, sepsis, and
acute organ failure covariates, which has a similar
discrimination for 30-day mortality as Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE)
II.35 The trauma-related ICD-9 diagnosis codes
were grouped by body region of injury categories
based on the Barell Injury Diagnosis Matrix.36
Endpoints. The primary endpoint was 720-day,
all-cause mortality after hospital discharge. Secondary endpoints included 90- and 365-day allcause mortality after hospital discharge.
Assessment of mortality. Vital status was obtained from the Death Master File of the Social
Security Administration, which has high sensitivity
and specificity for mortality37; we have validated
the accuracy of this Death Master File for inhospital and out-of-hospital mortality in the
Research Patient Data Registry database.21 In the
study, 100% of the cohort had at least 720-day
follow-up after hospital discharge. The censoring
date was January 1, 2014.
Power calculations and statistical analysis. Previously in a cohort of critically ill patients (n =
43,212), we studied postdischarge mortality in
ICU survivors.23 From these data, we assumed
that 720-day postdischarge mortality in ICU survivors was 18.8%. In our cohort of 1,224 patients
ARTICLE IN PRESS
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Volume j, Number j
with the lowest quartile of functional status and
340 patients with independent functional status
assuming an alpha error level of 5% and a power
of 80%, the smallest difference that we can detect
between 720-day mortality rates is 7%.
Categorical variables were described by frequency distribution and compared across outcome
groups using contingency tables and v2 testing.
Continuous variables were examined graphically
and in terms of summary statistics and then
compared across outcome groups using one-way
analysis of variance or the Kruskal-Wallis test. For
the 720-day postdischarge mortality model, specification of each continuous covariate (as a linear
versus categorical term) was adjudicated by the
empiric association with the primary outcome using Akaike information criterion; overall model
fit was assessed using the Hosmer Lemeshow test.
The discriminatory ability for 720-day mortality
was quantified using the c-statistic. The improvement in model performance was evaluated via
net reclassification improvement or integrated
discrimination improvement.38 Adjusted odds ratios were estimated by multivariable logistic regression models with inclusion of covariate terms
thought to associate plausibly with both functional
status and 720-day mortality. We tested individually
for effect modification by functional status by year
of hospital admission, hospital, packed red blood
cells transfusions, need for operation, vasopressors/inotropes, or age by adding an interaction
term to the multivariate models. Furthermore, a
multivariable Cox’s proportional hazards model
was used to illustrate postdischarge survival related
to functional status. To account for the differential
outcomes that could be associated with highly
debilitating illnesses, such as traumatic brain injury
and spinal cord injuries, we performed different
sensitivity analyses by including these variables in
the models and by excluding patients with these injuries from the analyses.
For the time to mortality, we estimated the
survival curves according to functional status
quartile with the Kaplan-Meier method and
compared the results via the log-rank test. In all
analyses, P values are 2-tailed. All analyses were performed using STATA 13.1MP statistical software
(StataCorp LP, College Station, TX).
RESULTS
Table I shows characteristics of the study population. Most patients were men (60%), white
(78%), with a mean age at hospital admission of
60.1 years (standard deviation, 20.1 years). Sixteen
Peetz et al 3
percent of the cohort had sepsis, 7% had acute kidney injury, and 19% had noncardiac acute respiratory failure. In the study, 1,768 patients (50%)
were transferred to rehabilitation; 515 (14%)
were transferred to a nursing home; and 722
(20%) were discharged home with services. The
crude 90-, 365-, and 720-day postdischarge mortality rates were 8.5%, 17.5%, and 22.8%. There were
1,126 patients who died subsequently with 15,940
person-years of follow-up, yielding a mortality
rate of 70.6 per 1,000 person-years. Table I indicates that age, race, Deyo-Charlson index, acute organ failures, malignant neoplasm, malnutrition,
acute kidney injury, sepsis, vasopressors/inotropes,
and ICISS are associated significantly with 720-day
mortality. Patient characteristics of the study
cohort were stratified according to functional status categories (Table II). With the exception of
race, all covariates differed significantly across
functional status categories. Table III demonstrates
the body region of injury. Head and neck injuries
accounted for 22% of the study population.
Functional status was associated with postdischarge mortality. Fig illustrates the different survival curves for the functional status groups. The
log-rank test indicated that there is a significant
difference in the overall survival distributions between the patient groups. In a logistic regression
model after adjustment for ICISS, the acute organ
failure score and sex, the lowest functional status
category at hospital discharge was associated with
4-fold increased odds of 720-day postdischarge
mortality (OR 4.06, 95% CI, 2.65–6.20; P < .001)
compared with patients with independent functional status (Table IV). The adjusted functional
status model showed good calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow v2 8.73, P = .37) and good discrimination
for 720-day postdischarge mortality (c-statistic =
0.77, 95% CI, 0.75–0.78). Additional individual
adjustment for operative intervention, traumatic
brain injury, or spinal cord injury did not alter
materially the association between functional status and 720-day postdischarge mortality. Furthermore, exclusion of traumatic brain injury and
spinal cord injury patients did not alter the functional status 720-day postdischarge mortality
association.
Differences in discrimination between the primary model and one including only sex, ICISS,
and the acute organ failure score (area under the
curve = 0.74 [95% CI, 0.73–0.76]) are significant
(v2 27.67, P < .001). Furthermore, the net reclassification improvement was estimated at 6.3%
(P < .001), and the integrated discrimination
improvement was estimated at 2.9% (P < .001).
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4 Peetz et al
Surgery
j 2016
Table I. Population characteristics of the derivation cohort and unadjusted association of potential
prognostic determinants with 720-day postdischarge mortality*
Age, mean ± SD
Male, n (%)
Non-white race, n (%)
Deyo-Charlson index, n (%)
0–1
2–3
4–6
$7
Acute organ failure, n (%)
0
1
2
3
$4
Malignant neoplasm, n (%)
Malnutrition, n (%)x
Acute kidney injury, n (%)jj
Sepsis, n (%)
Noncardiogenic acute
respiratory failure, n (%)
Vasopressors/inotropes, n (%)
ICISS, mean ± SD
Acute organ failure score,
mean ± SD{
Length of stay, median (IQR)
Discharge to care facility, n (%)
Alive
N = 2,751
Dead*
N = 814
Total
N = 3,565
56.4 ± 20.1
1,672 (61)
671 (24)
72.9 ± 13.8
469 (58)
124 (15)
60.1 ± 20.1
2,141 (60)
795 (22)
1,374
844
463
70
(50)
(31)
(17)
(3)
108
295
330
81
(13)
(36)
(41)
(10)
1,482
1,139
793
151
(42)
(32)
(22)
(4)
817
860
589
307
178
323
290
145
180
542
(30)
(31)
(21)
(11)
(6)
(12)
(16)
(6)
(7)
(20)
137
247
203
139
88
293
129
87
94
125
(17)
(30)
(25)
(17)
(11)
(36)
(28)
(14)
(12)
(15)
954
1,107
792
446
266
616
419
232
274
667
(27)
(31)
(22)
(13)
(7)
(17)
(18)
(7)
(8)
(19)
P value
<.001y
.11
<.001
<.001
Unadjusted OR (95% CI)
for 720-day
postdischarge mortality
1.05 (1.05, 1.06)
0.88 (0.75, 1.03)
0.56 (0.45, 0.69)
1.00
4.45
9.07
14.72
(Referent)
(3.51, 5.63)
(7.12, 11.54)
(10.12, 21.42)
<.001
<.001
<.001
<.001
<.001
.005
1.00
1.71
2.06
2.70
2.95
4.23
2.03
2.64
1.87
0.74
(Referent)
(1.36, 2.16)
(1.61, 2.62)
(2.06, 3.54)
(2.16, 4.03)
(3.52, 5.08)
(1.60, 2.57)
(1.99, 3.50)
(1.43, 2.43)
(0.60, 0.91)
1,014 (37)
0.67 ± 0.21
8.4 ± 4.6
339 (42)
0.79 ± 0.13
11.9 ± 4.0
1,353 (38)
0.70 ± 0.20
9.2 ± 4.7
.013
<.001y
<.001y
1.22 (1.04, 1.43)
1.04 (1.03, 1.05)
1.19 (1.16, 1.21)
12 (6, 22)
2,317 (84)
17 (9, 33)
753 (93)
13 (7, 24)
3,070 (86)
.47z
<.001
1.01 (1.01, 1.02)
2.31 (1.75, 3.06)
*Died within 720 days of hospital discharge.
xMalnutrition data is available for 2,301 patients.
jjAcute kidney injury is a RIFLE (Risk, Injury, Failure, Loss, End-stage renal disease) class injury or failure, with data available for 3,113 patients.
{Acute organ failure score is a severity of illness risk-prediction score ranging from 030 points, with 30 being the highest risk for mortality.
Data presented as n (%) unless otherwise indicated. P values were determined by v2 except when determined by one-way analysis of variancey or by
Kruskal-Wallis test.z
OR, Odds ratio; CI, confidence interval; SD, standard deviation; ICSS, (ICD-9-CM) derived injury severity score; IQR, interquartile range.
The net reclassification improvement and integrated discrimination improvement suggest that
the addition of functional status results in a significant improvement in model performance. The relationships between functional status at hospital
discharge and mortality were magnified at 90 and
365 days postdischarge (Table IV). Furthermore,
the hazard ratio of mortality adjusted for sex,
ICISS, and the acute organ failure score in patients
with the lowest functional status category at hospital discharge was 3.58 (95% CI, 2.56–5.00) relative
to patients with independent functional status.
There was no effect modification of the functional status 720-day postdischarge mortality association on the basis of year of hospital admission,
hospital, packed red blood cells transfusions, need
for operation, or vasopressors/inotropes used
(P interaction $ .11 each). Effect modification is
present with age (P interaction <0.01). Crude allcause, 720-day postdischarge mortality rates were
10.2% and 37.4% in patients less than 65 years
and greater than 65 years, respectively. In patients
with the lowest functional status category at hospital discharge, the odds of 720-day postdischarge
mortality compared with patients with independent functional status was stronger in older adults
($65: adjusted OR 3.34 [95% CI, 1.72–6.50,
P < .001]) than in younger adults (<65: adjusted
OR 2.53 [95% CI 1.39–4.60, P = .002]).
In a subset of patients with physical function
assessed at the time of hospital discharge and at
least 1 week prior (n = 1,040), we studied the
change in functional status and postdischarge mortality. In a logistic regression model adjusted for
ARTICLE IN PRESS
Peetz et al 5
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Table II. Patient characteristics sorted by functional status risk category group
Category 1 (highest function)
N
Age, mean ± SD
Male, n (%)
Non-white race, n (%)
Deyo-Charlson index, n (%)
0–1
2–3
4–6
$7
Acute organ failure, n (%)
0
1
2
3
$4
Malignant neoplasm, n (%)
Malnutrition, n (%)z
Acute kidney injury, n (%)x
Sepsis, n (%)
Noncardiogenic acute
respiratory failure, n (%)
Vasopressors/inotropes, n (%)
ICISS, mean ± SD
Acute organ failure score,
mean ± SD
Operations, n (%)
Emergency general
operation, n (%)
365-day postdischarge
mortality, n (%)
720-day postdischarge
mortality, n (%)
1a (independent)
1b (less than
independent)
Category 2
Category 3
Category 4
(lowest function)
340
48.0 ± 17.3
244 (72)
89 (26)
319
50.5 ± 18.7
213 (67)
83 (26)
860
57.9 ± 19.0
551 (64)
184 (21)
824
65.2 ± 19.4
451 (55)
165 (20)
1,222
64.2 ± 19.9
682 (56)
274 (22)
208
84
42
6
(61)
(25)
(12)
(2)
179
90
43
7
(56)
(28)
(13)
(2)
371
271
188
30
(43)
(32)
(22)
(3)
308
279
202
35
(37)
(34)
(25)
(4)
416
415
318
73
(34)
(34)
(26)
(6)
150
104
49
20
17
49
25
17
20
54
(44)
(31)
(14)
(6)
(5)
(14)
(10)
(5)
(6)
(16)
119
101
57
27
15
47
26
14
10
45
(37)
(32)
(18)
(8)
(5)
(15)
(12)
(5)
(3)
(14)
260
276
173
94
57
167
90
53
54
145
(30)
(32)
(20)
(11)
(7)
(19)
(16)
(7)
(6)
(17)
210
271
190
93
60
162
102
55
62
130
(25)
(33)
(23)
(11)
(7)
(20)
(20)
(8)
(8)
(16)
215
355
323
212
117
191
176
93
128
293
(18)
(29)
(26)
(17)
(10)
(16)
(23)
(9)
(10)
(24)
P value
<.001*
<.001
.079
<.001
<.001
.019
<.001
.015
<.001
<.001
108 (32)
0.71 ± 0.18
6.8 ± 4.0
98 (31)
0.70 ± 0.18
7.6 ± 4.3
302 (35)
0.72 ± 0.18
8.9 ± 4.4
303 (37)
0.71 ± 0.19
9.8 ± 4.8
542 (44)
0.67 ± 0.23
10.2 ± 4.8
<.001
<.001*
<.001*
177 (52)
73 (22)
160 (50)
57 (18)
428 (50)
207 (24)
436 (53)
203 (25)
788 (65)
571 (47)
<.001
<.001
16 (5)
25 (8)
105 (12)
169 (21)
309 (25)
<.001
28 (8)
31 (10)
155 (18)
221 (27)
379 (31)
<.001
zMalnutrition data is available for 2,301 patients.
xAcute kidney injury is RIFLE (Risk, Injury, Failure, Loss, End-stage renal disease) class injury or failure, with data available for 3,133 patients.
Data presented as n (%) unless otherwise indicated. P value was determined by v2 except when determined by one-way analysis of variance*
SD, Standard deviation; ICISS, (ICD-9-CM) derived injury severity score.
sex, ICISS, initial functional status, and the acute
organ failure score, the highest quartile of functional status improvement at hospital discharge
was associated with a 52% decrease in the odds
of 720-day postdischarge mortality (adjusted OR
0.48 [95% CI, 0.30–0.75, P < .001]) compared
with patients without a change in functional status
prior to discharge.
DISCUSSION
Our study aimed to determine whether a
decrease in functional status was associated with
decreased mortality in critically ill trauma patients.
In both adjusted and unadjusted analyses, we
found an increase in the odds of 720-day
postdischarge mortality relative to a decrease in
functional status directly determined by a physical
therapist at hospital discharge. This association
seems to be stronger in patients $65 years. Patients with improvement in functional status prior
to discharge seem to have improvement in 720-day
postdischarge mortality. Because our study is
observational and not interventional, however, a
causal relationship between change in functional
status and outcomes after trauma cannot be
inferred from these data alone.
Decreased long-term functional status is common in ICU survivors.39 Patients with functional
disability in basic, instrumental, and mobility activities prior to an ICU stay are at high risk for 1-year
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6 Peetz et al
Surgery
j 2016
Table III. Patient characteristics of cohort by
nature and body region of injury
Alive
Dead*
Total
N = 2,751 N = 814 N = 3,565
Body region of injury, n (%)
Extremities, n (%)
509
Head and neck, n (%) 610
Type 1 TBI, n (%)
514
Spine and
251
back, n (%)
Torso, n (%)
354
Unclassifiable by
1,027
site, n (%)
(19)
(22)
(19)
(9)
117
191
162
29
(14)
(23)
(20)
(4)
626
801
676
280
(18)
(22)
(19)
(8)
(13) 63 (8)
417 (12)
(37) 414 (51) 1,441 (40)
*Died within 720 days of hospital discharge.
Note: Type 1 TBI are a subset of the head and neck and are present if
there is recorded evidence of an intracranial injury, a moderate or a prolonged loss of consciousness, or injuries to the optic nerve pathways.
Data are presented as n (%) unless otherwise indicated.
TBI, Traumatic brain injury.
Fig. Time-to-Event curves for mortality Unadjusted allcause post-discharge mortality rates were calculated
with the use of the Kaplan-Meier methods and compared
with the use of the log-rank test. Categorization of risk
groups is per the primary analysis. The global comparison log rank p value is <0.001.
mortality.40 Even in healthy subjects, atrophy of
skeletal muscle is shown to occur with more than
3 days of immobilization.41 With prolonged immobility, such as bed rest, greater losses of strength
and muscle mass are demonstrated in older
compared with younger adults.42 Decreased
strength and loss of muscle mass is common in critical illness.43-46
There is little information regarding long-term
outcomes for trauma ICU survivors.47-49 Multiorgan failure in the critically ill trauma patient is
associated with long-term increases in mortality
and decreased functional status as determined by
the Karnofsky Index and Glasgow Outcome
Score.49 There has been a growing focus on
increasing mobility in ICU patients, which improves short-term outcomes, such as delirium,
ventilator-free days, physical function, peripheral
and respiratory muscle strength, and duration of
hospital and ICU stay.7-9,50 While studies suggest
that functional status may be modifiable in the
ICU, limited information exists in trauma ICU survivors regarding the improvement in functional
status and outcomes after hospital discharge. We
demonstrated an association between improvement in functional status and long-term outcomes
in critically ill trauma patients. It remains to be
seen if this association is due to unmeasured host
factors, the physical therapy itself, or a
combination.
The present study has all the inherent limitations of a retrospective study. Because our study is
observational, causality is limited. Selection bias
may exist, as the patient cohort under study had
functional status determined at discharge most
likely for rehabilitation placement. These issues
may decrease the generalizability of our results to
all trauma patients. Reliance on ICD-9 codes to
determine the Deyo-Charlson Index, ICISS, and
diagnosis of sepsis, and acute respiratory failure
does not measure the true incidence, which is
likely greater. Though not the gold standard, ICISS
is comparable to the ISS alone as a predictor of survival.29,51 Furthermore, due to lack of physiologic
and hemodynamic data in our dataset, we were unable to use a physiologic-based acuity of illness
scores; however, for severity of illness adjustment,
we used the acute organ failure score, a validated
ICU risk-prediction score with similar discrimination for mortality as APACHE II.35 Although we
adjusted for multiple potential confounders, there
might be residual confounding of unmeasured variables, leading to observed differences in outcomes. Due to limitations of the dataset, we
cannot determine with precision what treatment
modality may have led to improvement in the functional status. Important information on duration
of stay for rehabilitation or functional status at
discharge from rehabilitation is not available in
our study. Therefore, our data do not address the
importance of functional status and quality of life
after a rehabilitation stay. Such outcomes are likely
more important to ICU survivors and to society
than functional status at hospital discharge. Our
study does, however, highlight the importance of
optimizing functional status of trauma patients
even prior to hospital discharge.
The present study has several strengths and is
unique in that it investigates the effect of functional status measured directly at hospital
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Peetz et al 7
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Volume j, Number j
Table IV. Unadjusted and adjusted associations between functional status and postdischarge mortality in
trauma patients
Category 1a
(independent)
Category 1b (less
than independent)
Category 2
Category 3
Category 4 (lowest
function)
OR (95% CI)
P value
OR (95% CI)
P value
OR (95% CI)
P value
OR (95% CI)
P value
OR (95% CI)
P value
1.28 (0.39, 4.25)
.68
1.20 (0.36, 4.01)
.76
3.61 (1.42, 9.19)
.007
2.84 (1.11, 7.27)
.03
7.40 (2.97, 18.43)
<.001
5.51 (2.19, 13.85)
<.001
1.61 (4.32, 26.03)
<.001
8.26 (3.33, 2.5)
<.001
1.72 (0.90, 3.29)
.10
1.62 (0.84, 3.13)
.15
2.82 (1.64, 4.84)
<.001
2.19 (1.26, 3.81)
.005
5.23 (3.08, 8.87)
<.001
3.92 (2.28, 6.75)
<.001
6.85 (4.08, 11.51)
<.001
5.49 (3.22, 9.35)
<.001
1.20 (0.70, 2.05)
.51
1.11 (0.64, 1.93)
.71
2.45 (1.60, 3.74)
<.001
1.90 (1.23, 2.94)
.004
4.08 (2.69, 6.19)
<.001
3.08 (1.99, 4.75)
<.001
5.01 (3.34, 7.51)
<.001
4.06 (2.65, 6.20)
<.001
90-day mortality
Crude
1.00 (Referent)*
Adjustedy
1.00 (Referent)*
365-day mortality
Crude
1.00 (Referent)*
Adjustedy
1.00 (Referent)*
720-day mortality
Crude
1.00 (Referent)*
Adjustedy
1.00 (Referent)*
*Referent in each case is independent functional status.
yEstimates adjusted for the acute organ failure score, sex, and injury severity score.
OR, Odds ratio; CI, confidence interval.
discharge on long-term mortality in survivors of
trauma critical care. The current study has ample
statistical power to detect a clinically relevant
difference in 720-day postdischarge mortality if
one exists. In determining the ICISS, we included
deaths that occurred outside hospital (as many as
30 days after ICU admission), which likely improve
the accuracy of the resulting severity estimates.52
We used previously validated approaches to define
Functional Independence Measure mobility subscales, Deyo-Charlson index, intensive care unit
admission, sepsis, acute kidney injury, noncardiogenic acute respiratory failure, and the acute
organ failure score.19-22,24,25,35 Although we do not
have data on cause of death, determination of allcause mortality was based on the Death Master File
of the Social Security Administration and validated
in the administrative dataset.21
Our study shows that in trauma patients, functional status is an important driver of adverse
outcomes after hospital discharge. Trauma patients with improvement in their functional status
prior to hospital discharge had better outcomes.
Our data underscore the fact that high-risk patients with low physical function can be identified
at hospital discharge. To modify potentially longterm outcomes in such high-risk patients, we
suggest implementation of targeted practices,
such as prioritizing admission to higher-level
rehabilitation centers, more extensive follow-up
in multispecialty ICU survivor clinics, longitudinal
nutritional supplementation, and longer-term
physical therapy interventions.53
This article is dedicated to the memory of our dear
friend and colleague Nathan Edward Hellman, MD,
PhD. We thank Shawn Murphy, MD, PhD, and Henry
Chueh, MD, and the Partners HealthCare Research
Patient Data Registry group for facilitating use of their
database. Kenneth B. Christopher, MD, SM, had full
access to all the data in the study and takes responsibility
for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data
analysis.
SUPPLEMENTARY DATA
Supplementary data related to this article can be found
at http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.surg.2016.04.015.
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