Ecological Economics 23 (1997) 25 – 43
ANALYSIS
Incentives, precision technology and environmental protection
Madhu Khanna a,*, David Zilberman 1,b
a
Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, Uni6ersity of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign, 431, Mumford Hall 1301,
W. Gregory Dri6e, Urbana, IL 61801, USA
b
Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Uni6ersity of California, Berkeley, 207, Giannini Hall, Berkeley,
CA 94720, USA
Received 18 May 1996; accepted 16 October 1996
Abstract
This paper calls for a reevaluation of the pollution problem in order to devise efficient strategies for its control. It
contends that a fundamental cause of pollution is inefficiency in input-use during the production process. This
inefficiency manifests itself as input-waste and polluting residues. Precision technologies can increase the effectiveness
of inputs used in production and reduce pollution generation. Despite their potential economic and ecological
benefits, adoption of precision technologies has been slow. This paper presents a conceptual framework to identify
and analyze the specific factors that affect their diffusion among microunits. These include various heterogeneous
characteristics of microunits, prices which do not reflect the relevant scarcities due to distortionary regulatory policies
and lack of institutional mechanisms for efficient allocation of inputs and outputs. It rationalizes the observed
variations in the appropriate choice of technology across microunits and argues for the need to broaden the range of
incentive-based instruments for environmental protection beyond pollution taxes. © 1997 Elsevier Science B.V.
Keywords: Environmental policy; Heterogeneity; Policy distortions; Precision; Technology adoption
1. Introduction
* Corresponding author. Tel.: + 1 217 3335176; fax: +1
217 3335502; e-mail: khanna1@uiuc.edu
1
Tel.: + 1 510 6426570; fax: + 1 510 6438911; e-mail:
zilberman@are.berkeley.edu.
There is a widespread belief that modern technologies of production with their heavy reliance
on fossil fuels and chemical inputs are inherently
polluting. Strategies suggested for environmental
protection therefore include reduction in the use
0921-8009/97/$17.00 © 1997 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.
PII S 0 9 2 1 - 8 0 0 9 ( 9 6 ) 0 0 5 5 3 - 8
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M. Khanna, D. Zilberman / Ecological Economics 23 (1997) 25–43
of these inputs and in production levels, a return
to natural or biological inputs, use of ‘alternative
(low-input) agricultural practices’, and a shift
away from corporate farms to small scale family
farms (Mishan, 1993; National Research Council,
1989; Batie, 1988; Buttel et al., 1981).
This paper argues that these strategies do not
fully address the root cause of the problem. The
inherent cause of pollution is not modern technology, levels of input-use or production per se.
Instead, a fundamental cause of pollution is inefficiency in the utilization of inputs in the production process. Input-waste manifests itself as
residuals due to the law of materials balance. This
law states that the mass of all material inputs
from the environment (energy and raw materials)
to the economy must equal the mass of final
products plus the mass of residuals discharged to
the environment minus the mass of materials recycled (Ayres and Kneese, 1969). Residuals from
inputs such as irrigation water, pesticides, fertilizers and fossil fuels are a major cause of environmental problems like mineralization and
salinization of soil, chemical contamination of
ground and surface water, and accumulation of
greenhouse gases.
Agronomic and engineering research shows that
there exists a tremendous range of proven alternative technologies in agricultural, industrial, and
energy production processes that have the potential to reduce pollution at source by increasing the
efficiency of input-use. Efficiency of input-use is
defined as the ratio of the input effectively utilized
in production (or converted into output) to the
input that is applied to the production process.
We refer to these technologies as ‘precision technologies’. In agriculture, these technologies include low drift spraying equipment for pesticides
and herbicides, monitored and timed applications
of fertilizers together with soil nitrate tests, and
drip/sprinkler irrigation. In the other sectors these
technologies include fluidized bed processors for
electricity generation, high efficiency air classifiers
for cement manufacture, targeted paint spraying
techniques for metals and wood and fuel-efficient
appliances and automobiles. All these technologies apply inputs more precisely to the production
process, thereby increasing the efficiency of input-
use and reducing input-waste and pollution per
unit input at source. These technologies also have
the potential to alter the link between pollution
and output. Controlling pollution at source
through their adoption is likely to be more costeffective than abating it after it is discharged,
using equipment that only adds to costs and does
not increase input-productivity (Guinn, 1994;
Porter and van der Linde, 1995a,b).
Although these technologies have the potential
to provide both economic and ecological pay-offs,
their adoption has been paradoxically slow. Older
technologies with lower efficiency, which we now
refer to as traditional technologies, continue to be
used. Does this imply that microunits (microunit
is defined as the smallest producing unit that can
be managed independently and has homogeneous
production characteristics) that continue to use
traditional technologies are irrational? Are there
$10 bills waiting to be picked up? Porter and van
der Linde (1995a,b) and Ayres and Walters (1991)
suggest that lack of awareness among microunits
about the costs of inefficiency and about these
technologies results in non-adoption of profitable
and environmentally friendly technologies.
This paper argues that even when profit-maximizing microunits have complete information
about alternative technologies, it may be rational
for some of them not to adopt these technologies.
This could occur for two reasons: (1) microunits
are heterogeneous and the gains from adoption as
well as the costs of adoption, in the form of
investment in human and physical capital, vary
across them; and (2) existing market imperfections
reduce the incremental benefit of adoption of
precision technologies. These imperfections include distortions in related input and output markets, institutional barriers to efficient allocation of
inputs, input prices that do not reflect their true
scarcity values, and lack of penalties for residual
generation.
In order to provide insight into the technical
and behavioral factors that influence the adoption
of precision technologies, this paper presents a
conceptual framework that juxtaposes discrete
technology choice and common attributes of a
broad range of precision technologies with a behavioral economic model. This generic framework
M. Khanna, D. Zilberman / Ecological Economics 23 (1997) 25–43
recognizes both the heterogeneity among microunits in an industry and the inherent bio-physical
linkages between production techniques, and input-use and pollution. It generalizes the models
developed to analyze policies for controlling pollution from two specific but diverse production
processes, namely irrigated crop production and
electricity generation (Dinar and Zilberman
(1991), Caswell et al. (1990), and Dinar et al.
(1992), analyze irrigation technology choice and
its implications for drainage problems in California. Khanna (1995) analyzes the impact of adoption of clean coal on greenhouse gas emissions
from electricity generation in India). This framework is valid for analyzing choices for precision
technologies in numerous other production processes where inefficiency in input-use is the underlying cause of pollution. It abstracts from the
details of specific production and pollution processes and focuses on the structure of the production process and on the linkages between
production and waste generation based on scientific knowledge. This framework draws on the
work on residual management by Ayres and
Kneese (1969), but focuses on source reduction of
residuals through technology adoption. It also
extends the threshold model of adoption (David,
1975) and its application to irrigation technology
choice (Caswell and Zilberman, 1986) to examine
adoption of a broad range of precision technologies and its implications for environmental policy.
This framework rationalizes the observed variations in choice of appropriate technology across
microunits by bringing forth the various sources
of heterogeneity among them and ways in which
they affect the incentives to adopt precision technologies. Although adoption invariably reduces
the input-output and pollution-output ratios, this
framework shows that it may not lead to reductions in input-use or pollution in all cases. As a
result, imposition of a pollution tax may not
invariably increase the diffusion of these technologies in an industry. However, incentive-based environmental policies that allow flexibility in
technology choice among heterogeneous microunits are likely to be more efficient for controlling
pollution than mandated adoption of precision
technologies, particularly when the costs of adop-
27
tion are high. Further, our analysis brings forth
the need to broaden the range of incentive-based
policy instruments beyond those aimed directly at
pollution. It argues that these instruments should
also include elimination of other market imperfections which prevent economically sound resource
management. By pricing inputs, outputs, and pollution to reflect the relevant scarcities and costs,
such policies can harness technological progress
to protect the environment.
2. Literature review
Much of the existing research in the environmental policy literature ignores the physical and
biological linkages between production and pollution and the potential for altering these linkages
through discrete technological alternatives
(Helfand and House, 1995; Kohn, 1993; Kohn
(1988); Helfand, 1992; Baumol and Oates, 1988;
Dewees, 1983 (Kohn (1988) shows that abatement
may increase the scale of production of a firm in
long run competitive equilibrium. However, because abatement raises average and marginal costs
of production and thus the equilibrium output
price, it must reduce aggregate output). Unlike
this paper, these studies assume identical firms
and focus on abatement of pollution either after it
is generated or through input substitutions that
involve movements along the existing marginal
productivity curve of a polluting input and not an
outward shift in it. As a result, they invariably
show that incentive-based environmental policies
lead to a reduction in production levels. In contrast to Milliman and Prince (1989) and Downing
and White (1986) (these studies compare the incentives provided by alternative environmental
policies for innovation/adoption of technologies
that reduce marginal cost of abatement among
identical firms), this paper shows that the
availability of these technologies could induce
their adoption and reduce emissions even in the
absence of any environmental policy. Unlike their
analysis, this paper also shows that an emissions
tax may not always provide incentives for adoption. The impact of such a tax on adoption rates
in an industry depends upon the distribution of
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M. Khanna, D. Zilberman / Ecological Economics 23 (1997) 25–43
heterogeneous characteristics of microunits in the
industry and on the technical attributes of the
precision technology.
Several studies have emphasized asymmetric information between regulators and polluters and
uncertainty about discharges, particularly in the
case of nonpoint pollution sources. Hansen
(1995), Xepapadeas (1991), and Segerson (1988)
design policies to control pollution based on measurable ambient pollutant levels while Smith and
Tsur (1995), Laffont (1994) and Dasgupta et al.
(1980) design mechanisms to induce firms to reveal their true type (pollution) to the regulator.
This literature treats pollution primarily as a behavioral problem and under-emphasizes heterogeneity and the possibility of discrete
technological alternatives that affect the linkages
between production and pollution. Information
about the characteristics of heterogeneous microunits and their efficiency of input-use is increasingly being made available through
mechanisms such as geographical information systems (GIS), global positioning system (GPS) and
computerized systems that track performance of
equipment and flow of inputs in a manufacturing
facility. This paper, therefore, suggests that this
information about microunits together with observations on their technology choice and inputuse can be used to infer the extent and sources of
pollution and to design efficient environmental
policies.
3. Examples of proven precision technologies
This section discusses examples of precision
technologies (summarized in Table 1) from a variety of production processes that appear to be very
diverse. It brings forth the attributes that are
common to all of them and that infuse these
technologies with the potential for reducing pollution at source. These common attributes include
an ability to increase efficiency of input-use by
improving application of inputs in the production
process while reducing residuals per unit input.
These technologies also have the potential to increase input-productivity levels above and beyond
those achieved through increased input-use effec-
tiveness in both agricultural and industrial production
processes.
In
agriculture,
these
technologies avoid deficiencies and excesses in
input application and reduce biological stress on
crops, resulting in a synergistic impact on their
yields larger than simply due to more efficient
input-use (Wallace and Wallace, 1993). Their
adoption also results in improvements in production conditions and in maintenance of industrial
equipment that reduces wear and tear and shutdown time of equipment (Porter and van der
Linde, 1995a).
The adoption of precision technologies does not
necessarily require radical changes in production
processes. In many cases these technologies can be
adopted in the short or medium run with small
investments in capital. A study on US chemical
plants found that 80% of the projects implemented by them to reduce pollution at source
involved simple technological changes and 25%
required no capital investment (INFORM, 1992).
However, the requirement for higher human capital skills, improved monitoring and maintenance
of the production process, higher quality inputs
and capital equipment that accompanies the
adoption of many precision technologies is likely
to raise the fixed costs of production and application costs per unit input. Sustained improvements
in efficiency are likely to require further investments in R and D and in advanced equipment in
the long run.
Modern irrigation methods, such as drip irrigation, are an example of precision technologies.
They apply water more accurately and at appropriate times, thereby increasing the percentage of
applied water which is effectively used by crops
from 60 to 95%. This reduces run-off from 23 to
1% and deep percolation from 18 to 4% (Hanemann et al., 1987). In contrast, gravity-based irrigation can cause severe problems of waterlogging
and salinity of groundwater due to run-off and
deep percolation of excess water (Dinar et al.,
1992). It is also responsible for more than 40% of
nitrogen runoff and 50% of nitrogen leaching in
high plain regions (Wu et al., 1994). Laser-controlled leveling of fields also improves water distribution and water intake, and increases crop
yields by 8 – 22%.
Table 1
Examples of precision technologies for source reduction of pollution
Input/source
Industry
Source of heterogeneity
Improved technology
Salts/minerals
Residue of irrigation
Agriculture
Water holding capacity of soil
Nitrates
Residue of chemical fertilizers
Agriculture
Plant health, soil quality
Chemicals of pesticides
Residue of pesticide
Agriculture
Carbon-dioxide
Coal combustion
Electricity generation;
cement; steel
Weather, wind, and land
quality
Vintage and age of capital;
quality of management
Carbon-dioxide
Electricity/heat from fossil fuel Households
combustion
Sulfur-dioxide
Coal combustion
Acetylene
Calcium carbide
Volatile organic compounds
Solvent-based paints
Hydrocarbon halogens, acetic
acid, phosphates
Dyes
Textile
Operating and maintenance
practices
Chromium III
Chromium sulfate
Leather tanning
Operating and maintenance
practices
Carbon monoxide, VOC
Gasoline
Automobiles
Age, maintenance practices
Drip or sprinkler irrigation
instead of furrow irrigation
More accurate timing and
application; pre-plant and spring
nitrate tests
IPM; ground application instead
of aerial spray
Washed coal; natural gas or coal
gas. Dry process and high
efficiency air classifiers for
cement; high quality coal or
electric furnaces for steel.
Energy-efficient appliances,
improved ceiling and wall
insulation.
Washed coal; low sulfur coal;
natural gas.
Calcium carbide with finer
particles
Use of high-volume low pressure
spraying of paint;
powder-coating and
electrodeposition, water-based
solvent.
Alternative chemicals (Remazol
or Procion); alternative dyeing
processes (spraying, pad-batch
dyeing, application through foam
media)
Synektan Tal, a non-chrome
tanning agent;Baychrome high
exhaust/intake process.
Ultra light fuel efficient vehicles,
electric vehicles
Education, income, age of
buildings.
Electricity generation
Vintage of capital; quality of
management
Ductile iron
Design of equipment and
operating practices
Wood furniture fabricated Operating and maintenance
metal products
practices
M. Khanna, D. Zilberman / Ecological Economics 23 (1997) 25–43
Pollutant
29
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M. Khanna, D. Zilberman / Ecological Economics 23 (1997) 25–43
In the US about two-thirds of all insecticides
and fungicides are applied aerially and only 25%
of them reach the target area. The amount of
insecticide reaching the target area can be increased to 50% through use of ultra low volume
equipment on aircraft and to 75% through the use
of ground application equipment. Improved techniques for rotation and tillage further reduce insecticide use by 6% (Pimentel and Lehman, 1993;
National Research Council, 1989). Improved lowdrift nozzles and ‘air assisted’ application technologies can significantly reduce pesticide drift
and achieve greater surface area coverage per unit
of applied pesticide. Similarly, by using field
scouts to measure insect pressure, integrated pest
management improves the accuracy and timing
with which insecticides are applied. This increases
yield and reduces pesticide use (Ferguson et al.,
1993; Thomas et al., 1990).
Spatial variability in soil characteristics can be
addressed by using soil testing to guide precision
nutrient management. Pre-plant soil nitrate tests
(Schmitt and Randall, 1994), late-spring and
other nitrate tests for soil (Babcock and Blackmer, 1992; Musser et al., 1995) can significantly
reduce applied nitrogen while having a positive
impact on yields and profits. Nitrogen testing of
soils in Nebraska can reduce nitrogen use by
18– 27% without reducing yields (Fuglie and
Bosch, 1995). Variable rate technologies that adjust fertilizer applications in response to spatial
variations in a field and allow more timely, precise
and judicious use of fertilizers, increase the efficiency of fertilizer use and reduce nitrate losses
(Sawyer, 1994; Blackmore, 1994).
Similar benefits of precision technologies have
been documented in many other production processes. Conversion of energy from fossil fuels into
electricity generates residuals such as carbon and
sulfur dioxides (the combustion of fossil fuels
combines oxygen from the atmosphere with hydrogen and carbon in the fossil fuel to form
residuals such as water, carbon and sulfur dioxides). The conventional coal technology for electricity generation converts a maximum of 35% of
the heat energy of coal into electrical energy.
Generally, this conversion efficiency is much
lower due to use of low quality (high ash) coal,
aging plants, and poor operating practices. Use of
a pre-combustion technology to wash coal removes extraneous materials such as ash and improves the precision with which carbon is applied
for electricity generation. Washing reduces the ash
content of coal from 23.5 to 3.5% and its sulfur
content by 13– 35%. It also increases the heating
value per ton of washed coal, improves the efficiency of electricity generation, and reduces carbon and sulfur emissions per kW h (EPRI, 1988).
It also reduces wear and tear of equipment and
decreases shutdown periods of the plant for
maintenance, thus increasing the productive capacity effectively available for electricity generation. In the long run, conversion efficiency can be
further increased by using fluidized-bed processors and advanced coal gasification technologies.
Precision technologies also increase efficiency of
input-use in cement and steel manufacture. In the
case of steel, high quality coal reduces the coke
rate (the quantity of coke needed per ton of hot
metal output) by 23%, increases productivity of
the furnace by 28% and reduces carbon emissions
(Mongia et al., 1994). Production of cement with
a dry instead of a wet process, together with use
of high quality coal, reduces coal/ton of cement
by 19.6% and generates 7% less CO2/ton of cement. Further, a high efficiency air classifier reduces electricity consumption in cement
production (kWh/ton of cement) by 24– 30%. It
increases productivity of electricity by increasing
the production rate of cement (tons/hour) by 80–
100% and decreases CO2/ton of cement (Cienski
and Doyle, 1992).
Residue of calcium carbide used for the production of ductile iron generates a pollutant,
acetylene. Using calcium-carbide with finer particle size, instead of the regular carbide, increases
carbide-use efficiency from 28 to 39% and reduces
carbide residue from 10.4 to 0.65% (Barker,
1992). In the fabricated metals product and the
wood furniture industries, use of improved spraying processes and alternate materials instead of
conventional methods of applying solvent-based
paints using hand-held spray guns or electrostatic
spray methods increases transfer efficiency of
paint from 30– 80% to 95– 100%. This reduces use
of materials and wastewater and eliminates emis-
M. Khanna, D. Zilberman / Ecological Economics 23 (1997) 25–43
sions of volatile organic compounds (VOC)
(Denny et al., 1995; Heltzer, 1995). In the textile
industry, use of alternative chemicals, such as
Remazol and Procion, and cleaner technologies,
such as pad patch dyeing, increase fixation efficiencies of the dye to the fabric to 95– 98% and
reduce use of auxiliary chemicals, water, and energy per unit output and reduce generation of
toxic waste-water (Snowden-Swan, 1995). In the
leather tanning industry, chromium III effluents
can be reduced by up to 95% through the Baychrome process and supplemental use of Synektan
Tal, a non-chrome tanning agent. They reduce
chrome requirement and increase chrome intake
efficiency (Alexander and Donahue, 1990).
Several technologies that increase efficiency of
consumption of energy in buildings, appliances,
and transportation are also available. Improving
insulation to reduce heat loss in buildings, using
task lighting and high efficiency fluorescent lamps,
using ultra-light hybrid automobiles (with fuel
efficiency greater than 80 miles per gallon) can aid
the conservation of resources and protect the
environment (Lovins and Lovins, 1995; NorbergBohm, 1990).
These technologies, though seemingly unrelated, share common attributes that increase efficiency of input application and reduce pollution
per unit input. We now present a model for
analyzing the choice for these technologies that
incorporates these attributes in a stylized manner.
4. The micro-level decision model
Consider a production process that requires a
variable input and a fixed asset (for example, land
or machinery). For simplicity, we assume that
microunits have a choice of two technologies,
i =1, 2 where i= 1 is the traditional and i= 2 is
the precision technology. A distinction is made
between the amount of applied input, and the
amount of effective input only a part of the
applied input with technology i, ai, is used effectively in the production process, ei, and a multiplicative relationship is assumed between the two
(Caswell and Zilberman, 1986):
ei =hi (a)ai ;
h %i \0 and h ¦i
31
(1)
where hi (a) is a measure of efficiency of input-use
and depends upon technology i and on a, an
index of the physical conditions under which production occurs. The index a includes variables
such as quality of the fixed asset, weather, managerial ability, and structure of ownership of the
fixed asset. Index a is scaled to range between 0
and 1 and varies across microunits. It is also
reasonable to assume that the efficiency of inputuse increases as the physical conditions of production, a, improve, but at a decreasing rate.
We assume a constant returns to scale production technology with output per unit asset, yi,
being a function of effective input per unit asset
and technology choice:
yi =f(e,i );
fe \0, fee B 0
(2)
More specifically, the production function is
specified as:
yi =f(bi hi (a)ai )
(3)
with fa \ 0, faa B0 and bi representing an index of
the productivity of the effective input. This production function can be adapted to represent alternative production processes. In representing
the crop-water production technology, Caswell et
al. (1990) assume bi = 1 for all i, while Dinar et al.
(1992) postulate: yi = f(h(a, i, a, c), i, c), where a
denotes land quality or soil/water salinity, and c
denotes weather/temperature. It can also be interpreted as a household production function and
used to model output produced by automobiles or
appliances with varying energy efficiencies. This
function can be further modified to represent
production processes with putty-clay technologies
(Johansen, 1972) as for cement and electricity in
the short run (Sterner, 1990; Khanna, 1995) and
the linear-plateau model for crop production using irrigation water (Letey et al., 1985) or nitrogen (Berck and Helfand, 1990). In both these
cases, the production function can be specified as:
yi =bi hi (a)ai for yi 5ȳi.
Following the law of material balances, the
amount of residuals generated is directly related
to the amount of input-waste produced and thus
inversely related to the effectiveness with which an
M. Khanna, D. Zilberman / Ecological Economics 23 (1997) 25–43
32
input is used. The link between residuals and
input-use varies not only with technology, but
also with the heterogeneous conditions under
which production takes place and which are captured by a. We hypothesize the pollution coefficient of an input with technology i, gi, to be an
inverse function of the prouction condition, a.
Pollution per unit asset with technology i is expressed as a linear function of applied input use:
zi =gi (a)ai ;
g %(a)B
0
i
(4)
In the limiting case, all of the input wasted may
become a polluting residual and gi =[1− hi ].
4.1. Technical features of alternati6e technologies
Based on common characteristics of a broad
range of precision technologies, drawn from the
examples discussed above, we assume that a precision technology has three technical effects. First,
it increases efficiency of input-use applying inputs
more precisely, in terms of quantity, quality, and
timing to the production process. This implies:
h2(a) \h1(a) for 0B a B1
(5)
This is the precision-effect of the precision technology which reduces the input-output ratio.
Secondly, a precision technology has a direct
effect on output that is over and above the increase caused by the precision effect. By improving the production conditions under which a given
amount of effective input is used, it further raises
the marginal productivity of the effective input.
This effect of precision depends only on technology choice and is independent of the existing
efficiency of a unit (or proportion of applied input
that is effectively used). Thus:
b2 \ b1 = 1 for all a
(6)
We refer to this as the productivity-effect of the
precision technology.
Thirdly, the adoption of a precision technology
reduces the generation of pollution (waste) per
unit of applied input. Thus, for any given a,
g2 Bg1 and we refer to this as the pollution-effect
of a precision technology.
4.2. Costs of alternati6e technologies
Microunits are assumed to be price-taking units
both in the input and the output markets. Because
the precision technology is embodied in a higher
quality variable input (e.g. in higher quality of
coal or irrigation water with low salinity) or because its application is more skill or time intensive
(e.g. pest scouting) or requires professionals, the
price per unit of input applied with a precision
technology is assumed to be higher than the price
per unit input applied with a traditional technology. Thus we assume that w2 \w1.
The annualized fixed cost per unit asset is denoted by ki. Adoption of a precision technology
may require fixed investment in the form of modifications to the input application equipment and,
thus, k2 \ k1 ]0. Both fixed and variable input
prices may vary across microunits due to differences in location of the microunit relative to
source of the input (location of a power plant
relative to the sources of coal, depth of the well
from which groundwater is drawn for irrigation)
and differences in the discount rates used for
annualizing the fixed costs.
4.3. The adoption decision
Microunits choose the technology and level of
input-use that maximizes their quasi-rents per unit
asset by undertaking a two-stage decision-making
process. In the first stage, a microunit chooses the
optimal level of input-use per unit asset with both
technologies by:
Max Pi (a) =Pf(bi hi (a)ai ) −wi ai −ki ;
i= 1, 2
(7)
The optimal a *i with each of the technologies is
determined such that its value of marginal
product is equal to its application cost:
Pf %bi hi −wi =0
(8)
In the second stage, a microunit determines the
maximum profits, Pi*, per unit asset with each
technology and chooses technology 2 if:
P*(a)
P*(a)]
2
1
(9)
M. Khanna, D. Zilberman / Ecological Economics 23 (1997) 25–43
The quasi-rent differential between the two
technologies can be represented as:
P*−
P*=
DP* =PDy −w2Da −a1(Dw) −Dk
2
1
(10)
where Dx= x2 −x1 for x =y, a, w, k.
A precision technology always decreases applied input-use per unit output, but its adoption
affects applied input-use per unit asset in two
opposing ways —it increases efficiency of the applied input and its per unit price. When the
existing efficiency of applied input-use is high,
the gain in efficiency with adoption is lower
than otherwise. The benefits of increasing applied input-use with adoption can then be more
than offset by the higher cost of applied input
and thus the net effect is a reduction in applied
input-use. However, due to the positive precision and productivity effects, it can be shown
that adoption always leads to an increase in effective input-use per unit asset and thus it increases output per unit asset.
The effect of adoption on pollution generated
per unit acre is: Dz =a1(g2 − g1)+g1 (a2 −a1).
Adoption is pollution-saving if it lowers applied
input-use or when the reduction in pollution due
to the pollution-effect, a1(g2 −g1)B 0, is larger
than the increase in pollution due to increased
input-use (g1 (a2 − a1)). Even when adoption increases applied input-input-use, it may reduce
pollution per unit acre if the pollution-effect is
sufficiently large. Although adoption may increase pollution per unit asset, the percentage
increase in pollution is always less than the percentage increase in output and thus adoption
reduces the pollution-output ratio (proofs of all
these statements are in Khanna (1995) and can
be obtained from the authors).
The technical characteristics of a precision
technology (precision, productivity, and pollution-effects) interact with the existing a of a microunit to influence changes in its profit
maximizing levels of input-use, output, and pollution per acre with adoption. The sign and
magnitude of the profit differential in Eq. (10)
depends upon the signs and magnitudes of the
following effects of technology adoption: (a) the
output-increasing effect, Dy(\ 0); (b) the input-
33
saving effect, Da ( -0); (c) the input application
cost effect Dw( \0); and (d) the fixed cost effect, Dk(\ 0). The magnitude of the first two
effects is determined by the characteristics of the
technology such as the magnitudes of the precision and the productivity-effects as well as the
input and output prices and the production conditions (a) within which it is to be adopted. The
positive differential in input application costs
per unit input and in the fixed costs per unit
asset reduce incentives to adopt precision technologies.
The choice of technology, thus, involves a
trade-off between the benefits of adoption in the
form of input savings and higher revenues, and
higher application and fixed costs per unit asset.
This trade-off varies across microunits due to
differences in the input prices they may face and
because the impact of adoption on input-use
and output depends upon the existing a of a
microunit. It can be shown that when the precision-effect of these technologies is large, microunits facing the same input prices but with
relatively low a (adverse physical conditions) are
likely to adopt precision technologies. When the
precision-effect is low, but the productivity-effect
is strong, adoption is more likely among microunits with high a.
This analysis brings forth two key points.
One, the introduction of a precision technology
in an industry, where it was previously not
available, could create voluntary incentives for
its adoption, even in the absence of any environmental policy, if the profit differential in Eq.
(10) is positive. When a precision technology is
pollution reducing, its availability could simultaneously lead to increased profits and lower pollution for the adopting microunits. Secondly,
even when microunits have information about
existing precision technologies, adoption may
not be economically viable for all of them. As
argued above, the net gains from adoption vary
across microunits depending upon their heterogeneous characteristics and the input and output
prices faced by them. We now discuss the impact of specific sources of heterogeneity on incentives for adoption.
34
M. Khanna, D. Zilberman / Ecological Economics 23 (1997) 25–43
4.4. Heterogeneous factors that influence adoption
of precision technologies
Empirical studies that use field data to examine
the pattern of adoption of precision technologies
demonstrate that a significant portion of observed
variability in technology choice can be explained
by the observed heterogeneous characteristics of
microunits. These characteristics include their
physical environment, ownership of assets, human
capital skills and the local infrastructural conditions and institutions.
4.4.1. Physical en6ironment
The physical environment influences the technology adoption decision of a microunit. The
likelihood of adoption of precision technologies is
positively related to the age and vintage of microunits in the electricity supply industry
(Khanna, 1995) and in the steel industry (Oster,
1982). Soil quality, topology, and weather also
influence the choice of input application techniques. Empirical analysis for the San Joaquin
Valley shows that modern irrigation technologies
were more heavily adopted on steeply sloped
fields with lower water retaining soils and with
salinity problems (Dinar et al., 1992). Nitrogen
testing in Nebraska was adopted more frequently
on irrigated fields with higher organic content and
pH (Bosch et al., 1995).
Another source of heterogeneity among microunits is their location relative to the source of
alternative inputs. The latter affects the conveyance cost of inputs and thus their price. In the
case of groundwater used for irrigation, farms
with deeper wells were more likely to switch to
drip irrigation because it reduced the costs of
pressurization of water (Caswell and Zilberman,
1986). Power plants located closer to the source of
low quality coal are less likely to switch to higher
quality coal which comes from a distant location
(Khanna, 1995).
It is generally believed that large scale, industrialized farms overexploit the environment (Buttel
et al., 1981). However, numerous studies find that
farm size is positively related to the adoption of
soil conservation practices (Nowak, 1987; Heffernan and Green, 1986), IPM (Thomas et al., 1990)
and modern irrigation (Dinar et al., 1992). This
could be due to the greater ability of large farms
to hire professional applicators and crop consultants, easier access to credit and information and
more contacts with extension agents and representatives of agribusinesses.
4.4.2. Ownership of the fixed asset
Ownership of land or capital equipment impacts management quality and the operating and
maintenance practices of a microunit, and can
influence incentives to adopt productivity-enhancing technologies (Feder et al., 1988). Unified organizations where labor and management are
incorporated in one person, market-oriented farm
organizations, and tenured/owner farmers are
more likely to adopt irrigation technologies (Dinar et al., 1992), soil conservation techniques
(Nowak, 1987) and IPM (Yee and Ferguson,
1994). Commercially-operated microunits have
higher efficiencies than those under state ownership or cooperatives (Khanna, 1995; Sterner,
1990). The nature of occupancy of houses —
owner, tenant, single or multiple —affects energyefficiency of homes. Owner occupation and single
ownership of houses results in greater incentives
for energy conservation and for installation of
energy-efficient appliances than tenancy in rented
homes (Fisher and Rothkopf, 1989; Jaffe and
Stavins, 1994).
4.4.3. Human capital, learning costs, and discount
rates
The age of farmers, number of years and quality of education, as well as their personal learning
ability and motivation affect their human capital
skills, managerial capabilities and the technical
efficiency of production on farms (Kalaitzandonakes and Dunn, 1995). Differences in these attributes together with differences in experience
and exposure to extension services lead to heterogeneity in the learning costs and other transition
costs of adoption of precision technologies.
Higher levels of education and younger age of
farmers is significant in inducing adoption of
computer technologies for farm management,
modern technologies for irrigation (Dinar and
Yaron, 1990), soil tests for nitrogen (Fuglie and
M. Khanna, D. Zilberman / Ecological Economics 23 (1997) 25–43
Bosch, 1995) and IPM (Yee and Ferguson, 1994;
Thomas et al., 1990). High levels of experience
with traditional technologies may, however, discourage adoption of precision technologies.
Studies show that implicit rates of discount
used by producers and consumers are typically
much higher than real rates of interest, and vary
widely with income and age of consumers and the
financial and credit standing of producers (Ayres
and Walters, 1991). Effective discount rates are
estimated to be ten times as high as actual market
discount rates (Ruderman et al., 1984). This raises
the annualized fixed costs of precision technologies and lowers incentives for adoption.
4.4.4. A6ailability of precision technologies
Precision technologies and the infrastructure
(e.g. skilled manpower) needed to support their
operation may not be available locally or at the
appropriate scale to allow widespread adoption.
The availability of crop consultants and agricultural input-supply dealers is distributed unevenly
in the US and is likely to have a strong influence
on the rates and geographic patterns of adoption
of precision technologies (Wolf, 1995). In the case
of developing countries, lack of foreign exchange
to buy energy efficient technologies or critical
spare parts or lack of capital to manufacture these
technologies domestically and an inability to create the required infrastructural support has inhibited their adoption (Lashof and Tirpak, 1990).
Government policies to meet objectives other than
those of environmental protection and economic
efficiency, such as equity, may restrict availability
of precision technologies. For example, import of
high quality coal for power generation is restricted in India to protect employment in the
domestic coal sector.
5. Impact of alternative policies on adoption
The profit differential between the two technologies in Eq. (10) is affected not only by the
heterogeneous characteristics of microunits, but
also by policy changes that influence the output
price, the application costs per unit input, and the
differences in fixed costs per unit asset with both
35
the technologies. Additionally, penalties on pollution are also likely to influence the net gains from
adoption because of the differential effect of the
two technologies on pollution generated.
5.1. En6ironmental policies
With the imposition of a pollution tax, t, the
optimization problem of a microunit can be represented as
Max Pti (a) =Pf(bi hi (a)ai ) −wi ai − ki −tgi ai
(11)
Optimal applied input-use, a ti, is determined
such that the value of marginal product of the
input is equated to its social cost per unit, defined
as 6i =wi +tgi (a). The social cost of an input is
the sum of its market price per unit, wi, and its
pollution cost, tgi (a). The latter depends upon the
tax rate and the pollution coefficient, gi, of technology i. It can also be regarded as a microunitspecific input tax. Adoption of the precision
technology now occurs if
Pt2 − Pt1 =DPt =PDy −w2Da −a1(Dw) −Dk
+ t(g1 −g2)a1 −tg2Da \0
(12)
The term t(g1 −g2)a1 reflects the additional incentives provided by the pollution-effect of a precision technology for adopting it after the
imposition of a tax, t \0. However, the last term
in Eq. (12) shows that if adoption is input-use
increasing (Da \0) then the imposition of a tax
reduces incentives for adoption. The imposition of
a tax is likely to induce a microunit to adopt a
precision technology when adoption is input-saving or when it has a sufficiently strong pollutioneffect that offsets its input-increasing effect. The
tax could also cause microunits with Dz\ 0 that
had earlier adopted the precision technology to
switch back to the traditional technology to reduce their tax burden. Although their pre-tax
profits are higher with the precision technology,
their post-tax profits may be higher with the
traditional technology. Hence, the impact of a
pollution tax on adoption depends upon the technical characteristics of technologies and the existing a of a microunit.
36
M. Khanna, D. Zilberman / Ecological Economics 23 (1997) 25–43
The implementation of a pollution tax or a
microunit-specific input tax policy, however, requires the ability either to monitor pollution or to
make inferences about its magnitude based on
knowledge about the efficiency of input-use (or
pollution coefficients), technology choice and
variable input-use by microunits. When information is available about the distribution of efficiencies at the regional level but not about site-specific
efficiencies, then pollution taxes or site-specific
input-taxes are no longer a feasible policy. Second-best policies based on more easily observable
decisions on input-use and/or technology choice
need to be designed. The choice of policy now
depends upon the extent of information available.
When input-use and technology choice are both
observable, input-taxes differentiated by technology can be designed. These taxes reduce the differential in application costs per unit input and
achieve pollution reduction both by raising the
social costs of input-use (more so with the traditional technology) and by creating incentives to
switch to precision technologies. Alternately uniform input taxes can be used even though they are
less efficient than technology-differentiated taxes.
In many cases, the feasibility of input-based taxes
is limited, because very high tax rates have to be
imposed to reduce input-use and pollution by the
desired amount or to induce a switch to alternative inputs or input application techniques. This is
the case for inputs such as fertilizers and pesticides because fertilizers have a low price elasticity
of demand, and share of pesticides in gross expenditures is low while the revenue to cost of pesticide ratio is high. It is estimated that a doubling
of nitrogen prices will reduce nitrogen use by 20%
(Nutzinger, 1994). Returns on pesticide use are
high and estimated to vary between $4 and $13
per $1 spent on pesticides (Pimentel and Lehman,
1993).
In such cases, as well as in cases where only
technology choice is observable easily, technology-tax-subsidy schemes can be used. Taxing the
fixed costs of a traditional technology at higher
rates than those of a precision technology or
subsidizing the fixed costs of a precision technology creates incentives to adopt it. This policy,
however, does not affect variable input-use with a
given technology. There are several programs in
the US for cost-sharing and providing technical
assistance for improving fertilizer, pesticide and
irrigation management.
All of these incentive-based policies allow flexibility in methods of controlling pollution to varying degrees. As the information becomes more
limited, policies tend to become less flexible and
less cost-effective. Given the variability in appropriate choice of technology among heterogeneous
microunits, flexible policies are preferable to
mandatory adoption of technologies by all microunits. Mandated technologies include certain
forms of crop rotation and tillage practices, pesticide spraying equipment, bans on certain chemicals, scrubbers to abate sulfur-dioxide from new
coal-fired utilities, and automobiles with minimum average fuel economy standards. Uniform
technology standards burden heterogeneous microunits with excessive costs relative to flexible
strategies, particularly if the fixed costs of adoption are high. Mandating installation of scrubbers
by electric utilities or higher fuel efficiency standards for automobiles also discourages adoption
of pollution-preventing strategies such as use of
washed coal or coal with low sulfur content (Portney, 1990) and reduction in gasoline use in automobiles (Nivola and Crandall, 1995).
5.2. Other policies
Apart from non-existence of markets for pollution there are many other market imperfections
that contribute to environmental degradation.
These include cheap and abundant resources
whose prices do not reflect appropriate scarcities,
subsidies on inputs and outputs, barriers to trade
in environmentally beneficial inputs, and institutional impediments to conservation such as a lack
of markets for resources like surface and groundwater. Policy reforms that eliminate these distortions are likely to create incentives for adoption of
appropriate technologies and reduce pollution,
even in the absence of environmental regulations.
5.2.1. Output price regulations
Agricultural markets are typically protected
from operation of free market price mechanisms
M. Khanna, D. Zilberman / Ecological Economics 23 (1997) 25–43
through various devices such as state-guaranteed
crop prices, tariffs, import quotas, and export
subsidies. Simultaneously, in order to limit agricultural surpluses, governments use production
quotas and financial incentives for acreage reductions and set asides extensively. Kalaitzandonakes
and Taylor (1990) and Kalaitzandonakes (1994)
provide empirical evidence that high protection of
the beef/sheep industry in New Zealand and of
the vegetable industry in Florida reduced incentives to improve efficiency of input-use and productivity. From Eq. (10) above we see that price
supports will encourage adoption of precision
technologies that are output-increasing, but they
do not provide incentives for adoption of technologies that have large precision or pollution-effects. Moreover, they reinforce acreage reduction
policies in inducing excessive use of inputs such as
nitrogen and pesticides by providing incentives for
intensifying production practices and by making
the costs of these inputs cheap relative to the
artificially high output prices. Price and income
support programs encourage crop specialization
and act as barriers to the adoption of diversified
farming systems with reduced fertilization and
pesticide requirements (Nutzinger, 1994; Reichelderfer, 1990). Replacing existing price support programs with a ‘free-land market’
discourages intensive use of inputs; for example in
the case of cotton production it is estimated that
this would reduce insecticide use by 10% (Pimentel and Lehman, 1993).
Changes in existing agricultural policies can
lower pollution by controlling the extensive and
intensive margins of cultivation (Just and Antle,
1990). Replacement of deficiency payments by
green payments that reward farmers for adoption
of precision technologies would lower incentives
for increasing production in an environmentally
harmful manner (Braden et al., 1994). Targeting
acreage reduction programs to land on which
production poses an environmental hazard could
also integrate agricultural and environmental policies in a mutually beneficial way.
Price regulation in the electric utility industry in
the US has encouraged investments in additional
supply as opposed to improvements in demandside efficiency, even when the latter is less expen-
37
sive, by linking profits to sales (Wiel, 1989).
Allowing utilities to profit from conservation by
permitting equivalent returns on such investments
creates perverse incentives to do the most expensive conservation investments first (to earn the
greatest return) with the least impact on demand
(to maintain sales). Giving bonuses to utilities for
achieving demand side goals, by allowing them to
keep a portion of the customer savings and by
relating their return on equity to the decrease in
the average bill of customers, can effectively
provide utilities incentives for undertaking conservation investments.
A study for nine developing countries shows
that electricity prices in most of them were below
long run marginal costs, and in the case of India
and Argentina they even fail to cover production
costs. Thermal plant efficiencies were also at their
lowest in India followed by Argentina (Gutierrez,
1993). Pricing reform in these countries would
significantly increase incentives for investment in
efficiency improving technologies both for the
generation of electricity as well as for the end-use
of electricity and promote energy conservation.
5.2.2. Subsidies on inputs and protectionism
Many agricultural and industrial inputs such as
water and fossil fuels are generally sold at prices
that are well below the real resource cost of their
use which consists not only of costs of production
but also includes scarcity value and costs of pollution. Surface water prices in California have generally followed decreasing block pricing or a
charge per-acre instead of a charge per unit used.
The high elasticity of demand for water in urban
and agricultural use shows that a significant reduction in water use can be expected to accompany real water price increases (Wiley, 1985). This
would also induce farmers to switch to advanced
irrigation technologies and reduce drainage
(Caswell et al., 1990).
The rapid increase in fossil fuel consumption
worldwide has primarily stemmed from their artificially low prices (Bates, 1993). Oil-producing
and exporting countries such as Mexico, Egypt,
and Libya regularly subsidize petroleum-based fuels. Coal is subsidized in China and India to
encourage domestic production, employment and
38
M. Khanna, D. Zilberman / Ecological Economics 23 (1997) 25–43
self-reliance in energy. Cross country studies show
that higher energy prices significantly increase efficiency of energy-use and can reduce carbon emissions (Larsen and Shah, 1992; Kosmo, 1987). On
the other hand, subsidies on low quality domestic
coal and prohibitive tariffs on high quality imported coal have led to a substantial decline in
thermal efficiency of the electricity sector in India.
Trade liberalization in coal could reduce carbon
emissions by 6.5% relative to baseline emissions
even in the absence of an environmental policy
such as a carbon tax (Khanna, 1995). Similarly,
fuel price deregulation could increase efficiency
and reduce costs of carbon abatement in Indonesia (Sasmojo and Tashrif, 1991).
Rising gasoline prices during the 1970s spurred
automobile producers to increase fuel efficiency of
automobiles even more than mandated by the
corporate average fuel efficiency standard in the
US. As fuel prices have declined, since 1982,
improvements in average fuel economy have
slowed dramatically. Raising fuel prices to reflect
resource scarcity and environmental costs is likely
to be more effective in improving efficiency of
automobiles and conserving fuel than use of mandated standards while keeping fuel prices low
(Nivola and Crandall, 1995). In short, the efficiency of resource-use can be increased by relying
more on markets for their pricing and allocation
and limiting government interference to incentivebased policies for correcting externalites from
their use.
5.2.3. Lack of markets
In the case of certain inputs such as surface
water, markets have not been allowed to develop
leading to inefficiencies in water allocation and
reduced incentives to adopt modern irrigation
methods. In various states in the US, non-market
(rationing-oriented) mechanisms are currently employed to allocate surface water among individual
users in the agricultural sector. In the absence of
water markets, the opportunity cost of water is
effectively zero for the prior appropriators. A
water market would result in higher prices for
water, and could significantly reduce water use
while inducing farmers to switch to advanced
irrigation technologies. This would also reduce
drainage, even in the absence of drainage disposal
costs. Imposing drainage disposal costs achieves
still greater conservation (Shah et al., 1993).
6. Costs of environmental protection
The steeply rising costs of environmental protection are a major source of concern in the US
and elsewhere. One reason for these high costs is
a focus of environmental policy on abatement of
pollution at end of the pipe by diverting resources
away from productive activities using mandated
technologies. By ignoring the heterogeneity
among microunits and the potential for reduction
of pollution at source, by increasing efficiency of
input-use and minimizing waste, such policies do
not achieve pollution reduction in a cost-effective
manner. The 1990 Acid Rain Program of the
USEPA allowed flexibility of technology choice
for reducing emissions at source by relying on
tradable permits. It led most of the electric utilities to choose the lower cost option of preventing
emissions by using low sulfur coal instead of using
scrubbers to recapture sulfur after it was discharged. The general accounting office has projected that this approach saved $3 billion per year
or cost half as much as a command-and-control
approach (GAO, 1994).
The other reason for the high cost of environmental protection is a disregard for policy distortions in related input and output markets that
reduce incentives for cost-effective methods of
waste-minimization and create price imbalances
that favor resource-intensive and pollution-intensive production practices. By eliminating these
policy distortions and by inducing the adoption of
precision technologies it is possible to not only
achieve environmental protection, but also to increase social welfare, net of environmental
benefits. The gain in welfare due to removing
distortions in related markets can more than offset costs of pollution reduction and achieve environmental protection at negative costs to the
economy. Combining environmental policy with
reforms that remove existing distortions can thus
be more effective than environmental policy
alone. For example, imposition of drainage costs
M. Khanna, D. Zilberman / Ecological Economics 23 (1997) 25–43
in the presence of water markets is shown to
result in higher net returns for farmers than in the
absence of markets because farmers can now earn
revenue by selling excess water (Dinar and Letey,
1991). The removal of tariffs on clean technologies and products, removal of domestic regulations on fuel prices and barriers to the availability
of precision technologies can lead to win-win links
between the goals of environmental protection
and the goals of increased production and social
welfare (Khanna, 1995; Beghin et al., 1995;
Lovins and Lovins, 1992; Sasmojo and Tashrif,
1991).
7. Distributional implications
Adoption of precision technologies has varying
distributional implications for producers and input suppliers depending upon the pattern of
adoption they induce. When the availability of
precision technologies induces voluntary adoption
among microunits with low a, it leads to greater
equity in the distribution of profits because adoption increases their profits per unit asset relative
to those with the traditional technologies and
brings them closer to the profits of the microunits
with high a. On the other hand, if fixed costs of
the precision technology are high and the precision effect is low relative to the productivity effect, adoption is more likely among microunits
with high a. This increases the divergence in
profits among heterogeneous microunits. These
distributional effects get further compounded by
existing policy distortions in related markets. For
example, when adoption of precision technology
has a large productivity effect and increases output, commodity price support programs result in
larger benefits for microunits which produce a
larger volume of output. Adoption of precision
technologies by high a units in the presence of
these programs can exacerbate the inequitable
distribution of profits in a region.
The distributional implications of imposition of
pollution taxes or input taxes vary with the tax
rates imposed and the pattern of technology
adoption they induce. The impact of tradable
permits varies with the initial distribution of these
39
permits among microunits. These permits are
likely to lead to transfers from pollution intensive
microunits with low a and those relying on traditional technologies to the more profitable microunits with a high a and those using precision
technologies. The burden of pollution taxes and
input taxes is also likely to fall as efficiency of a
microunit increases since pollution-levels and input-use are generally inversely related to a. Tax
payments are thus relatively higher for microunits
with low a and to the extent that these are also
less profitable units, these taxes can be regressive.
Further, for any given a, these taxes are likely to
penalize microunits using traditional technologies
more than those using precision technologies. By
reducing input-use per unit output, precision technologies are likely to reduce the burden of input
taxes. Moreover, taxation of agricultural inputs
such as fertilizers and pesticides imposes upward
pressures on commodity prices. This adversely
affects farmers who rely heavily on taxed inputs,
while leading to net gains in revenue for those
who have low rates of input-use or use other
substitute inputs. When the price elasticity of
input-use is low and the input-costs are a small
part of the total production expenditures, as in
the case of fertilizers and pesticides, very high
taxes are required to reduce their use adequately.
Given the infeasibility of high taxes, Dubgaard
(1990) proposes a hybrid policy for controlling
pollution. He suggests combining a tax-free quota
of nitrogen with taxes on additional nitrogen purchase. The effective use of the tax-free quota of
nitrogen, and hence reduction in nitrogen purchases, can be greatly aided by the adoption of
GPS, GIS, and soil nitrate tests that allow precise
applications of fertilizer. Hybrid policies that
combine input-taxes with compensation schemes
to encourage adoption of precision technologies
can also temper the adverse distributional implications of these high tax rates. These schemes
could take the form of cost-sharing for adoption
of alternative pest-management strategies and fertilizer application techniques. By reducing the
fixed costs of adoption of precision technologies,
these policies can induce adoption while serving
as a transfer mechanism. These policies, however,
can result in windfall gains to participants, attract
40
M. Khanna, D. Zilberman / Ecological Economics 23 (1997) 25–43
new entrants with lower efficiency of input-use,
and increase financial well-being of microunits in
the polluting industry. Unlike pollution or input
taxes that generate revenues, subsidies and costsharing arrangements impose a heavy financial
burden on the government.
The advent of precision technologies also has
implications for the incomes of suppliers of inputs
such as high ash coal, fertilizers and pesticides
and for crop consultants whose incomes are related to input sales. These agents are likely to
witness declining incomes as a result of precision
technology adoption, if these technologies reduce
use of their products.
In the case of consumption technologies, such
as automobiles, a tax on inputs such as gasoline
can be regressive depending upon the tax rate and
the share of incomes spent on gasoline. Chernick
and Reschovsky (1992), however, show that the
regressivity of a gasoline tax is likely to be modest
because gasoline expenditures are a relatively
small share of total consumer expenditures even
in the lowest income brackets. Moreover such a
tax would offset some of the decline in the real
price of oil that has occurred since the mid 1980s.
8. Implications for the long run
A question that arises inevitably is whether the
gains in efficiency of input-use through adoption
of precision technologies are a one-time gain only
and whether further reductions in pollution will
inevitably require reductions in output. As argued
above, increasing efficiency in application of inputs requires information and knowledge about
the techniques and timing of input use as well as
careful monitoring and control of input requirement and application. Thus investments in human
capital and stock of knowledge are likely to increase input-use efficiency beyond levels currently
achieved, subject to the laws of thermodynamics.
A simple extension of the static framework
presented in this paper could model input-use
efficiency as a function of the stock of knowledge
in the economy which in turn depends upon expenditures on education, and research and development. These expenditures can be met by
foregoing present consumption (Romer, 1986).
Hence, the level of efficiency and technology at
any instant in time is endogenously determined.
Growth and pollution reduction in the long run
are both to some extent driven by increasing
efficiency of input-use, although growth can also
be achieved through increasing the use of capital
intensive techniques that have no beneficial effect
on the environment. Further research is needed to
identify conditions and policies under which the
objectives of growth and environmental protection can be made complementary by inducing
investment in the development of environmentally
friendly innovations.
9. Conclusions
This paper argues that it is misleading to link
pollution directly to the use of modern technologies or to production levels. Instead the pollution
intensity of inputs depends upon the efficiency of
their use and can be lowered through adoption of
precision technologies that increase input-productivity and reduce residuals. To explain the slow
rate of adoption of precision technologies, it is
important to recognize the technical characteristics of these technologies and the sources of variability in the gains from adoption among
heterogeneous microunits as well existing policy
distortions in related input and output markets.
In the past, technological advancement has occurred without much consideration for resource
use and implications for the environment, primarily because of lack of incentives to do otherwise.
Lack of penalties for residual generation, market
failures in input and output markets, and institutional mechanisms that prevent the price system
from rationing scarce resources have hampered
the development and adoption of environmentally
friendly technologies. The analysis above does not
examine policy choice and its implications when
there is asymmetric information between regulators and polluters. It, instead, explores the implications of policy changes that can be based on
observable information about microunits. This
paper also focuses on the implications of alternative policies for the adoption of currently avail-
M. Khanna, D. Zilberman / Ecological Economics 23 (1997) 25–43
able precision technologies and ignores their impact on incentives for research and development of such technologies. Further research is
needed to explore the extent to which such policies, by reducing existing market imperfections,
can induce innovation of environmentally benign
precision technologies and of technologies that
reduce asymmetric information by providing detailed information about the characteristics of
microunits, and can improve monitoring of pollution.
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