International Journal of Physical and Social Sciences
(ISSN: 2249-5894)
CONTENTS
Sr.
No.
TITLE & NAME OF THE AUTHOR (S)
Page
No.
1
Democracy And Governance: A Revisitational Discourse.
S. T. Akindele, PhD and O. O. Adeyemi
1-47
2
Leadership: A New Synthesis.
Akindele, S.T., PhD. and Adeyemi, O. O.
48-93
3
Cells involved in wear-mediated osteolysis.
Mrinal K.Musib, Ph.D.
94-107
4
The Leadership and the Retention of Employees That Work for Nongovernmental Organization (NGOs) in
Thailand.
Matchakarn Ya-anan
108-122
5
A Review On Extent Of Sustainabilty Of Educational Projects: A Case Of Strengthening Of Mathematics And
Science In Secondary Education (Smasse) Project In Kenya.
Henry Onderi and Getrude Malala
123-144
7
Improving the educational decision –making system –from the viewpoint of members of education faculties
settled in Tehran and staff managers and Specialists in the Ministry of Education.
Armin Mahmoudi
Econometric Analysis of Income of Nomads In Irrigated Areas Of Cholistan Desert.
Mariam Abbas Soharwardi, Karamat Ali and Jamal Abdul Nasir
8
Distance Education and Conventional Education; A Case Study through Review of Literature.
Ms. Iffat Beg
177-197
9
‘Bt’ Cotton: Resource Use Efficiency in India.
Dr. A. Balakrishna
198-216
10
Simone De Beauvoir’s Contribution To Feminism With Reference To The Second Sex.
Sachin Vaman Londhe
217-232
11
Identification Of Decision Parameters Influencing Destination Choices Of Indian Domestic Tourists.
Harikrishna M. and Rajat Rastogi
233-263
12
Customers Perception Towards Mobile Number Portability.
Mrs. Dhanya. J. S
264-282
13
A Case Study On Employee Motivational Practices At Airport Authourity Of India Limited With Special
Reference To Chennai Airport.
Simeon S. Simon, S. Jacob Pratabaraj and Sneha George
283-301
14
Recruitment Policies In Indian Railways–Case Study Of South Western Railway, Hubli.
Dr. C. P. Manohar
302-317
15
A Study on Challenges and Opportunities for Agricultural Development in India.
Dr. V. J. R. Emerlson Moses
318-332
16
Emotional Intelligence Of Students In A B-School.
A. K. Mohapatra and Deepak Pattnaik
333-353
17
World Economy And Terrorism: An Over View.
Dr. Bhuvnender Chaudhary, Amit Sarkar and Nikhil Monga
354-379
6
145-158
159-176
IJPSS
ISSN: 2249-5894
January
Volume 2, Issue 1
2012 _________________________________________________________
Chief Patron
Dr. JOSE G. VARGAS-HERNANDEZ
Member of the National System of Researchers, Mexico
Research professor at University Center of Economic and Managerial Sciences,
University of Guadalajara
Director of Mass Media at Ayuntamiento de Cd. Guzman
Ex. director of Centro de Capacitacion y Adiestramiento
Patron
Dr. Mohammad Reza Noruzi
PhD: Public Administration, Public Sector Policy Making Management,
Tarbiat Modarres University, Tehran, Iran
Faculty of Economics and Management, Tarbiat Modarres University, Tehran, Iran
Young Researchers' Club Member, Islamic Azad University, Bonab, Iran
Chief Advisors
Dr. NAGENDRA. S.
Senior Asst. Professor,
Department of MBA, Mangalore Institute of Technology and Engineering, Moodabidri
Dr. SUNIL KUMAR MISHRA
Associate Professor,
Dronacharya College of Engineering, Gurgaon, INDIA
Mr. GARRY TAN WEI HAN
Lecturer and Chairperson (Centre for Business and Management),
Department of Marketing, University Tunku Abdul Rahman, MALAYSIA
MS. R. KAVITHA
Assistant Professor,
Aloysius Institute of Management and Information, Mangalore, INDIA
Dr. A. JUSTIN DIRAVIAM
Assistant Professor,
Dept. of Computer Science and Engineering, Sardar Raja College of Engineering,
Alangulam Tirunelveli, TAMIL NADU, INDIA
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Editorial Board
Dr. CRAIG E. REESE
Professor, School of Business, St. Thomas University, Miami Gardens
Dr. S. N. TAKALIKAR
Principal, St. Johns Institute of Engineering, PALGHAR (M.S.)
Dr. RAMPRATAP SINGH
Professor, Bangalore Institute of International Management, KARNATAKA
Dr. P. MALYADRI
Principal, Government Degree College, Osmania University, TANDUR
Dr. Y. LOKESWARA CHOUDARY
Asst. Professor Cum, SRM B-School, SRM University, CHENNAI
Prof. Dr. TEKI SURAYYA
Professor, Adikavi Nannaya University, ANDHRA PRADESH, INDIA
Dr. T. DULABABU
Principal, The Oxford College of Business Management, BANGALORE
Dr. A. ARUL LAWRENCE SELVAKUMAR
Professor, Adhiparasakthi Engineering College, MELMARAVATHUR, TN
Dr. S. D. SURYAWANSHI
Lecturer, College of Engineering Pune, SHIVAJINAGAR
Dr. S. KALIYAMOORTHY
Professor & Director, Alagappa Institute of Management, KARAIKUDI
Prof S. R. BADRINARAYAN
Sinhgad Institute for Management & Computer Applications, PUNE
Mr. GURSEL ILIPINAR
ESADE Business School, Department of Marketing, SPAIN
Mr. ZEESHAN AHMED
Software Research Eng, Department of Bioinformatics, GERMANY
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Mr. SANJAY ASATI
Dept of ME, M. Patel Institute of Engg. & Tech., GONDIA(M.S.)
Mr. G. Y. KUDALE
N.M.D. College of Management and Research, GONDIA(M.S.)
Editorial Advisory Board
Dr. MANJIT DAS
Assistant Professor, Deptt. of Economics, M.C.College, ASSAM
Dr. ROLI PRADHAN
Maulana Azad National Institute of Technology, BHOPAL
Dr. N. KAVITHA
Assistant Professor, Department of Management, Mekelle University, ETHIOPIA
Prof C. M. MARAN
Assistant Professor (Senior), VIT Business School, TAMIL NADU
Dr. RAJIV KHOSLA
Associate Professor and Head, Chandigarh Business School, MOHALI
Dr. S. K. SINGH
Asst. Professor, R. D. Foundation Group of Institutions, MODINAGAR
Dr. (Mrs.) MANISHA N. PALIWAL
Associate Professor, Sinhgad Institute of Management, PUNE
Dr. (Mrs.) ARCHANA ARJUN GHATULE
Director, SPSPM, SKN Sinhgad Business School, MAHARASHTRA
Dr. NEELAM RANI DHANDA
Associate Professor, Department of Commerce, kuk, HARYANA
Dr. FARAH NAAZ GAURI
Associate Professor, Department of Commerce, Dr. Babasaheb Ambedkar Marathwada
University, AURANGABAD
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Prof. Dr. BADAR ALAM IQBAL
Associate Professor, Department of Commerce, Aligarh Muslim University, UP
Dr. CH. JAYASANKARAPRASAD
Assistant Professor, Dept. of Business Management, Krishna University, A. P., INDIA
Technical Advisors
Mr. Vishal Verma
Lecturer, Department of Computer Science, Ambala, INDIA
Mr. Ankit Jain
Department of Chemical Engineering, NIT Karnataka, Mangalore, INDIA
Associate Editors
Dr. SANJAY J. BHAYANI
Associate Professor ,Department of Business Management, RAJKOT, INDIA
MOID UDDIN AHMAD
Assistant Professor, Jaipuria Institute of Management, NOIDA
Dr. SUNEEL ARORA
Assistant Professor, G D Goenka World Institute, Lancaster University, NEW DELHI
Mr. P. PRABHU
Assistant Professor, Alagappa University, KARAIKUDI
Mr. MANISH KUMAR
Assistant Professor, DBIT, Deptt. Of MBA, DEHRADUN
Mrs. BABITA VERMA
Assistant Professor, Bhilai Institute Of Technology, DURG
Ms. MONIKA BHATNAGAR
Assistant Professor, Technocrat Institute of Technology, BHOPAL
Ms. SUPRIYA RAHEJA
Assistant Professor, CSE Department of ITM University, GURGAON
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Title
ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS OF INCOME OF NOMADS IN
IRRIGATED AREAS OF CHOLISTAN DESERT
Author(s)
Mariam Abbas
Soharwardi
Lecturer at Department of
Economics,
The Islamia University of
Bahawalpur.
Karamat Ali
Jamal Abdul Nasir
Chairman at Department of
Economics,
Department of Statistics,
The Islamia University of
Bahawalpur
The Islamia University of
Bahawalpur.
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ABSTRACT:
Economy of any rural areas depends on different types of economic indicators. The
economic indicators which affect the income of nomads in Cholistan Desert are described in this
paper. Economy of the nomads of Cholistan desert can be divided in to two parts, i) economy of
the nomads when they stay in the desert and ii) economy of the nomads when they are at
irrigated areas. Nomads earns more income in irrigated areas as 71% earn their income in the
range of Rs. 1,00,100/- to 2,00,00/-. The present study revealed about the factors which influence
the income of nomads in irrigated areas of Cholistan Desert. The study was econometric and
income is estimated by using Binary Logistic Regression Model on 200 sample data taken from
ten different villages of Cholistan Desert.
INTRODUCTION:
More than 45% people in Pakistan generate income from agriculture sector and the
cultivable wasteland in Cholistan (Bahawalpur and Rahimyarkhan,) is 6.6 million acres with 1.2
million inhabitants. Since 1978, only 350000 acres were allotted to its 30000 applicants while
5784 applications are still pending. All the people who were allotted the lands are now in better
economic conditions as compared to the majority of the poor landless „Rohailas‟ (Cholistan).
The allotment of the land is banned regardless of the promises and commitments made by the
successive governments to allot the land to the landless „Rohailas‟. It seems that the government
wants to bring these „Rohailas‟ and people in other parts of the country to the same fate as of
tenants in „Pirowa‟l and „Okara‟ (Roshan, 2006).
The economy of nomads of Cholistan Desert entirely depends on fragile and meager
natural resources associated with inconsistent rain pattern. Job opportunities are confined to
labour in agricultural fields or other minor activities due to lack of education or skilled training.
In Cholistan desert most of the nomads live below poverty line in the absence of basic human
needs like clean drinking water or sufficient food, health and education for their children.
Livestock breeding, improvement of performance or range management is not practiced
scientifically (Sharif, 2003).
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The total human population of Cholistan desert is around 120,000. The economy of the
region is predominantly pastoral. People have practiced a nomadic life style for centuries. Large
herds of camels, cattle‟s, sheep, and goats are owned by the nomads. The area is not served by
modern communication system and can be traversed by either camels or jeeps. Local people use
camels as a mode of transportation. Habitations are small and extremely scattered (Ahmad,
2002).
The nomads and their herds return back to the desert around July or August with the news
of first monsoon showers. Distance traveled during this migration varies 10 to 100 Km. While in
the desert natural vegetation is the main source of feed for grazing livestock. Tobas serves as
drinking water both for nomads and their livestock. Tobas are made in clayey that locally called
dahars in catchments area to avoid heavy water percolation. Tobas belonging to the same clan
are generally located to each (often 1 Km radius). At the start of the rainy season, livestock graze
with in one or 2 km radius of each Toba. This distance increase about 15 km as the season
progress. During October and November, when water resources become almost totally depleted,
each clan moves its herds to semi-permanent centers equipped with a serious of traditional
(hand-dug and unlined) wells and kunds (usually lined) (FAO 1993).
The nomads manage their mixed livestock in such a way that milking cows are moved
near by the urban centers where milk is sold readily while other animals like camels, goats, sheep
and bullocks are kept in the desert for grazing. Nomads attach high values to their herds.
Livestock are the main source of their survival and a number of cultural norms are frequently
used meat, milk and gifts. Communal ceremonies like weddings, funerals, and tribal celebrations
include slaughtering and exchange of animals. A person‟s status in the desert nomadic life style
is chiefly represented by the size of the herds he owns. (Arshad, et al. 1999).
OBJECTIVES:
Keeping in view the environmental changes in the Cholistan, it is important to study the
income of desert dwellers. Such a study could help in formulating the poverty reduction and up
lift of Cholistan desert nomads in changed environment. Such a study could also be benefited for
NGO‟s especially which are working for poverty alleviation and socio-economic up lift in
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Cholistan and build on the existing resources for community development through improvement
in infrastructure, job creation and human resource development. However, the main objectives
of this study are
1. Evaluate income of nomads of Cholistan Desert to find out economic status in irrigated
areas of Cholistan Desert.
2. To find out different sources of income of nomads of Cholistan desert.
3. Find out the major variables effects the income of nomads in irrigated areas of Cholistan
Desert.
LITERATURE REVIEW:
Khan et al. (1996) examined the factors behind low crop yield in Cholistan. Both the
quantitative and qualitative analysis showed how the low levels of agricultural productivity in
this area may be linked to material and climatic factors. The quantitative analysis was mainly
focused on physical factors. The qualitative analysis, however, emphasises that relative
inefficiency of agricultural activity in Cholistan reflected the influence of physical, economic,
social and, most importantly, climatic factors.
Ajmal et al. (2001) described the problems and sustainable development of cholistan
desert communities through various resources and sampled the available recourses such as
vegetation resources, livestock resources, soil resources and water resources.
Sharif (2003) explained that extent, nature, structure and determinants of rural poverty
was a pre condition for effective public action to alleviate poverty in rural areas of Pakistan. The
major concern of this study was to explore the determinants of poverty in Pakistan with a case
study of Cholistan in Bahawalpur district. In this study an attempt was made to analyze the
economic, social and demographic characteristics of households in poverty and a detailed
poverty profile based on the household survey data of a cluster sample of Cholistan. In addition,
the author performed an econometric analysis in terms of income and logistic regression models
looking at the determinants of rural poverty for empirical analysis.
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Ahmad (2006) described the agro pastoral systems in cholistan and repeated that the
cholistan desert has extreme summer temperatures (50oC plus) and prolonged droughts rearing is
the only age-old profession of the nomad pastoralists of this desert. Pastoral system is
characterized by mass migrations of animals and people throughout the year in search of water
and forage. The onset of monsoon and the distribution of rainfall mainly dictate the pattern of
movement of nomadic herders. Livestock are the main source of their survival and a number of
cultural norms are linked with the animals. The major constrains to the nomadic system are very
poor quality of drinking water and inadequate feed, both of which are acute during summer.
ECONOMIC INDICATORS OF NOMADS OF CHOLISTAN DESERT:
Economy of nomads of Cholistan Desert is influenced by a large number of economic
indicators. But only seven indicators are taken in this paper.
Sex (x1): Male-female ratio is taken there as independent variable, means who are the head
of household.
Age (x2): Age means number of years after born. Age of head of household is taken as
independent variable.
Total Cultivated Land (x3): Total cultivated land means total area used for cultivation of
crops. This indicator is very important for the analysis of income because mostly nomads
have land but all land is not cultivated due to unavailability of water and unfertile soil. This
indicator is taken as independent variable.
Total Number of Livestock (x4): Total number of livestock means livestock holds by
respondent in irrigated areas of Cholistan Desert. It is taken as independent variable.
Health Status (x5): Health status means health of respondent, it is measured as respondent
have any disease or not. It is taken as independent variable.
Education Status (x6): Education status means education of respondent and it is measured
as respondent can read and write or not. It is taken as independent variable.
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Income in Irrigated Areas (y): Income in irrigated areas means annual income of
respondent earned from different sources in irrigated areas of Cholistan Desert. It is taken
as dependent variable.
MATERIALS AND METHODS:
An overwhelmingly large part of study is based on the primary source of data. The
present study is primary based on the household survey data as collected by the author during
April-September 2007. The household survey was conducted and information recorded from two
hundred household in a cluster sample of Cholistan consisting on ten villages (Chaks). A twostage Area sampling was
used, at first stage households was selected and at the second stage
the male as a head of household was interviewed.
Primary data on economic conditions of nomad‟s pastorals of Cholistan desert was
collected by interview technique by going door to door in Cholistan desert and the interview
schedule was a set of Questions in a Questionnaire form which has been filled by the
interviewer. In this study, major emphasis is on the analysis of economy of nomad pastorals by
econometric analysis of income of nomads in irrigated areas of Cholistan Desert.
LOGISTIC REGRESSION ANALYSIS:
The dependent variable in logistic regression is usually dichotomous, that is, the
dependent variable can take the value 1 with a probability of success Ө or the value 0 with
probability of failure 1-Ө. Consider a collection of k independent indicators, thus the general
form of the Logistic regression is
(1)
where
= the constants of the equation and
= the coefficient of the predictor variables. The log
adds has the linear relationship
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Log it
=Log [θ(x) /(1-θ(x))] =α+βx+β2X2+…………+βkxk
(2)
Logistic regression calculates the probability of success over the probability of failure,
therefore, the result of the analysis are in the form of an odds ratio.
STRATEGIES IN MODEL SELECTION:
As we have number of explanatory variables that should include all the important
(influential) factors, but the actual subset of predictor variables that should be used in the model
need to be determined. When the number of variables increases, the selection process becomes
harder. Fitting all possible models is impractical when the number of dimensions exceeds three,
and it helps to have guidelines.
Stepwise selection of variables has been widely used in linear regression. Most major
software packages have either a separate program or an option to perform this type of analysis.
At one time, stepwise regression was an extremely popular method for model building.
Methodology for performing stepwise logistic regression has been available for much less time
[Hoshmer, wang, Lin, and Lemeshow (1978)]. Among major software packages only BDMP
offers a program for stepwise logistic regression. We feel that the procedure provides a useful
and effective data analysis tool.
Any stepwise procedure for selection or deletion of variables from a model is based on a
statistical algorithm which checks for the “importance” of variables, and either includes or
excludes them on the basis of fixed decision rule. The “importance” of a variable is defined in
terms of a measure of the statistical significance of the coefficient for the variable.
RESULTS AND DISCUSSION:
The results showed that there are three major sources of income in irrigated areas of
Cholistan desert i.e. crops, livestock and embroidery. Other sources included jobs in different
sectors, like teaching in schools or in government institutes, labor with the farmer or in some
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factories etc. Sources of income along with income generated from these sources by nomads of
Cholistan desert in irrigated areas are incorporated in table 1.
Table 1:
Sources and annual income (Rs.) of nomads in irrigated areas of Cholistan desert
Sr.
No.
Sources of
Average
Maximum
Minimum
Income(Rs.) Income(Rs.) Income(Rs.) Income(Rs.)
1
Crops
78113.6
685000
200
2
Livestock
81805.7
888000
1000
3
Embroidery
7895.01
150000
0
4
Other
Sources
11739.5
100000
0
Source: Survey
Maximum average annual income is earned from livestock, crops and other sources and
minimum average annual income is generated by embroidery. So far as range of average annual
income is concerned, the income from livestock ranged from Rs.1000/- to Rs.8,88,000/-, from
crops range of income was Rs.200/- to 6,85,000, from embroidery the annual average income
was Rs.0.00 to Rs.1,50,000/- and from other sources the average annual income ranged from
Rs.0.00 to Rs.1,00,000/- .
Livestock in irrigated areas include cattle, buffaloes, sheep, goats and camels.
Populations of livestock in
irrigated areas are described in table 2. Maximum numbers of
animals (500) were recorded by sheep and goats and minimum (40) by camels, whereas
population of animals recorded by cattle was 150 and buffaloes 170.
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Table 2:
Number of Livestock in Irrigated areas
Sr.
No.
Livestock Maximum Minimum Average
1
Cattle
150
0
6
2
Buffalos
170
0
6
3
Sheep
500
0
17
4
Goats
500
0
34
5
Camels
40
0
1
Source: Survey
Nomads of Cholistan desert generate income from different products of livestock like
milk, wool, goat hairs, and meat. During the drought period (environmental stress) the nomads of
Cholistan desert sell almost half of their livestock for the safety of their income.
Second major source of income in irrigated areas is by crop production. Table 3 showed
that major crop cultivated in irrigated area is wheat and 35% people of the area are directly
involved in the production of wheat and remaining is indirectly involved. Other crops grown in
the area are cotton, sugarcane and mustard. These crops are grown in different groups and 43%
people of the area select different groups of crops for their income.
Table 3:
Majors crops cultivated in irrigated areas of Cholistan Desert.
Sr.
No.
Group of Crops
1
Wheat
69
34.5
2
Mustard
5
2.5
3
Mustard, Sugarcane
7
3.5
Frequency Percentage
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4
Wheat, mustard, cotton,
sugarcane
86
43
5
Wheat, mustard, cotton
10
11
6
Wheat, Sugarcane
4
2
7
Wheat, Cotton, Sugarcane
18
9
Total
200
100
Source: Survey
ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS OF INCOME:
Logistic Regression Model (Backward Stepwise Regression Method)
Model
Variables
Coefficient
S.E p-value
OR
1.072
Total cultivated
land
Income
in
Irrigated
Areas
0.069
0.034 0.042
(1.002-1.146)
0.311
Health Status
-1.169
0.392 0.003
(0.144-0.669)
3.187
Education Status
1.159
0.32
0
(1.703-5.964)
Constant
-790
4.29
0.038
0.454
OR: Odd Ratio, S.E: Standard Error, C.I: Class Interval, P-value: Level of Significance
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In irrigated areas income of respondent is highly affected by three variables as shown in
model, total cultivated area, health and education status of respondent remaining variables was
excluded from the model by using stepwise regression method. Respondent have more cultivated
area, earn more income. Similarly health and education shows positive affect on the income of
respondent. Income of educated people in irrigated areas is 3.0 times more than uneducated
people. Sex and age are used as independent variable in model, showing minimum effects on the
income of respondent in irrigated areas. Major indicators highly effect the income of respondent
in irrigated areas are total cultivated land, more area cultivated by respondent showed more
income, similarly respondent with better health and education showed high level of income.
CONCLUDING REMARKS:
Economy of the nomads of Cholistan desert can be divided in to two parts, economy of
the nomads when they stay in the desert and economy of the nomads when they are at irrigated
areas. Sources of income in irrigated areas are more like Crops production, livestock production,
embroidery, job in different sector etc. But in desert areas the nomads have only two sources of
income i.e.‟ Khar‟ Production and livestock production. Livestock production is the same source
of income by which the nomads benefits, either they are in irrigated areas or in desert areas.
There all the income of nomads in irrigated areas is better than that of desert areas and
expenditures are higher. As main source of income in irrigated areas is livestock and for free
grazing of livestock nomads move towards desert, there livestock on highly nutritious grasses
and shrubs. When these are at irrigated areas they fed fodder crop and become a bigger source of
income and boost the economy of nomads staying at irrigated areas.
Cholistan desert is one of the most under-developed and highly degraded region of the
country. The people lack even basic amenities of life. Their socio-economic profile is nomadic
pastoral and livestock production is the major economic activity. Scarcity of water and lack of
adequate infrastructure are among the major constraints for the development of this arid tract.
Lack of roads and communication has hampered the development of this area by making its
accessibility very difficult for the people and officials.
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Sample population showed that male is dominant as a head of household in Cholistan
desert. Male-female ratio as a head of household play an important role to earn income in desert
areas as males play effective role to graze their livestock as compared to females.
Age of the household head ranged between 31 to 45 years is common in this Cholistan
desert. Respondent with this age group showed better health and health plays a very important
role to earn more income.
Seventy one percents nomads staying at cultivated lands, earn
their income from
cultivating crops along with livestock keeping which ranged between Rs. 1,00,100/- to
2,00,000/- and their expenditures are in the range of Rs20,100/- to 35,000/-.
Crop production, being the second major source of income of nomadic pastoralist after
allotment of lands by government. Pastoral nomadism is not only an environmental sustainable
way of managing Cholistan desert dry lands but it could support national dairy and meat
consumption requirements.
RECOMMENDATIONS:
Special attention should be given towards education because education will help in
providing awareness among the people. Schools should be opened in each village and all
facilities should be provided to attract students towards education which ultimately boost up the
income of nomads of cholistan desert.
Vegetation resources available in Cholistan desert are insufficient and it is recommended
that these resources should be enhanced for the healthy livestock of desert dwellers. Ultimately,
it will help in increasing the income of the Cholastani people.
Expansion of national health, education, population and nutrition programs that include
services to the population of Cholistan desert and a focus on primary services.
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ACKNOWLEDGEMENT:
It is matter of great pleasure to express my cordial gratitude and thanks to Dr.
Muhammad Arshad, Deputy Director, Cholistan Institute of Desert Studies, for his extraordinary,
wise and pain taking guidance that he has so generously given throughout this research work.
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