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.,
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.
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.
-
.
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,
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,
,–
20
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,
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1990-
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32
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.
«
,
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.
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1991 .
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.
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-
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.
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24
,
38
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,
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,
«
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,
»,
,
.
25
II
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–
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39
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«
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42
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.
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.
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,
,
«
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(
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.
1995 .,
,
»,
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-
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-
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-
,
.
.
» (threat)
«
» (challenge).
«
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.
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.
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,
.
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.
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«
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48
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–
),
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.
.
,
–
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49
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.
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–
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33
.
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-
50
.
51
(troubled)
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.
.
-
,
,
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-
.
.
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.
,
,
.
.
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,
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.
,
–
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.
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(nation-building).
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,
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.
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:
50
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Ibid. – P. 238.
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,
.
34
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,
;
,
;
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;
-
;
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,
.
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,
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.
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,
52
.
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.
.
,
.
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,
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.
,
52
.
Ibid. – P. 240.
35
,
:
.
.
:
«
,
»53;
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;
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-
;
,
,
(
,
);
;
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;
.
.
-
,
:
-
;
54
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;
.
«
–1997»),
»
.
«
(
2015 .)
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53
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Ibid. – P. 258.
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36
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55
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,
2015 .
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,
,
.
.
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-
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2001 . (
,
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.
,
-
.
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40
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,
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61
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41
.
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64
Quadrennial defense review report.. 2001. – P. 7.
65
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«anti–
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.,
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,
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Ibid. – P. 13.
Ibid. – P. 14.
45
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.
71
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-
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,
,
73
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–
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.
,
.
«
72
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.
,
»
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-
.
«
,
74
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,
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,
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.
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«
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,
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.
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.
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.
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.
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,
-
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49
,
.
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.
.
,
.
,
,
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,
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77
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.
,
,
-
.
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.
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.
.
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50
,
.
-
,
.
,
.
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,
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,
77
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81
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».
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«
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82
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,
-
.
1990,
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«
.
-
,
.
-
.
,
123
«
»
.
.
.
,
.
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-
.
,
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,
,
,
,
,
.
.
,
123
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,
,
?
125
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«
.
«
,
,
,
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,
124
:
,
,
,
»
,
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,
,
,
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.
,
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»
,
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«
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.
126
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«
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,
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».
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124
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125
126
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.
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,
,
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–
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,
«
«
130
THAAD .
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»,
.
»
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.
127
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,
131
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,
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.
,
,
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,
,
,
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.
128
F/A–18E/F «
» F–22 «
»,
«
» «
»,
JSF,
«
».
129
–
«
»
JASSM (Joint Air–to–Surface Standoff Attack Missile),
JDAM
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THAAD – Terminal High Altitude Area Defense.
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-
(capabilities–based strategy).
«
:
(
,
» (
,
.
)
,
-
2),
,
-
Ibid. – P. 76–77.
Excerpts from classified nuclear posture review/S submitted to congress on 31 December, 2001 // www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/library/policy/dod/npr.htm
267
268
141
(
(
,
)
)
(
,
,
,
);
(
;
,
-
,
).
,
,
-
.
,
,
.
,
.
,
.
,
1972 .
1990-
269
270
271
4
Aegis273.
–3»
«
272
,
Cobra
, 100%-
-
Strategic assessment 1997. – P. 245.
.
. THAAD – Terminal high altitude area defense.
271
.
272
«
273
.,
.
Dane
269
-
.
,
2008 . 2–3
270
2001 .
.
. PAC–3 – Patriot advanced capability–3.
»
.
.
142
,
-
,
.
,
-
,
,
,
-
.
,
.
,
-
.
.
.
.
–
,
-
.
,
,
14
48
,
,
.
,
,
-
.
.
.
,
«
», 4
–3».
,
«
,
-
.
-
,
,
.
143
:
,
274
-
.
,
2012 .
2004 .
.
275
,
«
,
,
.
-
,
«
»,
,
,
277
»276.
:
-
.
1972 .
1990.
.
.,
.
278
-
.
-
«
1990-
.
.
.
»
2001 .,
-
.
274
SBIRS–High (space–based infrared system) STSS (space
tracking and surveillance system).
SBIRS–High,
,
SBIRS–Low.
275
.
: Independent working group on missile defense, the space relationship & twenty–first century. Report 2007. – Washington: The Institute for Foreign Policy
Analysis, 2007. – P. 32–33.
276
. «Standard Missile».
«
–3» (Standart Missile–3)
Aegis.
277
Quadrennial defense review report... 2006. – P. 50.
278
,
2005 .,
5
10
,
SM
4
5
.
.: Sea–based BMD system outperforming land system // Defense Today. – 2005. – February 28.
144
,
279
,
.
,
.
–
,
.
,
-
,
,
.
,
,
.
,
).
(
,
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,
.
280
60
.
.
3
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-
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7.5
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.
(160–320
. .
-
–3»
-
,
279
-
,
(«
,
»)
)281.
-
,
.
Binnendijk H, Stewart G. Toward missile defenses from the sea // The Washington
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281
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280
145
.
-
,
.
,
-
.
.
,
,
(
.
»,
)
,
.
«
5
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.
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,
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.
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.
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-
.
,
.
,
(600
(2500
)282.
«
282
,
,
,
.
.
200
,
.
«
1992 .
.
–
.
».
Ibid. – P. 23, 24.
146
)
,
-
–
.
.
,
,
.
,
(
.
,
2012 .,
.
,
.
12
5
.
.
.
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-
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,
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.
,
,
-
-
-
–747.
1
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.
.
-
2004 .
,
3
2006–2011
.
.
.
-
.
.
,
.
,
.
-
.
,
,
147
,
,
-
,
-
283
284
.
.
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.
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,
,
.
,
,
,
-
.
.
,
.
.
,
,
,
,
.
«
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,
,
:
-
.
;
,
«
.
,
-
,
.
283
284
,
;
,
,
-
C4ISR,
,
»,
Ibid. – P. 25–26.
148
-
,
;
.
,
,
.
,
(
).
,
,
,
,
,
,
,
.
,
,
,
.
,
,
,
-
,
.
.
-
,
.
,
,
,
.
149
,
,
, –
-
–
,
.
1990-
.
-
.
;
,
.
1990-
.
.
»
«
(
-
:
»
,
-
,
.
,
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.
.
.
1990–
,
,
,
«
,
.
.
,
-
.
.
-
,
,
,
-
».
,
-
,
-
-
.
«
,
;
,
.
150
:
,
-
.
11
2001 .
.
-
,
,
.
,
(capabilities–based strat-
.
egy)
,
.
,
.
,
.
.
,
,
.
.
,
,
,
.
,
,
2030 .
,
,
,
,
151
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-
.
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,
.
.
.
-
-
.
,
«
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.
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.
.
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.
.
.
« -
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,
.,
1990-
-
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.
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».
,
.
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,
,
,
,
»
«
11
1950.
«
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:
,
152
).
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.
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,
-
-
.
,
,
,
.
.
.
,
.
,
-
-
,
.
«
,
»
-
285
.
,
,
.
«
,
.
»
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,
.
«
«
.
»
»
.
,
,
-
-
.
153
-
».
,
285
-
.
«
-
-
-
-
,
.
-
.
.
,
1990-
.
,
,
.
,
.
.
.
«
».
,
,
,
.
–
-
2001 .
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.
-
.
,
.
-
.
1990-
.
,
.,
;
,
;
,
,
-
,
154
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.
,
-
-
.
-
,
.
-
,
,
.
, . .
-
.
.
,
-
.
.
«
.
»
.
,
1990-
,
-
«
»
.
(«
»),
.
,
-
pabilities-based),
.
-
,
,
,
«
C4ISR.
.
,
,
.
–
(ca,
»,
.
-
,
»,
.
-
«
-
,
,
155
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,
«
«
» (joint force)
».
»
-
.
.
.
,
.
-
,
-
«
.
»
,
,
,
,«
.
.
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»,
(joint task force),
-
.«
.
,
.
»
«
.
,
,
.
»
«
»
156
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-
-
«
,
-
,
-
286
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.
»–
,
.
.
.
,
«
.
«
,
,
»
,
«
.
.
.
?
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.
-
.
-
,
-
»,
,
-
.
?
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.
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Summary
The new challenges of post cold war world have changed military strategy of modern great powers including the United States. Author treats military strategy as a part of AЦОrТМКЧ «grand strategy». Main attention he paid
to evolution of three elements of military strategy: comprehension of threats,
strategic/operational concepts, and military reforms.
The first chapter describes levels of strategic analysis and reveals factors
shaping modern military strategy. The last comprise trends of global development, strategic environment, grand strategy, and traditions of strategic
thinking.
The second chapter investigates how American military perceived
threats to national security before and after 9/11. Obviously, the switch to
terrorism and soft security engendered the ambiguity in selecting of criteria
for the use of force. The principle of threat estimation has been changed from
state-centric approach to challenges from global trends, rouge states, and
non-state actors, which are able to use asymmetric methods of warfare and/or
terror. Homeland security became the first priority task for American security.
The third chapter depicts evolution of strategic concepts (selective engagement, preventive defense, preemptive actions), operational concepts of
transformation (forward deterrence, joint operations, information operations,
operations other than war), and nuclear strategy. American strategy tends to
the use of brigade-type mobile light forces both in regional conflicts and
wide range of peace-time military operations. The role of special operation
forces and expeditionary abilities of regular forces arose significantly. Modern military strategy makes emphasize on operational rather than overall strategic concepts because the United States still have no comparable challenger.
The forth chapter deals with military reforms: «base force», «the bottom
up review», «transformation» (joint force), and «new triad». American strategy implies building-up a global military structure providing global strike in
critical regions: Europe, North-East Asia, Middle East, and the littoral of
East Asia. Department of Defense intended to win any adversary shortly by
the use of relatively small but more mobile and flexible forces. The benefits
of American force derives from combination of joint force doctrine, hightech weapons, global military presence, and integrated combat command system called C4ISR (control, communication, computers, intelligence, surveil-
170
lance, and reconnaissance). Its main vulnerable points are military infrastructure facilities located abroad and dependency on sophisticated information
and communication technologies.
Military doctrines and force structure clear support hegemonic strategy
of the United States. Apparently, new President of the United States
B. Obama will not change main parameters of military strategy in spite of his
liberal rhetoric. The United States will continue penetration in Central Asia
and Caucasus to strengthen control over Eurasia. While Russia is still within
eyeshot of military, the focus of American strategy is shifting to China as
potential regional and further global challenger.
171
…………………………………………………...........
5
I
8
1.
2.
3.
……...……………………...……… 8
………………………........ 10
XXI . 14
,
II
28
……...............
..
1.
2.
III
Э
1.
2.
3.
4.
29
42
65
«
«
«
IV
1. «
2. «
(
»
5.
…………...
»……………………......
)
»…....
65
71
78
……………….………. 81
……………………………….. 101
Ш
»………………………………………………
»..……………………………..........
172
114
114
116
», «
»……………………..…
……………………..
»……………………………….
:«
»…………....
118
124
134
143
…………………………………………………...
…………………………………………………..
…………………………………………
……………………..
Summary…………………………………………………….....
152
160
167
168
172
3.
4. «
5.
6.
», «
«
:«
»
173
CONTENTS
Introduction…………………………………………………...
5
Chapter 1
General features of modern strategy
8
SЮЛУОМЭ ШП sЭrКЭОРв…………………………………………….
LОЯОХs ШП sЭrКЭОРТМ КЧКХвsТs…………………………………...
Factors shaping American strategy on the edge of the XXI
century………………………………………………………...
8
10
14
Chapter 2
Estimation of threats after the cold war
28
MЮХЭТpХО КЧН ТЧНОПТЧТЭО ЭСrОКЭs….……………………………
GХШЛКХ ПТРСЭ КРКТЧsЭ ЭОrrШrТsЦ………………………………..
29
42
Chapter 3
Evolution of strategic concepts
65
Selective engagement…………….............................................
Preventive defense…………………………….........................
Pre-emptive actions…………………………………………...
Strategic and operational concepts of transformation..…....
DОЯОХШpЦОЧЭ ШП ЧЮМХОКr sЭrКЭОРв…...………………….……
65
71
78
81
101
Chapter 4
Reforms of U.S. armed forces
114
Base force……………..……………………………………….
Bottom up review…..………………………………….………
Three models of reform: recapitalization, advanced revolution,
full spectrum force……………………………………………..
174
114
116
118
TrКЧsПШrЦКЭТШЧ………..……………………...………………...
Joint force……………….……………………...........................
NОа ЭrТКН……………….………………………….....………...
124
134
143
Conclusion...……………………………...……………………
Appendix…………………………………..…………………..
Abbreviations………………………………………………….
Sources………………………………………………………...
Summary……………………………………………...……….
152
160
167
168
172
175
Ы
№ 02980
–
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. .
.
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.
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.
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main@nauka.nw.ru
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.,
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,
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