2020 United States presidential election in Indiana

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2020 United States presidential election in Indiana

← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
Turnout %
  Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg 160x160px 160x160px
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden Jo Jorgensen
Party Republican Democratic Libertarian
Home state Florida Delaware South Carolina
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris Spike Cohen

Incumbent President

Donald Trump
Republican



Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. The 2020 United States presidential election in Indiana is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[1] Indiana voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Indiana has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

By the time that the primary elections were held in the state on June 2, 2020, incumbent President Donald Trump was already the Republican Party's presumptive nominee, being the only viable declared major candidate left. On the Democratic Party's side, Vice President Joe Biden became the presumptive nominee after Senator Bernie Sanders, his last competitor, withdrew on April 8, 2020. Jo Jorgensen was nominated by the Libertarian National Convention on May 23rd, 2020.

Primary elections

The primary elections were held on June 2, 2020.

Republican primary

Donald Trump won the Republican primary, and thus received all of the state's 58 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention.[3]

Democratic primary

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Libertarian nominee

The 2020 Libertarian National Convention was held on May 22–24, 2020, selecting Jo Jorgensen, Psychology Senior Lecturer at Clemson University, as their presidential nominee.

Green primary

The Green primary will be held on May 1–31, 2020, with mail-in ballots being post marked no later than June 1, 2020, and results being published by June 14, 2020.[4]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[5] Likely R September 10, 2020
Inside Elections[6] Safe R September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] Likely R July 14, 2020
Politico[8] Safe R September 8, 2020
RCP[9] Lean R August 3, 2020
Niskanen[10] Safe R July 26, 2020
CNN[11] Safe R August 3, 2020
The Economist[12] Safe R September 2, 2020
CBS News[13] Likely R August 16, 2020
270towin[14] Likely R August 2, 2020
ABC News[15] Safe R July 31, 2020
NPR[16] Likely R August 3, 2020
NBC News[17] Likely R August 6, 2020
538[18] Likely R September 9, 2020

Polling

Graphical summary

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Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Other/
Undecided
[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
FiveThirtyEight until September 7, 2020 September 12, 2020 39.0% 53.1% 7.9% Trump +14.1

Polls

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump

Republican
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Jo
Jorgensen

Libertarian
Howie
Hawkins

Green
Other Undecided
Change Research/IndyPolitics Sep 3–7, 2020 1,033 (LV) ± 3.1% 53% 39% 5% -
Morning Consult Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020[lower-alpha 3] 900 (LV) ± 3.3% 55% 38% - -
Victoria Research/Tallian for Attorney General[1][upper-alpha 1] May 21–23, 2020 894 (LV) ± 3.3% 49% 39% - -
Indy Politics/Change Research Apr 10–13, 2020 1,021 (LV) ± 3.1% 52% 39% - - 5% 3%
  1. This poll is sponsored by Karen Tallian's campaign (D)
Former candidates

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Undecided
Zogby Analytics Aug 17–23, 2017 603 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 39% 17%

Results

2020 United States presidential election in Indiana[19]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Donald Trump and Mike Pence
Democratic Joe Biden and Kamala Harris
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen and Spike Cohen
Total votes

See also

Notes

  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. 2.0 2.1 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight

References

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  10. 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
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