Weather and climate change
UK video forecast
warnings
Flood warnings in force for:
| England | Environment Agency |
|---|---|
| Scotland | Scottish Environment Protection Agency (SEPA) |
UK 5 day weather forecast
Headline:
Wet and windy in the northwest. Turning brighter elsewhere.
Today:
Mostly dry in England and Wales with sunshine in places once low cloud and fog clears. Staying cloudier with light showers in eastern England. Windy in Scotland and Northern Ireland with coastal gales and occasional rain, heaviest in the northwest.
Tonight:
Periods of heavy rain across Northern Ireland and Scotland, spreading into northern England and west Wales later. Windy for many with coastal gales. Staying dry further south and east. Mild.
Tuesday:
A band of rain moves east across England and Wales, though staying dry in eastern England until the evening. Brighter spells and heavy showers further north. Windy with coastal gales.
Outlook for Wednesday to Friday:
Blustery showers in Scotland on Wednesday, these wintry at times. Otherwise a dry end to the week with some sunshine at times but feeling colder with widespread overnight frosts.
Updated:
UK long range weather forecast
High pressure will sit close to (and probably to the east of) the UK in this period. Consequently, southern and eastern areas are likely to see the driest conditions, with lightest winds, which could lead to overnight frost and fog with temperatures a little below normal. Further north and west, there is a risk of incursions of Atlantic air and fontal systems at times, which would bring some rain here, but with milder temperatures. There is a very low chance that if the high orientates in such a way that a more easterly (rather than southerly/southeasterly) flow develops, a spell of much colder conditions could develop across the UK, with a risk of wintry showers in some parts.
Updated:
It is most likely that high pressure to the east or northeast of the UK will dominate at first in some form or another, but there is a weak signal for a more unsettled spell in the second half of the month, before signals become indistinguishable from climatology by the start of March. Temperatures may be below average at first, with overnight frosts, but could return to near average or even rise a little above average later. Precipitation amounts, are likely to be below average at first, though a few wintry showers are possible in the east, and perhaps some rain in the west, but amounts may return to near-normal later in the month.
Updated:
