Engineering Risk Benefit Analysis
Engineering Risk Benefit Analysis
Engineering Risk Benefit Analysis
1.155, 2.943, 3.577, 6.938, 10.816, 13.621, 16.862, 22.82 ESD.72J, ESD.721 Introduction George E. Apostolakis Massachusetts Institute of Technology Spring 2007
Introduction
Risk-Benefit Tradeoffs
Introduction
Introduction
Detrain
Escalators!
From: Vincent Ho, The Applications of Quantitative Risk Assessment in the Railway Industry, INER presentation, December 2004
Introduction 4
ERBA
Make informed decisions concerning engineering projects that include important elements of technological or financial risk. The quantification of uncertainty is a key element. Three main topics to be covered: Reliability and Probabilistic Risk Assessment (RPRA) (includes a review of elementary probability theory) Decision Analysis (DA) Cost-Benefit Analysis (CBA) (except in ESD.721)
Introduction 5
Level of Coverage
Broad Survey Emphasis on: standard terminology fundamental issues strengths and weaknesses
Introduction