ACCA F9 Passcard
ACCA F9 Passcard
ACCA F9 Passcard
ACCA Passcards
Paper F9
Financial Management
Passcards for exams
up to June 2015
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Fundamentals Paper F9
Financial Management
(000)ACF9PC14_FP.qxp
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Printed in the UK
by RICOH UK Limited
Unit 2
Wells Place
Merstham
RH1 3LG
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Preface
Contents
Welcome to BPPs Learning Medias new syllabus ACCA Passcards for Paper F9 Financial Management.
They focus on your exam and save you time.
They incorporate diagrams to kick start your memory.
They follow the overall structure of the BPP Learning Medias Study Texts, but BPP Learning Medias ACCA
Passcards are not just a condensed book. Each card has been separately designed for clear presentation.
Topics are self contained and can be grasped visually.
ACCA Passcards are still just the right size for pockets, briefcases and bags.
Run through the Passcards as often as you can during your final revision period. The day before the exam, try
to go through the Passcards again! You will then be well on your way to passing your exams.
Good luck!
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Preface
Page
1
2-3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
Contents
Page
75
83
89
95
99
107
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Financial
management
Objectives
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Stakeholders
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Measuring achievement
of objectives
Encouraging
achievement of objectives
Financial accounting
Management accounting
Financial management
Financial management decisions
Not-for-profit
organisations
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Financial
management
Objectives
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Stakeholders
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Measuring achievement
of objectives
Encouraging
achievement of objectives
Not-for-profit
organisations
Corporate objectives are relevant for the organisation as a whole, relating to key factors for
business success
Non-financial objectives
Financial objectives
Shareholder wealth maximisation
Profit maximisation
Earnings per share growth
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Welfare of employees
Welfare of management, perks, benefits
Welfare of society, eg green policies
Provision of certain level of service
Responsibilities towards customers/suppliers
1: Financial management and financial objectives
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Financial
management
Objectives
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Stakeholders
9:52 PM
Measuring achievement
of objectives
Stakeholders
are groups whose interests are directly
affected by activities of the organisation.
Internal
Connected
External
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Managers
Employees
Directors
Shareholders
Lenders
Customers
Suppliers
Competitors
Government
Pressure groups
Local communities
Encouraging
achievement of objectives
Not-for-profit
organisations
Stakeholder objectives
Ordinary shareholders want to maximise
their wealth
Suppliers want to be paid full amount at
due date and to continue trading
relationship
Banks want to receive interest and
minimise default risk
Employees want to maximise rewards and
ensure employment continuity
Managers want to maximise their own
rewards
Government wants sustained economic
growth and high levels of employment
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Financial
management
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Objectives
Stakeholders
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Measuring achievement
of objectives
Encouraging
achievement of objectives
Not-for-profit
organisations
Dividends
Returns to shareholders
Profitability
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Profit margin
Asset turnover
= ____________
PBIT
Sales revenue
Sales revenue
______________
Capital employed
= _________________________________
Profit available to ordinary shareholders
Shareholders equity
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Financial
management
Objectives
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Stakeholders
Dividend yield
Dividend per share
________________________
100%
Ex-div market price per share
Dividend cover
Profit available to ordinary shareholders
________________________________
Actual dividend
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Measuring achievement
of objectives
Encouraging
achievement of objectives
Not-for-profit
organisations
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Financial
management
Objectives
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Stakeholders
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Measuring achievement
of objectives
Encouraging
achievement of objectives
Not-for-profit
organisations
Agency relationship
Managers act as agents for the shareholders using delegated powers to run the company in shareholders
best interests.
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Corporate governance
The system by which organisations
are directed and controlled
Involves risk management, internal
controls, accountability to
stakeholders, conducting business
in an ethical and effective way
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Financial
management
Objectives
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Stakeholders
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Measuring achievement
of objectives
Encouraging
achievement of objectives
Not-for-profit
organisations
Not-for-profit organisation
is an organisation whose attainment of its prime goal is not assessed by economic measures.
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Topic List
Macroeconomic policy
Government intervention
Financial intermediaries and markets
Rates of interest and rates of return
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Macroeconomic
policy
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Government
intervention
Financial intermediaries
and markets
Rates of interest
and rates of return
Control of inflation
Balance of
payments stability
High level of
employment
Policy tools
Fiscal policy
Monetary policy
Each policy will affect businesses through changes in demand, relative prices of goods and services,
borrowing costs, tax on profits, etc.
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Macroeconomic
policy
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Government
intervention
Financial intermediaries
and markets
Rates of interest
and rates of return
Regulation
is any form of state intervention with the operation of the free market.
Competition policy
Green policies
Polluter pays principle eg levy a tax
Subsidies to reduce pollution
Legislation eg waste disposal
23: Financial management environment
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Macroeconomic
policy
Government
intervention
Financial intermediaries
Euromarkets
Rates of interest
and rates of return
Functions
Examples
Commercial banks
Finance houses
Mutual societies
Institutional investors
Financial intermediaries
and markets
Money markets
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Means of lending/investing
Source of borrowing
Package amounts lent by savers
Pool risk
Provide maturity transformation
Capital markets
are markets for trading in long-term
financial instruments, equities and
bonds. They enable organisations to
raise new finance and investors to
realise investments. Principal UK
markets are the Stock Exchange and
Alternative Investment Market.
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Interest-bearing
instruments
Discount
instruments
Money market
deposits
Treasury bill
Bankers
acceptance
Certificate of
deposit
Repurchase
agreement
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Commercial paper
Derivatives
Future
Forward
Swap
Option
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Macroeconomic
policy
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Government
intervention
Financial intermediaries
and markets
Rates of interest
and rates of return
Risk
Government bonds
Company loan notes
Preference shares
Ordinary shares
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4: Working capital
Topic List
Working capital
Liquidity ratios
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Working capital
Liquidity ratios
X
X
X
X
X
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Working capital
Liquidity ratios
Liquidity ratios
help to indicate whether a company is over-capitalised, with excessive working capital, or if a business is
likely to fail.
Current ratio =
Current assets
Current liabilitie s
Trade receivables
Credit sales
Inventory days
Average inventory
Cost of sales
365 days
365 days
Current assets
(excluding inventory)
Current liabilitie s
Trade payables
Purchases
365 days
Cost of sales
Average inventory
Sales revenue/net working capital can be used to forecast the level of working capital needed for a projected
level of sales.
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4: Working capital
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Working capital
Liquidity ratios
Overtrading
is when a business is trying to support too large a volume of trade with the capital resources at its disposal.
Symptoms
revenue
current assets
non-current assets
Asset increases financed by trade
payables/bank overdraft
Solutions
Finance from share
issues/retained profits
Better inventory/receivables
control
Postpone expansion plans
Maintain/increase proportion
of long-term finance
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Topic List
Managing inventories
Managing accounts receivable
Managing accounts payable
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Managing
inventories
Inventory costs
Holding costs
Procuring costs
Shortage costs
Cost of capital
Warehouse/handling costs
Deterioration/obsolescence
Insurance
Pilferage
Ordering costs
Delivery costs
Managing
accounts receivable
D
CO
CH
Q
re-order amount
2
2COD
(Given in exam)
CH
Buffer safety inventory = re-order level (average usage average lead time)
Average inventory = buffer safety inventory +
Managing
accounts payable
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Bulk discounts
Just-in-time (JIT)
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Benefits of JIT
Inventory holding costs
Manufacturing lead
times
Labour productivity
Labour/scrap/warranty
costs
Material purchase costs
(discounts)
Number of transactions
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Managing
inventories
Managing
accounts receivable
Managing
accounts payable
Trade references
Bank references
Credit rating agency
Efficient administration
Aged listing of receivables
Regular statements and reminders
Clear procedures for taking legal action or charging interest
Consider the use of a debt factor
Analyse whether to use cash discounts to encourage early payment
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The benefits of action to collect debts must be greater than the costs incurred.
Factoring
Calculate:
Profits foregone by offering discount
Interest charge changes because customer paid at
different times and sales change
Invoice discounting
similar to factoring, this is when a company sells specific
trade debts to another company, at a discount. Invoice
discounting helps to improve cash flow at times of
temporary cash shortage.
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Advantages
admin costs
New source of finance
to help liquidity
Frees up management
time
Supports a business
when sales are rising
Disdvantages
Can be expensive
Loss of direct
customer contact
and goodwill
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Managing
inventories
Managing
accounts receivable
Managing
accounts payable
Methods of control
Letters of credit. The customers bank guarantees
it will pay the invoice after delivery of the goods
Bills of exchange. An IOU signed by the
customer, can be sold
Export factoring
Countertrade. A form of barter with goods
exchanged for other goods
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Managing
inventories
Management of
trade payables
Cost of lost cash
discounts
365
100
100 d
Managing
accounts receivable
Managing
accounts payable
where d is % discount
t is reduction in payment
period in days necessary to
obtain early discount
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Notes
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Topic List
Cash flow
Treasury management
Cash management models
Investing surplus cash
Working capital funding strategies
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Cash flow
9:51 PM
Treasury
management
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Cash management
models
Investing surplus
cash
Working capital
funding strategies
Cash forecast
Cash receipts
Sales receipts (W1)
Share issue
Cash payments
Purchases (W2)
Dividends
Taxes
Purchase of
non-current assets
Wages
Net surplus/deficit
Opening cash balance
Closing cash balance
Jan
X
___
X
___
X
X
X
X
___
X
___
(X)
X
___
(X)
___
___
Feb
X
X
X
___
X
___
March
X
X
X
___
X
___
X
X
___
X
___
___
X
___
X
___
X
X
___
X
___
___
___
X
___
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Losses
Asset replacement
Growth support
Seasonal business
One-off expenditure
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Cash flow
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Treasury
management
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Cash management
models
Investing surplus
cash
Working capital
funding strategies
Treasury management
Treasury departments are set up to manage cash funds and currency efficiently, and make the best use of
corporate finance markets.
The main advantages of centralised treasury management are avoiding a mix of surpluses and overdrafts, and
being able to obtain favourable rates on bulk borrowing/investment.
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Cash flow
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Treasury
management
Baumol model
seeks to minimise cash holding
costs by calculating optimal
amount of new funds to raise.
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Cash management
models
Miller-Orr model
Investing surplus
cash
Working capital
funding strategies
Q=
2CS
i
May be difficult to
Q is the total amount
predict amounts
to be raised to
required and no buffer
provide for S
cash is allowed for.
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transaction cost
Spread = 3 3 cash flow variance
4 interest rate
1
/3
Estimate variance
of cash flow
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Cash flow
Investing
surplus
cash
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Treasury
management
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Cash management
models
Considerations
Liquidity
Profitability
Safety
Investing surplus
cash
Working capital
funding strategies
Instruments
Treasury bills
Term deposits
Certificates of deposit
Sterling commercial paper
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Cash flow
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Treasury
management
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Cash management
models
Working capital
funding strategies
Investing surplus
cash
Conservative approach
Moderate approach
Aggressive approach
Working capital
investment policy
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Cash flow
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Treasury
management
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Cash management
models
Investing surplus
cash
Assets
($)
Fluctuating
current assets
A
C
Permanent
current assets
Non-current assets
Time
Working capital
funding strategies
In A (conservative) all
permanent and some
fluctuating current assets
financed out of long-term
sources; may be surplus cash
for investment.
In B (aggressive) all fluctuating
and some permanent current
assets financed out of shortterm sources, possible liquidity
problems.
In C long-term sources finance
permanent assets, short-term
sources finance
non-permanent assets.
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7: Investment decisions
Topic List
Investment
Payback
Return on capital employed
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Investment
Investment
Revenue expenditure
Capital expenditure
Payback
Return on capital
employed
Origination of proposals
Project screening
Future
Incremental
Cash
No: central overheads, sunk costs, depreciation
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Investment
Payback
Return on capital
employed
Example
$000
P
Q
Investment
60
60
Yr 1 profits
20
50
Yr 2 profits
30
20
Yr 3 profits
50
5
Q pays back first, but ultimately Ps profits are higher on
the same amount of investment.
Disadvantages
Advantages
Payback
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Investment
Return on capital
employed
Method of calculation
Estimated average profits
100%
Estimated average investment
Initial outlay + scrap value
2
Profit is after depreciation but before interest and tax
Disadvantages
Advantages
Payback
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Topic List
Discounted cash flow
NPV
IRR
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Discounted
cash flow
NPV
IRR
Discounted cash flow analysis applies discounting arithmetic to the costs and benefits of an
investment project, reducing value of future cash flows to present value equivalent.
Conventions of DCF analysis
Cash flows incurred at beginning of project
occur in year 0
Cash flows occurring during time period
assumed to occur at period-end
Cash flows occurring at beginning of period
assumed to occur at end of previous period
Discounting
Present value of 1 =
1
(1 + r)n
Annuity
Present value of annuity of 1 =
r = Discount rate
n = number of periods
1 (1 + r)
r
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Discounted
cash flow
NPV
IRR
Features of NPV
Exclude
Depreciation
Dividend/interest payments
Sunk costs
Allocated costs and overheads
8: Investment appraisal using DCF methods
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Discounted
cash flow
IRR
NPV
The IRR (internal rate of return) method calculates the rate of return at which the NPV is zero.
Is whole number
Formula to learn
NPVa
NPV NPV
a
b
IRR = a +
(b a) %
where
a
is lower of two rates of return
used
b
is higher of two rates of return
used
NPVa is NPV obtained using rate a
NPVb is NPV obtained using rate b
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IRR
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Notes
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Topic List
Inflation
Taxation
NPV layout
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Inflation
Taxation
NPV layout
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Taxation
Inflation
Working capital
Increases in working capital reduce the net
cash flow of period
Taxation
Follow the instructions given in the question re
timing and rates.
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NPV layout
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Inflation
Sales receipts
Costs
Sales less Costs
Taxation on profits
Capital expenditure
Scrap value
Working capital
Tax benefit of
tax depreciation
Discount factors @
post-tax cost of capital
Present value
Year
0
___
Year
1
X
(X)
___
X
(X)
Year
2
X
(X)
___
X
(X)
Taxation
Year
3
X
(X)
___
X
(X)
NPV layout
Year
4
___
(X)
(X)
X
X
(X)
___
(X)
X
___
X
X
___
X
X
___
X
X
___
(X)
X
___
(X)
___
___
X
___
X
___
___
X
___
X
___
___
X
___
X
___
___
X
___
(X)
___
___
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Topic List
Risk and uncertainty
Sensitivity analysis
Probability analysis
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Risk and
uncertainty
Sensitivity
analysis
RISK
UNCERTAINTY
Expected values
Risk adjusted discount factor
Adjusted payback
Sensitivity analysis
Simulation
Probability
analysis
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Sensitivity
analysis
Risk and
uncertainty
Sensitivity analysis
assesses how responsive a projects NPV is to
changes in the variables used to calculate the NPV.
Weaknesses
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Probability
analysis
Variables
Selling price
Sales volume
Cost of capital
Initial cost
Operating costs
Benefits
Sensitivity =
NPV
PV of variable
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Risk and
uncertainty
Sensitivity
analysis
Probability
analysis
Probability analysis
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Topic List
Lease or buy
Asset replacement
Capital rationing
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Lease or buy
Asset
replacement
Capital
rationing
Operating leases
Finance leases
Advantages of leasing
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Calculate the costs of leasing (lease payments, lost capital allowances, lost scrap revenue)
Calculate the benefits of leasing (saved outlay on purchase, tax on lease payments)
Calculate the NPV (if positive, lease is cheaper than post-tax cost of loan)
An alternative method is to evaluate the NPV of the cost of the loan and the NPV of the lease separately and
choose the cheapest option.
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Lease or buy
Asset
replacement
Capital
rationing
Calculate present value of costs for each replacement cycle over one cycle only
Turn present value of costs for each replacement cycle into equivalent annual cost:
PV over one replacement cycle
____________________________
Cumulative PV factor for number
of years in one cycle
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Lease or buy
Capital rationing
is where a company has a limited amount of money
to invest and investments have to be compared in
order to allocate monies most effectively.
Joint ventures
Licensing/franchising
Contracting out
Other sources of finance
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Capital
rationing
Asset
replacement
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Lease or buy
Profitability index
Asset
replacement
Capital
rationing
Assumptions
Example
Project A has investment of $10,000, present value cash
inflows of $11,240
Project B has investment of $40,000, present value of cash
inflows $43,801
Project B has higher NPV ($3,801 compared with $1,240)
Project A has higher PI (1.12 compared with 1.10)
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Topic List
Short-term sources of finance
Debt finance
Venture capital
Equity finance
Islamic finance
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Short-term
sources of finance
Debt finance
Overdrafts
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Venture capital
Overdrafts
v
loans
Equity finance
Islamic finance
Loans
Medium-term purposes
Interest and repayments set in advance
Bank wont withdraw at short notice
Shouldnt exceed asset life
Can have loan-overdraft mix
Loan interest rate usually lower than o/d
rate
Operating leases
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Short-term
sources of finance
Debt finance
Debt finance
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Venture capital
Equity finance
Islamic finance
Redemption
Convertible bonds
give the holder the right to convert to other securities, normally ordinary shares, at a pre-determined price/rate
and time.
Conversion premium = Current market value of bonds Conversion value of bonds
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Short-term
sources of finance
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Debt finance
Venture capital
is risk capital normally provided in return for an
equity stake and possibly board representation.
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Venture capital
Equity finance
Islamic finance
Business startups
Development of new products/markets
Management buyouts
Realisation of investments
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sources of finance
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Debt finance
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Equity finance
Venture capital
Islamic finance
Equity finance
is raised through the sale of ordinary shares to investors via a new issue or a rights issue.
Stock
market
listing
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Disadvantages of obtaining
listing
Loss of control
Vulnerability to takeover
More scrutiny
Greater restrictions on directors
Compliance costs
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Short-term
sources of finance
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Debt finance
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Venture capital
Equity finance
Islamic finance
Placing
Underwriting costs
Stock Exchange listing fees
Issuing house, solicitors, auditors, public
relation fees
Printing and distribution costs
Advertising
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Rights issue
Value of rights
Theoretical ex-rights price Issue price
TERP example
4 shares @ $2.00
1_ share @ $1.50
5__
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$
8.00
1.50
____
9.50
____
____
TERP =
9.50
5
= $1.90
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Short-term
sources of finance
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Debt finance
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Venture capital
Equity finance
Islamic finance
Islamic finance
transaction
Similar to
Murabaha
Trade credit/loan
Musharaka
Venture capital
Mudaraba
Equity
Ijara
Leasing
Sukuk
Bonds
Differences
Pre-agreed mark up to be paid, in recognition of convenience of
paying later, for an asset transferred now. No interest charged.
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Topic List
Dividend policy
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Dividend policy
Dividend policy
Retain earnings
No payment to finance providers
Enables directors to invest without asking for
approval by finance providers
Avoids new share issue and change of control
and issue costs
Pay dividends
Signal of good prospects
Ensures share price stability
Shareholders want regular income
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Young company
Mature company
Zero/low dividend
High growth/investment needs
Wants to minimise debt
Scrip dividend
Share repurchase
Scrip issue
is an issue of new shares to current
shareholders, by converting equity
reserves.
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Notes
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Topic List
Gearing
SMEs
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Gearing
SMEs
Gearing
is the amount of debt finance a company uses relative to its equity finance.
Financial gearing
Operational gearing
Interest coverage
Contribution
____________
PBIT
PBIT
_______
Interest
Business confidence
Inflation
Interest rate expectations
Level of
gearing
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Gearing
SMEs
Funding gap
High failure rate so hard to raise
external finance
Few shareholders so hard to
raise internal finance
Maturity gap
Hard to obtain medium
term loans due to
mismatching of
maturity of assets and
liabilities.
Financing problems
Inadequate security
making banks reluctant to lend.
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Gearing
Sources of finance
Owner financing
Overdraft financing
Bank loans
Trade credit
Equity finance
Business angel financing
Venture capital
Leasing
Factoring
Government aid
SMEs
Equity finance
is hard to obtain (equity gap). Major problem is lack of exit
route for external investor.
Business angels
are wealthy individuals who invest directly in small
businesses.
Informal market
May be difficult to arrange
Business angels generally have industry knowledge
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Topic List
The cost of capital
Dividend growth model
CAPM
Cost of debt
WACC
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The cost
of capital
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Dividend growth
model
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Cost of debt
CAPM
WACC
Creditor hierarchy
Increasing risk
Unsecured creditors
Preference shareholders
Ordinary shareholders
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Dividend growth
model
The cost
of capital
Exam formula
P
0
D is dividend
ke is cost of equity or preference capital
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CAPM
P
0
Exam formula
WACC
Exam formula
1 +g
Cost of debt
dividend in year x
dividend in year x n
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The cost
of capital
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Dividend growth
model
CAPM
Cost of debt
WACC
Unsystematic risk
Systematic risk
Due to variations in
market activity
Cannot be
diversified away
Beta factor ()
measures the systematic risk of
a security relative to the market.
It is the average fall in the return
on a share each time there is a
1% fall in the stockmarket as a
whole.
Increasing risk
Beta < 1.0
Share < average risk
Ke < average
Beta = 1.0
Share = average risk
Ke = average
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Assumptions unrealistic?
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The cost
of capital
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Dividend growth
model
i (1 T )
P
0
Formula to learn
i
P0
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Cost of debt
CAPM
WACC
Cash flow
DFa
PVa
0
Market value
1
(X)
1 n Interest less tax X
X
n
Redemption value X
X
Kd = a +
NPVa
(b a)
DFb
PVb
1
X
X
(X)
X
X
NPVa NPVb
P0 is current ex-dividend ordinary share price
g is the expected annual growth of the ordinary
share price
n is the number of years to conversion
R is the number of shares received on conversion
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of capital
WACC =
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Dividend growth
model
[ ] [ ]
Ve
Ve + Vd
ke +
ke is cost of equity
kd is cost of debt
Vd
Ve + Vd
WACC
Cost of debt
CAPM
Exam formula
kd (1 T)
Use market values rather than book values unless market values unavailable (unquoted company)
Assumptions of WACC
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Notes
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Topic List
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Capital structure
theories
Traditional theory
Impact of cost of
capital on investments
Use debt
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Traditional theory
keg
Cost of
capital
WACC
kd
Po
keg
kd
WACC
Po
Level of gearing
Assumptions
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Capital structure
theories
Impact of cost of
capital on investments
Cost of
capital
Cost of
capital
Keg
Keg
WACC
Kd
WACC
Kd
Gearing
Gearing
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Capital structure
theories
Impact of cost of
capital on investments
The lower a companys WACC, the higher the NPV of its future cash flows and the higher its market
value.
Cost of capital
Calculate using
WACC
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Capital structure
theories
Impact of cost of
capital on investments
Ungear their beta for their debt, then regear it for your companys debt
Use this project-specific geared beta and CAPM to calculate an appropriate cost of capital
Ve
e
(Ve Vd (1 T))
Vd (1 T )
Ve Vd (1 T)
Exam formula
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Topic List
Asset valuation
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Asset valuation
Range of values
Max
Min
Income based
valuation
Cash flow
valuation
Historic
basis
(unlikely to
be realistic)
Replacement
basis
(asset used
on ongoing
basis)
Realisable
basis
(asset sold/
business
broken up)
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Asset valuation
Price-earnings ratio
Market value
EPS
Market value = EPS P/E ratio
P/E ratio =
Shows the
current profitability
of the company
May be affected by
one-off transactions
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Income based
valuation
Cash flow
valuation
Earnings
Earnings yield
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Asset valuation
Cash flow
valuation
Assumptions
Dividends from new projects of same risk type as
D
ke
existing operations
P0 =
Income based
valuation
D 0 (1 + g)
ke g
Problems
Companies that dont pay dividends dont have
zero values
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Irredeemable debt
P0 =
i
kd
or
i (1 T )
k dnet
with taxation
Redeemable debt
P0 = (interest earnings annuity factor) +
(Redemption value Discounted cash flow factor)
Convertible debt
P0 = (1 + g)n R
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Notes
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Topic List
Efficient market hypothesis
Valuation of shares
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Efficient market
hypothesis
Features of efficient
markets
Prices reflect all relevant
information
No individual dominates
market
Transaction costs insignificant
Valuation of
shares
The share price of a company is the best basis for a takeover bid
A company should concentrate on maximising NPV of investments
There is no point in attempting to mislead the market
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Efficient market
hypothesis
Fundamental analysis
Chartists/technical analysts
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Valuation of
shares
Practical
considerations
Liquidity
is the ease of dealing in shares.
Large companies have better
liquidity and greater marketability
than small companies.
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Efficient market
hypothesis
Valuation of
shares
Practical considerations
Market imperfections and price anomalies
support the view that irrationality often drives the
stock market eg seasonal effects, short-run
overreactions.
Market capitalisation
is the market value of a companys shares
multiplied by the number of issued shares. The
return from investing in smaller companies is
greater in the long run.
Behavioural finance
attempts to explain the market implications of the
psychological factors behind investor decisions and
suggests that irrational investor behaviour may
cause overreactions in prices.
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Topic List
Foreign currency risk
Causes of exchange rate fluctuations
Foreign currency risk management
Derivatives
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Foreign currency
risk
Page 100
Causes of exchange
rate fluctuations
Foreign currency
risk management
Spot rate
is the exchange rate currently offered on a particular currency.
Forward rate
is an exchange rate set for currencies to be exchanged at a
specified future date.
Economic risk
is the risk that the present value of a companys future
cash flows might be reduced by adverse exchange rate
movements.
Transaction risk
is the risk of adverse exchange rate movements between
the date the price is agreed and the date cash is
received/paid, arising during normal international trade.
Derivatives
Remember!
Company sells
buys
base currency
base currency
LOW
HIGH
Translation risk
is the risk that the organisation will make
exchange losses when the accounting results of
its foreign branches or subsidiaries are translated
into the home currency.
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Foreign currency
risk
Interest rates
Inflation rates
Balance of payments
Market sentiment/speculation
Government policy
Page 101
Causes of exchange
rate fluctuations
Foreign currency
risk management
Derivatives
Fisher effect
looks at the relationship between interest rates and expected
rates of inflation
[1 + nominal rate] = [1 + real interest rate] [1 + inflation rate]
=
=
=
=
forward rate
current spot rate
interest rate in country c
interest rate in country b
19: Foreign currency risk
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Foreign currency
risk
Page 102
Causes of exchange
rate fluctuations
Foreign currency
risk management
Four-way equivalence
links interest rates, inflation, the expected forward rate and the expected spot rate.
Derivatives
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Foreign currency
risk
Page 103
Causes of exchange
rate fluctuations
Foreign currency
risk management
Derivatives
Matching
Creating $ costs
Currency of invoice
Invoice foreign
customers in their
currency
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Leading
$ Revenue
Accelerating
receipts/payments
Netting
Lagging
Delaying
payments/receipts
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Foreign currency
risk
Page 104
Causes of exchange
rate fluctuations
Foreign currency
risk management
Advantages
Simple
Disadvantages
Derivatives
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deficit
May be cheaper if an importer with a cash flow
surplus
Page 105
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Foreign currency
risk
Page 106
Causes of exchange
rate fluctuations
Foreign currency
risk management
Derivatives
Currency futures
are standardised contracts for the sale or purchase at a set future date of a set quantity of currency.
Disadvantages of futures
Advantages of futures
Currency options
are the right to buy (call) or sell (put) a foreign currency at a specific exchange rate at a future date.
Advantages of options
Disadvantages of options
Expensive
exchange rates. Options are the only form of hedging that does this
Useful for uncertain transactions, can be sold if needed
sizes
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Topic List
Interest rate risk
Risk management
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Interest
rate risk
Risk
management
Basis risk
Gap exposure
Size of loan
Duration of lending
The longer the term of an asset to maturity, the higher the rate of interest paid
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% rate
of interest
Normal yield curve
Page 109
Years to maturity
Interest rates are expected to rise in the future (if expected to fall, yield curve
is less steep or downward sloping)
Investors require compensation for sacrificing liquidity on long-dated bonds,
hence generally upward sloping
Banks prefer short-dated bonds and pension funds prefer long-dated bonds
ie, there are different markets and investors will not switch segment even if
forecast of future interest rates changes, hence often kinked or discontinuous
20: Interest rate risk
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Interest
rate risk
Risk
management
Internal methods
Matching
is where assets and liabilities with a common
interest rate are matched. Used by banks.
Smoothing
is where a company keeps a balance between its
fixed rate and floating rate borrowing.
External methods
hedge interest rate risk by fixing the rate on the future borrowing.
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Consider:
Cost
Flexibility
Expectations
Ability to benefit from favourable interest rate
movements
20: Interest rate risk
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Notes
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Notes
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Notes
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Notes
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Notes
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Notes
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Notes
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Notes
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Notes
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Notes
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Notes
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Notes
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Notes